results of surveyusa mkt research study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · this research was conducted...

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Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor: Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Release Date: 10/10/2018 Percentages Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 1 © 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 17th State Senate District 10/03/18 through 10/08/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. 1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting? 400 Registered Voters All Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely Very Likely 88% 89% 87% 80% 82% 97% 87% 81% 94% 88% 81% 92% 90% 100% 0% 0% Somewhat Likely 8% 8% 7% 11% 12% 1% 11% 11% 5% 6% 19% 6% 10% 0% 100% 0% Unlikely 2% 0% 4% 5% 2% 1% 0% 4% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Not Voting 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not Sure 1% 2% 0% 3% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2% 1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting? 400 Registered Voters All Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Very Likely 88% 91% 90% 86% 94% 89% 87% 95% 84% 89% 90% 87% 60% 81% 94% 71% 84% 94% Somewhat Likely 8% 4% 9% 9% 2% 9% 10% 4% 11% 7% 5% 11% 18% 12% 5% 16% 11% 3% Unlikely 2% 1% 1% 5% 0% 2% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 1% 0% 6% 1% 4% 3% 1% Not Voting 1% 3% 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% 9% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 13% 0% 0% 5% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

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Page 1: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 1© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 17th State Senate District 10/03/18 through 10/08/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed

mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS)

from Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Very Likely 88% 89% 87% 80% 82% 97% 87% 81% 94% 88% 81% 92% 90% 100% 0% 0%

Somewhat Likely 8% 8% 7% 11% 12% 1% 11% 11% 5% 6% 19% 6% 10% 0% 100% 0%

Unlikely 2% 0% 4% 5% 2% 1% 0% 4% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%

Not Voting 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Not Sure 1% 2% 0% 3% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Very Likely 88% 91% 90% 86% 94% 89% 87% 95% 84% 89% 90% 87% 60% 81% 94% 71% 84% 94%

Somewhat Likely 8% 4% 9% 9% 2% 9% 10% 4% 11% 7% 5% 11% 18% 12% 5% 16% 11% 3%

Unlikely 2% 1% 1% 5% 0% 2% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 1% 0% 6% 1% 4% 3% 1%

Not Voting 1% 3% 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% 9% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 13% 0% 0% 5% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 2: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 2© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Very Likely 88% 94% 89% 70% 74% 95%

Somewhat Likely 8% 6% 6% 20% 15% 4%

Unlikely 2% 0% 1% 10% 6% 0%

Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 0% 3% 1%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 3% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Right Direction 41% 43% 38% 46% 40% 37% 39% 44% 38% 42% 30% 46% 39% 43% 17% 44%

Wrong Track 39% 41% 37% 25% 43% 45% 43% 33% 45% 38% 43% 51% 34% 38% 55% 33%

Not Sure 20% 16% 24% 29% 17% 17% 17% 24% 17% 21% 27% 3% 27% 19% 29% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Right Direction 41% 64% 26% 31% 62% 27% 32% 61% 24% 35% 59% 20% 51% 37% 42% 40% 35% 45%

Wrong Track 39% 19% 55% 47% 21% 51% 47% 26% 50% 49% 23% 55% 24% 40% 40% 30% 36% 42%

Not Sure 20% 17% 19% 21% 16% 22% 21% 13% 25% 16% 18% 25% 25% 23% 18% 30% 29% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 3: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 3© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Right Direction 41% 38% 41% 48% 38% 42%

Wrong Track 39% 26% 39% 47% 27% 45%

Not Sure 20% 37% 21% 5% 36% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 54% 42% 49% 41% 51% 45% 46% 49% 50% 33% 61% 28% 51% 20% 22%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 34% 38% 32% 33% 37% 44% 33% 39% 34% 60% 19% 45% 36% 42% 22%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 5% 3% 0% 5% 5% 5% 2% 5% 3% 0% 8% 11% 4% 1% 11%

Undecided 13% 8% 18% 19% 20% 7% 7% 19% 7% 13% 7% 11% 17% 8% 38% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 79% 20% 42% 85% 9% 45% 89% 28% 11% 79% 13% 31% 44% 51% 27% 47% 55%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 7% 72% 33% 4% 85% 30% 3% 55% 72% 4% 77% 20% 35% 38% 46% 34% 33%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 6% 2% 1% 5% 0% 5% 6% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 8% 2% 1% 5% 4%

Undecided 13% 9% 6% 23% 6% 6% 20% 2% 15% 15% 12% 9% 46% 14% 9% 26% 14% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 4: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 4© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 27% 51% 45% 31% 56%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 40% 34% 42% 37% 36%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 9% 3% 5% 0% 5%

Undecided 13% 24% 12% 8% 32% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 34% 39% 29% 28% 27% 42% 32% 27% 39% 34% 25% 58% 9% 37% 12% 0%

Unfavorable 21% 23% 18% 20% 16% 23% 21% 18% 23% 17% 46% 11% 30% 21% 25% 22%

Neutral 27% 23% 30% 29% 29% 21% 32% 29% 24% 28% 11% 25% 43% 25% 40% 56%

No Opinion 19% 15% 23% 23% 28% 14% 15% 25% 14% 21% 18% 6% 18% 17% 23% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 34% 55% 21% 25% 59% 12% 27% 65% 13% 19% 57% 11% 17% 31% 37% 19% 31% 40%

Unfavorable 21% 6% 33% 28% 5% 40% 22% 4% 33% 38% 7% 38% 10% 22% 21% 24% 18% 20%

Neutral 27% 25% 25% 26% 23% 22% 33% 23% 32% 25% 25% 24% 33% 30% 24% 23% 36% 23%

No Opinion 19% 14% 21% 21% 12% 26% 18% 7% 22% 18% 11% 27% 40% 17% 18% 34% 15% 17%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 5: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 5© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 34% 19% 35% 34% 23% 39%

Unfavorable 21% 15% 20% 21% 14% 24%

Neutral 27% 26% 27% 30% 25% 27%

No Opinion 19% 40% 18% 14% 38% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 28% 27% 30% 32% 17% 27% 36% 26% 30% 27% 47% 11% 22% 29% 29% 22%

Unfavorable 24% 31% 17% 20% 28% 29% 14% 23% 24% 23% 20% 47% 20% 26% 0% 22%

Neutral 22% 21% 23% 22% 22% 19% 28% 22% 22% 22% 16% 28% 19% 20% 47% 22%

No Opinion 26% 21% 31% 26% 34% 25% 21% 29% 23% 28% 17% 14% 38% 25% 24% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 28% 8% 55% 25% 7% 67% 18% 3% 41% 60% 6% 56% 9% 31% 29% 37% 28% 25%

Unfavorable 24% 34% 16% 20% 40% 6% 26% 45% 12% 11% 36% 8% 14% 18% 27% 12% 21% 30%

Neutral 22% 25% 13% 27% 22% 10% 32% 23% 20% 14% 28% 18% 31% 28% 18% 23% 31% 17%

No Opinion 26% 34% 16% 28% 32% 17% 25% 28% 27% 15% 30% 18% 46% 22% 26% 29% 19% 28%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 6: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 6© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 28% 36% 26% 36% 28% 28%

Unfavorable 24% 11% 26% 23% 10% 30%

Neutral 22% 28% 21% 27% 26% 20%

No Opinion 26% 25% 27% 14% 35% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 7% 11% 4% 6% 17% 5% 4% 10% 5% 8% 4% 5% 0% 5% 22% 22%

Unfavorable 14% 16% 12% 22% 6% 14% 8% 16% 12% 13% 16% 22% 9% 16% 0% 0%

Neutral 33% 33% 33% 33% 27% 38% 29% 30% 35% 31% 41% 54% 20% 33% 32% 33%

No Opinion 46% 41% 51% 39% 50% 43% 59% 44% 48% 48% 39% 20% 71% 46% 45% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 7% 8% 5% 7% 4% 6% 11% 9% 6% 8% 9% 2% 2% 12% 6% 4% 11% 6%

Unfavorable 14% 15% 11% 16% 21% 9% 12% 20% 8% 16% 21% 8% 13% 15% 14% 13% 13% 15%

Neutral 33% 29% 42% 29% 31% 38% 31% 30% 32% 43% 26% 45% 31% 30% 34% 28% 43% 30%

No Opinion 46% 48% 42% 48% 45% 46% 46% 41% 54% 33% 45% 45% 54% 43% 47% 55% 34% 49%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

Page 7: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 7© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 7% 1% 7% 15% 8% 7%

Unfavorable 14% 20% 13% 16% 8% 17%

Neutral 33% 39% 33% 32% 35% 32%

No Opinion 46% 40% 47% 37% 49% 45%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Education 26% 21% 31% 35% 25% 21% 21% 31% 21% 28% 16% 9% 28% 24% 52% 44%

Energy / Environment 7% 8% 6% 10% 5% 4% 10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 5% 9% 7% 0% 0%

Government Spending 16% 19% 12% 14% 14% 15% 23% 14% 17% 13% 29% 16% 24% 16% 20% 0%

Healthcare 14% 10% 19% 13% 8% 19% 13% 11% 17% 13% 31% 9% 3% 14% 4% 44%

Jobs / Economy 14% 12% 17% 9% 20% 16% 13% 13% 15% 14% 9% 23% 24% 14% 17% 11%

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 14% 7% 14% 7% 11% 8% 11% 10% 13% 0% 0% 9% 11% 6% 0%

Taxes 7% 11% 2% 4% 6% 9% 6% 5% 8% 5% 3% 28% 2% 7% 0% 0%

Other 4% 5% 3% 0% 12% 3% 5% 5% 4% 4% 2% 11% 0% 5% 0% 0%

Not Sure 2% 0% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 4% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

Page 8: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 8© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Education 26% 26% 23% 29% 19% 27% 29% 18% 28% 32% 15% 32% 20% 24% 27% 22% 32% 23%

Energy / Environment 7% 4% 9% 7% 3% 14% 3% 3% 7% 16% 3% 12% 24% 5% 6% 15% 5% 4%

Government Spending 16% 23% 11% 12% 26% 10% 9% 24% 13% 3% 24% 7% 21% 13% 16% 23% 12% 16%

Healthcare 14% 4% 28% 12% 6% 30% 10% 3% 21% 28% 6% 24% 13% 17% 13% 17% 15% 13%

Jobs / Economy 14% 20% 8% 15% 21% 5% 16% 21% 12% 5% 25% 6% 17% 15% 14% 8% 14% 17%

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 13% 11% 7% 12% 7% 13% 8% 11% 13% 12% 9% 0% 17% 8% 12% 9% 11%

Taxes 7% 5% 6% 8% 8% 0% 11% 16% 1% 1% 9% 4% 3% 3% 8% 1% 6% 8%

Other 4% 5% 3% 6% 4% 3% 6% 6% 4% 3% 5% 5% 1% 4% 5% 2% 6% 4%

Not Sure 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Education 26% 24% 27% 18% 38% 20%

Energy / Environment 7% 6% 6% 4% 7% 7%

Government Spending 16% 11% 14% 28% 9% 19%

Healthcare 14% 19% 14% 13% 17% 13%

Jobs / Economy 14% 12% 15% 12% 16% 14%

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 16% 11% 4% 8% 12%

Taxes 7% 1% 6% 15% 2% 9%

Other 4% 6% 4% 3% 3% 5%

Not Sure 2% 4% 1% 2% 1% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

Page 9: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 9© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Democrats 40% 36% 44% 38% 34% 41% 46% 36% 43% 38% 68% 16% 40% 39% 51% 56%

Republicans 50% 58% 42% 45% 55% 53% 46% 49% 51% 51% 29% 75% 51% 52% 28% 22%

Not Sure 10% 6% 14% 17% 10% 6% 8% 14% 6% 11% 4% 9% 10% 9% 21% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Democrats 40% 7% 78% 40% 4% 91% 35% 4% 58% 80% 3% 82% 28% 40% 41% 53% 38% 36%

Republicans 50% 87% 18% 41% 90% 5% 49% 93% 30% 10% 91% 9% 60% 47% 50% 32% 49% 57%

Not Sure 10% 5% 4% 19% 5% 5% 16% 3% 12% 10% 6% 9% 12% 13% 9% 15% 13% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Democrats 40% 58% 36% 44% 46% 37%

Republicans 50% 30% 54% 49% 37% 57%

Not Sure 10% 13% 10% 7% 17% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

Page 10: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 10© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 27% 22% 30% 28% 16% 30% 29% 21% 25% 32% 6% 19% 26% 24% 0%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 51% 45% 54% 48% 48% 40% 52% 45% 49% 32% 72% 45% 48% 43% 44%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 21% 27% 13% 23% 33% 24% 17% 30% 24% 32% 14% 21% 23% 31% 33%

Not Sure 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3% 6% 2% 4% 2% 4% 8% 14% 3% 1% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 3% 50% 26% 1% 63% 18% 0% 34% 61% 0% 56% 9% 25% 26% 39% 23% 20%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 69% 25% 46% 67% 17% 53% 77% 32% 25% 73% 17% 73% 43% 48% 33% 48% 53%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 25% 23% 22% 29% 18% 24% 19% 32% 13% 23% 25% 13% 25% 25% 23% 25% 25%

Not Sure 3% 3% 2% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 7% 2% 5% 5% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 41% 22% 20% 23% 25%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 27% 49% 58% 48% 48%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 21% 26% 20% 26% 23%

Not Sure 3% 11% 3% 2% 3% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

Page 11: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 11© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Favor 65% 67% 63% 65% 63% 66% 63% 65% 65% 66% 51% 89% 54% 65% 58% 78%

Oppose 28% 28% 29% 23% 29% 30% 34% 25% 31% 28% 40% 6% 39% 30% 26% 0%

Not Sure 7% 5% 9% 12% 8% 4% 3% 10% 4% 6% 9% 5% 8% 5% 16% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favor 65% 93% 42% 55% 93% 31% 63% 96% 49% 29% 95% 31% 69% 71% 62% 59% 63% 69%

Oppose 28% 4% 47% 41% 5% 59% 30% 1% 44% 62% 2% 60% 12% 17% 35% 29% 27% 27%

Not Sure 7% 2% 12% 4% 3% 10% 8% 3% 7% 9% 2% 9% 19% 12% 3% 12% 10% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favor 65% 46% 67% 76% 58% 68%

Oppose 28% 38% 28% 18% 30% 28%

Not Sure 7% 16% 6% 7% 13% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

Page 12: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 12© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

More Likely 50% 56% 44% 49% 48% 50% 53% 48% 51% 49% 50% 72% 31% 51% 46% 56%

Less Likely 29% 28% 30% 25% 33% 28% 33% 28% 30% 30% 40% 8% 23% 30% 23% 22%

Make No Difference 18% 15% 21% 22% 20% 18% 12% 21% 16% 19% 7% 20% 38% 16% 29% 22%

Not Sure 3% 2% 4% 4% 0% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 0% 8% 3% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

More Likely 50% 77% 28% 43% 81% 19% 46% 87% 28% 27% 82% 16% 60% 51% 49% 42% 51% 53%

Less Likely 29% 5% 49% 37% 5% 58% 32% 2% 44% 60% 3% 60% 15% 23% 33% 29% 29% 27%

Make No Difference 18% 14% 19% 18% 11% 21% 20% 9% 26% 10% 12% 21% 17% 24% 16% 26% 17% 17%

Not Sure 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 8% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

More Likely 50% 34% 50% 72% 40% 55%

Less Likely 29% 41% 27% 21% 34% 27%

Make No Difference 18% 17% 20% 7% 22% 17%

Not Sure 3% 8% 3% 0% 5% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

Page 13: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 13© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Very Somew Unlikely

Approve 51% 58% 44% 44% 57% 55% 46% 49% 52% 51% 33% 81% 47% 53% 29% 33%

Disapprove 45% 39% 50% 49% 40% 42% 50% 45% 44% 44% 66% 13% 45% 43% 63% 67%

Not Sure 4% 3% 6% 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 1% 6% 8% 4% 8% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 19% 36% 18% 46% 54% 78% 11% 6% 4% 88% 8% 2%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Approve 51% 81% 22% 46% 85% 7% 51% 94% 26% 14% 96% 8% 59% 49% 51% 37% 48% 57%

Disapprove 45% 13% 76% 51% 10% 90% 44% 5% 67% 78% 3% 90% 24% 49% 45% 59% 45% 39%

Not Sure 4% 6% 2% 3% 6% 3% 5% 1% 7% 8% 2% 2% 17% 2% 4% 3% 7% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 32% 27% 34% 29% 33% 38% 40% 15% 44% 41% 7% 29% 64% 16% 32% 53%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Approve 51% 36% 52% 54% 36% 58%

Disapprove 45% 61% 42% 46% 55% 40%

Not Sure 4% 3% 6% 0% 9% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 10% 78% 12% 33% 67%

All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions

Page 14: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 14© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Very Likely 88% - - - - - 93% 86% 81% 95% 89% 89% 59% 95% 88% 84% 79%

Somewhat Likely 8% - - - - - 3% 11% 11% 3% 9% 2% 23% 3% 9% 12% 9%

Unlikely 2% - - - - - 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6% 7% 0% 2% 4% 2%

Not Voting 1% - - - - - 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 5% 2% 0% 0% 4%

Not Sure 1% - - - - - 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 2% 6% 0% 0% 0% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Very Likely 88% 89% 96% 82% 84% 65% 100% 89% 87% 81% 82% 90% 89% 86% 95% 100% 93% 96%

Somewhat Likely 8% 8% 0% 16% 7% 23% 0% 8% 8% 15% 0% 10% 2% 9% 4% 0% 0% 4%

Unlikely 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 6% 0% 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Not Voting 1% 1% 2% 0% 3% 5% 0% 1% 2% 0% 7% 0% 2% 3% 0% 0% 5% 0%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 12% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 15: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 15© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-4.1 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Very Likely 88% 86% 92% 76% 92% 88% 84% 81% 88% 92% 69% 89% 90% 79% 93% 91% 85% 77%

Somewhat Likely 8% 10% 4% 16% 8% 7% 10% 2% 7% 7% 19% 7% 6% 12% 4% 4% 11% 14%

Unlikely 2% 3% 1% 5% 0% 2% 3% 14% 2% 0% 7% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 3% 0%

Not Voting 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 7%

Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 3% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 5% 3% 2% 0% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Right Direction 41% 43% 17% 44% 31% 17% - - - 58% 20% 38% 33% 62% 15% 37% 34%

Wrong Track 39% 38% 55% 33% 47% 0% - - - 25% 59% 60% 30% 27% 70% 35% 32%

Not Sure 20% 19% 29% 22% 22% 83% - - - 17% 21% 2% 36% 11% 14% 28% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Right Direction 41% 26% 57% 47% 36% 58% 61% 35% 36% 36% 27% 50% 24% 59% 44% 47% 26% 52%

Wrong Track 39% 54% 35% 27% 37% 30% 31% 43% 40% 46% 47% 38% 49% 19% 23% 47% 65% 4%

Not Sure 20% 21% 8% 26% 27% 12% 7% 22% 25% 19% 25% 12% 27% 22% 33% 6% 9% 43%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 16: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 16© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Right Direction 41% 22% 60% 18% 25% 52% 35% 23% 52% 19% 24% 57% 17% 30% 60% 59% 20% 38%

Wrong Track 39% 59% 25% 33% 59% 32% 34% 35% 32% 57% 32% 30% 59% 36% 12% 25% 55% 34%

Not Sure 20% 19% 16% 49% 16% 16% 31% 42% 16% 24% 43% 13% 24% 34% 29% 15% 25% 28%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 51% 20% 22% 22% 8% 68% 30% 40% - - - - 87% 6% 54% 14%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 36% 42% 22% 32% 0% 18% 55% 37% - - - - 8% 84% 26% 47%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 4% 1% 11% 0% 8% 3% 5% 0% - - - - 2% 5% 6% 2%

Undecided 13% 8% 38% 44% 46% 83% 10% 10% 23% - - - - 2% 5% 14% 38%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 34% 21% 27% 19%

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 10% 87% 51% 50% 44% 76% 43% 43% 31% 10% 75% 21% 66% 61% 96% 38% 35%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 86% 6% 27% 18% 23% 13% 45% 39% 43% 62% 16% 75% 14% 25% 1% 43% 42%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 0% 6% 6% 4% 18% 0% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0% 4% 8% 0% 14% 0%

Undecided 13% 4% 2% 17% 29% 14% 11% 7% 17% 21% 27% 8% 4% 17% 6% 2% 5% 23%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 17: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 17© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 If the election for State Senate District 17 were today, would you vote for... Republican Tamara Barringer? Democrat Sam Searcy? Or Libertarian Bruce Basson?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Tamara Barringer (R) 48% 3% 84% 42% 4% 71% 48% 24% 69% 2% 34% 76% 5% 39% 37% 81% 10% 46%

Sam Searcy (D) 36% 85% 2% 12% 86% 11% 38% 25% 14% 86% 38% 10% 83% 35% 29% 4% 76% 4%

Bruce Basson (L) 4% 1% 5% 6% 0% 5% 3% 16% 5% 1% 0% 5% 0% 5% 0% 5% 1% 14%

Undecided 13% 11% 9% 40% 9% 13% 12% 35% 12% 12% 28% 9% 12% 21% 34% 10% 13% 37%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 34% 37% 12% 0% 47% 0% 52% 23% 18% 62% 8% 18% 7% - - - -

Unfavorable 21% 21% 25% 22% 0% 0% 8% 37% 15% 3% 48% 29% 8% - - - -

Neutral 27% 25% 40% 56% 0% 0% 24% 24% 36% 30% 19% 44% 29% - - - -

No Opinion 19% 17% 23% 22% 53% 100% 16% 16% 31% 5% 25% 9% 57% - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13%

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 34% 13% 63% 34% 29% 40% 61% 35% 24% 19% 33% 44% 13% 48% 34% 79% 39% 22%

Unfavorable 21% 50% 11% 11% 6% 20% 15% 24% 20% 22% 25% 19% 46% 7% 14% 0% 24% 13%

Neutral 27% 22% 23% 40% 22% 37% 13% 32% 25% 28% 18% 24% 26% 32% 36% 17% 17% 25%

No Opinion 19% 15% 3% 15% 42% 3% 11% 10% 31% 30% 25% 13% 16% 13% 16% 4% 21% 39%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 18: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 18© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of Tamara Barringer ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of her?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 34% 10% 55% 21% 8% 48% 34% 10% 48% 7% 7% 55% 8% 18% 31% 59% 8% 10%

Unfavorable 21% 41% 5% 17% 44% 9% 21% 15% 11% 44% 15% 10% 42% 20% 0% 5% 39% 7%

Neutral 27% 19% 30% 38% 18% 30% 25% 45% 29% 17% 38% 28% 20% 34% 24% 28% 24% 44%

No Opinion 19% 30% 9% 24% 30% 13% 20% 30% 12% 31% 39% 8% 30% 28% 45% 8% 30% 39%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 28% 29% 29% 22% 21% 0% 18% 39% 28% 6% 67% 0% 9% 11% 68% 24% 22%

Unfavorable 24% 26% 0% 22% 26% 0% 33% 21% 10% 43% 4% 39% 3% 44% 12% 21% 4%

Neutral 22% 20% 47% 22% 0% 0% 25% 15% 28% 23% 16% 35% 29% 22% 11% 33% 17%

No Opinion 26% 25% 24% 33% 53% 100% 23% 25% 34% 27% 13% 26% 59% 23% 8% 22% 57%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 28% - - - - 17% 11% 39% 28% 36% 47% 18% 57% 6% 24% 3% 14% 38%

Unfavorable 24% - - - - 38% 72% 19% 10% 8% 8% 43% 10% 31% 24% 75% 24% 13%

Neutral 22% - - - - 37% 12% 35% 13% 28% 5% 18% 21% 26% 27% 10% 26% 17%

No Opinion 26% - - - - 7% 5% 7% 49% 27% 40% 22% 13% 37% 25% 13% 36% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 19: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 19© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Sam Searcy ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 28% 60% 4% 24% 68% 10% 26% 12% 12% 63% 37% 11% 58% 30% 19% 7% 54% 14%

Unfavorable 24% 5% 43% 3% 3% 39% 17% 0% 35% 1% 7% 42% 5% 8% 0% 40% 4% 39%

Neutral 22% 16% 25% 30% 12% 22% 31% 35% 25% 16% 20% 21% 20% 25% 37% 25% 20% 10%

No Opinion 26% 19% 28% 42% 17% 29% 26% 54% 28% 19% 36% 26% 17% 36% 44% 28% 23% 37%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 7% 5% 22% 22% 26% 0% 10% 6% 4% 7% 5% 38% 8% 9% 7% 10% 1%

Unfavorable 14% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 21% 11% 5% 22% 5% 0% 12% 25% 10% 7% 8%

Neutral 33% 33% 32% 33% 21% 8% 28% 36% 35% 30% 41% 44% 19% 34% 38% 40% 16%

No Opinion 46% 46% 45% 44% 53% 92% 40% 47% 56% 41% 50% 18% 61% 33% 45% 43% 74%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 7% 4% 12% 12% 2% - - - - 9% 9% 4% 3% 13% 3% 13% 7% 0%

Unfavorable 14% 5% 42% 7% 3% - - - - 7% 16% 23% 12% 16% 10% 27% 9% 0%

Neutral 33% 45% 27% 52% 9% - - - - 35% 23% 32% 49% 19% 25% 46% 37% 17%

No Opinion 46% 45% 20% 28% 86% - - - - 49% 52% 41% 36% 52% 62% 15% 47% 83%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

Page 20: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 20© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Bruce Basson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 7% 4% 10% 6% 3% 11% 5% 0% 9% 4% 2% 11% 3% 5% 0% 10% 4% 7%

Unfavorable 14% 8% 21% 1% 10% 21% 5% 2% 18% 6% 1% 23% 7% 1% 0% 19% 7% 18%

Neutral 33% 37% 29% 32% 32% 29% 42% 33% 29% 39% 44% 27% 40% 33% 68% 31% 35% 34%

No Opinion 46% 51% 40% 61% 55% 40% 47% 65% 43% 51% 52% 40% 49% 61% 32% 40% 54% 41%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Education 26% 24% 52% 44% 0% 0% 23% 30% 23% 16% 31% 40% 41% 15% 28% 27% 40%

Energy / Environment 7% 7% 0% 0% 32% 83% 5% 9% 9% 1% 12% 2% 15% 7% 9% 5% 9%

Government Spending 16% 16% 20% 0% 0% 0% 19% 15% 9% 25% 7% 2% 9% 21% 14% 14% 11%

Healthcare 14% 14% 4% 44% 22% 0% 8% 18% 19% 6% 29% 0% 5% 5% 31% 14% 12%

Jobs / Economy 14% 14% 17% 11% 31% 0% 21% 7% 15% 20% 6% 15% 19% 20% 5% 17% 10%

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 11% 6% 0% 0% 8% 11% 6% 17% 14% 7% 23% 5% 11% 7% 14% 9%

Taxes 7% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 8% 2% 13% 0% 0% 1% 15% 0% 4% 1%

Other 4% 5% 0% 0% 15% 8% 3% 7% 2% 3% 5% 17% 2% 5% 5% 3% 5%

Not Sure 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 4% 1% 2% 0% 3% 1% 1% 2% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

Page 21: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 21© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Education 26% 33% 9% 33% 27% 32% 13% 27% 27% - - - - - - - - -

Energy / Environment 7% 12% 2% 2% 11% 9% 8% 5% 8% - - - - - - - - -

Government Spending 16% 10% 28% 13% 13% 8% 27% 15% 14% - - - - - - - - -

Healthcare 14% 28% 6% 13% 7% 6% 13% 21% 11% - - - - - - - - -

Jobs / Economy 14% 3% 19% 17% 20% 25% 16% 8% 16% - - - - - - - - -

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 9% 11% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 14% - - - - - - - - -

Taxes 7% 1% 20% 3% 3% 11% 13% 9% 2% - - - - - - - - -

Other 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 5% 4% - - - - - - - - -

Not Sure 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3% - - - - - - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Education 26% 33% 18% 38% 36% 19% 28% 35% 21% 32% 41% 17% 33% 36% 31% 16% 36% 31%

Energy / Environment 7% 14% 3% 0% 14% 6% 4% 3% 4% 13% 10% 4% 13% 6% 19% 3% 11% 14%

Government Spending 16% 6% 24% 11% 8% 22% 13% 2% 23% 2% 4% 26% 2% 9% 15% 23% 6% 31%

Healthcare 14% 29% 4% 5% 23% 7% 20% 7% 7% 30% 15% 5% 32% 9% 26% 5% 25% 7%

Jobs / Economy 14% 5% 21% 18% 2% 21% 12% 17% 19% 6% 6% 20% 3% 18% 6% 22% 5% 13%

Roads / Infrastructure 11% 7% 12% 18% 8% 10% 16% 5% 12% 5% 22% 10% 7% 18% 3% 13% 9% 2%

Taxes 7% 0% 12% 2% 0% 12% 2% 2% 10% 0% 1% 12% 0% 2% 0% 12% 0% 2%

Other 4% 4% 5% 3% 7% 2% 4% 16% 4% 7% 0% 4% 6% 2% 0% 5% 4% 0%

Not Sure 2% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 2% 12% 1% 4% 0% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 3% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

Page 22: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 22© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Democrats 40% 39% 51% 56% 32% 8% 22% 60% 37% 3% 94% 11% 33% 11% 80% 28% 63%

Republicans 50% 52% 28% 22% 46% 92% 73% 31% 39% 88% 3% 71% 35% 82% 12% 57% 25%

Not Sure 10% 9% 21% 22% 22% 0% 4% 8% 24% 9% 3% 18% 31% 6% 8% 14% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Democrats 40% 85% 8% 30% 29% 23% 22% 45% 44% 51% 80% 15% 82% 13% 25% 1% 37% 56%

Republicans 50% 6% 91% 57% 54% 68% 77% 45% 43% 34% 20% 78% 14% 75% 58% 96% 55% 13%

Not Sure 10% 9% 1% 14% 16% 9% 1% 10% 13% 15% 0% 7% 4% 12% 17% 2% 7% 31%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Democrats 40% - - - 94% 11% 45% 30% 16% 92% 55% 10% 91% 40% 51% 3% 84% 12%

Republicans 50% - - - 0% 80% 42% 35% 74% 5% 8% 85% 4% 30% 34% 91% 4% 44%

Not Sure 10% - - - 6% 9% 13% 35% 10% 3% 37% 5% 5% 30% 16% 6% 12% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

Page 23: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 23© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 26% 24% 0% 0% 8% 15% 37% 19% 2% 59% 2% 18% 6% 52% 17% 38%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 48% 43% 44% 57% 83% 62% 39% 38% 72% 14% 65% 51% 69% 21% 55% 32%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 23% 31% 33% 43% 0% 21% 21% 36% 24% 25% 17% 23% 24% 24% 23% 25%

Not Sure 3% 3% 1% 22% 0% 8% 2% 3% 7% 2% 2% 15% 9% 1% 2% 5% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 59% 3% 14% 16% 10% 18% 24% 29% 34% 48% 12% 39% 4% 19% 0% 38% 39%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 18% 80% 48% 53% 73% 72% 42% 42% 36% 38% 67% 25% 73% 44% 93% 26% 17%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 22% 17% 33% 24% 17% 9% 31% 24% 26% 12% 21% 34% 19% 36% 6% 24% 22%

Not Sure 3% 1% 0% 5% 7% 0% 1% 3% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2% 4% 1% 1% 12% 22%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 25% 58% 0% 14% - - - - 8% 62% 26% 5% 61% 21% 11% 1% 53% 10%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 48% 13% 77% 44% - - - - 68% 10% 21% 76% 9% 36% 40% 75% 17% 61%

Services And Taxes About As They 24% 27% 20% 30% - - - - 21% 26% 40% 16% 28% 35% 46% 21% 27% 27%

Not Sure 3% 2% 2% 11% - - - - 3% 2% 12% 3% 1% 7% 3% 3% 4% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

Page 24: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 24© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favor 65% 65% 58% 78% 57% 83% 83% 53% 52% 94% 26% 94% 59% 92% 34% 72% 40%

Oppose 28% 30% 26% 0% 21% 8% 13% 41% 34% 1% 67% 6% 26% 6% 61% 18% 47%

Not Sure 7% 5% 16% 22% 22% 8% 4% 6% 14% 5% 7% 0% 15% 1% 5% 10% 14%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favor 65% 27% 96% 73% 70% 81% 87% 57% 61% 54% 38% 94% 33% 84% 72% 97% 55% 35%

Oppose 28% 64% 2% 21% 21% 16% 12% 34% 31% 35% 53% 4% 60% 13% 14% 1% 45% 65%

Not Sure 7% 9% 2% 6% 9% 2% 1% 9% 8% 11% 9% 2% 7% 3% 14% 1% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favor 65% 25% 96% 66% 21% 91% 58% 56% - - - 96% 9% 72% 37% 96% 29% 75%

Oppose 28% 66% 3% 9% 72% 6% 30% 20% - - - 3% 83% 16% 3% 2% 60% 7%

Not Sure 7% 9% 1% 25% 7% 3% 11% 24% - - - 1% 8% 12% 60% 2% 11% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 50% 29% 18% 3% 51% 45% 4%

Page 25: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 25© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

More Likely 50% 51% 46% 56% 41% 0% 70% 39% 32% 80% 13% 70% 35% 81% 24% 52% 21%

Less Likely 29% 30% 23% 22% 37% 0% 13% 44% 34% 3% 67% 2% 27% 7% 59% 22% 46%

Make No Difference 18% 16% 29% 22% 22% 92% 14% 17% 30% 15% 18% 28% 30% 10% 17% 24% 27%

Not Sure 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 0% 7% 3% 0% 3% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

More Likely 50% 19% 88% 48% 51% 73% 83% 40% 43% 34% 25% 83% 17% 70% 49% 94% 50% 35%

Less Likely 29% 60% 6% 26% 19% 14% 16% 36% 31% 37% 53% 4% 67% 5% 20% 1% 43% 52%

Make No Difference 18% 20% 6% 21% 26% 13% 1% 18% 24% 26% 15% 10% 11% 24% 30% 5% 7% 13%

Not Sure 3% 2% 0% 5% 5% 0% 0% 6% 2% 3% 7% 3% 5% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Likely 50% 12% 85% 27% 11% 78% 33% 44% 74% 5% 7% - - - - 84% 11% 57%

Less Likely 29% 66% 3% 14% 72% 6% 35% 12% 4% 85% 34% - - - - 2% 62% 5%

Make No Difference 18% 18% 11% 55% 16% 14% 27% 41% 20% 10% 34% - - - - 13% 24% 26%

Not Sure 3% 4% 2% 4% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 0% 25% - - - - 2% 3% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 51% 45% 4%

Page 26: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 26© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Barringer

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Tamara Sam Se Bruce B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Approve 51% 53% 29% 33% 46% 83% 74% 33% 38% 86% 6% 71% 41% 89% 13% 53% 22%

Disapprove 45% 43% 63% 67% 32% 8% 22% 63% 56% 10% 94% 11% 46% 10% 85% 40% 69%

Not Sure 4% 4% 8% 0% 22% 8% 4% 4% 6% 4% 0% 18% 13% 1% 2% 7% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 2% 1% 1% 41% 39% 20% 48% 36% 4% 13% 34% 21% 27% 19%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Searcy Opinion Of Basson Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Approve 51% 12% 86% 57% 55% 72% 72% 47% 43% 32% 23% 74% 17% 79% 61% 96% 55% 35%

Disapprove 45% 86% 7% 41% 39% 23% 22% 48% 53% 63% 69% 17% 80% 17% 39% 3% 45% 65%

Not Sure 4% 2% 7% 2% 6% 4% 6% 5% 4% 5% 9% 9% 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 28% 24% 22% 26% 7% 14% 33% 46% 26% 7% 16% 14% 14% 11% 7% 4% 2%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.3 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 51% 4% 92% 29% 1% 79% 45% 49% 75% 4% 13% 85% 4% 35% 31% - - -

Disapprove 45% 95% 4% 52% 97% 16% 50% 49% 20% 95% 74% 10% 95% 59% 51% - - -

Not Sure 4% 1% 4% 20% 2% 6% 5% 3% 5% 1% 13% 5% 1% 6% 19% - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 50% 10% 25% 48% 24% 3% 65% 28% 7% 50% 29% 18% 3%

Page 27: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429Geography: NC 17th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 - Page 27© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Statement of Methodology: SurveyUSA is an independent, non-partisan, apolitical research company that conducts opinion surveys for media, academic institutions, commercial clients,

non-profits, governments, agencies, and elected officials. SurveyUSA opinion research is conducted using a methodology optimized for each particular project. In some cases, this means data is

collected 100% by telephone; in some cases, 100% online; and in other cases, a blend of the two. For those projects that are conducted “mixed-mode” (or “multi-mode”): Respondents who have a

home (landline) telephone are interviewed by phone, sometimes using live interviewers, other times using the recorded voice of a professional announcer. The youngest male is requested on

approximately 30% of calls to home phones, the youngest adult is requested on approximately 70% of calls. This method of intra-household selection reduces the potential for age and gender

imbalance in the unweighted sample. Re-attempts are made to busy signals, no-answers, and answering machines. Landline telephone sample is purchased from Aristotle of Washington DC.

Respondents who do not use a home telephone are interviewed on an electronic device, which means, for some projects, that call-center employees hand-dial cell phones and interview

respondents verbally on the respondent’s cell phone, and means, for other projects, that SurveyUSA displays the questions visually on the respondent’s phone, tablet, or other device. Sample for

respondents who do not use a home telephone is purchased from Aristotle or from one of several other research companies that provide access to cell respondents. Where meaningful,

SurveyUSA indicates the percentage of respondents who use a home phone and the percentage who do not, and crosstabs by this distinction. Responses are minimally weighted to U.S. Census

or voter file targets for gender, age and race. Target (cell) weighting is used. On questionnaires that ask about political party identification, SurveyUSA may or may not weight to Party ID, depending

on client preference. Where necessary, questions and answer choices are rotated to prevent order bias, recency, and latency effects. On some studies, certain populations are over-sampled, so

that the number of unweighted respondents exceeds the number of weighted respondents. Each individual SurveyUSA release contains the date(s) on which interviews are conducted and a

release date. If interviewing for a particular study is conducted in Spanish, or in any other foreign language, it will be noted on the specific release. If no notation appears, interviews are conducted

in English. Where respondents are filtered, such as adults, filtered to registered voters, in turn filtered to likely voters, SurveyUSA describes the filtering on the specific release. On pre-election polls

in geographies with early voting, SurveyUSA differentiates between respondents who have already voted and those who are likely to vote but have not yet done so. On research completed prior to

12/31/16, SurveyUSA assigned to each question within the instrument a theoretical margin of sampling error. Effective 01/01/17, SurveyUSA assigns to each question within the instrument a

credibility interval, which better reflects the sampling uncertainties associated with gathering some percentage of respondent answers using non-probability sample. Though commonly cited in the

presentation of research results, “sampling error” is only one of many types of error that may influence the outcome of an opinion research study. More practical concerns include the way in which

questions are worded and ordered, the inability to contact some, the refusal of others to be interviewed, and the difficulty of translating each questionnaire into all possible languages and dialects.

Non-sampling errors cannot be quantified. This statement conforms to the principals of disclosure as recommended by the National Council on Public Polls (NCPP). Questions about SurveyUSA

research can be addressed to [email protected].

Page 28: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 1© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 18th State Senate District 10/03/18 through 10/08/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed

mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS)

from Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Very Likely 88% 90% 86% 75% 73% 97% 99% 74% 98% 88% 85% 100% 76% 89% 96% 73%

Somewhat Likely 8% 8% 8% 10% 23% 2% 1% 17% 2% 8% 8% 0% 24% 7% 4% 15%

Unlikely 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%

Not Voting 2% 1% 2% 6% 1% 0% 0% 4% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 4%

Not Sure 3% 1% 4% 10% 3% 0% 0% 6% 0% 2% 7% 0% 0% 1% 0% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Very Likely 88% 93% 94% 80% 95% 85% 91% 91% 93% 90% 76% 92% 80% 89% 89% 93% 87% 84%

Somewhat Likely 8% 3% 6% 15% 4% 11% 9% 6% 5% 0% 16% 6% 6% 11% 7% 7% 8% 9%

Unlikely 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Not Voting 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 10% 0% 1% 6% 0% 1% 0% 1% 4%

Not Sure 3% 1% 0% 5% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 8% 1% 8% 0% 2% 0% 4% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 29: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 2© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Very Likely 88% 69% 99%

Somewhat Likely 8% 20% 1%

Unlikely 0% 0% 0%

Not Voting 2% 4% 0%

Not Sure 3% 7% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Right Direction 43% 45% 40% 59% 39% 37% 39% 48% 38% 43% 40% 54% 27% 57% 31% 39%

Wrong Track 41% 45% 38% 22% 44% 50% 43% 33% 47% 43% 37% 30% 24% 31% 59% 32%

Not Sure 16% 10% 22% 19% 18% 13% 18% 19% 15% 14% 22% 16% 50% 12% 10% 30%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Right Direction 43% 58% 28% 40% 56% 45% 23% 58% 27% 39% 44% 42% 28% 51% 42% 44% 47% 28%

Wrong Track 41% 31% 64% 35% 33% 43% 62% 28% 62% 29% 35% 45% 40% 35% 45% 43% 36% 54%

Not Sure 16% 11% 8% 25% 11% 12% 15% 14% 12% 32% 20% 13% 32% 14% 13% 13% 17% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 30: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 3© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Right Direction 43% 47% 40%

Wrong Track 41% 29% 48%

Not Sure 16% 24% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

John Alexander (R) 44% 51% 36% 37% 34% 51% 46% 36% 49% 45% 34% 67% 17% 78% 22% 23%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 30% 42% 30% 30% 36% 47% 30% 41% 36% 41% 25% 36% 6% 63% 43%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 2% 4% 9% 1% 1% 2% 5% 1% 3% 4% 8% 0% 0% 4% 5%

Undecided 17% 16% 19% 24% 34% 11% 4% 29% 9% 17% 21% 0% 47% 15% 10% 30%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

John Alexander (R) 44% 82% 10% 36% 90% 28% 3% 85% 4% 41% 47% 42% 17% 49% 49% 35% 45% 44%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 4% 79% 33% 2% 45% 82% 1% 81% 37% 28% 40% 50% 29% 36% 54% 36% 22%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 2% 1% 7% 1% 5% 5% 0% 3% 6% 6% 2% 9% 3% 1% 3% 2% 6%

Undecided 17% 12% 9% 24% 7% 23% 10% 14% 12% 17% 20% 17% 25% 20% 14% 7% 18% 28%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 31: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 4© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

John Alexander (R) 44% 27% 53%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 28% 41%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 4% 2%

Undecided 17% 41% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Favorable 32% 37% 27% 30% 22% 38% 35% 26% 37% 32% 31% 51% 17% 57% 16% 20%

Unfavorable 14% 16% 12% 12% 9% 16% 16% 10% 16% 15% 5% 22% 14% 2% 25% 13%

Neutral 29% 29% 29% 23% 44% 24% 25% 34% 25% 28% 36% 18% 21% 19% 34% 37%

No Opinion 25% 18% 32% 35% 24% 21% 24% 29% 22% 25% 28% 10% 48% 22% 25% 30%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Favorable 32% 61% 8% 27% 66% 21% 5% 60% 8% 29% 28% 35% 11% 33% 40% 27% 35% 29%

Unfavorable 14% 1% 32% 13% 2% 17% 32% 2% 31% 16% 7% 17% 13% 13% 15% 16% 15% 11%

Neutral 29% 25% 33% 28% 20% 35% 33% 22% 34% 33% 36% 26% 37% 33% 24% 37% 25% 36%

No Opinion 25% 14% 27% 32% 12% 28% 29% 16% 27% 23% 28% 23% 39% 21% 21% 20% 25% 24%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 32: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 5© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 32% 20% 39%

Unfavorable 14% 5% 19%

Neutral 29% 39% 22%

No Opinion 25% 36% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Favorable 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 20% 27% 25% 23% 26% 19% 14% 5% 7% 41% 23%

Unfavorable 19% 24% 15% 22% 19% 19% 18% 20% 19% 17% 18% 54% 29% 26% 15% 14%

Neutral 27% 25% 30% 20% 29% 32% 26% 24% 30% 26% 39% 11% 24% 31% 22% 32%

No Opinion 29% 28% 31% 32% 28% 29% 29% 30% 29% 31% 24% 21% 41% 35% 22% 31%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Favorable 24% 7% 51% 20% 7% 28% 55% 6% 48% 18% 9% 31% 30% 15% 28% 36% 25% 10%

Unfavorable 19% 29% 9% 22% 36% 13% 7% 30% 8% 25% 20% 18% 9% 23% 20% 22% 17% 22%

Neutral 27% 27% 19% 34% 30% 31% 14% 30% 23% 31% 31% 26% 27% 31% 27% 20% 28% 36%

No Opinion 29% 37% 21% 25% 27% 28% 25% 34% 22% 25% 40% 25% 33% 31% 26% 21% 30% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 33: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 6© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 24% 19% 26%

Unfavorable 19% 10% 25%

Neutral 27% 32% 25%

No Opinion 29% 38% 24%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Favorable 8% 11% 6% 14% 9% 5% 9% 11% 6% 8% 5% 27% 6% 6% 10% 10%

Unfavorable 12% 13% 10% 8% 15% 13% 10% 11% 12% 10% 13% 25% 15% 14% 15% 5%

Neutral 35% 37% 33% 39% 36% 36% 28% 37% 33% 36% 39% 10% 29% 36% 32% 35%

No Opinion 45% 39% 50% 40% 40% 46% 53% 40% 49% 46% 43% 37% 50% 44% 44% 50%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Favorable 8% 4% 11% 12% 9% 9% 7% 6% 10% 23% 4% 8% 12% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7%

Unfavorable 12% 16% 14% 6% 17% 11% 9% 14% 11% 9% 12% 12% 10% 12% 13% 15% 9% 18%

Neutral 35% 38% 32% 35% 37% 36% 35% 37% 37% 32% 34% 36% 34% 38% 34% 35% 35% 40%

No Opinion 45% 42% 43% 46% 37% 44% 49% 43% 42% 36% 51% 44% 43% 43% 46% 42% 48% 35%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

Page 34: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 7© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 8% 8% 9%

Unfavorable 12% 5% 16%

Neutral 35% 39% 32%

No Opinion 45% 47% 43%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Education 23% 21% 25% 29% 33% 15% 20% 31% 17% 25% 16% 6% 22% 20% 28% 23%

Energy / Environment 5% 4% 7% 4% 7% 3% 8% 6% 5% 6% 4% 2% 6% 3% 8% 6%

Government Spending 16% 20% 12% 18% 11% 16% 18% 14% 17% 14% 19% 37% 17% 20% 10% 19%

Healthcare 23% 18% 27% 16% 14% 30% 24% 15% 28% 22% 29% 24% 8% 18% 28% 22%

Jobs / Economy 17% 19% 15% 20% 15% 21% 12% 17% 17% 18% 10% 25% 41% 27% 10% 12%

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 7% 6% 3% 8% 6% 9% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 0% 7% 6% 7%

Taxes 5% 7% 4% 5% 4% 7% 4% 4% 6% 4% 13% 0% 6% 5% 7% 3%

Other 2% 0% 4% 2% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 3% 5%

Not Sure 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

Page 35: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 8© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Education 23% 14% 30% 25% 12% 28% 30% 14% 33% 27% 14% 26% 20% 25% 23% 26% 25% 16%

Energy / Environment 5% 2% 9% 6% 2% 7% 12% 2% 10% 15% 3% 5% 6% 4% 6% 5% 7% 1%

Government Spending 16% 24% 7% 17% 29% 8% 4% 25% 4% 16% 23% 13% 21% 19% 12% 16% 16% 19%

Healthcare 23% 18% 30% 19% 17% 26% 27% 17% 34% 33% 21% 22% 34% 20% 21% 23% 20% 29%

Jobs / Economy 17% 29% 9% 13% 30% 12% 6% 26% 4% 6% 17% 17% 10% 11% 22% 12% 17% 18%

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 6% 5% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 4% 2% 7% 7% 2% 6% 9% 7% 7% 5%

Taxes 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 7% 5% 7% 4% 0% 9% 4% 3% 9% 4% 3% 5% 8%

Other 2% 0% 2% 5% 0% 4% 4% 1% 4% 0% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 6% 1% 2%

Not Sure 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Education 23% 29% 19%

Energy / Environment 5% 6% 5%

Government Spending 16% 11% 19%

Healthcare 23% 21% 23%

Jobs / Economy 17% 14% 20%

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 9% 5%

Taxes 5% 6% 5%

Other 2% 3% 2%

Not Sure 2% 2% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

Page 36: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 9© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Democrats 42% 34% 49% 40% 35% 41% 52% 37% 45% 42% 45% 27% 51% 8% 71% 48%

Republicans 48% 54% 42% 51% 39% 53% 45% 45% 50% 51% 33% 61% 19% 88% 18% 32%

Not Sure 11% 12% 10% 9% 27% 6% 3% 18% 5% 8% 22% 12% 30% 4% 11% 20%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Democrats 42% 5% 86% 40% 3% 54% 87% 1% 89% 53% 29% 46% 61% 33% 41% 56% 42% 29%

Republicans 48% 87% 6% 48% 94% 37% 3% 91% 4% 33% 53% 48% 23% 55% 53% 37% 50% 51%

Not Sure 11% 7% 8% 12% 4% 9% 10% 7% 6% 14% 18% 6% 16% 12% 7% 6% 8% 20%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Democrats 42% 37% 44%

Republicans 48% 42% 51%

Not Sure 11% 21% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

Page 37: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 10© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 24% 28% 28% 34% 22% 23% 31% 22% 27% 25% 20% 6% 6% 48% 23%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 49% 38% 43% 34% 52% 40% 39% 47% 42% 43% 66% 42% 64% 27% 39%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 23% 27% 16% 28% 24% 33% 22% 27% 28% 11% 14% 40% 27% 19% 29%

Not Sure 6% 3% 8% 13% 4% 3% 4% 8% 3% 3% 20% 0% 11% 3% 6% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 5% 55% 23% 2% 31% 64% 5% 50% 27% 18% 30% 28% 26% 25% 31% 26% 23%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 63% 19% 47% 74% 30% 17% 68% 18% 39% 53% 39% 31% 47% 44% 41% 42% 49%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 29% 21% 24% 20% 35% 15% 25% 30% 25% 20% 28% 23% 22% 28% 26% 26% 19%

Not Sure 6% 3% 5% 6% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 9% 10% 3% 18% 4% 2% 2% 6% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 27% 25%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 37% 47%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 22% 27%

Not Sure 6% 14% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

Page 38: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 11© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Favor 61% 58% 63% 64% 62% 63% 53% 63% 59% 62% 47% 75% 60% 89% 33% 58%

Oppose 32% 33% 31% 25% 32% 29% 44% 29% 35% 32% 40% 25% 16% 6% 62% 29%

Not Sure 7% 8% 6% 12% 6% 8% 3% 9% 6% 6% 13% 0% 24% 5% 5% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Favor 61% 90% 20% 70% 93% 54% 13% 95% 19% 46% 72% 58% 45% 70% 60% 55% 62% 63%

Oppose 32% 5% 74% 26% 3% 39% 77% 2% 72% 38% 20% 37% 46% 22% 34% 40% 32% 26%

Not Sure 7% 5% 6% 4% 3% 7% 10% 3% 9% 16% 9% 5% 9% 8% 6% 5% 7% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Favor 61% 61% 61%

Oppose 32% 24% 37%

Not Sure 7% 15% 2%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

Page 39: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 12© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

More Likely 46% 48% 45% 47% 46% 50% 41% 47% 46% 49% 30% 64% 39% 74% 24% 40%

Less Likely 32% 33% 31% 23% 31% 30% 43% 27% 35% 32% 34% 23% 26% 8% 59% 27%

Make No Difference 17% 14% 20% 22% 20% 14% 13% 21% 14% 16% 23% 6% 24% 15% 13% 24%

Not Sure 5% 5% 4% 7% 3% 6% 3% 5% 5% 3% 12% 6% 11% 3% 4% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

More Likely 46% 78% 12% 51% 86% 33% 8% 83% 7% 34% 51% 46% 29% 57% 46% 42% 46% 51%

Less Likely 32% 8% 72% 24% 2% 40% 73% 2% 71% 36% 22% 36% 40% 20% 36% 41% 31% 25%

Make No Difference 17% 13% 12% 24% 9% 23% 12% 13% 17% 21% 22% 14% 24% 18% 13% 14% 18% 16%

Not Sure 5% 2% 5% 1% 3% 4% 7% 2% 6% 9% 6% 4% 8% 4% 5% 3% 4% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

More Likely 46% 39% 51%

Less Likely 32% 24% 36%

Make No Difference 17% 25% 12%

Not Sure 5% 12% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

Page 40: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 13© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Registration

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Unaffilia

Approve 45% 50% 40% 38% 41% 52% 45% 40% 49% 47% 35% 65% 19% 78% 19% 33%

Disapprove 46% 40% 52% 49% 51% 40% 49% 50% 43% 47% 49% 29% 48% 15% 72% 56%

Not Sure 9% 10% 8% 13% 8% 8% 5% 11% 7% 7% 15% 6% 32% 7% 9% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 49% 51% 21% 22% 35% 22% 43% 57% 77% 15% 5% 3% 36% 35% 24%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Urbanicity

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural

Approve 45% 86% 7% 41% 93% 28% 4% 90% 4% 36% 54% 43% 24% 55% 47% 35% 45% 54%

Disapprove 46% 8% 85% 50% 5% 61% 91% 5% 89% 45% 40% 50% 62% 36% 48% 54% 49% 34%

Not Sure 9% 6% 8% 9% 2% 11% 4% 5% 7% 20% 7% 7% 14% 9% 6% 11% 6% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 35% 30% 31% 34% 42% 18% 47% 40% 9% 26% 64% 17% 34% 48% 17% 60% 22%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Cell Ph Landlin

Approve 45% 32% 53%

Disapprove 46% 52% 43%

Not Sure 9% 16% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 63%

All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions

Page 41: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 14© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Very Likely 88% - - - - - 88% 92% 76% 95% 92% 82% 61% 99% 99% 82% 73%

Somewhat Likely 8% - - - - - 9% 7% 7% 4% 5% 18% 23% 1% 1% 17% 11%

Unlikely 0% - - - - - 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Not Voting 2% - - - - - 2% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 6%

Not Sure 3% - - - - - 2% 0% 11% 1% 3% 0% 7% 0% 0% 0% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Very Likely 88% 99% 94% 85% 77% 98% 87% 92% 83% 79% 91% 87% 97% 92% 81% 76% 73% 100%

Somewhat Likely 8% 1% 6% 11% 12% 2% 13% 8% 8% 13% 9% 6% 1% 3% 19% 19% 14% 0%

Unlikely 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0%

Not Voting 2% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 4% 3% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Not Sure 3% 0% 0% 4% 5% 0% 0% 0% 6% 5% 0% 6% 0% 1% 0% 0% 14% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 42: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 15© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Would you say that you are very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-3.9 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Very Likely 88% 92% 87% 71% 87% 90% 88% 71% 85% 95% 78% 92% 94% 65% 86% 94% 85% 68%

Somewhat Likely 8% 5% 9% 14% 10% 9% 6% 0% 10% 3% 9% 8% 3% 19% 2% 5% 9% 15%

Unlikely 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%

Not Voting 2% 0% 1% 9% 0% 0% 4% 11% 2% 0% 9% 0% 0% 6% 12% 1% 0% 15%

Not Sure 3% 3% 1% 6% 2% 1% 3% 18% 3% 2% 4% 0% 3% 10% 0% 0% 6% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Right Direction 43% 43% 49% 0% 42% 30% - - - 61% 25% 54% 31% 63% 19% 42% 30%

Wrong Track 41% 43% 37% 100% 0% 0% - - - 29% 61% 17% 35% 27% 78% 41% 39%

Not Sure 16% 14% 15% 0% 58% 70% - - - 10% 14% 30% 34% 10% 3% 17% 30%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Right Direction 43% 38% 49% 47% 38% 42% 48% 53% 33% 28% 47% 52% 40% 57% 31% 52% 27% 55%

Wrong Track 41% 57% 47% 32% 33% 55% 49% 37% 40% 50% 33% 33% 48% 28% 49% 39% 73% 9%

Not Sure 16% 5% 4% 21% 28% 3% 3% 10% 27% 22% 20% 15% 11% 16% 20% 10% 0% 36%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 43: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 16© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Right Direction 43% 27% 59% 29% 27% 54% 46% 14% 54% 24% 33% 57% 22% 46% 26% 59% 27% 40%

Wrong Track 41% 57% 30% 29% 62% 33% 38% 22% 30% 64% 30% 29% 66% 30% 28% 27% 58% 25%

Not Sure 16% 16% 11% 43% 11% 14% 16% 64% 16% 12% 37% 13% 12% 24% 46% 14% 15% 35%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

John Alexander (R) 44% 47% 19% 100% 0% 13% 62% 30% 28% - - - - 92% 4% 31% 17%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 38% 23% 0% 0% 38% 21% 54% 30% - - - - 6% 93% 43% 36%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 3% 7% 0% 0% 0% 4% 1% 5% - - - - 1% 1% 7% 2%

Undecided 17% 12% 51% 0% 100% 49% 13% 15% 36% - - - - 1% 2% 18% 46%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 32% 14% 29% 25%

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

John Alexander (R) 44% 13% 76% 50% 41% 50% 59% 46% 36% 23% 27% 72% 30% 68% 49% 67% 3% 4%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 82% 16% 29% 19% 33% 36% 38% 35% 50% 65% 15% 54% 12% 20% 12% 69% 55%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 3% 3% 5% 1% 15% 1% 4% 0% 1% 4% 6% 3% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Undecided 17% 2% 5% 16% 39% 2% 4% 12% 28% 26% 5% 7% 14% 14% 32% 22% 27% 41%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 44: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 17© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 If the election for State Senate District 18 were today, would you vote for... Republican John Alexander? Democrat Mack Paul? Or Libertarian Brad Hessel?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

John Alexander (R) 44% 4% 82% 25% 6% 70% 40% 23% 67% 5% 15% 77% 4% 33% 18% 87% 5% 22%

Mack Paul (D) 36% 85% 1% 2% 74% 13% 38% 29% 12% 82% 32% 5% 80% 41% 28% 1% 76% 7%

Brad Hessel (L) 3% 4% 2% 3% 6% 2% 1% 0% 4% 2% 0% 5% 1% 2% 0% 2% 3% 9%

Undecided 17% 8% 14% 70% 14% 14% 21% 48% 17% 11% 53% 14% 14% 23% 54% 11% 16% 63%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 32% 36% 3% 0% 0% 0% 48% 21% 21% 68% 5% 12% 2% - - - -

Unfavorable 14% 16% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6% 26% 3% 1% 36% 7% 1% - - - -

Neutral 29% 27% 61% 100% 0% 0% 28% 29% 30% 21% 34% 68% 30% - - - -

No Opinion 25% 21% 35% 0% 100% 100% 18% 24% 47% 10% 25% 13% 67% - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17%

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 32% 15% 65% 34% 23% 30% 50% 36% 25% 17% 26% 54% 21% 51% 37% 39% 0% 9%

Unfavorable 14% 41% 10% 5% 3% 41% 17% 13% 8% 25% 8% 4% 22% 2% 6% 0% 29% 40%

Neutral 29% 28% 15% 51% 18% 14% 28% 45% 19% 24% 49% 24% 34% 17% 39% 50% 11% 40%

No Opinion 25% 16% 10% 11% 56% 15% 5% 7% 47% 34% 17% 18% 24% 29% 18% 10% 60% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 45: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 18© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of John Alexander ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 32% 7% 59% 13% 7% 52% 29% 14% 48% 8% 10% 56% 7% 18% 18% 63% 7% 3%

Unfavorable 14% 32% 1% 0% 34% 5% 10% 2% 2% 39% 4% 2% 39% 3% 8% 1% 29% 0%

Neutral 29% 33% 22% 44% 33% 25% 31% 24% 28% 26% 46% 27% 24% 37% 47% 23% 32% 40%

No Opinion 25% 28% 19% 43% 26% 18% 30% 60% 23% 27% 40% 16% 30% 42% 27% 12% 32% 57%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 24% 27% 2% 0% 0% 0% 21% 33% 8% 7% 54% 23% 3% 11% 70% 23% 15%

Unfavorable 19% 21% 16% 0% 0% 0% 22% 22% 5% 34% 9% 22% 5% 39% 14% 10% 8%

Neutral 27% 26% 38% 100% 0% 38% 30% 21% 35% 31% 22% 44% 25% 29% 9% 48% 12%

No Opinion 29% 26% 45% 0% 100% 62% 27% 24% 52% 28% 15% 11% 66% 21% 7% 18% 65%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 24% - - - - 30% 25% 26% 20% 31% 42% 8% 34% 12% 22% 5% 43% 40%

Unfavorable 19% - - - - 41% 39% 21% 9% 10% 15% 33% 11% 33% 22% 23% 11% 0%

Neutral 27% - - - - 17% 22% 48% 14% 18% 30% 37% 32% 21% 27% 52% 14% 9%

No Opinion 29% - - - - 13% 13% 5% 56% 41% 13% 21% 24% 34% 29% 20% 32% 50%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 46: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 19© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Mack Paul ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 24% 50% 5% 4% 58% 9% 18% 2% 8% 57% 6% 10% 55% 9% 8% 6% 45% 3%

Unfavorable 19% 8% 32% 8% 4% 37% 10% 0% 29% 6% 0% 33% 9% 7% 0% 33% 9% 5%

Neutral 27% 22% 31% 30% 14% 29% 35% 43% 32% 14% 49% 31% 11% 41% 53% 30% 22% 42%

No Opinion 29% 20% 32% 58% 25% 25% 37% 56% 31% 23% 45% 27% 25% 43% 38% 31% 24% 51%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 8% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 8% 11% 2% 10% 8% 41% 1% 8% 25% 4% 5%

Unfavorable 12% 12% 20% 0% 0% 0% 13% 14% 2% 16% 12% 3% 3% 18% 14% 12% 2%

Neutral 35% 36% 33% 100% 0% 0% 43% 31% 22% 37% 36% 48% 25% 39% 33% 54% 9%

No Opinion 45% 42% 45% 0% 100% 100% 35% 43% 74% 37% 44% 7% 72% 35% 28% 30% 84%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favorable 8% 11% 18% 5% 4% - - - - 5% 14% 7% 9% 15% 5% 3% 14% 0%

Unfavorable 12% 13% 23% 10% 5% - - - - 11% 19% 16% 7% 19% 6% 6% 0% 0%

Neutral 35% 38% 38% 62% 6% - - - - 29% 25% 40% 43% 21% 38% 59% 40% 45%

No Opinion 45% 39% 21% 23% 85% - - - - 55% 42% 37% 41% 45% 51% 32% 47% 55%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

Page 47: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 20© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Brad Hessel ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 8% 12% 6% 5% 13% 9% 5% 0% 8% 11% 4% 10% 10% 2% 5% 8% 10% 2%

Unfavorable 12% 10% 15% 4% 14% 14% 7% 0% 13% 12% 2% 13% 11% 13% 0% 15% 10% 4%

Neutral 35% 32% 39% 28% 30% 39% 35% 22% 36% 32% 36% 40% 31% 27% 40% 36% 32% 42%

No Opinion 45% 45% 41% 63% 43% 37% 53% 78% 43% 45% 58% 37% 48% 59% 55% 41% 47% 52%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Education 23% 21% 38% 0% 38% 44% 15% 28% 31% 12% 32% 7% 35% 12% 41% 19% 31%

Energy / Environment 5% 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 6% 4% 7% 3% 10% 6% 1% 4% 3% 9% 4%

Government Spending 16% 16% 13% 0% 0% 38% 19% 13% 15% 26% 7% 30% 6% 26% 5% 13% 11%

Healthcare 23% 25% 3% 0% 20% 0% 21% 27% 16% 16% 34% 21% 18% 15% 36% 26% 21%

Jobs / Economy 17% 18% 7% 0% 42% 5% 23% 12% 17% 27% 6% 35% 14% 28% 3% 10% 20%

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 6% 15% 0% 0% 0% 5% 8% 8% 7% 4% 0% 12% 7% 3% 9% 4%

Taxes 5% 5% 13% 100% 0% 0% 6% 5% 3% 8% 2% 0% 7% 6% 0% 9% 2%

Other 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 13% 2% 4% 0% 0% 4% 0% 4% 0% 5% 1% 6%

Not Sure 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 4% 0% 3% 0% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

Page 48: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 21© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Education 23% 30% 12% 15% 32% 13% 22% 19% 28% - - - - - - - - -

Energy / Environment 5% 9% 4% 6% 2% 9% 9% 4% 5% - - - - - - - - -

Government Spending 16% 5% 27% 22% 12% 13% 21% 18% 13% - - - - - - - - -

Healthcare 23% 32% 13% 26% 18% 25% 14% 28% 21% - - - - - - - - -

Jobs / Economy 17% 9% 30% 13% 20% 31% 29% 10% 17% - - - - - - - - -

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 7% 7% - - - - - - - - -

Taxes 5% 1% 6% 10% 4% 2% 3% 9% 4% - - - - - - - - -

Other 2% 4% 1% 1% 3% 4% 0% 3% 2% - - - - - - - - -

Not Sure 2% 3% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 2% - - - - - - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45%

7Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Education 23% 31% 15% 31% 37% 11% 28% 33% 15% 37% 28% 11% 39% 28% 12% 12% 32% 29%

Energy / Environment 5% 11% 1% 0% 9% 4% 6% 0% 3% 9% 9% 2% 8% 11% 0% 1% 10% 3%

Government Spending 16% 5% 26% 12% 3% 26% 10% 22% 23% 4% 9% 27% 3% 13% 7% 27% 5% 18%

Healthcare 23% 34% 16% 9% 29% 19% 23% 26% 16% 32% 31% 16% 31% 19% 44% 18% 30% 12%

Jobs / Economy 17% 8% 26% 16% 8% 25% 17% 5% 26% 4% 4% 26% 5% 18% 13% 26% 9% 19%

Roads / Infrastructure 6% 3% 8% 13% 6% 6% 9% 2% 8% 4% 5% 8% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5%

Taxes 5% 2% 7% 9% 1% 7% 4% 11% 6% 2% 9% 8% 2% 0% 15% 7% 2% 15%

Other 2% 4% 1% 3% 5% 1% 3% 0% 1% 4% 5% 0% 5% 4% 0% 0% 5% 0%

Not Sure 2% 2% 0% 6% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2% 3% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

Page 49: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 22© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Democrats 42% 44% 25% 0% 0% 49% 27% 58% 40% 3% 98% 55% 18% 9% 96% 48% 47%

Republicans 48% 48% 56% 100% 42% 25% 66% 35% 32% 90% 2% 35% 39% 87% 4% 36% 35%

Not Sure 11% 9% 18% 0% 58% 26% 7% 7% 28% 6% 0% 11% 43% 4% 0% 16% 18%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Democrats 42% 88% 17% 34% 28% 59% 37% 39% 42% 55% 87% 12% 62% 20% 21% 14% 69% 55%

Republicans 48% 10% 79% 55% 51% 35% 60% 53% 43% 30% 13% 79% 34% 70% 57% 67% 17% 9%

Not Sure 11% 2% 4% 12% 21% 7% 4% 8% 15% 14% 0% 8% 4% 10% 22% 19% 14% 36%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

8 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Democrats 42% - - - 84% 16% 43% 33% 16% 91% 40% 7% 90% 48% 38% 1% 86% 17%

Republicans 48% - - - 7% 76% 47% 22% 75% 2% 23% 86% 4% 34% 23% 92% 6% 39%

Not Sure 11% - - - 8% 8% 10% 45% 10% 7% 36% 7% 7% 19% 39% 7% 7% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

Page 50: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 23© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 26% 34% 0% 0% 21% 16% 39% 18% 4% 53% 55% 20% 5% 65% 30% 27%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 44% 48% 100% 0% 15% 55% 35% 36% 70% 16% 35% 35% 70% 16% 38% 30%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 25% 17% 0% 62% 25% 27% 23% 25% 23% 26% 11% 29% 22% 19% 27% 30%

Not Sure 6% 5% 0% 0% 38% 38% 2% 3% 22% 3% 4% 0% 15% 3% 1% 5% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 63% 6% 13% 22% 39% 32% 23% 25% 41% 45% 5% 33% 12% 24% 5% 54% 45%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 17% 82% 46% 37% 46% 53% 49% 36% 20% 29% 72% 36% 61% 39% 62% 17% 45%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 19% 13% 32% 31% 14% 15% 25% 30% 30% 26% 15% 25% 25% 36% 21% 28% 9%

Not Sure 6% 0% 0% 9% 11% 0% 0% 4% 10% 8% 0% 8% 6% 2% 1% 12% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

9Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 26% 53% 4% 20% - - - - 9% 61% 10% 8% 57% 20% 19% 4% 51% 7%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 43% 17% 69% 32% - - - - 62% 11% 28% 70% 14% 31% 23% 70% 19% 33%

Services And Taxes About As They 25% 26% 25% 25% - - - - 25% 25% 25% 21% 27% 40% 4% 23% 25% 34%

Not Sure 6% 4% 3% 24% - - - - 4% 2% 37% 1% 2% 9% 53% 3% 4% 26%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

Page 51: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 24© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favor 61% 59% 80% 100% 62% 68% 77% 44% 60% 94% 20% 82% 58% 90% 7% 59% 55%

Oppose 32% 35% 12% 0% 0% 21% 18% 50% 24% 4% 74% 18% 20% 8% 91% 29% 34%

Not Sure 7% 6% 8% 0% 38% 10% 6% 5% 16% 2% 6% 0% 21% 2% 2% 11% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Favor 61% 20% 90% 71% 65% 56% 66% 63% 58% 40% 36% 88% 44% 91% 72% 75% 28% 50%

Oppose 32% 78% 10% 17% 25% 40% 33% 30% 33% 52% 53% 8% 46% 8% 23% 13% 58% 50%

Not Sure 7% 2% 0% 13% 11% 3% 1% 7% 9% 8% 11% 4% 10% 2% 6% 12% 14% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

10North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-5.8 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favor 61% 23% 95% 55% 21% 87% 60% 40% - - - 97% 6% 79% 12% 96% 27% 61%

Oppose 32% 71% 2% 21% 76% 8% 33% 13% - - - 2% 91% 11% 9% 2% 67% 7%

Not Sure 7% 7% 3% 24% 3% 5% 7% 46% - - - 1% 3% 10% 78% 3% 6% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 46% 32% 17% 5% 45% 46% 9%

Page 52: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 25© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

More Likely 46% 48% 46% 100% 0% 0% 62% 33% 38% 82% 6% 72% 36% 81% 5% 43% 29%

Less Likely 32% 34% 12% 0% 0% 32% 16% 51% 23% 3% 71% 14% 26% 7% 89% 27% 37%

Make No Difference 17% 13% 41% 0% 62% 68% 18% 12% 25% 13% 19% 14% 23% 10% 3% 22% 28%

Not Sure 5% 5% 1% 0% 38% 0% 3% 3% 14% 2% 4% 0% 15% 3% 3% 8% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

More Likely 46% 19% 79% 52% 42% 56% 52% 53% 38% 23% 21% 78% 32% 70% 56% 73% 3% 41%

Less Likely 32% 73% 15% 13% 27% 37% 30% 28% 34% 54% 45% 6% 44% 9% 23% 12% 66% 45%

Make No Difference 17% 6% 6% 26% 25% 3% 18% 13% 22% 21% 34% 14% 14% 17% 16% 2% 31% 9%

Not Sure 5% 2% 0% 9% 6% 3% 0% 6% 6% 3% 0% 2% 9% 4% 6% 14% 0% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

11If a candidate for state legislature supports a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or would itmake no difference in how you vote??

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Likely 46% 8% 83% 32% 14% 75% 38% 12% 74% 3% 7% - - - - 86% 10% 37%

Less Likely 32% 68% 2% 20% 70% 10% 34% 13% 3% 89% 13% - - - - 1% 65% 14%

Make No Difference 17% 19% 12% 30% 13% 12% 27% 28% 22% 6% 25% - - - - 11% 22% 25%

Not Sure 5% 4% 2% 18% 4% 3% 1% 46% 1% 1% 54% - - - - 3% 4% 23%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 45% 46% 9%

Page 53: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 26© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Vote Opinion Of Alexander

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur John Al Mack P Brad H Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Approve 45% 48% 31% 0% 20% 0% 63% 29% 38% 90% 1% 27% 28% 89% 4% 37% 22%

Disapprove 46% 45% 53% 0% 0% 100% 29% 65% 43% 6% 97% 48% 41% 11% 96% 51% 59%

Not Sure 9% 7% 16% 100% 80% 0% 8% 5% 18% 4% 2% 25% 31% 1% 0% 12% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 88% 8% 0% 2% 3% 43% 41% 16% 44% 36% 3% 17% 32% 14% 29% 25%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Paul Opinion Of Hessel Issue

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur

Approve 45% 11% 76% 50% 48% 41% 58% 47% 41% 24% 9% 77% 35% 68% 49% 62% 3% 45%

Disapprove 46% 88% 22% 37% 37% 57% 39% 43% 48% 65% 86% 13% 60% 23% 44% 13% 97% 55%

Not Sure 9% 1% 2% 13% 15% 2% 3% 10% 10% 11% 4% 10% 4% 10% 7% 25% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 24% 19% 27% 29% 8% 12% 35% 45% 23% 5% 16% 23% 17% 6% 5% 2% 2%

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Trust More Prefer Photo ID Candidate Supports Amendment Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6 pct points Democr Republi Not Sur More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur More Li Less Li Make N Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 45% 1% 87% 32% 7% 73% 42% 23% 71% 2% 19% 83% 1% 29% 23% - - -

Disapprove 46% 96% 6% 33% 91% 21% 46% 36% 20% 96% 42% 10% 95% 58% 35% - - -

Not Sure 9% 3% 7% 36% 2% 7% 12% 41% 9% 2% 40% 7% 4% 13% 42% - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 42% 48% 11% 26% 43% 25% 6% 61% 32% 7% 46% 32% 17% 5%

Page 54: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24429 · 2018. 10. 15. · This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431Geography: NC 18th SD Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/03/2018 - 10/08/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/10/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24431 - Page 27© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

Statement of Methodology: SurveyUSA is an independent, non-partisan, apolitical research company that conducts opinion surveys for media, academic institutions, commercial clients,

non-profits, governments, agencies, and elected officials. SurveyUSA opinion research is conducted using a methodology optimized for each particular project. In some cases, this means data is

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