state of highway safety summary report - penndot home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not...
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State of Highway Safety Summary ReportCommonwealth of Pennsylvania
14th Edition –October 2017
Glenn Rowe, PEDivision Chief– Highway Safety and
Traffic Operations Division
Gavin Gray, PEChief – Highway Safety Section
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Table of Contents
Description PageLetter from the Secretary of Transportation 2
Executive Summary 3
Reaching Our Goals 4
Fatality and Crash Trends 5
NHTSA Performance Measures 28
Aggressive Driving and Speeding 35
Impaired Driving 38
Occupant Protection 44
Younger Drivers 48
Commercial Vehicle Safety 49
Motorcycles 51
Local Roads 55
Safety Improvement Programs 57
Benchmarking 69
Statistical Analysis 74
Projection Methodology Fatality Rate 89
Highway Safety Manual Tools and Resources 90
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Letter from the Secretary of Transportation
Championing highway safety is our ongoing mission at PennDOT. In our pursuit of Zero Fatalities, we experience inevitable ups and downs. We are encouraged that Pennsylvania has bucked a national trend and has seen its statewide fatality figures drop while nationally the numbers are up. In fact, our 2016 number of 1,188 was the lowest since record keeping began in 1928. Meanwhile, fatalities in distracted driver crashes continue to rise, up to 69 from 66 in 2015 and 55 in 2014. Our major concern is that the distracted driving problem may be underreported as it is all too easy to mask the true cause of a distracted driving crash. Through continuous safety messaging and enforcement, we hope this trend will reverse in the immediate future.
Our work goes on. With combined federal and state resources of roughly $100 million a year, we upgrade our infrastructure to make it as safe as possible, we underwrite enforcement actions and spread the safety message through media outlets and in various outreach efforts with our own staff and partners. The key, of course, is individual drivers and the decisions they make to set the distractions aside, always wear seat belts, obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired.
This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report provides the details of how we carry out this mission, and I invite you to take the time to see where we stand. It is important to remember, as we work towards our goal, that every life lost in a crash means a gap in our future, an individual and his or her talents and contributions gone from here forever. And thus, we are all diminished. We work hard to keep these losses to a minimum. PennDOT is committed to protecting all Pennsylvanians throughout our transportation network, and together our work will create a safer future.
Thank you.
Leslie S. RichardsPennDOT Secretary
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The State of Highway Safety Summary Report is intended to provide a snapshot of current trends, futuregoals, and the strategies needed to improve highway safety in the Commonwealth. Contained within thisreport are safety statistics tracked internally and by national safety partners, information on several safetyfocus areas, information on the effectiveness of safety countermeasures, and comparisons to the progress ofseveral benchmarking states.
The fatality and suspected serious injury goals presented on the following pages were developed in line withour statewide vision, mission, and goal statements (using 2012-2016 as a baseline year):
VisionProactively work toward zero deaths on our roads while fostering an environment
that encourages safe behavior.
MissionOur mission is to improve highway safety by developing and implementing
education, enforcement, engineering and emergency medical service strategies.
GoalReduce average fatalities and serious injuries to support the national effort of
ending fatalities on our nations roads within the next 30 years.
Executive Summary
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Reaching Our GoalsOur goal is to reduce the five-year average number of fatalities from 2012-2016 (1,220.2 average per year)through 2017-2021 (1,118.5 average per year).
PennDOT has developed a 2017 Strategic Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) to help reach this goal. The SHSPtargets priority Safety Focus Areas and strategies/actions to reduce highway fatalities on Pennsylvania’sroadways. For each recommended strategy, action items have been established to identify measuresnecessary to successfully improve safety in each Safety Focus Area.
1,2
20
.2
1,1
91
.0
1,1
77
.6
1,1
62
.2
1,1
41
.4
1,1
18
.51,000
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
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Pennsylvania’s Highway Fatality Reduction Goals2% Reduction Per Year Through 2021
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Fatality and Crash Trends
1,2
20
.2
1,1
91
.0
1,1
77
.6
1,1
62
.2
1,1
41
.4
1,1
18
.5
1,000
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Highway Fatalities5-Year Averages - Past Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
1,310
1,2081,195 1,200
1,1881,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Highway FatalitiesAnnual Totals
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Fatality and Crash Trends
See Page 90 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.
1.2
20
1.18
5
1.16
1
1.13
6
1.10
7
1.07
4
1.04
1.05
1.06
1.07
1.08
1.09
1.10
1.11
1.12
1.13
1.14
1.15
1.16
1.17
1.18
1.19
1.20
1.21
1.22
1.23
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
liti
y R
ate
(5-Y
ear
Ave
rag
e)
Pennsylvania Five-Year Average Fatality RateFatalities per Hundred Million Vehicle Miles Traveled
Past Data and Future Projections
5-Year Average Fatality Rate 5-Year Average Goal
See Page 89 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.
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Fatality and Crash Trends
10
.5
10
.0
9.9
9.7
9.6
9
10
11
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Fata
litie
s p
er 1
00
,00
0 P
opu
lati
on
Pennsylvania Highway Fatalities per 100,000 Population5-Year Averages
2016 population data was acquired through the United States Census Bureau
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Fatality and Crash Trends
3,4
34
.0
3,6
04
.8
3,7
99
.8
4,0
19
.5
4,2
24
.6
4,1
40
.1
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Pennsylvania Suspected Serious InjuriesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal
3,441
3,248
3,050 3,030
4,397
2,750
3,000
3,250
3,500
3,750
4,000
4,250
4,500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Pennsylvania Suspected Serious InjuriesAnnual Totals
In compliance with the FAST Act requirements, PennDOT has adopted newMMUCC standards. Since 2016, the new standards have changed the
definition of serious injuries. This change added crashes previously classified as moderate or minor into the suspected serious injury category.
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9
3.4
33
3.58
6
3.74
6
3.93
0
4.09
6
3.97
5
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
4.1
4.2
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
jury
Rat
e (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Pennsylvania Five-Year Average Suspected Serious Injury RateSerious Injuries per Hundred Million Vehicle Miles Traveled
Past Data and Future Projections
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injury Rate 5-Year Average Goal
Fatality and Crash Trends
See Page 89 for a description of the methodology used to calculate the projected rates.
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10
Fatality and Crash Trends
12
3,6
84
12
3,2
80
12
3,1
97
12
4,3
79
12
5,1
94
115,000
120,000
125,000
130,000
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Pennsylvania Reportable CrashesPast Data
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Impaired Driving Trends and GoalsIncludes crashes involving any driver which was suspected of drinking by police or had a measured BAC of 0.01% orgreater. These crashes could also include those which involved any driver suspected of illegal drug or medication use.
92
7 93
9
95
7
99
3
1,0
27
1,0
07
12,913
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Impaired Driving Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
41
3
38
4
36
0
34
6 32
8
32
1
300
325
350
375
400
425
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Impaired Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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12
Unrestrained Trends and GoalsIndicates that any person in a passenger car, van, SUV, or small or large truck was not wearing a seat belt.
84
9
87
2
89
2
92
9
96
8
94
8
14,418
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Unrestrained Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
42
6
40
6
39
9
39
9
39
2
38
4
300
325
350
375
400
425
450
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Unrestrained FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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13
Distracted/Drowsy Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was distracted, using a phone, fatigued, or asleep.
33
0
35
9 39
9 43
9 47
2
46
2
17,343
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Distracted/Drowsy Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
84 86 8
9 91
91
89
60
70
80
90
100
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Distracted/Drowsy Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
Fatalities in Distracted/Drowsy Driver Crashes 5-Year Average Goal
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14
Aggressive Driving Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver action was classified as aggressive driving under the NHTSA definition (two or moreof the factors shown on Page 36).
30
8
33
4
35
9
38
5
40
8
40
06,889
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Aggressive Driving Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
14
3
13
0.3
12
5.9
12
3.1
12
2.9
12
0.5
100
125
150
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Aggressive Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Young Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was 16 or 17 years of age.
13
8
14
1
14
7
15
7
16
5
16
2
6,374
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
0
100
200
300
400
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Young Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
38
38
.4
42
.1 43
.5 45
.2
44
.3
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Young Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Older Driver Trends and GoalsIndicates that any driver involved in the crash was age 65 or older.
54
1 59
9 64
8 69
5 74
3
72
819,381
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
0
250
500
750
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Older Driver Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
28
0
27
7
27
3
26
3
25
7
25
2
175
200
225
250
275
300
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Older Driver FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Pedestrian Trends and GoalsIndicates that any person involved in the crash was a pedestrian.
34
5
35
7
37
2 39
9
41
2
40
4
4,222
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Pedestrian Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
16
2.0
16
2.1
16
5.0
16
4.1
16
5.3
16
2.0
100
120
140
160
180
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Pedestrian FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Bicycle Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a bicycle.
64 7
2 78 8
8 95
93
1,328
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
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Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
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juri
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Bicycle Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
15
.6
15
.5 16
.4
15
.6
15
.4
15
.1
10
12
14
16
18
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Bicycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Motorcycle Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a motorcycle.
53
7
56
4 60
7
64
6 69
2
67
83,504
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
0
200
400
600
800
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
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Cra
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Su
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Ser
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Motorcycle Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
18
9.6
18
5.2
18
5.9
18
4.9
18
4.5
18
0.8
150
175
200
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Motorcycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Heavy Truck Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a heavy truck any single vehicle with a weighting of10,000 pounds or more.
22
4
23
9
25
6
27
1
28
7
28
2
6,456
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
100
200
300
400
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
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Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
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Heavy Truck Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
15
2.8
15
2.4
15
3.5
15
3.4
15
3.7
15
0.7
100
120
140
160
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Heavy Truck FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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Vehicle Failure Trends and GoalsIndicates that there was a vehicle defect or failure contributing to the crash.
13
9 15
3 17
0 18
6 20
5
20
1
5,630
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
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Cra
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Su
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ted
Ser
iou
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es
Vehicle Failure Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
56
.8
57
.6 59
.3
59
.6
56
.7
55
.5
50
55
60
65
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Vehicle Failure FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
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22
Vehicle/Train Trends and GoalsIndicates that any vehicle involved in the crash was a train or trolley.
3.0 3
.4 3.5
3.5 3
.8
3.7
59
0
25
50
75
0
1
2
3
4
5
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Vehicle/Train Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
3.4 3
.8 3.9
3.1
2.8
2.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Vehicle/Train FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 24: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
23
Hit Fixed Object Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash took place with a fixed object such as an embankment, a utility pole, a tree, guiderail, etc.
1,1
73
1,1
96
1,2
41
1,2
99
1,3
58
1,3
30
39,269
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Hit Fixed Object Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
45
7
42
9
41
3
40
3
38
5
37
8
320
370
420
470
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Hit Fixed Object FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 25: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
24
Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Trends and GoalsIndicates that a single vehicle crash occurred on the shoulder, in the median, on the roadside, or outside ofthe traffic way.
1,4
83
1,5
19
1,5
89
1,6
72
1,7
53
1,7
18
46,661
46,000
46,200
46,400
46,600
46,800
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s I
nju
ries
Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
56
9
54
1
52
7
51
8
49
8
48
8
450
500
550
600
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 26: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
25
Intersection Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash occurred at an intersection, including ramps, crossovers, and rail crossings.
1,0
73
1,1
55
1,2
34
1,3
20
1,4
08
1,3
7914,615
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Intersection Suspected Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
26
8
26
4
26
9
26
7
26
8
26
3
200
225
250
275
300
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Intersection FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 27: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
26
Head-On Trends and GoalsIndicates that the crash type was a head-on or opposite direction side swipe.
46
1
49
2
51
7
54
4
56
5
55
4
6,748
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
0
200
400
600
800
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Head-On Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
16
2
16
4
15
9
15
9
15
3
15
0
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Head-On FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 28: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
27
Local Road Trends and GoalsIndicates that every road was a county or municipal roadway.
76
0
78
9
83
6
88
5
92
5
90
7
31,589
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Rep
orta
ble
Cra
shes
Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Local Road Serious Injuries and Reportable CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Suspected Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Goal 5-Year Average Reportable Crashes
20
0
19
4
19
3
18
6
17
3
17
0
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018 2015-2019 2016-2020 2017-2021
Fata
litie
s
Local Road FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Goal
![Page 29: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
28
NHTSA Performance Measures
In their 2008 publication Traffic Safety Performance Measures for States and Federal Agencies, the NationalHighway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) outlined ten core outcome measures, one core behavioralmeasure, and three activity measures. It was their recommendation that states annually set goals and reportprogress on the eleven core outcome and behavioral measures, as well as report progress on the activitymeasures.
These performance measures, with one exception, utilize data from the NHTSA Fatality Analysis ReportingSystem (FARS). FARS is a nationwide census providing Congress and the American public systematic, yearlydata regarding fatal injuries suffered in motor vehicle crashes. The exception is the Serious Injuries in TrafficCrashes, which come from state data.
Please note the following:• 2015 is the latest year for which FARS data is available.• 2016 data is State provided
Core Outcome Measures• Traffic Fatalities• Serious Injuries in Traffic Crashes• Fatalities per VMT• Unrestrained Passenger Vehicle Occupant Fatalities• Fatalities in Crashes Involving a Driver or
Motorcycle Operator with a BAC of 0.08 and Above• Speeding-Related Fatalities• Motorcyclist Fatalities• Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatalities• Drivers Age 20 or Younger Involved In Fatal
Crashes• Pedestrian Fatalities
Core Behavior Measure• Observed Seat Belt Use for Passenger Vehicles
Activity Measures• Seat Belt Citations Issued During Grant-Funded
Enforcement Activities• Impaired Driving Arrests Made During Grant-
Funded Enforcement Activities• Speeding Citations Issued During Grant-Funded
Enforcement Activities
![Page 30: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
29
NHTSA Performance Measures
1,240 1,220 1,191 1,177
750
1,000
1,250
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Total Traffic FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities 5-Year Average Traffic Fatality Goals
3,2353,484 3,605
3,800
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018Su
spec
ted
Ser
iou
s In
juri
es
Serious Injuries in Traffic Crashes (State Data)Past Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Serious Injuries 5-Year Average Serious Injury Goals
![Page 31: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
30
NHTSA Performance Measures
437 420 399 381
200
250
300
350
400
450
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Unrestrained Passenger Vehicle Occupant FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Unrestrained Fatalities 5-Year Average Unrestrained Fatality Goals
1.311.30
1.28 1.27
1.25
1.22
1.24
1.26
1.28
1.30
1.32
2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015
Fata
lity
Rat
e
Traffic Fatality RatePast Data – Fatalities per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled
5-Year Average Fatality Rate
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31
NHTSA Performance Measures
377
338 332314
300310320330340350360370380
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Impaired Driving FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Alcohol-Impaired Fatalities 5-Year Average Alcohol-Impaired Fatality Goals
566544
513484
450
470
490
510
530
550
570
590
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Speeding-Related FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Speeding-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Speeding-Related Fatality Goals
![Page 33: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
32
NHTSA Performance Measures
96 95 91 88
40
60
80
100
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Unhelmeted Motorcyclist FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatalities 5-Year Average Unhelmeted Motorcyclist Fatality Goals
191 189 180 174
100
150
200
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Motorcycle FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Motorcyclist Fatalities 5-Year Average Motorcyclist Fatality Goals
![Page 34: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
33
NHTSA Performance Measures
154 159 161 163
100
125
150
175
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Pedestrian FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Pedestrian Fatalities 5-Year Average Pedestrian Fatality Goals
159147
131118
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Drivers Age 15-20 Involved In Fatal CrashesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average 15-20 Year Old Driver Fatalities 5-Year Average 15-20 Year Old Driver Fatality Goals
![Page 35: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
34
NHTSA Performance Measures
11,66718,415 17,743 15,655
21,674
7,328 9,728 8,685 9,633 11,305
125,076
142,623 140,467
156,773
178,461
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
175,000
200,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cit
atio
ns
and
Arr
ests
Enforcement Efforts During Grant-Funded Enforcement Activities Per Federal Fiscal Year
Seat Belt Citations During Grant Operations DUI Arrests During Grant Operations Speeding Citations During Grant Operations
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35
According to 2015 fatality statistics, almost 10% of all fatalitiesin Pennsylvania involved aggressive driving, while 38% of all fatalities were related to speeding.
While the trend over the past several years has been one of decline, there is still much work to be done to combat aggressive driving and meet our safety goals. In 2015, 473 aggressive driving corridors were targeted for enforcement by participating, police agencies. We expect 250 municipal police agencies and all state police troops to participate in the current year.
Note that an Aggressive Driving Related Crash is defined by NHTSAas a crash containing two or more aggressive driving crash causationfactors, listed on the next page.
Aggressive Driving and Speeding
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36
Aggressive Driving Crashes are determined based on a crash having any two of the following driving characteristics:- Making an illegal U-Turn - Sudden slowing or stopping - Making improper or careless turns- Turning from the wrong lane - Careless passing or lane change - Proceeding without clearance after stop- Passing in no passing zone - Running a stop sign - Running a red light- Failure to respond to TCD - Tailgating - Making improper entrance to highway- Speeding - Driving too fast for conditions - Making improper exit from highway- Driver fleeing police (police chase)
Aggressive Driving and Speeding
16
0
16
0
16
1
15
1
14
3
12.0%12.6% 12.7%
12.2% 11.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Per
cen
tag
e of
Tot
al F
atal
itie
s
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Aggressive Driving FatalitiesTotal and Percentage of Statewide Fatalities
5-Year Average Fatalities Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities
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37
Aggressive Driving and Speeding
531516 513
484
450
500
550
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Speeding-Related FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Fatality Goals
Indicates that any vehicle was speeding, driving too fast for conditions, or involved in a police chase.
Information provided by the Administrative Office of Pennsylvania Courts
Pennsylvania (PA) Speeding convictions:
• Historically, the PA Courts have convicted as high as 365,309 speeding cases for the year 2008, to as low as 225,638 cases (2013).
• For 2015, the PA Courts have convicted 296,583 cases.
• Currently, the PA Courts (2009-2015) are averaging 278,170 speeding-case, convictions per year.
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38
A significant goal of the Department is the reduction of crashes and fatalities due to impaired driving within the Commonwealth. Almost 35% of fatalities in Pennsylvania were attributable to driving under the influence during 2015.
Progress has been made in this area – the 337 alcohol-related fatalities in 2015 were the second lowest since records for this statistic were started in the 1980s, and were more than a third less than the recent peak in 2002. However, there is much more work to be done:
• Approximately 57% of DUI convictions were for a second or subsequent offense.• Driving while impaired by drugs is increasing; half of all DUI arrests now include at least one charge for driving under the
influence of a drug other than alcohol.
The Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock Law (Act 33 of 2016) retains the requirements for second or subsequent DUI offenders, but now also requires a one-year period of ignition interlock for first-time DUI offenders who had a BAC of 0.10 or higher at the time of arrest. Individuals guilty of chemical breath/blood test refusals are subject to a one-year period of ignition interlock under Act 33 as well
Impaired Driving
![Page 40: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
39
Impaired Driving
47
6
44
9
39
2 40
7
34
4
35.8% 35.2%
31.0%32.8%
28.2%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Per
cen
tag
e
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Impaired Driving FatalitiesTotal and Percentage of Statewide Fatalities
5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities
47
6
44
9
39
2
40
7
34
4
0.470.45
0.390.41
0.34
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Fata
lity
Rat
e
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Impaired Driving FatalitiesTotal and Impaired Driving Fatality Rate
5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities 5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatality Rate
.
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40
Impaired Driving
48
1
47
6
44
9
39
2 40
7
34
4
39
8
2,223
2,325
2,4992,402 2,364
2,500
2,289
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
300
400
500
600
2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017
Enfo
rcem
ent
Op
erat
ion
s
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania DUI Enforcement EffectivenessImpaired Driving Fatalities and Enforcement Operations
5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatalities 5-Year Average Impaired Driving Fatality Goals5-Year Average DUI Enforcement Operations 5-Year Average DUI Enforcement Operations Goal
DUI Enforcement Operations include checkpoints and roving patrols.
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41
Impaired Driving
61
,65
7
59
,00
0
55
,78
4
56
,38
7
63
,75
5
13
,94
4
12
,40
0
13
,68
3
14
,30
7
14
,60
4
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
October 2011 -September 2012
October 2012 -September 2013
October 2013 -September 2014
October 2014 -September 2015
October 2015 -September 2016
Mile
s Tr
avel
ed a
nd
Tes
ts
Pas
sed
(x1
00
0)
Pennsylvania’s Ignition Interlock ProgramMiles Traveled and Tests Passed
Vehicle Miles Traveled With Ignition Interlock Devices (x1000) Ignition Interlock Tests Successfully Passed (x1000)
49
,97
0
45
,27
0
43
,71
8
47
,99
3
48
,59
0
4,4
47
4,2
15
4,7
39
5,0
87
4,4
93
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
October 2011 -September 2012
October 2012 -September 2013
October 2013 -September 2014
October 2014 -September 2015
October 2015 -September 2016
Trip
s P
reve
nte
d
Pennsylvania’s Ignition Interlock ProgramTrips Prevented
Trips Prevented With BAC Between 0.025 and 0.099 Trips Prevented With BAC Over 0.100
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42
Impaired Driving
449
416
393
372
346
5,255
5,534
5,642
5,6825,661
5,240
5,340
5,440
5,540
5,640
325
375
425
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Inst
alla
tion
s
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock EffectivenessAlcohol-Related Fatalities and Ignition Interlock Installations
5-Year Average Alcohol-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Ignition Interlock Installations
![Page 44: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
43
Impaired Driving
449
416
393
372
34653,364
54,955
57,412
58,509
59,317
53,000
55,500
58,000
60,500
340
380
420
460
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Sob
er M
iles
Dri
ven
(x1
00
0)
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Ignition Interlock EffectivenessAlcohol-Related Fatalities and Sober Miles Driven
5-Year Average Alcohol-Related Fatalities 5-Year Average Sober Miles Driven (x1000)
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44
• One of Pennsylvania’s top safety priorities is increasing the rate of properly restrained drivers and passengers. The statewide use rate in 2015 was 83%. That year only 11% of crashes involved at least one unbelted person but 30% of people suffering a major injury in a crash and 51% of people killed in a crash were unbelted. According to NHTSA, proper occupant restraint can increase the chance of surviving a crash by up to 60%.
• Pennsylvania law currently allows for primary enforcement of restraint use for drivers and passengers under the age of 18. For those 18 and over, the law allows for secondary enforcement of seat belt use in the front seat of a vehicle only. Pennsylvania is one of only 15 states that does not have a primary seat belt enforcement law covering all ages. Primary seat belt law states average over 90% seat belt use. NHTSA estimates that a 90% seat belt use in PA would save an additional 52 lives, 766 serious injuries, and $227 million in costs each year.
• Pennsylvania’s occupant protection program targets all ages with education and outreach along with high visibility enforcement. The child passenger safety program reaches caregivers, schools and daycares, the medical community, and law enforcement to educate on the proper use of child passenger restraints. A network of certified child passenger safety technicians within communities assist caregivers in proper restraint use, and a network of car seat and booster loan programs receive seats through state funds to loan to families in need.
• The high visibility enforcement program includes funded overtime seat belt enforcement from state and local law enforcement agencies (LEAs) during the two national Click it or Ticket mobilizations. There is also a yearly teen-focused education and enforcement campaign conducted by select local LEAs, and in-kind enforcement from local LEAs during non-mobilization months of the year. Each of these enforcement campaigns are accompanied by national and/or state paid media campaigns, and earned media generated by the PennDOT press office, participating LEAs, and local safety partners.
Occupant Protection
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45
Occupant Protection
82
.7%
85
.2%
85
.7%
86
.0%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
2015 2016 2017 2018
Sea
t B
elt
Usa
ge
Rat
e
Pennsylvania’s Seat Belt Usage RatePast Data and Future Goals
Seat Belt Usage Rate Seat Belt Usage Rate Goal
The current goal for seat belt rate usage in Pennsylvania is an increase to 90% over the next 20 years (from 83.8% in 2011 to 90.0% in 2031).
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46
Occupant Protection
83
.5%
84
.0%
84
.0%
82
.7%
85
.2%
38.4%35.2%
32.1%34.4% 34.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Per
cen
tag
e of
Tot
al
Sea
t B
elt
Usa
ge
Rat
e
Pennsylvania Seat Belt EffectivenessSeat Belt Usage Rate and Percentage of Unrestrained Fatalities to State Total
Seat Belt Usage Rate Percentage of Statewide Highway Fatalities
83
.5%
84
.0%
84
.0%
82
.7%
85
.2%
470 384355
378 376
0
100
200
300
400
500
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Sea
t B
elt
Usa
ge
Rat
e
Pennsylvania Seat Belt EffectivenessSeat Belt Usage Rate and Unbelted Front Seat Occupant Fatalities
Seat Belt Usage Rate Unbelted Front Seat Fatalities
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47
Occupant Protection
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sea
t B
elt
Usa
ge
Rat
e
Seat Belt Usage ComparisonsPennsylvania versus Primary Law States, Secondary Law States, and Best Secondary Law State
Pennsylvania Seat Belt Usage Rate Average Seatbelt Use Rate in States with Secondary LawSeatbelt Usage Rate in Best Secondary State Average Seatbelt Use Rate in States with Primary Law
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48
Younger Drivers
130
120
160155
100
125
150
175
2011-2015 2012-2016 2013-2017 2014-2018
5-Y
ear
Ave
rag
e Fa
talit
ies
Pennsylvania Younger Driver (Age 16-19) FatalitiesPast Data and Future Goals
5-Year Average Fatalities 5-Year Average Fatality Goals
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49
Commercial Vehicle Safety
Stretching from the shores of Lake Erie to the Delaware River, Pennsylvania serves as the gateway to thepopulation centers of the northeastern United States.
According to the 2016 Pennsylvania Highway Statistics report, the percent of daily vehicle-miles travelled(DVMT), compared to the total of all vehicle miles travelled in Pennsylvania, has increased annually since2010. The number of miles DVMT for trucks has increased annually for the last five years resulting in a 6.6%increase in total vehicle miles travelled by trucks since 2012.
For the purposes of analysis, PennDOT defines a “heavy truck” as any single vehicle with a weighting of10,000 pounds or more.
A heavy truck crash or fatality indicates that any vehicle involved was a heavy truck, and does not reflectcrash causation.
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50
Commercial Vehicle Safety
15
8
15
1
15
4
15
2
15
3
102.3100.6 99.9 99.8 100.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
115.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Veh
icle
Mile
s Tr
avel
ed (
Bill
ion
s)
Hea
vy T
ruck
Fat
alit
ies
Heavy Truck FatalitiesHeavy Truck Fatalities vs. State Vehicle Miles Traveled
5-Year Average Heavy Truck Fatalities 5-Year Average VMT (Billions)
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51
MotorcyclesPennsylvania is home to a growing population of motorcycle riders. From 2006 to 2015, Pennsylvania saw an8.5 percent increase in motorcyclists and a 16 percent increase in registered motorcycles. Because of theirsize, motorcycles can be easily hidden in blind spots and are easily overlooked by other drivers. The majorityof multivehicle crashes involving a motorcycle over the past four years have had a vehicle other than themotorcycle cited as the prime contributing factor in the crash. Therefore it is important that drivers be awareof motorcycles sharing the road. Additionally, roughly 25 percent of all motorcycle operators killed in a crash inPennsylvania were reported as suspected of drug and or alcohol impairment by law enforcement in 2015.Motorcycle fatalities totaled 179 in 2015, accounting for approximately 15 percent of all traffic fatalities inPennsylvania. Pennsylvania has several programs and efforts in place to stem the rise in motorcycle incidents:
• Pennsylvania’s Share the Road with Motorcycles Campaignencourages motorists to “Watch for Motorcycles” through mediumssuch as billboards, stickers, yard signs, and electronic messageboard messages.
• Live Free Ride Alive is a state-operated safety initiative, including itswebsite, www.LiveFreeRideAlive.com, which is dedicated toinforming the public about motorcycle facts and figures as well asinformation on training programs and motorcycle permit and licensetests.
• Pennsylvania’s Motorcycle Safety Program (www.pamsp.com) hasbeen teaching safe operating practices to riders since 1985. In2015, over 18,200 students were trained at 76 sites across theCommonwealth.
• The PA Motorcycle Safety Program continually updates courses tohelp better prepare riders. Currently, the program offers fourcourses. These courses include: Basic Rider Course, Basic RiderCourse 2, Advanced Rider Course and 3-Wheel Basic Rider Course.
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Motorcycles
409,017 405,209 401,175 401,439 396,841
854,493 860,377 861,077 860,600 857,478
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Reg
istr
atio
ns
and
Lic
ense
s
Pennsylvania MotorcyclistsRegistered Motorcycles and Licensed Motorcyclists
Registered Motorcycles Licensed Motorcyclists
66
.9
67
.4 67
.8
67
.2
66
.9
60
62
64
66
68
70
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Mot
orcy
clis
ts p
er1
,00
0 P
opu
lati
on
Pennsylvania MotorcyclistsLicensed Motorcyclists per 1,000 Population
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22.86
23.39
22.58
20.97
20.04
19
20
21
22
23
24
2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015
Fata
lity
Rat
e
Motorcyclist Fatality RateFatalities per 100M VMT
Motorcycles
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Motorcycles
2.562.41 2.34
2.23 2.21
1.431.30 1.24 1.23 1.19
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016Fata
litie
s an
d C
rash
es p
erN
um
ber
of
Lice
nse
d
Mot
orcy
clis
ts
Pennsylvania Motorcycle CrashesMotorcyclist Fatalities and Crashes per Number of Licensed Motorcyclists
5-Year Average Fatalities per 10,000 Licensed Motorcyclists 5-Year Average Crashes per 100 Licensed Motorcyclists
Helmet Law Repealed 2003
5.385.06 4.95 4.73 4.71
2.992.74 2.61 2.61 2.55
2
3
4
5
6
7
2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016Fata
litie
s an
d C
rash
es p
erN
um
ber
of
Reg
iste
red
M
otor
cycl
es
Pennsylvania Motorcycle CrashesMotorcyclist Fatalities and Crashes per Number of Registered Motorcycles
5-Year Average Fatalities per 10,000 Registered Motorcycles 5-Year Average Crashes per 100 Registered Motorcycles
Helmet Law Repealed 2003
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Pennsylvania is home to a vast network of roadways owned by localmunicipalities. These local roads total at approximately 78,000 miles inlength and represent almost two-thirds of the road mileage in thestate.
In 2016, 15% of fatalities and 25% of reportable crashes occurred onlocal roads in Pennsylvania.
With the goal of improving safety on local roads, PennDOT has twoprograms in place within its Local Technical Assistance Program (LTAP):the Local Safe Roads Communities Program and PennDOT DirectedTechnical Assistance Program. Both of these programs are focused onlocal road safety and offer a process of identification andrecommendation for low-cost remediation of high safety risk areas tomunicipal leaders at no cost for the service.
As of July 2016, 114 Local Safe Road Communities Programs and 12PennDOT Technical Assistance Programs(construction-ready, line itemquantities included) have been completed, providing assistance toexamine the municipalities local road system to develop their own localroad safety improvement plan. This program continues to grow andexpand, as more communities are researched. LTAP, District SafetyEngineers, District Bicycle/Pedestrian Coordinators and DistrictMunicipal Service Engineers continue to identify locations to make verylow cost safety improvements.
Local Roads
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56
Local Roads
Local Road Crashes,
31,589, 25%
State Road Crashes,
93,605, 75%
2012-2016 Reportable Crash Distribution
Local Road Fatalities, 200,
16%
State Road Fatalities,
1,021, 84%
2012-2016 Traffic Fatality Distribution
Local Road Mileage77,994
66%
State Road Mileage39,743
34%
Roadway Mileage Distribution
Local Road VMT, 16,679,076,135,
18%
State Road VMT, 76,332,147,050,
82%
Vehicle Miles Traveled Distribution
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Transportation planning is a collaborative effort involving many stakeholders. Some of the most prominentparticipants in the process are the eleven PennDOT Engineering Districts, the 23 Metropolitan and RegionalPlanning Organizations (MPO/RPOs), and one independent county.
Safety Improvement Programs
Note: Highway Safety Summary Reports are developed on an annual basis for all PennDOT Engineering Districts and PlanningOrganizations, and may be obtained through the contact information on the last page of this report.
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Safety Improvement Programs
0
50
100
150
200
250
Highway Fatality Trends in Planning Organizations
2012-2016 Average Fatalities 2016 Actual Fatalities 2013-2017 Goals
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Long-term safety improvement projects will be selected by each MPO and RPO based on needs identifiedthrough an examination of the crash data and through cooperation with PennDOT Engineering Districts andMPO/RPO planning partners.
The primary funding mechanism for highway safety improvements are federal Highway Safety ImprovementProgram (HSIP) funds. These funds are allocated within Pennsylvania based on a formula that utilizes safetydata specific to each region, such as crashes and fatalities, in addition to the traditional formula allocationcomponents of vehicle miles traveled and lane miles.
In alignment with the intent of the FAST Act legislation, the HSIP process is geared towards addressinglocations across the state that are identified as High Crash Locations. These locations are identified andranked by analyzing crash data, combining both the fatality and serious injury crash rates.
HSIP projects program locations in the following four step selection process:• Address a location on the State High Crash Location List• Employ a systematic, proven countermeasure, including implementation of Intersection Safety
Implementation Plan and Roadway Departure Safety Implementation Plan• Address a location on the MPO/RPO High Crash Location List• Address a unique location, with executive approval
Additional funding for safety improvements may come through the Low Cost Safety Improvement Program, which is aimed at lower-cost, systematic countermeasures.
Safety Improvement Programs
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Provides low cost roadway safety improvements/countermeasures to address areas and locations that have high instances of crashes.
Includes, but is not limited to, the following countermeasures: Centerline/Edgeline Rumble Strips Intersection Improvements Curve Safety Improvements Removal of Frequently Hit Trees Utility Pole Relocation Pedestrian Safety Improvements
Pedestrian Countdown Signals Yield To Pedestrian Channelizing
Devices
Low Cost Safety Improvement Program
(LCSIP)
Highway Safety Improvement Program
(HSIP) HSIP Program funds can be used for medium to
high cost roadway safety improvements/ countermeasures to address areas and locations that have high instances of fatalities and seriousinjuries. HSIP funds can also be used to supplement LCSIP projects.
HSIP projects can also utilize the following systematic proven countermeasures, based on problem identification, in the following priority: Centerline Rumble Strips Edgeline/Shoulder Rumble Strips Intersection Safety Implementation Plan Roadway Departure Safety Implementation
Plan
Safety Improvement Programs
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3,231
3,745
4,832 4,952
5,330
5,563
5,814
5,873
165
158
152
148
152
148145 145
140
150
160
170
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve M
iles
Centerline Rumble Strip Miles vs. Head-On Fatalities
Cumulative Miles of Centerline Rumble Strips Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities (5-Year Average)Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities Trendline
Safety Improvement Programs
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Safety Improvement Programs
1,552
3,101
4,1014,197
4,4874,579
4,651 4,693
725703
680 665
626612
595
569
500
525
550
575
600
625
650
675
700
725
750
1,500
2,500
3,500
4,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve M
iles
Edge-Line Rumble Strip Miles vs. Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatalities
Cumulative Miles of Edgeline Rumble Strips Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatalities (5-Year Average)Non-Intersection Head-On Fatalities Trendline
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14,584
15,156
16,131
17,077
17,871
18,696
19,519
20,064128,584
126,005
125,244
123,684123,280 123,197
124,379125,194
122,500
123,500
124,500
125,500
126,500
127,500
128,500
129,500
14,000
15,500
17,000
18,500
20,000
21,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cra
shes
(5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
roje
cts
Low Cost Safety Improvement Projects vs. Statewide Crashes
Cumulative LCSIP Projects Completed 5-Year Average Crashes Statewide Crashes Trendline
Safety Improvement Programs
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64
7,259
8,1168,198
8,294
8,371
8,4608,498
8,571147
139
130127
117
116
113
108
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
7,250
7,500
7,750
8,000
8,250
8,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve M
itig
atio
ns
Utility Pole Mitigations vs. Hit Utility Pole Fatalities
Cumulative Utility Pole Mitigations Hit Utility Pole Fatalities (5-Year Average) Hit Utility Pole Fatalities Trendline
Safety Improvement Programs
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65
582
685
910
988
1,109
1,234
1,295
1,38649,402
48,137
47,276
46,910
46,97946,849 47,001
47,390
46,500
46,750
47,000
47,250
47,500
47,750
48,000
48,250
48,500
48,750
49,000
49,250
49,500
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cra
shes
(5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve I
mp
rove
men
ts
Intersection Improvements vs. Intersection Crashes
Cumulative Intersection Improvements Completed Intersection Crashes (5-Year Average) Intersection Crashes Trendline
Safety Improvement Programs
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66
2,919
3,055
3,175
3,425
3,566
3,6363,656 3,694
307
301
282 277
264
258
247
239
235
240
245
250
255
260
265
270
275
280
285
290
295
300
305
310
2,850
2,950
3,050
3,150
3,250
3,350
3,450
3,550
3,650
3,750
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve L
ocat
ion
s
Frequently Hit Tree Removal/Trimming Locations vs. Hit Tree Fatalities
Cumulative Tree Removal/Trimming Locations Hit Tree Fatalities (5-Year Average) Hit Tree Fatalities Trendline
Safety Improvement Programs
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Safety Improvement Programs
1,654
1,741
1,832
1,9442,059
2,362
2,754
2,893
6,028
5,615
5,1505,060
5,280
5,3745,377 5,319
5,000
5,200
5,400
5,600
5,800
6,000
6,200
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve I
mp
rove
men
ts
Curve-Related Improvements vs. Curve Driver Error Crashes
Cumulative Curve-Related Improvements Completed Curve Driver Error Crashes (5-Year Average) Curve Driver Error Crashes Trendline
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68
Safety Improvement Programs
6,331
7,141
7,726
8,818
9,818
10,818
11,233
11,648
153
150
146
149
150
156
157
162
145
150
155
160
165
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s (5
-Yea
r A
vera
ge)
Cu
mu
lati
ve D
evic
es D
eplo
yed
Yield To Pedestrian Channelizing Devices vs. Pedestrian Fatalities
Cumulative Number of YTPCD Deployed Pedestrian Fatalities (5-Year Average) Curve Driver Error Crashes Trendline
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69
In order to develop context for the progress Pennsylvania is making in its highway safety improvement efforts, NHTSA FARS data from seven similar states was collected and compared.
Similar states for benchmarking were determined based on the following factors:- Population - Urban/Rural Proportions (Land Area, Population, and VMT)- Land Area - Federal Highway Safety Grant Money Received
The seven similar states for benchmarking are:• Florida• Georgia• Illinois
For comparison purposes, the following safety parameters were compared: Driving Laws 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population Rural and Urban Fatality Rates 5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities Seat Belt Usage Rates
Benchmarking
• Michigan• New York
• North Carolina• Ohio
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70
* No official law** Red light cameras only
State Driving Law Comparison
State Automated EnforcementAggressive
Driving LawsBAC 0.08
MCH (Motorcycle
Helmet)
PSB (Primary Seat Belt
Law)
GDL (Graduated
Drivers License)
ALR (Administrative
License Revocation)
Sober CheckPoint Allowed
Cellphone Hand-held
Ban
Cellphone Texting
Ban
Florida Statewide** Yes 1994 Repealed 2000 2009 Yes 1990 Yes No No
Georgia Statewide** Yes 2001 1969 1996 Yes 1994 Yes No Yes
Illinois Yes No 1997 Repealed 1970 2003 Yes 1986 Yes
Construction and School
ZonesYes
Michigan No No 2003 Repealed 2012 2000 Yes None No No Yes
New York Cities Pop.>1 million.; 150 intersections/city** No 2003 1967 1984 Yes None Yes Yes Yes
North Carolina Some cities** Yes 1993 1968 1985 Yes 1984 Yes No Yes
Ohio Municipalities* No 2003 Repealed 1978 None Yes 1993 Yes No No
Pennsylvania Philadelphia** Yes 2003 Repealed 2003 None Yes None Yes No Yes
Benchmarking
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71
Benchmarking
0.5
%
2.1
%
-0.3
%
-0.6
%
2.0
%
0.5
%
0.3
% 1.0
%
-4.1
%
-3.0
%
-1.5
%
-0.5
% 1.4
%
-0.9
%
-0.6
% 2.0
%
-5%
-3%
-1%
1%
3%
5%
Per
cen
t R
edu
ctio
n
Percent Reduction of Traffic Fatalities5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data
Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2009-2013 to 2010-2014 Percent Reduction in 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2010-2014 to 2011-2015
2,4
47
1,2
27
94
1
91
8
1,1
82
1,2
89
1,0
46
1,2
77
2,4
34
1,2
02
94
3
92
4
1,1
58
1,2
83
1,0
43
1,2
65
2,5
33
1,2
38
95
7
92
8
1,1
42
1,2
95
1,0
49
1,2
40
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania
Traf
fic
Fata
litie
s
Traffic Fatalities5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data
5-Year Average Fatalities, 2009 - 2013 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2010 - 2014 5-Year Average Fatalities, 2011 - 2015
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72
Benchmarking
2.7
9
2.1
7
1.6
2
1.5
3 1.9
3
2.1
2
1.5
4 1.7
8
1.5
9
1.7
9
1.6
9
1.3
3
1.2
5
2.4
5
1.4
9
1.6
9
0.9
1
0.7
4
0.7
3
0.7
7
0.5
9
0.6
6
0.5
9 0.9
1
0.9
6
0.8
2
0.6
3
0.7
6
0.6
6
0.5
4
0.6
4 0.9
1
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania
Fata
lity
Rat
es
Rural and Urban Fatality RatesNHTSA FARS Data
Rural Fatality Rate, 2014 Rural Fatality Rate, 2015 Urban Fatality Rate, 2014 Urban Fatality Rate, 2015
12
.6 14
.8
7.3
9.3
5.9
13
.2
9.0 9.91
2.9 1
5.1
7.4 9
.4
5.8
13
.1
9.1 9.7
0
5
10
15
20
Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania
Traf
fic
Fata
litie
s p
er
10
0,0
00
Pop
ula
tion
Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population5-Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data
5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population, 2010-2014 5-Year Average Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 Population, 2011-2015
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73
Benchmarking
89
.0%
97
.0%
94
.0%
93
.0%
91
.0%
91
.0%
85
.0%
83
.6%8
9.0
%
97
.0%
95
.0%
93
.0%
92
.0%
90
.0%
84
.0%
82
.7%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania
Sea
tbel
t U
sag
e R
ate
Seat Belt Usage RateNHTSA FARS Data
Seat Belt Usage Rate, 2014 Seat Belt Usage Rate, 2015
59
2
39
1
26
6
20
1
18
5
37
3
38
1 45
857
1
38
8
26
2
19
7
18
1
37
0
37
7 43
7
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Florida Georgia Illinois Michigan New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania
Fata
litie
s
Unbelted Fatalities5- Year Averages; NHTSA FARS Data
5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities, 2010-2014 5-Year Average Unbelted Fatalities, 2011-2015
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74
Statistical Analysis
The correlation coefficient, r, measures the strength of the relationship between two variables and results in a determination of strong or weak.
If r = 1.0 there is perfect correlation.If r = -1.0 there is perfect negative or inverse correlation.If 0 < r < 1, both variables tend to increase or decrease together.If -1 < r < 0, one variable increases as the other decreases.
The following is a general interpretation of r values (positive and negative):0.0-0.2: Very Weak0.2-0.4: Weak0.4-0.7: Moderate0.9-1.0: Very Strong
The coefficient of determination, r2,is used to give the proportion of the variance (fluctuation) of one variable that is predictable from the other. This coefficient helps to explain how well the regression (trend) line represents the data. For example, if the r2= 0.85, we can say that approximately 85% of the data can be explained, while 15% cannot.
Confidence Interval is the range on either side of the sample mean (trend line) and are used to indicate the reliability of an estimate. The confidence interval lines are limits on either side of the trend line to help predict the next value.
The upper and lower confidence levels at 67.5 and 95 percent parallel the trend line. If both the trend and confidence interval lines are extended you can predict the next value will fall within its respective interval line.
*Please note that in the following chart titles “x” and “y” represent the x axis and the y axis.
Statistical Analysis
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75
Statistical Analysis
1,491 1,468
1,256 1,324 1,286
1,310
1,2081,195
1,2001,188
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Pennsylvania Highway Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 28.54 per year since 2007. r = -0.8724 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.761 (Trend line explains 76.1% of fatalities)
1,540
1,518 1,4711,413
1,365 1,329
1,277
1,265
1,240
1,220
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011 2008-2012 2009-2013 2010-2014 2011-2015 2012-2016
Fata
litie
s
5-Year Average Highway Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 34.37 per year since 2003-2007.
r = -0.9877 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.9756 (Trend line explains 97.56% of fatalities)
![Page 77: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/77.jpg)
76
Statistical Analysis
559567
451
524509 503
425 383
413408
300
400
500
600
700
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Unrestrained Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 16.8 per year since 2007. r = -0.8506 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.7236 (Trend line explains 72.36% of fatalities)
516 516
419
485462 470
384 355 378 376
200
300
400
500
600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Unbelted Front Seat Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 15.45 per year since 2007. r = -0.8547 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.7306 (Trend line explains 73.06% of fatalities)
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77
Statistical Analysis
604
594
500515 481
476449
392
407
344
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Impaired Driving Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 23.96 per year since 2007. r = -0.9679 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.9368 (Trend line explains 93.68% of fatalities)
95
78 81
85
78
86
7478
88 95
50
75
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Distracted/Drowsy Driver Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.16 per year since 2007. r = 0.0754 (Very Weak correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.0057 (Trend line explains 0.57% of fatalities)
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78
Statistical Analysis
192
141130
168 168 191
145 134
119128
75
100
125
150
175
200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Aggressive Driving Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.12 per year since 2007. r = -0.5254 (Moderate correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.276 (Trend line explains 27.6% of fatalities)
759699
585
661
579
598
506465
508505
400
500
600
700
800
900
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Speeding-Related Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 25.47 per year since 2007. r = -0.8965 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.8036 (Trend line explains 80.36% of fatalities)
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79
Statistical Analysis
101
6440 57
66
442… 37
3547
0
25
50
75
100
125
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Younger Driver (Age 16-17) Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.96 per year since 2006. r = -0.7602 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.5779 (Trend line explains 57.79% of fatalities)
268
259
276
266
244
276 277
300279
267
220
240
260
280
300
320
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Older Driver (Age 65+) Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 1.72 per year since 2007. r = 0.3977 (Weak correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.1581 (Trend line explains 15.81% of fatalities)
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80
Statistical Analysis
155
142 136148
149
168
151
166
153
172
120
140
160
180
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Pedestrian Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 2.23 per year since 2007. r = 0.6473 (Moderate correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.419 (Trend line explains 41.9% of fatalities)
20
9
1621
11
16
11
19 16 16
0
5
10
15
20
25
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Bicyclist Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.02 per year since 2007. r = 0.0136 (Very Weak correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.0002 (Trend line explains 0.02% of fatalities)
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81
Statistical Analysis
225
236
204
223
199
210
181 186
179
192
150
175
200
225
250
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Motorcycle Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.91 per year since 2007. r = -0.8376 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.7016 (Trend line explains 70.16% of fatalities)
194184
136 156 155
159
148
151
146
160
125
150
175
200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Heavy Truck Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 2.82 per year since 2007. r = -0.5418 (Moderate correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.2936 (Trend line explains 29.36% of fatalities)
![Page 83: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/83.jpg)
82
Statistical Analysis
34
0 1
6
12
7
4
3
0
2
4
6
8
10
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Train/Vehicle Crash Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been increasing at a rate of 0.18 per year since 2007. r = 0.2711 (Weak correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.0735 (Trend line explains 7.35% of fatalities)
72
72 76 70 69
54
4854
69
59
40
60
80
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Vehicle Failure (Any Factor) Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 1.79 per year since 2007. r = -0.6256 (Moderate correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.3914 (Trend line explains 39.14% of fatalities)
![Page 84: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/84.jpg)
83
Statistical Analysis
279
235
197 220 213 203
182 200
233
180150
175
200
225
250
275
300
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Local Road (Only) Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 5.53 per year since 2007. r = -0.63 (Moderate correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.3969 (Trend line explains 39.69% of fatalities)
29
23 23 21 21
22
16
24 24
16
10
20
30
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Work Zone (All People) Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 0.65 per year since 2007. r = -0.5682 (Moderate correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.3229 (Trend line explains 32.29% of fatalities)
![Page 85: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/85.jpg)
84
Statistical Analysis
726
761
601
665648 648
566534
580
518
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Single Vehicle Run-Off-Road Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 20.57 per year since 2007. r = -0.8682 (Strong correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.7538 (Trend line explains 75.38% of fatalities)
594
630
511
553529 533
467425
459401
350
450
550
650
750
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Hit Fixed Object Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 19.73 per year since 2007. r = -0.9114 (Very Strong correlation between x and y)r2 = 0.8307 (Trend line explains 83.07% of fatalities)
![Page 86: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/86.jpg)
85
Statistical Analysis
181
159
177 175
156148
178
151
176159
120
145
170
195
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Head On Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 1.13 per year since 2007. r = -0.3041 (Weak correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.0925 (Trend line explains 9.25% of fatalities)
339
287 280 267 270
294
246
271
251
279
200
250
300
350
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Fata
litie
s
Intersection Fatality Trend
Observed Linear Trend Upper 95% Confidence Upper 67.5% Confidence Lower 67.5% Confidence Lower 95% Confidence
Fatalities have been decreasing at a rate of 4.78 per year since 2007. r = -0.6201 (Moderate correlation between x and y)
r2 = 0.3845 (Trend line explains 38.45% of fatalities)
![Page 87: State of Highway Safety Summary Report - PennDOT Home · 2019. 9. 5. · obey speed limits, and not drive aggressively or impaired. This annual State of Highway Safety Summary report](https://reader033.vdocuments.us/reader033/viewer/2022060916/60a9ad4c28080a484f549179/html5/thumbnails/87.jpg)
86
Statistical Analysis
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average
2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016
Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg
Percent Change 2009 to 2016
Fatalities 442 444 425 402 369 326 337 297 346 -12% -14% -33%Serious Injuries 840 882 812 872 780 674 682 878 777 29% 13% 5%Total Injuries 9,404 9,155 9,069 9,121 8,434 7,806 7,525 6,183 7,814 -18% -21% -34%
Reportable Crashes 12,547 12,387 11,778 11,924 11,023 10,537 10,549 10,255 10,858 -3% -6% -18%Fatalities 451 524 509 503 425 383 413 408 426 -1% -4% -10%
Serious Injuries 944 893 926 870 871 763 734 1,007 849 37% 19% 7%Total Injuries 16,889 17,229 18,355 17,183 15,630 14,306 14,533 14,756 15,282 2% -3% -13%
Reportable Crashes 15,053 15,442 16,298 15,528 14,436 13,627 13,534 14,992 14,423 11% 4% 0%Fatalities 81 85 78 86 74 78 88 95 84 8% 13% 17%
Serious Injuries 275 347 305 336 271 260 291 491 330 69% 49% 79%Total Injuries 10,992 12,280 12,091 12,686 11,801 11,518 11,957 10,445 11,681 -13% -11% -5%
Reportable Crashes 14,645 16,195 16,712 17,316 16,832 16,543 17,426 18,685 17,360 7% 8% 28%Fatalities 130 168 168 191 145 134 119 128 143 8% -10% -2%
Serious Injuries 250 276 296 288 281 269 276 425 308 54% 38% 70%Total Injuries 4,490 5,341 5,788 6,183 5,793 5,730 5,536 5,408 5,730 -2% -6% 20%
Reportable Crashes 4,763 5,755 6,318 6,744 7,036 6,877 6,761 6,996 6,883 3% 2% 47%
Fatalities 585 661 579 598 506 465 508 505 516 -1% -2% -14%Serious Injuries 1,119 1,096 1,101 1,131 1,028 928 763 1,399 1,050 83% 33% 25%Total Injuries 21,959 21,131 22,035 21,605 21,456 19,921 20,289 17,757 20,206 -12% -12% -19%
Reportable Crashes 31,038 28,627 31,023 30,053 31,569 29,974 31,326 30,946 30,774 -1% 1% 0%Fatalities 40 57 66 44 27 37 35 47 38 34% 24% 18%
Serious Injuries 195 217 183 153 138 108 119 172 138 45% 25% -12%Total Injuries 6,047 5,488 5,152 4,931 4,416 3,783 4,231 4,150 4,302 -2% -4% -31%
Reportable Crashes 7,997 7,105 6,935 6,723 6,419 5,763 6,273 6,671 6,370 6% 5% -17%Fatalities 276 266 244 276 277 300 279 267 280 -4% -5% -3%
Serious Injuries 450 488 432 468 495 496 472 773 541 64% 43% 72%Total Injuries 15,125 15,654 15,503 15,763 16,157 16,175 16,325 16,364 16,157 0% 1% 8%
Reportable Crashes 16,718 17,555 17,603 18,219 18,727 18,805 19,948 21,125 19,365 6% 9% 26%Fatalities 136 148 149 168 151 166 153 172 162 12% 6% 26%
Serious Injuries 296 335 345 361 335 270 328 429 345 31% 24% 45%Total Injuries 4,897 5,115 5,367 5,179 4,988 4,523 4,553 4,402 4,729 -3% -7% -10%
Reportable Crashes 4,214 4,450 4,506 4,537 4,374 4,000 4,001 4,201 4,223 5% -1% 0%Fatalities 16 21 11 16 11 19 16 16 16 0% 0% 0%
Serious Injuries 83 67 66 57 66 46 53 99 64 87% 55% 19%Total Injuries 1,563 1,645 1,490 1,532 1,522 1,425 1,403 1,355 1,447 -3% -6% -13%
Reportable Crashes 1,401 1,483 1,316 1,373 1,384 1,309 1,272 1,305 1,329 3% -2% -7%
Youn
ger
Driv
ers
Old
er
Driv
ers
Pede
stria
nBi
cycl
esAg
gres
sive
Driv
ing Aggressive
Driving
Speeding-Related
Age 16-17 Driver
Age 65+ Driver
Pedestrian
Bicyclist
Strategic Focus Areas
Unre-strained
Distracted/Drowsy Driver
Impa
ired
Driv
ing
Alcohol-Related
Occ
upan
t Pr
otec
tion
Dis
trac
ted/
Dro
wsy
D
rivin
g
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Statistical Analysis
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average
2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016
Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg
Percent Change 2009 to 2016
Fatalities 204 223 199 210 181 186 179 192 190 7% 1% -6%Serious Injuries 553 600 544 572 478 480 437 720 537 65% 34% 30%Total Injuries 4,038 4,305 3,932 4,296 3,611 3,501 3,619 2,927 3,591 -19% -18% -28%
Reportable Crashes 3,742 4,016 3,637 3,985 3,427 3,284 3,413 3,454 3,513 1% -2% -8%Fatalities 136 156 155 159 148 151 146 160 153 10% 5% 18%
Serious Injuries 192 222 230 216 203 207 193 299 224 55% 33% 56%Total Injuries 3,649 4,182 4,323 4,143 4,066 4,238 4,364 4,027 4,168 -8% -3% 10%
Reportable Crashes 5,262 5,844 6,344 5,889 6,121 6,596 6,916 6,740 6,452 -3% 4% 28%Fatalities 0 1 6 1 2 7 4 3 3 -25% 0% #DIV/0!
Serious Injuries 2 2 4 2 3 4 2 4 3 100% 33% 100%Total Injuries 182 148 87 131 73 104 87 59 91 -32% -35% -68%
Reportable Crashes 73 76 54 59 55 74 54 52 59 -4% -12% -29%Fatalities 23 21 21 22 16 24 24 16 20 -33% -20% -30%
Serious Injuries 46 57 51 44 39 35 36 59 43 64% 37% 28%Total Injuries 1,122 1,505 1,425 1,227 1,354 1,322 1,396 1,320 1,324 -5% 0% 18%
Reportable Crashes 1,519 1,884 1,811 1,661 1,845 1,845 1,935 2,075 1,872 7% 11% 37%Fatalities 197 220 213 203 182 200 233 180 200 -23% -10% -9%
Serious Injuries 801 850 746 800 689 660 689 963 760 40% 27% 20%Total Injuries 25,387 23,849 23,216 24,079 22,319 21,195 21,800 21,566 22,192 -1% -3% -15%
Reportable Crashes 33,197 32,970 30,766 31,922 31,567 30,138 32,011 32,309 31,589 1% 2% -3%Fatalities 511 553 529 533 467 425 459 401 457 -13% -12% -22%
Serious Injuries 1,305 1,225 1,248 1,272 1,133 1,038 1,011 1,413 1,173 40% 20% 8%Total Injuries 23,009 21,595 22,485 21,936 21,516 19,824 20,178 17,823 20,255 -12% -12% -23%
Reportable Crashes 40,793 37,522 40,102 39,185 40,360 38,551 39,885 38,244 39,245 -4% -3% -6%
Fatalities 253 295 252 267 254 221 240 211 239 -12% -12% -17%Serious Injuries 511 586 497 517 493 411 418 566 481 35% 18% 11%Total Injuries 6,654 6,567 6,658 6,660 6,379 5,770 5,753 5,001 5,913 -13% -15% -25%
Reportable Crashes 9,771 9,070 9,543 9,633 9,753 8,937 9,092 8,818 9,247 -3% -5% -10%
Fatalities 117 127 121 118 103 113 111 97 108 -13% -10% -17%Serious Injuries 353 303 294 350 285 281 270 362 310 34% 17% 3%Total Injuries 6,306 5,617 6,024 5,970 5,707 5,341 5,586 4,963 5,513 -11% -10% -21%
Reportable Crashes 9,293 8,334 9,200 9,093 9,015 8,929 9,243 8,784 9,013 -5% -3% -5%
Fatalities 149 133 162 137 116 111 113 130 121 15% 7% -13%Serious Injuries 262 219 266 265 267 205 217 298 250 37% 19% 14%Total Injuries 4,187 4,047 4,252 3,673 3,535 3,562 3,487 2,976 3,447 -15% -14% -29%
Reportable Crashes 7,017 6,653 7,189 6,859 7,014 7,036 7,422 6,863 7,039 -8% -3% -2%
Strategic Focus Areas
Mot
orcy
cle
Hit
Fixe
d O
bjec
tH
eavy
Tr
uck
Vehi
cle/
Tr
ain
Wor
k Zo
neLo
cal R
oad
Hit Utility Pole
Hit Guide Rail
Hit Fixed Object
Hit Tree
Motor-cyclist
Heavy Truck
Vehicle/ Train
Work Zone
Local Road
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88
Statistical Analysis
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20165-Year Average
2012-2016Percent Change 2015 to 2016
Percent Change 2016 vs. 5-Year Avg
Percent Change 2009 to 2016
Fatalities 601 665 648 648 566 534 580 518 569 -11% -9% -14%Serious Injuries 1,598 1,573 1,575 1,607 1,405 1,303 1,274 1,825 1,483 43% 23% 14%Total Injuries 28,058 26,793 27,840 27,136 26,315 23,935 24,547 21,792 24,745 -11% -12% -22%
Reportable Crashes 48,345 45,256 48,120 46,928 47,736 45,342 47,331 45,868 46,641 -3% -2% -5%Fatalities 177 175 156 148 178 151 176 159 162 -10% -2% -10%
Serious Injuries 443 451 451 419 440 419 438 588 461 34% 28% 33%Total Injuries 8,225 7,587 7,496 7,195 6,649 6,495 6,905 6,605 6,770 -4% -2% -20%
Reportable Crashes 7,419 6,964 7,162 6,542 6,549 6,359 6,941 7,326 6,743 6% 9% -1%
Fatalities 75 84 48 40 21 25 40 11 27 -73% -59% -85%Serious Injuries 78 84 76 63 50 62 70 23 54 -67% -57% -71%Total Injuries 882 909 883 889 699 798 852 165 681 -81% -76% -81%
Reportable Crashes 908 928 900 865 737 838 840 164 689 -80% -76% -82%Fatalities 280 267 270 294 246 271 251 279 268 11% 4% 0%
Serious Injuries 1,035 1,021 982 1,029 1,010 947 915 1,465 1,073 60% 37% 42%Total Injuries 41,471 41,791 42,275 42,298 39,862 37,657 38,262 39,093 39,434 2% -1% -6%
Reportable Crashes 45,711 46,273 47,618 47,957 47,334 45,064 47,033 49,562 47,390 5% 5% 8%
Fatalities 82 90 87 86 82 80 86 102 87 19% 17% 24%Serious Injuries 330 372 336 343 384 341 338 574 396 70% 45% 74%Total Injuries 18,228 18,395 18,863 19,005 17,757 17,150 17,490 17,680 17,816 1% -1% -3%
Reportable Crashes 17,992 18,252 18,994 19,218 18,840 18,281 19,035 19,853 19,045 4% 4% 10%
Fatalities 128 87 104 108 99 105 89 103 101 16% 2% -20%Serious Injuries 364 328 316 329 297 297 288 435 329 51% 32% 20%Total Injuries 12,623 13,117 12,785 12,443 12,122 11,626 11,331 11,831 11,871 4% 0% -6%
Reportable Crashes 14,444 14,778 14,545 14,397 14,721 14,329 14,398 15,200 14,609 6% 4% 5%Fatalities 1,256 1,324 1,286 1,310 1,208 1,195 1,200 1,188 1,220 -1% -3% -5%
Serious Injuries 3,498 3,556 3,402 3,455 3,248 3,040 3,030 4,397 3,434 45% 28% 26%Total Injuries 94,635 95,129 95,737 94,762 90,215 86,527 89,131 86,162 89,359 -3% -4% -9%
Reportable Crashes 121,721 121,217 125,322 124,062 124,077 121,309 127,127 129,395 125,194 2% 3% 6%
TOTAL
TOTA
L
Intersection
Strategic Focus Areas
Run-
Off-
Road
Single Vehicle Run-
Off-Road
Hea
d O
n
Head On
Cross Median
Inte
rsec
tion
Signalized Intersection
Stop Controlled
Intersection
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Methodology: Fatality Rate and Suspected Serious Injury Rate
After 2016 Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) count was increased by 1% (Projection for the upcoming year).
Note: A 1% increase was determined in observation of historical trends in VMT.
Fatality Rate Projection is calculated by:
1. The most recent year, fatality count is reduced by 2% (Targeted fatality count for the upcoming year).2. The fatality rate per 100 million VMT is calculated for each of the 5 most recent consecutive years ending
in the year for which the targets are established.3. The fatality rates (Rounded to the hundredth decimal place) are added together.4. The sum of the fatality rates is divided by five and rounded to the thousandth decimal place.
Suspected Serious Injury Rate Projection is calculated by:
1. The most recent year, suspected serious injury count is reduced by 2% (Targeted suspected serious injurycount for the upcoming year).
2. The suspected serious injury rate per 100 million VMT is calculated for each of the 5 most recentconsecutive years ending in the year for which the targets are established.
3. The suspected serious injury rates (Rounded to the hundredth decimal place) are added together.4. The sum of the suspected serious injury rates is divided by five and rounded to the thousandth decimal
place.
Safety Performance Management MeasuresAgency/Docket Number: FHWA-2013-0020
Document number: 2016-05202Document Citation: 81 FR 13881
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Highway Safety Manual Tools and Resources
In January 2016 Penn State University completed research for Pennsylvania Regionalized Safety Performance Factors (SPFs). These regionalized SPFs allow for a more accurate way to predict crash frequencies. Pennsylvania continues to strive for more Data Driven Safety Analysis using the Highway Safety Manual (HSM). The following tools and resources are now available through the ECMS, File Cabinet.
Folder Name Version File ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool A 9/1/2017 Primary (Pa Specific) Crash Frequency
Analysis tool
ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool B 9/1/2017
Alternatives and Safety Benefit Tool (Requires file export from PennDOT HSM Tool A)
ADV-General Requirements PennDOT HSM Tool User Manual 8/1/2016 Guide: In reference to PennDOT HSM Tool
A & BADV-General Requirements
Regionalized Safety Performance Functions Report 8/1/2016 Reference to the development of PA
specific, Safety Performance Functions.
The ECMS Home page is at the following hyperlink:https://www.dot14.state.pa.us/ECMS/
(If you do not have password access to ECMS you may log-in as a guest.)After logging onto ECMS you will need to click on the “References” link (the last tab on the dark-blue task-bar). In the drop-down menu, click on “File Cabinet”.
HSM Tools and Resource contacts:
John GrigalonisCivil Engineer, TransportationPennDOT Bureau of Maintenance & Operations(717) [email protected]
Jason HershockManager – Safety Engineering & Risk Management UnitPennDOT Bureau of Maintenance & Operations(717) [email protected]