security_prediction_2014
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www.cyberoam.com I [email protected]
2014 - A Security View-pointWith a careful analysis of security and IT trends in the most recent past and a strong foresight
that comes from years of industry experience and intelligent extrapolation of the past and the
present, Cyberoam brings to you Security Predictions for 2014.
“Client-side software
exploits” – it will be!
Attacks on Industrial Control Systems & SCADA systems to continue
Context-Aware security – the saviour
of rising mobility
Security ofHybrid Cloud
Browser-based attacks are still hot!
Mobiles stillremain a darling of malware attackers
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New exploit kits will be explored and used
Attack vectors to get more intelligent
“Internet of Things” adds Security risks for
home devices Windows users at risk as Windows XP comes to end-of-life
Attacks in 2013 have left us with one clear picture – the rising sophistication and
professionalism among attackers. In times to come, Cyberoam predicts attacks,
wherein the attackers will get more specific, both in terms of their objective and
attack strategies. Gone are the days when attacks were meant for the masses.
Attackers now know whom and how they would attack and they are changing their
attack strategies to hit straight on the bull's-eye rather than shooting in the dark. In
addition to this, few attacks from 2013 indicate the evolution of attacks including
proven components from already-used attacks, combined to form more
detrimental attacks.
Attack vectors to get more intelligent
The amplified impact that an attack on Industrial Control Systems (ICS) can cause,
justifies the interest attackers have on such systems. ICS/SCADA system attacks can
cause catastrophic damage not only to a single unit but at times to an entire
country/province. It is the spread of impact compounded with lack of adequate
security available in such systems that have made ICS/SCADA networks a lucrative
target for attackers. As per statistics, there were 198 cyber attacks in 2012 and the
numbers increased to 240 in 2013. Cyberoam predicts further rise in such attacks on
ICS/SCADA networks in 2014 and beyond.
Attacks on Industrial Control Systems & SCADA systems to continue
“Client-side software exploits” – it will be!
Cyberoam Threat Research Labs foresees an increase in Client-side software
exploits compared to the Server-side in next few years. 2013 has seen numerous
such exploits where base client software like Microsoft and Adobe were exploited
to spread the attack vectors across the network. The recent Microsoft advisories
indicating client side exploits also support this prediction. Reasons for this hike
include increased scope of exploitation with increase in attack vectors, higher base
of users who use these softwares, and lastly, the money involved in it. The exploit
kits used to exploit server side vulnerabilities cost much less than client side exploit
kits, indicating the premium the latter demand. Realizing that client side exploits
will bring in more money, the focus on exploiting client-side vulnerabilities will
increase too!
With increase in number of security features or solutions in an organization's
network to tackle emerging security risks, the job of security professionals is
getting more complex. With rising number of devices, users and applications to
monitor, this becomes even more difficult. The volume of data that the security
appliance(s) offer on various parameters is becoming a problem for network
administrators, presenting a need for context-aware security that enables faster
decision making and action with the security intelligence it offers. Cyberoam
predicts an increase in demand for context-aware security for 2014. The rising
need in context-aware security goes in continuation with Cyberoam's prediction in
2013 regarding the rise in need for User Threat Quotient & Device Threat Quotient.
Increase in need for Context-Aware security
In a generation of increased mobility where tablets and smart devices are displacing
desktops and paper-based processes, more users are turning to Cloud, specifically
the Hybrid Cloud, as it offers more efficiency, business optimization, access to real-
time data and always-on availability. However, the ability of Hybrid clouds to burst
into the public cloud space when necessary is bringing up security concerns.
Although this capability is particularly useful to organisations, it may be a call for
danger and users and security vendors are realizing this. Cyberoam predicts an
increase in demand for security in Hybrid Cloud environments.
Security of Hybrid Cloud
New exploit kits will be explored and used
Use of Blackhole exploit kit for attacks is a known fact. It is no secret that it was used
extensively for attacks in the past. But with the arrest of 'Paunch' in 2013, the man
behind the Blackhole exploit kit, new exploit kits are slowly showing up. In addition
to this, as attacks utilising Blackhole exploit kit have been exposed, it emerges as a
need among attackers to come up with new ways to target their victims. Also, with
recent trends showing rise in exploits based on client side vulnerabilities, Cyberoam
predicts that this menace is only going to aggravate.
Increasing base of smartphone users is a primary reason for attackers to find
interest in attacking those devices. In addition to this, users use their personal
devices to access work emails and connect to company networks, which
aggravates this interest further. Applications are the backbones of smart phones
and most of the mobile apps lack adequate security, adding to the misery of
security on mobile devices. All of these factors collate to increase the interest
attackers have in smart devices. 2014 is sure to experience newer and sharper
mobile threats.
Mobiles still remain a darling of malware attackers and exploits
IOT- 'Internet of Things' is something we all are waking up to, these days. Everything
seems to be on the Internet! Right from our work to social lives, and storage needs,
Internet has also opened its doors to home devices now! As more and more home
devices get connected to the Internet, it is obvious that attackers will soon find their
way through them too. Cyberoam predicts a rise in need for security solutions for
home devices, besides your office devices. Because one thing is evident – the level
of risk and quantum of vulnerability is similar, irrespective of whether the device
resides in your home or in your office network.
“Internet of Things” adds Security risks for home devices
Browser-based attacks are still hot!
In a bait to achieve sure-shot infection and victimize users, use of browser-based
attacks like Water hole will further rise. This will include a rise in exploitation of
browser vulnerabilities and also use of malicious websites. Attackers will continue
to target users by directing them to trusted and commonly visited URLs which would
be infected with malicious codes. Water hole mechanism includes cyber offenders
infecting websites that are frequently visited by their targets. In 2013, many have
already agreed on the rise seen in watering holes. In fact a lot of hackers that were
using spear phishing attacks to target users have also started using watering holes.
Windows users at risk as Windows XP comes to end-of-lifeAs Microsoft decides to stop supporting Windows XP after 8th April 2014, users will
need to upgrade to newer Windows versions, and so will the attackers shift their
focus to these versions. Moreover, users who still continue to use Windows XP, will
not have their vulnerabilities patched, leaving them open to exploits.
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