seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise ... · quakes demonstrated the...

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Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 1021–1031, 2009 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/9/1021/2009/ © Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and its neighbourhood K. A. Korkmaz Suleyman Demirel University, Civil Engineering Department, Isparta, Turkey Received: 2 March 2009 – Revised: 2 June 2009 – Accepted: 10 June 2009 – Published: 29 June 2009 Abstract. Pakistan and neighbourhood experience numer- ous earthquakes, most of which result in damaged or col- lapsed buildings and loss of life that also affect the econ- omy adversely. On 29 October, 2008, an earthquake of magnitude 6.5 occurred in Ziarat, Quetta Region, Pakistan which was followed by more than 400 aftershocks. Many villages were completely destroyed and more than 200 peo- ple died. The previous major earthquake was in 2005, known as the South Asian earthquake (M w =7.6) occurred in Kash- mir, where 80 000 people died. Inadequate building stock is to be blamed for the degree of disaster, as the majority of the buildings in the region are unreinforced masonry low- rise buildings. In this study, seismic vulnerability of region- ally common unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings was investigated using probabilistic based seismic safety assess- ment. The results of the study showed that unreinforced ma- sonry low-rise buildings display higher displacements and shear force. Probability of damage due to higher displace- ments and shear forces can be directly related to damage or collapse. 1 Introduction Earthquakes frequently hit different regions in Pakistan and its neighbourhood (see Fig. 1). On 29 October, 2008, a mag- nitude of 6.5 earthquake and more than 400 aftershocks hit Ziarat, Quetta Region, the provincial capital of Baluchis- tan, Pakistan. The Quetta region is one of the popular re- sort regions in Pakistan (see Fig. 2). This earthquake was responsible for more than 200 deaths, most of the existing Correspondence to: K. A. Korkmaz ([email protected]) buildings were collapsed, many villages were completely de- stroyed and left more than 40 000 people homeless. The previous major earthquake, also known as the South Asian earthquake, occurred in Kashmir in 2005 and 80 000 peo- ple died. Quetta was flattened in 1935 by an earthquake that killed 30 000 people. The vulnerability of urban areas to natural disasters in places like Pakistan and its neighbourhood has attracted sig- nificant attention among practical engineers in industry and researchers in academia (Mitomi et al., 2000). Although much research has been dedicated to prevention of at least reduction of disaster damage and loss, a satisfactory level has not been achieved. The utmost importance to achieve an ef- fective solution is the understanding of the real structural be- haviour. Time history analysis is one of the accurate methods for reliable definition of the structural behaviour of building stock in the region. Various researchers have studied dam- age assessment by using different applications for this region (Khan and Khan, 2008; Lisa et al., 2005; Naseer et al., 2007; Zare et al., 2008). This study focuses on seismic safety assessment of unrein- forced masonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and the neigh- bourhood using multiple methodologies. The seismic safety of unreinforced masonry buildings that dominate the build- ing inventory in the region was investigated by multiple ap- proaches. Four different representative buildings were mod- elled to demonstrate the building stock in the region. Non- linear time history analysis and probabilistic based seismic assessment analysis were performed on the representative buildings. The analysis results showed that unreinforced ma- sonry low-rise buildings present higher displacements, shear forces and probability of damage that can be directly related to damage or collapse. Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.

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  • Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 1021–1031, 2009www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/9/1021/2009/© Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed underthe Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

    Natural Hazardsand Earth

    System Sciences

    Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonrylow-rise buildings in Pakistan and its neighbourhood

    K. A. Korkmaz

    Suleyman Demirel University, Civil Engineering Department, Isparta, Turkey

    Received: 2 March 2009 – Revised: 2 June 2009 – Accepted: 10 June 2009 – Published: 29 June 2009

    Abstract. Pakistan and neighbourhood experience numer-ous earthquakes, most of which result in damaged or col-lapsed buildings and loss of life that also affect the econ-omy adversely. On 29 October, 2008, an earthquake ofmagnitude 6.5 occurred in Ziarat, Quetta Region, Pakistanwhich was followed by more than 400 aftershocks. Manyvillages were completely destroyed and more than 200 peo-ple died. The previous major earthquake was in 2005, knownas the South Asian earthquake (Mw=7.6) occurred in Kash-mir, where 80 000 people died. Inadequate building stock isto be blamed for the degree of disaster, as the majority ofthe buildings in the region are unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings. In this study, seismic vulnerability of region-ally common unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings wasinvestigated using probabilistic based seismic safety assess-ment. The results of the study showed that unreinforced ma-sonry low-rise buildings display higher displacements andshear force. Probability of damage due to higher displace-ments and shear forces can be directly related to damage orcollapse.

    1 Introduction

    Earthquakes frequently hit different regions in Pakistan andits neighbourhood (see Fig. 1). On 29 October, 2008, a mag-nitude of 6.5 earthquake and more than 400 aftershocks hitZiarat, Quetta Region, the provincial capital of Baluchis-tan, Pakistan. The Quetta region is one of the popular re-sort regions in Pakistan (see Fig. 2). This earthquake wasresponsible for more than 200 deaths, most of the existing

    Correspondence to:K. A. Korkmaz([email protected])

    buildings were collapsed, many villages were completely de-stroyed and left more than 40 000 people homeless. Theprevious major earthquake, also known as the South Asianearthquake, occurred in Kashmir in 2005 and 80 000 peo-ple died. Quetta was flattened in 1935 by an earthquake thatkilled 30 000 people.

    The vulnerability of urban areas to natural disasters inplaces like Pakistan and its neighbourhood has attracted sig-nificant attention among practical engineers in industry andresearchers in academia (Mitomi et al., 2000). Althoughmuch research has been dedicated to prevention of at leastreduction of disaster damage and loss, a satisfactory level hasnot been achieved. The utmost importance to achieve an ef-fective solution is the understanding of the real structural be-haviour. Time history analysis is one of the accurate methodsfor reliable definition of the structural behaviour of buildingstock in the region. Various researchers have studied dam-age assessment by using different applications for this region(Khan and Khan, 2008; Lisa et al., 2005; Naseer et al., 2007;Zare et al., 2008).

    This study focuses on seismic safety assessment of unrein-forced masonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and the neigh-bourhood using multiple methodologies. The seismic safetyof unreinforced masonry buildings that dominate the build-ing inventory in the region was investigated by multiple ap-proaches. Four different representative buildings were mod-elled to demonstrate the building stock in the region. Non-linear time history analysis and probabilistic based seismicassessment analysis were performed on the representativebuildings. The analysis results showed that unreinforced ma-sonry low-rise buildings present higher displacements, shearforces and probability of damage that can be directly relatedto damage or collapse.

    Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.

    http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

  • 1022 K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings

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    Figure 1. Map of Pakistan and its neighbourhood

    PAKISTAN AND ITS

    NEIGHBOURHOOD

    Fig. 1. Map of Pakistan and its neighbourhood.

    2 Seismicity of Pakistan and its neighbourhood

    Pakistan and its neighbourhood are prone to earthquakes. Ahigh frequency of earthquakes has been experienced, result-ing in loss of life and property destruction. According torecords, this region sits in a moderate to a high seismic risklevel. Parts of the North West Frontier Province, in the vicin-ity of Quetta and along the border with Iran, are in the highrisk areas. Historically, earthquakes in theMw 7.0 rangehave been experienced in Baluchistan and along the borderwith Afghanistan and India (ASC, 2009). The seismic mapof Pakistan and its neighbourhood is given in Fig. 3 and themajor earthquakes are given in Table 1 (GSP, 2009; Zaré etal., 2008; Khan and Khan, 2008). Earthquakes with a mag-nitude ofM>5 in between 1973 and 2009 are depicted inFig. 4. The Seismic hazard map is shown in Fig. 5 (USGS,2009).

    Table 1. Major earthquakes in Pakistan.

    Date Died People Affected People Damage ($)

    31/5/1935 35 000 – N/A27/10/1945 4000 – N/A28/12/1974 4700 – 3 million31/01/1991 5000 – N/A8/11/2005 73 338 2 869 142 5 billion29/11/2008 200 40 000 N/A

    3 Damage pattern

    The majority of the existing buildings in the region have notbeen designed to withstand earthquakes. Most of them aretypically unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings and havebeen exiguously designed. This structural type is ubiquitousall over the region. Heavy damages and collapses after earth-quakes demonstrated the vulnerability of such unreinforcedmasonry buildings.

    The buildings which have received the most severe dam-age in the recent earthquakes are mostly unreinforced stone,concrete block, and masonry buildings (see Fig. 6). Fig-ure 6 shows some example buildings suffering such damage(Naseer et al., 2007; Khan and Khan, 2008). Performancesof stone masonry schools, colleges, universities, old hospi-tals and official buildings were very bad during the earth-quakes. Old age, poor construction and materials, and im-proper design were among the main factors for bad perfor-mance. Damages suffered by the masonry buildings couldbe explained by diagonal shear failure, combined in and out-plane effects, flexure failure of pier, failure of building cor-ners, separation of orthogonal walls, damages at walls andfailure of external masonry and parapet walls (Amjad et al.,2007).

    In the region, the construction application is based on ex-periments performed by contractors. In general, the stonemasonry buildings have the light weight wooden roof trussesinstead of a roof or floor diaphragm to brace the walls. There-fore, the walls are allowed to span horizontally to perpendic-ular walls that are less likely to withstand an earthquake. Thespacing between walls is wider (Green, 2007; Tolles et al.,2000).

    After the Kashmir earthquake in 2005, the Pakistani Earth-quake Reconstruction-Rehabilitation Committee was estab-lished to organize and manage the construction of buildingsin the damaged areas. The committee stated that structuraldesigns of buildings must be approved by this committee forcompliance with international codes. The Pakistan Engineer-ing Council was established to revise and update the Pak-istan Building Code. The committee also decided to adoptthe 1997 edition of Uniform Building Code and to modifyits provisions to make it compatible with Pakistan. The 2007

    Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 1021–1031, 2009 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/9/1021/2009/

  • K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings 1023

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    Figure 2. Map of Pakistan and Location of Ziarat

    Fig. 2. Map of Pakistan and Location of Ziarat.

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    Figure 3. Seismic Hazard Map of Pakistan (GSP)

    Fig. 3. Seismic Hazard Map of Pakistan (GSP, 2009).

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  • 1024 K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings

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    Figure 4. Recent Earthquakes with the Magnitude (M>5) in Pakistan and its neighbourhood (USGS)

    Fig. 4. Recent Earthquakes with the Magnitude (M>5) in Pakistanand its neighbourhood (USGS, 2009).

    edition of the Pakistan Building Code, which contains rec-ommendations for detailed seismic design, is now in use inthe entire country. The new code is mostly based on the 1997edition of the Uniform Building Code.

    4 Seismic assessment

    There are two main seismic assessment approaches, namelydeterministic and probabilistic. The deterministic based seis-mic assessment is comparatively simple and does not ac-count for the uncertainties and probability of occurrence ofan earthquake. For accurate deterministic seismic assess-ment, it is recommended that related long term ground mo-tion data should be used in the analyses. However, this typeof data is lacking or limited for most regions. A similar situ-ation of lack of sufficient data also exists for this region (Lisaet al., 2005). For such cases, probabilistic based seismic as-sessments are more reliable. Probabilistic based assessmentis denoted by the probability of seismic intensities exceedinga particular value within a specified time interval. In prob-abilistic based seismic assessment, the seismic vulnerabilityassessment is explained by a recurrence relationship, defin-ing the cumulative number of events per year versus theirmagnitude. Analyses for different sites can be used to gen-erate hazard curves which define seismicity of the region.In seismic assessment, seismic hazard assessment is used forthe determination of the seismic ground motion of the region;seismic safety assessment is used for explaining the seismicvulnerability of the buildings.

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    Figure 5. Seismic Hazard Map for Pakistan (USGS)

    Fig. 5. Seismic Hazard Map for Pakistan (USGS, 2009).

    4.1 Seismic hazard assessment

    Seismic hazard assessment can be explained in two ways,pre- and post- evaluations. Pre-evaluation is done immedi-ately following an earthquake. Rapid visual assessment isone of the important tools for a fast evaluation. The method-ology provided in HAZUS is a post evaluation model thatcan be applied in regions that are at risk of earthquake disas-ter. For long-term evaluation, detailed post-earthquake eval-uation is done to consider the structural damage. Long termevaluation includes nonlinear based performance evaluationanalyses.

    HAZUS methodology generates estimates of the conse-quences to a city or region due to a scenario earthquake.A scenario earthquake could be a specified earthquake withmagnitude and location. The evaluation methodology con-sists of three basic steps (Korkmaz, 2009; Schneider andSchauer 2005).

    1. Study region definition: definition of the region, selec-tion of the application area, and selection of the appro-priate data from the earthquakes.

    2. Hazard characterization: definition of the earthquakehazard, hazard type and source, fault type, and earth-quake location.

    3. Damage and loss estimation: social and economic lossestimation, structural hazard estimation.

    HAZUS, is a user friendly risk assessment model that canaddress the seismic hazard in the US. It was developed more

    Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 1021–1031, 2009 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/9/1021/2009/

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    Figure 6. Various damages after the earthquake (Naseer et al, 2007; Khan and Khan, 2008)

    Fig. 6. Various damages after the earthquake (Naseer et al., 2007;Khan and Khan, 2008).

    than 17 years ago in the US. It is a state-of-art decision sup-port tool for assessing disasters. Capabilities in HAZUS in-clude earthquake, flood and hurricane hazard characteriza-tion, building, essential facilities damage analysis, comput-ing direct economic losses and secondary hazards (FEMA,1999).

    However, HAZUS is not ready for use in Pakistan and itsneighbourhood. National and district boundaries and char-acterization of the earthquake data used in HAZUS are cur-rently only available for the US. HAZUS can be used to pro-vide a starting point for the development of a disaster risk as-sessment tool which could be used in Pakistan and its neigh-bourhood considering user requirements and data availability(FEMA, 1999).

    4.2 Seismic safety assessment

    In the study, seismic safety assessment was used for evalua-tion of buildings. Buildings were evaluated using nonlinearanalyses. There are various different methodologies avail-able in the literature for modelling and nonlinear analyses(Agbabian, 1984; Bruneau, 1994; Kim and White, 2004;Lam et al, 2003; Mistler et al, 2006; Moon et al, 2006;Priestly, 1985; Sucuoglu and Erberik, 1992; Vera et al, 2008;Yi et al, 2006).

    Since the concern is unreinforced masonry buildings forthe region, the evaluation of the seismic behaviour of unrein-forced masonry buildings requires specific procedures. Themasonry buildings’ response to dynamical loads often differssubstantially from those of ordinary buildings. In order toobtain a reliable estimation of the seismic risk, it is desirableto perform full dynamic analyses that describe the effectivetransmission and dissipation of the energy coming from theground motion into the building (Pena et al., 2007).

    Probabilistic seismic safety assessment for unreinforcedmasonry buildings is currently available from HAZUS, aseismic loss estimation framework developed by the FederalEmergency Management Agency (FEMA, 1999). HAZUSuses a systematic approach for probabilistic damage assess-ment of buildings, in which building response is character-ized by building capacity curves and seismic hazard is rep-resented by demand spectra for example, capacity spectrummethod (Park, 2009).

    Defining seismic risk is the first important step of proba-bilistic based assessments. Probabilistic based assessmentsconsider probabilistic parameters and variables. FEMA pro-poses performance based procedures. The procedures do notconsider probabilistic variables. In the processes, buildingperformance and levels of damage to structural componentsare considered. Building performance or damage levels arespecified as a function of the maximum drift the building sus-tains during an earthquake (FEMA, 2000; Park et al, 2009).

    For unreinforced masonry buildings, three performancelevels are defined in FEMA 356 as Collapse Prevention, LifeSafety, and Immediate Occupancy. HAZUS defines fourdamage levels as Slight, Moderate, Extensive, and CompleteDamages. The procedure does not consider probabilisticvariables. HAZUS uses the maximum drift ratio as the dam-age measure following FEMA 356, and the threshold valuesof the maximum drift ratio corresponding to the limit states

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  • 1026 K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings

    Table 2. Material properties.

    Modulus of Poisson DensityMaterial Elasticity (Mpa) Ratio kN/m3

    Regional MasonryStone Material 26 000 0.2 25

    are defined based on comprehensive review of past studies onseismic building damage (FEMA, 1999, 2000; Park, 2009).

    In the study, seismic safety of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and its neighbourhood was investi-gated. Therefore, first, nonlinear time history analyses thenprobabilistic based assessment analyses were conducted forrepresentative buildings. In the following section, modellingand analysis of the representative building are explained.

    5 Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonrylow-rise buildings in Pakistan and its neighbourhood

    In the study, structural performances of unreinforced ma-sonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and its neighbourhoodwere estimated through nonlinear time history analysis.Therefore, four different representative buildings were mod-elled and analyzed.

    5.1 Modelling representative buildings

    When modelling representative buildings two critical mod-elling issues should be considered: (a) representation of thereal structural behaviour and (b) non-linear material relation-ships. Masonry consists of mainly unit element and mortar.Most common unit elements are brick and stone. Mortar isused for connecting the units. Compressive, tensile and shearstrength, durability, water absorption coefficient and thermalexpansion affect the load bearing capacity of masonry. Ma-sonry buildings include blocks connected by mortar jointsthat are geometrically complex and reflected in the compu-tational effort needed. Modelling of joints is specifically im-portant, since the sliding at joint level often starts the crackpropagation. Mortar joints in masonry buildings cause themasonry to be anisotropic. Two different approaches havebeen adopted to model such anisotropy: the “micro-model”or “two-material approach” and the macro-model. In bothmodels, the discretization follows the actual geometry ofboth the blocks and mortar joints, adopting different consti-tutive models for the two components.

    Strength of stone masonry depends on the material prop-erties and bond materials used. The stone is massive andstiff. Type and thickness of mortar is more effective on thecompressive strength of stone masonry than stone units. Thestrength of stone does not have much effect on stone ma-sonry. The joint behaviour of unit and mortar determines the

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    Figure 7. Typical behaviour of quasi-fragile materials under uniaxial loading and definition of

    the fracture energy a) tension loading b) compression loading (Alvarenga 2002).

    Fig. 7. Typical behaviour of quasi-fragile materials under uniaxialloading and definition of the fracture energy(a) tension loading(b)compression loading (Alvarenga, 2002).

    strength of stone masonry. If the mortar strength is weakerthan units, masonry strength primarily depends on the mor-tar strength. The shear strength of the stone masonry is ap-proximately 25% of the compressive strength (Unay, 2002;Lourenco, 1998).

    To demonstrate the construction type and determine a pathfor seismic safety assessment for the region, four differentrepresentative buildings were modelled similar to the realexamples. The existing building types in the region wereadopted from the literature and real examples (Naseer et al.,2007). Models shown in Figs. 8 and 9 were nonlinearly in-vestigated via nonlinear time history analyses (Wilson andHabibullah, 1998). As depicted in Figs. 8 and 9, the planareas of typical masonry buildings in the region are close tothese values. Material properties are given in Table 2. Ma-terial properties are defined according to the stone masonrymaterial which is commonly used for construction in the re-gion. Masonry constructions subjected to seismic events canpresent damping ratios around 8%–10% (Rivera, 2008). Inthe present study, damping ratio was taken as 8%.

    5.2 Seismic safety assessment of representativebuildings

    To obtain a set of performance estimates for representativebuildings, a series of nonlinear time history analyses wereconducted (Wilson and Habibullah, 1998). An extraordinar-ily important step for application of time history analysis isthe selection of the earthquakes. For each model, 60 differ-ent ground motion data were selected. Since, local data isnot available for the region, the earthquake data was chosenfrom all over the world. Non-linear dynamic analyses wereperformed considering tensile strength, tensile fracture en-ergy and damping. In total, 240 time history analyses wereconducted for evaluation. Table 3 lists the peak ground ac-celerations (PGA) and peak ground velocity (PGV) of therecords. The time history results are given in Figs. 10 and 11.

    After time history analyses, probabilistic evaluations fordrift levels were made to provide performance likelihoodsduring design-basis earthquakes expected in the future.Drift demand versus exceedence probability curves were

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    Figure 8. Plan and 3-D view for one and two-story of Model 1 Fig. 8. Plan and 3-D view for one and two-story of Model 1.

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    Fig. 9. Plan and 3-D view for one and two-story of Model 2.

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    developed based on analysis results and simplified proba-bilistic modelling. For each building, the mean and standarddeviation values of these maximum drifts were assumed asparameters of normal distribution functions. According toCornell et al., a log-normal distribution for the statistical de-scription of the building response would be a reasonable as-sumption (Cornell et al., 2002). By using the distributionfunctions, probability of exceeding the different drift levelswas computed for each model (Park et al., 2009). These dis-tribution functions gave the probabilistic drift demand curves(see Fig. 12). Using these drift demand curves, probabilityof exceeding different displacement capacity thresholds (dis-placement limits) chosen from displacement capacity curvesfor each model were estimated.

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    25000

    30000

    35000

    0 200 400 600 800 1000Displacement (mm)

    Bas

    e Sh

    ear (

    kN)

    (b) Two story Model 2

    02004006008001000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

    21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

    41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60

    Figure 11. Time History Analysis Results For Model 2 Fig. 11. Time history analysis results for Model 2.

    30

    0,00

    0,10

    0,20

    0,30

    0,40

    0,50

    0,60

    0,70

    0,80

    0,90

    1,00

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60

    Drift Demand (cm)

    Exc

    eede

    nce

    Prob

    abili

    ty Model11Story

    Model12Story

    Model21Story

    Model22Story

    Figure 12. Probabilistic Seismic Safety Assessment

    Fig. 12. Probabilistic seismic safety assessment.

    Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 1021–1031, 2009 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/9/1021/2009/

  • K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings 1029

    Table 3. Earthquake data.

    Magnittude PGV PGA Distance# Name Date (Mw) Code (cm/s) (g) (km)

    1 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 AZF315 2.6 0.066 12.12 Morgan Hill 24/04/1984 6.2 G01320 2.9 0.098 16.23 Coyote Lake 06/08/1979 5.7 G01320 8.3 0.132 9.34 Landers 28/06/1992 7.3 GRN180 14.1 0.041 141.65 Landers 28/06/1992 7.3 ABY090 20 0.146 69.26 Landers 28/06/1992 7.3 SIL000 3.8 0.05 51.77 Landers 28/06/1992 7.3 29P000 3.7 0.08 42.28 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 G01090 33.9 0.473 11.29 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 SGI360 8.4 0.06 30.610 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 MCH000 3.5 0.073 44.811 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 PTB297 12.9 0.072 78.312 Lytle Creek 12/09/1970 5.9 CSM095 1.8 0.071 88.613 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 AZF225 5.8 0.099 20.614 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 ARM360 3.4 0.129 46.715 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 H02090 1.8 0.093 45.616 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 H02000 1.9 0.07 57.617 Whittier Narrows 01/10/1987 5.3 MTW000 40 0.123 20.418 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 AZF225 3.3 0.065 12.119 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 PTF135 5.1 0.131 1320 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 TVY135 1.7 0.081 5.821 Coyote Lake 06/08/1980 5.7 G01-UP 2.5 0.072 9.322 Düzce 12/11/1999 7.1 1060-E 5.3 0.053 30.223 Düzce 12/11/1999 7.1 1060-N 11 0.028 30.224 Hollister 28/11/1974 5.2 G01247 4.0 0.132 12.325 Kocaeli 17/8/1999 7.4 GBZ000 50.3 0.244 1726 Kocaeli 17/8/1999 7.4 GBZ270 30 0.137 1727 Cape Mendocino 25/4/1992 7.1 CPM-UP 63 0.754 8.528 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 RIN090 10.4 0.092 79.729 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 WWT180 34.7 0.492 7.330 Whittier Narrows 01/10/1987 5.3 MTW090 35 0.036 21.231 Parkfield 28/06/1966 5.6 C12320 6.8 0.0633 14.732 Morgan Hill 24/04/1984 6.2 GIL067 3.6 0.1144 16.233 Kocaeli 17/08/1999 7.4 ARC000 17.7 0.2188 1734 Morgan Hill 24/04/1984 6.2 G06090 36.7 0.2920 11.835 Coyota Lake 06/08/1979 5.8 G06230 49.2 0.4339 3.136 Northridge 17/01/1994 6.7 ORR090 52.1 0.5683 22.637 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 7.1 CLS000 55.2 0.6437 5.138 Kobe 16/01/1995 6.9 KJM000 81.3 0.8213 6.939 Santa Barbara 13/08/1978 7.2 SBA222 16.3 0.203 14.040 Livemor 27/01/1980 7.4 LMO355 9.8 0.252 8.041 N. Palm Springs 08/07/1986 6.0 NPS300 33.8 0.694 8.242 Loma Prieta 18/10/89 6.9 STG000 41.2 0.512 13.043 Northridge 17/01/1994 6.7 TPF000 17.6 0.364 37.944 San Fernando 02/09/1971 6.6 ORR021 15.6 0.324 24.945 Whitter Narrow 10/01/1987 6.0 ALH180 22 0.333 13.246 Kocaeli 17/08/1999 7.4 SKR090 79.5 0.376 3.147 Victoria, Mexica 09/06/1980 6.1 CPE045 31.6 0.62 34.848 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 BAR225 2.6 0.047 40.649 Anza (Horse Cany) 25/02/1980 4.9 RDA045 6.7 0.097 19.650 Borrego Mtn 09/04/1968 6.8 PAS270 4.7 0.090 203.051 Coyote Lake 06/08/1979 5.8 SJ3337 7.6 0.124 17.252 Coyote Lake 06/08/1979 5.8 SJ5337 7.4 0.114 17.253 Imperial Valley 15/10/1979 7.0 CPEDWN 6.8 0.116 8.354 Imperial Valley 15/10/1979 7.0 PTS315 16.1 0.204 14.255 Hollistr 28/11/1974 5.2 D-SG3295 9.3 0.339 14.956 Cape Mendocino 25/04/1992 7.1 EUR090 28.3 0.178 44.657 Cape Mendocino 25/04/1992 7.1 FOR000 30 0.116 23.658 Kern County 21/07/1952 7.4 PAS180 5.6 0.045 127.059 Kern County 21/07/1952 7.4 SBA132 15.5 0.127 87.060 Loma Prieta 18/10/1989 6.9 A09137 15.6 0.113 46.9

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  • 1030 K. A. Korkmaz: Seismic safety assessment of unreinforced masonry low-rise buildings

    6 Conclusions

    The present study investigates the seismic safety of commonunreinforced masonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan and itsneighbourhood, using different assessment and estimationapproaches. Probabilistic based seismic safety assessment isprocessing of a combination of nonlinear analysis and proba-bilistic approach. Time history analyses were conducted with60 different earthquake data (Table 3). According to timehistory analysis results, four different representative buildingmodels were evaluated. The analysis results show that thereare significant amounts of displacements at the unreinforcedmasonry low-rise buildings. Analysis results indicate quitedifferent responses of the representative buildings to earth-quakes. The non-linear time history analyses indicated thatmasonry buildings are susceptible to seismic damage that hashigher displacements.

    The results of the analyses are given in the figures. Ac-cording to analyses results, the studied types of unreinforcedmasonry low-rise buildings in Pakistan present higher dis-placements and shear forces that can cause damage or col-lapse. By using analysis results, seismic vulnerability of un-reinforced masonry low-rise buildings in the region was in-vestigated. Seismic safety of the investigated unreinforcedmasonry low-rise buildings is questionable.

    There are many lessons learned from the recent earth-quakes. Based on these lessons, in the short and long term,measurements in seismic prone areas in Pakistan and itsneighbourhood are essential. In conclusion, a detailed seis-mic safety assessment for all unreinforced masonry low-risebuilding types in the region is very important. The nextstep could be definition of strengthening of unreinforcedmasonry buildings via simplified and fast methodologies.

    Edited by: M. E. ContadakisReviewed by: two anonymous referees

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