science based biosecurity risk assessment · science based biosecurity risk assessment at daff dr...
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![Page 1: Science Based Biosecurity Risk Assessment · Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman Biosecurity reform • Risk-return • resources to areas](https://reader034.vdocuments.us/reader034/viewer/2022050115/5f4bf48b98defc5ae40c36b7/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
24 April, 2012
Science Based Biosecurity Risk Assessment
Dr Colin Grant Professor Mark Burgman
OECD Consumer Product Safety Risk Assessment Workshop
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 2 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Australia’s circumstances
• Island continent
• Favourable international pest and
disease status
• Agriculture, fisheries and forestry (2011–12 estimates)
• gross value of production $53.3 billion
• ∿70% of agricultural production is exported
• value of agricultural exports $38.4 billion
• Effective biosecurity is a sound investment
Uncontrolled, non-commercial pathways
International, commercial pathways
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 3 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
• Fire blight
• Citrus greening
Biosecurity threats
• FMD
• BSE
• Karnal bunt
• UG99
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 4 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Biosecurity philosophy
• Biosecurity continuum
• pre-border
• border
• post-border
• Manage risk at appropriate
part of continuum
• Partnerships
• Zero risk is unattainable and
undesirable
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 5 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Principles of risk assessment
• ALOP: ‘...providing a high level of sanitary and phytosanitary protection
aimed at reducing risk to a very low level, but not to zero.’
• Transparent
• Flexible
• Science/evidence based
• Least trade restrictive
• equivalence
• end use (utility)
• Consistent with
• WTO SPS Agreement
• international standards IPPC/OIE/CODEX
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 6 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
International standards
WTO SPS Agreement is underpinned by 3 standard setting bodies - the Three Sisters:
• IPPC (1952)
• 34 International Standards for
Phytosanitary Measures
• OIE (1924)
• terrestrial animal code & manual
• aquatic animal code & manual
• Codex (1963)
• many food standards, guidelines and codes of
practice
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 7 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Pest risk analysis
key knowledge on pests/diseases
• Pathway association
• If absent or present (officially controlled)
• Likelihood to:
• enter
• establish
• spread
• Consequences
• Measures, if risk exceeds ALOP
• Mainly qualitative method
• Evidence connecting:
• viable pest/disease
• susceptible hosts
• conducive environment
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 8 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Daily work
• International obligations
• Stakeholder engagement
• Passenger, vessel, cargo and mail clearance
• Residue testing
• IRAs/policy reviews
• Technical policy advice
• Overseas market access
• Export certification
• Preparedness and emergency
• Capacity building
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 9 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
New assessments
• IMAAG
• Work plan
• IRA (standard/expanded) or policy review
• ICON (BICON)
• Public comment www.daff.gov.au/ba/ira/process-handbook
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 10 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Offshore
• Audit/verification
• production systems
• treatment facilities
• surveillance
• competent authority
• Export production
• in-field conditions
• accreditation / registration
• Operational work plans
• Offshore treatment options
• Phytosanitary certification
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 11 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
On arrival
• Consignment integrity/documentation
• Visual inspection
• Disinfestation treatments
• Remedial actions (treat, re-export, destroy)
• Post-entry quarantine
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 12 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Emergency preparedness and response
• Federal partnership
• Intergovernmental Agreement on Biosecurity
(IGAB)
• National Biosecurity Committee (NBC)
• National Management Group (NMG)
• Emergency deeds/agreements
• Terrestrial animals (EADRA)
• Aquatic Animals (EAADRA)
• Plant Pest (EPPRD)
• Deed categorisation - 100:0, 80:20, 50:50
government : industry cost sharing
• Emergency response plans
• PLANTPLAN, AUSVETPLAN, AQUAVETPLAN
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 13 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Biosecurity reform
• Risk-return
• resources to areas of highest risk
• shift from ‘quarantine’ to ‘biosecurity’
• monitor, review, think, act
• Legislation - modernised, apt powers
• Shared responsibility
• government
• industry
• community
• Science based, evidence led biosecurity
• better tools, methods, systems and techniques
• strategic surveillance, data mining, improved
analysis, intelligence gathering
• ACERA involvement
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 14 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Governance
Problems are outlined by DAFF science and operations staff
• DAFF Steering Committee
Solutions are formulated and developed by both DAFF and ACERA staff, jointly
• ACERA Board
Independent scientific oversight
• Scientific Advisory Committee
• DAFF Technical and Policy
Review
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 15 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Flexibility
Room for
‘blue sky research’
and
‘specified projects’
S(l, x) =T(l, x)-Tmin(l) = l1
1- x
x- l2
x
1- x
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èç
ö
ø÷
2
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 16 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Example 1: Inspection Systems for Risk Return
Inspection systems that: • Intercept
• Learn • Deter
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 17 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Example 2: Biosecurity Intelligence: Social media
Gathering timely, critical information on emerging threats from ‘open’ sources
• Web search software
• Professional networks
• Internal networks
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 18 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Example 3: Getting the best out of experts • Structured question
formats
a) Overconfidence
• Structured group interactions
a) Dominance effects
b) Anchoring
c) Framing
d) Motivational bias
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Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry 19 24 April, 2012
Science based biosecurity risk assessment at DAFF Dr C. Grant / Prof. M. Burgman
Lessons for product safety: how to get the most out of research
• Common language and concepts
• Close cooperation
• Trust
• The right people
• The right governance systems
• Systems that use data and expert judgment
• Consistency and logic