risk awareness and education initiatives and … · risk awareness and education initiatives and...
TRANSCRIPT
Risk Awareness and Education
Initiatives and Programmes
Developed in Japan
Norio Okada
Professor, DPRI, Kyoto University,JapanOECD- Bank Indonesia International Conference
on Financial Education
(21-22 October 2008)
OECD Policy Handbook on POLICY HANDBOOKON NATURAL HAZARD AWARENESS
AND DISASTER RISK REDUCTION EDUCATION (draft)
Questions raised:
• A) Impact of frequent and severe natural hazards on the population in the Asian region
→How can we proactively adapt and learn by acting timely and by rhythmically being sensitized and/or exposed to the impacts?
• B) Importance and role of risk awareness, education initiatives and programmes in order to reduce the (financial) impact of disasters
→i) Not necessarily linking directly to financial matters
ii) Setting a more natural, holistic and context-
dependent communication platform
Questions raised: (2)
• C) Most effective tools
→ Effectiveness is powered by the skills of facilitation and other process/context-dependent knowhow:
Illustrations made from Japan’s ongoing challenges
• D) OECD policy recommendations
→ Policy recommendations are made in conclusion
• E) Roles of the governments, the industry, and in particular the insurance industry, and the civil society.
→ i) Roles of academics also need to be stressed.
ii) Know-hows to set up effective platforms for risk
communication need to be formalized
II. Broad strategyThree-step approach for effective risk awareness and education strategies:
1)In-depth scientific assessment of natural hazards and disaster risks, including hazard mapping
→facilitating people to collaboratively make
diagnosis
2)Identification of desired behaviour and perception changes→guiding people further into working our possible countermeasures and actions
3)Identification of respective roles of stakeholders, and appropriate tools and methods to educate stakeholders and induce action →Roles of scientists and educators are also important ;methods need to be collaboratively developed and adaptively tested
III. Principles(1)• Key principles to inform risk awareness
and risk reduction education strategies,
including:
– Risk-based prioritisation
– Disaster risk transfer and financing
mechanisms can enhance awareness and
education
– Risk communication techniques and
actionable language
→Some special workshop methods are
illustrated as good practices
III. Principles(2)– Messages regarding allocation of costs and disaster
prevention responsibilities as a tool
→ Some special workshop methods as good practices illustrated
– Long-term and sustained strategy
→1)Adaptive management should be
introduced for multiple disaster reduction
over a long span of time to be
rhythmically synchronized with “Disaster
Management Cycles (Clocks)”
2) Good partnership among government, industry
and Communities plus academics and educators
are also important
Conventional disaster plan
vs. 21st century integrated disaster
planning and management
• Reactive
• Emergency and crisis management
• Countermeasure manual approach
• Predetermined planning
(Non-surprise)
• Sectoral countermeasure approach
• Top-down approach
• More proactive
• More risk mitigation + preparedness approach
• More anticipatory/precautionary approach
• More comprehensivepolicy-bundle approach
• More adaptivemanagement approach
• More bottom-upapproach
Disaster management cycle as a clock
modified from Alexander, 2002
BE
FO
RE
TH
E E
VE
NTA
FT
ER
TH
E E
VE
NT
IMPACT
Disaster
EARLY WARNING
Evidence: Repeated Disaster Impact are Sensed,
Learned and Acted on
Non-life Rating Organization of Japan
News Release 21 Aug. 2008• On national average, 44 % of those insured on fire
insurance also joined earthquake insurance, with a 2.3 % increase from the last year 2007
• Has seen 5 year’s consecutive increase
• Kochi, Aichi and Miyagi Prefs. all supposed to be under nearing earthquake disaster risks have recorded more than 60 percent
• Markedly Ishikawa, Toyama and Fukui Prefs. have experienced the ever increasing growth rate. They are in the central and neighboring prefectures struck by the 2007 recent earthquake disasters in the northeastern Japan Sea coastal regions.
Plan-Do-Action-Plan Process
Small but Complete by Adaptive Management
Action
Plan Check
Do
Management
Cycle
Implementing policy
Planning policy
making/ revising
Observing
current state
Setting up communication
platform for policy development
Urban diagnosis
Strategic Shift towards Sustainable
Disaster Cycle Management
When? When?
Prepare
•Not easy to maintain awareness for long
•Not easy to bring it into motion from inside
•Not easy to become rhythmical between tension
and relaxation in a day-to-day pace mode
•Not to be encouraged and rewarded by the effort
Take a small
challenge when
hit near/small by a
disaster
Focus and Roll over
Focus and Roll over
•To put in PDCA small cycles as fliers
•To catch the timing and external moment (shock)
•To beat the time with tension and relaxation
•To encourage and motivate people by making it
visible and rewarding
Non-strategic Strategic
But…
Cannot to tell when!
It very seldom
comes!
Plan
Do
Action
C
p
CheckD
P
d
c
Nested Structure of PDCA Cycles
(Large, Middle and Small Vehicle-Linkage)
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00
事前実施率(以前から実施/N)
Q5
Q3Q4
Q10
Q2
Q9
Q6
Q1
Q7
Q8
経験後実施率(経験後実施/N)
観測
線型
②
①
③
事前実施率(以前から実施/N)事前実施率 (%)
経験後実施率
(%)
0 10 20 30 40 50
2
7
8
9
1
10
65
43
0
1
02
0
30
40
50
Implementation Ratio Changes before and
after nearby-, “Oh-No!” disaster experiences
Implementation Before (%)
Imp
lem
en
tati
on
Aft
er(
%)
→INSURANCE, RETROFITTING
COMMUNITY CHECK-UPS
Flood Risk Communication system
by CASiFiCA Chukyo (Tatano and Hatayama)
Community’s participatory diagnosis-
Upgrading hazard mapping to risk mapping with options available
Picture by Tatano
Develop GIS (DiMSIS)
Flood Analysis
Evacuation Risk Evaluator
Housing Risk Evaluator
workshop
Personal Experience can change
their “mental model” and change
their actual behavior
Developed on Workshop method using of Distal Disaster
Kamishibai by CASiFiCA Chukyo (Hideshima and Takeuchi)
Appreciate Kamishibai narratives
Discussions
Determine shared rules
and roles in community
Share ideas and actions
Enhance community’s coping
capacity
1 Read episode and Make
your choice - Yes or NO?2 Disclose your choice
by Yes or No card
3 Find out group result -Majority or minority?
4 Get game points
based on the results
--- Majority : 1 normal point
(a blue chip)
--- Single Minority: 1 special
point (a gold chip)
5 Exchange views ---
persuading others and/or
persuaded by others,
Also, writing down the
reasons, grounds, and
conditions for YES or NO
attitude on the note
6 Learn basic info
and listen to disaster
veterans’ talk
Basic procedure of “Crossroad: Kobe” Procedure
Policy Conclusions
• Good practices can be more disseminated through publication and marketing by customerized disaster reduction industry.
• Roles of academics and educators need to be stressed.
• Know-hows to set up effective platforms for risk communication need to be formalized
• Timing-engine knowhows need to be more highlighted.
• Architecturing governance schemes to frame knowhows is also studied.
• Asian countries should collaborate and share good practices. (e.g. Disaster Hyperbase Project by Japan)