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Google Confidential and Proprietary Marketing Response Understanding the complete marketing ROI for Sony Australia May 2011

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Page 1: Sony australia understanding complete marketing roi

Google Confidential and Proprietary

Marketing Response Understanding the complete marketing ROI for Sony Australia

May 2011

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Google Confidential and Proprietary

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Sony  Australia  Background  

•  Sony  Australia  operates  through  mul3ple  online  and  offline  channels    

•  Online:  products  are  distributed  directly  via  Sony  Style  (online  shop)  and  indirectly  via  retailers/dealers    

•  Offline:  full  product  informa3on  and  demonstra3ons  are  available  in  Sony  Centre  showrooms  as  well  as  at  other  retailers/dealers    

•  Major  spor3ng  events  are  used  as  a  theme  for  promo3onal  campaigns:                                                                                                                                release  of  the  new  BRAVIA  3D  was  joint  with  FIFA  World  Cup  2010  

•  Offline  Media  predominates  in  marke3ng  and  communica3ons    

•  TV  and  Print  are  the  largest  propor3on  of  total  marke3ng  investment  

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About  the  Project  

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•  To  understand  and  quan3fy  the  effec3veness  of  Sony  Australia’s  marke3ng  and  media  spend  in  driving  Sony  TV  sales,  par3cularly:  

•  To  evaluate  the  role  of  paid  search  in  Sony’s  marke3ng  ecosystem  

•  To  understand  the  role  of  Sony’s  paid  and  owned  media  (e.g.  website)  in  driving  sales  

•  To  op3mise  the  marke3ng  and  media  mix  to  generate  greater  revenue  from  the  same  level  of  investment  

Research  Objec>ves  

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Methodology  

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 •  All  data  analysis  was  conducted  by  MarketShare  in  December  2010  

•  Using  Sony  Australia’s  internal  and  proprietary  data  (May  2007  –  Aug.  2010)    

•  Sony  TV  sales  volumes  and  revenues  (split  by  TV  screen  size)  •  Pricing  •  Website  data  (visitors,  conversions)  •  Marke3ng  and  Media  costs  •  Search  volume  data  from  Google.com.au  •  MarketShare  proprietary  marke3ng  database  

•  Mul3ple  econometric  models  (mul3plica3ve  logarithmic  3me  series)  were  constructed  to  understand  total  Marke3ng  ROI  by  media  channel  and  inform  future  op3mal  media  resource  alloca3on  

Econometric  Modelling  World-­‐Class  Marke3ng  Science  +  Real-­‐World  Industry  Exper3se  

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The  Offline  World  What  are  the  drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales?  

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June July August

Drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales  

Paid  Search  +3%  

October

2009 2010 November December January February March April May

TV,  Print,  Outdoor  

Base  Sales    33%  

Seasonality  

Pricing  

Offline  Sales  Volumes  September  2009  –  August  2010  

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33% 9%

35% 2% 7% 1% 1% 2% 2%

5% 3%

Print, TV and Paid Search are the top 3 drivers of offline sales.

Drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales  

21%  of  offline  sales  are  influenced  by  marke3ng  

79%  of  offline  sales  are  non-­‐marke3ng  driven  

Offline  Sales  Volumes  September  2009  –  August  2010  

7 Google Confidential and Proprietary Base sales volume includes influence from existing store network, employee workforce, existing infrastructure distribution, seasonality, underlying consumer demand, etc.

‘Other’  Category  includes  sponsorship  (incl.  FIFA  2010  World  Cup)  and  retailer  marke3ng  Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.  

 

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Marke3ng  ROI  How  to  op3mise  media  spend  and  maximise  sales  

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Weekly  Media  Spend    

Historical  Spend  

Weekly  Sales  (un

its)  

Understanding  the  effec>veness  of  marke>ng  spend  

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•  Econometric  models  take  advantage  of  natural  varia3on  in  both  marke3ng  spend  and  sales  levels  over  the  3me,  e.g.  during  the  analysis  period  (May  2007  –  Aug  2010)    

•  This  varia3on  makes  it  possible  to  plot  response  curves  for  each  marke3ng  channel,  which  in  turn  allows  the  measurement  of  ROI  

Methodology  

Once  the  responsiveness  of  each  media  in  driving  sales  is  known,    it  is  

possible  to  define  an  op>mal  marke>ng  mix  for  future  campaigns  

to  deliver  the  maximum  ROI.  

Media  Response  Curve  

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-­‐1  

2.6   2.7  

-­‐0.5   -­‐0.1  

4.3  

TV  Subscrip>on  

TV   Print   Radio   Outdoor   Paid  Search  

Inde

xed

Mar

gina

l RO

I

5

-1

Return  on  marginal  investment  (ROMI)  quan3fies  the  $  return  on  the  next  $  invested.    Posi3ve  ROMI  indicates  current  underspend  –  and  a  recommended  increase  –  whereas  a  nega3ve  value  indicates  overspend.  Op3mal  spend  (and  therefore  overall  ROI)  occurs  when  all  ROMIs  are  driven  to  zero  –  this  explains  the  direc3onal  changes  illustrated  in  the  next  slides.  

Marginal  ROI  –  Where  to  spend  the  next  dollar  to  get  maximum  return?  At  the  margin,  the  next  dollar  is  best  invested  in  Paid  Search,  Print,  and  Subscrip>on  TV  

Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.  

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Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  

Average  Weekly  Spend  

TV  

Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  Average  Weekly  Spend  

Subscrip>on  TV  

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Historical spend

Optimal spend

Optimal spend

Historical spend

Decrease  spend  in  

TV  

Increase  spend  in  

Op>mising  Media  Budgets  TV  and  Subscrip>on  TV  

To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  reduce  spending  on  TV  and  increase  spending  on  subscrip3on  TV  

Subscrip3on  TV  

Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality  

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Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  

Average  Weekly  Spend  

Radio  

Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  

Average  Weekly  Spend  

Print  

Decrease  spend  in  

Radio  

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Historical spend

Optimal spend

Optimal spend

Historical spend

Op>mising  Media  Budgets  Print  and  Radio  

To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  increasing  marke3ng  spend  on  Print  and  decrease  spend  on  Radio  

Increase  spend  in  

Print  

Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality  

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Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  

Average  Weekly  Spend  

Outdoor  

Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  Average  Weekly  Spend  

Paid  Search  

Paid  Search  

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Historical spend

Optimal spend

Optimal spend Historical

spend

Op>mising  Media  Budgets  Outdoor  and  Paid  Search  

To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  reduce  spending  on  Outdoor  and  increase  spending  on  Paid  Search  

Outdoor  

Decrease  spend  in  

Increase  spend  in  

Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality  

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Average  Weekly  Increm

ental  R

even

ue  (K

)  

Average  Weekly  Spend:  

Total  Media  Spend  

Historical     Op3mal  

Op>mising  Media  Budgets  –  Total  Campaign  With  the  same  budget,  an  op3mal  media  mix  delivers  an  addi>onal  3-­‐5%  in  revenue  

Opportunity  =  3-­‐5%  

.  .  .  by  adjus3ng  spend  levels  on  individual  media  channels  

Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality  

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Assuming  all  other  media  investments  are  held  at  the  current  level,  it  is  possible  to  understand  the  effec3veness  of  incremental  media  spend  in  a  single  channel  on  sales  

Increases  in  Paid  search  investment  will  deliver  the  greatest  return  based  on  number  of  addi3onal  Sony  TVs  sold  

Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.  

How  many  Sony  TV  sales  would  an  incremental  weekly  investment  of  $10k  drive?  

Weekly  Sales  (un

its)  

Weekly  Media  Spend    

+  $10k  weekly  investment   drives  incremental  TV  sales  .  .  .  

TV   +52  

Subscrip3on  TV   +68  

Print   +70  

Radio   +32  

Outdoor   +21  

Paid  Search   +72  

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Project  Summary    Op3mum  Alloca3on  for  2011  

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TV  39%  

Print  17%  

Radio  9%  

Outdoor  21%  

Paid  Search  4%  

TV  25%  

Print  27%  

Radio  6%  

Outdoor  14%  

Paid  Search  12%  

Subscrip3on  TV    16%  

-37% +65%

+55%

-37%

-30% +220%

TV Subscription TV Print Radio Outdoor Paid Search

Historical   Op3mal  

Move  towards  Digital  Recommenda>on  for  op>mising  budgets  in  2011  

2010  Media  Mix   Recommended  2011  Media  Mix  

Investment  by  Channel  

Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.  

Subscrip3on  TV    10%  

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1 Sony  customers  are  almost  equally  responsive  to  TV  and  online  marke3ng  (these  factors  drive  5%  and  3%  of  sales  respec3vely);  however,  TV  represents  nearly  50%  of  Sony’s  total  marke3ng  budget  

2 At  the  margin,  the  next  dollar  of  marke3ng  budget  is  best  invested  in  Paid  Search,  Print,  or  Subscrip3on  TV;  of  these,  Paid  Search  has  the  highest  ROMI  (addi3onal  $10k  investment  would  drive  +72  unit  sales)  

3 To  reach  the  op3mum  media  mix,  Sony  Australia  should  increase  spending  on  Subscrip3on  TV,  Print  and  Paid  Search,  and  decrease  spending  on  TV,  Outdoor  and  Radio  

4 By  shining  their  media  mix  toward  the  op3mum  balance,  Sony  Australia  could  increase  total  revenue  by  3-­‐5%  with  the  same  marke3ng  budget  

Summary  

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Google Confidential and Proprietary

Appendix  

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Bravia  TVs  Situa>on  Analysis  

•  Evolu3on  of  Bravia  from  LCD  to  3D  over  2009-­‐2010  coincided  with  the  cyclical  growth  of  base  sales.  Incremental  sales  had  declined  mostly  due  to  seasonal  factors  

•  Price  was  the  major  driver  in  driving  Bravia  LCD  sales  due  to  a  series  of  promo3ons:  Bravia  +  PS3  (Oct-­‐Nov  2009)    and  Christmas-­‐3me  offers/retailer  promo3ons  

•  The  June  2010  release  of  Bravia  3D  was  driven  by  Media:  it  contributed  almost  30%  to  total  sales  as  opposed  to  only  10%  during  the  pre-­‐release  period.  Website  visits  almost  tripled  as  online  query  ac3vity  went  up  

•  Sony  grew  its  media  presence  in  the  marketplace  over  the  three  year  3me  period  of  the  analysis:  they  increased  share  of  voice  from  12%  to  32%.  Sony  invests  heavily  in  offline  media,  where  TV  contributes  close  to  2/3  of  total  marke3ng  spend  

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World-­‐Class  Marke3ng  Science  +  Real-­‐World  Industry  Exper3se  

•  Strategic  analy3cs  firm  deploying  industry’s  most  advanced  analy3c  models  for  marke3ng  effec3veness,  ROI  and  alloca3on  

•  Reputa3on  for  being  the  most  innova3ve  firm  in  the  category,  with  focus  on  advanced  math,  thought  leadership  and  ac3on  

•  Significant  experience  with  new  media,  including  search,  social  networks  and  display  

•  Heavy  emphasis  on  applica3on  of  analy3cs  to  make  berer  decisions  going  forward  

•  An  independently  owned  company  delivering  100%  objec3vity  in  assessing  marke3ng  effec3veness.  

21 Google Confidential and Proprietary

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