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TRANSCRIPT
19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 1
Sept 2013
Overview Table 1.1 Overview trends for Domestic, Export and Import trade
Source: ABS SW = Shipped Weight MAT = Moving Annual Total
Graph 1.1: Monthly Australian Pig Slaughtering Trends – 2010 –2013
Domestic Exports Imports
Month Slaughter
(000’s)
Pigmeat
(Tonnes)
Volume
Tonnes
SW
Value
$AUD
(Million)
Volume
Tonnes
SW
Value
$AUD
(Million)
MAT
Sept-13
4,806 360,866 35,409 100.6 144,965 507.9
MAT
Sept-12
4,700 348,923 35,091 104.1 145,073 485.5
% Change 2.2% 3.4% 0.9% -3.4% -0.1% 4.6%
Sept-13 385 29,200 3,022 9.2 10,669 37.8
Sept-12 367 27,667 2,718 8.2 10,680 37.0
% Change 5.0% 5.5% 11.2% 12.6% -0.1% 2.3%
APL Import, Export & Domestic Production Report - Market Reporting Unit
19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 2
Production Table 2.1: Australian slaughter and production trends Sept 2013 and Comparison to Sept 2012
Graph 2.1: Monthly and MAT Pig Slaughter Numbers Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Graph 2.2: Monthly & MAT Australian Pig Meat Production Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight
Month Monthly
(000’s)
MAT
(000’s)
Monthly
(Tonnes)
MAT
(Tonnes)
Monthly
kg/head
12 month Avg.
kg/head
Sept-13 385 4,806 29,200 360,866 75.8 75.1
Sept-12 367 4,700 27,667 348,923 75.4 74.2
% Change 5.0% 2.2% 5.5% 3.4% 0.5% 1.2%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 3
Table 2.2: Slaughtering by Type – MAT Sept 2013 and comparison to MAT Sept 2012 Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight
Sept13 MAT (000s) % Change vs.
YA
MAT
(Tonnes)
% Change vs.
YA
12 Month
Avg.
kg/Head
Change
vs. YA
(kg/Head)
Porkers 397 -8.0% 20,575 -6.6% 52.0 1.7%
Baconers 4,262 3.4% 321,774 4.5% 75.4 1.0%
Sows 105 -3.9% 16,611 -3.4% 158.3 0.4%
Other Pigs 43 9.1% 1,905 4.2% 48.5 -0.7%
Graph 2.3: Australian Sow Slaughtering Trend – Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Table 2.3: Monthly Slaughtering Comparison YOY 2008–2013
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 421.4 406.5 435.4 443.3 432.8 406.3 403.1 365.5 374.6 373.6 348.4 408.1
2009 348.7 338.3 369.3 379.8 378.1 388.8 393.7 367.4 385.1 366.7 364.2 420.1
2010 329.9 344.7 415.8 367.5 399.1 406.8 409.0 388.3 404.0 352.1 376.6 422.8
2011 336.8 347.8 411.1 361.3 419.2 413.9 390.8 415.3 396.2 361.9 389.8 418.7
2012 363.3 385.5 404.9 367.0 439.2 399.9 402.0 401.3 366.9 400.9 393.9 403.3
2013 378.5 370.3 391.3 398.1 447.6 391.3 438.7 406.3 385.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
YoY % Chg 08/09 -17.3% -16.8% -15.2% -14.3% -12.6% -4.3% -2.3% 0.5% 2.8% -1.9% 4.5% 2.9%
YoY % Chg 09/10 -5.4% 1.9% 12.6% -3.2% 5.6% 4.6% 3.9% 5.7% 4.9% -4.0% 3.4% 0.6%
YoY % Chg 10/11 2.1% 0.9% -1.1% -1.7% 5.0% 1.8% -4.5% 7.0% -1.9% 2.8% 3.5% -1.0%
YoY % Chg 11/12 7.9% 10.8% -1.5% 1.6% 4.8% -3.4% 2.9% -3.4% -7.4% 10.8% 1.0% -3.7%
YoY % Chg 12/13 4.2% -3.9% -3.3% 8.5% 1.9% -2.2% 9.1% 1.2% 5.0% -100.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Monthly Slaughterings (000's)
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 4
Graph 2.4: Slaughtering by State
Table 2.4: Slaughtering by State – MAT Sept 2013 and comparison to MAT Sept 2012 Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight
Sept 13 MAT (000s) % Change vs.
YA
MAT
(Tonnes)
% Change vs.
YA
12 Month
Avg.
(kg/Head)
Change
vs. YA
(kg/Head)
NSW 932 -0.3% 68,496 3.5% 73.5 3.7%
VIC 979 8.5% 74,021 7.9% 75.6 -0.6%
QLD 1103 0.3% 85,472 2.0% 77.5 1.6%
SA 1228 0.7% 91,834 0.9% 74.8 0.2%
WA 527 3.5% 38,909 4.8% 73.8 1.2%
TAS 36 1.5% 2,134 1.3% 60.0 -0.2%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 5
Exports
Table 3.1: Australian Farmed Pig Exports – Sept 2013 comparison to Sept 2012
Graph 3.1: Volume of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Graph 3.2: Value of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value
Month Monthly
(000’s)
MAT
(000’s)
Monthly
(million)
MAT
(million)
Monthly
$A/kg
12 month Avg.
$A/kg
Sept-13 3,022 35,409 9.2 100.6 $3.04 $2.85
Sept-12 2,718 35,091 8.2 104.1 $3.00 $2.97
% Change 11.2% 0.9% 12.6% -3.4% 1.3% -4.2%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 6
Table 3.2: Australian Pig Exports by Key Export Countries – MAT Sept 2013 comparison to MAT Sept 2012
Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value
Sept 13 MAT
(000’s)
% Change
vs. YA
MAT
(million)
% Change
vs. YA
MAT Avg.
$A/KG
% Change
vs. YA
Singapore 10,756 -12.9% 43.0 -10.5% $4.02 3.4%
New Zealand 5,212 8.8% 15.7 8.5% $3.01 0.1%
Hong Kong 4,533 6.3% 9.9 6.8% $2.20 0.0%
Philippines 5,603 39.2% 7.5 49.6% $1.32 8.8%
Papua New Guinea 4,190 5.4% 13.3 -4.6% $3.17 -10.1%
Graph 3.3: Percentage Volume Share of Farmed Exports by Country – MAT to Sept 2013
Table 3.3: Farmed Exports by State of Origin – MAT Sept 2013
Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value
Sept 13 MAT
(000’s)
% Change vs.
YA
MAT
(000’s)
% Change vs.
YA
MAT Avg.
$A/kg
% Change vs.
YA
NSW 7,693 -8.4% 22,276 -8.8% $2.90 -0.5%
VIC 8,760 5.0% 22,368 -11.6% $2.55 -15.8%
QLD 5,729 -18.4% 18,233 -16.5% $3.18 2.3%
SA 5,550 16.7% 8,828 16.9% $1.59 0.1%
WA 6,514 7.4% 25,874 10.0% $3.97 2.4%
TAS 0 -100.0% 0 -100.0% 0.0%
NT 1.6 -2.6% 17 15.8% $10.25 19.0%
Re-Export 1161 127.1% 2,979 111.3% $2.57 -7.0%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 7
Export Breakdown by Month
Table 3.4: Exports by Country Sept 2013 comparison to Sept 2012 Australian Exports by Destination
Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)
Sept-12 Sept-13
% Change
vs. YA Sept-12 Sept-13
% Change
vs. YA
Singapore 945.0 690.5 -27% 3548.1 3422.0 -4%
New Zealand 381.9 453.7 19% 1281.4 1569.4 22%
Hong Kong (Sar of China) 283.4 480.1 69% 499.3 1338.0 168%
Papua New Guinea 315.0 392.0 24% 1114.7 1159.1 4%
Philippines 421.2 474.3 13% 568.9 571.6 0%
China 36.6 153.4 319% 40.0 179.6 349%
Malaysia 25.5 60.8 139% 95.3 170.3 79%
Japan 48.2 29.5 -39% 281.1 146.3 -48%
Nauru 0.0 22.5 0.0 131.6
Fiji 11.2 18.3 64% 93.5 107.2 15%
New Caledonia 41.9 37.0 -12% 209.1 103.5 -51%
Norfolk Island 22.0 1.0 -95% 58.5 60.0 3%
South Africa 101.0 73.5 -27% 57.5 44.7 -22%
Viet Nam 33.8 33.2 -2% 50.4 44.5 -12%
United States of America 0.0 47.0 0.0 32.8
Indonesia 0.0 25.0 0.0 32.5
Korea, Republic of 16.0 23.4 46% 30.6 25.1 -18%
Brunei Darussalam 1.9 2.2 16% 17.9 21.9 23%
Vanuatu 2.8 1.4 -51% 19.1 12.2 -36%
Solomon Islands 6.1 3.0 -51% 38.1 6.9 -82%
United Arab Emirates 2.0 0.2 -88% 28.3 2.5 -91%
Bangladesh 0.1 0.1 0% 1.0 0.9 -10%
East Timor, Dem Rep of 2.7 0.0 -100% 34.4 0.0 -100%
Maldives 0.2 0.0 -100% 1.3 0.0 -100%
Tonga 19.0 0.0 -100% 58.9 0.0 -100%
Spain 0.6 0.0 -100% 26.4 0.0 -100%
Grand Total 2,718 3,022 11.2% 8,154 9,183 12.6%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 8
Imports
Table 4.1: Australian Pig Imports – Sept 2013 comparison to Sept 2012
Graph 4.1: Volume of Australian Pork Imports Monthly and MAT – Sept 2008 to Sept 2013
Table 4.2: Australian Imports by Key Import Countries – MAT Sept 2013 comparison to MAT Sept 2012
Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value
Sept 13 MAT
(000’s)
% Change
vs. YA
MAT
(million)
% Change
vs. YA
MAT Avg.
$A/kg
% Change
vs. YA
USA 56,830 -3.3% 171.1 -6.2% $3.01 -3.0%
Denmark 42,855 8.5% 162.1 18.2% $3.78 8.9%
Canada 28,129 -1.3% 91.9 -2.4% $3.27 -1.1%
Netherlands 14,126 -14.4% 54.7 0.5% $3.87 17.3%
Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value
Month Monthly
(000’s)
MAT
(000’s)
Monthly
(million)
MAT
(million)
Monthly
$A/kg
12 month Avg.
$A/kg
Sept-13 10,669 144,965 37.8 507.9 $3.55 $3.50
Sept-12 10,680 145,073 37.0 485.5 $3.46 $3.35
% Change -0.1% -0.1% 2.3% 4.6% 2.4% 4.7%
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 9
Graph 4.2: Australian Monthly Pork Import Volume Trends – 2010–2013
Graph 4.3: Australian Import Volume Share by Country – Financial Year Comparison
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19/11/2013 Commercial In Confidence 10
Import Breakdown by Month
Table 4.3: Imports by Origin Sept 2013 comparison to Sept 2012
Australian Imports by Destination
Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)
Sept-12 Sept-13
% Change
vs. YA Sept-12 Sept-13
% Change
vs. YA
United States of America 3492.7 3696.5 5.8% 10833.2 11657.2 3492.7
Canada 1552.5 3411.0 119.7% 4816.8 10908.1 126.5%
Denmark 3795.3 2384.7 -37.2% 13603.8 9214.3 -32.3%
Netherlands 1615.8 805.9 -50.1% 5667.2 3357.5 -40.8%
Ireland 0.0 258.8 0.0 1115.1
Italy 80.7 44.2 -45.2% 1227.3 823.2 -32.9%
Spain 32.1 42.2 31.3% 348.7 629.1 80.4%
China 29.5 14.3 -51.5% 98.9 50.3 -49.1%
Korea, Republic of 6.3 9.9 57.7% 36.7 55.4 51.1%
Croatia 0.8 0.9 7.2% 5.9 7.0 17.4%
Taiwan 1.5 0.5 -69.5% 9.5 2.6 -72.6%
France 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.1
Sweden 71.3 0.0 -100.0% 329.8 0.0 -100.0%
Belgium 1.4 0.0 -100.0% 10.4 0.0 -100.0%
Grand Total 10,680 10,669 -0.1% 36,988
37,822 2.3%
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