sensors and live maps - geospatial world forum de bruin.pdf · overview sparse sample of critical...
TRANSCRIPT
Sensors and Live Maps
April 2012, Sytze de Bruin
Mobile mapping
Overview
Sparse sample of critical environmental variable
● No complete image
● Joint effort involving multiple observers/sensors
Explicitly support decision making
Objectives:
● Sample to obtain maximum information content
● Share data | information among observers
● Near real time mapping
Findings from cases
● Methodological development
Example: Mobile measuring devices: γ-dose
Where to optimally locate mobile
measuring devices given an
imminent emergency?
Simulated
disaster using
NPK-PUFF
atmospheric
dispersion
model
No hypothetical exercise
“the decision to evacuate people in a set
radius from the Fukushima Daiichi plant
is flawed”
http://maps.safecast.org/drive/4
Relevance
Mistakes are costly
Examples:
● Site selection (playground)
● Soil remediation
● Evacuate area (safe route)
● Precautionary measures (iodine)
Needed methods:
● Smart sampling
● Minimise the aggregated expected costs of making wrong
decisions (e.g. misclassification)
Synthetic case study, automated sensors
Threshold on 100 x 100 Gaussian Random Field
Initial sample: 16 sensors on regular grid
Measurement error considered
Scenarios:
● Add 1 obs./time; move sensor having lowest cost
● Add 2 obs./time; scan restricted neighbourhood (short-sighted ~ autonomous sensors)
● Add 2 obs./time; scan whole area, move sensors having lowest costs (~ centralized control)
Scenario 1: single sensor moving at a time P
robabili
ty m
ap
Scenario 2: two short-sighted sensors P
robabili
ty m
ap
Bigger problem: • 4 E(cost) maps
• 4 P(map)
• n(n-1) pot. solutions
Confine it?
Scenario 3: two sensors & heuristic optimiser P
robabili
ty m
ap
Cost plot: 2 moving sensors; 2 strategies
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
8500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Iteration
expected costs
real costs
expected costs
real costs
Aggre
gate
d m
iscla
ssific
ation c
osts
[-]
Exhaustive search (GA)
Restricted neighbourhood
Method: aggregated costs over whole map
Point carries information for neighbourhood (not just single location)
Integrate data from all sensors
1) Compute probability + en - signal at new sample site
2) Compute aggregated costs for both situations (geostatistical model)
3) Multiply [1] and [2] expected aggregated costs E(C)
4) Choose site having lowest E(C), highest Expected Value Of Information
Single moving sensor | small problem: exhaustive search
Otherwise: heuristic method, e.g. Genetic Algorithm
Note: EVOI is data dependent!
Photo: Jeroen Bosman
Simulated toxic plume over Wageningen campus
Student fieldwork on campus (Feb. 23)
Context: evacuate campus
Measurement = location, time
● using smartphone
Results
● sample from simulated plume
● map showing recent results of all
observers
Decide where to go next
Next day: present evacuation plan
100 most recent “measurements” at 15.00 Students almost immediately identified the source Find “decision boundary”
Spatio-temporal interpolation with hotspots
Near real time mapping
Optimally weigh data in space and time (model)
Deal with hot spots
Not solved yet
Some students complained
about lack of correspondence
with wind direction
Field experiment (learning map)
Mapping invasive species (real world)
Live updating of probability map
● Data of all students
● Remaining uncertainty
Monitoring EVOI
Other examples
Use EVOI:
● Translate geometric accuracy in economic loss precision
agriculture
● Soil remediation
● Starting project with IMAZON (NGO promoting sustainable
development in the Amazon) on carbon credits
Conclusions
Multiple sensors sampling critical environmental variable
Global data | information improves mobile mapping
● Automated: Expected Value Of Information (EVOI)
● Human: interpolated maps, EVOI, observations (raw data)
Autonomous decision making by individual sensors may fail
● Sensors get trapped in local optima
Need for fast solutions for optimising sample
We need fast interpolators for a variety of data types
● Spatio-temporal data are yet a challenge
● So are hot spots & other non-stationarity issues
Enabling technology