results and discussion · 2018. 1. 11. · adekunbi b. adetona, msc, pag. phd candidate, cesar...

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Comparing Anthropogenic Carbon Flows: Opportunities for Climate Change Solutions in Canada CONCLUSIONS Three main insights were gained from this study: Canada has the ability to manage biological systems to capture more C from the atmosphere. However, to reduce GHGs, the captured C needs to be better managed. Some of the by-products & residues could be converted to biochar to enhance C storage or to bioenergy to reduce GHG emissions associated with the production & use of fuels & electricity. In summary, forestry & agricultural systems have a major untapped potential to address some of the challenges of climate change in Canada. Adekunbi B. Adetona, MSc, PAg PhD Candidate, CESAR & Dept. of Biological Sciences ([email protected]) David B. Layzell, PhD, FRSC Professor & Director, CESAR & Dept. of Biological Sciences ([email protected]) Government data sources [e.g., 6] were used to obtain information on the production & use of forestry & agricultural products. The data were then converted to megatonnes (Mt) of C using conversion factors from the literature [e.g., 7,8]. The C flows for fuels & electricity were obtained from the CanESS [9] & CESAR [10] models, and the results were used to generate Sankey diagrams using software developed for the www .cesarnet.ca website. [1] http://www.allwhitebackground.com/images/1/Automobile-3.png. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [2] http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/why-laneway-homes-are-a-tough-sell-in-some-cities- 1.3172359. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [3] http://www.technobuffalo.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/fast-food.jpg. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [4] Janzen, H. H. 2004. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 104:399-41. [5] Canadell, J. G., and E. D. Schulze. 2014. Nature Communications 5:5282 [6] Statistics Canada, CANSIM Tables. [Online]. Available at: http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/home-accueil?lang=eng. Accessed: Oct. 2015 – Dec. 2017. [7] Krausmann et al. 2008. Ecological Economics 65:471-487. [8] Woolf et al. 2010. Nature Communications. 1-56. [9] whatIf? Technologies Inc. 2017. Canadian Energy Systems Simulator (CanESS) - Version 7. [Online]. Available at: www.caness.ca . Accessed: Oct. 04, 2015 – Oct. 29, 2017. [10] Canadian Energy Systems Analysis Research (CESAR). [Online]. Available at: www.cesarnet.ca . Accessed: Oct. 04, 2015 – Nov. 27 2017. [11] Guo et al. 2015. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 42:712–725. Humans have influenced global energy & carbon (C) flows in their production & use of: Table 1. Options to manage residues to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Canada [8,11] While all the three sectors have impacted climate change [4,5], the focus for mitigation has been on the energy sector, which accounts for 81% of Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study quantifies all anthropo- genic flows of C in the hope of identifying new opportunities to address the challenges of climate change mitigation. Recommendations Technology-rich, systems level modeling is needed to explore various pathways for the use of biological systems to reduce GHG emissions. Climate change policies and programs need to recognize these opportunities and remove barriers while creating incentives. Fuels & electricity (Energy); Fibre (Forestry); & Food (Agriculture). Options Pros Cons Leave to decompose (Business as usual) Retains nutrients in ecosystems Provide food for microbes Fuels for forest fires Inconvenient for agricultural production No net contribution to GHG management Bioenergy/biofuels (Reduce fossil fuel demand) Reduces fossil fuel demand & GHG emissions Promotes rural economic development Nutrients are lost from ecosystem Carbon debt – net CO 2 released in conversion & use Inefficient conversion efficiencies relative to fossil fuels. Biochar (Create carbon sink) Resistant to decomposition Builds soil carbon Potential use for water/air purification May remove nutrients from the ecosystem Carbon debt – net CO 2 released in conversion & use REFERENCES INTRODUCTION METHODS RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Financial support for this work was provided through scholarships from UCalgary Faculty of Graduate Studies and a generous donation from the Edmonton Community Foundation. We thank whatif? Technologies Inc. and Dr. Bastiaan Straatman for modeling support. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Food, Fibre, Fuel, & Electricity Carbon Flows (2013) 200 Mt C Energy (Fuel + Electricity) Systems (375 Mt C/yr) Forest Harvest (72 Mt C/yr) GHG Emissions Agricultural Production (106 Mt C/yr) . . . Image Sources: See Refs [1-3] NOTE: Annual biological C flows are similar in size to C flows though Canada’s oil industry (incl. exports), and they could be increased. Conversion losses are much higher in the biological sectors than in the energy sector. The biological sectors generate millions of tonnes/yr of unused (residual) by-products that could be: C in biological flows originate from the atmosphere, so end use emissions are not typically counted as GHGs. Systems level analyses are needed to determine the optimal strategies for using forestry and agricultural residues. Left to decompose; Used as bioenergy to reduce fossil fuel demand; & Converted to biochar for long term storage. See Table 1 for pros & cons.

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Page 1: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION · 2018. 1. 11. · Adekunbi B. Adetona, MSc, PAg. PhD Candidate, CESAR & Dept. of Biological Sciences (adekunbi.adetona@ucalgary.ca) David B. Layzell, PhD,

Comparing Anthropogenic Carbon Flows: Opportunities for Climate Change Solutions in Canada

CONCLUSIONSThree main insights were gainedfrom this study: Canada has the ability to

manage biological systems tocapture more C from theatmosphere.

However, to reduce GHGs, thecaptured C needs to be bettermanaged.

Some of the by-products &residues could be converted tobiochar to enhance C storage orto bioenergy to reduce GHGemissions associated with theproduction & use of fuels &electricity.

In summary, forestry & agriculturalsystems have a major untappedpotential to address some of thechallenges of climate change inCanada.

Adekunbi B. Adetona, MSc, PAgPhD Candidate, CESAR & Dept. of Biological Sciences([email protected])

David B. Layzell, PhD, FRSCProfessor & Director, CESAR & Dept. of Biological Sciences ([email protected])

Government data sources [e.g., 6]were used to obtain information onthe production & use of forestry &agricultural products. The datawere then converted tomegatonnes (Mt) of C usingconversion factors from theliterature [e.g., 7,8].The C flows for fuels & electricitywere obtained from the CanESS[9] & CESAR [10] models, and theresults were used to generateSankey diagrams using softwaredeveloped for thewww.cesarnet.ca website.

[1] http://www.allwhitebackground.com/images/1/Automobile-3.png. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [2] http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/why-laneway-homes-are-a-tough-sell-in-some-cities-1.3172359. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [3] http://www.technobuffalo.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/fast-food.jpg. Accessed: Oct. 26 2017. [4] Janzen, H. H. 2004. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 104:399-41.[5] Canadell, J. G., and E. D. Schulze. 2014. Nature Communications 5:5282[6] Statistics Canada, CANSIM Tables. [Online]. Available at: http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/home-accueil?lang=eng. Accessed: Oct. 2015 – Dec. 2017.[7] Krausmann et al. 2008. Ecological Economics 65:471-487.[8] Woolf et al. 2010. Nature Communications. 1-56.[9] whatIf? Technologies Inc. 2017. Canadian Energy Systems Simulator (CanESS) -Version 7. [Online]. Available at: www.caness.ca. Accessed: Oct. 04, 2015 – Oct. 29, 2017. [10] Canadian Energy Systems Analysis Research (CESAR). [Online]. Available at: www.cesarnet.ca. Accessed: Oct. 04, 2015 – Nov. 27 2017. [11] Guo et al. 2015. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 42:712–725.

Humans have influenced globalenergy & carbon (C) flows in theirproduction & use of:

Table 1. Options to manage residues to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Canada [8,11]

While all the three sectors haveimpacted climate change [4,5], thefocus for mitigation has been onthe energy sector, which accountsfor 81% of Canada’s greenhousegas (GHG) emissions.This study quantifies all anthropo-genic flows of C in the hope ofidentifying new opportunities toaddress the challenges of climatechange mitigation. Recommendations

Technology-rich, systems levelmodeling is needed to explorevarious pathways for the use ofbiological systems to reduce GHGemissions.Climate change policies andprograms need to recognize theseopportunities and remove barrierswhile creating incentives.

Fuels & electricity (Energy); Fibre

(Forestry); & Food

(Agriculture).

Options Pros ConsLeave to

decompose (Business as usual)

Retains nutrients in ecosystems

Provide food for microbes

Fuels for forest fires Inconvenient for agricultural

production No net contribution to GHG

management

Bioenergy/biofuels(Reduce fossil fuel

demand)

Reduces fossil fuel demand & GHG emissions

Promotes rural economic development

Nutrients are lost from ecosystem

Carbon debt – net CO2 released in conversion & use

Inefficient conversion efficiencies relative to fossil fuels.

Biochar(Create carbon sink)

Resistant to decomposition

Builds soil carbon Potential use for water/air

purification

May remove nutrients from the ecosystem

Carbon debt – net CO2 released in conversion & use

REFERENCES

INTRODUCTION

METHODS

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Financial support for this work was providedthrough scholarships from UCalgary Facultyof Graduate Studies and a generous donationfrom the Edmonton Community Foundation.We thank whatif? Technologies Inc. and Dr.Bastiaan Straatman for modeling support.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Food, Fibre, Fuel, & Electricity Carbon Flows (2013)

200

Mt C

Ener

gy (F

uel +

Ele

ctric

ity)

Syst

ems

(375

Mt C

/yr)

Fore

st H

arve

st(7

2 M

t C/y

r)

GHG Emissions

Agric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

n(1

06 M

t C/y

r) .

.

.

Imag

e So

urce

s: S

ee R

efs

[1-3

]NOTE:

Annual biological C flows are similar in size to C flows though Canada’s oil industry (incl. exports), and they could be increased.

Conversion losses are much higher in the biological sectors than in the energy sector.

The biological sectors generate millions of tonnes/yr of unused (residual) by-products that could be:

C in biological flows originate from the atmosphere, so end use emissions are not typically counted as GHGs.

Systems level analyses are needed to determine the optimal strategies for using forestry and agricultural residues.

Left to decompose; Used as bioenergy to

reduce fossil fuel demand; &

Converted to biochar for long term storage.

See Table 1 for pros & cons.