renewable ocean wave energy plan 18.6.2017_edit2...the structural stiffness of the system is...
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Renewable Ocean Wave Energy BUSINESS PLAN 2017
TABLE OF CONTENTS
COMPANY ANALYSIS
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
MARKET ANALYSIS
COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
MARKETING PLAN
OPERATIONS PLAN
FINANCIAL PLAN
COMPANY ANALYSIS COMPANY OVERVIEW
Ocean Power Parks was founded by Nader Hassavari in 2010 with the objective to develop, market, and
distribute a clean ocean electricity product that offers and provides renewable and sustainable energy to the
world. Ocean Power Parks mission is to supply clean ocean electricity at competitive prices while contributing to
a reduction of the world’s carbon emissions. Ocean power parks present technology , a system that exploits the
potential and kinetic energy of Ocean waves, and wind with the goal of powering a generator that will produce
energy, which in turn can be sold commercially to utility companies.
Ocean Power Parks has invested significant capital into the development of its technology, and is in the process
of researching and testing the equipment’s feasibility for ongoing improvements before the Company begins
production and full market launch. To date, the Company has worked directly with (FEDEM Technology today
Part of SAP Germany) to perform hydrodynamic and structural analysis of its floating wave power generator
concept through a dynamic simulation model [1] in order to determine power production potential. Specifically,
a wave power production system has been investigated in terms of CFD simulations to capture pontoon
motions, dynamic structural analysis for estimating the overall power production and finite element capacity
checks of the construction.
SYSTEM OVERVIEW
The technology, which consists of concrete, steel, pontoons, and generators, is movable and can demount and
mount in different sea environments. At low production season, the system will be able to produce hydrogen,
which will be stored and then transported to land by tank boats. There is also a significant possibility for capacity
increase by pumping seawater into the pontoons at high wave season to increase the weight, resulting in power
production. Additionally, pontoons and the surface of the trusses are made by Teflon to avoid overgrown and
corrosion at sea.
The design of the structure solves many of the most important challenges of current wave technology. The
robust system is designed to withstand harsher punishment from the earthly elements compared to
conventional technologies.
The construction of the present system is based on the use of potential energy in the waves and conversion of
kinetic energy in the waves to potential energy by design of unique pontoon edges and unique pontoon shape.
Because of the shape, the float will cover an expanse area of ocean compared to existing alternatives. The shape
also converts the horizontal movement in the wave (kinetic energy) to the potential energy, which is created
when a pontoon is moved by wave action. This is transmitted in a vertical motion in relation to the plant via a
drive, to a power-producing generator.
The pontoons are mounted 360 degrees around the center column of the system. This design allows maximum
energy generation on the sea surface areas or “footprint,” which is covered by a pontoon. Each pontoon
operates independently and in the case of any unforeseen damages, this will not affect the energy generation of
the other pontoons.
In addition, a new wind subsystem is currently in production to be mounted on the top of the device to produce
energy concurrently as well. Mounting of a hydrogen generator on the top of the platform will provide hydrogen
during low power production season for any wave power plant, so useless power for the power line can be used
at hydrogen production.
SYSTEM SPECS
The wave generator is based on a floating structure moored to the seabed. The floating structure has several
floating pontoons, which generate power when they are set into motion by the waves, mainly by means of
buoyancy force.
The wave power system is illustrated in the left figure below. It consists of a total of 6 pontoons supported by a
truss system with a large buoyancy tank providing tension in the mooring line going between the bottom of the
truss and the seabed. The pontoons are free to move in the vertical direction on a chain connected to power
generators located at the top of each truss. It is believed that the pontoon motion mainly will be governed by
the buoyancy effect, but with additional contribution from wave impact on the angled side walls.
The structural stiffness of the system is realized by the use of truss structures with a squared cross section, built
up by L-profiles in steel as shown in the right figure above. At the top level of the system, all pontoon columns
are connected to the center column in radial direction. In addition, tubular stiffeners are connecting neighboring
pontoon columns at their top end of the structure.
Providing stability, the large circular tank located at the bottom of the truss system sees a diameter of 16.3 m
and a height of 4.0m. It is built by 20mm thick steel plates or concrete and contains a concrete foundation as
described in Appendix A for additional weight at bottom part for stability. The truss structure columns
supporting the pontoons are connected to the stabilizer tank. The center column is mounted through an
opening in the center of the stabilizer tank and its lower end is used as a connecting point to the mooring line.
In the analyses, the wave power system will be subjected to regular waves with maximum wave heights as
defined in Table 1-1. As this is the governing source of vertical excitation, neither sea current nor wind speed will
be considered at present.
There will be two security wires in addition which connect WEC to the seabed.
FEDEM ANALYSIS
OVERVIEW
Structural analyses on this project were performed with FEDEM Simulation Software (FEDEM). FEDEM is a code
for effective modeling, simulation and visualization of finite element assemblies and control systems. The code
is based on a non-linear finite element formulation. This formulation predicts the dynamic response of elastic
mechanisms experiencing non-linear effects such as large rigid-body rotations.
The structural model includes environmental loads, such as waves, and is analyzed in time-domain. Since FEDEM
lacks the capability of full fluid interaction calculations, which are represented in the CFD simulations, system
parameters in FEDEM must be tuned for a realistic behavior of the pontoons. The challenge lies in the simplified
load model of the Morison equation implemented in FEDEM, which is only valid for slender beams.
FEDEM was used in the analysis to be able to describe the overall system behavior, both under the situation of
power production as well as under storm conditions. The scope of work included:
WP1: Establish a design basis based on input from the client. The design basis to be approved by the Client before startup of next WP. WP2: Data collection and initial analyses (normal operation) WP2 addresses one single pontoon during normal operation and will include the following: _Start-up activities including data collection and some key parameter decisions before modeling work can begin.
_Generating and running a CFD model followed by tuning of structural model with correct dimensions, mass, buoyancy and drag properties.
_Determine the power effect of one single pontoon. WP3: System model (normal operation) Based on the information found in WP2, WP3 will see a complete structural model of the wave power system. This will be run against a series of sea states representing normal operation in order to document the overall power generating capacity of the system. WP4: Structural integrity (storm condition) WP4 includes a structural capacity check of the truss construction for sea states representing storm conditions. No optimization and re-analysis of cross-sections is included in the scope of work for WP4. WP5: Reporting Prepare a technical report to document the analysis model, load cases and results.
CONCLUSION
A wave power production system has been investigated in terms of CFD simulations to capture pontoon
motions, dynamic structural analysis for estimating the overall power production and finite element capacity
checks of the construction.
From the CFD analysis it is concluded that the pontoons follow the wave propagation closely, especially for wave
lengths greater than two times the pontoon diameter. However, as the wave height increases, the waves tend
to partly break on top of the pontoons, limiting the vertical displacement of the pontoons and hence power
production.
The total power production estimated from the pontoon weight and velocities have been presented and it is
seen that a theoretical peak production of 1200kW is achieved for Case 4 (instantaneous), while the average
power output was 951 kW. Moreover, the system model simulations also showed that a mooring line consisting
of at least three connections points was required due to instability issues. Evidently, the power production
efficiency will decrease as the wave power system leans over due to the hydrodynamic forces acting on it.
The capacity check showed that the truss construction meets the design requirements when subjected to the
global forces and moments occurring in storm condition (Case 5). Hence, it is assumed that sufficient capacity is
also achieved during normal operating conditions.
Case # Wave height
[m]
Wave period
[s]
Wave length
[m]
Average power output [kW]
Case 1 1 2.7 12 380
Case 2 2 3.0 16 690
Case 3 4 4.5 36 805
Case 4 6 5.4 52 951
Case 5 (storm) 15 8.7 119 NA
Note that no resistance from the power generators has been included in the present investigation, which will
dampen the pontoon motion and lower the potential power production below what is reported.
For future developments, FEDEM Technology recommends an investigation of the wave power system subjected
to irregular sea to be performed. This should be conducted together with applying realistic power generator
resistance as this will affect the pontoon response. It is also advised to revise the mooring arrangement as the
center of gravity and center of buoyancy are closely located, which will lead to instability.
Further work
For future developments, Fedem Technology recommends an investigation of the wave power system subjected
to irregular sea to be performed. This should be conducted together with applying realistic power generator
resistance as this will affect the pontoon response. It is also advised to revise the mooring arrangement as the
center of gravity and center of buoyancy are closely located, which will lead to instability.
Note that a detailed CFD analysis of the complete system may be performed in order to account for such effects
as shielding from the upstream pontoons etc.
TRUSS CHECK
Check of the local stresses in the truss structure, Euler buckling strength for the columns and trusses, global
forces and moments are taken from the analysis model and decomposed into forces in the truss, assume that
the Shear force are taken by the braces, and the moments and the axial loads are taken by the columns.
Check the column L-beam for buckling. Assume that the global moment and axial load contribute to the column
load. Assume that the natural axis for bending is diagonal across the plane for the slider. That way the moment
contribution will act into one column at each side. The moment arm is denoted as a1. The force couple will then
be My/2 * 1/a1, and the global axial load will be added and divided into 4.
VALUE PROPOSITION
Wave Energy Converter (WEC) is a unique and patented invention. The beam technology is robust and allows for
the strongest possible structure, as 10% of strength is used at maximum drift according to analysis. The product
contains no movable joints and was produced to sustain a low maintenance cost.
Additionally, this pontoon structure with a combination of convex and concave shapes makes it possible to build
very large pontoons without the need of any supporting elements. Aside from the pontoons, no parts require
special fabrication, and the product consists of parts that are standard and easy to provide. One of the most
important values of the system is that it is economically lucrative as it earns income even without subsidies.
The first Prototype of the Product which performs the main task of the system.
Links to the video files: Please hold the Ctrl button and click on to view the contents.
Model1-Case1 functionality simulation
Device small prototype in the ocean
Wave velocity on single pontoon - 1
Wave velocity on single pontoon - 2
Wave velocity on single pontoon - 3
Wave velocity on single pontoon - 4
Device simulation - 1
Device simulation - 2
Device simulation - 3
Device simulation - 4
BUSINESS MODEL
Nader Hassavari holds an exclusive patent on the wave powered electricity generator that has been produced
for MURTECH. The Company will utilize this technology in order to produce potential power, which will then be
sold to utility companies globally.
Indeed, the average output can dramatically be increased through building wider tank and adding
more pontoons as shown in the diagrams below:
Overview of wave power system under operation, simulation
Available Buoyancy 1,500 m3 floating at sea surface.
Installed at 9 meter deep and total a buoyancy of 1500 m3 x 9 m = 135,00 m3
each anchor 1200 m3 force.
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS WORLD ENERGY OVERVIEW
● Substantial amounts have been invested in energy R&D over the last 50 years. Much of this has been
directed at developing nuclear energy – which now supplies 12% of world electricity.
● Today, apart from Japan and France, there is about twice as much R&D investment in renewables than
nuclear, but with rather less to show for it and with less potential for electricity supply.
● Renewables have received heavy direct subsidies in the market by various means, but these are being scaled
back or abandoned in some places due to the high cost to consumers.
● Fossil fuels receive indirect subsidies in their waste disposal as well as some direct subsidies.
There are three main areas where, broadly speaking, subsidies or other support for energy may apply:
government R&D for particular technologies, subsidies for power generation per unit of production (or
conceivably per unit of capacity), including costs imposed on dis-incentivized alternatives, and the allowance of
external costs which are either paid by the community at large or picked up later by governments. Strictly
speaking, a subsidy is monetary assistance granted by a government in support of something regarded as being
in the public interest, so external costs are actually a socializing of costs which belong with particular energy
users. Selective taxes can complement subsidies as another means of supporting what is perceived to be in the
public interest.
ENERGY R&D
There has been a lot of government-financed energy research and development (R&D) in most developed
countries. This has been driven by concern about energy security, as well as by the need to address
environmental problems and social concerns. Reliable and affordable energy supplies are vital to any economy,
while energy shortages or the threat of such have political and economic consequences. Therefore, as concerns
have evolved from oil shocks to climate change, each country's energy provision and infrastructure needs
restructuring accordingly.
Government R&D expenditure on energy tends to be focused on long-term development of new technologies,
with the aim of bringing them to commercialization, while private R&D is mostly on the further development of
existing and operational technologies. While there are notable exceptions both ways, there is a strong
disincentive for industry working in a highly competitive market and needing to justify a return on capital to
shareholders to undertake long-term, high risk R&D. This is because after all their investment they will still be
selling kilowatt hours of electricity or another essentially undifferentiated product in a competitive and very
price-sensitive marketplace.
SUBSIDIES THE
IEA'S WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK 2011 ESTIMATES THAT THE TOTAL COST OF SUBSIDIES FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY WILL RISE FROM
$66 BILLION IN 2010 TO $250 BILLION IN 2035. HOWEVER, SEVERAL COUNTRIES ARE CUTTING BACK SUPPORT FOR RENEWABLES
DUE BOTH TO THE HIGH COST IMPACTING ELECTRICITY PRICES AND ALSO THE COSTS AND DIFFICULTIES OF INTEGRATING THEM INTO
THE TRANSMISSION NETWORKS. GERMANY AND SPAIN ARE CUTTING ABOUT $2.5 BILLION AND $3.5 BILLION PER YEAR RESPECTIVELY
FROM SUBSIDIES FOR RENEWABLES.
A feed-in tariff (FIT) obliges energy retailers to buy any electricity produced from specified, e.g. renewable,
sources at a fixed price, usually over a fixed period of some years (e.g. 20 years in Germany), the price being
significantly greater than that paid for power from mainstream sources. The rates usually vary for different
sources, e.g. being greater for solar or offshore wind. In this case they may be called Advanced Renewable
Tariffs (ART), differentiating by technology and perhaps project size. There is usually no amount or proportion
specified, though a cap or quota on how much needs to be bought overall or from particular sources may be
applied. With renewables, any supply offered must be taken by the grid operator, regardless of merit order
considerations (normally applying, so that lowest marginal cost supplies are preferred). In Germany for instance,
the grid operators buy the renewable kWh at the specified FIT rate and then sell them on the open market. The
difference between the sales proceeds and the FIT they have paid to various suppliers is compensated by the
end consumer through an 'EEG-surcharge' being applied to bills. Electricity-intense industry has this surcharge
limited.
Feed-in tariffs (FIT) are now common in Europe, Canada, China and Israel and imminent in several Australian
states, total at least 41 countries or provinces. They generally mean that the consumer pays the subsidy for
power from the legislated sources, the cost being spread across all power purchases unless there is a special
deal to buy renewable power at a premium. In Germany the additional cost of the FIT above normal wholesale
market is recovered by a ‘renewable energy surcharge’ being added to retail electricity bills (with exemptions for
industry). However, in some countries FITs have become unaffordable, and are being replaced with other
mechanisms.
A variation on FIT is the contract for difference (CFD), which means that if the market price is lower that the
agreed strike price, the government pays that difference per kWh, if the market is above the strike price, the
generator pays the government. The key factor then is setting the strike price far enough ahead to enable
investment. Another variation – short of a full FIT – is a bonus payment on market price.
A problem showing up in several countries, especially regarding FITs, is that they become increasingly costly to
consumers as the take-up increases. In Germany, the cost of subsidies for solar power is expected to reach EUR
46 billion by 2030. In Spain the take-up was so high that the government had to renege on its subsidy
commitments after investments had been made. France cut back subsidies in 2010. The UK in 2011 wound back
the FIT levels for new plants. Slovakia in 2011-12 slashed FITs for solar from EUR 38 c/kWh to 11.9 c/kWh for
small solar (up to 100 kW) in order to keep electricity prices down.
When governments change the FIT levels to adjust the incentive, the changes generally apply only to new
sources.
UNITED STATES
The US government spent $24 billion on energy subsidies in 2011, $16 billion of this for renewables including $6
billion for ethanol tax credits, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The production tax credit for wind
cost $1.6 billion. Fossil fuels got $2.5 billion in tax breaks.
In the USA a direct subsidy or Production Tax Credit (PTC, finally about 2.3 c/kWh net for wind) has been
available to generators of renewable power over the first ten years of a project's operation so they can sell it
that much below actual cost. The subsidy is granted as credit on taxes, though following the American Recovery
& Reinvestment Act (ARRA) in mid-2009, an investment tax credit of 30% could be claimed instead for wind
plant placed in service before 2013 if construction began before the end of 2013. A total of $16.8 billion had
been provided in direct grants for energy efficiency and renewable energy projects under ARRA. This credit can
be converted to a grant from the government. In the USA a Renewable Portfolio Standard is proposed,
mandating a specified amount of renewable power from suppliers, and applying already in California and other
states. The PTC is indexed to inflation, and was extended each year to the end of 2013. With a wholesale
electricity price of around 2.8 c/kWh, the PTC meant that intermittent wind generators could dump power on
the market to the extent of depressing the wholesale price so that other generators were operating at a loss.
This market distortion has created major problems for the viability of dispatchable generation sources upon
which the market depends.
Several US states and municipalities are looking at FITs. Vermont enacted one in 2009 and Gainesville, Florida
has one in 26-32 c/kWh range.
Figure 2: United States Figures for Electricity Production ($Millions)
Beneficiary Direct Exp
Tax Exp
R&D Federal Elect
Support
Loan G'tee
Total Share of total subsidies &
support
Share of electricity generation in 2010
Coal 37 486 575 91 0 1,189 10.0% 44.9%
Natural Gas and petroleum liquids
1 583 15 56 0 654 5.5% 25%
Nuclear 0 908 1,169
157 265 2,499 21.0% 19.6%
Renewables 4,178 1,347 632 133 269 6,560 55.3% 10.3%
Biomass 6 54 55 0 0 114 1.0% 1.4%
Geothermal 115 1 72 0 12 200 1.7% 0.4%
Hydropower 17 17 51 130 0 215 1.8% 6.2%
Solar 409 99 287 0 173 968 8.2% 0%
Wind 3,556 1,178 166 1 85 4,986 42.0% 2.3%
Unallocated Renewables
75 0 0 0 0 75 0.6% 0
Transmission & distribution
461 58 222 211 20 971 8.2% NA
Total 4,677 3,382 2,613
648 555 11,873
100% 100%
EUROPE
In the EU, feed-in tariffs are widespread (in 18 of 25 EU countries as of 2007). European Environment Agency
figures in 2004 gave indicative estimates of total energy subsidies in the EU-15 for 2001: solid fuel (coal) EUR
13.0, oil & gas EUR 8.7, nuclear EUR 2.2, renewables EUR 5.3 billion.
EAST ASIA
In Japan, since 2009 a feed-in tariff required utilities to buy surplus solar power produced domestically at up to
JPY 48/kWh. This was extended to hydro, wind and geothermal power at JPY 17-20/kWh, compared with JPY 5-7
for base-load power. In mid-2012 the general FIT was increased to JPY 42 /kWh for solar-generated electricity,
double the tariff offered in Germany and more than three times that paid in China. The level was reduced in
April 2014 to JPY 37/kWh residential and JPY 32/kWh for systems over 10 kW. Wind power FIT was JPY 22/kWh
for onshore units above 20 kW, JPY 36 for offshore wind, and JPY 55 for smaller units.
In China, the Global Wind Energy Council acknowledges "the fact that wind is heavily subsidized". This is under a
variety of complex measures focused on capacity rather than output, and correlates with a low average capacity
factor of 16% over 2006-07, partly due to grid constraints. China's 2006 Renewable Energy Law sets out a
subsidized electricity tariff structure (though no feed-in tariff), a compulsory grid connection mandate for
renewable energy projects, and a rule that requires utilities to purchase all the renewable electricity produced in
their service area. In addition, carbon credits awarded under the UN Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
enable foreign investors in Chinese wind projects to sell carbon credits outside the country, this being essential
to project viability.
Solar power has enjoyed substantial incentives in China since 2009, and in 2011 the national feed-in tariff was
RMB 1.15 per kWh (18 cents), but in 2012 this was reduced to RMB 0.55 (8.7 cents). Late in 2012 subsidies for
solar power were boosted by CNY 7 billion ($1.1 billion) to a total of CNY 13 billion. The subsidies are to allow
support of 5.2 GWE of domestic solar energy production.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW1
MURTECH AS competes within the Hydroelectric Power industry. Companies in this industry operate facilities
and machinery that use water to generate hydroelectric and renewable electricity. Industry players also use
renewable energy sources, including wood, municipal waste, landfill gas, biomass and geothermal energy to
generate electricity. Moving forward, the Company may also pursue a wind to energy strategy as well. This
industry research can be found within the Appendix of this business plan.
1 IBISWorld
Figure 3: Industry Snapshot
INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE
Severe droughts over the past five years have led to a decrease of water inflow for the Hydroelectric Power
industry, limiting its ability to generate electricity. Industry operators focused their attention on mitigating the
effects of droughts by scaling back hydroelectricity operations. In turn, investment in hydroelectric
infrastructure slowed and plans for upgrades to increase efficiency and output were delayed, as the need to
combat droughts took center stage. Although other renewable power sources, such as biomass generation,
experienced steady expansion during the past five years, adverse economic and natural conditions made it
difficult for the industry to sustain growth. However, IBISWorld expects industry revenue to either increase or
maintain stability through 2015.
Although hydroelectricity is a renewable energy source perceived as environmentally friendly, state
governments have considerably scrutinized it due to the potential damages hydroelectric dams can cause to
river resources. Establishing new hydroelectric facilities has been difficult for industry players, due to stringent
state and federal regulations and a lack of suitable locations with enough water on inclines steep enough to
produce electricity. Furthermore, the recession caused financing for large, capital-intensive projects to dry up,
which made it difficult for industry operators to find money to break ground on new projects early in the five-
year period.
Sustained economic growth during the next five years will contribute to more robust demand for electricity
generation and transmission, while investments will be used to increase the efficiency of existing facilities and
properly outfit the country’s no powered dams. Converting existing dams into hydroelectric generating facilities
allows industry operators to use existing infrastructure, lowering the initial cost of constructing a hydroelectric
facility. In the coming years, hydroelectricity and other renewable energy sources included in this industry will
benefit from favorable government regulations. As a result of these positive trends, industry revenue is forecast
to increase at an annualized rate of 6.5% to $5.0 billion during the five years to 2020.
Total Revenue (2015)
$3.6bn Average Profit Margin
$556.9mn
Number of Firms
578 Annual Growth '15-'20
6.5%
Figure: Product and Service Segmentation
Figure 4: Industry Performance: Historical & Future Estimate
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SEGMENTATION
The overall breakdown of revenue in the Industry through a variety of renewable energy services offerings can
be seen in Figure 1 and in more detail below. However, MURTECH will focus solely on sustainable water based
energy services.
Hydroelectricity
Hydroelectricity, a well-established form of
renewable energy, accounts for the majority of
industry revenue. Hydroelectric power generators
are either regulated utility companies or
independent power producers (IPPs). Utility
companies face price regulation from regional public
utility commissions, which results in stable revenue.
In contrast, IPPs have the option to sell electricity on
unregulated wholesale markets, where electricity
prices can fluctuate considerably according to supply
and demand. Over the past five years,
hydroelectricity’s share of industry revenue has
decreased, mostly due to the continued growth of
alternative forms of renewable energy and low
rainfall. The high capital costs of hydroelectric dams
also limited major capacity expansions during the
past five years. In 2015, hydroelectricity is expected
to contribute to 47.8% of industry revenue, down
from just under 50.0% in 2010. Biomass electricity
Wood biomass power is estimated to account for 29.0% of industry revenue in 2015, up from 26.5% in 2010.
Wood-fired electricity has grown slightly over the period as growth in this segment has outpaced growth in
other segments. Wood biomass includes paper pellets, railroad ties, utility poles, bark and wood-based liquids.
Waste biomass power sources have contracted slightly as a share of revenue over the period, declining from
13.4% of revenue in 2010 to 12.8% in 2015. Non-wood biomass power includes electricity generated from
agricultural byproducts, landfill gas and biogenic municipal waste.
Geothermal electricity
Geothermal electricity is power generated from thermal energy stored underground. Thermal energy is used to
power traditional steam turbines, which is then used to generate electricity. Over the past five years, this
product segment’s share of industry revenue has increased, mostly due to a recovery in geothermal
infrastructure investments. In 2015, geothermal electricity is estimated to total 10.4% of industry revenue.
KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS
Average annual precipitation
Hydroelectric power generation relies on water flow, so rainfall levels substantially impact industry
performance. In particular, drought conditions brought about by low rainfall can reduce industry output, which,
in turn, lowers revenue. Average annual rainfall is expected to decrease slightly during 2015.
Electric power consumption
Growth in demand for electricity, including hydroelectricity and electricity from renewable sources, is closely
linked to overall economic growth. Increases in electricity transmission and distribution lead to increases in
hydroelectric demand. Electric power consumption is expected to decrease during 2015, representing a
potential threat for the industry.
Price of electric power
Regional public utility commissions regulate retail electricity prices. Hydroelectric power plants controlled by
regulated utility companies are subject to regulated retail prices. Industry operators that successfully petition for
rate hikes benefit from increased revenue and profitability, while companies that are unable to obtain favorable
rulings will have difficulty operating in the industry. In 2015, the price of electric power is expected to slowly
increase, representing a potential opportunity for the industry.
Price of natural gas
Natural gas is a major source of fuel for power plants in the United States. Gas power plants are typically
inexpensive to construct compared with hydroelectricity dams. When gas prices decrease, natural gas-generated
electricity becomes more cost effective than hydroelectric power, causing utilities to turn to natural gas power
instead of hydroelectric power. In 2015, the price of natural gas is expected to decrease.
Value of utilities construction
The value of utilities construction measures the annual amount spent on constructing power plants. An increase
in utilities construction results in higher revenue, as more electricity is transmitted after construction. The value
of utilities construction is expected to decrease during 2015.
Figure : Hydroelectric Power Industry Market Breakdown
MARKET ANALYSIS MARKET OVERVIEW
Users of electric power either cannot or do not differentiate on the basis of the fuel used to generate that
electric power; however, about one-half of all US retail electricity customers have the option of purchasing
power generated from renewable energy sources. The extent to which this option is exercised is very limited. In
general, the same factors drive electricity demand, regardless of the fuel that is used to generate electric power.
Households, industry and the commercial sector are the major users of electricity, and altogether account for
virtually all demand.
Households form the largest single group of users. The factors that play a role in household electricity
consumption include shifts in household disposable incomes; changes in the price of electricity and competing
fuels; and the availability of a wider range of fuels. Fuel availability has increased through the extension of gas
pipelines and improvements in technology that have made solar power more accessible, which, in turn, has
limited demand for hydroelectric power. In recent years, improvements in appliance energy efficiency have
limited consumer demand for electric power.
Levels of economic activity determine demand for electricity by the commercial sector. When businesses are
staying open longer, more electricity is needed to provide lighting and air conditioning. The growth in demand
for power by the industrial sector, which largely depends on growth in the output of electricity-intensive
products, including most metals, particularly aluminum. Where firms are able to switch between fuel types (e.g.
between electricity and gas), movements in fuel prices also impact demand. Business demand for electric power
has picked up as the economy recovered.
Demand for hydroelectric power is also dependent on the future advances in turbine technology. A main issue
harming the progress of the industry is the harmful effects of hydroelectric plants on the environment. These
effects include increases in marine life mortality rates, obstruction of fish migration and change in natural life
water temperature. If the aforementioned issues could be resolved, environmental protection organizations
would be more receptive to this form of alternative energy, given its convenience and efficiency.
MARKET SEGMENTATION
The industry’s major markets represent all of the
downstream customers of electricity, which are
dominated by households, commercial users and
industrial users. Industry players generate energy
that is passed along to these customer segments.
Residential households
Households are estimated to account for 44.9% of
industry revenue in 2 015. Households pay retail
prices for electricity, which is considerably higher
than wholesale prices charged to large
manufacturers and industrial firms. As a result, households’ make up the largest downstream market in terms of
revenue.
Households use electricity for lighting, refrigeration and to power appliances. There are seasonal fluctuations
associated with household usage, such as increased usage during very cold winters and unusually hot summers.
Households generally use more energy when incomes rise because they are able to absorb extra costs.
Household electricity consumption only experienced moderate growth over the past five years due to steep
declines in consumer income during the recession. The growing popularity of energy efficient appliances, such as
Energy Start-certified appliances, has also moderated household electricity consumption. As such, this market’s
contribution to revenue has fallen. As the economy gains steam, households will have more money and, in turn,
will increase energy use.
Commercial
Commercial customers use energy to power business operations, which includes paying the power bill for any
items necessary to conduct business, such as an office space and computers. Manufacturing-heavy businesses
(those that are classified as commercial because they do not produce at the scale that industrial firms do) use
more electricity than office-based businesses because of the large amount of power needed for production.
Many firms limited their electricity usage as profit declined. Electricity consumption also fell as businesses closed
following the recession. However, as economic growth picked up, this market segment has recovered steadily. In
2015, the commercial sector is estimated to contribute to 36.5% of industry revenue.
Industrial
Industrial firms use the most energy per firm of all the major market segments. Heavy manufacturing accounts
for the bulk of electricity the industrial sector uses (88.0%). The remainder is used in mining and construction.
Within the manufacturing sector, the main electricity users are chemical manufacturing (17.5%), primary metal
production (14.5%), food manufacturing (9.0%), paper manufacturing (8.0%) and plastic and rubber
manufacturing (7.0%).
Industrial operations use a significant amount of energy, and these firms buy bulk electricity from industry firms
to conduct operations. Industrial users enjoy lower prices than households and commercial users of electricity
due in part to the large-scale purchase of power by industrial users. As a result, the industrial sector is only
expected to contribute to 17. 8% of industry revenue, despite having very high levels of consumption. The share
of electricity production consumed by industrial users fell during the recession, when lower manufacturing
output and construction activity led to reduced electricity demand from that sector. Since then, industrial
demand for electricity has steadily recovered as economic growth picked up.
Market Area and Average retail price/kWh:
Market Area Average Retail Price/kWh
United States $0.12
Canada $0.10
France $0.19
Spain $0.30
Denmark $0.41
UK $0.20
Germany $0.35
Russia $0.11
China $0.08
Japan $0.26
Australia $0.29
COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS COMPETITIVE OVERVIEW
The Hydroelectric Power industry is characterized by a low level of concentration, because most private electric
utilities and independent power generators operate in regional markets. According to the Energy Department’s
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), the bulk of privately owned hydroelectric power plants
are small facilities with less than 30 megawatts of generating capacity. By comparison, the federal Bureau of
Reclamation’s (BoR) Grand Coulee Dam has total generation capacity of about 7,000 megawatts. The BoR is not
included in this industry because it is entirely owned and funded by the federal government. Due to
transmission and maintenance costs, most industry operators do not construct facilities across the country,
thereby limiting each firm’s market share. For example, major player Pacific Gas and Electric Corporation derives
nearly all of its revenue from California. Over the past five years, market share concentration has remained
relatively stable. Hydroelectric power infrastructure construction activity has been low, especially after North
American natural gas prices plunged following the recession. Gas generation became cheaper, which provided
competition for industry operators.
In addition to the Hydroelectric Power Industry, the Wind Power industry has a medium level of concentration.
The four largest industry participants hold a combined market share of over 40.0%. This level of concentration
reflects the industry’s rapid growth and rising consolidation. Market share concentration has increased over the
past five years as industry players expanded their footprints by constructing wind farms at accelerating rates,
taking advantage of tax breaks and looking to meet state demands for alternative energy. Concentration should
continue to rise over the next five years, as government incentives continue to be favorable for the industry.
Operators will look to boost revenue by acquiring additional assets and building new wind farms to meet
increasing demand.
DIRECT COMPETITION
MURTECH will compete directly with hydroelectric and wind powered companies in the United States. Two
example competitors to the Company are:
Figure 7: Top Competitor Overview
Name Clipper Wind power First Solar
Address 4601 Bowling Street S.W.
Cedar Rapids, IA 52404 2832 East Foothill Boulevard, Pasadena, CA 91107
Company Overview Clipper strives to support customers and existing Liberty 2.5MW wind turbine fleets by providing OEM knowledgeable gearbox and component
part refurbishment services, as well as, maintaining a full line of wind turbine service
parts.
First Solar has developed, financed, engineered, constructed, and currently
operates many of the world’s largest grid-connected PV power plants in existence.
Service Offerings
Precision manufacturing, spare parts, service repair.
Modules, power plants, power blocks, energy services
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
MURTECH will draw on its strengths, such as first-hand market and product knowledge, a sustainable and
lucrative product, and its unique invention to build a construction unlike any other in renewable energy. The
Company will focus on the following strengths of its unique technology to ensure that it maintains a competitive
advantage against alternative sources:
● Fully Patented Technology
● Robust Beam technology that allows for the strongest possible structure. 10% of strength is used at
maximum drift according to analyses
● No movable joints
● Low maintenance cost
● Unique pontoons structure a combination of convex and concave shape, which makes it possible to build
very large pontoons without supporting elements
● The construction is movable and can demount and mount in different sea areas
● At low production season is able to produce Hydrogen which will be stored then transported to the land by
tank boats
● Possibility for capacity increase significantly by pumping seawater in pontoons at high wave season to
increase the weight of pontoons and power production as the result
● The most important is economically lucrativeness. It earning incomes even without subsidies
● Pontoons and surface of trusses are made by Teflon to avoid overgrown and corrosion at sea
MARKETING PLAN POSITIONING
The Wave Renewable Project will work with a marketing firm to implement an integrated strategy, utilizing
marketing and advertising to reach its target market and position the Company as the premier provider of
renewable wave energy machinery.
The goal of the Company’s marketing plan is to create a product and project for long-term success and brand
awareness. It will achieve this through the following measures:
➢ Establish the brand identity in the marketplace;
➢ Create an educational process to assist key customers in learning about The Wave Renewable Project’s
service offerings;
➢ Develop demand for the Company’s service offerings.
The Wave Renewable Project will employ an integrated market strategy to reach its target market, as seen in the
figure below.
Figure 8: Marketing Channels under Consideration
WEBSITE/DIRECT E-MAIL
MURTECH will have a developed website to highlight its various product and service offerings. Potential partners
and customers may input their email contact information in order to receive updates on the Company.
SEARCH ENGINE OPTIMIZATION (SEO/SEM)
Internet searches are by far the most common activity on the Internet, and therefore it is crucial to appear
among the top results when a user searches for keywords related to a business’ industry. MURTECH will
implement an aggressive search engine optimization strategy, whereby the Company will optimize content using
keywords related to its business. By optimizing the website’s content, MURTECH will organically aggregate
higher on Google, Bing, and Yahoo search engines.
Marketing
Direct Business
Development Team
Word of Mouth / Strategic Partners
SEO / SEM
Advertising
Print Advertising
Online Channels
PPC
Public Relations
Press Releases
Special Events
Media & Publication
Coverage
REFERRAL/WORD OF MOUTH MARKETING
The Company will rely heavily on referrals and word of mouth marketing to get the business name into the
industry. Thus, MURTECH will actively seek and encourage referrals from utility companies and industry
participants, providing incentives for those able to bring in new business.
ONLINE ADVERTISING
The Company will identify the best websites to purchase banner and display ad space. The ad will be visually
engaging and include a direct link to MURTECH thus providing the traffic and brand awareness needed for
increasing market presence. MURTECH will work with its marketing partners to increase online presence
through their websites, blogs, forums, and social media channels further driving traffic and brand recognition.
INDUSTRY SPECIFIC TRADE SHOWS & EVENTS
The Company will engage potential clients at industry related events, trade shows, and expositions.
Participation at these events will allow MURTECH to educate while also learning about clients’ needs, wants, and
expectations. Events can include local and regional associations geared at the franchise and small business
market.
PUBLIC RELATIONS
MURTECH will focus on securing the Company editorial coverage with various media outlets based on its unique
products and the launch of the project within each competing market. The team will reach out to local
publication editors, high-traffic websites, and blogs in order to create a “buzz” about MURTECH’s product,
features, and services.
SOCIAL MEDIA
Social media will play a significant role in establishing The Wave Renewable Project as a premier provider of
sustainable and renewable energy. A solid online presence represents an inexpensive promotional and
informational strategy. The Company will operate various social media platforms and have a presence on
Facebook, Twitter, Yelp, and Instagram. Real-time updates on these sites will also keep customers in the loop
regarding new content, services, or products.
OPERATIONS PLAN OPERATIONAL STRUCTURE
Ownership Nader Hassavari
Business Entity Limited Liability Company
Founded 2015
General Email Address [email protected]
Website URL TBD
ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
The patented technology and all IPR is owned by Nader Hassavari as a sole proprietorship. The company is
seeking investors/partners to both finance the growth initiatives of the company and provide further access to
the energy market and sales. It is the intention to start a new company and transfer all assets and ownership to
this as the project expands. The breakdown of the Company’s organizational structure can be found in the
figure below.
Figure 9: Organizational Structure
MURTECH AS
Nader Hassavari -
Sole Proprietor
Manager
Project Leader
Marketing Director
Technical Designer
Business
Development Team
MANAGEMENT TEAM
NADER HASSAVARI
Nader Hassavari started his career as a construction engineer and has started different types of businesses,
including restaurants and building development companies. He has also worked many years developing wave
power plant.
KEY HIRING NEEDS
To operate and grow the business, the Company will need to hire the following employees to ensure efficient
and effective operations as the Company begins to expand and ramp-up. The following figure shows the
detailed key hiring needs schedule based on level of priority and time to hiring.
Level of Priority Time to Hiring
0-2 Months 3-4 Months 5-6 Months
High Manager Marketing Director Business Development Team
Moderate Technical Designer Secretary
Low Project Leader
KEY OPERATIONAL MILESTONES TIMELINE
The Company has identified the immediate milestones and goals that the Company would like to accomplish
prior to the full launch of the business.
Time to Implementation
PHASE ONE PHASE TWO PHASE THREE PHASE FOUR
High Development of
Business Plan Raise Capital
Fabrication of Prototype
Full Market Launch
Moderate Circulate Business Plan to Investors
Design & Fabrication of Plans
Acquisition of Experts and Knowledgebase
Low Start Ongoing
Research & Development Process
Create Computer Programs for
Automation and Remote Control
Surveillance
APPENDIX
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW2
The Company may also compete directly within the Wind Power Industry as well. Companies in this industry
operate wind farms, which consist of wind-operated turbines that are used to generate electricity.
Figure 10: Industry Snapshot
INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE
The Wind Power industry generates revenue from owning and operating wind farms and selling the produced
energy to downstream customers. Over the past five years, favorable government assistance has made this
energy source cost competitive with other electricity-generation sources, lifting wind power’s share of the total
electricity generated in the United States from 1.9% in 2009 to nearly 4.3% in 2014. As a result, industry revenue
grew at an average annual rate of 18.1% to $8.0 billion in the five years to 2014. Industry operators have
particularly benefited from the federal production tax credit (PTC), a government-funded incentive that pays
producers per unit of energy sold.
The PTC, which expired at the end of 2013, offered renewable power generation operators a tax credit of 2.2
cents per kilowatt-hour of energy produced. The incentive was set to expire in 2012, which provided an
incentive for downstream operators to construct wind farms to take advantage of the tax credit. As a result, in
2013, over 13,000 megawatts of wind power were added and industry revenue increased over 20.0%. In 2014,
revenue growth slowed because the expiration of the PTC made it costlier to expand wind power facilities;
industry revenue increased just 4.8% in 2014, much slower than in previous years. Still, industry operators have
fared well over the five-year period, enjoying high and rising profit margins due to falling wind turbine costs.
Over the next five years, stronger economic activity and a focus on energy independence and reducing
greenhouse gas emissions will contribute to growth in wind power production. A push for the creation of
offshore wind farms is also expected to support the Wind Power industry. The first such farm in the United
States received federal clearance in 2012. However, no direct federal incentives have been finalized for the
industry, which will likely hinder wind farm expansion. As a result, despite positive downstream demand,
IBISWorld forecasts that revenue will only increase an average of 5.6% per year to $10.5 billion in the five years
to 2019.
2 IBISWorld
Total Revenue (2014)
$8.0bn Average Profit Margin
$1.0bn
Number of Firms
140 Annual Growth '15-'20
5.6%
Figure : Product and Service Segmentation
Figure 11: Industry Performance: Historical & Future Estimate
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SEGMENTATION
The overall breakdown of revenue in the Industry is through a variety of wind powered energy service offerings,
which can be seen in Figure 1 and detailed below. Again, MURTECH will focus solely on sustainable water based
energy services.
The Wind Power industry produces a single product, electricity, from a single energy source, wind. Industry
companies build out wind farms with varying electric capacities depending on the size of the land available and
the strength of wind flows in the area. About 85.0% of wind electricity is generated by independent power
producers, while the remaining 15.0% is produced by electric utility companies.
Utility scale wind
Utility scale wind, estimated to account for 69.7%
of industry revenue, is defined as wind farms that
have greater than one megawatt (MW) of energy
capacity. One MW of energy equates to enough
power to provide electricity to 200 US households.
Large independent power producers and utility
companies typically build these wind farms, and
they require significant investment to undertake.
Companies involved in this service generally do
not have distribution operations. The volume of
electricity created by this segment has grown
quickly over the past five years as utilities build
out large farms to meet renewable portfolio
standards set out by various states. These
mandates require utilities to have a certain
percentage of their energy portfolio be generated
from renewable by a certain date.
Distributed generation
Distributed generation, estimated to account for 30.3% of industry revenue, is defined as wind farms that have a
generating capacity of less than one MW. Landowners build these farms in an effort to create and use their own
energy or to sell small amounts of energy to the grid. Selling energy to the grid is dependent on state laws
regarding the sale of unused energy. This share has fallen over the past five years as utilities have built out large
wind farms more quickly than other small wind developers.
KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS
Regulation for the Wind Power industry
Generally, regulation positively affects industry performance, with the Wind Power industry historically
receiving a great deal of assistance, particularly following the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. One of
the largest incentives for the industry had been the production tax credit (PTC), which provided 2.3 cents per
kilowatt-hour of energy produced; however, the tax credit expired at the end of 2013, and no new incentives are
planned to replace the PTC in 2015, presenting a threat to the industry.
Electric power consumption
Electric power consumption measures electricity consumption in the United States. Rising levels of electricity
consumption leads to greater demand for renewable energy. As a result, heightened consumption bolsters
revenue growth for industry operators. In 2015, electric power consumption is anticipated to remain high,
presenting an opportunity to the industry.
Price of electric power
The price of electric power indicates electricity demand from customers because when demand for electricity
rises, the price of electricity typically grows in tandem. Higher prices increase industry revenue since customers
pay more for the energy that companies produce. In addition, higher prices for traditional power sources make
wind power more competitive and attractive to consumers. The price of electric power is anticipated to increase
in 2015.
World price of iron ore
Falling prices of iron ore, and thus steel, benefit wind power producers. Wind power producers purchase wind
turbines from turbine manufacturers, which use steel as an input in production. Lower steel prices result in
decreased turbine prices, which allow producers to generate energy at a lower cost. To the good fortune of
industry operators, the world price of iron ore is expected to decrease over 2015.
MARKET ANALYSIS
MARKET OVERVIEW
Demand for wind power is based on a variety of factors, including government legislation and assistance,
interest in green technology and the price of wind power. All of these determinants tend to interact with one
another. For example, favorable government legislation might lower the price of wind power by providing a tax
break to wind power generation companies. Likewise, a broader interest in alternative energy technology may
lead the government to provide additional tax incentives.
Favorable renewable energy government legislation can increase the demand for wind power. For example, in
the past it has been mandated at the state level that the states’ utilities provide power from renewable sources
as a certain percentage of their total energy portfolio, which is referred to as a state’s renewable portfolio
standards (RPS). In addition, tax breaks for industry operators would provide incentive to produce additional
wind power. In recent years, there was a producer tax credit (PTC) that credits 2.3 cents per kilowatt-hour
created by industry operators. This credit expired at the end of 2012, but was extended until December 31,
2013. Since then, the expiration of the tax credit has increased the cost of wind farm construction, putting some
pressure on industry operators.
Interest in green technology as a whole can increase demand for wind power. The movement toward a
sustainable economy has both consumers and businesses demanding different types of technologies that will
help them reach their own green goals. As the population continues to grow, and energy demand grows with it,
individuals and companies are looking to reduce their carbon footprint. This shift, in turn, can translate into
increased demand for wind power. Several states have programs where consumers can buy green energy from a
utility at a premium price. The extent to which electricity customers exercise this option is very limited. Indeed,
according to the Energy Information Administration, less than 7.0% of total electricity generated comes from
renewable sources (excluding hydroelectric power). This is set to grow over the next five years.
The price of wind power affects demand for the product. Typically, lower prices of wind-generated electricity
leads to a higher demand. However, if the price of wind power is above prices of traditional forms of energy,
lower prices might not translate into immediate demand increases. Government legislation that lowers the cost,
like the PTC, can help to alleviate this burden. Furthermore, technological progress in the industry has resulted
in a decrease in the price of wind turbines, which leads to cheaper energy generation costs. Further
technological advances will increase the appeal of wind.
MARKET SEGMENTATION
Companies in the industry provide downstream customers with access to electricity generated through wind
power. Often times this service is implemented through a power purchase agreement (PPA). A PPA generally
defines the terms for the sale of electricity between the two parties, including when the project will begin
operation, schedule for delivery, penalties for under delivery, payment terms and termination. It is the principal
agreement that defines the revenue and credit quality of an agreement, making it a key instrument to project
financing.
Utilities
Figure : Wind Power Industry Market Breakdown Some of the largest wind projects sell their
generated power to utilities, estimated to account
for 56.0% of industry revenue. A majority of states
have renewable portfolio standards (RPS), which
require utilities within that state to sell renewable
energy as a part of their electricity offering. As a
result, independent wind farms in this industry
increasingly rely on utilities and other power
producers as key customers. Utilities tend to buy
large amounts of energy, given high demand from
consumers and businesses with regard to energy in
general and the renewable energy mandates. This
market segment has been increasing over the past
five years as utilities seek to meet the RPS goals. In addition, it is often more cost effective to sell wind power to
utilities because of the large size of most projects. The larger the size, the lower the marginal cost of energy
generated by the wind farm. In sum, the cost of energy for the firm selling wind power to the utilities lessens.
Commercial sector
Many commercial entities have been interested in supplying their facilities with wind energy. As a result, the
commercial market is estimated to account for 24.0% of industry revenue. For example, Walmart has made it a
priority to power their stores with wind energy. Companies that sell energy to commercial users often sign a PPA
to ensure continued business. PPAs are usually between five and 20 years long, locking commercial buyers into a
long-term agreement and providing service providers protection against lower cost alternatives. This segment
has increased over the past five years as more businesses push to become greener in their efforts to market to
consumers that are increasingly interested in sustainability.
Industrial users
Both industrial and, to a lesser extent, commercial users of electricity enjoy lower prices than households. This
segment is estimated to make up 20.0% of industry-wide revenue. In part, this reflects large-scale purchase of
power by industrial users. The industrial market typically uses other types of generation in addition to wind to
power their operations. High wind generation costs compared to other types of electricity generating
technologies, particularly natural gas, have made it hard for industrial users to continue using wind and, in turn,
have deterred many users over the past five years.