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A-CCP Aerosols and Clouds-Convection-Precipitation Study Science and Applications Traceability Matrix Public Release A 19 February 2019 Note to External Reviewers: Please use this on-line form to provide your comments: https://goo.gl/forms/RbSbNez4lNjjEjun2

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Page 1: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

A-CCPAerosols and Clouds-Convection-Precipitation Study

Science and Applications Traceability Matrix

PublicReleaseA19February2019

NotetoExternalReviewers:Pleaseusethison-lineformtoprovideyourcomments:https://goo.gl/forms/RbSbNez4lNjjEjun2

Page 2: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

A-CCP SATM Navigation Map

Goal1-CloudFeedbacks

Goal2-StormDynamics

Goal3-FallingSnowOverarchingA-

CCPGoal

O5Geophys.Vars.

O2Geophys.Vars.

O3Geophys.Vars.

O8Geophys.Vars.

O9Geophys.Vars.

O6Geophys.Vars.

O4Geophys.Vars.

O7Geophys.Vars.

O10Geophys.Vars.

ClickonBlueLinesorText

Linksto:❑ GeophysicalVariableTables❑ EnabledApplicationTables❑ DecadalSurveyTables❑ Acronyms

WorkinProgress

O1-Observables

O5-Observables

O2-Observables

O3-Observables

O4-Observables

O6-Observables

O7-Observables

O8-Observables

O9-Observables

O10-Observables

Goal4-AerosolProcesses

Goal5-AerosolRad.Forcing

Objective5–AerosolRedistribution

Objective1–LowClouds

Objective2–HighClouds

Objective3–ConvectiveStorms

Objective8–AbsorbingAerosols

Objective9–AerosolDirectEffect

Objective6–AerosolAttribution

Objective4–FallingSnowProcesses

Objective7–AirQuality

Objective10–AerosolIndirectEffect

O1Geophys.Vars.

Lastslideviewed ReturntohereNavigationbuttonsonnextslides:

Page 3: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Overarching GoalOverarchingA-CCPGoal A+CC

PA CCP

2017DSMostImportantVeryImportant

Goals

Understandtheprocessingofwaterandaerosolthroughtheatmosphereanddevelopthe

societalapplicationsenabledfromthisunderstanding.

C-2a,C-2g,W-1a,W-2a

G1CloudFeedbacks

Reducetheuncertaintyinlow-andhigh-cloudclimatefeedbacksbyadvancingourabilitytopredictthepropertiesoflowandhighclouds.

C-2g,C-5c,H-1b,W-1a,W-2a,W-4a

G2StormDynamics

Improveourphysicalunderstandingandmodelrepresentationsofcloud,precipitationanddynamicalprocesseswithinstorms.

H-1b,H-1c,W-1a,S-4a

G3FallingSnow

Toadvanceunderstandingofitsroleincryospheric-climatefeedbacks,quantifytherateoffallingsnow,particularlyatmiddletohighlatitudes.

W-1a,W-5a,C-5a

G4AerosolProcesses

Reduceuncertaintyinkeyprocessesthatlinkaerosolstoweather,climateandairqualityrelatedimpacts.

D

C-2h,C-5c G5AerosolRadiativeForcing

ReducetheuncertaintyinDirect(D)andIndirect(I)aerosol-relatedradiativeforcingoftheclimatesystem.I

Goalonlyfullyrealizableviacombinedmission. AorCCPmakesmeaningfulcontributiontogoal

�3

Page 4: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Goal 1: Cloud FeedbacksA+CCP

A CCP Goal OverarchingScienceQuestions Objectives

G1CloudFeedbacks

Reducetheuncertaintyinlow-andhigh-cloudclimatefeedbacksbyadvancingourabilitytopredictthepropertiesoflowandhighclouds

1)Towhatextentcanthepropertiesoflowcloudsbedeterminedbyenvironmentalfactors?

2)2)Howdothepropertiesandformationofhighcloudsrelateto(i)deepconvectionand(ii)large-scaleenvironmentalfactors?

O1LowClouds

Minimum:Determinethesensitivityofboundarylayerbulkcloudphysicalandradiativepropertiestolarge-scaleandlocalenvironmentalfactorsincludingthermodynamicanddynamicproperties.

Enhanced:AddstoMinimumcloudmicrophysicalpropertiesandenhancedbulkcloudproperties.O2HighClouds

Minimum:1) Relatetheverticalstructure,horizontalextent,icewaterpath,and

radiativepropertiesofconvectivelygeneratedhighcloudstoconvectiveverticaltransport

2) Relatetheverticalstructure,horizontalextent,icewaterpath,andradiativepropertiesoflargescalehighcloudstoenvironmentalfactors.

Enhanced:AddstoMinimummicrophysicalpropertiesoficeclouds.

�4

Page 5: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Goal 2: Storm DynamicsA+CCP

A CCP Goal OverarchingScienceQuestion Objectives

G2StormDynamics

Improveourphysicalunderstandingandmodelrepresentationsofcloud,precipitationanddynamicalprocesseswithinstorms.

Howdodifferentconvectivestormsystemscontributetotheverticalmixingandtransportsofheat,water,andotherconstituentswithintheatmosphereandhowdothesetransportsrelatetothecloudandprecipitationpropertiesofstorms?

O3ConvectiveStorms

Minimum:Relateverticalmotionwithinconvectivestormsanditscloud-andprecipitation-structurestoa)stormlifecycle,b)localenvironmentthermodynamicandkinematicfactorssuchastemperature,humidity,andverticalwindshear,c)ambientaerosols,andd)surfaceproperties.

Enhanced:Relateverticalmotionwithinconvectivestormsandotherstormtypesandtheircloud-andprecipitation-structurestoa)latentheatingprofiles,b)stormlifecycle,c)localenvironmentthermodynamicandkinematicfactorssuchastemperature,humidity,andverticalwindshear,d)ambientaerosols,ande)surfaceproperties.

�5

Page 6: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Goal 3: Falling SnowA+CCP

A CCP Goal OverarchingScienceQuestions Objectives

G3FallingSnow

Toadvanceunderstandingofitsroleincryospheric-climatefeedbacks,quantifytherateoffallingsnow,particularlyatmiddletohighlatitudes.

1) Whatlarge-andmesoscalefactorsdeterminethearealextentandintensityofsnowfall.

2)2) Towhatextentdocloudsand

precipitationinfluencethesurfacemassandenergybalancesatEarth’sicecoveredsurface?

O4FallingSnowProcesses

Minimum:Detectandquantifyverticalprofilesoffallingsnowrateandrelatethesetocloudphysicalproperties,meteorologicalforcingandregime,orography,andlandsurfaceproperties.

Enhanced:EnhancementofMinimumwithanadditionalfocusonthesurfaceenergybalanceparticularlyathigherlatitudes.

�6

Page 7: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Goal 4: Aerosol ProcessesA+CCP

A CCP Goal OverarchingScience

Questions Objectives

G4AerosolProcesses

Reduceuncertaintyinkeyprocessesthatlinkaerosolstoweather,climateandairqualityrelatedimpacts.

1)1) Whatarethemajor

anthropogenicandnaturalsourcesofaerosolandhowdotheyvaryspatiallyandtemporally?

2)2) Whatarethefactors

thatrelateAODtosurfacePMconcentrations?

3)3) Towhatextentdoes

long-rangetransportofsmoke,dust,andotherparticulatesimpactregionalnear-surfaceairquality?

O5AerosolRedistribution

Minimum:Characterizetheremovalandredistributionofaerosolsbycloudsandlightprecipitation(<2mm/hr).

Enhanced:Characterizetheremovalandredistributionofaerosolsbycloudsandheavyprecipitation(>2mm/hr).

O6AerosolAttributionMinimum:Determineaerosolspeciationtoquantifythecontributionsofdifferentaerosoltypestoobservedaerosolpropertiesandimproveemissionestimatesofthedifferentaerosolsources.

Enhanced:Characterizechangesinaerosolamountsandpropertiesoverspaceandtimeintermsof3Dtransportandspatiallyresolvedemissionsources.

O7AirQuality

Minimum:Enhanceunderstandingoftheprocessescontrollingboundarylayerandnearsurfacespeciatedextinctionasmeanstoconstrainairqualitypredictionsandestimatesofhumanhealthimpacts.

Enhanced:DeterminethespatialandtemporalvariationsinboundarylayerandnearsurfacespeciatedPMconcentrationsasmeanstoconstrainairqualitypredictionsandestimatesofhumanhealthimpacts. �7

Page 8: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Goal 5: Aerosol Rad. ForcingA+CCP

A CCP Goal OverarchingScienceQuestions Objectives

G5AerosolRadiativeForcing

ReducetheuncertaintyinDirect(D)andIndirect(I)aerosol-relatedradiativeforcingoftheclimatesystem.

1) WhatistheroleofabsorbingaerosolsintheEarth’sradiationbudget?

2)2) Howdochangesin

anthropogenicaerosolsaffectEarth’sradiationbudgetandoffsetthewarmingduetogreenhousegases?

3)3) Underwhatconditionsdo

aerosolsimpactthealbedoorcoverageofshallowclouds?

O8AbsorbingAerosolsMinimum:QuantifytheimpactofabsorbingaerosolontheEarth’sradiativebalanceatTOAandsurface,andonatmosphericstability.Enhanced:Quantifytheimpactofabsorbingaerosolsonverticallyresolvedradiativeheatingrates.

O9AerosolDirectEffectMinimum:Reduceuncertaintiesinestimatesofglobalmeanclearandall-skyshortwavedirectradiativeeffects(DRE)to±1.2W/m2atTOAand±0.6W/m2atsurfacewithcommensurateimprovementsinregionalestimatesofDREandanthropogenicaerosolradiativeforcing.Enhanced:Quantifyverticallyresolvedaerosolradiativeforcings.

O10AerosolIndirectEffectMinimum:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-warmcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcings.Enhanced:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-coldcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcing.

�8

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Obj 1: Low CloudsA CC

P

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ S (√) 1 Cloudliquidwaterpath

√ S (√) 1,2,7,9 Cloudopticaldepth

√ S (√) 1,2,7,9,15 Clouddropleteffectiveradius

√ √ S (√) 1,2,7,9,15,16

Cloudtopphase

√ √ (√) 1,2,7,9,15,16

Cloudtopheight

√ S (√) 1,2,7,9,15 Arealcloudfraction

√ (√) Precipitationphase

√ (√) 1,15,16 Precipitationrateprofile <2mm/hr

√ (√) PBLheight

√ Synopticscalemotion

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

√ (√) Cloudalbedo Derived

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 1,2 Clouddropletconcentration Layer

√ √ 1,2,7,9, Cloudbaseheight

√ (√) 1 Totalwaterpath

√ 1, Volumetriccloudfraction

√ 1,2,7 Diurnallyresolvedcloudcover

S (√) Surfaceturbulentfluxes(landandocean)

A+CCP

A CCP Objectives

O1LowClouds

Minimum:Determinethesensitivityofboundarylayerbulkcloudphysicalandradiativepropertiestolarge-scaleandlocalenvironmentalfactorsincludingthermodynamicanddynamicproperties.

Enhanced:AddstoMinimumcloudmicrophysicalpropertiesandenhancedbulkcloudproperties.

�9

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA1Weather,agriculture,energyandairqualitymodeling(NWPcenters,USDA,IBM,AFWA,PrivateCompanies)

PEA2Issuingalertsoffog/vog(airqualityandweathercommunities)PEA7Cloudevolutionforaviationandweatherprediction(FAA,DoD,DoE,NOAA)PEA9Icingandvisibilityhazardsforaviationindustry(FAA,AFWA,Airlines,NOAA)PEA15Stormwarningsforlightningandseverestormdevelopment(AFWA,NWS,

andNWPmodelingcommunities)PEA16Forecastingsnowandmixedprecipitationevents(NWPmodeling

communities,privateweathercompanies)

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

Page 10: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Obj 2: High CloudsA+CCP

ACCP Objectives

O2HighClouds

Minimum:1) Relatetheverticalstructure,horizontal

extent,icewaterpath,andradiativepropertiesofconvectivelygeneratedhighcloudstoconvectiveverticaltransport

2) Relatetheverticalstructure,horizontalextent,icewaterpath,andradiativepropertiesoflargescalehighcloudstoenvironmentalfactors.

Enhanced:AddstoThresholdmicrophysicalpropertiesoficeclouds.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ √ S (√) Icewaterpath

√ √ S (√) 9,10,15 Cloudopticaldepth

√ √ 9,10,15 Cloudbaseheight

√ √ (√) 9,10,15 Cloudtopheight

√ (√) 9,10,15 Cloudtoptemperature

√ 9,10,15 Cloudarealextent

√ 10 Diurnallyresolvedcloudcoverandcloudtopheight

√ 10,15Verticalairvelocity Above5km,>2

m/s

√ √ 9,10,15 Cloudverticalstructure

√ 9,10,15 Meltinglayerdetection(baseandtopheight)

√ 15 Cloudlifecyclecategories

√ Synopticscalemotion

√ Cloudradiativeeffects,SWLW

√ 10,15 Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ √ 9,10,15 Icecrystalnumberconcentration Layer

√ √ S 9,10,15 Bulkcrystalsize,includingeffectiveradius

√ √ 9,10,15 Convectivecloudcover

√ (√) 9,10,15 Cloudverticalstructure Inconvection

√ √ Verticalprofileofradiativeheating

�10

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA9Icingandvisibilityhazardsforaviationindustry(FAA,AFWA,Airlines,NOAA)

PEA10Characterizationofhaileventsanddamage(NWPcommunities,reinsurance,andagriculturalcommunities)

PEA15Stormwarningsforlightningandseverestormdevelopment(AFWA,NWS,andNWPmodelingcommunities)

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

Page 11: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Obj 3: Convective StormsA CC

P

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 3,4,10,12-15 Verticalairvelocity Above5km,>2m/s

√ √ (√) 3,4,6,7,8,10,15,16 Cloudtopheight

√ (√) 3,4,6,7,8,10,15,16 Cloudtoptemperature

√ (√) 3,4 Icewaterpath

√ (√) 3,4,7,12-15 Convectiveclassification

√ 3,4,6,7,15 Cloudlifecyclecategories

√ Diurnallyresolvedcloudcoverandcloudtopheight

√ (√) 3,4,6,8,11-16 Precipitationrateprofile

√ (√) 3,4,15 Cloudverticalstructure Inconvection,abovemeltinglayer

√ (√) 3,4,10,15,16 Meltinglayerdetection(baseandtopheight)

√ (√) 4,7,10,15 Stratiform/convectiveprecipitationdiscrimination

√ 3,4,6 Aerosolextinctionprofile

√ S (√) AOD Column,PBL

√ Synopticscalemotion Environmentalshear

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ (√) 3,4,8 Latentheatingprofile

√ (√) 3,4,6,10-16 Precipitationphase

√ (√) 3,4,6,10,15,16 Precipitationparticlesize

√ 3,7,10,12-15 Convectivecoresize

√ 3,4 Aerosoleffectiveradius Profile

√ 3,4 Aerosolnon-sphericity Profile&column

√ 3,4 AAOD Profile

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA3-Aerosolsimpactonprecipitationandstormdevelopment(NOAA,NWPcenters,IBM)PEA4-Improvedmodelinitializationofaerosolsandseverestormdevelopment(NWPandmodelcomm.)PEA6-GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(Defense

department,publicandprivateindustry,IBM)PEA7-Cloudevolutionforaviationandweatherprediction(FAA,DoD,DoE,NOAA)PEA8-Cloudparameterizationsformodelinitiation(NWPandmodelingcommunities)PEA10–Characterizationofhaileventsanddamage(NWP,reinsurance,andagricultural)PEA11-Hydrologicmodeling,diseasetracking,animalmigration,insurancemodelingand

disasterapplications(CDC,NOAA,RedCross,WorldBank,public/privatesector)PEA12-Forecastingheavyrain,snow,floodingevents(NOAA,DoD,FAO,reinsurance)PEA13-Floodandlandslidemonitoringandforecastinginmountains(NOAA,FEMA,USGS)PEA14-Streamflow,flooding,drought,energy,andagriculturalmonitoringandmodeling

(USDA,Waterresourcemanagers)PEA15-Warningsforlightning,severestormdevelopment(NWPmodelingcommunities)PEA16-Forecastingsnow/mixedprecipitationevents(NWP,privateweathercompanies)

A+CCP

A CCP Objectives

O3ConvectiveStorms

Minimum:Relateverticalmotionwithinconvectivestormsanditscloud-andprecipitation-structurestoa)stormlifecycle,b)localenvironmentthermodynamicandkinematicfactorssuchastemperature,humidity,andverticalwindshear,c)ambientaerosols,andd)surfaceproperties.

Enhanced:Relateverticalmotionwithinconvectivestormsandotherstormtypesandtheircloud-andprecipitation-structurestoa)latentheatingprofiles,b)stormlifecycle,c)localenvironmentthermodynamicandkinematicfactorssuchastemperature,humidity,andverticalwindshear,d)ambientaerosols,ande)surfaceproperties.

�11

Page 12: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA6-GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(Defensedepartment,publicandprivateindustry,IBM)

PEA11-Hydrologicmodeling,diseasetracking,animalmigration,insurancemodelinganddisasterapplications(CDC,NOAA,RedCross,WorldBank,public/privatecomp.)PEA12-Forecastingheavyrain,snow,floodingevents(NOAA,DoD,FAO,reinsurance)PEA13-Floodandlandslidemonitoringandforecastingwithinmountainenvironments

(modelingandemergencyresponsecommunities,NGOs,PDC)PEA14-Streamflow,flooding,drought,energy,andagriculturalmonitoringand

modeling(USDA,Waterresourcemanagers)PEA16-Forecastingsnow/mixedprecipitationevents(NWP,privateweather

companies)

Obj 4: Falling Snow ProcessesA+CCP

ACCP Objectives

O4FallingSnowProcesses

Minimum:Detectandquantifyverticalprofilesoffallingsnowrateandrelatethesetocloudphysicalproperties,meteorologicalforcingandregime,orography,andlandsurfaceproperties.

Enhanced:EnhancementofMinimumwithanadditionalfocusonthesurfaceenergybalanceparticularlyathigherlatitudes.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ √ 6,16 Cloudtopheight

√ 6,16 Cloudtoptemperature

√ 6,11-14,16 Icewaterpath

√ M (√) 6,11-14,16 Surfaceornearsurfaceprecipitationrate

√ 11-14,16 Verticalairvelocity >2m/s

√ (√) 6,11-14,16 Precipitationrateprofile

√ 16 Cloudliquidwaterpath

√ (√) 6,11-14,16 Surfaceornearsurfaceprecipitationphase

√ Synopticscalemotion

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 16 Bulksnowparticlesize

√ 11-14,16 Snowfallvertical(Doppler)motion <1m/s

√ 6 Volumetriccloudfraction

√ S 6,16 Cloudphase

√ 6,16 Blowingsurfacesnow

√ S (√) 6,16 Cloudopticaldepth

√ Watervaporadvection

√ √ √ Cloudradiativeeffects,LW&SW

√ √ √ Surfaceradiationbudget �12Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

Page 13: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Obj 5: Aerosol RedistributionA+CCP

A CCP

Objectives

O5AerosolRedistribution

Minimum:Characterizetheremovalandredistributionofaerosolsbycloudsandlightprecipitation(<2mm/hr).

Enhanced:Characterizetheremovalandredistributionofaerosolsbycloudsandheavyprecipitation(>2mm/hr).

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 3,4,5 Aerosolextinctionprofile

√ S (√) 3,4,5 AOD

√ (√) 1,3,4 Cloudliquidwaterpath

√ √ (√) 1,3,4,5 Cloudtopheight

√ S (√) 1,3,4,5 Cloudopticaldepth

√ S (√) 1,3,4,5 Clouddropleteffectiveradius

√ (√) 1,3,4 Surfaceornearsurfaceprecipitationrate <2mm/hr

√ (√) 1,3,4 Precipitationphase

√ (√) 1,3,4 Precipitationrateprofile

√ Synoptic-scalemotion

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

√ (√) PBLheight

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 3,4,5 Finemodeaerosolextinctionprofile

√ Angstromexponent Column

√ (√) 1,3,4 Surfaceornearsurfaceprecipitationrate >2mm/hr

√ 1,3,4,5 Volumetriccloudfraction

√ 1,3,4.5 Verticalairvelocity >2m/s

√ (√) 1,3,4,5 Meltinglayerdetection(baseandtopheight)

�13

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA1-Weather,agriculture,energyandairqualitymodeling(NWPcenters,USDA,IBM,AFWA,PrivateCompanies)

PEA3-Modeling/forecastingimpactofaerosolsonprecipitationandstormdevelopment(NOAA,NWPcenters,IBM)

PEA4-Improvedmodelinitializationofaerosolsandseverestormdevelopment(NWPandmodelcomm.)

PEA5-Estimateradiativefluxesforairqualitymodeling,solarinsolation,andagriculturalforecasting.

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

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A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA1-Weather,agriculture,energyandairqualitymodeling(NWPcenters,USDA,IBM,AFWA,PrivateCompanies)

PEA2-Issuingalertsoffog/vog(airqualityandweathercommunities)PEA6-GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance

(Defensedepartment,publicandprivateindustry,IBM)PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)PEA18–Aviationindustryandsafety(FAA,VAACs,privateindustry:GE,

P&W,RR,NG)PEA19–Wildfiremanagement(EPA,NOAA,StateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,NIH,

universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22–Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQagencies)

Obj 6: Aerosol AttributionA+CCP

A CCP

Objectives

O6AerosolAttributionMinimum:Determineaerosolspeciationtoquantifythecontributionsofdifferentaerosoltypestoobservedaerosolpropertiesandimproveemissionestimatesofthedifferentaerosolsources.

Enhanced:Characterizechangesinaerosolamountsandpropertiesoverspaceandtimeintermsof3Dtransportandspatiallyresolvedemissionsources.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 1,2,6,17-19,21,22

Aerosolextinctionprofile Totalandnon-spherical

√ 1,2,6,17-19 Aerosollayerheight

√ S (√) 1,6,19-22 AOD PBLandcolumn

√ 6,19,20 AAOD/SSA PBLandcolumn

√ 6,19,20,22 FinemodeAOD PBLandcolumn

√ (√) 17-20 Angstromexponent PBLandcolumn

√ (√) 17-20 Indexofrefraction Column

√ 17-20 Aerosolnon-sphericity Profile&column

√ (√) 1,2,6,19-22 PBLheight

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 17,19,21,22 Aerosoleffectiveradius Profile

√ 17,19,21,22 Angstromexponent Profile

√ 17,19 AAOD Profile

√ 17,19,21,22 Finemodeaerosolextinction Profile

√ Synopticscalemotion

√ 22 Verticalairvelocity >2m/s �14Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

Page 15: Science and Applications Traceability Matrix · 2) To what extent do clouds and precipitation influence the surface mass and energy balances at Earth’s ice covered surface? O4 Falling

Obj 7: Air QualityA+CCP

ACCP Objectives

O7AirQuality

Minimum:Enhanceunderstandingoftheprocessescontrollingboundarylayerandnearsurfacespeciatedextinctionasmeanstoconstrainairqualitypredictionsandestimatesofhumanhealthimpacts.

Enhanced:DeterminethespatialandtemporalvariationsinboundarylayerandnearsurfacespeciatedPMconcentrationsasmeanstoconstrainairqualitypredictionsandestimatesofhumanhealthimpacts.

A CCPODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 6,19,21,22Aerosolextinctionprofile Totalandnon-

spherical

√ 6,17,19,21,22 Aerosollayerheight

√ S (√) 6,21,22 AOD PBLandcolumn

√ 6,17,21,22 AAOD/SSA PBLandcolumn

√ 6,17,19,21,22 FinemodeAOD PBLandcolumn

√ (√) 6,17,19,21,22 Angstromexponent PBLandcolumn

√ (√) 6,17,19,20,21,22

Indexofrefraction Column

√ 6,17,20,21,22 Aerosolnon-sphericity Profile&column

√ √ 6,17,20,21,22 PBLheight

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ (√) 17,19,20,21 PMconcentration

√ 17,19,20,21 Aerosoleffectiveradius Profile

√ 17,19,20,21 Angstromexponent Profile

√ 17,19 AAOD Profile

√ 17,19,20,21 Finemodeaerosolextinctionprofile

√ Precursorgasconcentration�15

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA6–GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(IBM,WeatherUnderground,etc.)

PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)

PEA19–Wildfiremanagement(EPA,NOAA,StateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,

NIH,universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22–Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQagencies)

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

what can we expect/use from PoR?

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Obj 8: Absorbing AerosolsA+CCP

A CCP

Objectives

O8AbsorbingAerosolsMinimum:QuantifytheimpactofabsorbingaerosolontheEarth’sradiativebalanceatTOAandsurface,andonatmosphericstability.Enhanced:Quantifytheimpactofabsorbingaerosolsonverticallyresolvedradiativeheatingrates.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 3,6,20-22

Aerosolextinctionprofile

√ 3,6,17,20-22

Aerosollayerheight

√ S (√) 1,3,6,20-22

AOD PBLandcolumn

√ 17,20-22

AAOD PBLandcolumn

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

√ Surfacealbedo

√ 1,22 Cloudreflectance

√ √ (√) 1,22 Cloudtopheight

√ 1,22 TOAandsurfaceradiativefluxes(derived)

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 3,6,20 Aerosolabsorptioncoefficientprofile

�16

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA1-Weather,agriculture,energyandairqualitymodeling(NWPcenters,USDA,IBM,AFWA,PrivateCompanies)

PEA3-Aerosolsimpactonprecipitationandstormdevelopment(NOAA,NWPcenters,IBM)PEA6–GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresource

surveillance(IBM,WeatherUnderground,etc.)PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,

NIH,universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQ

agencies)

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

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A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA5–Estimateradiativefluxesforairqualitymodeling,solarinsolation,andagriculturalforecasting.–(EPA,CMAQ,WRFChem)PEA6–GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(IBM,WeatherUnderground,etc.)PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,NIH,

universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22–Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQagencies)

Obj 9: Aerosol Direct EffectA+CCP

ACCP Objectives

O9AerosolDirectEffectMinimum:Reduceuncertaintiesinestimatesofglobalmeanclearandall-skyshortwavedirectradiativeeffects(DRE)to±1.2W/m2atTOAand±1.6W/m2atsurfacewithcommensurateimprovementsinregionalestimatesofDREandanthropogenicaerosolradiativeforcing.Enhanced:Quantifyverticallyresolvedaerosolradiativeforcings.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ 6,17,20,21,22 Aerosolextinctionprofile

√ 6,17,21,22 Aerosollayerheight

√ Non-sphericalaerosolextinctionprofile

√ S (√) 5,6,17,21,22 AOD Column

√ (√) 6,17,21,22 AAOD Column

√ (√) 5,6,17,21,22 FinemodeAOD Column

√ (√) 6,17,21,22 Angstromexponent Column

√ (√) 6,17,21,22 Indexofrefraction Column

√ 17,21 Aerosolnon-sphericity Profile&column

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

√ Surfacealbedo

√ 5,6,22 Cloudreflectance

x √ 5,6,22 Cloudtopheight

√ √ √ 5,6,22 TOAandsurfaceradiativefluxes(derived)

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 17,20,21 Aerosoleffectiveradius Profile

√ 17,20,21 Angstromexponent Profile

√ 5,17,20,21 Aerosolabsorptioncoefficientprofile �17Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

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Obj 10: Aerosol Indirect Effect (1/2)A+CCP

A CCP

Objectives

O10AerosolIndirectEffectMinimum:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-warmcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcings.Enhanced:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-coldcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcing.

(SeenextslideforEnhanced)

�18

A CCP

ODO POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Minimum

√ S (√) 6,17,21,22 AOD PBLandcolumn

√ 6,17,21,22 Angstromexponent PBLandcolumn

√ 6,17,21,22 FinemodeAOD PBLandcolumn

√ 6,17,21,22 Aerosolextinctionprofile

√ √ (√) 2,5,22 CloudLWP

√ (√) 2,5,22 Cloudopticaldepth

√ (√) 2,5,22 Clouddropleteffectiveradius

√ √ 2,5,22 Clouddropletconcentration Layer

√ 2,5,22 Cloudtopphase

√ x (√) 2,5,22 Cloudtopheight

√ √ 5 Arealcloudfraction

√ 5 Cloudreflectance

√ (√) Surfaceornearsurfaceprecipitationrate <2mm/hr

√ √ 6,17,20-22 PBLheight Lidarandreanalysis

√ Synopticscalemotion

√ Environmentalthermodynamicprofiles

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA2-Issuingalertsoffog/vog(airqualityandweathercommunities)PEA5–Estimateradiativefluxesforairqualitymodeling,solar

insolation,andagriculturalforecasting.–(EPA,CMAQ,WRFChem)

PEA6–GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(IBM,WeatherUnderground,etc.)

PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,

NIH,universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22–Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQ

agencies)

Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

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Obj 10: Aerosol Indirect Effect (2/2)A+CCP

ACCP Objectives

O10AerosolIndirectEffectMinimum:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-warmcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcings.Enhanced:Provideprocesslevelconstraintsonaerosol-coldcloudinteractionsasameanstoconstrainestimatesofaerosolindirectradiativeforcing.

A CCP

ODO

POR PEA# GeophysicalVariables Qualifiers

Enhanced(=Minimum+)

√ 6,17,20-22 PBLaerosolnumberconcentration

√ 6,17,20-22 Aerosoleffectiveradius PBL

√ √ 2,22 Clouddropletconcentration Layer

√ 2,22 Cloudtopextinction

2,22 Cloudtopdropletsize

2,22 Cloudtopdropletconcentration

√ √ 2,22 Cloudbaseheight

√ 17,22 Verticalairvelocity >1m/s

√ (√) 22 Precipitationphase

√ Diurnallyresolvedcloudcover

√ Surfaceturbulentfluxes(landandocean)

√ √ 6,22 Icecrystalnumberconcentration

√ √ 6,22 Icecrystalparticlesize

A+CCPPotentialEnabledApplications

PEA6–GeospatialAnalytics–Bigdataforplanetaryresourcesurveillance(IBM,WeatherUnderground,etc.)PEA17–Sourceattributionofpollution(EPA,NOAA,stateAQagencies)PEA20–Humanhealthstudies&healthriskestimation(CDC,WHO,

NIH,universities,reinsuranceindustry)PEA21–AQrule-making(EPA,stateAQagencies)PEA22–Operationalweather&AQforecasting(NOAA,stateAQagencies)

�19Legend:√Neededtomeetobjective,(√)FromPoRbutinsufficienttomeetobjective,SComplimentaryobservationfromSBG,MComplimentaryobservationfromMC

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Geo. Vars: O1 Low Clouds (1/2)

!20

O1LowCloudsGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision/

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Cloud LWP 20-400gm-2 20 gm-2 fp VIS + SWNIR reflection ~5%, µwave radiances NEΔT~ 3K matched to radar, radar reflectivity Z<-15dBZ

Uwave and optical based methods match under carefully prescribed conditions

Cloud optical depth 0.3-100 15% 20km VIS reflectance, ~3%

Cloud droplet effective radius

4-100 µm 2µm ~ 3 OD

20km VIS + SWNIR reflection ~ 3% Re is needed as deep into cloud as we can get - (~3 OD) for purpose of deriving LWP - 2.1um Re aPEArs to most optimally match uwave based LWP

Cloud top phase Liquid,Solid or mixed

30% ~ 1 OD

fp Polarized backscatter , Δβ>0.05km-1, SWNIR reflectance ~5%

also with DOLP

Cloud top height 0.5-15km 100m 100m fp VIS backscatter, Δβ>0.05km-1 Expect to address this this from lidar backscatter

Areal cloud fraction 0.05-1.00 5% N/A 20km VIS reflection ~5% Cloud amount matched radar/lidar footprints and will be used in diagnostic analysis

Precipitation phase Liquid,Solid or mixed

30% 5km N/A fp Z Bright band, ΔVr, polarimetric radar linear depolarization ratio (LDR; e.g., Ka > ~-15 dB), differential reflectivity ΔZ~2dBZ , dual-frequency ratio (snow index), polarimetric VIS backscatter , Δβ>??5km-1

Basic separation of liquid and frozen phases in stratiform is most straight forward.

Precipitation rate profile <2 mm/hr

PBL height <3 km 250 m GPS RO might be source

(continue…)

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Geo. Vars: O1 Low clouds (2/2)

O1LowCloudsGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange PrecisionA

ccuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum (continued)

Synoptic scale motion From met analysis

Environmental thermodynamic profiles

From met analysis

Cloud Albedo (derived) 0.1-0.8 5% absolute

5km N/A fp A calculated quantity with threshold inputs. Can then be cross calibrated with PoR (CERES & EVC)

Enhanced

Cloud droplet concentration 10-1000 cm-3

50% 1km VIS + SWNIR reflection ~5%, µwave radiances NEΔT~ 3K matched to radar, radar reflectivity Z<-15dBZ

We are advocating a completely new approach using cloud and precip data jointly.

Cloud base height 250 m-15 km

250 m 250m Radar reflectivity >35GHz

Total water path (cloud+precipitation)

20-400 gm-2

20 gm-2 1km N/A fp VIS + SWNIR reflection ~5%, µwave radiances NEΔT~ 3K matched to radar, radar reflectivity Z<-15dBZ

Volumetric cloud fraction

Diurnally resolved cloud cover 0.05-1.00 5% 5km N/A wide VIS reflection/IR - Geostationary from PoR For context only

Surface turbulent fluxes (land and ocean)

TBD - this is a link to SBG

!21

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Geo. Vars: O2 High Clouds

!22

O2HighCloudsGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O3 Convective Storms

!23

O3ConvectiveStormsGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O4 Falling Snow Processes

!24

O4FallingSnowProcesses

GeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O5 Aerosol Redistribution

O5AerosolRedistribution

GeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O6 Aerosol Attribution

!26

O6AerosolAttributionGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O7 Air Quality

!27

O7AirQualityGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O8 Absorbing Aerosols

!28

O8AbsorbingAerosolsGeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O9 Aerosol Direct Effect

!29

O9AerosolDirectEffect

GeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Geo. Vars: O10 Aerosol Ind. Effect

!30

O10AerosolIndirectEffect

GeophysicalVariables

DesiredCapability

Observables NotesRange Precision

Accuracy

Resolution

Δx Δz Swath

Minimum

Enhanced

PlaceHo

lder

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Enabled Applications: 1-8Enabled Applications: 1-8A+CCP

A CCP

PEA#

EnabledApplications Partners GeophysicalVariablesRelevant

Objective(s)

X 1Cloudandprecipitationpropertiesenabletheweatherpredictionandmodelingcommunitiestoimproveparameterizationsofcloudstoimproveweatherforecasting,energyplanning,airqualitymodeling,andagricultureforecasting.

NWPCenters(NOAA,NRL,ECMWF,JMA,NCAR),USDA,AFWA,IBM,PrivateCompanies

Cloudheight,depth,radius,amount,phase,precipitationrateandphase

O1,O5,O6,O8

X 2 Observationsofaerosolandcloudpropertiesusedbytheweatherandairqualitycommunitiestounderstandandissuealertsaboutthedevelopmentoffog/vog.

NOAA,NCAR,NASA,EPAandStateAgencies

Aerosolandcloudproperties O1,O6,O10

X 3Observationsofaerosolsandcloudsenabletheweatherforecastingandmodelingcommunitiestoimprovemodeling/forecastingtheimpactofaerosolsonprecipitationandstormdevelopment,includingcyclonesandhurricanes.

NOAA,NASA,NCAR,NWPmodelingcommunity,IBM

Aerosols,precipitation,andcloudproperties O3,O5,O8

X 4Observationsofaerosol,precipitationandcloudproperties,andverticalvelocitiesareusedtoimprovedmodelingofverticaltransport,scavenging,wetdeposition,andlinkstoiceparticlesandseverestormdevelopment.

NWS,NOAA,CTM,EPA,stateAQagencies,othermodelingcommunities

Verticalvelocity,aerosol,cloud,andprecipitationproperties O3,O5

X 5

Cloudandaerosolopticaldepthsareusedtoestimateradiativefluxesforapplicationssuchasestimatingavailablephotosyntheticallyactiveradiation(PAR)forairqualitymodeling,attenuatedsolarinsolationforsolarpowercompanies,andagriculturalforecasting.Solarpowercompaniesuseestimatesofsizeresolvedaerosolconcentrationsandprecipitationtomodeldryandwetdepositiononthepanels,respectively.

Airqualitymodelers(EPA,NOAA,stateagencies),solarenergycompanies,agriculturalcommunities

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation,cloudproperties O5,O9,O10

X 6

Datafusiontechniquesthroughgeospatialanalyticsand“bigdata”managementrelyonaerosol,cloudandprecipitationpropertiestoprovidecontinuous,detailed,multidimensional,andglobalmonitoringasaninvaluabletoolforplanetaryresourcesurveillance.

Privateindustry(e.g.,IBM,WeatherUnderground),DefenseDepartment,publiccompanies(e.g.Marscorporation)

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation,brightnesstemperatures,surfaceprecipitation

O3,O4,O6,O7,O8,O9,

O10

7 Observationsofcloudheightanddropletsenabletheaviationindustryandweatherpredictioncommunitytoimprovesituationalawarenessofcloudevolution.

NOAA,FAA,DoD,DoE Cloudphase,height,depth,radius,andamount

O1,O3

8Brightnesstemperatureandprecipitationratesenabletheweatherforecastingandmodelingcommunitiestoimprovestormtrackandintensityforecastsofhurricanesandseverestorms.

NOAA,NASA,NCAR,ECMWF,NRL,JTWC,andotherNWPcenters,IBM

Brightnesstemperature(Cloudtoptemperature)andprecipitationrates

O3

�31

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Enabled Applications 9-16

A+CCP

ACCP

PEA#

EnabledApplications Partners GeophysicalVariablesRelevant

Objective(s)

9Estimatesoficecontent,opticaldepthandcloudheightareusedbytheaviationindustrytoinformrimeicing,threatstoengineperformance,andvisibilityhazards.

NOAA,FAA,AFWA,AirlinesIcecontent,opticaldepthandcloudheight

O1,O2

10Informationonmicrophysicalpropertiescaninformthedevelopmentofhaileventsandareusedbytheweatherforecasting,reinsuranceandagriculturalcommunitiestoforecastandasseshaileventsanddamage.

NOAA,reinsurance,andagriculturalcommunities

Microphysicalproperties(cloudphase,verticalmotion,radius)

O2,O3

11

Surfaceprecipitationobservationsareusedbyarangeofpublicandprivatecommunities,internationalanddomesticgovernmentalorganizationsandNGOsasinputsintohydrologicmodels,vectorandwaterbornediseasemodeling,animalmigrationtracking,insurancemodels,anddisastersapplications.

CDC,NOAA,RedCross,NASA,reinsurance,WorldBankandagriculturalcommunities,publicandprivatecompanies(e.g.,Johnson&Johnson,Agvesto,MiCRO)

Surfaceprecipitation O3,O4

12Observationsofsurfaceprecipitationrateareusedbytheweatherforecastcommunitytoanticipateheavyrain,snow,orfloodinginareaswithgapsintheinsituobservationalnetwork.

NOAA,RedCross,NASA,FAO,USArmy,reinsurancecommunity

Surfaceprecipitation O3,O4

13Estimatesofextremeandorographicallyenhancedprecipitationwithinmountainousregionsareusedbythehydrologicmodelingandemergencyresponsecommunitiesformodeling/estimatingfloodingandlandslidehazards.

NOAA,RedCross,NASA,reinsurancecommunity,hydrologicmodelingcommunities,RedCross,NGOs,PDC

Surfaceprecipitation O3,O4

14

Estimatesoftotalwatervolumeandlong-termsurfaceprecipitationobservationsarecriticalforwaterresourcemanagers,agriculturalcommunities,andenergycompaniesforestimatingstreamflow,floodingandinundationimpacts,assessingdroughtconditions,andmodeling/forecastingcropyields.

USDA,WaterResourceManagementcommunity

Surfaceprecipitation O3,O4

15Estimatesoficecontent,andverticalmotionareusedbytheweatherforecastandNWPmodelingcommunitiesasaproxyforlightninginitiationtoanticipateseverestormdevelopment.

NOAA,AFWA,NWPmodelingcommunities

icecontentandverticalmotion O1,O2,O3

Observationsofcloud/precipitationverticalstructure,surfaceprecipitationrate,andNOAA,NWPmodeling

Cloud/precipitationvertical�32

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Enabling Applications 17-22

A+CCP

ACCP

PEA#

EnabledApplications Partners GeophysicalVariablesRelevant

Objective(s)

17Observationsofaerosolsareusedforsourceattributionofpollution,includinginterhemispherictransport.

FederalweatherandAQagencies(EPA,NOAA),stateAQagencies,othermodelingcommunities

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation

O6,O9,O10

18

Observationsofaerosolsareusedtoestimateconcentrationsandlocationofvolcanicashandissueaviationsafetyalerts,whicharevitaltotheaviationcommunity.AircraftenginemanufacturersuseambientaerosolconcentrationdatatoassessimpactofPMonengineperformance.

AviationIndustry:FAA,VAACs,privateindustry(e.g.,GeneralElectric,PrattandWhitney,RollsRoyce,NorthropGrumman)

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation O6

19Observationsofaerosolsareusedtoestimatewildfiresmokeinjectionheights,whichenablemoreaccurateinitializationofsmoketransportmodelsforimprovingairqualityforecastsandestimatingexposuretowildfirePMandco-emittedtracegaspollutants.

Wildfiremanagement:FederalAQagencies(EPA,NOAA,ForestService),stateAQagencies,othermodelingcommunities

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation

O6,O7

20

Observationsofaerosolareusedtoinferspatio-temporalvariations&trendsofspeciatedsurface-levelPM(PM1,PM2.5,PM10),whichareusedforhealthstudies,suchastoassociatetheeffectsofexposuretoPMwithspecifichealthoutcomes,andtocalculatehealthrisksandlongevity.

Health:CDC,WHO,NIH,healthresearchersatuniversities(e.g.,GlobalBurdenofDisease),reinsuranceindustry

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation

O6,O7,O9

21Observationsofaerosolareusedtoinferspatio-temporalvariations&trendsofspeciatedsurface-levelPM(PM1,PM2.5,PM10),whichusedtosupportAQrule-makinganddefineexceptionalevents.

AQRule-making:EPA,stateAQagencies

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation

O6,O7,O9,O10

22Aerosolobservationsareusedtoinfervertically-resolved,speciatedPMforoperationalweatherandAQforecasting(e.g.,forecastinitialization),trackingdustplumes,andissuingAQalerts.

OperationalAQForecasts:Federal(NOAA)andstateAQagencies

AerosolOpticalDepth,AerosolConcentrationProfiles,AerosolSpeciation

O6,O7,O8,O9,O10

�33

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DS Traceability Goals 1-22017DecadalSurveyObjectives

(fromAppendixB) A-CCPGoals

C-2a Reduce uncertainty in low and high cloud feedback. W-1a Determine the effects of key boundary layer processes on weather, hydrological, and air quality forecasts

at minutes to subseasonal time scales. W-2a Improve the observed and modeled representation of natural, low-frequency modes of weather/climate

variability. C-2g Quantify the contribution of the UTS to climate feedbacks and change.

G1CloudFeedbacks

Reducetheuncertaintyinlow-andhigh-cloudclimatefeedbacksbyadvancingourabilitytopredictthepropertiesoflowandhighclouds.

C-5c Quantify the effect that aerosol has on cloud. C-2g Quantify the contribution of the UTS to climate feedbacks and change. H-1b Quantify rates of precipitation and its phase (rain and snow/ice) worldwide at convective and orographic

scales suitable to capture flash floods and beyond. W-1a Determine the effects of key boundary layer processes on weather, hydrological, and air quality. W-2a Improve the observed and modeled representation of natural, low-frequency modes of weather/climate

variability. W-4a Measure the vertical motion within deep convection to within 1 m/s and heavy precipitation rates to within 1

mm/hour to improve model representation of extreme precipitation and to determine convective transport and redistribution of mass, moisture, momentum, and chemical species.

G2StormDynamics

Improveourphysicalunderstandingandmodelrepresentationsofcloud,precipitationanddynamicalprocesseswithinstorms.

MostImportant VeryImportant

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DS Traceability Goals 3-52017DecadalSurveyObjectives

(fromAppendixB) A-CCPGoals

H-1b Quantify rates of precipitation and its phase (rain and snow/ice) worldwide at convective and orographic scales suitable to capture flash floods and beyond.

H-1c Quantify rates of snow accumulation, snowmelt, ice melt, and sublimation from snow and ice worldwide at scales driven by topographic variability.

W-1a Determine the effects of key boundary layer processes on weather, hydrological, and air quality. S-4a Quantify global, decadal landscape change produced by abrupt events and by continuous reshaping of

Earth's surface due to surface processes, tectonics, and societal activity. (Recommended measurement of rainfall and snowfall rates).

G3FallingSnow

Toadvanceunderstandingofitsroleincryospheric-climatefeedbacks,quantifytherateoffallingsnow,particularlyatmiddletohighlatitudes.

W-1a (boundary layer processes) W-5a (air pollution and health) C-5a Improve estimates of the emissions of natural and anthropogenic aerosols

G4AerosolProcesses

Reduceuncertaintyinkeyprocessesthatlinkaerosolstoweather,climateandairqualityrelatedimpacts.

C-2a Reduce uncertainty in low and high cloud feedback. C-2h Reduce aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty C-5c Quantify the effect that aerosol has on cloud

G5AerosolRadiativeForcing

ReducetheuncertaintyinDirect(D)andIndirect(I)aerosol-relatedradiativeforcingoftheclimatesystem.

MostImportant VeryImportant

DS Traceability Goals 3-5

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Acronyms (1/3)

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A AerosolsAFWA AirForceWeatherAgencyAAOD AbsorbingAerosolOpticalDepthAOD AerosolOpticalDepthAQ AirQualityCCP Clouds,Convection,andPrecipitationCDC CentersforDiseaseControlCMAQ TheCommunityMultiscaleAirQualityModelingSystem

CTM ChemicalTransportModel

D DirectDOD DepartmentofDefenseDOE DepartmentofEnergyDRE DirectRadiativeEffectECMWF EuropeanCentreforMedium-RangeWeatherForecastsEPA EnvironmentalProtectionAgencyFAA FederalAviationAdministrationFAO FoodandAgricultureOrganizationFP FootprintG GoalGE GeneralElectricGPS GlobalPositioningSystem

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Acronyms (2/3)

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I IndirectIR InfraredJMA JapanMeteorologicalAgencyJTWC JointTyphoonWarningCenterLW LongwaveLWP LiquidWaterPathNCAR NationalCenterforAtmosphericResearchNIH NationalInstitutesofHealthNG NorthropGrummanNOAA NationalOceanicandAtmosphericAdministrationNRL NavalResearchLaboratoryNWP NumericalWeatherPredictionO ObjectiveOD OpticalDepthPBL PlanetaryBoundaryLayerPDC PacificDisasterCenterPEA PotentialEnabledApplicationPM ParticulateMatterPoR ProgramofRecordP&W Pratt&WhitneyRO RadioOccultationRR RollsRoyce

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Acronyms (3/3)

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S SBG(SurfaceBiologyandGeology)SW ShortwaveSWNIR Shortwave-NearInfraredTBD ToBeDeterminedTOA TopOfAtmosphereUSDA UnitedStatesDepartmentofAgricultureVAAC VolcanicAshAdvisoryCenterVIS VisibleWHO WorldHealthOrganizationsWRF WeatherResearchandWeather(ForecastingModel)