scientific semeiotic as-defined-by-charles sanders peirce (also peircean semeiotic) 15 july 2007...

SCIENTIFIC SEMEIOTIC

AS-DEFINED-BY-CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE

(ALSO PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC)

15 JULY 2007

E.T. NOZAWAADVANCED OPERATIONS RESEARCH ANALYST

KENNESAW, GEORGIA 30160

© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

et.071507

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS

SOFT SCIENCES:

• GWOT/NCW PLACING NEW EMPHASIS ON SOFT SCIENCES

• GREATER ROLE IN AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE FOR• ANTHROPOLOGY• SOCIOLOGY• SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY• HISTORY/ANCIENT HISTORY• ARCHEOLOGY• GEOGRAPHY• HUMANITIES• CRITICAL THINKING, ETHICS, ESTHETICS• etc.

• SOFT SCIENCES BECAME A “SCIENCE” WHEN ITADOPTED THE SCIENTIFIC “METHODS” OF THE HARD

SCIENCES BUT WITHOUT EXAMINING ASSUMPTIONS

© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407

1

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS

SOFT SCIENCES:

• WEAKNESS IN PHILOSOPHICAL FOUNDATIONS

• BASIS KNOWLEDGE HAS KNOWN FLAWS

• NOMINALISM HAS GREAT DIFFICULTY INSUPPORTING MENTALISTIC SCIENCES

• LOGICAL POSITIVISM WAS DECLARED A “COLLAPSED PHILOSOPHY” C.1955

• STOVEPIPE NATURE OF SCIENCE SLOWS TRANSFEROF KNOWLEDGE CHANGES ACROSS SILOS


2

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

WHY SHOULD PHILOSOPHY BE RE-EXAMINED?

• PREVAILING PHILOSOPHY DETERMINES FOUNDATIONAL

BOUNDARIES OF CURRENT SCIENTIFIC THOUGHT

• PROCESS INCLUDES/EXCLUDES DOMAINS OF THOUGHT

• ARISTOTELEAN THOUGHT MODIFICATIONS

• NOMINALISM – REMOVED ARISTOTELIAN “FORM” THEREBY

• EXCLUDED THEOLOGICAL AND METAPHYSICAL

• INADVERDENTLY EXCLUDED NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL LOGIC IN THEBELIEF THAT LOGIC AND PSYCHOLOGY WERE ONE AND THE SAME

• HUMANISM EJECTED THE TEACHINGS OF JOHN DUNS SCOTUS

• EXCLUDED LOGIC AND ART OF REASONING

• LOGICAL POSITIVISM BUILT ON NOMINALISM AND HUMANISM

• EXCLUDED STUDY OF THE “MIND”


3

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

WHO IS MINDING THE SHOP?

• WHO ARE THE KEEPERS OF KNOWLEDGE?

• RELIGIONS, GOVERNMENTS, FRATERNITIES, PRIVATE GROUPS, AND UNKNOWN?

• STANDARDS ARE PUBLIC, PRIVATE, AND UNKNOWN?

• HISTORIES ARE PUBLIC, PRIVATE, AND UNKNOWN?

• WHAT HAPPENS TO EXCLUDED KNOWLEDGE?

• JUST FADES AWAY UNTIL RESURRECTED OR BECOMES HIDDEN:

• SYSTEM OF LOGIC DETERIORATED UNTIL BOOLE. PEIRCE THEN BUILT ON BOOLE, JOHN DUNS SCOTUS,

AND ARISTOTLE.

• ART OF REASONING DECLINED UNTIL IT WAS RECOVERED, RESTATED, AND ADVANCED BY PEIRCE

IN THE 19TH CENTURY.

• THEORY OF SIGNS RECONSTRUCTED BY PEIRCE

• NO ONE IS MINDING THE SHOP.• WE ARE MOVING UNIMPEDED AND FREE-WHEELING DOWN A DEADEND PATH


4

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

WHERE ARE WE TODAY?

• PEIRCE WAS PROPHETIC; WE ARE VERY NEAR

THE NADIR OF INTELLIGENCE AND SYSTEMS ANALYTICAL CAPABILITY.

• LOGICAL POSITIVISM AND NOMINALISM DOMINATE

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, JOINT OPERATIONS CONCEPTS (JOpsC),

MILITARY SYSTEMS ANLYSIS , NON-MILITARY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS,

LAW ENFORCEMENT, AND OTHER ANALYSIS ORIENTED AGENCIES.

• U.S. “SOFT SCIENCE” SYSTEMS ANALYSIS IS ON A DEAD-END PATH

• THERE IS NO ONE MINDING THE SHOP.

• WHAT’S THE PENALTY?


5

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC6

WHAT IS THE NATURE OF THE THREAT?• WESTERN PHILOSOPHIES ARE UNABLE TO YIELD THE ANSWERS WE

NEED TO FIGHT AND DEFEAT THE NETWORKED, INTELLECTUALLY

AGILE DETERMINED ENEMY WHO IS OFTEN HIGHLY EDUCATED

AND FIGHTS COHESIVELY AND SYSTEMATICALLY

• WESTERN PHILOSOPHIES YIELD INCOMPLETE, INACCURATE,

IMPRECISE, INCONSISTENT, INCOHERENT, UNTIMELY, INFLEXIBLE,

AND UNTRUSTWORTHY NON-SYSTEMATIC SOLUTIONS.

• SOLUTIONS ARE UNIMAGINATIVE, SHALLOW, AND

DEVOID OF BREADTH AND DEPTH OF KNOWLEDGE AND ANALYSIS


WHO WAS CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

• CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE• BORN: 1839 CAMBRIDGE, MA• DIED: 1914 MILFORD. PA• HARVARD UNIVERSITY• SCIENTIST AT U.S. COAST SURVEY• LECTURER: JOHNS HOPKINS UNIV• ENGINEERING CONSULTANT• PHILOSOPHER - PRAGMATICISM • RANKED WITH ARISTOTLE & LEIBNIZ

PRAGMATICISM:• ONLY RECOGNIZED MAJOR PHILOSOPHY

DEVELOPED BY AN AMERICAN.• ORIGINAL NAME = PRAGMATISM• CREDIT FOR DEVELOPMENT OFTEN

ERRONEOUSLY GIVEN TO W. JAMES.• METHODOLOGY – LOGIC OR PROCESS

CENTERED .

PRAGMATICISM• OPEN-SYSTEM PHILOSOPHY• HUMAN-CENTERED PHILOSOPHY• SEPARATES LOGIC FROM PSYCHOLOGY• BASIS FOR ART OF REASONING• SYSTEM OF LOGIC• GENERATES NEW IMAGINATIVE IDEAS• ABSTRACTIVELY ORDERED SYSTEM

OF SCIENCE• DEVELOPED FOR COMMUNITY OF

INQUIRERS (COLLABORATIVE).

SYSTEMS ORIENTED PHILOSOPHY:GERMAN PHILOSOPHERS SEE PEIRCE’SPHILOSOPHY HAVING IMPACT ON

• PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE• PHYSICS• LANGUAGE• ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE• SOCIOLOGY• LAW• LITERATURE• CULTURAL STUDIES… AND MUCH MORE!

7


WHAT IS THE RELEVANCE OF PEIRCE?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED…

CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE(1839-1914)

INSTITUTIONALISMEDUCATION

QUINCUNTIAL PROJECTION (CARTOGRAPHY)

EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS (GRAPHICAL LOGIC)

THEORY OF SIGNS - TERIDENTITY

ECONOMY OF RESEARCH (OPS RESEARCH)

EXPERIMENTAL PSYCH (CONCEPT OF SELF)

UNIV OF CHICAGODYADIC SCIENCE OF SIGNSFOUNDER: NON-SCIENTIFIC. SEMIOTICS

G. MEAD C.W. MORRIS

INDUCTION - STATISTICSINDUCTIVE ANALYSISBLIND TESTINGRANDOM SAMPLINGSAMPLE SIZE ~ 30THEORY OF ERRORS

HARVARD- CONCEPTUAL PRAGMATISM

W. SHEWHART W. E. DEMING DEMING PHILOSOPHY LEAN SIGMA PHILOSOPHY

JAPANESE QUALITY MANAGEMENT

THEOREMATIC & COROLLARIAL DEDUCTION

R. BURCH

PEIRCEAN KNOWLEDGEDISCOVERY ENGINE (PKDE)

THEORY OF SIGNSEXISTENTIAL GRAPHSHYPOTHESIS GENERATIONREDUCTION THESIS

VALENTAL GRAPHS

EXPERIMENTALPSYCHOLOGY N. WIENER CONCEPT OF FEEDBACK

ESTIMATION THEORYCYBERNETICS

PURE/APPLIEDMATHEMATICS

HISTORY OFSCIENCE

INFLUENCEDVICTORIANPHILOSOPHERS.

MODERN LOGICSCHRODER

JEGALKIN ALGEBRA

PEIRCE MANUSCRIPTS

V. FINNHYPOTHESISGENERATION

FEEDBACK SELF-CTRL LOOPSCIENCE OF INFERENTIALS

- ABDUCTIONECONOMY OF RESEARCH

SCIENCE OF INQUIRY

SKOLEMLOWENHEIM

GOEDEL?

R. A. FISHER?

HERBRAND

BOCHVAR

LADY VICTORIAWELBY

JASTROW

J. ROYCE C.I. LEWIS

J. DEWEY

8

JEGALKIN

POPPER

R A FISHER

O H MITCHELL

DIGITAL COMPUTER

ALGEBRA OFRELATIONS.

CHRISTINELADD-FRANKLIN

MARQUAND

QUANTIFICATION.

VIENNA CIRCLE


PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED…

PEIRCEAN REALISM: - MATTER - FORM

ARISTOTLE: - MATTER - FORM

SCHOLASTIC REALISM: - MATTER - FORM

EJECTION OF LOGIC AND ART OF REASONING

NOMINALISM: - MATTER ONLY - DESCARTES

LOGICAL POSITVISM: - MATTER - UNIFY SCIENCE

333 BC

14TH CENTURY

17TH CENTURY

21TH CENTURY?

21ST CENTURY

WHAT ARE THE PHILOSOPHICAL ISSUES?

REJECTION OF MINDBEHAVIORISM

RE-INSERT SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHYAND CONSTRUCT A SYSTEM OF SCIENCE &

SYSTEM OF LOGIC

MINDLESS

PEIRCE - MINDFULSURPASSES KNOWN SEPHARDIC?

SOURCE:SEPHARDIC

12TH CENTURY

SEPHARDIC?VERSION

WE ARE HERE!!!

THEY ARE HERE?

TOWARDS A TRUECOLLABORATIVE PHILOSOPHY

COLLAPSEDC.1955

PHILOSOPHY IN DECLINEWHO’S MINIDING THE SHOP?

CHAOS?

9

© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY

et.071407

WESTERNSYSTEMS

SCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY

RUSSIAN REFLEXIVE PROCESSES

WHAT ARE THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THE VARIOUS VIEWS?

LOGICAL POSITIVISM

NOMINALISM

UNIVERSAL PRINCIPLES AND TRUTHSOF RIGHTEOUSNESS AND MORALITY

PEIRCEANREALISMARISTOTLE

ROYALSOCIETY (EARLY)

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

C.2004SIMPLIFIED

OTHER MAJOR CONTRIBUTING

WESTERN TRADITIONS NOT SHOWN

10

CENTRALASIA


2000 BC 1750 BC 1500 BC 1250 BC 1000 BC 750 BC 500 BC 250 BC 0 250 AD 500 AD 750 AD 1000 AD 1250 AD 1500 AD 1750 AD 2000 AD

BUDDHA

LAO TZU

CONFUCIUS

LAYMAN’S SCIENTIFIC VIEW OF HISTORY – 2025 BC TO PRESENT

ASSYRIA

BABYLONIA

HITTITES

ALEXANDERTHE GREAT

X

PERSIA

EGYPTIAN CRUSADES

BYZANTINE EMPIRE X

FALL OFCONSTANTINOPLE

MIDDLEAGES RENAISSANCE

X

XWILLIAM OF OCCAM

XDESCARTES

NOMINALISM: MATTER

X

X

X

ROMANEMPIREX

JULIUSCAESAR

UNIVERSITYOF PARIS

X - SPINOZA

X

JOHN DUNS SCOTUS

XPEIRCE

REALISM: FORM AND MATTER

XPYTHAGORAS

PLATOX

XPROCLUS

X

XX ATTILA X

GENGHISKHAN

?

XU.S. CONSTITUTION

SUN TZU

X

BaroqueGothicRomanesque

EUCLIDX

PTOLEMAIC

ANCIENT GREECE

CHINA

FU HSI

XARISTOTLE

DARKAGES

AQUINAS

X

BOOLE

REBIRTH OF LOGICAFTER 550 YEAR DECLINE

X

HANSHANG TANG

MING MANCHUYUAN

X - LEIBNIZX - KANT

X - WESTERNERS IN CHINA X - BRUNO

ROYAL SOCIETY

X MEROVINGIAN EMPIREX ABRAHAM X SAUL

JIMMU

SEPHARDIC ?

MINOAN

MYCENEAN

X

5760

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED… 11

JAIN X

ZARATHUSTRA X


WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

A NAME RECENTLY GIVEN TO A BODY OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE

DEVELOPED BY CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE (1839 - 1914). KEY TOPICS INCLUDE:

• PRAGMATICISM• ONLY MAJOR PHILOSOPHY OF AMERICAN ORIGIN

• PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE• ONLY KNOWN COMPLETE SYSTEM OF SCIENCE

• PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF VALENTAL GRAPHS/EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS• SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS/PATTERN ANALYSIS

• PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF LOGIC• LOGIC OF RELATIVES AND ART OF REASONING

• PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF INQUIRY• CLOSED LOOP INFERENTIAL SCIENCE PROCESS

12


WHAT IS SEMIOTICS?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

(1) THERE IS MORE THAN ONE VERSION AND SPELLING:

- SEMIOLOGY = SAUSSURE (EUROPEAN)DYADIC

- SEMIOTICS = MOST COMMON FORM IN U.S. AND EUROPEDYADIC

- SEMEIOTIC (SEE-MY-OH-TIK) = CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE (U.S.)TRIADIC

(2) DEFINITION:

- THEORY OF SIGNS OR SCIENCE OF SIGNS

• EXISTENCE OF TECHNICAL SEMEIOTIC UNKNOWN OUTSIDE OF PHILOSOPHY.• SEMIOTICS AND SEMIOLOGY ARE NON-TECHNICAL

13


LOCKHEED MARTIN

AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS

LOCKHEED MARTIN

AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS

UNCLASSIFIED/NOFORN

TRIADIC

LOGIC BASEDHIERARCHICAL

SYSTEMS THINKING

SIMPLIFIED HIERARCHY

SCIENCE OF SIGNS

SEMIOLOGY FERDINAND DE SAUSSURE

SEMEIOTICCHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE

SEMIOTICSC.W. MORRIS

UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO

DYADICLINGUISTICSSOCIALISTIC

DYADICHUMANISTIC

LOGICALPOSITIVISM

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC: SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY DEVELOPED ONLY FOR SCIENTISTS AND ENGINEERS.

AVOID NON-TECHNICAL SEMIOTICS AND SEMIOLOGY.

WHAT MAKES PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICDIFFERENT FROM THE OTHER “SEMIOTICS”?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC14


WHAT IS A SIGN?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

WHAT IS A SIGN?- PEIRCEAN DEFINITION:

PEIRCE = ANYTHING ( R) WHICH IS SO DETERMINED BY ANYTHING ELSE

CALLED ITS OBJECT (O)

AND SO DETERMINES AN EFFECT UPON A PERSON WHICH I CALL ITS INTERPRETANT

- PEIRCEAN TERIDENTITY (VALENTAL GRAPH)

O (OBJECT)

R (REPRESENTAMEN)

I (INTERPRETANT)

15


STARTING POINT FOR PEIRCE’S ENTIRE SYSTEM OF LOGIC

WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

RECONSTRUCTION OF SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY AND UNIFICATION WITH MATHEMATICS AND THE CONVENTIONAL SCIENCES:

COMPLETE 21ST CENTURY SCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGY

MATHEMATICS

CONVENTIONAL SCIENCE

SCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY

16


- MATHEMATICS (MOST ABSTRACT OF THE SCIENCES)

- SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY

- PHENOMENOLOGY (PHANEROSCOPY)

- NORMATIVE SCIENCE

- ESTHETICS

- ETHICS

- LOGIC (SEMEIOTIC)

- METAPHYSICS

- CONVENTIONAL SCIENCE- PSYCHICAL SCIENCES - PSYCHOLOGY - HISTORY- PHYSICAL SCIENCESINSTRUMENTS NEEDED

FOR OBSERVATIONSAND EXPERIMENTATION

THESE ARE SCIENTIFICTERMS NOT

METAPHYSICAL ORTHEOLOGICAL TERMS

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY?

17


• PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC REPRESENTS THE ENTIRETY OF PEIRCEAN SCHOLARSHIP

• ONE OF MANY KEY ELEMENTS IS PEIRCE’S SYSTEM OF SCIENCE:

WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE ?

PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE

1. THEORETICAL SCIENCE

1.1. SCIENCE OF RESEARCH1.1.1. MATHEMATICS

1.1.2. SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY1.1.2.1. PHANEROSCOPY1.1.2.2. NORMATIVE SCIENCE

1.1.2.2.1. AESTHETICS1.1.2.2.1. ETHICS1.1.2.2.3. SEMEIOTIC

1.1.2.2.3.1. SPECULATIVE GRAMMAR1.1.2.2.3.2. SPECULATIVE CRITIC1.1.2.2.3.3. SPECULATIVE RHETORIC

1.1.2.3. METAPHYSICS

1.1.3. SPECIAL SCIENCE1.1.3.1. PHYSICAL SCIENCES1.1.3.2. PSYCHICAL SCIENCES

1.2. SCIENCE OF REVIEW2.0 PRACTICAL SCIENCES

PEIRCEANSCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY

STRUCTURE ISNON-EXISTENT IN NOMINALISMAND LOGICALPOSITIVISM

LOGICAL POSITIVISTDOMAIN OF STUDY

HIGHER LEVELSOF ABSTRACTION

LOWER LEVELSOF ABSTRACTION



WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF INQUIRY?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

MANY DESCRIPTIONS OF THE “SCIENTIFIC METHOD”APPROACH THIS PROCESS IN WORDS OR SIMPLE DIAGRAMS

BUT USUALLY LACK ABDUCTION AND ECONOMY OF RESEARCH

PROVIDES POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONOF COLLECTED INFORMATION

LINKS HYPOTHESIS TOPOSSIBLE OBSERVABLES

NEW EXPLANATION IS APPLIEDTO THE KNOWLEDGE BASETO DRAW CONCLUSIONS

DEDUCE OBSERVABLE CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESIS

(PEIRCEAN DEDUCTION)

TEST CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESIS(PEIRCEAN INDUCTION

HYPOTHESISGENERATION

(PEIRCEAN ABDUCTION)

ECONOMY OF RESEARCH

(PEIRCEAN OPTIMIZATION)

COSTEFFECTIVESOLUTIONDATA

EXPERIENCE

EMERGINGTECHNOLOGOY

OPTIMALITY CRITERIA

19


PEIRCEANINFERENTIAL SCIENCE

PEIRCEANANALYTIC

PEIRCEANSYNTHETIC

INDUCTIONABDUCTION COROLLARIALDEDUCTION

THEOREMATICDEDUCTION

EXPLANATION

IMAGINATION

EVALUATION

STATISTICAL ESTIMATION

WHAT IS PEIRCEAN INFERENTIAL SCIENCE?

DEFINITION OF DEDUCTION:PEIRCE’S GREATEST DISCOVERY

… ANTICIPATED GOEDEL.

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC 20


COMPONENTS OF CRITICAL THINKING

WHAT IS PEIRCEAN CONCEPTUAL SYSTEM DESIGN?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

OPTIMIZATIONPROCESS

OPERATIONSRESEARCH

SYSTEMSANALYSIS

SYSTEMSDESIGN

SYSTEMSEVALUATION

MILITARY NEED CONCEPT

FORMULATIONSYSTEM

DEFINITIONALTERNATIVE SYSTEM

DESIGNS

COST- EFFECTIVEDESIGN

OPTIMALITYCRITERION

PRIMARYMOES/FOMSCONSTRAINTS

SCIENCE

EXPERIENCE

A CRITICAL THINKING MODEL USED FOR AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM DESIGN

MOES/FOMS

21


• SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE

• ABDUCTIVE REASONING

• OPERATIONS RESEARCH

• ADVANCED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS

• ADVANCED SYSTEMS DESIGN

• ADVANCED SYSTEMS EVALUATION

• SYSTEMS ANALYSIS

• OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS

• SYSTEMS EFFECTIVENESS

• SYSTEMS ENGINEERING

• PROJECT ENGINEERING

WHAT IS TOP-DOWN INTELLIGENCE AND WARFARE ANALYSIS?

• SUBSYSTEM SYS ENGINEERING

CONVENTIONALSYSTEMS DESIGN

NOTIONAL AND SIMIPLIFED

OPS RESEARCH - REALM OF SYNTHESIS AND ANALYSIS OF

• BLOCKADE OF THE SOUTH• CHAIN HOME INTEGRATED AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM (UK)• U. S. ARTILLERY• COLLOSUS (UK)/HUFF DUFF • OUTER AIR BATTLE AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

ADV CONCEPTUAL SYSTEMS DESIGN

22


CRITICAL THINKING TOP DOWN SYSTEMS DESIGN PROCESS

• SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE/ABDUCTIVE REASONING - LOGIC

• OPERATIONS RESEARCH

• ADVANCED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS – MOES/FOMS

COMPLEX CONCEPTUAL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING –

MISSING PROCESSES IN SYSTEMS ENGINEERING TODAY?

NOTIONAL AND SIMIPLIFED

APPLICATON OF SCIENCETO THE SOLUTION OF MILITARY PROBLEMS

WESTERN CIVILIZATION WAS SAVED BY OPERATIONS RESEARCHSEPTEMBER 1940



HUMAN REASONING MIND

INTEGRATEDNON-PSYCHOLOGICAL

PEIRCEANSEMEIOTIC

DYADICPSYCHOLOGICAL

“OLD-EUROPEAN” THOUGHTLOGIC AND PSYCHOLOGY

INSEPARABLY MIXED

PEIRCEANSEMEIOTIC

REFLEXIVECONTROL

ESTHETICSETHICS

SEMEIOTIC

INFLUENCED BY • CULTURAL BIAS• VIRTUES• CUSTOMS• ATTITUDES• RELIGION• BEILIEFS• EDUCATION • EXPERIENCE• SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY

NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL REASONING THE DOMAIN OF REASON AND BELIEF

FEDERATED TRIADIC

NON- MAINSTREAMWESTERN THOUGHT

STUDY OF HUMAN REASONING NEGLECTED FOR ~610 YEARS

OTHERTRADITIONS



“… I CANNOT BUT THINK IT LAMENTABLE THAT TRUE,

MODERN, EXACT, NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL LOGIC…

DOES NOT RECEIVE SUFFICIENT ATTENTION HERE TO

BE AT ALL IN EVIDENCE.

AS TIME GOES ON THE CONSEQUENCES OF THIS NEGLECT

WILL BE DEEPLY GRAVEN.”

PEIRCE AT HARVARD




WHERE ARE WE TODAY?

• PEIRCE WAS PROPHETIC ; WE ARE VERY NEAR THE NADIE OF

INTELLIGENCE AND SYSTEMS ANALYTICAL CAPABILITY.

• LOGICAL POSITIVISM AND NOMINALISM DOMINATE

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, JOINT OPERATIONS CONCEPTS (JOpsC),

MILITARY SYSTEMS ANLYSIS , NON-MILITARY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS,

LAW ENFORCEMENT, AND OTHER ANALYSIS ORIENTED AGENCIES.

• U.S. SYSTEMS ANALYSIS IS ON A DEAD-END PATH

• THERE IS NO ONE MINDING THE SHOP.

• WHAT’S THE ANSWER?


BACK UP

27


PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

APPLICATIONS:• NEW PHILOSOPHY TO REPAIRS PROBLEMS IN NOMINALISM

• NEW SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY TO OVERHAUL LOGICAL POSITIVISM

• SYSTEM OF SCIENCE• INTEROPERABILITY KNOWLEDGE BASE STRUCTURE FOR NCW

• SYSTEM OF INQUIRY• LOGICAL BASIS FOR OPS RESEARCH AND CONCEPTUAL SYSTEM

ANALYSIS & DESIGN (JCIDS/CBA)

• VALENTAL GRAPHS/TERIDENTITY/MENTAL STRUCTURES• LOGICAL BASIS FOR CULTURAL ANALYSIS & SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS

• EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS• ADVANCED SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS & PATTERN ANALYSIS

• AUTOMATED KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY ENGINE• ADVANCED SORTING/SEQUENCING & ADV INFERENTIAL SYSTEMS • MASSIVE DATA INTEGRATION – SUSTAINMENT, DHM, STRUCTURAL

28


WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SINGLE WARRIOR MODEL?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

AUTOMATIC AND ADAPTIVE GOAL-SEEKING WEAPONS SYSTEM MODEL

REACH OF COGNITIVE REACTION

TIME

SELF-CONTROL(COMMAND

AND CONTROL)

PURPOSIVEACTION CONTROL(FIRE CONTROL)

DATAGATHERING

(ISR)

ENVIRONMENT(BENIGN, THREAT)

WEAPONS

MOE = RACQ MOE = TREACTION MOE = PI

REACH OF MONITORINGAND SENSING SYSTEM

REACH OF INQUIRY

CLOSED LOOP MGMT SYSTEM

29


WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SELF-CONTROL?

PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC

KNOWLEDGEBASE

(BELIEF SYSTEM)

MGMTACTIONS

COURSESOF

ACTION

SITUATIONALSTATE VARIABLES

PURPOSIVEACTION

CONTROLUSER

PREDICTION

PREDICTEDSITUATIONAL

STATE VARIABLESUNCERTAINEXTERNAL

INFO WORLD

INACCURATEINCONSISTENTINCOMPLETE

PERCEPTUALSYSTEM

INNOVATIONS

UNCERTAIN INFORMATION ESTIMATES

SITUATIONALAWARENESSVARIABLES

SITUATIONASSESSMENT& PLANNING

DECISIONBELIEF

MODEL FOR AUTOMATIC AND ADAPTIVECOMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEM

30


ADVANCED MASSIVE DATA INTEGRATION

GENERIC SIMPLIFIED

PKDE

DATA

COLLECTOR

DATABASE

INPUTMIDDLEWARE

SORTER

SEQUENCER

INFERENTIAL

GENERATOR

OUTPUTMIDDLEWARE

KNOWLEDGE

DISCOVERY

DATABASE

PEIRCEAN KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERERY ENGINE

DATA

(BELIEF LOGIC UNIVERSAL ENGINE)



SITUATIONALSTATE VARIABLES

UNCERTAININFORMATION• INACCURATE• INCONSISTENT• INCOMPLETE

SITUATION ASSESSMENT

HYPOTHESISGENERATION

DIAGNOSTICSYSTEM

SENSORS

HIGH FIDELITY

MONITORINGSYSTEMS

VEHICLEENVIRONMENT

FINE FAULTDETECTION/ISOLATION

SYSTEMS

FINE FAULTTRACKINGSYSTEMS

NORMALMONITORING

SYSTEM

FINE FAULTINFORMATION

FUSION

INDUCTION:EXPERIMENTDESIGN AND

TEST

DIAGNOSTICSYSTEM

MANAGEMENT

VEHICLE HEALTH

MGMT SYSTEM

INTELLIGENTKNOWLEDGE/DATA BASE

SIMPLIFIED NOTIONAL AUTOMATED BIMODAL DIAGNOSTIC SYSTEM

HIGHFIDELITYTRIGGER

AUTOMATED REASONING SYSTEM

DATA

VEHICLE MGMT SYSTEM

DEDUCTION:POSSIBLE

CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESES

NORMALFAULT

ISOLATIONSYSTEM

DETECTIONS TRACKS

SYSTEMTIME

PURPOSIVE ACTION

OFFBOARDDATA

DATA COLLECTIONSENSOR STEERINGDWELL TIME/TIME LINES

RESOURCEALLOCATION

ANDCONTROL

OPTIMALITYCRITERIA/CONSTRAINTS

FINE FAULTINNOVATION

PROCESS

DIFFERENCES

FINE FAULTKNOWLEDGE

FUSION

PERCEPTION

DATA

OPTIMIZATIONAND

PLANNING (BELIEF)



ADVANCEMENT OF LOGIC SLOWED BY A PERCEPTION THAT IT IS A NON-ISSUE

CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE OBSERVED:

“FEW PERSONS CARE TO STUDY LOGIC,

BECAUSE EVERYBODY CONCEIVES HIMSELF

TO BE PROFICIENT ENOUGH IN THE

ART OF REASONING ALREADY.”



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