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General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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Page 1: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the

Republic of Moldova

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

Page 2: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

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First technical assistance

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

1st mission – PHC 2014 Evaluation

2nd mission – NBS needs

assessment for 2020

round of the censuses

3rd mission – Development of

a budgeted Action Plan for the

next census

Page 3: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Current situation

• In 2017 the Commission for Censuses were approved

• The government expressed commitment to support the census with tablets

• The preparations for the next census are at the very beginning stage but it isalready 4.5 years in advance

• The census staff has the experience of the previous census

3Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

Page 4: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Two main possible approachesconsidered for the next census

1. Collection using mobile devices

(tablets) and CAWI (Internet)

2. Collection using paper questionnaires and CAWI (Internet)

4Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

+

+

The period for data collection – 5 weeks

200 dwellings per enumerator

Assumptions:

Year of the census - 2023

Page 5: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Tablets collection approach

• Pros:– Higher quality

– Faster release of results

– Improvement of NBS public image

– Favored by actual government

• Cons– Higher cost

– Higher risk

Paper questionnaires collection approach

• Pros– More experience

– Lower cost

– Lower risk

• Cons– Lower quality

– Bad public image

– Later release of results

– Not favored by actual government

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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Pros and cons

Page 6: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

(Very) Raw preliminary budget estimates

About 4 USD per capita

About 3 USD per capita

6Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

Page 7: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

(Very) Raw preliminary budget estimates, by census activities

7Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia

Geneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

5

42

24

3 2

24

6

55

0

12

2

25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

GIS Total Salaries Tablets(enumerators+supervisors +

2%)

Dataprocessing

anddissemination

Publicity Other

%

Tablets collection

Paper questionnairescollection

Page 8: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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High level view of Census Action Plan –Tablets approach

•Setup legal and admin system

•Methodology and questionnaireplanning

•Tenders preparation

•Preliminary tests

•Admin sources assessment

2018-19

•Systems development - CAPI, CAWI, CATI, HR and logistics

•Testing of prototypedeveloped systems

•Maps preparations and EA design

2020

•Pilot census field operations

•Pilot census evaluation

2021

•Systems final tuning

•Testing of updated systems and other census elements

2022

•Census field operations

•PES

•Data processing

•Preliminary results release

2023

•Final Census evaluation

•Main Census products release

•Last census products release

2024

•Census analytical program

•Beginning planning of next census

2025-26CENSUS

PILOT

Page 9: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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(more) Detailed Action planQ1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

4-18 Apr-2023 1826 60

Needs and capacity assessment 4-18 Apr-2018 0 0

Setting strategic objectives 4-18 Jun-2018 61 2

Overall census planning 4-18 Jun-2018 61 2

Risk assessment and contingency plan 6-18 Aug-2018 61 2

Appointment of Census Institutions 4-18 Apr-2019 365 12

Census Legislation and budget 4-18 Apr-2019 365 12

Planning of enumeration procedures including QA 7-18 Apr-2020 640 21

Financial management program 7-18 Oct-2020 823 27

Development HR management system/s 4-19 Oct-2020 549 18

Procurement 4-19 Apr-2023 1461 48

Preparation of ICT supporting program 10-18 Oct-2019 365 12

Quality Management program 6-18 Dec-2018 183 6

Planning of Training 10-19 Oct-2020 366 12

Manuals preparation 10-19 Oct-2020 366 12

Enumeration tools 7-18 Oct-2020 823 27

Questionnaire contents, design, testing 7-18 Oct-2022 1553 51

Planning testing program including pilot census 4-19 Jan-2022 1006 33

Planning communication and publicity program 10-19 Apr-2020 183 6

Planning Dissemination-procedures and products 4-20 Apr-2021 365 12

Planning Census Evaluation Program and PES 11-20 Nov-2022 730 24

Administrative (registers) evaluation 5-18 Oct-2022 1614 53

Houses and dwellings listing and maps 4-21 Oct-2022 548 18

EA delineation and maps preparation 4-19 Feb-2023 1402 46

9-22 May-2023 248 8

Implementation of census field-work reporting system 2-23 Mar-2023 25 0.8

Recruitment of staff 11-22 Feb-2023 105 3.4

Training of field work staff 3-23 Apr-2023 26 0.9

Preparations for enumeration 3-23 Mar-2023 20 0.7

Enumeration field work (in days) 4-23 May-2023 36 1.2

5-23 Jan-2027 1341 44

PES (in days) 5-23 Jun-2023 32 1.0

Data Entry and Processing (if needed) 6-23 Aug-2024 429 14

Preparation of final row data base 5-23 Dec-2023 214 7

Data Evaluation 8-23 Jul-2026 1065 35

Disemination of final census results 6-23 Jan-2025 584 19

Other Census Products Preparation and Dissemination 7-23 Jan-2027 1284 42

Data Analysis: Census analytical Program 12-23 Jan-2026 762 25

Promotion of the use of census results 10-24 Jan-2027 822 27

Documentation and Archiving 4-18 Jan-2027 3201 105

QA program implementation 12-18 Dec-2026 2922 96

Publicity Campaign 10-20 Apr-2026 2008 66

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Cross-stage

Enumeration

Post

enumeration

Planning and

Preparations

2021Start

2018 2019 2020Days MonthsEnd

Page 10: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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Critical role of software development for tablets

Need outsourcing of software development

Very tight schedule Lack of initial budget for 2018

Main challenges and risks of tablets

approach

Page 11: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Some technical assistance (2018-2020)

project managing and use of project managing and coordinating tools

quality management of census operations at all

stages

development of a census cartographic program and GIS staff training

development ofmanuals/ training

program for census temporary staff

data protection in a statistical office and its

related ICT aspects

enumerators and supervisors enumeration

procedures including monitoring measures

development of census tests program and pilot

census

planning and conduction of data processing of

census raw data

use of demographic analysis tools to evaluate

census results

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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Page 12: Republic of Moldova Census presentation · General overview of 2020 round of the Population and Housing Census in the Republic of Moldova ... Planning testing program including pilot

Together for the next census!

Valentina Istrati, Head of Demographic Statistics and Population Census Division

[email protected]

Workshop on Population and Housing Censuses for countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central AsiaGeneva, Switzerland, 24-25 September 2018

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