robin shreeve - skills development in australia

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    Robin ShreeveCEO, Skills Australia

    13 December 2011

    Skills for Inclusive and SustainableGrowth in Developing Asia-Pacific:

    An International Consultative Forum

    11

    Skills Development in Australia:enhancing an industry led,competency based system though an

    emphasis on workforce developmentand demand-based funding

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    Australias Skills Development System

    Industry led

    Competency-based

    Co-funded bygovernment,enterprises andindividuals

    For both existingworkers and job-seekers

    Se arate from2

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    What is Skills Australia?

    Skills Australia will provide the Government withrecommendations on current and future skills needs (and)

    inform Australias workforce development needs

    Expert independent Board withexpertise in industry,economics, education andacademia;

    Provides independent advice tothe government on current,emerging and future skillsneeds and workforcedevelopment needs

    Remit expanded in March 2009to look at full scope of labourmarket and give advice on HE &VET

    2011 Budget announcements-extended role as NationalWorkforce and ProductivityAgency. Responsible forNational WorkforceDevelopment Fund- started

    early - 1 October 2011

    Back row (L to R):Keith Spence, Ged Kearney,

    Dr Michael Keating AC,Prof. Gerald Burke.

    Front row: Heather Ridout,

    Philip Bullock (Chair),Marie Persson.

    New Interim agency membersPeter Anderson ACCI

    Paul Howes AWUDr John Edwards

    Source:

    1. Julia Gillard, Second Reading Speech Skills Australia Bill 2008(14 Feb 2008)

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    Advice Skills Australia has provided toGovernment

    Foundations for the Future June 2009

    Australian Workforce Futures: anational workforce developmentstrategy March 2010

    Advice to Department of Immigrationon Skilled Occupation List for GeneralSkilled Migration program February2011

    Skills for prosperity: a road map forvocational education and training May 2011

    Energy efficiency in commercial andresidential buildings: Jobs and SkillsImplications May 2011

    2011 interimreport on resourcessector skill needs July 2011

    2012 report on Defence MaterielIndustries

    Scenario development - phase II ofAustralian

    Workforce Futures

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    Why all the fuss about skills?

    Skill shortages - as the economy shifts to recovery and growth, concernsare raised again about constraints due to skills shortages

    Productivity- the positive growth in productivity earlier this decade hasflattened, and turned negative

    Participation - Australia ranks only 10th out of 34 OECD countries onworkforce participation

    Population -Ageing of the Baby Boomers, Migration and Internationaltrends

    Underemployment- there are 1.4 million Australians unemployed orunderemployed

    Foundation Skills - currently 50% of the population has lower language,

    literacy and numeracy levels than they need for their jobs

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    VET Business Model

    Australian Skills Quality Authority(ASQA)

    SkillNeeds andSkill Gaps

    Endorsementand

    Accreditation

    Qualificationsand

    CompetencyStandards

    Regulation

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    The COAG 2020 targets

    COAG has agreed to aspirational reform targets for VET for2020 to:

    half the proportion of Australians without qualificationsat Cert III level or above

    double the number of higher level (diploma andadvanced diploma) qualification completions

    As at 2009, approximately 47.1% of 20-64 year old

    Australians were without Cert III or above levels

    Based on this, the 2020 target is to reduce the number of20-64 year olds without Cert III or above to 23.6%

    In 2008, there were approximately 48,091 higher VET

    qualification completions in Australia

    Based on this, the target would be to double this to 96,182by 2020

    Source: National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development: Performance Report for 2009, COAG 2010

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    Australia the challenge of prosperity

    Glenn StevensGovernor of ReserveBank of Australia

    To put it in very simplifiedterms, five years ago, a shipload of Australian iron orewas worth about the same asabout 2,200 flat screentelevision sets

    Today it is worth about22,000 flat-screen TV sets partly due to TV prices fallingbut more due to the price ofiron ore rising by a factor ofsix

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    Source: ABS cat. no. 5204.0 and Treasury. Dr Ken Henry, Post Budget address to the Australian BusinessEconomists 18 May 2010

    Australia - Three Speed EconomyOutput by selected industry sector

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    Possible Futures: workforce growth to 2025

    Number of people inAustralian workforcein 2025 (based onthree scenarios)

    Open

    Doors: 15.3 mill

    Low TrustGlobalisation:

    13.7 mill

    Flags: 12.5 mill

    Current: 11.3 mill

    Projected total employment growth rates 1

    Source: 1. Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic modell ing of skills demand(Oct 2009)

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    Making Better Use of Existing Workforce Improving Participation

    Source: OECD, Online OECD employment data base statistics for

    2009, people aged 15 and over (accessed March 2011)

    Groups totarget

    Men of primeworking age (25 to64 years) ranked

    21st in OECD

    Women (aged 25to 34 years) - 10thlowest of OECD

    countriesOlderAustralians(55 to 64) - belowNZ, UK and the US

    Per cent

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    Qualifications and skill shortfall

    THE THREE SCENARIOSOPEN DOORS

    LOW-TRUSTGLOBALISATI

    ONFLAGS

    By2015

    Demand 770,000Demand 646,000Demand 540,000

    Supply 533,000Supply 524,000Supply 506,000

    BALANCE

    -237,000BALANCE

    -122,000BALANCE -34,000

    By2025

    Demand 828,000Demand 645,000Demand 500,000

    Supply 659,000Supply 620,000Supply 556,000

    BALANCE

    -169,000BALANCE

    -25,000BALANCE+56,00

    0

    However, skilled

    migration plays a

    significant role in

    supplementing the

    supply of

    qualifications, andif it remains at

    current levels,

    these deficits may

    be made up

    through Australias

    skilled migrant

    intake

    Source: Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic modelling of skills demand(Oct 2009)

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    Qualifications and skills demand

    1. Access Economics Pty Ltd for Skills Australia, Economic

    modelling of skills demand (Oct 2009)

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    trained at Cert III andFrom 2010-2025

    Demand for 12 millionqualifications

    Demand for nearly 7million people withqualifications atCertificate III and above

    Demand by 2015 foradditional 2.3 millionworkers withqualifications at

    Certificate III and above but not all new jobs replacement and skillsdeepening

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    What areAustralian Workforce Futureskey findings?

    The current capacity of our tertiary education system willneed to increase by 3% per annum, to deliver the

    qualifications and skills Australia needs

    Workforce participation needs to rise from 65% to 69%

    to provide the workers and skills we need plus improve social

    inclusion. Women (aged 25-34); men (aged 25-64); olderAustralians (55-64)

    Numeracy and literacy are a major barrier to increased

    participation and a national plan with targets and funding is

    needed

    Enterprises need to make better use ofthe skills of their

    employees

    Forecasting for all occupations is both impossible and

    impractical. Our focus should be on specialised

    occupations which we can and should plan for. The 80/20rule applies

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    Australian VET is world class

    A lot to be proud of:

    Australia has a very welldeveloped VET system,

    which enjoys a high degreeof confidence..

    Source: Learning for Jobs, Hoeckel, K. 2008

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    VET: a multi-faceted, inclusive, geographically diverseengine of this nation

    Not just about trades and traineeships (approx 20%)

    Catering for all ages - 56% of VET students are 25+

    Over 40% from areas of extreme or high socioeconomic

    disadvantage

    40% of Year 11 & 12 doing some form of VET in Schools

    5000 RTOs in almost every town and suburb

    Over one-third of all workers depend upon VET as their

    highest qualification

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    VET has some challenges

    Our completion rates could be improved

    Quality has been inconsistent

    Vocational education in schools is of variable quality

    Funding is often tied to enrolments not outcome

    Industry at times feels the system is inflexible

    The system is complex

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    Skills for Prosperitysets out an integratedset of recommendations

    A demand-based system of individual leaner and enterpriseresponsive funding as the best means of growing the systemquickly and effectively. Users know better than central planners

    Co-funded by those who benefit the most with the greatestsubsidy going to the most disadvantaged

    But dependent on:

    Better regulation and quality assurance of providers able toreceive public funds including, for example, external validation ofRTO assessments

    More transparent information about individual providerperformance. Research indicates greater contestability leads togreater responsiveness and efficiency but needs to beaccompanied by better market information or providers will tendto compete solely on price. This will jeopardise the necessaryimprovements in quality

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    Major proposals in Skills for Prosperity

    Entitlement system for individual students

    Demand based funding for enterprise training

    Commonwealth funding for degrees in specialisedareas

    Co-funded by Government, Industry and Individuals

    (where appropriate) Funding clients rather than RTOs

    Stronger quality and regulation

    Mandatory external validation of a sample of RTOsassessments

    Higher delivery standards for Cert IV in Training andEducation

    Outcomes based funding

    Increased investment

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    It is important to use skills effectively

    2020

    Skills utilisation is an important element ofworkforce development and is increasinglyrecognised by governments andpolicymakers as just as valuable to

    productivity as skills acquisition.

    Skills Utilisation is how well employersharness and develop their workersabilities and talents to gain maximumvalue.

    Skills Australia, 2011

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    Critical success factors in better using employee skills

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    Questions?

    Thank you

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    VET in Australia did you know?

    VET is largely funded by the AustralianGovernment and state and territory

    governments. However, companies andindividuals can contribute to the cost of training

    VET is provided by training organisations whichregister with the government to teach accreditedcourses and include government and privateproviders

    VET aims to provide people with the skills andknowledge they require to:

    Enter the workforce for the first time

    Re-enter the workforce after absences

    Train or re-strain for a new job

    Update their skills

    Move into further study in VET or university

    Government RTOs TAFE institutes; secondaryschools and colleges; universities; agriculturaland technical colleges

    Private RTOs enterprises training employees;Source: Did You Know? A guide to VET in Australia, NCVER2007

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    VET in Australia did you know?

    Over 11% of Australias population aged

    between 15 64 years participate ingovernment funded VET. About 30% of youngpeople (aged 15 19 years) living in Australiaundertaking some form of VET

    The typical student in Australia is more likely to

    be an adult, already employed and upgradingtheir job skills, rather than a school leaver

    Almost 80% of graduates are employed 6months after completing their training, and

    almost 3/4 of graduates report that theirtraining was highly or somewhat relevant totheir current job

    VET qualifications are based on a set ofcompetency standards, thus students canstudy for differing amounts of time to completeSource: Did You Know? A guide to VET in Australia, NCVER