some thoughts on our possible energy futures (in pictures) maryland clean energy summit 2013...
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Some Thoughts on Our Possible Energy Futures (In Pictures)
Maryland Clean Energy Summit 2013
Comments of Ron Binz
Public Policy Consulting
October 16, 2013
Public Policy Consulting
www.rbinz.com
Credit: University of California, Riverside
Credit: C2ES.org
Credit: Energy Information Administration
Credit: Edison Electric Institute
Credit: Consumer Energy Solutions
Credit: Energy Information Administration
Credit: Citibank
Credit: World Nuclear Association
WECC (2032): Potential Bypass Threats from Distributed Generation are Large
• WECC-wide Behind-the-Meter DG: 19 GW of solar PV + 7 GW of CHP• Distributed PV based on “interconnection potential” (no back-flow through
feeders), with adjustments to reflect relative economics among states• CHP additions represent a fixed percentage (~40%) of technical potential in
each state
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
AB AZ BC CA CO ID MT MX NV NM OR UT WA WY
CHP Solar PV Customer-Sited DG Additions in WECC High DSM Case(Percent of Peak Demand)
Source: E3 (2013).
Credit: Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Credit: Solar Energy Industries Association
Credit: Solar Energy Industries Association
MarylandColorado New Jersey GermanyArizona
Credit: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Credit: California ISO
Credit: California ISO
Credit: California ISO
Credit: Citibank
Credit: Citibank
Credit: Citibank
Credit: Citibank
Renewable Electricity Futures Study (REF)
Exploration of High-PenetrationRenewable Electricity Futures
Available at NREL.gov
Credit: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Baseline Case
Credit: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
REF ITI Case
Credit: National Renewable Energy Laboratory
How does the assumption of an HREF affect the business model?
Much higher levels of variable generation at the bulk power scale
Greater penetration of distributed energy resources at the distribution scale
Greater need for flexibility in the grid components, operations, and architecture
Much higher levels of energy efficiency (sufficient to eliminate load growth)
(affects utility organization, operations)
(affects utility revenues, services)
(affects utility investment, operations)
(affects utility role, services)
• Authors– Ron Binz
– Richard Sedano
– Denise Furey
– Dan Mullen
Available at www.ceres.org
Credit: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Credit: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
The Last Word
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