september 2016 - australian porkaustralianpork.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/imports...september...

23/11/2016 Commercial In Confidence 1

September 2016

Overview

Table 1.1 Overview trends for Domestic, Export and Import trade

Source: ABS SW = Shipped Weight MAT = Moving Annual Total

Graph 1.1: Monthly Australian Pig Slaughtering Trends – 2012 –2016

Domestic Exports Imports

Month Slaughter

(000’s)

Pigmeat

(Tonnes)

Volume

Tonnes

SW

Value

$AUD

(Million)

Volume

Tonnes

SW

Value

$AUD

(Million)

MAT Sep-16 5,058 382,053 35,291 132.6 162,470 615.3

MAT Sep-15 4,934 373,073 35,099 122.0 172,602 681.6

% Change 2.5% 2.4% 0.5% 8.7% -5.9% -9.7%

Sep-16 426 32,499 3,036 10.9 11,718 44.9

Sep-15 420 32,165 2,602 11.5 13,456 51.4

% Change 1.5% 1.0% 16.7% -5.5% -12.9% -12.7%

APL Import, Export & Domestic Production Report - Market Reporting Unit


Production

Table 2.1: Australian slaughter and production trends September 2016 and Comparison to September 2015

Graph 2.1: Monthly and MAT Pig Slaughter Numbers September 2011 to September 2016

Graph 2.2: Monthly & MAT Australian Pig Meat Production September 2011 to September 2016

Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Month Monthly

(000’s)

MAT

(000’s)

Monthly

(Tonnes)

MAT

(Tonnes)

Monthly

kg/head

12 month Avg.

kg/head

Sep-16 426 5,058 32,499 382,053 76.3 75.5

Sep-15 420 4,934 32,165 373,073 76.6 75.6

% Change 1.5% 2.5% 1.0% 2.4% -0.5% -0.1%



Table 2.2: Slaughtering by Type – MAT September 2016 and comparison to MAT September 2015 Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Sept 16 MAT (000s) % Change

vs. YA

MAT

(Tonnes)

% Change

vs. YA

12 Month

Avg.

kg/Head

Change

vs. YA

(kg/Head)

Porkers 252 -26.1% 13,794 -24.3% 54.6 2.2%

Baconers 4,606 3.7% 347,573 4.5% 75.4 0.6%

Sows 108 -4.9% 16,902 -4.8% 155.7 0.0%

Other Pigs 91 144.7% 3,792 -12.5% 42.5 -62.8%

Graph 2.3: Australian Sow Slaughtering Trend – September 2011 to September 2016

Table 2.3: Monthly Slaughtering Comparison YOY 2010–2016

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2010 329.9 344.7 415.8 367.5 399.1 406.8 409.0 388.3 404.0 352.1 376.6 422.8

2011 336.8 347.8 411.1 361.3 419.2 413.9 390.8 415.3 396.2 361.9 389.8 418.7

2012 363.3 385.5 404.9 367.0 439.2 399.9 402.0 401.3 366.9 400.9 393.9 403.3

2013 378.5 370.3 391.3 398.1 447.6 391.3 438.7 406.3 385.3 389.4 376.1 404.4

2014 385.6 372.0 397.3 382.4 428.5 412.1 428.2 391.7 413.4 406.5 370.9 422.9

2015 381.1 393.2 441.2 409.1 429.6 436.2 429.6 393.8 419.8 389.4 389.7 444.7

2016 363.2 411.7 435.1 421.8 445.0 455.7 425.9 449.1 426.2 0.0 0.0 0.0

YoY % Chg 10/11 2.1% 0.9% -1.1% -1.7% 5.0% 1.8% -4.5% 7.0% -1.9% 2.8% 3.5% -1.0%

YoY % Chg 11/12 7.9% 10.8% -1.5% 1.6% 4.8% -3.4% 2.9% -3.4% -7.4% 10.8% 1.0% -3.7%

YoY % Chg 12/13 4.2% -3.9% -3.3% 8.5% 1.9% -2.2% 9.1% 1.2% 5.0% -2.9% -4.5% 0.3%

YoY % Chg 13/14 1.9% 0.5% 1.5% -3.9% -4.3% 5.3% -2.4% -3.6% 7.3% 4.4% -1.4% 4.6%

YoY % Chg 14/15 -1.2% 5.7% 11.0% 7.0% 0.3% 5.9% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% -4.2% 5.1% 5.2%

YoY % Chg 15/16 -4.7% 4.7% -1.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% -0.9% 14.0% 1.5% -100.0% -100.0% -100.0%

Monthly Slaughterings (000's)



Graph 2.4: Slaughtering by State

Table 2.4: Slaughtering by State – MAT September 2016 and comparison to MAT September 2015 Slaughtering Pig Meat Production Average Slaughter Weight

Sept 16 MAT

(000s)

% Change vs.

YA

MAT

(Tonnes)

% Change vs.

YA

12 Month

Avg.

(kg/Head)

Change

vs. YA

(kg/Head)

NSW 803 -4.5% 58,199 -4.6% 72.5 -0.1%

VIC 1138 -0.1% 86,994 -0.8% 76.4 -0.7%

QLD 1154 4.9% 90,043 2.6% 78.0 -2.2%

SA 1240 3.8% 93,750 4.8% 75.6 0.9%

WA 687 9.9% 50,871 12.9% 74.1 2.7%

TAS 35 1.4% 2,202 5.2% 62.9 3.7%



Exports

Table 3.1: Australian Farmed Pig Exports – September 2016 comparison to September 2015

Graph 3.1: Volume of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – September 2011 to September 2016

Graph 3.2: Value of Australian Farmed Pigmeat Exports Monthly and MAT – September 2011 to September 2016

Volume kg’s SW Value $A Per unit Value

Month Monthly

(000’s)

MAT

(000’s)

Monthly

(million)

MAT

(million)

Monthly

$A/kg

12 month Avg.

$A/kg

Sep-16 3,036 35,291 10.9 132.6 $3.58 $3.79

Sep-15 2,602 35,099 11.5 122.0 $4.42 $3.49

% Change 16.7% 0.5% -5.5% 8.7% -19.0% 8.4%



Table 3.2: Australian Pig Exports by Key Export Countries – MAT Sept 2016 comparison to MAT Sept 2015


Sept 16 MAT

(000’s)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT

(million)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT Avg.

$A/KG

% Change

vs. YA

Singapore 14,472 6.3% 76.4 24.5% $5.28 16.9%

New Zealand 4,340 -9.2% 13.7 -29.0% $3.24 -25.4%

Hong Kong 3,767 10.2% 12.2 27.6% $3.27 12.9%

Philippines 4,729 48.6% 5.9 52.3% $1.26 3.2%

Papua New Guinea 3,736 -18.5% 10.6 -31.5% $3.00 -11.7%

Graph 3.3: Percentage Volume Share of Farmed Exports by Country – MAT to September 2016

Table 3.3: Farmed Exports by State of Origin – MAT September 2016


September 16 MAT

(000’s)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT

(000’s)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT Avg.

$A/kg

% Change

vs. YA

NSW 7,800 22.0% 26,827 21.0% $3.44 -0.8%

VIC 7,603 -13.9% 34,024 16.3% $4.48 35.0%

QLD 4,454 -31.7% 11,741 -46.8% $2.64 -22.0%

SA 6,339 48.2% 21,373 87.5% $3.37 26.6%

WA 8,306 8.7% 36,507 10.2% $4.40 1.4%

NT 298.0 -0.7% 676 51.6% $2.27 52.6%

Re-Export 491 -56.6% 1,431 -59.7% $2.91 -7.1%



Export Breakdown by Month

Table 3.4: Exports by Country September 2016 comparison to September 2015 Australian Exports by Destination

Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)

Sept-15 Sept-16

% Change

vs. YA Sept-15 Sept-16

% Change

vs. YA

Singapore 1132.5 1171.5 3% 5837.1 6016.7 3%

Hong Kong (Sar of China) 394.0 333.5 -15% 892.0 1150.9 29%

Papua New Guinea 317.7 419.1 32% 1036.7 969.2 -7%

New Zealand 311.1 247.2 -21% 2839.8 852.9 -70%

Japan 38.6 51.8 34% 126.7 470.9 272%

Philippines 233.5 407.6 75% 293.2 385.4 31%

Fiji 9.5 28.1 194% 95.0 217.4 129%

Viet Nam 44.8 147.5 229% 72.3 201.4 179%

Taiwan 0.0 8.2 0.0 123.1

Malaysia 75.6 44.6 -41% 172.9 102.3 -41%

Solomon Islands 0.0 10.7 0.0 100.3

China (excluding SARs and

Taiwan)

16.3 89.1 448% 14.0 96.2 587%

Nauru 6.9 15.8 127% 40.5 91.7 126%

Korea, Republic of 17.4 46.4 167% 46.7 51.0 9%

Samoa 0.0 12.0 0.0 20.0

Vanuatu 1.4 2.2 60% 11.7 19.2 64%

Maldives 0.0 0.7 0.0 8.8

Cambodia 0.1 0.0 -100% 0.7 0.0 -100%

Kiribati 1.3 0.0 -100% 11.1 0.0 -100%

New Caledonia 0.7 0.0 -100% 10.1 0.0 -100%

Thailand 0.2 0.0 -100% 5.1 0.0 -100%

Grand Total

2,602 3,036 17% 11,506

10,877 -5%



Imports

Table 4.1: Australian Pig Imports – September 2016 comparison to September 2015

Graph 4.1: Volume of Australian Pork Imports Monthly and MAT – September 2011 to September 2016

Table 4.2: Australian Imports by Key Import Countries – MAT Sept 2016 comparison to MAT Sept 2015


September 16 MAT

(000’s)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT

(million)

% Change

vs. YA

MAT Avg.

$A/kg

% Change

vs. YA

USA 59,072 14.5% 214.3 6.9% $3.63 -6.6%

Denmark 55,635 -8.3% 209.3 -12.6% $3.76 -4.6%

Canada 17,899 -42.3% 64.9 -42.2% $3.63 0.2%

Netherlands 14,846 -19.5% 48.3 -28.9% $3.26 -11.7%


Month Monthly

(000’s)

MAT

(000’s)

Monthly

(million)

MAT

(million)

Monthly

$A/kg

12 month

Avg.

$A/kg

Sep-16 11,718 162,470 44.9 615.3 $3.83 $3.79

Sep-15 13,456 172,602 51.4 681.6 $3.82 $3.95

% Change -12.9% -5.9% -12.7% -9.7% 0.3% -4.1%



Graph 4.2: Australian Monthly Pork Import Volume Trends – 2012–2016

Graph 4.3: Australian Import Volume Share by Country – Financial Year Comparison



Import Breakdown by Month

Table 4.3: Imports by Origin September 2016 comparison to September 2015

Australian Imports by Destination

Volume (Tonnes) Value ($000s)

Sept-15 Sept-16

% Change

vs. YA Sept-15 Sept-16

% Change

vs. YA

United States of America 4791.5 4568.3 -4.7% 17135.3 16911.0 -1.3%

Denmark 4700.8 3762.4 -20.0% 18143.1 13657.2 -24.7%

Canada 1824.6 1121.0 -38.6% 6912.1 4436.8 -35.8%

Netherlands 975.0 1218.0 24.9% 3298.2 4021.9 21.9%

Ireland 472.8 404.4 -14.5% 1450.7 1336.4 -7.9%

Italy 88.9 64.8 -27.1% 1774.2 1271.8 -28.3%

Spain 29.8 65.5 119.8% 561.3 1080.4 92.5%

Belgium 490.6 323.6 -34.0% 1693.2 924.6 -45.4%

New Zealand 1.9 36.3 1817.3% 26.8 558.7 1982.3%

United Kingdom 23.3 114.8 393.3% 100.0 534.4 434.3%

Finland 0.0 23.5 0.0 111.0

China (excluding SARs and

Taiwan)

41.7 14.4 -65.5% 177.5 65.2 -63.2%

Philippines 0.0 0.6 0.0 5.0

Germany 6.6 0.5 -92.4% 51.2 2.4 -95.4%

Taiwan 5.1 0.2 -95.8% 87.5 1.9 -97.8%

France 0.4 0.1 -62.8% 6.7 1.3 -80.5%

Croatia 2.9 0.0 -100.0% 18.1 0.0 -100.0%

Thailand 0 - -100.0% 3 - -100.0%

Grand Total 13456.3 11718.4 -12.9% 51438.5 44920.0 -12.7%

Disclaimer: The information contained in this report cannot be forwarded to, or used by, any third party without prior written consent from Australian Pork

Limited (APL). This information has been collected and processed by APL and has not been prepared for any particular individual or entity. The information

contained in the report September not be an accurate reflection of market prices or of changes in market prices. The report does not constitute a

recommendation by, or opinion of, APL. While APL has no reason to believe that the information contained in this report is inaccurate, APL is unable to

guarantee the accuracy of the information at any point in time and, subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, accepts no responsibility for

loss suffered as a result of any party’s reliance on the accuracy or currency of the content of this report. The information contained in the report should not be

relied upon for any purpose, including as a substitute for professional advice. Nothing within the report constitutes an express or implied warranty, or

representation, with respect to any future matter or as to the value of or demand for any good.

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