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March 2010
Risk Assessment and Planning: Bridging the
Hazards Management-Climate Change
Adaptation Divide
Gavin Smith, Ph.D., AICP
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Center for the Study of Natural Hazards and
Disasters
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Introduction
Opportunity for Collaboration
Research and Practice
Natural Hazards Management and Climate Change
Adaptation
Hazard Mitigation
Policies, Programs and Plans
Disaster Recovery
Policies, Programs and Plans
Recommendations for Action
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Research Findings
Study of Natural Hazards and Disasters
Disasters by Design (Mileti 1999)
Facing Hazards and Disasters: Understanding Human Dimensions (National Research Council 2006)
Hazards Research Meteorological Phenomena (Duration, Intensity, Frequency)
Hazard Vulnerability
Hazard Mitigation
Disasters Disaster Response
Disaster Recovery
Social Vulnerability (Chicago Heat Wave)
Risk Communication
Building Performance
Disaster Myths
Issue Salience and Policymaking
Politics of Disaster
Planning
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Practice of Hazards Management
Natural Hazards versus Disasters
Disasters are a Human Construct
Emergency Management and Hazards
Management
Preparedness, Response, Hazard Mitigation, and
Recovery
Emergency Manager/Land Use Planner Divide
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Hazards versus Disasters
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Hazard Mitigation Policy
Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000
State and Local Hazard Mitigation Planning
Pre-Disaster Mitigation/Hazard Mitigation Grant Program
Planning Guidelines
Policies and Projects Land Use
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Hazard Mitigation Planning Process
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Hazard Mitigation / Adaptation Strategies
Land Use Planning
Risk Assessment
Hazard Notification
Public Investments
Hardening Structures (levees, seawalls)
Relocation/Retreat
Land Acquisition
Education and Outreach
Elevation
Building Codes
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Hazard Mitigation Tools and Adaptation
Hazard Mitigation Grant Program
Hurricanes Fran and Floyd (over 600 million dollars in
hazard mitigation funding)
Acquisition and Relocation
Elevation
Relocation of Flood-prone Infrastructure
Relocation of Hog Farms and Junkyards
North Carolina Floodplain Mapping Program (flood hazard
identification)
North Carolina Sea Level Rise Project
Adaptation Component
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Disaster Recovery and Adaptation?
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Assessing, Communicating and Assuming Risk
Public Sector Federal, State and Local
Private Sector Corporations
Small Business
Contractors
Developers
Media
Private Non-Profits Faith-Based Groups
National Organizations
Foundations
Quasi-Governmental Organizations Regional Planning Organizations
Professional Associations
Universities and Colleges
Community Development Corporations
Neighborhood Associations
Emergent Groups and Individuals
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Communicating Risk
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What is the Appropriate Design Standard?
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Geography of Disaster
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Housing (temporary, transition, and resettlement)
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Explaining Vulnerability in the Post-Disaster
Environment
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Risk and Post-Disaster Redevelopment
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Risk and Policy Choices
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Risk-Based Policymaking and Issue Salience
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Risk, Sustainability and Disaster Resilience
Can High-Risk Communities be Sustainable and Resilient?
Market Behavior vs. Risk-Based Planning and Design
Decreasing Social Vulnerability vs. Diverse Populations
Linking Planning to Sustainable Development, Hazard Resilience, and Adaptation
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Human Settlements, Risk and Climate Change: Are
We Learning from our Mistakes?
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Shoreacres, Texas Following Hurricane Ike
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Recommendations for Action: Use the Tools We
Already Have
Integrate Hazard Mitigation Plans and Climate Change Adaptation Plans State Level
Local Level
Pre-Event Planning for Post-Disaster Recovery Planning
Funding
Window of Opportunity to Enact Change
Multi-Objective Planning and Coalition Building Episodic versus slow onset, potentially catastrophic
disaster (hazards are dynamic)
The Salience of Climate Change