robin shreeve - skills development in australia
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Robin ShreeveCEO, Skills Australia
13 December 2011
Skills for Inclusive and SustainableGrowth in Developing Asia-Pacific:
An International Consultative Forum
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Skills Development in Australia:enhancing an industry led,competency based system though an
emphasis on workforce developmentand demand-based funding
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Australias Skills Development System
Industry led
Competency-based
Co-funded bygovernment,enterprises andindividuals
For both existingworkers and job-seekers
Se arate from2
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What is Skills Australia?
Skills Australia will provide the Government withrecommendations on current and future skills needs (and)
inform Australias workforce development needs
Expert independent Board withexpertise in industry,economics, education andacademia;
Provides independent advice tothe government on current,emerging and future skillsneeds and workforcedevelopment needs
Remit expanded in March 2009to look at full scope of labourmarket and give advice on HE &VET
2011 Budget announcements-extended role as NationalWorkforce and ProductivityAgency. Responsible forNational WorkforceDevelopment Fund- started
early - 1 October 2011
Back row (L to R):Keith Spence, Ged Kearney,
Dr Michael Keating AC,Prof. Gerald Burke.
Front row: Heather Ridout,
Philip Bullock (Chair),Marie Persson.
New Interim agency membersPeter Anderson ACCI
Paul Howes AWUDr John Edwards
Source:
1. Julia Gillard, Second Reading Speech Skills Australia Bill 2008(14 Feb 2008)
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Advice Skills Australia has provided toGovernment
Foundations for the Future June 2009
Australian Workforce Futures: anational workforce developmentstrategy March 2010
Advice to Department of Immigrationon Skilled Occupation List for GeneralSkilled Migration program February2011
Skills for prosperity: a road map forvocational education and training May 2011
Energy efficiency in commercial andresidential buildings: Jobs and SkillsImplications May 2011
2011 interimreport on resourcessector skill needs July 2011
2012 report on Defence MaterielIndustries
Scenario development - phase II ofAustralian
Workforce Futures
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Why all the fuss about skills?
Skill shortages - as the economy shifts to recovery and growth, concernsare raised again about constraints due to skills shortages
Productivity- the positive growth in productivity earlier this decade hasflattened, and turned negative
Participation - Australia ranks only 10th out of 34 OECD countries onworkforce participation
Population -Ageing of the Baby Boomers, Migration and Internationaltrends
Underemployment- there are 1.4 million Australians unemployed orunderemployed
Foundation Skills - currently 50% of the population has lower language,
literacy and numeracy levels than they need for their jobs
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VET Business Model
Australian Skills Quality Authority(ASQA)
SkillNeeds andSkill Gaps
Endorsementand
Accreditation
Qualificationsand
CompetencyStandards
Regulation
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The COAG 2020 targets
COAG has agreed to aspirational reform targets for VET for2020 to:
half the proportion of Australians without qualificationsat Cert III level or above
double the number of higher level (diploma andadvanced diploma) qualification completions
As at 2009, approximately 47.1% of 20-64 year old
Australians were without Cert III or above levels
Based on this, the 2020 target is to reduce the number of20-64 year olds without Cert III or above to 23.6%
In 2008, there were approximately 48,091 higher VET
qualification completions in Australia
Based on this, the target would be to double this to 96,182by 2020
Source: National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development: Performance Report for 2009, COAG 2010
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Australia the challenge of prosperity
Glenn StevensGovernor of ReserveBank of Australia
To put it in very simplifiedterms, five years ago, a shipload of Australian iron orewas worth about the same asabout 2,200 flat screentelevision sets
Today it is worth about22,000 flat-screen TV sets partly due to TV prices fallingbut more due to the price ofiron ore rising by a factor ofsix
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Source: ABS cat. no. 5204.0 and Treasury. Dr Ken Henry, Post Budget address to the Australian BusinessEconomists 18 May 2010
Australia - Three Speed EconomyOutput by selected industry sector
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Possible Futures: workforce growth to 2025
Number of people inAustralian workforcein 2025 (based onthree scenarios)
Open
Doors: 15.3 mill
Low TrustGlobalisation:
13.7 mill
Flags: 12.5 mill
Current: 11.3 mill
Projected total employment growth rates 1
Source: 1. Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic modell ing of skills demand(Oct 2009)
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Making Better Use of Existing Workforce Improving Participation
Source: OECD, Online OECD employment data base statistics for
2009, people aged 15 and over (accessed March 2011)
Groups totarget
Men of primeworking age (25 to64 years) ranked
21st in OECD
Women (aged 25to 34 years) - 10thlowest of OECD
countriesOlderAustralians(55 to 64) - belowNZ, UK and the US
Per cent
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Qualifications and skill shortfall
THE THREE SCENARIOSOPEN DOORS
LOW-TRUSTGLOBALISATI
ONFLAGS
By2015
Demand 770,000Demand 646,000Demand 540,000
Supply 533,000Supply 524,000Supply 506,000
BALANCE
-237,000BALANCE
-122,000BALANCE -34,000
By2025
Demand 828,000Demand 645,000Demand 500,000
Supply 659,000Supply 620,000Supply 556,000
BALANCE
-169,000BALANCE
-25,000BALANCE+56,00
0
However, skilled
migration plays a
significant role in
supplementing the
supply of
qualifications, andif it remains at
current levels,
these deficits may
be made up
through Australias
skilled migrant
intake
Source: Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic modelling of skills demand(Oct 2009)
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Qualifications and skills demand
1. Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic
modelling of skills demand (Oct 2009)
1313
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
trained at Cert III andFrom 2010-2025
Demand for 12 millionqualifications
Demand for nearly 7million people withqualifications atCertificate III and above
Demand by 2015 foradditional 2.3 millionworkers withqualifications at
Certificate III and above but not all new jobs replacement and skillsdeepening
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What areAustralian Workforce Futureskey findings?
The current capacity of our tertiary education system willneed to increase by 3% per annum, to deliver the
qualifications and skills Australia needs
Workforce participation needs to rise from 65% to 69%
to provide the workers and skills we need plus improve social
inclusion. Women (aged 25-34); men (aged 25-64); olderAustralians (55-64)
Numeracy and literacy are a major barrier to increased
participation and a national plan with targets and funding is
needed
Enterprises need to make better use ofthe skills of their
employees
Forecasting for all occupations is both impossible and
impractical. Our focus should be on specialised
occupations which we can and should plan for. The 80/20rule applies
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Australian VET is world class
A lot to be proud of:
Australia has a very welldeveloped VET system,
which enjoys a high degreeof confidence..
Source: Learning for Jobs, Hoeckel, K. 2008
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VET: a multi-faceted, inclusive, geographically diverseengine of this nation
Not just about trades and traineeships (approx 20%)
Catering for all ages - 56% of VET students are 25+
Over 40% from areas of extreme or high socioeconomic
disadvantage
40% of Year 11 & 12 doing some form of VET in Schools
5000 RTOs in almost every town and suburb
Over one-third of all workers depend upon VET as their
highest qualification
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VET has some challenges
Our completion rates could be improved
Quality has been inconsistent
Vocational education in schools is of variable quality
Funding is often tied to enrolments not outcome
Industry at times feels the system is inflexible
The system is complex
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Skills for Prosperitysets out an integratedset of recommendations
A demand-based system of individual leaner and enterpriseresponsive funding as the best means of growing the systemquickly and effectively. Users know better than central planners
Co-funded by those who benefit the most with the greatestsubsidy going to the most disadvantaged
But dependent on:
Better regulation and quality assurance of providers able toreceive public funds including, for example, external validation ofRTO assessments
More transparent information about individual providerperformance. Research indicates greater contestability leads togreater responsiveness and efficiency but needs to beaccompanied by better market information or providers will tendto compete solely on price. This will jeopardise the necessaryimprovements in quality
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Major proposals in Skills for Prosperity
Entitlement system for individual students
Demand based funding for enterprise training
Commonwealth funding for degrees in specialisedareas
Co-funded by Government, Industry and Individuals
(where appropriate) Funding clients rather than RTOs
Stronger quality and regulation
Mandatory external validation of a sample of RTOsassessments
Higher delivery standards for Cert IV in Training andEducation
Outcomes based funding
Increased investment
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It is important to use skills effectively
2020
Skills utilisation is an important element ofworkforce development and is increasinglyrecognised by governments andpolicymakers as just as valuable to
productivity as skills acquisition.
Skills Utilisation is how well employersharness and develop their workersabilities and talents to gain maximumvalue.
Skills Australia, 2011
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Critical success factors in better using employee skills
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Questions?
Thank you
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VET in Australia did you know?
VET is largely funded by the AustralianGovernment and state and territory
governments. However, companies andindividuals can contribute to the cost of training
VET is provided by training organisations whichregister with the government to teach accreditedcourses and include government and privateproviders
VET aims to provide people with the skills andknowledge they require to:
Enter the workforce for the first time
Re-enter the workforce after absences
Train or re-strain for a new job
Update their skills
Move into further study in VET or university
Government RTOs TAFE institutes; secondaryschools and colleges; universities; agriculturaland technical colleges
Private RTOs enterprises training employees;Source: Did You Know? A guide to VET in Australia, NCVER2007
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VET in Australia did you know?
Over 11% of Australias population aged
between 15 64 years participate ingovernment funded VET. About 30% of youngpeople (aged 15 19 years) living in Australiaundertaking some form of VET
The typical student in Australia is more likely to
be an adult, already employed and upgradingtheir job skills, rather than a school leaver
Almost 80% of graduates are employed 6months after completing their training, and
almost 3/4 of graduates report that theirtraining was highly or somewhat relevant totheir current job
VET qualifications are based on a set ofcompetency standards, thus students canstudy for differing amounts of time to completeSource: Did You Know? A guide to VET in Australia, NCVER