(some) fundamentals of weathermeteorology 101 •typically, temperature decreases with altitude, so...
TRANSCRIPT
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Meteorology 101
Fundamentals(Some)
Fundamentalsof Weather
Jon Nese and Jen Carfagno
The Weather Channel
February 22, 2004
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Meteorology 101
• Weather and Air Quality: The Issues
Outline
• Basic Weather Concepts
• The “Models”
• Weather Observations
• Your Questions
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Meteorology 101
Weather & Air Quality: Keys: Air motion, clouds, and precipitation.
Horizontal: WindVertical: Vertical Motions, mixing
• Wind, mixing disperse Pollutants!!
• Clouds reduce sunlight and slow production of some pollutants.
• Precipitation cleanses the atmosphere.
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Meteorology 101
Questions to Answer
• How, why, when, where does the wind blow?
• What controls vertical motions?
• When and where do clouds and precipitation form?
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Meteorology 101
Geographical Terminology…
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Meteorology 101
Layering of the Atmosphere
Stratosphere
Temperature
Altitude (mi)
6-8
Planetary Boundary Layer
Troposphere
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Meteorology 101
Some Fundamentals
• Earth is heated unevenly: Tropics are warmer than the Polar Regions.
• Nature tries to try to even out temperature differences.
• Uneven heating sets atmosphere in motion and is the fundamental cause of all weather.
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Meteorology 101
Air Pressure
On average, air weighs about 14.7 lb/in2
“Top”
14.7 lb/in2 =29.92 “inches of mercury”
Air Pressure varies over the globe
1”1”
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Meteorology 101
Changing Pressure - Winds
Take more out than put in – decrease pressure
Put more in than take out – increase pressure
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Meteorology 101
Changing Pressure - Temperature
Cold WarmCold Warm
Coldest column = highest pressure **
Warmest column = lowest pressure **
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Meteorology 101
Pressure Differences Create Wind
Air moves from higher toward lower pressure
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Vertical motions also occur
Meteorology 101
Air “converges” at lows, and rises.
Air “diverges” at highs, and sinks.
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Meteorology 101
Actual winds around highs and lows
Reality is more complicated
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Meteorology 101
• Lows tend to bring cloudy, wet weather
Rising Air near ows
• Rising air cools; water vapor in the air condenses to form clouds/precipitation
• Lows tend to bring cloudy, wet weather
• Highs tend to bring fair, dry weather.
Sinking air near ighs
• Sinking air warms and dries out.
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Meteorology 101
Low or lowering pressure = “Lousy” weather
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Meteorology 101
Cold
General Circulation
Warm
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Meteorology 101
• Temperature differences
Front = Battleground of Air Masses
Warm
Cold
differences concentrated
• Zone of lower pressure where lows (storms) often form
Warm
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Meteorology 101
Cold Front
Cold air advancesWarmer
Colder
Warm FrontColder
Warm Front
Warm air
advances*Warmer
Stationary FrontWarmer
Colder
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Meteorology 101
What happens when air masses meet at fronts?
Cold air lifts the warmer air.
Clouds and precipitation form.
WarmCold
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Meteorology 101
Ridge
Upper-Level
Features
Westerlies - High-Altitude winds blow generally west-to-east 3-6 miles above mid-latitudes.
Jet Stream – River of fastest-moving air within the westerlies.
Trough
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Meteorology 101
Reality is messier …
Still, highs and Lows move with the westerlies and the jet stream.
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RIDGE
Meteorology 101
SINKING
AIRRISING
AIR
Highs and Lows form and dissipate in synch with ridges and troughs in the westerlies.
TROUGH
AIR
HIGH PRESSURE FAVORED
LOW
PRESSURE
FAVORED
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Meteorology 101
COLD
LOW
This is
Stationary Front separates air masses
WARM
is your life!
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Meteorology 101
COLD
LOW
This is
Area of low pressure develops along front
WARM
is your life!
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Meteorology 101
LOW
This is
Circulation around low sends cold air and warm air advancing
is your life!
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Meteorology 101
COLD
COLD
LOW
This is
Low and fronts move with the upper-air westerlies while circulating low-level air
COLD
WARM
is your life!
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Meteorology 101
Cloud Shield
Precipitation
LOW
This is
Typical cloud and precipitation shield of a low-pressure system and fronts
Precipitation Shield
Warm Sector
is your life!
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Intense lows often take on a “comma-cloud” shape when
Meteorology 101
shape when viewed from space.
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Meteorology 101
Local Winds
Sea Breeze
Warm
LandWater
Uneven heating working on a smaller scale
Sea Breeze
Heats faster
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Meteorology 101
Another control on vertical motions
Vertical temperature structure of the atmosphere
Inhibits Overturning
Pillows (Light)
Books (Heavy) Pillows (Light)
Books (Heavy)
More likely to overturn
STABLE
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Meteorology 101
• Typically, temperature decreases with altitude, so the lighter stuff (warmer air) is below the heavier stuff (colder air).
In the Atmosphere…
• Typically supports some overturning, • Typically supports some overturning, especially in the boundary layer.
Cumulus clouds
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Meteorology 101
Warmer Light stuff
Inversion
But Sometimes …
“STABLE”
ColderHeavy Stuff
Temperature
Inversion – A layer of the atmosphere in which temperature increases with height.
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Meteorology 101
Inversions inhibit vertical mixing.
Can trap pollutants in the lower atmosphere.
Air sinks and Air sinks and warms near high pressure.
Temperature
Creates an inversion 1000s of feet above the ground.
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Meteorology 101
Inversions inhibit vertical mixing.
Can trap pollutants in the lower atmosphere.
Warmer Warmer
Colder
Colder, heavier air trapped in valleys.
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Meteorology 101
• Wind and rising air disperse pollutants.
Key Ideas
• When air rises, clouds/precipitation can form.
• Clouds reduce sunlight, which slows production • Clouds reduce sunlight, which slows production of some pollutants; precipitation cleanses the air.
• Air rises, and winds are strongest, in the vicinity of low pressure and fronts.
• Air sinks, and winds tend to be light, in the vicinity of high pressure.
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Weather Forecasting
• Knowledge of how atmosphere works
(e.g., high and low pressure, fronts, etc)
Meteorology 101
• Observations, observations, observations
(surface, upper-air, satellite, radar, etc)
• Computer guidance (the “models”)
• Personal experience (“I’ve seen that before”)
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Meteorology 101
Surface observations
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Meteorology 101
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Sources of Surface Observations
• ASOS – Owned and maintained by the NWS
ASOS – Automated Surface Observing System
AWOS – Automated Weather Observing Station
Meteorology 101
• Federal AWOS – Owned and maintained by the FAA
• Non-Federal AWOS – Owned and maintained by state, city, and county agencies (incl. DOT), and private airports
• Military bases – manually taken observations
• CoOp observers – NWS volunteer network, manually taken observations
*All are transmitted via FAA data lines to NWS to WSI to TWC.
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Other Sources of Surface Observations
• Private Mesonets – such as AWS (Weatherbug), etc.,
• Owned and operated by private network
• Not available for use by other private companies
Meteorology 101
• Public Mesonets – including RWIS, etc.• Public Mesonets – including RWIS, etc.
• Owned and operated by government agencies
• May not be centrally collected
• Academic/Research Mesonets
• Owned and operated by universities and research institutions
• May be available for use by private companies
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Upper-air observations
Meteorology 101
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Meteorology 101
Satellite Imagery
1 km resolution
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Meteorology 101
VisibleWater Vapor
Infrared
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Meteorology 101
Doppler Radar
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Tornado on Doppler Radar
Meteorology 101
Reflectivity Velocity
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Meteorology 101
Doppler radar network
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Meteorology 101
Weather forecasts have improved
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Meteorology 101
Computer Models: Numerical Weather Prediction
Temp future time
=Temp now
+Change in Temp between now and future time
What processes change temperature?
• Sunshine
• Wind Direction
• Evaporation
• Pressure changes
• Etc, etc, etc
Computer is programmed
with mathematical
representations of these
processes.
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Meteorology 101
ENIAC - University of Pennsylvania, 1945
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Meteorology 101
Modern Computer Model Output (map form)
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Meteorology 101
Modern Computer Model Output (map form)
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Meteorology 101
FOUS62 KWNO 171200
OUTPUT FROM ETA 12Z FEB 17 04
TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5 TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5
DCA//504026 02523 370707 34989496 ORF//766649 -1014 340515 40039999
06000527423 01319 331007 34019596 06007938417 02008 310314 41030000
12000736828 -0615 300709 34019696 12015968326 -1805 270120 41030000
18000885821 -0814 280212 32009696 18001968328 -6009 253518 39020000 18000885821 -0814 280212 32009696 18001968328 -6009 253518 39020000
24000925418 -1114 263614 30989795 24000966327 01213 233422 34019897
30000562608 -3115 243414 30039794 30000784707 -1612 233521 32029796
36000552244 -1619 233316 35019795 36000602016 -2418 223314 35049895
42000644246 -1316 192811 38000098 42000602335 00618 203113 40029999
48000485637 06212 152415 41010099 48000534040 -2716 182620 43020399
Modern Computer Model Output (tabular form)
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Meteorology 101
Some “folklores” are useful
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Meteorology 101
Fundamentals(Some)
Fundamentalsof Weather
Jon Nese and Jen Carfagno
The Weather Channel
February 22, 2004
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TWC Mission
Making a difference in people’s lives, one forecast at a time.
Meteorology 101
• What value can we add (eg, experts).
• Communication of uncertainty - the atmosphere is a very complicated system (hurricanes, March 2001 snowstorm)
• Educate the public
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Operations Overview
Meteorology 101
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Meteorology 101