rlsir newsletter - summer edition
DESCRIPTION
Russ Lyon Sotheby's International Realty's Summer Edition NewsletterTRANSCRIPT
In Arizona, 4th of July fireworks symbolize not only Independence Day but the beginning of the summer monsoon. The typically late afternoon storms cool the air with welcome rain, rolling thunder and lightning–nature’s own fireworks. Monsoon literally means ‘season’ or ‘wind-shift’.
As summer temperatures rise the wind shifts from a westerly flow to a southerly flow, bringing in moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, or Gulf of California (meteorologists are divided on this).divided on this).
Staying with our analogy, as temperatures have risen so too have home sales. According to the current MLS data in the Valley of the Sun, 2,216 homes closed on June 30,2011. This is the largest total ever recorded for a single day, beating the previous record set on June 30, 2004 by nearly 57%! Put in context, total sales for June were 11,141, a new all-time record.
Bucking the national trend, with the supply of homes ‘for sale’ rapidly diminishing and sales at record levels, this dynamic suggests price stability and truly a market on fire.sales at record levels, this dynamic suggests price stability and truly a market on fire.
Support for this view follows - see ‘Local Community Snapshots’.
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SELECT LOCAL MARKET SNAPSHOTS
Paradise Valley
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
299 45 373 313 $1,435,791 6.8 24.5
Scottsdale
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
2,196 59 4,657 4,413 $497,193 4.2 7.9
Commentary: The striking thing to notice in comparing the performance of both cities over the past 2 years, is how the # of month supply has dropped dramatically. While this is apparent in all sub-markets, it is most noticeable in Paradise Valley, where 2 years ago there was an 24.5 month supply and now there is just over a 6 month supply. In all local cities the number of Sold transactions 2 years ago versus this past year tells a similar story, shrinking supply coupled with a robust demand. To repeat, you can’t talk about demand without talking about supply, or the available inventory of homes for sale. This is the punch line. Today we have strong, almost record demand coupled with a shrinking supply. This suggests price stability at a minimum and explains why the market in Arizona is heating up. It’s been a hot market for investors buying distressed properties, but now we’re seeing the return of the owner-occupant—the buyers that want the best home they can find in the best community, with the intention of living there for at least 5-plus years, without thinking of their home as primarily an investment per se. This is newsworthy--as recent surveys affirm, that in spite of the housing debacle, the American Dream of homeownership lives… Next...
SELECT LOCAL MARKET SNAPSHOTS
Cave Creek
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
271 91 626 453 $387,983 3.6 7.8
Care Free
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
81 10 86 89 $677,973 13.5 45
Fountain Hills
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
230 65 51 43 $491,371 4.5 6.5
Arcadia (ZIP Code 85018)
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
# of Month Supply
# of Month Supply
2 yrs Ago
232 62 492 392 $442,000 5 9
Tucson
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
Oro Valley
Current Active Listings
Currently Pending
Sold Past 12 Months
Sold Prior 12 Months
Average Price
Average Price1 Yr Ago
# of Month Supply
Average Price1 Yr Ago
# of Month Supply
These marketshare stats are cross-mls (both Phoenix & Tucson) for all sales 500K and up YTD
Santa Fe Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $10,500,000
New MexicoRuss Lyon International RealtyOFFERED AT $5,000,000
Arizona
More...
Rome Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $11,162,000
RomeDamianos Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $12,500,000
Bahamas
London Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $11,366,000
LondonSotheby’s International Realty - ManhattanOFFERED AT $7,900,000
New York
Significant Sales
William Pitt Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $7,450,000
ConneticutRussell Post International RealtyOFFERED AT $6,800,000
Florida
Briggs Freeman Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $6,500,000
TexasSt. Barth Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $8,300,000
St. Barthelemy
Wine Country Sotheby’s International RealtyOFFERED AT $7,980,000
CaliforniaSotheby’s International Realty - So. HamptonOFFERED AT $7,750,000
New York
Significant Sales continued. . .