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0 State of Highway Safety Summary Report Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 14 th Edition –October 2017 Glenn Rowe, PE Division Chief– Highway Safety and Traffic Operations Division Gavin Gray, PE Chief – Highway Safety Section

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Page 1: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

0

State of Highway Safety Summary ReportCommonwealth of Pennsylvania

14th Edition –October 2017

Glenn Rowe, PEDivision Chief– Highway Safety and

Traffic Operations Division

Gavin Gray, PEChief – Highway Safety Section

Page 2: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

1

Table of Contents

Description PageLetter from the Secretary of Transportation 2

Executive Summary 3

Reaching Our Goals 4

Fatality and Crash Trends 5

NHTSA Performance Measures 28

Aggressive Driving and Speeding 35

Impaired Driving 38

Occupant Protection 44

Younger Drivers 48

Commercial Vehicle Safety 49

Motorcycles 51

Local Roads 55

Safety Improvement Programs 57

Benchmarking 69

Statistical Analysis 74

Projection Methodology Fatality Rate 89

Highway Safety Manual Tools and Resources 90

Page 3: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

2

Letter from the Secretary of Transportation

Championing highway safety is our ongoing mission at PennDOT. In our pursuit of Zero Fatalities, we experience inevitable ups and downs. We are encouraged that Pennsylvania has bucked a national trend and has seen its statewide fatality figures drop while nationally the numbers are up. In fact, our 2016 number of 1,188 was the lowest since record keeping began in 1928. Meanwhile, fatalities in distracted driver crashes continue to rise, up to 69 from 66 in 2015 and 55 in 2014. Our major concern is that the distracted driving problem may be underreported as it is all too easy to mask the true cause of a distracted driving crash. Through continuous safety messaging and enforcement, we hope this trend will reverse in the immediate future.

Our work goes on. With combined federal and state resources of roughly $100 million a year, we upgrade our infrastructure to make it as safe as possible, we underwrite enforcement actions and spread the safety message through media outlets and in various outreach efforts with our own staff and partners. The key, of course, is individual drivers and the decisions they make to set the distractions aside, always wear seat belts, obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired.

This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report provides the details of how we carry out this mission, and I invite you to take the time to see where we stand. It is important to remember, as we work towards our goal, that every life lost in a crash means a gap in our future, an individual and his or her talents and contributions gone from here forever. And thus, we are all diminished. We work hard to keep these losses to a minimum. PennDOT is committed to protecting all Pennsylvanians throughout our transportation network, and together our work will create a safer future.

Thank you.

Leslie S. RichardsPennDOT Secretary

Page 4: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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The State of Highway Safety Summary Report is intended to provide a snapshot of current trends, futuregoals, and the strategies needed to improve highway safety in the Commonwealth. Contained within thisreport are safety statistics tracked internally and by national safety partners, information on several safetyfocus areas, information on the effectiveness of safety countermeasures, and comparisons to the progress ofseveral benchmarking states.

The fatality and suspected serious injury goals presented on the following pages were developed in line withour statewide vision, mission, and goal statements (using 2012-2016 as a baseline year):

VisionProactively work toward zero deaths on our roads while fostering an environment

that encourages safe behavior.

MissionOur mission is to improve highway safety by developing and implementing

education, enforcement, engineering and emergency medical service strategies.

GoalReduce average fatalities and serious injuries to support the national effort of

ending fatalities on our nations roads within the next 30 years.

Executive Summary

Page 5: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Reaching Our GoalsOur goal is to reduce the five-year average number of fatalities from 2012-2016 (1,220.2 average per year)through 2017-2021 (1,118.5 average per year).

PennDOT has developed a 2017 Strategic Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) to help reach this goal. The SHSPtargets priority Safety Focus Areas and strategies/actions to reduce highway fatalities on Pennsylvania’sroadways. For each recommended strategy, action items have been established to identify measuresnecessary to successfully improve safety in each Safety Focus Area.

1,2

20

.2

1,1

91

.0

1,1

77

.6

1,1

62

.2

1,1

41

.4

1,1

18

.51,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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Pennsylvania’s Highway Fatality Reduction Goals2% Reduction Per Year Through 2021

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 6: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Fatality and Crash Trends

1,2

20

.2

1,1

91

.0

1,1

77

.6

1,1

62

.2

1,1

41

.4

1,1

18

.5

1,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Highway Fatalities5-Year Averages - Past Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

1,310

1,2081,195 1,200

1,1881,150

1,200

1,250

1,300

1,350

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

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Pennsylvania Highway FatalitiesAnnual Totals

Page 7: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Fatality and Crash Trends

See Page 90 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.

1.2

20

1.18

5

1.16

1

1.13

6

1.10

7

1.07

4

1.04

1.05

1.06

1.07

1.08

1.09

1.10

1.11

1.12

1.13

1.14

1.15

1.16

1.17

1.18

1.19

1.20

1.21

1.22

1.23

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

liti

y R

ate

(5-Y

ear

Ave

rag

e)

Pennsylvania Five-Year Average Fatality RateFatalities per Hundred Million Vehicle Miles Traveled

Past Data and Future Projections

5-Year Average Fatality Rate 5-Year Average Goal

See Page 89 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.

Page 8: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Fatality and Crash Trends

10

.5

10

.0

9.9

9.7

9.6

9

10

11

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Fata

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s p

er 1

00

,00

0 P

opu

lati

on

Pennsylvania Highway Fatalities per 100,000 Population5-Year Averages

2016 population data was acquired through the United States Census Bureau

Page 9: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Fatality and Crash Trends

3,4

34

.0

3,6

04

.8

3,7

99

.8

4,0

19

.5

4,2

24

.6

4,1

40

.1

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Pennsylvania Suspected Serious InjuriesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal

3,441

3,248

3,050 3,030

4,397

2,750

3,000

3,250

3,500

3,750

4,000

4,250

4,500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Pennsylvania Suspected Serious InjuriesAnnual Totals

In compliance with the FAST Act requirements, PennDOT has adopted newMMUCC standards. Since 2016, the new standards have changed the

definition of serious injuries. This change added crashes previously classified as moderate or minor into the suspected serious injury category.

Page 10: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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3.4

33

3.58

6

3.74

6

3.93

0

4.09

6

3.97

5

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.1

4.2

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

jury

Rat

e (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Pennsylvania Five-Year Average Suspected Serious Injury RateSerious Injuries per Hundred Million Vehicle Miles Traveled

Past Data and Future Projections

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injury Rate 5-Year Average Goal

Fatality and Crash Trends

See Page 89 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.

Page 11: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Fatality and Crash Trends

12

3,6

84

12

3,2

80

12

3,1

97

12

4,3

79

12

5,1

94

115,000

120,000

125,000

130,000

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Pennsylvania Reportable CrashesPast Data

Page 12: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Impaired Driving Trends and GoalsIncludes crashes involving any driver which was suspected of drinking by police or had a measured BAC of 0.01% orgreater. These crashes could also include those which involved any driver suspected of illegal drug or medication use.

92

7 93

9

95

7

99

3

1,0

27

1,0

07

12,913

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Impaired Driving Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

41

3

38

4

36

0

34

6 32

8

32

1

300

325

350

375

400

425

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Impaired Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 13: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Unrestrained Trends and GoalsIndicates that any person in a passenger car, van, SUV, or small or large truck was not wearing a seat belt.

84

9

87

2

89

2

92

9

96

8

94

8

14,418

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Unrestrained Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

42

6

40

6

39

9

39

9

39

2

38

4

300

325

350

375

400

425

450

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Unrestrained FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 14: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

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Distracted/Drowsy Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was distracted, using a phone, fatigued, or asleep.

33

0

35

9 39

9 43

9 47

2

46

2

17,343

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Distracted/Drowsy Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

84 86 8

9 91

91

89

60

70

80

90

100

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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Distracted/Drowsy Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

Fatalities in Distracted/Drowsy Driver Crashes 5-Year Average Goal

Page 15: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

14

Aggressive Driving Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver action was classified as aggressive driving under the NHTSA definition (two or moreof the factors shown on Page 36).

30

8

33

4

35

9

38

5

40

8

40

06,889

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Aggressive Driving Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

14

3

13

0.3

12

5.9

12

3.1

12

2.9

12

0.5

100

125

150

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Aggressive Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 16: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

15

Young Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was 16 or 17 years of age.

13

8

14

1

14

7

15

7

16

5

16

2

6,374

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

0

100

200

300

400

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Young Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

38

38

.4

42

.1 43

.5 45

.2

44

.3

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Young Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 17: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

16

Older Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was age 65 or older.

54

1 59

9 64

8 69

5 74

3

72

819,381

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

0

250

500

750

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Older Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

28

0

27

7

27

3

26

3

25

7

25

2

175

200

225

250

275

300

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Older Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 18: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

17

Pedestrian Trends and GoalsIndicates that any person involved in the crash was a pedestrian.

34

5

35

7

37

2 39

9

41

2

40

4

4,222

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Pedestrian Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

16

2.0

16

2.1

16

5.0

16

4.1

16

5.3

16

2.0

100

120

140

160

180

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Pedestrian FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 19: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

18

Bicycle Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a bicycle.

64 7

2 78 8

8 95

93

1,328

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

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Bicycle Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

15

.6

15

.5 16

.4

15

.6

15

.4

15

.1

10

12

14

16

18

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

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Bicycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 20: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

19

Motorcycle Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a motorcycle.

53

7

56

4 60

7

64

6 69

2

67

83,504

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

0

200

400

600

800

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

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Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

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Motorcycle Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

18

9.6

18

5.2

18

5.9

18

4.9

18

4.5

18

0.8

150

175

200

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Motorcycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 21: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

20

Heavy Truck Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a heavy truck any single vehicle with a weighting of10,000 pounds or more.

22

4

23

9

25

6

27

1

28

7

28

2

6,456

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

0

100

200

300

400

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

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Cra

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Su

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Ser

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Heavy Truck Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

15

2.8

15

2.4

15

3.5

15

3.4

15

3.7

15

0.7

100

120

140

160

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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s

Heavy Truck FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 22: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

21

Vehicle Failure Trends and GoalsIndicates that there was a vehicle defect or failure contributing to the crash.

13

9 15

3 17

0 18

6 20

5

20

1

5,630

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

0

50

100

150

200

250

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

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Su

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Ser

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Vehicle Failure Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

56

.8

57

.6 59

.3

59

.6

56

.7

55

.5

50

55

60

65

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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s

Vehicle Failure FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 23: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

22

Vehicle/Train Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a train or trolley.

3.0 3

.4 3.5

3.5 3

.8

3.7

59

0

25

50

75

0

1

2

3

4

5

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

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Su

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Ser

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Vehicle/Train Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

3.4 3

.8 3.9

3.1

2.8

2.7

0

1

2

3

4

5

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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Vehicle/Train FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

Page 24: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

23

Hit Fixed Object Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash took place with a fixed object such as an embankment, a utility pole, a tree, guiderail, etc.

1,1

73

1,1

96

1,2

41

1,2

99

1,3

58

1,3

30

39,269

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

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Su

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Ser

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Hit Fixed Object Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

45

7

42

9

41

3

40

3

38

5

37

8

320

370

420

470

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

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Hit Fixed Object FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

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24

Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Trends and GoalsIndicates that a single vehicle crash occurred on the shoulder, in the median, on the roadside, or outside ofthe traffic way.

1,4

83

1,5

19

1,5

89

1,6

72

1,7

53

1,7

18

46,661

46,000

46,200

46,400

46,600

46,800

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s I

nju

ries

Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

56

9

54

1

52

7

51

8

49

8

48

8

450

500

550

600

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

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25

Intersection Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash occurred at an intersection, including ramps, crossovers, and rail crossings.

1,0

73

1,1

55

1,2

34

1,3

20

1,4

08

1,3

7914,615

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Intersection Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

26

8

26

4

26

9

26

7

26

8

26

3

200

225

250

275

300

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Intersection FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

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26

Head-On Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash type was a head-on or opposite direction side swipe.

46

1

49

2

51

7

54

4

56

5

55

4

6,748

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

0

200

400

600

800

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Head-On Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

16

2

16

4

15

9

15

9

15

3

15

0

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Head-On FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

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27

Local Road Trends and GoalsIndicates that every road was a county or municipal roadway.

76

0

78

9

83

6

88

5

92

5

90

7

31,589

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Rep

orta

ble

Cra

shes

Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Local Road Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes

20

0

19

4

19

3

18

6

17

3

17

0

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021

Fata

litie

s

Local Road FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal

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28

NHTSA Performance Measures

In their 2008 publication Traffic Safety Performance Measures for States and Federal Agencies, the NationalHighway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) outlined ten core outcome measures, one core behavioralmeasure, and three activity measures. It was their recommendation that states annually set goals and reportprogress on the eleven core outcome and behavioral measures, as well as report progress on the activitymeasures.

These performance measures, with one exception, utilize data from the NHTSA Fatality Analysis ReportingSystem (FARS). FARS is a nationwide census providing Congress and the American public systematic, yearlydata regarding fatal injuries suffered in motor vehicle crashes. The exception is the Serious Injuries in TrafficCrashes, which come from state data.

Please note the following:• 2015 is the latest year for which FARS data is available.• 2016 data is State provided

Core Outcome Measures• Traffic Fatalities• Serious Injuries in Traffic Crashes• Fatalities per VMT• Unrestrained Passenger Vehicle Occupant Fatalities• Fatalities in Crashes Involving a Driver or

Motorcycle Operator with a BAC of 0.08 and Above• Speeding-Related Fatalities• Motorcyclist Fatalities• Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatalities• Drivers Age 20 or Younger Involved In Fatal

Crashes• Pedestrian Fatalities

Core Behavior Measure• Observed Seat Belt Use for Passenger Vehicles

Activity Measures• Seat Belt Citations Issued During Grant-Funded

Enforcement Activities• Impaired Driving Arrests Made During Grant-

Funded Enforcement Activities• Speeding Citations Issued During Grant-Funded

Enforcement Activities

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29

NHTSA Performance Measures

1,240 1,220 1,191 1,177

750

1,000

1,250

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Total Traffic FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities 5-Year Average Traffic Fatality Goals

3,2353,484 3,605

3,800

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018Su

spec

ted

Ser

iou

s In

juri

es

Serious Injuries in Traffic Crashes (State Data)Past Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Serious Injury Goals

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30

NHTSA Performance Measures

437 420 399 381

200

250

300

350

400

450

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Unrestrained Passenger Vehicle Occupant FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Unrestrained Fatalities 5-Year Average Unrestrained Fatality Goals

1.311.30

1.28 1.27

1.25

1.22

1.24

1.26

1.28

1.30

1.32

2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015

Fata

lity

Rat

e

Traffic Fatality RatePast Data – Fatalities per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled

5-Year Average Fatality Rate

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31

NHTSA Performance Measures

377

338 332314

300310320330340350360370380

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Impaired Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Alcohol-Impaired Fatalities 5-Year Average Alcohol-Impaired Fatality Goals

566544

513484

450

470

490

510

530

550

570

590

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Speeding-Related FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Speeding-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Speeding-Related Fatality Goals

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32

NHTSA Performance Measures

96 95 91 88

40

60

80

100

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Unhelmeted Motorcyclist FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatalities 5-Year Average Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatality Goals

191 189 180 174

100

150

200

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Motorcycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Motorcyclist Fatalities 5-Year Average Motorcyclist Fatality Goals

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33

NHTSA Performance Measures

154 159 161 163

100

125

150

175

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Pedestrian FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Pedestrian Fatalities 5-Year Average Pedestrian Fatality Goals

159147

131118

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Drivers Age 15-20 Involved In Fatal CrashesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average 15-20 Year Old Driver Fatalities 5-Year Average 15-20 Year Old Driver Fatality Goals

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34

NHTSA Performance Measures

11,66718,415 17,743 15,655

21,674

7,328 9,728 8,685 9,633 11,305

125,076

142,623 140,467

156,773

178,461

0

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

175,000

200,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Cit

atio

ns

and

Arr

ests

Enforcement Efforts During Grant-Funded Enforcement Activities Per Federal Fiscal Year

Seat Belt Citations During Grant Operations DUI Arrests During Grant Operations Speeding Citations During Grant Operations

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35

According to 2015 fatality statistics, almost 10% of all fatalitiesin Pennsylvania involved aggressive driving, while 38% of all fatalities were related to speeding.

While the trend over the past several years has been one of decline, there is still much work to be done to combat aggressive driving and meet our safety goals. In 2015, 473 aggressive driving corridors were targeted for enforcement by participating, police agencies. We expect 250 municipal police agencies and all state police troops to participate in the current year.

Note that an Aggressive Driving Related Crash is defined by NHTSAas a crash containing two or more aggressive driving crash causationfactors, listed on the next page.

Aggressive Driving and Speeding

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Aggressive Driving Crashes are determined based on a crash having any two of the following driving characteristics:- Making an illegal U-Turn - Sudden slowing or stopping - Making improper or careless turns- Turning from the wrong lane - Careless passing or lane change - Proceeding without clearance after stop- Passing in no passing zone - Running a stop sign - Running a red light- Failure to respond to TCD - Tailgating - Making improper entrance to highway- Speeding - Driving too fast for conditions - Making improper exit from highway- Driver fleeing police (police chase)

Aggressive Driving and Speeding

16

0

16

0

16

1

15

1

14

3

12.0%12.6% 12.7%

12.2% 11.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Per

cen

tag

e of

Tot

al F

atal

itie

s

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Aggressive Driving FatalitiesTotal and Percentage of Statewide Fatalities

5-Year Average Fatalities Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities

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37

Aggressive Driving and Speeding

531516 513

484

450

500

550

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Speeding-Related FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Fatality Goals

Indicates that any vehicle was speeding, driving too fast for conditions, or involved in a police chase.

Information provided by the Administrative Office of Pennsylvania Courts

Pennsylvania (PA) Speeding convictions:

• Historically, the PA Courts have convicted as high as 365,309 speeding cases for the year 2008, to as low as 225,638 cases (2013).

• For 2015, the PA Courts have convicted 296,583 cases.

• Currently, the PA Courts (2009-2015) are averaging 278,170 speeding-case, convictions per year.

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38

A significant goal of the Department is the reduction of crashes and fatalities due to impaired driving within the Commonwealth. Almost 35% of fatalities in Pennsylvania were attributable to driving under the influence during 2015.

Progress has been made in this area – the 337 alcohol-related fatalities in 2015 were the second lowest since records for this statistic were started in the 1980s, and were more than a third less than the recent peak in 2002. However, there is much more work to be done:

• Approximately 57% of DUI convictions were for a second or subsequent offense.• Driving while impaired by drugs is increasing; half of all DUI arrests now include at least one charge for driving under the

influence of a drug other than alcohol.

The Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock Law (Act 33 of 2016) retains the requirements for second or subsequent DUI offenders, but now also requires a one-year period of ignition interlock for first-time DUI offenders who had a BAC of 0.10 or higher at the time of arrest. Individuals guilty of chemical breath/blood test refusals are subject to a one-year period of ignition interlock under Act 33 as well

Impaired Driving

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39

Impaired Driving

47

6

44

9

39

2 40

7

34

4

35.8% 35.2%

31.0%32.8%

28.2%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Per

cen

tag

e

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Impaired Driving FatalitiesTotal and Percentage of Statewide Fatalities

5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities

47

6

44

9

39

2

40

7

34

4

0.470.45

0.390.41

0.34

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Fata

lity

Rat

e

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Impaired Driving FatalitiesTotal and Impaired Driving Fatality Rate

5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities 5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatality Rate

.

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40

Impaired Driving

48

1

47

6

44

9

39

2 40

7

34

4

39

8

2,223

2,325

2,4992,402 2,364

2,500

2,289

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

300

400

500

600

2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017

Enfo

rcem

ent

Op

erat

ion

s

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania DUI Enforcement EffectivenessImpaired Driving Fatalities and Enforcement Operations

5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities 5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatality Goals5-Year Average DUI Enforcement Operations 5-Year Average DUI Enforcement Operations Goal

DUI Enforcement Operations include checkpoints and roving patrols.

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41

Impaired Driving

61

,65

7

59

,00

0

55

,78

4

56

,38

7

63

,75

5

13

,94

4

12

,40

0

13

,68

3

14

,30

7

14

,60

4

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

October 2011 -September 2012

October 2012 -September 2013

October 2013 -September 2014

October 2014 -September 2015

October 2015 -September 2016

Mile

s Tr

avel

ed a

nd

Tes

ts

Pas

sed

(x1

00

0)

Pennsylvania’s Ignition Interlock ProgramMiles Traveled and Tests Passed

Vehicle Miles Traveled With Ignition Interlock Devices (x1000) Ignition Interlock Tests Successfully Passed (x1000)

49

,97

0

45

,27

0

43

,71

8

47

,99

3

48

,59

0

4,4

47

4,2

15

4,7

39

5,0

87

4,4

93

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

October 2011 -September 2012

October 2012 -September 2013

October 2013 -September 2014

October 2014 -September 2015

October 2015 -September 2016

Trip

s P

reve

nte

d

Pennsylvania’s Ignition Interlock ProgramTrips Prevented

Trips Prevented With BAC Between 0.025 and 0.099 Trips Prevented With BAC Over 0.100

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42

Impaired Driving

449

416

393

372

346

5,255

5,534

5,642

5,6825,661

5,240

5,340

5,440

5,540

5,640

325

375

425

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Inst

alla

tion

s

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock EffectivenessAlcohol-Related Fatalities and Ignition Interlock Installations

5-Year Average Alcohol-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Ignition Interlock Installations

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43

Impaired Driving

449

416

393

372

34653,364

54,955

57,412

58,509

59,317

53,000

55,500

58,000

60,500

340

380

420

460

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Sob

er M

iles

Dri

ven

(x1

00

0)

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock EffectivenessAlcohol-Related Fatalities and Sober Miles Driven

5-Year Average Alcohol-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Sober Miles Driven (x1000)

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44

• One of Pennsylvania’s top safety priorities is increasing the rate of properly restrained drivers and passengers. The statewide use rate in 2015 was 83%. That year only 11% of crashes involved at least one unbelted person but 30% of people suffering a major injury in a crash and 51% of people killed in a crash were unbelted. According to NHTSA, proper occupant restraint can increase the chance of surviving a crash by up to 60%.

• Pennsylvania law currently allows for primary enforcement of restraint use for drivers and passengers under the age of 18. For those 18 and over, the law allows for secondary enforcement of seat belt use in the front seat of a vehicle only. Pennsylvania is one of only 15 states that does not have a primary seat belt enforcement law covering all ages. Primary seat belt law states average over 90% seat belt use. NHTSA estimates that a 90% seat belt use in PA would save an additional 52 lives, 766 serious injuries, and $227 million in costs each year.

• Pennsylvania’s occupant protection program targets all ages with education and outreach along with high visibility enforcement. The child passenger safety program reaches caregivers, schools and daycares, the medical community, and law enforcement to educate on the proper use of child passenger restraints. A network of certified child passenger safety technicians within communities assist caregivers in proper restraint use, and a network of car seat and booster loan programs receive seats through state funds to loan to families in need.

• The high visibility enforcement program includes funded overtime seat belt enforcement from state and local law enforcement agencies (LEAs) during the two national Click it or Ticket mobilizations. There is also a yearly teen-focused education and enforcement campaign conducted by select local LEAs, and in-kind enforcement from local LEAs during non-mobilization months of the year. Each of these enforcement campaigns are accompanied by national and/or state paid media campaigns, and earned media generated by the PennDOT press office, participating LEAs, and local safety partners.

Occupant Protection

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45

Occupant Protection

82

.7%

85

.2%

85

.7%

86

.0%

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

2015 2016 2017 2018

Sea

t B

elt

Usa

ge

Rat

e

Pennsylvania’s Seat Belt Usage RatePast Data and Future Goals

Seat Belt Usage Rate Seat Belt Usage Rate Goal

The current goal for seat belt rate usage in Pennsylvania is an increase to 90% over the next 20 years (from 83.8% in 2011 to 90.0% in 2031).

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46

Occupant Protection

83

.5%

84

.0%

84

.0%

82

.7%

85

.2%

38.4%35.2%

32.1%34.4% 34.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Per

cen

tag

e of

Tot

al

Sea

t B

elt

Usa

ge

Rat

e

Pennsylvania Seat Belt EffectivenessSeat Belt Usage Rate and Percentage of Unrestrained Fatalities to State Total

Seat Belt Usage Rate Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities

83

.5%

84

.0%

84

.0%

82

.7%

85

.2%

470 384355

378 376

0

100

200

300

400

500

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Sea

t B

elt

Usa

ge

Rat

e

Pennsylvania Seat Belt EffectivenessSeat Belt Usage Rate and Unbelted Front Seat Occupant Fatalities

Seat Belt Usage Rate Unbelted Front Seat Fatalities

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47

Occupant Protection

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sea

t B

elt

Usa

ge

Rat

e

Seat Belt Usage ComparisonsPennsylvania versus Primary Law States, Secondary Law States, and Best Secondary Law State

Pennsylvania Seat Belt Usage Rate Average Seatbelt Use Rate in States with Secondary LawSeatbelt Usage Rate in Best Secondary State Average Seatbelt Use Rate in States with Primary Law

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48

Younger Drivers

130

120

160155

100

125

150

175

2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018

5-Y

ear

Ave

rag

e Fa

talit

ies

Pennsylvania Younger Driver (Age 16-19) FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals

5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Fatality Goals

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49

Commercial Vehicle Safety

Stretching from the shores of Lake Erie to the Delaware River, Pennsylvania serves as the gateway to thepopulation centers of the northeastern United States.

According to the 2016 Pennsylvania Highway Statistics report, the percent of daily vehicle-miles travelled(DVMT), compared to the total of all vehicle miles travelled in Pennsylvania, has increased annually since2010. The number of miles DVMT for trucks has increased annually for the last five years resulting in a 6.6%increase in total vehicle miles travelled by trucks since 2012.

For the purposes of analysis, PennDOT defines a “heavy truck” as any single vehicle with a weighting of10,000 pounds or more.

A heavy truck crash or fatality indicates that any vehicle involved was a heavy truck, and does not reflectcrash causation.

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50

Commercial Vehicle Safety

15

8

15

1

15

4

15

2

15

3

102.3100.6 99.9 99.8 100.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

105.0

110.0

115.0

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Veh

icle

Mile

s Tr

avel

ed (

Bill

ion

s)

Hea

vy T

ruck

Fat

alit

ies

Heavy Truck FatalitiesHeavy Truck Fatalities vs. State Vehicle Miles Traveled

5-Year Average Heavy Truck Fatalities 5-Year Average VMT (Billions)

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51

MotorcyclesPennsylvania is home to a growing population of motorcycle riders. From 2006 to 2015, Pennsylvania saw an8.5 percent increase in motorcyclists and a 16 percent increase in registered motorcycles. Because of theirsize, motorcycles can be easily hidden in blind spots and are easily overlooked by other drivers. The majorityof multivehicle crashes involving a motorcycle over the past four years have had a vehicle other than themotorcycle cited as the prime contributing factor in the crash. Therefore it is important that drivers be awareof motorcycles sharing the road. Additionally, roughly 25 percent of all motorcycle operators killed in a crash inPennsylvania were reported as suspected of drug and or alcohol impairment by law enforcement in 2015.Motorcycle fatalities totaled 179 in 2015, accounting for approximately 15 percent of all traffic fatalities inPennsylvania. Pennsylvania has several programs and efforts in place to stem the rise in motorcycle incidents:

• Pennsylvania’s Share the Road with Motorcycles Campaignencourages motorists to “Watch for Motorcycles” through mediumssuch as billboards, stickers, yard signs, and electronic messageboard messages.

• Live Free Ride Alive is a state-operated safety initiative, including itswebsite, www.LiveFreeRideAlive.com, which is dedicated toinforming the public about motorcycle facts and figures as well asinformation on training programs and motorcycle permit and licensetests.

• Pennsylvania’s Motorcycle Safety Program (www.pamsp.com) hasbeen teaching safe operating practices to riders since 1985. In2015, over 18,200 students were trained at 76 sites across theCommonwealth.

• The PA Motorcycle Safety Program continually updates courses tohelp better prepare riders. Currently, the program offers fourcourses. These courses include: Basic Rider Course, Basic RiderCourse 2, Advanced Rider Course and 3-Wheel Basic Rider Course.

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Motorcycles

409,017 405,209 401,175 401,439 396,841

854,493 860,377 861,077 860,600 857,478

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Reg

istr

atio

ns

and

Lic

ense

s

Pennsylvania MotorcyclistsRegistered Motorcycles and Licensed Motorcyclists

Registered Motorcycles Licensed Motorcyclists

66

.9

67

.4 67

.8

67

.2

66

.9

60

62

64

66

68

70

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Mot

orcy

clis

ts p

er1

,00

0 P

opu

lati

on

Pennsylvania MotorcyclistsLicensed Motorcyclists per 1,000 Population

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53

22.86

23.39

22.58

20.97

20.04

19

20

21

22

23

24

2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015

Fata

lity

Rat

e

Motorcyclist Fatality RateFatalities per 100M VMT

Motorcycles

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54

Motorcycles

2.562.41 2.34

2.23 2.21

1.431.30 1.24 1.23 1.19

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016Fata

litie

s an

d C

rash

es p

erN

um

ber

of

Lice

nse

d

Mot

orcy

clis

ts

Pennsylvania Motorcycle CrashesMotorcyclist Fatalities and Crashes per Number of Licensed Motorcyclists

5-Year Average Fatalities per 10,000 Licensed Motorcyclists 5-Year Average Crashes per 100 Licensed Motorcyclists

Helmet Law Repealed 2003

5.385.06 4.95 4.73 4.71

2.992.74 2.61 2.61 2.55

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016Fata

litie

s an

d C

rash

es p

erN

um

ber

of

Reg

iste

red

M

otor

cycl

es

Pennsylvania Motorcycle CrashesMotorcyclist Fatalities and Crashes per Number of Registered Motorcycles

5-Year Average Fatalities per 10,000 Registered Motorcycles 5-Year Average Crashes per 100 Registered Motorcycles

Helmet Law Repealed 2003

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55

Pennsylvania is home to a vast network of roadways owned by localmunicipalities. These local roads total at approximately 78,000 miles inlength and represent almost two-thirds of the road mileage in thestate.

In 2016, 15% of fatalities and 25% of reportable crashes occurred onlocal roads in Pennsylvania.

With the goal of improving safety on local roads, PennDOT has twoprograms in place within its Local Technical Assistance Program (LTAP):the Local Safe Roads Communities Program and PennDOT DirectedTechnical Assistance Program. Both of these programs are focused onlocal road safety and offer a process of identification andrecommendation for low-cost remediation of high safety risk areas tomunicipal leaders at no cost for the service.

As of July 2016, 114 Local Safe Road Communities Programs and 12PennDOT Technical Assistance Programs(construction-ready, line itemquantities included) have been completed, providing assistance toexamine the municipalities local road system to develop their own localroad safety improvement plan. This program continues to grow andexpand, as more communities are researched. LTAP, District SafetyEngineers, District Bicycle/Pedestrian Coordinators and DistrictMunicipal Service Engineers continue to identify locations to make verylow cost safety improvements.

Local Roads

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56

Local Roads

Local Road Crashes,

31,589, 25%

State Road Crashes,

93,605, 75%

2012-2016 Reportable Crash Distribution

Local Road Fatalities, 200,

16%

State Road Fatalities,

1,021, 84%

2012-2016 Traffic Fatality Distribution

Local Road Mileage77,994

66%

State Road Mileage39,743

34%

Roadway Mileage Distribution

Local Road VMT, 16,679,076,135,

18%

State Road VMT, 76,332,147,050,

82%

Vehicle Miles Traveled Distribution

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Transportation planning is a collaborative effort involving many stakeholders. Some of the most prominentparticipants in the process are the eleven PennDOT Engineering Districts, the 23 Metropolitan and RegionalPlanning Organizations (MPO/RPOs), and one independent county.

Safety Improvement Programs

Note: Highway Safety Summary Reports are developed on an annual basis for all PennDOT Engineering Districts and PlanningOrganizations, and may be obtained through the contact information on the last page of this report.

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58

Safety Improvement Programs

0

50

100

150

200

250

Highway Fatality Trends in Planning Organizations

2012-2016 Average Fatalities 2016 Actual Fatalities 2013-2017 Goals

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Long-term safety improvement projects will be selected by each MPO and RPO based on needs identifiedthrough an examination of the crash data and through cooperation with PennDOT Engineering Districts andMPO/RPO planning partners.

The primary funding mechanism for highway safety improvements are federal Highway Safety ImprovementProgram (HSIP) funds. These funds are allocated within Pennsylvania based on a formula that utilizes safetydata specific to each region, such as crashes and fatalities, in addition to the traditional formula allocationcomponents of vehicle miles traveled and lane miles.

In alignment with the intent of the FAST Act legislation, the HSIP process is geared towards addressinglocations across the state that are identified as High Crash Locations. These locations are identified andranked by analyzing crash data, combining both the fatality and serious injury crash rates.

HSIP projects program locations in the following four step selection process:• Address a location on the State High Crash Location List• Employ a systematic, proven countermeasure, including implementation of Intersection Safety

Implementation Plan and Roadway Departure Safety Implementation Plan• Address a location on the MPO/RPO High Crash Location List• Address a unique location, with executive approval

Additional funding for safety improvements may come through the Low Cost Safety Improvement Program, which is aimed at lower-cost, systematic countermeasures.

Safety Improvement Programs

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60

Provides low cost roadway safety improvements/countermeasures to address areas and locations that have high instances of crashes.

Includes, but is not limited to, the following countermeasures: Centerline/Edgeline Rumble Strips Intersection Improvements Curve Safety Improvements Removal of Frequently Hit Trees Utility Pole Relocation Pedestrian Safety Improvements

Pedestrian Countdown Signals Yield To Pedestrian Channelizing

Devices

Low Cost Safety Improvement Program

(LCSIP)

Highway Safety Improvement Program

(HSIP) HSIP Program funds can be used for medium to

high cost roadway safety improvements/ countermeasures to address areas and locations that have high instances of fatalities and seriousinjuries. HSIP funds can also be used to supplement LCSIP projects.

HSIP projects can also utilize the following systematic proven countermeasures, based on problem identification, in the following priority: Centerline Rumble Strips Edgeline/Shoulder Rumble Strips Intersection Safety Implementation Plan Roadway Departure Safety Implementation

Plan

Safety Improvement Programs

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61

3,231

3,745

4,832 4,952

5,330

5,563

5,814

5,873

165

158

152

148

152

148145 145

140

150

160

170

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve M

iles

Centerline Rumble Strip Miles vs. Head-On Fatalities

Cumulative Miles of Centerline Rumble Strips Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities (5-Year Average)Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities Trendline

Safety Improvement Programs

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62

Safety Improvement Programs

1,552

3,101

4,1014,197

4,4874,579

4,651 4,693

725703

680 665

626612

595

569

500

525

550

575

600

625

650

675

700

725

750

1,500

2,500

3,500

4,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve M

iles

Edge-Line Rumble Strip Miles vs. Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatalities

Cumulative Miles of Edgeline Rumble Strips Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatalities (5-Year Average)Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities Trendline

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14,584

15,156

16,131

17,077

17,871

18,696

19,519

20,064128,584

126,005

125,244

123,684123,280 123,197

124,379125,194

122,500

123,500

124,500

125,500

126,500

127,500

128,500

129,500

14,000

15,500

17,000

18,500

20,000

21,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Cra

shes

(5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve P

roje

cts

Low Cost Safety Improvement Projects vs. Statewide Crashes

Cumulative LCSIP Projects Completed 5-Year Average Crashes Statewide Crashes Trendline

Safety Improvement Programs

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64

7,259

8,1168,198

8,294

8,371

8,4608,498

8,571147

139

130127

117

116

113

108

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

7,250

7,500

7,750

8,000

8,250

8,500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve M

itig

atio

ns

Utility Pole Mitigations vs. Hit Utility Pole Fatalities

Cumulative Utility Pole Mitigations Hit Utility Pole Fatalities (5-Year Average) Hit Utility Pole Fatalities Trendline

Safety Improvement Programs

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582

685

910

988

1,109

1,234

1,295

1,38649,402

48,137

47,276

46,910

46,97946,849 47,001

47,390

46,500

46,750

47,000

47,250

47,500

47,750

48,000

48,250

48,500

48,750

49,000

49,250

49,500

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Cra

shes

(5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve I

mp

rove

men

ts

Intersection Improvements vs. Intersection Crashes

Cumulative Intersection Improvements Completed Intersection Crashes (5-Year Average) Intersection Crashes Trendline

Safety Improvement Programs

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2,919

3,055

3,175

3,425

3,566

3,6363,656 3,694

307

301

282 277

264

258

247

239

235

240

245

250

255

260

265

270

275

280

285

290

295

300

305

310

2,850

2,950

3,050

3,150

3,250

3,350

3,450

3,550

3,650

3,750

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve L

ocat

ion

s

Frequently Hit Tree Removal/Trimming Locations vs. Hit Tree Fatalities

Cumulative Tree Removal/Trimming Locations Hit Tree Fatalities (5-Year Average) Hit Tree Fatalities Trendline

Safety Improvement Programs

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Safety Improvement Programs

1,654

1,741

1,832

1,9442,059

2,362

2,754

2,893

6,028

5,615

5,1505,060

5,280

5,3745,377 5,319

5,000

5,200

5,400

5,600

5,800

6,000

6,200

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

2,600

2,800

3,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve I

mp

rove

men

ts

Curve-Related Improvements vs. Curve Driver Error Crashes

Cumulative Curve-Related Improvements Completed Curve Driver Error Crashes (5-Year Average) Curve Driver Error Crashes Trendline

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Safety Improvement Programs

6,331

7,141

7,726

8,818

9,818

10,818

11,233

11,648

153

150

146

149

150

156

157

162

145

150

155

160

165

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s (5

-Yea

r A

vera

ge)

Cu

mu

lati

ve D

evic

es D

eplo

yed

Yield To Pedestrian Channelizing Devices vs. Pedestrian Fatalities

Cumulative Number of YTPCD Deployed Pedestrian Fatalities (5-Year Average) Curve Driver Error Crashes Trendline

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In order to develop context for the progress Pennsylvania is making in its highway safety improvement efforts, NHTSA FARS data from seven similar states was collected and compared.

Similar states for benchmarking were determined based on the following factors:- Population - Urban/Rural Proportions (Land Area, Population, and VMT)- Land Area - Federal Highway Safety Grant Money Received

The seven similar states for benchmarking are:• Florida• Georgia• Illinois

For comparison purposes, the following safety parameters were compared: Driving Laws 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population Rural and Urban Fatality Rates 5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities Seat Belt Usage Rates

Benchmarking

• Michigan• New York

• North Carolina• Ohio

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70

* No official law** Red light cameras only

State Driving Law Comparison

State Automated EnforcementAggressive

Driving LawsBAC 0.08

MCH (Motorcycle

Helmet)

PSB (Primary Seat Belt

Law)

GDL (Graduated

Drivers License)

ALR (Administrative

License Revocation)

Sober CheckPoint Allowed

Cellphone Hand-held

Ban

Cellphone Texting

Ban

Florida Statewide** Yes 1994 Repealed 2000 2009 Yes 1990 Yes No No

Georgia Statewide** Yes 2001 1969 1996 Yes 1994 Yes No Yes

Illinois Yes No 1997 Repealed 1970 2003 Yes 1986 Yes

Construction and School

ZonesYes

Michigan No No 2003 Repealed 2012 2000 Yes None No No Yes

New York Cities Pop.>1 million.; 150 intersections/city** No 2003 1967 1984 Yes None Yes Yes Yes

North Carolina Some cities** Yes 1993 1968 1985 Yes 1984 Yes No Yes

Ohio Municipalities* No 2003 Repealed 1978 None Yes 1993 Yes No No

Pennsylvania Philadelphia** Yes 2003 Repealed 2003 None Yes None Yes No Yes

Benchmarking

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Benchmarking

0.5

%

2.1

%

-0.3

%

-0.6

%

2.0

%

0.5

%

0.3

% 1.0

%

-4.1

%

-3.0

%

-1.5

%

-0.5

% 1.4

%

-0.9

%

-0.6

% 2.0

%

-5%

-3%

-1%

1%

3%

5%

Per

cen

t R

edu

ctio

n

Percent Reduction of Traffic Fatalities5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data

Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2009-2013 to 2010-2014 Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2010-2014 to 2011-2015

2,4

47

1,2

27

94

1

91

8

1,1

82

1,2

89

1,0

46

1,2

77

2,4

34

1,2

02

94

3

92

4

1,1

58

1,2

83

1,0

43

1,2

65

2,5

33

1,2

38

95

7

92

8

1,1

42

1,2

95

1,0

49

1,2

40

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania

Traf

fic

Fata

litie

s

Traffic Fatalities5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data

5-Year Average Fatalities, 2009 - 2013 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2010 - 2014 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2011 - 2015

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Benchmarking

2.7

9

2.1

7

1.6

2

1.5

3 1.9

3

2.1

2

1.5

4 1.7

8

1.5

9

1.7

9

1.6

9

1.3

3

1.2

5

2.4

5

1.4

9

1.6

9

0.9

1

0.7

4

0.7

3

0.7

7

0.5

9

0.6

6

0.5

9 0.9

1

0.9

6

0.8

2

0.6

3

0.7

6

0.6

6

0.5

4

0.6

4 0.9

1

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania

Fata

lity

Rat

es

Rural and Urban Fatality RatesNHTSA FARS Data

Rural Fatality Rate, 2014 Rural Fatality Rate, 2015 Urban Fatality Rate, 2014 Urban Fatality Rate, 2015

12

.6 14

.8

7.3

9.3

5.9

13

.2

9.0 9.91

2.9 1

5.1

7.4 9

.4

5.8

13

.1

9.1 9.7

0

5

10

15

20

Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania

Traf

fic

Fata

litie

s p

er

10

0,0

00

Pop

ula

tion

Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data

5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population, 2010-2014 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population, 2011-2015

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Benchmarking

89

.0%

97

.0%

94

.0%

93

.0%

91

.0%

91

.0%

85

.0%

83

.6%8

9.0

%

97

.0%

95

.0%

93

.0%

92

.0%

90

.0%

84

.0%

82

.7%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania

Sea

tbel

t U

sag

e R

ate

Seat Belt Usage RateNHTSA FARS Data

Seat Belt Usage Rate, 2014 Seat Belt Usage Rate, 2015

59

2

39

1

26

6

20

1

18

5

37

3

38

1 45

857

1

38

8

26

2

19

7

18

1

37

0

37

7 43

7

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania

Fata

litie

s

Unbelted Fatalities5- Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data

5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities, 2010-2014 5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities, 2011-2015

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Statistical Analysis

The correlation coefficient, r, measures the strength of the relationship between two variables and results in a determination of strong or weak.

If r = 1.0 there is perfect correlation.If r = -1.0 there is perfect negative or inverse correlation.If 0 < r < 1, both variables tend to increase or decrease together.If -1 < r < 0, one variable increases as the other decreases.

The following is a general interpretation of r values (positive and negative):0.0-0.2: Very Weak0.2-0.4: Weak0.4-0.7: Moderate0.9-1.0: Very Strong

The coefficient of determination, r2,is used to give the proportion of the variance (fluctuation) of one variable that is predictable from the other. This coefficient helps to explain how well the regression (trend) line represents the data. For example, if the r2= 0.85, we can say that approximately 85% of the data can be explained, while 15% cannot.

Confidence Interval is the range on either side of the sample mean (trend line) and are used to indicate the reliability of an estimate. The confidence interval lines are limits on either side of the trend line to help predict the next value.

The upper and lower confidence levels at 67.5 and 95 percent parallel the trend line. If both the trend and confidence interval lines are extended you can predict the next value will fall within its respective interval line.

*Please note that in the following chart titles “x” and “y” represent the x axis and the y axis.

Statistical Analysis

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75

Statistical Analysis

1,491 1,468

1,256 1,324 1,286

1,310

1,2081,195

1,2001,188

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Pennsylvania Highway Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 28.54 per year since 2007. r = -0.8724 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.761 (Trend line explains 76.1% of fatalities)

1,540

1,518 1,4711,413

1,365 1,329

1,277

1,265

1,240

1,220

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016

Fata

litie

s

5-Year Average Highway Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 34.37 per year since 2003-2007.

r = -0.9877 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.9756 (Trend line explains 97.56% of fatalities)

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76

Statistical Analysis

559567

451

524509 503

425 383

413408

300

400

500

600

700

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Unrestrained Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 16.8 per year since 2007. r = -0.8506 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.7236 (Trend line explains 72.36% of fatalities)

516 516

419

485462 470

384 355 378 376

200

300

400

500

600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Unbelted Front Seat Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 15.45 per year since 2007. r = -0.8547 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.7306 (Trend line explains 73.06% of fatalities)

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77

Statistical Analysis

604

594

500515 481

476449

392

407

344

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Impaired Driving Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 23.96 per year since 2007. r = -0.9679 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.9368 (Trend line explains 93.68% of fatalities)

95

78 81

85

78

86

7478

88 95

50

75

100

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Distracted/Drowsy Driver Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.16 per year since 2007. r = 0.0754 (Very Weak correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.0057 (Trend line explains 0.57% of fatalities)

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78

Statistical Analysis

192

141130

168 168 191

145 134

119128

75

100

125

150

175

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Aggressive Driving Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.12 per year since 2007. r = -0.5254 (Moderate correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.276 (Trend line explains 27.6% of fatalities)

759699

585

661

579

598

506465

508505

400

500

600

700

800

900

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Speeding-Related Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 25.47 per year since 2007. r = -0.8965 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.8036 (Trend line explains 80.36% of fatalities)

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79

Statistical Analysis

101

6440 57

66

442… 37

3547

0

25

50

75

100

125

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Younger Driver (Age 16-17) Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.96 per year since 2006. r = -0.7602 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.5779 (Trend line explains 57.79% of fatalities)

268

259

276

266

244

276 277

300279

267

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Older Driver (Age 65+) Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 1.72 per year since 2007. r = 0.3977 (Weak correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.1581 (Trend line explains 15.81% of fatalities)

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80

Statistical Analysis

155

142 136148

149

168

151

166

153

172

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Pedestrian Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 2.23 per year since 2007. r = 0.6473 (Moderate correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.419 (Trend line explains 41.9% of fatalities)

20

9

1621

11

16

11

19 16 16

0

5

10

15

20

25

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Bicyclist Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.02 per year since 2007. r = 0.0136 (Very Weak correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.0002 (Trend line explains 0.02% of fatalities)

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81

Statistical Analysis

225

236

204

223

199

210

181 186

179

192

150

175

200

225

250

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Motorcycle Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.91 per year since 2007. r = -0.8376 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.7016 (Trend line explains 70.16% of fatalities)

194184

136 156 155

159

148

151

146

160

125

150

175

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Heavy Truck Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 2.82 per year since 2007. r = -0.5418 (Moderate correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.2936 (Trend line explains 29.36% of fatalities)

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82

Statistical Analysis

34

0 1

6

12

7

4

3

0

2

4

6

8

10

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Train/Vehicle Crash Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.18 per year since 2007. r = 0.2711 (Weak correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.0735 (Trend line explains 7.35% of fatalities)

72

72 76 70 69

54

4854

69

59

40

60

80

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Vehicle Failure (Any Factor) Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 1.79 per year since 2007. r = -0.6256 (Moderate correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.3914 (Trend line explains 39.14% of fatalities)

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83

Statistical Analysis

279

235

197 220 213 203

182 200

233

180150

175

200

225

250

275

300

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Local Road (Only) Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 5.53 per year since 2007. r = -0.63 (Moderate correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.3969 (Trend line explains 39.69% of fatalities)

29

23 23 21 21

22

16

24 24

16

10

20

30

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Work Zone (All People) Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 0.65 per year since 2007. r = -0.5682 (Moderate correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.3229 (Trend line explains 32.29% of fatalities)

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84

Statistical Analysis

726

761

601

665648 648

566534

580

518

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 20.57 per year since 2007. r = -0.8682 (Strong correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.7538 (Trend line explains 75.38% of fatalities)

594

630

511

553529 533

467425

459401

350

450

550

650

750

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Hit Fixed Object Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 19.73 per year since 2007. r = -0.9114 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.8307 (Trend line explains 83.07% of fatalities)

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85

Statistical Analysis

181

159

177 175

156148

178

151

176159

120

145

170

195

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Head On Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 1.13 per year since 2007. r = -0.3041 (Weak correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.0925 (Trend line explains 9.25% of fatalities)

339

287 280 267 270

294

246

271

251

279

200

250

300

350

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fata

litie

s

Intersection Fatality Trend

Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence

Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.78 per year since 2007. r = -0.6201 (Moderate correlation between x and y)

r2 = 0.3845 (Trend line explains 38.45% of fatalities)

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86

Statistical Analysis

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average

2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016

Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg

Percent Change 2009 to 2016

Fatalities 442 444 425 402 369 326 337 297 346 -12% -14% -33%Serious Injuries 840 882 812 872 780 674 682 878 777 29% 13% 5%Total Injuries 9,404 9,155 9,069 9,121 8,434 7,806 7,525 6,183 7,814 -18% -21% -34%

Reportable Crashes 12,547 12,387 11,778 11,924 11,023 10,537 10,549 10,255 10,858 -3% -6% -18%Fatalities 451 524 509 503 425 383 413 408 426 -1% -4% -10%

Serious Injuries 944 893 926 870 871 763 734 1,007 849 37% 19% 7%Total Injuries 16,889 17,229 18,355 17,183 15,630 14,306 14,533 14,756 15,282 2% -3% -13%

Reportable Crashes 15,053 15,442 16,298 15,528 14,436 13,627 13,534 14,992 14,423 11% 4% 0%Fatalities 81 85 78 86 74 78 88 95 84 8% 13% 17%

Serious Injuries 275 347 305 336 271 260 291 491 330 69% 49% 79%Total Injuries 10,992 12,280 12,091 12,686 11,801 11,518 11,957 10,445 11,681 -13% -11% -5%

Reportable Crashes 14,645 16,195 16,712 17,316 16,832 16,543 17,426 18,685 17,360 7% 8% 28%Fatalities 130 168 168 191 145 134 119 128 143 8% -10% -2%

Serious Injuries 250 276 296 288 281 269 276 425 308 54% 38% 70%Total Injuries 4,490 5,341 5,788 6,183 5,793 5,730 5,536 5,408 5,730 -2% -6% 20%

Reportable Crashes 4,763 5,755 6,318 6,744 7,036 6,877 6,761 6,996 6,883 3% 2% 47%

Fatalities 585 661 579 598 506 465 508 505 516 -1% -2% -14%Serious Injuries 1,119 1,096 1,101 1,131 1,028 928 763 1,399 1,050 83% 33% 25%Total Injuries 21,959 21,131 22,035 21,605 21,456 19,921 20,289 17,757 20,206 -12% -12% -19%

Reportable Crashes 31,038 28,627 31,023 30,053 31,569 29,974 31,326 30,946 30,774 -1% 1% 0%Fatalities 40 57 66 44 27 37 35 47 38 34% 24% 18%

Serious Injuries 195 217 183 153 138 108 119 172 138 45% 25% -12%Total Injuries 6,047 5,488 5,152 4,931 4,416 3,783 4,231 4,150 4,302 -2% -4% -31%

Reportable Crashes 7,997 7,105 6,935 6,723 6,419 5,763 6,273 6,671 6,370 6% 5% -17%Fatalities 276 266 244 276 277 300 279 267 280 -4% -5% -3%

Serious Injuries 450 488 432 468 495 496 472 773 541 64% 43% 72%Total Injuries 15,125 15,654 15,503 15,763 16,157 16,175 16,325 16,364 16,157 0% 1% 8%

Reportable Crashes 16,718 17,555 17,603 18,219 18,727 18,805 19,948 21,125 19,365 6% 9% 26%Fatalities 136 148 149 168 151 166 153 172 162 12% 6% 26%

Serious Injuries 296 335 345 361 335 270 328 429 345 31% 24% 45%Total Injuries 4,897 5,115 5,367 5,179 4,988 4,523 4,553 4,402 4,729 -3% -7% -10%

Reportable Crashes 4,214 4,450 4,506 4,537 4,374 4,000 4,001 4,201 4,223 5% -1% 0%Fatalities 16 21 11 16 11 19 16 16 16 0% 0% 0%

Serious Injuries 83 67 66 57 66 46 53 99 64 87% 55% 19%Total Injuries 1,563 1,645 1,490 1,532 1,522 1,425 1,403 1,355 1,447 -3% -6% -13%

Reportable Crashes 1,401 1,483 1,316 1,373 1,384 1,309 1,272 1,305 1,329 3% -2% -7%

Youn

ger

Driv

ers

Old

er

Driv

ers

Pede

stria

nBi

cycl

esAg

gres

sive

Driv

ing Aggressive

Driving

Speeding-Related

Age 16-17 Driver

Age 65+ Driver

Pedestrian

Bicyclist

Strategic Focus Areas

Unre-strained

Distracted/Drowsy Driver

Impa

ired

Driv

ing

Alcohol-Related

Occ

upan

t Pr

otec

tion

Dis

trac

ted/

Dro

wsy

D

rivin

g

Page 88: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

87

Statistical Analysis

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average

2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016

Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg

Percent Change 2009 to 2016

Fatalities 204 223 199 210 181 186 179 192 190 7% 1% -6%Serious Injuries 553 600 544 572 478 480 437 720 537 65% 34% 30%Total Injuries 4,038 4,305 3,932 4,296 3,611 3,501 3,619 2,927 3,591 -19% -18% -28%

Reportable Crashes 3,742 4,016 3,637 3,985 3,427 3,284 3,413 3,454 3,513 1% -2% -8%Fatalities 136 156 155 159 148 151 146 160 153 10% 5% 18%

Serious Injuries 192 222 230 216 203 207 193 299 224 55% 33% 56%Total Injuries 3,649 4,182 4,323 4,143 4,066 4,238 4,364 4,027 4,168 -8% -3% 10%

Reportable Crashes 5,262 5,844 6,344 5,889 6,121 6,596 6,916 6,740 6,452 -3% 4% 28%Fatalities 0 1 6 1 2 7 4 3 3 -25% 0% #DIV/0!

Serious Injuries 2 2 4 2 3 4 2 4 3 100% 33% 100%Total Injuries 182 148 87 131 73 104 87 59 91 -32% -35% -68%

Reportable Crashes 73 76 54 59 55 74 54 52 59 -4% -12% -29%Fatalities 23 21 21 22 16 24 24 16 20 -33% -20% -30%

Serious Injuries 46 57 51 44 39 35 36 59 43 64% 37% 28%Total Injuries 1,122 1,505 1,425 1,227 1,354 1,322 1,396 1,320 1,324 -5% 0% 18%

Reportable Crashes 1,519 1,884 1,811 1,661 1,845 1,845 1,935 2,075 1,872 7% 11% 37%Fatalities 197 220 213 203 182 200 233 180 200 -23% -10% -9%

Serious Injuries 801 850 746 800 689 660 689 963 760 40% 27% 20%Total Injuries 25,387 23,849 23,216 24,079 22,319 21,195 21,800 21,566 22,192 -1% -3% -15%

Reportable Crashes 33,197 32,970 30,766 31,922 31,567 30,138 32,011 32,309 31,589 1% 2% -3%Fatalities 511 553 529 533 467 425 459 401 457 -13% -12% -22%

Serious Injuries 1,305 1,225 1,248 1,272 1,133 1,038 1,011 1,413 1,173 40% 20% 8%Total Injuries 23,009 21,595 22,485 21,936 21,516 19,824 20,178 17,823 20,255 -12% -12% -23%

Reportable Crashes 40,793 37,522 40,102 39,185 40,360 38,551 39,885 38,244 39,245 -4% -3% -6%

Fatalities 253 295 252 267 254 221 240 211 239 -12% -12% -17%Serious Injuries 511 586 497 517 493 411 418 566 481 35% 18% 11%Total Injuries 6,654 6,567 6,658 6,660 6,379 5,770 5,753 5,001 5,913 -13% -15% -25%

Reportable Crashes 9,771 9,070 9,543 9,633 9,753 8,937 9,092 8,818 9,247 -3% -5% -10%

Fatalities 117 127 121 118 103 113 111 97 108 -13% -10% -17%Serious Injuries 353 303 294 350 285 281 270 362 310 34% 17% 3%Total Injuries 6,306 5,617 6,024 5,970 5,707 5,341 5,586 4,963 5,513 -11% -10% -21%

Reportable Crashes 9,293 8,334 9,200 9,093 9,015 8,929 9,243 8,784 9,013 -5% -3% -5%

Fatalities 149 133 162 137 116 111 113 130 121 15% 7% -13%Serious Injuries 262 219 266 265 267 205 217 298 250 37% 19% 14%Total Injuries 4,187 4,047 4,252 3,673 3,535 3,562 3,487 2,976 3,447 -15% -14% -29%

Reportable Crashes 7,017 6,653 7,189 6,859 7,014 7,036 7,422 6,863 7,039 -8% -3% -2%

Strategic Focus Areas

Mot

orcy

cle

Hit

Fixe

d O

bjec

tH

eavy

Tr

uck

Vehi

cle/

Tr

ain

Wor

k Zo

neLo

cal R

oad

Hit Utility Pole

Hit Guide Rail

Hit Fixed Object

Hit Tree

Motor-cyclist

Heavy Truck

Vehicle/ Train

Work Zone

Local Road

Page 89: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report

88

Statistical Analysis

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average

2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016

Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg

Percent Change 2009 to 2016

Fatalities 601 665 648 648 566 534 580 518 569 -11% -9% -14%Serious Injuries 1,598 1,573 1,575 1,607 1,405 1,303 1,274 1,825 1,483 43% 23% 14%Total Injuries 28,058 26,793 27,840 27,136 26,315 23,935 24,547 21,792 24,745 -11% -12% -22%

Reportable Crashes 48,345 45,256 48,120 46,928 47,736 45,342 47,331 45,868 46,641 -3% -2% -5%Fatalities 177 175 156 148 178 151 176 159 162 -10% -2% -10%

Serious Injuries 443 451 451 419 440 419 438 588 461 34% 28% 33%Total Injuries 8,225 7,587 7,496 7,195 6,649 6,495 6,905 6,605 6,770 -4% -2% -20%

Reportable Crashes 7,419 6,964 7,162 6,542 6,549 6,359 6,941 7,326 6,743 6% 9% -1%

Fatalities 75 84 48 40 21 25 40 11 27 -73% -59% -85%Serious Injuries 78 84 76 63 50 62 70 23 54 -67% -57% -71%Total Injuries 882 909 883 889 699 798 852 165 681 -81% -76% -81%

Reportable Crashes 908 928 900 865 737 838 840 164 689 -80% -76% -82%Fatalities 280 267 270 294 246 271 251 279 268 11% 4% 0%

Serious Injuries 1,035 1,021 982 1,029 1,010 947 915 1,465 1,073 60% 37% 42%Total Injuries 41,471 41,791 42,275 42,298 39,862 37,657 38,262 39,093 39,434 2% -1% -6%

Reportable Crashes 45,711 46,273 47,618 47,957 47,334 45,064 47,033 49,562 47,390 5% 5% 8%

Fatalities 82 90 87 86 82 80 86 102 87 19% 17% 24%Serious Injuries 330 372 336 343 384 341 338 574 396 70% 45% 74%Total Injuries 18,228 18,395 18,863 19,005 17,757 17,150 17,490 17,680 17,816 1% -1% -3%

Reportable Crashes 17,992 18,252 18,994 19,218 18,840 18,281 19,035 19,853 19,045 4% 4% 10%

Fatalities 128 87 104 108 99 105 89 103 101 16% 2% -20%Serious Injuries 364 328 316 329 297 297 288 435 329 51% 32% 20%Total Injuries 12,623 13,117 12,785 12,443 12,122 11,626 11,331 11,831 11,871 4% 0% -6%

Reportable Crashes 14,444 14,778 14,545 14,397 14,721 14,329 14,398 15,200 14,609 6% 4% 5%Fatalities 1,256 1,324 1,286 1,310 1,208 1,195 1,200 1,188 1,220 -1% -3% -5%

Serious Injuries 3,498 3,556 3,402 3,455 3,248 3,040 3,030 4,397 3,434 45% 28% 26%Total Injuries 94,635 95,129 95,737 94,762 90,215 86,527 89,131 86,162 89,359 -3% -4% -9%

Reportable Crashes 121,721 121,217 125,322 124,062 124,077 121,309 127,127 129,395 125,194 2% 3% 6%

TOTAL

TOTA

L

Intersection

Strategic Focus Areas

Run-

Off-

Road

Single Vehicle Run-

Off-Road

Hea

d O

n

Head On

Cross Median

Inte

rsec

tion

Signalized Intersection

Stop Controlled

Intersection

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89

Methodology: Fatality Rate and Suspected Serious Injury Rate

After 2016 Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) count was increased by 1% (Projection for the upcoming year).

Note: A 1% increase was determined in observation of historical trends in VMT.

Fatality Rate Projection is calculated by:

1. The most recent year, fatality count is reduced by 2% (Targeted fatality count for the upcoming year).2. The fatality rate per 100 million VMT is calculated for each of the 5 most recent consecutive years ending

in the year for which the targets are established.3. The fatality rates (Rounded to the hundredth decimal place) are added together.4. The sum of the fatality rates is divided by five and rounded to the thousandth decimal place.

Suspected Serious Injury Rate Projection is calculated by:

1. The most recent year, suspected serious injury count is reduced by 2% (Targeted suspected serious injurycount for the upcoming year).

2. The suspected serious injury rate per 100 million VMT is calculated for each of the 5 most recentconsecutive years ending in the year for which the targets are established.

3. The suspected serious injury rates (Rounded to the hundredth decimal place) are added together.4. The sum of the suspected serious injury rates is divided by five and rounded to the thousandth decimal

place.

Safety Performance Management MeasuresAgency/Docket Number: FHWA-2013-0020

Document number: 2016-05202Document Citation: 81 FR 13881

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Highway Safety Manual Tools and Resources

In January 2016 Penn State University completed research for Pennsylvania Regionalized Safety Performance Factors (SPFs). These regionalized SPFs allow for a more accurate way to predict crash frequencies. Pennsylvania continues to strive for more Data Driven Safety Analysis using the Highway Safety Manual (HSM). The following tools and resources are now available through the ECMS, File Cabinet.

Folder Name Version File ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool A 9/1/2017 Primary (Pa Specific) Crash Frequency

Analysis tool

ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool B 9/1/2017

Alternatives and Safety Benefit Tool (Requires file export from PennDOT HSM Tool A)

ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool User Manual 8/1/2016 Guide: In reference to PennDOT HSM Tool

A & BADV-General Requirements

Regionalized Safety Performance Functions Report 8/1/2016 Reference to the development of PA

specific, Safety Performance Functions.

The ECMS Home page is at the following hyperlink:https://www.dot14.state.pa.us/ECMS/

(If you do not have password access to ECMS you may log-in as a guest.)After logging onto ECMS you will need to click on the “References” link (the last tab on the dark-blue task-bar). In the drop-down menu, click on “File Cabinet”.

HSM Tools and Resource contacts:

John GrigalonisCivil Engineer, TransportationPennDOT Bureau of Maintenance & Operations(717) [email protected]

Jason HershockManager – Safety Engineering & Risk Management UnitPennDOT Bureau of Maintenance & Operations(717) [email protected]