sesi 10-11 forecasting - wordpress.com · 2010. 11. 24. · sesi 11-12 dosen pembina : danang...
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1
IF-UTAMA 1
Forecasting
Sesi 11-12
Dosen Pembina :
Danang Junaedi
IF-UTAMA 2
Introduction
IF-UTAMA 3
Definition
IF-UTAMA 4
Types of Forecasting by Time Horizon
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2
IF-UTAMA 5
Forecasting Approaches
IF-UTAMA 6
Overview of Qualitative Method
IF-UTAMA 7
Overview of Quantitative Method
IF-UTAMA 8
Time Series
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IF-UTAMA 9
Time Series Component
IF-UTAMA 10
Overview of Trend Component
IF-UTAMA 11
Overview of Seasonal Component
IF-UTAMA 12
Overview of Cyclical Component
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IF-UTAMA 13
Overview of Random Component
IF-UTAMA 14
Time Series Forecasting
IF-UTAMA 15
Stationary Forecasting Model
IF-UTAMA 16
Stationary Forecasting Model
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IF-UTAMA 17
Method for Stationary Time Series
IF-UTAMA 18
Method for Stationary Time Series
IF-UTAMA 19
Example
IF-UTAMA 20
Example
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IF-UTAMA 21
Example
IF-UTAMA 22
Example
IF-UTAMA 23
Example
IF-UTAMA 24
Example
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IF-UTAMA 25
Method for Stationary Time Series
IF-UTAMA 26
Method for Stationary Time Series
IF-UTAMA 27
Method for Stationary Time Series
IF-UTAMA 28
Method for Stationary Time Series
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IF-UTAMA 29
Example
IF-UTAMA 30
Exponential Smoothing Method Trlationship with Simple Moving Average
IF-UTAMA 31
Example
IF-UTAMA 32
Example
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IF-UTAMA 33
Example
IF-UTAMA 34
Example
IF-UTAMA 35
Performance of Forecasting
Methods
IF-UTAMA 36
Performance of Forecasting Methods
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IF-UTAMA 37
Example
IF-UTAMA 38
Example
IF-UTAMA 39
Linear Trend Time Series
Methods
IF-UTAMA 40
Linear Trend Time Series Methods
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IF-UTAMA 41
Linear Trend Time Series Methods
IF-UTAMA 42
Example
IF-UTAMA 43
Example
IF-UTAMA 44
Linear Trend Time Series Methods
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IF-UTAMA 45
Linear Trend Time Series Methods
IF-UTAMA 46
Example
IF-UTAMA 47
Example
IF-UTAMA 48
Trend, Seasonal and Cyclical
Time Series
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IF-UTAMA 49
General Time Series Models
IF-UTAMA 50
Additive and Multiplicative Model
IF-UTAMA 51
Forecasting with Trend and Seasonal Components
IF-UTAMA 52
Example
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IF-UTAMA 53
Example
IF-UTAMA 54
Example
IF-UTAMA 55
Example
IF-UTAMA 56
Example
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IF-UTAMA 57
Example
IF-UTAMA 58
Example
IF-UTAMA 59
Example
IF-UTAMA 60
Example
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IF-UTAMA 61
Example
IF-UTAMA 62
IF-UTAMA 63
Referensi
1.1. Dr. Dr. MouradMourad YKHLEFYKHLEF,2009,,2009,Decision Decision
Support SystemSupport System--ForecastingForecasting, King , King
SaudSaud UniversityUniversity