september 10, 2015 economic impact of scotland’s colleges

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September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

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Page 1: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

September 10, 2015

Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

Page 2: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

Background to set the stage: our “credentials”11

on the agenda…

22 Differences in economic impact studies—understand the context for the economic impact results and what they mean

33 Results: A broad overview of the results followed by Q & A

Page 3: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

“Colleges Scotland is the collective voice of the college sector in Scotland; striving to create cohesive and sustainable partnerships, demonstrate positive impact, acting as representatives, and campaigning for the sector”

Colleges Scotland mission statement

Page 4: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

background

Economic impact studies:

•1,500 + US, UK, Canada, Australia

•UK: 130 studies, of which 22 colleges have refreshed more than once, 1 university study + regional aggregates

Page 5: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

differences in impact studies

Page 6: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

introduction to results

22

11

33

44

Total revenue: £658 million

Served approximately 270,000 learners 2013/14

Aggregate study, 26 FE colleges

Demographics: 48% male, 52% female, 85% white, 15% minority, average age 17 years

Page 7: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

the EMSI study

added workforce

skills

College and staffexpenditures

learner taxpayersociety

Scottish impact (region)

Stakeholder investment

Two components

Page 8: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

Scotland’s GDP £ 170 billion

Objective: measure how much of GDP is attributable to the colleges

NET LEARNER

SPENDINGADDED

WORKFORCE SKILLS

STAFF AND COLLEGE

EXPENDITURES

impacts of Scotland’s Colleges measured against GDP

Page 9: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

results: total impact

Staff and college expenditure impacts

£ 700.8M

Added workforce skills impacts

£ 14.2B

8.8% of all Scottish income + 593K average wage jobs£14.9B/yeartotal £14.9B/year

Page 10: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

++++++++

Average income at career midpoint and unemployment rates

£17,000£18,000

£20,000£23,000

Entry SVQ 1 SVQ 2 SVQ 3

results: learner perspective

>SVQ 3

£34,000

15%

12%

11%

8%

5%

Page 11: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

results: investment analysis

IRR = 14.8%

learner perspective• tally up higher earnings

• tally up tuition + opportunity cost of time

social perspective (broad)• tally up higher earnings + avoided costs

• tally up all costs to society

B/C = 6.3

IRR = 16.4%

B/C = 6.3

taxpayer perspective (narrow)• tally up increased tax collections + avoided costs

• tally up taxpayer investments

B/C = 5.7

IRR = 15.6%

Page 12: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

create new income and jobs in the country by stimulating regional economies directly and indirectly through added workforce skills

in summary… Scotland’s Colleges collectively…

✓✓✓ generate economic benefits far beyond taxpayer costs

save £ millions in social costs every year and improve the quality of life

greatly increase the lifetime earnings of learners

Page 13: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

Moving the needle in the future….Moving the needle in the future….

Page 14: September 10, 2015 Economic Impact of Scotland’s Colleges

? Kjell Christophersen, Founder and Chief Economist, [email protected], +1 208.882.3567

Q & A