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Proprietary and Confidential © Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved. 1 Washington, DC / London / Paris November Jason Marcheck Service Director, Service Provider Infrastructure Ed Gubbins Senior Analyst, Mobile Access Infrastructure Small Cells Get Serious What You Need to Know Before 2014

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Proprietary and Confidential© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved. 1

Washington, DC / London / Paris

November

Jason Marcheck

Service Director, Service Provider Infrastructure

Ed Gubbins

Senior Analyst, Mobile Access Infrastructure

Small Cells Get Serious

What You Need to Know Before 2014

Proprietary and Confidential© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved. 2

Small Cells Get Serious

How We Got Here

Important Players & Their Moves

Market Dynamics

What’s Next

Agenda

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Small Cells Get Serious

1. How We Got Here

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Small Cells Get Serious

Coverage Capacity

Finite Spectrum vs. Data Growth

LTE Vendor Selection Lockdown

Value Proposition / Drivers

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Small Cells Get Serious

Opportunities & Challenges

New Deployment

Scenarios

Backhaul

Interference /

Coordination

Potential Threat to

Macrocell Incumbents

Expand Walletshare

Penetrate New Accounts

Offer Network

Optimization

Address WiFi / RAN

Convergence

Offer Professional /

Managed Services

Opportunities

Challenges

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Small Cells Get Serious

2012: RAN Vendors

Unanimously Embrace

Small Cells

2013: Solutions Evolve as

Vendors Engage with

Customers

2013: Early Deployments

Begin

2014: Deployments

Expected to Increase

Chronology

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Small Cells Get Serious

2. The Players

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Small Cells Get Serious

Vendor Landscape

Top RAN Vendors

Alcatel-Lucent

Ericsson

Huawei

NSN

ZTE

Airspan

Aricent

Cisco

Fujitsu

ip.access

NEC

Purewave

Samsung

Z-Com

Challengers Startups

Accelleran

Contela

Juni Global

Qucell

Spidercloud

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Small Cells Get Serious

Competitive Position: Alcatel-Lucent

Penetrate New Accounts

Expand 3G Presence

Incumbents‘ Advantage

Company-Level Restructuring

Opportunities Threats

Broad Portfolio

Proactive Approach

Deployment Traction

Indoor WiFi Support

Indoor LTE Support

Strengths Weaknesses

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Small Cells Get Serious

Competitive Position: Cisco

Leverage Strong

Indoor/Enterprise Presence

Expand into RAN Marketshare

RAN Vendors Pushing Into WiFi

Macrocentric HetNets

Opportunities Threats

WiFi/RAN Convergence Play

Optimization/Monetization Story

Lack of Macrocells, RAN Authority

LTE, Outdoor Timing

Strengths Weaknesses

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Small Cells Get Serious

Competitive Position: NSN

Deepen Penetration of LTE

Networks

Increase Service Revenue with

Deployment Planning & Install

Backhaul Confusion

Integrated Indoor WiFi/RAN Plays

Opportunities Threats

Compact Form Factors

Differentiating Flexi Zone

architecture

Standalone-to-Zone Evolution

Unclear

Indoor WiFi Support

Strengths Weaknesses

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Small Cells Get Serious

3. Market Dynamics

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Small Cells Get Serious

Market Dynamics

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Small Cells Get Serious

Technology Debates

Operational Challenges

Partnerships Abound

Startup Survival Game?

Outdoor Backhaul

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Small Cells Get Serious

Small-Cells-as-a-Service

(NEC)

SpiderCloud

Cisco Aironet /

Quantum

Ericsson Dot, Huawei

LampSite

Indoor Models

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Small Cells Get Serious

Integration Questions

Access Selection

Challenges

Enter Cisco

RAN/WiFi Convergence

Models Evolve

WiFi

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Small Cells Get Serious

4. What’s Next?

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Small Cells Get Serious

Deployment

Activity

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Small Cells Get Serious

What to Expect

Integrated multimode small cells roll out

In-building business models prove out

HetNets + WiFi integration drive need for intelligent access selection

Near Term

Outdoor deployments follow indoor, driving next-gen backhaul

Outdoor backhaul vendor landscape shakes out

Multimode small cells give way to LTE dominance

WiFi-enabled HetNets drive need for optimization, orchestration

Longer Term

Proprietary and Confidential© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved. 20

Proprietary and Confidential© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved. 20

Thank You

Jason Marcheck

Service Director, Service Provider Infrastructure

[email protected]

Ed Gubbins

Senior Analyst

[email protected]

+1 703-788-3609

Twitter: @eGubbinsAnalyst @CurrentAnalysis

Current Analysis helps clients differentiate themselves in the marketplace and win more business by providing

continuous, in-depth competitive intelligence. We enable sales teams, marketing professionals, product

managers, and executives to anticipate market opportunities and quickly respond to competitor threats.

Questions?