rogow slides
TRANSCRIPT
Independent Executive Counsel for Information Technology Agendas
220 Ocean AvenueMarblehead, MA 01945
USA Office: 781-631-2783Mobile/GSM: [email protected]
ViValdi Odyssey and Advisory ServiceViValdi Odyssey and Advisory Service
from the ViValdi Odyssey IT Landscape
Concours IT Leadership Development Program Alumni Session
May, 2005
1. Summary Issues
2. ..and Now for Business Growth.. But a Different Game
3. Getting More Value From IT
A. IT Financials Direction Management
B. ViValdi Management & Building the Fit Bench
The Emerging IT Landscape….. A Brand New Set of Challenges
….Return
Four Terms Appear to Be Defining IT
• Context is Crucial as Seasons Change• Mainly Higher Hanging Fruit is
Next• Affordable IT is Essential• What Exactly Do We Want to Do
Next?
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 2
BusinessAsset
BusinessLiability
Source: Adapted from theFeldGroup by Bruce J. Rogow
Many Folks Appear to Want the Same Things & to Have the Same IT Issues ….. But….1. Few Large Enterprises Are in One Position2. Their Situations Are Different3. Their Ways Forward Are Different and Have Different Time Horizons or Deadlines4. Whether They Know the What, How, Who and When are Issues!
TimeDisadvantage
TimeAdvantage
Are There Any Common Odyssey Findings? ….. Context is Critical and
… as Several CIOs Have Said… The Firm Gets the IT They Deserve
Worst SituationLosing Ground
Currently Limited
Capability
The Long
Sustained March
FullComplex
Contribution
Difficult to SustainGetting Ahead
IT Led Campaign
Easy to Fall BackBarely Keeping Up
Positioned for Growth
ENTITY A
ENTITY C
ENTITY B
Individual Business Entities
Odyssey Distribution: ‘03-’04 ‘04-’05
Red to Green 30-35% 25%
Green to Blue 60%-65% 70%
Blue <5% <5%
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 3
These Business Driver & Environment Challenges Dominate the Discussions.… Sometimes Positively, Sometimes Negatively
I. Again, IT is Now Going After the High Hanging Fruit!
A. Most Hairballs are Being FixedB. Few Big Applications, Many Little PiecesC. Many Business Models are BrokenD. Shifting To Growth Is Proving To Be a Broad Set of
Challenges ..Especially Adding Service BusinessesE. Business Structure, Discipline, Short Term Focus and
Attention Are the Limiting Factors.. Not Technology The firm and IT may not be ready for growth
F. Has a Process Obsession Made IT Myopic to the Issues?
G. IT is Now Netwoven Into the Firm… the Next 20% Is Bespoken to Fill the Seams
H. Service Businesses Require Service Business and IT Architectures
• Parallel Activities Replace Serial Process• Publish & Subscribe Must Be Event Driven and State Aware• Business Rules Disciplines Must Become Fundamental… but are often beyond current behavior
I. Big Firms Are Having Trouble Introducing Big Growth Oriented Change
I. Again, IT is Now Going After the High Hanging Fruit!
A. Most Hairballs are Being FixedB. Few Big Applications, Many Little PiecesC. Many Business Models are BrokenD. Shifting To Growth Is Proving To Be a Broad Set of
Challenges ..Especially Adding Service BusinessesE. Business Structure, Discipline, Short Term Focus and
Attention Are the Limiting Factors.. Not Technology The firm and IT may not be ready for growth
F. Has a Process Obsession Made IT Myopic to the Issues?
G. IT is Now Netwoven Into the Firm… the Next 20% Is Bespoken to Fill the Seams
H. Service Businesses Require Service Business and IT Architectures
• Parallel Activities Replace Serial Process• Publish & Subscribe Must Be Event Driven and State Aware• Business Rules Disciplines Must Become Fundamental… but are often beyond current behavior
I. Big Firms Are Having Trouble Introducing Big Growth Oriented Change
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 4
For Many Firms, The Current Business Model is Broken…..The Current Trajectory Can Only Take Most Firms Down a Slippery Slope..Turning the Corner Demands Things They Haven’t Done Well Before
Efficiency Inefficiency
Revenue Loss
Revenue Growth
Current Trajectory
Pending Challenge
How Does a Business Grow?• Acquisition• New Businesses• New Markets• New Products• New Channels• Better Yield
How Does IT Assist, Enable?
Source: Bruce J. Rogow, ViValdi
Advisory Services
Dead Business is 25-35% of
Base
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 5
Cost or Catch Up Initiatives
Current Foot Print
New Definitions of Business & IT Excellence Should Change the IT Agenda
New & Innovative Initiatives
No Choice
Chose to Take the Risk
InnovateFix
Desired Foot Print
Business Productivity Definition
IT Excellence Definition
‘01 - ‘04
Decrease Cost & Headcount per $ of Revenue
Decrease IT Cost as % of Revenue
‘05 - ??
Increase Revenues Innovation
Enhance the Business
Support Business Opportunities
..as Described in: “Getting in Shape for Growth”Optimize Magazine May 2005
http://www.optimizemag.com/article/showArticle.jhtml?articleId=161501550
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 6
Transformation into Reality Has About a 20% Success Rate in the First Iteration… …More Front End Assessment and Subsequent Iterations Are Needed to Increase Yields …Especially as the Applications Are More Elective
StrategyFormulation
StrategyFormulation ImplementationImplementation
OperationalizationOperationalization
Define the Benefits
Preserve and enable the benefits
Preserve and realize the benefits
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
The Focus Has Changed from Killer Apps,Major Re-Engineering & Technology to Readiness, Percolation, Assimilation, Adaptation, Realization, Rationalization, Simplification and Elimination
SupplyChainManagement
CustomerRelationshipManagement
More With Less
2000 - 2005
KnowledgeManagement?
CoreArchitectures,Infrastructuresand Systems
Leadership
Leadership
Leadership
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 7
D. Where are the Strengths and Issues?
Simply Viewing the Business As a Set of Processes Often Misses The Key Issues Involved In Creating Growth… The Business Must Look Beyond Functions….. …IT Must Consider the Entire Business Model…
Adjusting Processes or Outsourcing May Only Add Complexity
Market Platforms
Service Business Model
Business Strategy Customer Base ?
Market Platforms
Products
Product Business Model
Business Strategy
Business Entities and Organization
Business Policy
Business Practice
Skills Functions Procedure Process Behavior
ReadinessLeadership
Business Measurement
Accountability Discipline
ProductsServices
Finance, Costs, Productivity
Customer Base ?
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 8
A New Set of Technologies, Applications and Expectations Dramatically Change the “Joined-Up Business” Game!
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
qCoreFunctions
Customer
With TransactionsManaged Relationship
Experience
Employees and Process Outsourcers
Partner
Network
Performance
SupplyChainManagement
CustomerRelationshipManagement
More With Less
2004-2006
KnowledgeManagement?
Core Architec
tures, Infrastructures
and System
s
• The Consumer Driven IT Experience is Driving the Corporate IT Expectation… “iPodization”
• Applications are Shifting from Directive to Elective with Collaborative as a Deceiving Middle Ground
• An Almost Endless Set of Opportunities Exist • The Brand Implications Demand that the IT Perform
Seamlessly and Flawlessly• Architecture May Likely Shift From Inside-Out to
Outside-In• The SideShow Technologies Must Evolve in Their New
Roles To Become Inherent in the Mainstream of Systems, Behavior and Discipline
- Business Intelligence
- Wireless and the expanded Web- Web Services and SOA- RFID and Physical Sensing- Rules Based - Informatics
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 9
Nee
d &
Im
pac
t
Realistic Ability to Address in HorizonLow
Low
High
High
2. Can We Increase Ability?
3. Can We Increase Need & Impact?
1. Top Priority
Elements of Need & Impact?
• Show stopper• Essential • Simplifies• Capability Req’d• Expedites• Misery• Confusion• Wasted Effort• Efficiency• Credibility
Elements of Ability to Address?
• Common Understanding
• Clear Definitions
• Resources Available
• Resources Capable
• Behavior, Style• Discipline
• Management Bandwidth
• Funding
• Current Underlying Architecture Quality
• Quality, consistency of underlying data• Existing Mgt Process• Commitment Level
• Leader/Sponsor/ Happenator
• In-House Capability + Adaptability Culture = Percolation Rate• Absorption
• Focus and No Interfering Efforts• Vendor Capability• Information Management and Discipline
Private & Confidential Source: Bruce J. Rogow
Readiness Assessment and Management Is Becoming More Critical.. .. It’s More About What Is Practical Than Conceivably Possible
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
Part of Achieving Value From Most
Money Spent
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 10
Summary, A New IT Financial Expectation Is Dominating… ….. Affordable IT & Financial Management
II. Many Started IT Strategy with Affordable IT .. Now They Are Making Affordable IT a Base Condition1. The basic cost of IT must be driven down2. IT budgeting has been self leveling 3. Resulting in lower IT expense as % of Revenue4. While depreciation has been squeezing discretionary spend..
Even though it is often non-IT User Cap-Ex (relents in ‘05-’08)
5. Then Force Economic Discipline
III. Getting More for IT Spent is the new norm IV. IT Is a Complex, Diverse Conglomerate of Operating
Assets1. ROI, TCO, Budgeting without multi-year financial
management can lead to disease 2. Over 70-95% of IT spend is on current asset base
Doesn’t a 2% increased yield on asset base trump an ROI of 20% on a new, unproven <1% new project?
3. Taxation is a mess: how do you pay for increasing IT infrastructure and system retirement in federated models
4. For some, the game is now platform economic strategy..Are you big enough to afford the required IT platforms?
5. For most, IT strategy, true asset portfolio management, multi-year IT financial management and sourcing must be brought together
II. Many Started IT Strategy with Affordable IT .. Now They Are Making Affordable IT a Base Condition1. The basic cost of IT must be driven down2. IT budgeting has been self leveling 3. Resulting in lower IT expense as % of Revenue4. While depreciation has been squeezing discretionary spend..
Even though it is often non-IT User Cap-Ex (relents in ‘05-’08)
5. Then Force Economic Discipline
III. Getting More for IT Spent is the new norm IV. IT Is a Complex, Diverse Conglomerate of Operating
Assets1. ROI, TCO, Budgeting without multi-year financial
management can lead to disease 2. Over 70-95% of IT spend is on current asset base
Doesn’t a 2% increased yield on asset base trump an ROI of 20% on a new, unproven <1% new project?
3. Taxation is a mess: how do you pay for increasing IT infrastructure and system retirement in federated models
4. For some, the game is now platform economic strategy..Are you big enough to afford the required IT platforms?
5. For most, IT strategy, true asset portfolio management, multi-year IT financial management and sourcing must be brought together
Part of Affordable and Financially Sustainable IT
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 11
Source: B. Joseph Pine II and James H. Gilmore, The Experience Economy: Work is Theatre & Every Business a Stage, (Boston: Harvard
Business School Press, 1999) p. 166
IT Will Be Challenged to Either Commoditize or Customize
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 12
Many Firms Are Coming From a Budget Leveling Period that Balanced Cost Reduction and New Initiative Programs
‘04 New & Enhanced Initiatives
Wireless Pilot
RFID Phase II
Supplier Management Rollout
Self Service
Sales Channel Program
‘03BudgetLevel
‘04 Cost Reduction & Efficiency Programs
Tighten Outsourcing
Renegotiate Telecomm
Asset Portfolio Management Phase II
Server Consolidation Phase III
Partial Offshore
Vendor Bending
‘04BudgetLevel
User Assimilation May Be Limited Regardless of What is Spent on New Initiatives
..as Described in: “IT’s Fiscal Squeeze”Optimize Magazine June 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CZvt0Au
Part of Affordable and Financially Sustainable IT
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 13
‘02
Bu
dge
t
1 - 5 % Annual IT Expense Reduction Slope for ‘01-’04• Annual Base Productivity = -10% to -15%• New Initiative Cost = +8 to +12%
… But, the ‘05-’07 Trend May Be Different
‘03
Bu
dge
t
‘04
Bu
dge
t
‘05
Bu
dge
t ?
Many Firms Are Coming from a Budget Leveling Period that Balanced Cost Reduction and New Initiative Programs
Cost Reduction & Efficiency Programs
New & Enhanced Initiatives
..as Described in: “IT’s Fiscal Squeeze”Optimize Magazine June 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CZvt0Au
Part of Affordable and Financially Sustainable IT
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 14
5n
4n
2n
3n
1n
Number of
Firms
Typically:• “1 Firm” Top Down
Discipline• Common Business
Processes• Common IT
Architecture, Data, Applications, Process
Industry Average
X %
Folks Who Believe IT is The Most Important Also Believe IT Must Be Managed With the Financial Discipline to be an Affordable Resource!Commonality of Business Process & IT Appears to Be The Key Factor
1.15-1.2 X Industry
Average = 1.15-1.2 X %
.4-.6 X Industry Average =
.4-.6 X %
2 X Industry Average =
2X %
Typically:• Autonomous Business Units &
Functions• UnCommon Business Processes• Some Common IT Architecture,
Data, Applications, ProcessOften:• Desire to Be “1 Firm”
Typically:• In Transition From
Business & IT Hairballs• Losing GroundOften:• Efforts Stymied By
Blinky Behavior
..as Described in: “IT’s Fiscal Squeeze”Optimize Magazine June 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CZvt0Au
Part of Affordable and Financially Sustainable IT
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 15
100%
80%
40%
60%
20%
% Utilization of Intended Function
(after 6 months)
Utilization Mapping Is Just Beginning to Become Part of Application or Asset Management.. Firms Now Realize Use and Adoption Isn’t Automatic
100%80%40% 60%20%
% of Intended Users Using (after 6 months)
Very Poor Utilization• 60% Not Using of Function• 20% Using < 5% of Function• <7% Using >40% of Function
Moderate Utilization• 80% Using At Least 30% of Function• 20% Using < 5% of Function• 15% Using >40% of Function
Excellent Utilization• 85% Using At Least 55% of Function• 10% Using < 80% of Function• <5% Using <20% of Function
Is the Issue:• Over Design?• Mis-Design?• Management Discipline?• Training?
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 16
Managing IT Solely By ROI Process, TCO and Budgeting Can Lead to Serious Financial Problems
Underlying Assumptions:
• Reasonable Application Quality and Infrastructure Efficiency
• Application types create differences
• 2/3 New & 1/3 replacement development
• Drop downs include refurbishment of infrastructure
Maintenance&
Enhancement
Replacement Development
Year 1 Year 2
Grow/shrinks(?) with the business
Incremental Production
28-35%
Discretionary
NonDiscretionary
Maintenance &Enhancement
Rollout & Deployment
New Development
15-22%
Incremental M + E
& SupportProduction Production
& Support
Source: Bruce J. Rogow, Leverage Partners, ViValdi Advisory Services
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 17
LevelI
LevelII
LevelIII
LevelIV
Industry Changing
<1% 2-3%
Business Changing
<1% 3-6%
Mgt Action
1% 4-10%
Mgt Visibility
1% 2-5%
Self- Service
2% 20-40%
Business Systems
10% 15-20%
Core Admin
25% 20-30%
Infra- Structure
60% 25-35%
Mix of Portfolio
Differentiating the Types of Capabilities in the Portfolio Is Increasingly Crucial
Largest Relative IT Investment
Highest Relative Business Contribution
Infrastructure
Core Administration Systems
Business Systems
Management Visibility Systems
Self Service Capabilities
Business Changing Systems
Industry Changing SystemsGrowth
Cost
Management Action Systems
Many Years
Transaction Enabled
Information Enabled
Transformational
For the Most Part, Carr’s HBR Article Was Correct….. but Knowing, Managing the 80/20% Split Is More Crucial
.. And Strong Foundation and Blended Asset Portfolio Is Essential
Source: Bruce J. Rogow, ViValdi
Advisory Services
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 18
Recession Focus…Cost, Yield
Joined Up Business
Innovation
Leverage & Connection• EAI• Quick and Eventually Dirty
Consolidation• Eliminate• More with Less
Re-Platform• ERP
A Rational Blend Is Best.. But, • Diabolic Opposites• Dramatic Shifts Cause Issues• Shift Outruns Capability• Long Term Waste or Over Missed Opportunity Thrives
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
The ViValdi Model Suggests CIOs Can Lead All Positions in All Four IT Seasons…
..as Described in: “Anatomy of Power”Optimize Magazine October 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CqHr0AV
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 19
1. Direction Bottom-Up Top-Down Across T-D;B-U;Across
2. Key Horizon Discontinuity Action/Task Project Endeavor
3. Other Horizon Milestone Budget ROI Program/Project
4. Funding Source Bus. Unit (OPM) IT Budget Savings Bus. Unit (OPM) CEO
5. Funding Amount Initially Small Medium Small-Medium Massive
6. Starting Point New POV* Existing Assets Existing Systems Platform Kit
7. Benefit To… Innovator IT Business Unit Enterprise
8. Role of Standards Little Decree Practical Platform Defined
9. Architecture Separate Critical Loose Inherent
10. Technology Maturity Weak? Industrial Pragmatic Match Risk Profile
11. Key Skill Innovative Folks Tech& Fin Anal Bus. Decomp. Process AnalysisMulti-Discipline Disciplined Problem Solve Endeavor Mgt
12. Key Challenge Momentum,Value Resistance Identification Scope,Change
13. Style Loose,Creative Near Fascist Detailed Impresario
The 4 IT Seasons Demand Separate Leadership Strategies….
Issue Innovation Consolidation Leverage Re-Platform
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
… a fundamental decision.. does the firm want seasonal or longer term leadership?
..as Described in: “Anatomy of Power”Optimize Magazine October 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CqHr0AV
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 20
What are Criteria for Evaluating a CIO?
IT Management:
• Builds and utilizes an IT management process
• Understands roles and responsibilities
• Assesses and abates IT Risk
• Experienced with IT development, test and deployment process
• Experienced with IT architecture, infrastructure and operations
• Experienced at managing the on-going maintenance, enhancement and support
• Experienced with the multi-source environment
• Utilizes appropriate practices vs. best practices
Leadership:
• Understands Business
• Instills confidence
• Communicates clearly – has executive presence
• Can sell the critical ideas and programs
• Rolls with the punches
• Obtains buy-in
• Understands how to manage the organization
• Fits culture and style
• Has charisma or aura
• Has Drive.. Can Do … Proactive
• Demonstrates Backbone
• Operates with Integrity
• Develops People
• Recruits high quality staff
• Motivates people
Context:
• Has broad Business Perspective
• Has an internal gyroscope
• Draws on deep Experience
• Knows what has to be done
• Knows the order of getting things done
• Understands risk
• Understands the financial implications
• Understands and appreciates the technology
• Works Diligently
• Operates in a Disciplined fashion
• Judges people well
Source: Bruce J. Rogow ,ViValdi Advisory Services and Leverage Partners, Inc.
..as Described in: “Anatomy of Power”Optimize Magazine October 2004http://update.optimizemag.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/ej4T0GL7y50G4a0CqHr0AV
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 21
Does the IT Leadership Have the Right Folks on the Bus for Shifting Seasons?
Consolidation
Connection
Innovation
Re-Platforming
IT Executive Current Increasing Future No Apparent Need
IT General Management Minor Minor Future No Apparent
Need
IT Section or Functional Management
Current Increasing Future No Apparent Need
Endeavor Management Minor Increasing Future No Apparent
Need
Program Management
Minor Increasing Future No Apparent Need
Project ManagementCurrent Increasing Future No Apparent
Need
IT Process Management Current Increasing Future No Apparent
Need
Subject Matter Expertise Current Increasing Future No Apparent
Need
Required Capability in Place
Required Capability Needs Improvement
Required Capability Lacking
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 22
ManagerRole Focus Objective Style
Endeavor Visionary The What Business Cases ImpresarioMomentum The Story PassionOverall Funding Scenarios
Program Happenator What to How Freeze Specification PragmaticDoability Freeze Priorities FlexibleScale, Scope Get ResourcesBudget Get Commitment
Force Return
Project Delivery How to When,Where Project Plan Heads DownProject Steps Time, Budget DisciplinedDetail, Assignment Specification Inflexible
Quality
Expect and Demand Conflict Between the Levels
Private and Confidential
Source: Bruce J. Rogow, ViValdi
Advisory Services
Endeavours Demand a Three Tiered Management Process…..
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 23
Each Horizon Episode Has Vastly Different Focus and Process..
Time
Thinking (Endeavor) Horizon (5-10 Yrs)
Scale, Scope, Cost, Return, Risk
2nd Episode Horizon
Base Camp
• Broaden BeachHeads
• Further Original BeachHeads
• Governance Established
• Architecture Templates
• Scaling Considered
3rd-xth Episode Horizon
• Broad Coordinated Execution, Enablement
• Management of Program Management
• Broad Governance
• Broad Architectural Discipline
Yth Episode Horizon
• Fill In Sustaining Portfolio
• Reach Further Out
• Transparent Execution
• Governance and Branding Fully Functional
• Multi-Tiered Architectures on Release Schedule
1st Episode Horizon Beach Head• Establish the
BeachHead
Initiation
Momentum
Exploitation
??????
Source: Bruce J. Rogow and Differentis
Four Levels of e-Leadership
1. Each Initiative
2. Initiative Momentum
3. Joining Up Initiatives
4. Whole Portfolio
Concept
RequirementsDelivery
Realization
ViValdi Advisory Services Copyright 2005© Bruce J.Rogow
Page 24
1. Re-Casting the Role of IT as the Seasons and Expectations for IT Change
2. Sorting Out IT “Fit for Purpose”
3. Remembering that Alignment Is Not About Just Front End Direction or Priority
4. For the Next Wave of IT, Adjusting Management Approach and Pace Is Essential If You Are to Succeed with High Hanging Fruit
5. ViValdi Style and Behavior Must Return to be Successful
6. IT Must Dramatically Adjust Its Agenda, Focus, Approaches, Skills and Models of How IT Does Business
In Summary, the Emerging Role of the CIO Will Revolve Around….