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Munich Personal RePEc Archive Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approach Perry, Bryan and Phillips, Kerk L. and Spencer, David E. Brigham Young University 29 February 2012 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/36995/ MPRA Paper No. 36995, posted 28 Feb 2012 19:21 UTC

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Page 1: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Real wages and monetary policy: A

DSGE approach

Perry, Bryan and Phillips, Kerk L. and Spencer, David E.

Brigham Young University

29 February 2012

Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/36995/

MPRA Paper No. 36995, posted 28 Feb 2012 19:21 UTC

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RealWagesandMonetaryPolicy:[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] February2012JELCodes:E32,E52,E10Keywords:realwages,monetarypolicy,DSGEmodels

AbstractEconomistshavelonginvestigatedthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesinordertodrawinferencesregardingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.Recentstudieshaveadoptedtechniquesintendedtoidentifymonetaryshocksandexaminedtheresponseofrealwagesandoutputoremploymenttosuchshocks.Afindingthatrealwagesareprocyclicalinresponsetoapositivemonetarypolicyshock,forexample,istakenasevidencethatpricesarestickierthanwages.Inthispaper,weshowthatfactorsotherthanwageandpricestickinessaffecttheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.Accordingly,examiningtheresponseofrealwagesisnotenoughtosortouttherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.WeusetwoprominentDSGEmodelstohelpusaddressthisissue.Thesemodelsincorporatebothstickywagesandpricesbutindifferentways.Thefirstmodel(Huang,Liu,andPhaneuf,AmericanEconomicReview,2004)isrelativelysimpleandisnotintendedforpolicyanalysis.Itsrelativesimplicityallowsustoapproachtheissuesbothanalyticallyandthroughsimulations.Thesecondmodel(SmetsandWouters,AmericanEconomicReview,2007)isarelativelycomplexmodeloftheU.S.economywithmanyfrictionsandintendedtobeusefulforpolicyanalysis.Becauseofitscomplexity,wemustrelyprincipallyonsimulationexercises.Usingthesemodelsweofferrobustevidencethattherealwageresponsetomonetarypolicyisaffectedinimportantwaysbypropertiesoftheeconomyotherthanstickinessofwagesandprices,suchastheimportanceofintermediategoodsintheproductionprocessandthesizeofkeyelasticities.Consequently,wecannotappropriatelyinfertherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesfromexaminingonlytheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.

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RealWagesandMonetaryPolicy:ADSGEApproach SincethepublicationofKeynes’sGeneralTheory,economistshavebeeninterestedinthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwages.Aprincipalmotivationforthisinteresthasbeentoprovideevidencethatallowsustodiscriminateamongalternativeexplanationsofcyclicalfluctuations,especiallythosethatrelyoneitherstickypricesorstickywages.TheearlyKeynesiansticky‐wageexplanationofthebusinesscyclefluctuationspredictedcountercyclicalrealwages.Inthatmodel,nominalwagesarefixedandemploymentisdeterminedbyastable,negatively‐slopedlabordemandcurve.Consequently,anaggregatedemand(nominal)shockwillcauserealwagesandemployment(output)tomoveinoppositedirections.JohnDunlop’s(1938)earlyevidenceofprocyclicalrealwageswaswidelyseenasanimportantchallengetothisview.Formanyyearsthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwageswasexaminedinnumerousstudiesby,inonewayoranother,exploringthecorrelationbetweenrealwagesandeitheroutputoremployment.Conclusionsvariedwidelydependingonthevariableschosen,thesampleperiod,orotherfactors.Inasurveypaper,StanleyFischer(1988)concludedthat“theweightoftheevidencebynowisthattherealwageisslightlyprocyclical.”Thiswastakenbymanytosupporttheconclusionthatpriceshavebeenstickierthanwages.1Itwaseventuallypointedoutthatthecorrelationbetweenrealwagesandoutput(employment)cannotbeinterpretedassimplyreflectingtheshort‐runrealeffectsofnominalshocksiftheeconomyis,infact,affectedbyothershocksaswellsinceempiricalcorrelationsreflecttheeffectsofallshocks.Theissuehasthereforebecome,howdorealwagesrespondtonominal(aggregatedemand)shockssettingallothershockstozero?Thisquestioncannotbeansweredbylookingatsimplecorrelationsbetweentherealwagerateandoutputoremployment. 1Forexample,suchconclusionsweredrawnbyBennettMcCallum(1986),N.GregoryMankiw(1987),andLaurenceBall,Mankiw,andDavidRomer(1988).

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Accordingly,morerecentstudies2haveattemptedtoempiricallyidentifymonetaryshocksandtheninvestigatetheresponseofrealwagesandoutputoremploymenttosuchshocks.Afindingthatrealwagesareprocyclicalinresponsetoapositive(expansionary)monetarypolicyshock,forexample,istakenasevidencethatpricesarestickierthanwages.Forsuchinferencestobejustified,thecyclicalresponseofrealwagesmustprincipallyreflecttherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,nototherfactors.Thepurposeofthispaperistoarguethattherearemanycharacteristicsoftheeconomybeyondwageandpricestickinessthataffectthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Consequently,evenevidenceregardingthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesinresponsetoamonetaryshockwillnotallowustodrawunambiguousconclusions.Ourspecificobjectiveistoinvestigatethebroadarrayoffactorsthataffectthecyclicalityofrealwagesincludingnotonlytherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesbutotherfactorsaswell.Indeed,weseethattherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesrepresentsonlyapartofthepicture.Toaddressthisissue,wetakeanapproachthatisdifferentfromearlierstudies.Ratherthantakingtheestimatesfromempiricalmodelstoinfersomethingaboutrelativestickiness,weconsiderdynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium(DSGE)modelsinwhichweparameterizetherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesandthenobservetheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.Usingthisapproachwecanmorecarefullyexploreotherfactorsbeyondwageandpricestickinessthataffectthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetaryshocks.WeusetwoprominentDSGEmodelstohelpusaddressthisquestion.Thesemodelsincorporatebothstickywagesandpricesbutindifferentways.Thefirstmodelisrelativelysimpleandisnotintendedforpolicyanalysis.KevinHuang,ZhengLiu,andLouisPhaneuf(2004),HLP,developamodeltoinvestigatetheimpactofthechangingimportanceoftheintermediategoodssectoronthecyclicalityofrealwages.Accordingly,theirmodelischaracterizedbyaproduction 2See,forexample,SumnerandSilver(1989),GamberandJoutz(1993),Spencer(1998),andFleischman(1999).

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functionthatrequiresintermediategoodsasinputsaswellascapitalandlabor.Householdsprovidedifferentiatedlaborskillstofirmswhichproducedifferentiatedgoods.WageandpricestickinessismodeledusingthestaggeredpriceandstaggeredwagecontractsmodelofJohnTaylor(1980,1999)andFischer(1977).Giventhenarrowfocusoftheirpaper,HLPincludeamonetarypolicyshockastheonlyshockinthemodel.Calibratingthemodel,theyshowthat,giventherelativestickinessofpricesandwages,therealwageswitchesfrombeingcountercyclicaltoprocyclicalastheshareofintermediategoodsintheproductionprocessincreases.Thesecondmodel,duetoFrankSmetsandRafaelWouters(2007),SW,isarelativelycomplexmodeloftheU.S.economywithmanyfrictionsandisintendedforpolicyanalysis.Itincludessevenshocks,oneofwhichisamonetarypolicy(interestrate)shock.Italsoincorporatesdifferentiatedlaborandgoods,habitpersistenceinconsumption,investmentadjustmentcosts,andstickypricesandwageswithpartialbackwardindexationtopastinflation.PriceandwagestickinessismodeledusingtheCalvo(1983)setup.TheSWmodel’sprimaryparametersareestimatedusingaBayesianlikelihoodapproach.ThenexttwosectionsofthepaperusetheHLPandSWmodels,respectively,toinvestigatehowkeyfactorsinthosemodelsaffectthecyclicalityoftheresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Ineachcase,weexaminehowtheresponseisaffectedaswevarythesekeyfactorsoveranarrayofvaluesforwageandpricestickiness.Thethirdsectionattemptsapreliminarysynthesisofwhatwehavelearnedfromtheseexercisesandthefinalsectionprovidesaconclusion.I. TheHuang,Liu,andPhaneufModelThecentralissueoftheHuang,Liu,andPhaneuf(2004),HLP,paperistoinvestigatehowtheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockisaffectedbychangesintheinput‐outputstructureoftheeconomyinthefaceofwageandpricestickiness.Theirfocusonrealwagesandmonetarypolicymakestheirmodelparticularlywellsuitedtoourpurposes.Theyconstructa

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dynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium,DSGE,modelthatisrelativelysimpleand,thus,allowsustoapproachtheissuesanalyticallyaswellasthroughsimulations.Theirmodelhasdifferentiatedintermediategoodsanddifferentiatedlabor.Eachintermediategoodsproducersuppliesauniquegoodandenjoyssomedegreeofmonopolypower.Thesameistrueofhouseholdswhichsupplyuniqueformsoflabor.Finalgoodsproducerscombineintermediategoodsintoafinalgoodwhichcanbeusedforconsumption,investment,orasaninputintheproductionofintermediategoods.Similarly,thevariousuniqueformsoflaborareaggregatedintoalaborcompositewhichisalsousedintheproductionofintermediategoods.Anyparticularintermediategoodisproducedusingthreeinputs:capital,laborandanaggregationofallintermediategoods.Theimportanceoffinalgoodsissummarizedbythekeyparameterφ,whichistheCobb‐Douglasshareofintermediategoods(asopposedtocapitalandlabor)inthegoodsproductionfunction.SuppliersofintermediategoodsandlaborsetpricesusingastaggeredTaylor‐stylepricesettingarrangement.Thatis,contractsaresetforNperiodsandone‐Nthofthefirms(orhouseholds)areallowedtosetpriceseachperiod.Intermediategoodsproducersandlaborsupplierssolvetwotypesofproblems.First,giventheirfixedpriceorwagesetpreviously,theychoosetheoptimalamounttosupplyeachperiod.Second,everyNperiodstheychoosewhatthefixedpriceorwagewillbeforthenextNperiods.Householdsareallowedtoinsuretheirconsumptioneachperiodviaasetofcompletefinancialmarkets.Hence,everyhouseholdconsumesthesameamount,butitwillsupplydifferingamountsoflaborbasedontheirpreviouslychosenfixedwage.Thereisamonetaryauthoritythatcreatesnewmoneyeachperiodandtransfersitlump‐sumtothehouseholds.ThegrowthrateofthemoneysupplyisassumedtofollowanAR(1)process.HLPfocusontheparameter ,theimportanceofintermediategoodsintheproductionfunction(withavalueofzeroreflectingazeroshareofintermediategoodsin

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production).Theylookatthisinthecontextofthreespecificmodels:thefirstwithstaggeredprice‐settingandflexiblewages,thesecondwithstaggeredwage‐settingandflexibleprices,andthethirdwithbothstaggeredprice‐andwage‐setting.Theyshowthat,givenacalibratedparameterizationofthemodel,whenpricesarestickyandwagesflexible,realwagesrespondprocyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshockregardlessofthevalueofφ.Inthereversesituationwithstickywagesandflexibleprices,theirmodelimpliesthatrealwagesrespondcountercyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshockregardlessofthevalueofφ.3Inthemodelwithbothpriceandwagestickiness,however,theresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockdependscriticallyonφ.Whenφissmallsointermediategoodsarenotsoimportantintheproductionprocess,realwagestendtobecountercyclicalinresponsetomonetarypolicyshocksand,whenφislarge,realwagesareprocyclical.Since,byassumption,wagesandpricesareequallystickyinthethirdmodel,weseethatthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesdoesnothaveunambiguousimplicationsfortherelativestickinessofwagesandprices.Thus,HLPshowthatotherfactors,inparticulartheimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction,willalsoaffectthecyclicalityofrealwages.Thisisanimportantfinding.WeusetheHLPmodeltoconsiderhowthecyclicalityoftheresponseofrealwagestoamonetaryshockisaffectedbyotherpropertiesofthemodel.Forexample,howisthecyclicalityoftherealwageaffectedbychangingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesforvariousvaluesofφ?Severalotherparametersplaypotentiallyimportantrolesinthemodel: ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborskills, ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedgoods, ,theelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital,,theinverseoftheelasticityofintertemporalsubstitutionoflaborhours,and ,thecapitaladjustmentcostparameter.Accordingly,wealsoexaminehowthecyclicalresponseofrealwageschangesastheseparametersarevaried. 3Theseresultsarereminiscentoftheunderlyingmotivationbehindtheempiricaldebateregardingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesdiscussedintheopeningsectionofthispaper.

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A. VaryingPriceandWageStickinessAsindicatedabove,theHLPmodelincorporatespriceand/orwagestickinessusingthestaggeredprice‐andwage‐settingmodelsofTaylor(1980,1999)andFischer(1977).Inthissetup,eachfirm(worker)facesaprice(wage)contractoflengthNp(Nw).Duringeachperiod,fraction1/Np(1/Nw)ofthefirms(workers)chooseanewprice(wage)optimallythatwilllastforNp(Nw)periods.Sincetheyfocusontheroleofchangesinφ,intheirreportedresults,HLPchoosetosetNp=Nw=4.Whathappenstothecyclicalbehaviorofrealwageswhen,forvariousvaluesofφ,weconsideranarrayofothervaluesforNpandNw?Selectedimpulseresponsefunction(IRF)resultsarereportedinTable1.RetainingtheHLPpostwarcalibratedparametervaluesforσ,θ,andα,4wevarytheintegervaluesofNpandNwbetween1and8foreachofHLP’sinterwarandpostwarcalibratedvaluesofφ,0.4and0.7.TheresultsreportedinTable1arethefirstperiod(onequarter)responsesoftherealwageratetoaonepercentpositiveshocktothemoneygrowthratewitheachmatrixcorrespondingtoadifferentvalueofφ.5Forexample,when andNp=Nw=4,aonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthratecausesa0.30percentincreaseintherealwagerateafteronequarter.6[InsertTable1abouthere.] Theboldlineineachmatrixindicatesthedividinglinebetweencountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwages.Therearethreethingstonotice.First,ifpricesaresticky(Np>1)butwages 4TheHLPparametervaluesareσ=3,θ=11,andα=0.4.5ToobtaintheresultsreportedinTable1,wesimulatethemodelforeachofthe630specifiedparametricconfigurations.Ineachcase,wecomputetheimpulseresponsefunction(IRF)fortherealwagewithrespecttoaonepercentmoneygrowthshockandreportthefirst(onequarterhorizon)value.SinceitwouldbeimpracticaltoreportthefullIRFforeachcase,wetakethemagnitudeandespeciallythesignofthisfirstIRFcoefficienttobeanindicatorofthecyclicalresponseoftherealwagetoamonetarypolicyshock.Sinceapositiveshocktomoneygrowthwillresultinanincreaseinemployment,anegativeeffectontherealwageindicatesacountercyclicalresponseofrealwages.6ThismatchestheresultobtainedbyHLPandreportedintheirFigure3.B.:seetheirIRFforφ=0.7atthefirstquarterhorizon.

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areflexible(Nw=1),realwagesarestronglyprocyclicalandchangingthevalueofφmakeslittledifference.Similarly,ifwagesaresticky(Nw>1)butpricesareflexible(Np=1),realwagesarestronglycountercyclicalandchangingthevalueofφmakesnodifferencewhatsoever.This,ofcourse,simplyconfirmsandextendstheoriginalHLPresults.7Second,foranygivenvaluesofφandNp,realwagesaremorecountercyclicalforlargervaluesofNw.Theseresultsareintuitivegiventhat,otherthingsequal,stickiernominalwagesimplymoreprocyclicalrealwages.Third,asφincreases,therangeofvaluesofNpandNwforwhichrealwagesarecountercyclicaldecreases.ThisgeneralizestheprincipalresultreportedbyHLPforNp=Nw=4:8ForanycombinationofNpandNw,realwagesbecomemoreprocyclicalastheimportanceofintermediategoodsinproductionincreases.HLPexplainthatthishappensbecauseanincreaseinφincreasesthesluggishnessofmovementsinmarginalcost.This,inturn,increasesthesluggishnessofnominalpricesandallowstheprocyclicalityofnominalwagestodominatetherealwage.B. VaryingOtherParametersWealsoinvestigatewhathappenstothecyclicalityofrealwagesaswevarytheelasticityparameters,σ,θ,α,andξaswellasthecapitaladjustmentcostparameterψ.Table2reportstheresultsforvariationsofσ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborskills.Theseparategridsassumethevaluesofσtobe1.5,3.0,11.0.Sincethewagemarkupis ,thesevaluesimplywagemarkupcoefficientsof3.0,1.5,and1.1respectively.Byreviewingthegridsinsequence,wecanseewhathappensasσincreases.First,ifwagesaresticky(Nw>1),as increases,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalforanygivenpairofpriceandwagestickinessparameters.Second,ifwagesareflexible(Nw=1),changesin havenoinfluenceonthecyclicalityoftherealwagewhatsoever.

7SeetherealwageIRFsreportedintheirFigures1and2.8 Ofcourse,ourresultsconfirmtheirsforthespecificcaseexaminedbyHLP.ForNp=Nw=4,when,therealwageisslightlycountercyclical.ForNp=Nw=4,when ,therealwagebecomesprocyclical.SeethecorrespondingIRFsattheone‐quarterhorizonintheirFigure3.B.

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Thefirstphenomenonoccursbecauseindividuals,whenabletore‐contracttheirwage,faceatradeoffbetweenahighernominalwageandanincreaseinhoursemployed.Thistradeoffishighlightedbyvaryingtheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlabor.Iftheelasticityishigh(markupislow),thelaboraggregatorwillpreferanindividualwithawagelowerthanthefixedwagesofothers.Alternatively,iftheelasticityislow(markupishigh),labordemandwillbeslowtodecreaseeveniftheindividualincreasesherwage.Therefore,nominalwagesarelessprocyclical(andevencountercyclical)when ishighandmoreprocyclicalwhen islow.Sincepricesaregenerallyprocyclical,asσrises,therealwagebecomesincreasinglycountercyclical.Thesecondphenomenon,thatchangingtheelasticityhasnoeffectwhenwagesareflexible,isexplainedbynotingthatifeverywageisre‐contractedeachperiod,thereisnoabilitytoundercutotherlaborers.Thus,theincentivetoincreasethenominalwageisunchallenged.Thisincentiveisnotaffectedbytheelasticityofsubstitutionwithoutthecounteringincentive,sochanging hasnoinfluenceonthecyclicalityoftherealwage.[InsertTable2abouthere.] TheHLPmodelimpliesthatvaryingθ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedgoods,makesnodifferenceintheresponseofrealwagestoamonetaryshock.Ingeneral,becauseofstaggeredwagesetting,therealwageisaweightedaverageofmarkupsoverpast,present,andexpectedfuturevaluesofthemarginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure,MRS.SincetheMRSisnotafunctionofθ,varyingthevalueofθwillhavenoeffectonthecyclicalityoftherealwage.WehaveconfirmedthisbycomputingthefirstIRFcoefficientsforvariousvaluesofθandobtainresultsidenticaltothosereportedinTable1.9 9 Weincludetherelevanttablesforθ=1.5,3.0,and11.0inanAppendixavailablefromtheauthors.

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Wehaveconductedsimilarexerciseswiththefollowingvaluesofα,theelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital:0.2,0.4,and0.6.WehaveheldσandθconstantattheirHLPcalibratedvalues.Asαincreases,theabsolutevalueofthefirstIRFcoefficientrises,butthelocusofacyclicalityovertherangeofpriceandwagecontractlength(theboldline)doesnotchange.Tosavespace,wedonotreporttheresultshere.10Theintuitionhereiseasiertofollowifweagainthinkofthelimitingcasewhereallpricesandwagesareflexible.InthiscasetheshareoflaborinGDPis .HencethepercentchangeintherealwageisthepercentchangeinGDPminusthepercentchangeinthelaborinput.TheaggregateproductionfunctionfortheHLPmodelwithperfectflexibilityisamodifiedCobb‐Douglas.Combiningthesegivesthefollowingbreakdownofthepercentagechangeintherealwage. whereacarat( )indicatespercentchange.Thatis,thepercentchangeintherealwageisαtimesthepercentchangeinthecapital‐laborratio.Thelattercouldbeeitherpositiveornegative,butislargelyunaffectedbyα.Henceasαrisestheresponsivenessoftherealwagewillbecomelargerinabsolutevalue,butwillnotchangesign. Theparameter measurestheelasticityofintertemporallaborsubstitution.Weexaminefourvaluesbetween1.0and10.0.TheresultsreportedinTable3indicatethatchanging makesverylittledifferencewhenwagesareverystickyrelativetoprices(thelowerleftcornerareaofeachgrid),butthattherealwagebecomesmuchmoreprocyclicalwhenwagesareclosetoflexibleandpricesareverysticky(correspondingtotheupperrightcornerareaofeachgrid)as increases.Asapersonbecomesmorewillingtosubstitutelabortomorrowforleisuretoday,theybecomemorelikelytoincreasetheirwageiftheincentivetoundercutotherlaborislow(wagecontractsareshort),especiallyifinflationislowintheshortrun(pricecontractsarelong). 10 All results not reported here are in an Appendix available from the authors.

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[InsertTable3abouthere.]AsnotedbyHLP(seetheirfootnote13),thebehaviorofrealwagesisnotsensitivetothecapitaladjustmentcostparameter,ψ.Thisisnotafeatureoftheunderlyingmodelbut,rather,isaconsequenceoflog‐linearization.Afterlinearization,thequadraticadjustmentcostsbecomelinear.Tosummarize,wehavediscoveredthat,intheHLPmodel,realwagesbecomemoreprocyclicalinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock1)themoreimportantintermediategoodsareintheproductionprocess(thelargerφ),2)thestickierpricesarerelativetowages(thelargerNpisrelativetoNw),and3)thesmallertheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweenlaborskills(thesmallerσ).Ontheotherhand,variationineithertheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweengoods(θ)orintheelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital(α)haslittleornoeffecton(atleastthedirectionof)thecyclicalresponseofrealwages.II. TheSmetsandWouters(SW)ModelTheSmetsandWouters(2007),SW,modelisapopularmodelforanalyzingmonetarypolicyintheU.S.However,beingconsiderablymorecomplexthantheHLPmodel,itismuchmoredifficulttoanalyticallyevaluatethefactorsthatinfluencethecyclicalbehaviorofrealwages.Werelyprincipallyonsimulationexperimentstodrawourconclusions.TheSWDSGEmodelemploysseveralrealandnominalrigiditiesinadifferentiatedgoodsmarketandadifferentiatedlabormarket.Householdsmaximizeutilitybychoosinginfinite‐horizonconsumptionandlaborpathsassuminghabitformationinconsumption.Householdsalsoaccumulatecapitalsubjecttocapitaladjustmentcostsandrentavariableamountofthatcapitaltofirms.Firmsproduceuniquegoodsbychoosingcapitalandlaborinputs.RatherthanassumingstaggeredpricesandwagesasHLP,SWmodelstickinessforpricesandwagesusingaCalvo(1983)mechanismwhereonlyarandomlyselectedfractionoffirmsandhouseholdsarepermittedtorenegotiatecontractseachperiod.Theparametersgoverningthese

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fractionsaredenoted and where istheproportionoffirmsallowedtore‐optimizepriceseachperiodandwhere isthecorrespondingvalueforhouseholdsandtheirwagecontracts.TheSWmodelassumesthatthosefirmsandhouseholdsnotselectedtoupdatetheircontractshavetheirpricesandwagespartiallyindexedtopastinflation.Werepricesandwagesfullyflexible(i.e. ),theywouldbeequaltoaconstantmarkupoverthemarginalproductoflaborandmarginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure,respectively.AnalogoustotheHLPparameters and ,theSWparameters and capturethesemarkupcoefficientswith and beingthepriceandwagemarkups,respectively.ThemodelisclosedbyassumingthemonetaryauthoritysetstheinterestrateaccordingtoageneralizedTaylorrule.Sevencomponentsofthemodelareinfluencedbystochasticprocesses:totalfactorproductivity,investment‐specifictechnology,theriskpremium,exogenous(government)spending,thepricemark‐up,thewagemark‐up,andmonetarypolicy.SWuseaBayesianlikelihoodapproachtoestimatetheirmodelfortheU.S.over1966:1–2004:4.BecausetheCalvoprice‐andwage‐stickinessparametersaresoimportantforthecyclicalbehavioroftherealwage,wehaveinvestigatedthesensitivityoftheseestimatestoalternativepriors.Thoughwefindthattheposteriormeansforξpvarybetween0.47and0.76andtheposteriormeansforξwvarybetween0.66and0.88,wealwaysfindstrongsupportforsignificantpriceandwagestickiness.Onceagain,ourprincipalinterestisindiscoveringhowchangingkeyparametersofthemodelaffectsthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshockswhere,incontrasttotheHLPmodel,monetarypolicyfollowsageneralizedTaylorrulesomonetarypolicyshocksareinterestrateshocksratherthanmoneysupplyshocks.Givenitscomplexity,theSWmodelhas

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manyparametersandotherpropertiesthatcouldpotentiallybeexamined.Inordertomaintainamanageableproject,wemustbeselective.A. VaryingPriceandWageStickinessAsintheHLPmodel,webeginbyinvestigatingtheimpactofchangesintherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.WhereastheHLPmodelassumedstaggeredpricesandwageswithafixeddeterministiccontractlength,priceandwagestickinessintheSWmodeliscapturedbyassumingseparatestochasticCalvomechanismsforpricesandwages.WevarytheCalvopriceandwageparameters,ξpandξw,and,asabove,examinetheconsequencesfortheeffectofaonestandarddeviationmonetarypolicyshockontherealwageafteronequarterasgivenbythevalueofthecorrespondingIRFatahorizonofonequarter.Weallowξpandξwtoeachvarybetween0.0and1.0inincrementsof0.1.11Inthisexercise,foreachpairofselectedvalues,weretainallotherparametersattheiroriginalestimatedvalues.TheresultsarereportedinTable4.Eachcellentryreportsthefirstquarterresponseoftherealwagetoaone‐standarddeviationexpansionaryshocktomonetarypolicy;i.e.,aone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrate.[InsertTable4abouthere.] Onceagain,theboldlineinthegridindicatesthedividinglinebetweencountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwages.TheresultsarebroadlysimilartothosereportedfortheHLPmodel.Weconfirmthatifpricesaresticky(ξp>0.0)butwagesareflexible(ξw=0.0),realwagesarestronglyprocyclical.Similarly,ifwagesaresticky(ξw>0.0)butpricesareflexible(ξp=0.0),realwagesare

11Since,undertheusualCalvoassumptions,firmsresettheirprices(householdsresettheirwages)withprobability1‐ξp(1‐ξw),whenξp=0.0(ξw=0.0)allprices(wages)areflexible.Thoughthemodelcannotbesolvednumericallyinthecasethatbothpricesandwagesareperfectlyflexible(ξp=ξw=0.0),theorysuggeststherealwagewouldbeacyclicalinresponsetoamonetaryshock.Themodelissimilarlynumericallyintractablewhenbothpricesandwagesareperfectlyfixed(ξp=ξw=1.0).

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stronglycountercyclical.Furthermore,weseethatthestickierarewages(thelargerisξw),themorelikelyrealwagesaretobecountercyclicalevenwithsomedegreeofpricestickiness.InordertodrawcomparisonsbetweentheresultsofTable4andtherelatedresultsfromtheHLPmodelreportedinTable1,itisfirstnecessarytohaveamappingbetweenthestickinessparametersofthestaggeredcontractandCalvomodels.Wenotethat isofteninterpretedastheaverageduration(length)ofpricecontracts.12DixonandKara(2005)show,however,thatthisratioiscorrectlyinterpretedastheaverageageofpricecontracts.ThisconfusionhasledsometoanincorrectmappingbetweenξpandNp.AsshownbyDixonandKara,thecorrectmappingis ,or,equivalently, .So,forNp=4,thecontractlengthassumedbyHLPintheirmodel,thecorrespondingvaluefortheCalvoparameter,ξp,is0.6.Asimilarmappingholdsforwagestickinessparameters.Toconsiderasinglecomparison,letNp=Nw=4and,thus,ξp=ξw=0.6.WenotethatfortheHLPmodel,whenφ=0.7,13it’scalibratedvalueforthepostwarU.S.economy,realwagesareprocyclical.TheSWmodelalsoproducesprocyclicalrealwages.AbroadercomparisonsuggeststhatrealwagestendtorespondmoreprocyclicallyintheSWmodelthantheHLPmodelforcomparabledegreesofpriceandwagestickiness.14

B. VaryingtheSteadyStateMarkupParameters

12Forexample,Christiano,Eichenbaum,andEvans(2005)andSmetsandWouters(2007)refertothisratioasgivingtheaveragedurationofpricecontracts.Christiano,Eichenbaum,andEvansfurthersuggestamappingconsistentwith .13AsHLPemphasizeintheirmodel,thecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocksdependscriticallyonthevalueofthisparameterwhichsummarizestherelativeimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction.Thisparameter,however,doesnothaveacounterpartintheSWmodel.Thus,tocomparetheresultsofthetwomodels,wemustchooseavalueofφfortheHLPmodelthat“fitsthedata”sincetheSWmodelisestimatedusingU.S.data.HLPsuggestthatavalueof0.7isappropriateforthepost‐warU.S.economy.14Forexample,whenNp=2(ξp=0.33)andNw=3(ξp=0.5),theHLPmodelproducescountercyclicalrealwagesinresponsetoamonetaryshockwhiletheSWmodelproducesprocyclicalrealwages.

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Wealsoinvestigatetheeffectsofvaryingthesteadystatemarkupparametersinboththelaborandgoodsmarkets, and respectively.TheseexactlycorrespondtothemarkupsrelatedtoσandθintheHLPmodel, and respectively.SWcalibrate tobe1.5andestimate tobe1.6.Asinourexperimentfor and inHLP,welet and eachtakeonvaluesof1.5,3.0,and11.0correspondingtosteadystatemarkupsof3.0,1.5,and1.1,respectively.TheresultsarereportedinTables5and6.FromTable5,weseethatforanygivenvalueof ,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalas increases,whichisanalogoustotheresultsfortheHLPmodel(recallTable2).Ontheotherhand,forafixedvalueof ,asweseeinTable6,realwagesbecomeslightlymorecountercyclicalasthepricemarkupincreases.RecallthatinHLP,varyingtheθ,thecorrespondingparameter,hadnoinfluenceontherealwagecyclicality.AstheSWmodelhasalesstransparentmonetarytransmissionmechanism,wehypothesizethat,unlikeintheHLPmodel,thepricemarkupdoesindirectlyinfluencetheMRS(marginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure)insuchawayastoincentivizeearlyearningsoverundercuttingotherlaborers’wages.[InsertTables5‐6abouthere.]

C. VaryingtheElasticityofIntertemporalLaborSubstitutionNowweinvestigatetheeffectofchangingthelaborsupplyelasticityintheSWmodel.Weexaminethecyclicalresponseofrealwagesforfouralternativevaluesofthelaborsupplyelasticity,σl:1.0,1.5,3.0,and10.0.TheSWestimatedvalueis1.53.OurresultsarereportedinTable7.Notethattheotherparametervaluesarenotreestimated,buttakenatthevaluesestimatedbySW.[InsertTable7abouthere.]

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Wenotethat,whenpricesarecompletelyflexibleandwagesfullysticky(ξp=0.0andξw=1.0),changesinlaborsupplyelasticitymakeessentiallynodifference.Thismustreflectthefactthatwhenpricesarefullyflexibleandwagesarefixedbycontract,theeffectivelaborsupplycurvebecomesperfectlyelastic(horizontal)andtheelasticityoftheutility‐maximizinglaborsupplycurveisirrelevant.15Ontheotherhand,whenpricesarefullystickyandwagesflexible(ξp=1.0andξw=0.0),changesinlaborsupplyelasticitymakeamuchlargerdifferenceinthecyclicalresponseofrealwages.Overall,however,eventhoughtherangeofvaluesforthelaborsupplyelasticityisquitewide,changesdon’tmakeasubstantialdifferenceinthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetaryshocks.Inparticular,thereferencelinedividingtherangeofcountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwagesdoesnotchangemarkedlyasweincreasethelaborsupplyelasticityfrom1.0to10.0.ThisresultissimilartotheHLPresultsfor wherewealsoobservedverylittlechangeinthemagnitudeordirectionofcyclicality.Whilewedoobservesomemovementintheprocyclicaldirectionas increaseswhenwagesareflexibleandpricessticky,themagnitudeofchangeisfarsmallerthanintheHLPresults.D. VaryingtheKimballAggregatorParameterTraditionalDSGEmodelshavetypicallyusedtheDixit‐Stiglitz(CES)aggregatorinthelaborandintermediategoodsmarkets.SWusethemoregeneralKimballaggregator;seeKimball(1995).TheKimballaggregatorismoreflexibleinthatitallowstheelasticityofdemandtoincreaseasrelativepriceincreasesdependingonthevalueoftheKimballparameter,ε.TheDixit‐Stiglitzmodelisaspecialcasewithε=0.TheKimballaggregatorisappliedinboththegoodsandlabormarketswithparametersdenotedεpandεwrespectively.SWcalibratedthevaluesofbothεpandεw

15 Note that this explanation would indicate that there would be no change in the cyclicality of the real wage as the

elasticity varies. As our results are asymptotic approximations of the perfectly sticky and fully flexible cases, we

only observe approximate invariance to the elasticity.

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tobe10.0;thesearethevaluesassumedforallprevioustablesreportingresultsfortheSWmodel.Hereweconsidertwoadditionalvalues:εp=εw=0.0whichcollapsestotheDixit‐Stiglitzspecialcaseandεp=εw=33.0whichisthevaluesuggestedbyKimballinhisoriginalpaper.Ahighervalueofεpmeansthatthedemandfordifferentiatedgoodsbecomesmoreelasticastherelativepriceincreases.Similarly,ahighervalueofεwmeansthatthedemandfordifferentiatedlaborbecomesmoreelasticastherelativewageincreases.Whilewehaveinvestigatedtheconsequencesofvaryingthevalueofεpforeachofthethreechoicesofvaluesofεw,tosavespace,wereportonlyasubsetoftheseresultsinTable8.16There,weseeevidencethat,givenεp,increasingεwimpliesgreaterrealwagecountercyclicalityand,givenεw,increasingεpimplieslessrealwagecountercyclicality.Fromthefullresults,wefindthat,asweincreaseεpandεwtogether,thereisonlyanegligibleeffectonthecountercyclicalresponseofrealwages. [InsertTable8abouthere.]TounderstandthephenomenonobservedinTable8,considerthemarketforlabor.Asthecurvatureoflabordemand(εw)increases,thelabordemandcurvebowsawayfromtheorigin.Forpointsonthecurvewithhigherwagesthanattheinflectionpoint(whereourmarketlikelywillbeinequilibriumgiventhemonopolypowerofthehouseholds),thisimpliesalesssteepcurve.Thus,whenthelaborsupplycurveshiftsupinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock,thecorrespondingchangeinnominalwagewillbesmallerforhigherlevelsofcurvature.Thusourrealwageswillbemorecountercyclical.

16 The full results are contained in an Appendix available from the authors on request.

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Theresultforchangesinεpisexplainedbysimilarreferencetotheintermediategoodsmarket.Changesinpricewillbelessdrasticforhighercurvature,leadingtoamoreprocyclicalrealwageinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock.III. SummaryOurinvestigationhasconfirmedthat,asexpected,relativewageandpricestickinessplaysaveryimportantroleinthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Furthermore,weobtainqualitativelysimilarresultsfortwomodels.ForboththeHLPandSWDSGEmodels,aswagesbecomestickierrelativetoprices,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalinresponsetochangesinmonetarypolicy.However,itisimportanttonotethataprocyclicalrealwageresponsedoesnotnecessarilymeanthatpricesarestickierthanwagesasmeasuredbythestickinessparametersofthesemodels.Indeed,inbothmodels,otherthingsequal,whenwagesandpricesareequallysticky,realwagestendtobeprocyclical.Thus,merelyfromtheobservationthatrealwagesseemtorespondprocyclicallytomonetaryshocks,itismisguidedtoconclude,assomehavedone,17thatpricesarestickierthanwages.Thisreflectsthefactthatthereareotherimportantfactorsthatarerelevanttothebehaviorofrealwages.Themajorpurposeofourinvestigationhasbeentoexaminetheseotherfactors.Wehavediscoveredthatsomeofthemhavesignificanteffects.Bothmodelshaverevealedthattheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborandtheimpliedwagemarkupcoefficientsareimportant.Whenwagesaresticky,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalinresponsetoamonetaryshockasthiselasticityincreasesregardlessofthestickinessofprices.Themodelsofferslightlydifferent(butnotopposite)implicationswhenwagesareflexible:IntheHLPmodel,increasesinthiselasticityhavenoeffectwhileintheSWmodelweseeslightlymorecountercyclicalwagesinthiscase.WeascribethisdifferencetothehighercomplexityoftheSWmodelwhichallowsmorecomplicatedeffects. 17 See the discussion in the introduction to this paper and the references cited there.

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Themodelsareinbroadagreementregardingtheeffectsofchangesintheelasticityofintertemporallaborsubstitution.Bothmodelssuggestthatwhenwagesarestickyrelativetoprices,increasesinthiselasticityhavearathersmalleffect.Ontheotherhand,whenpricesarestickyrelativetowages,increasesinthiselasticitycausetherealwagetorespondmoreprocyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshock.Eachmodelalsohasparametersthatseemtoplayanimportantroleforwhichthereisnocounterpartintheother.Forexample,akeyparameterintheHLPmodel,φ,reflectstherelativeimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction.WeconfirmandextendtheHLPfindingthatincreasesinφcauserealwagestobemoreprocyclicalforallpairsofwageandpricestickinessparametervalues.AsindicatedbyHLP,thisisconsistentwiththeconventionalwisdomregardingthechangingcyclicalityofrealwagesduringthepostwarperiodinwhichintermediategoodshavebecomeincreasinglyimportant.TheSWmodelalsoincludesamoreflexibleaggregatorfunction,theKimballaggregator.ThisaggregatorgeneralizestheusualDixit‐Stiglitzaggregatorbyincludinganadditionalparameterwhichallowstheelasticityofdemandtoincreaseasrelativepriceincreases.WefindthatiftheKimballparameterincreasessymmetricallyinboththeintermediategoodsandlabormarkets,ithaslittleeffectonthecyclicalresponseofrealwages.However,ifthevalueoftheKimballparameterislargeringoodsmarketsthanlabormarkets,thiswillproducemoreprocyclicalrealwages.IV. ConclusionManybusinesscycletheoriespositthatmonetaryshockshaverealeffectsasaconsequenceoftheexistenceofstickypricesand/orstickywages.Sincealternativetheorieshavedistinctimplicationsforthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock,manypreviousstudieshaveexaminedthebehaviorofrealwagesinordertodrawinferencesabouttherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.Earlystudiesessentiallylooked,inonewayoranother,atthe

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correlationbetweentherealwageandeitheroutputoremployment.Suchcorrelationswilltelluslittleornothingabouttheresponsetomonetaryshocksifthedataaregeneratedinaworldinwhichtherearenonmonetaryshocksaswell.MorerecentstudieshaveimprovedonthisstateofaffairsbyusingstructuralVAR(SVAR)modelstoisolatetheeffectsofmonetarypolicyshocksonrealwages.However,thevalidityofthisapproachdependsontheassumptionthattheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockreflectsonlytherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,notothercharacteristicsoftheeconomy.Thepurposeofthispaperhasbeentoexaminethisimplicitassumption.UsingtwodifferentDSGEmodels,wehaveexaminedtheroleofotherfactorsinexplainingthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicychangesandhavefoundthatseveraloftheseappeartoplayimportantroles.Asaconsequence,todrawinferencesabouttherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,itisnotenoughtolookathowrealwagesrespondtomonetarypolicy.Itseemsthatitisnecessarytofinddirectmeasuresofthestickinessofwagesandprices.SWhavedonethisintheirmodelsincetheyestimatetheCalvostickinessparametersusinghistoricaldata.Thoughweonlylookathowcharacteristicsofamodeleconomyaffecttheinfluenceofmonetarypolicyonrealwages,theresponseofothervariablestomonetaryshockswillalsobeaffectedinimportantwaysbycharacteristicsofthemodel.Justhowisatopicforfutureresearch.Allofthisremindsusthatwhilethetransmissionmechanismformonetarypolicymaynotseemcomplicatedintheseandrelatedmodels,itinfactdependsonmanyparametersincomplexways.

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Economics,12.3,September1983,383‐98.Christiano,Lawrence,MartinEichenbaumandCharlesEvans.“NominalRigiditiesandtheDynamicEffectsofaShocktoMonetaryPolicy”,JournalofPoliticalEconomy113.1,February2005,1‐45.Dixon,Huw,andEnginKara.“HowtoCompareTaylorandCalvoContracts:ACommentonMichaelKiley.”JournalofMoney,Credit,andBanking,38.4,June2006,1119‐26.Dunlop,JohnT.“TheMovementofRealandMoneyWageRates.”EconomicJournal,September1938,413‐34.Fischer,Stanley.“Long‐TermContracts,RationalExpectations,andtheOptimalMoneySupplyRule.”JournalofPoliticalEconomy,February1977,191‐205.

"RecentDevelopmentsinMacroeconomics,"EconomicJournal,98.391June1988,294‐339.Fleischman,CharlesA.“TheCausesofBusinessCyclesandtheCyclicalityofRealWages.”Journal

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CreditandBanking,November1995,27.4,1241‐77.Mankiw,N.Gregory.“Comment.”NBERMacroeconomicsAnnual,2,1987,105‐10.

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McCallum,BennetT.“On‘Real’and‘Sticky‐Price’TheoriesoftheBusinessCycle.”JournalofMoney,Credit,andBanking,November1986,397‐414.

Smets,Frank,andRafaelWouters.“ShocksandFrictionsinUSBusinessCycles:ABayesianDSGEApproach.”AmericanEconomicreview,97.3,June2007,586‐606.Spencer,DavidE.“TheRelativeStickinessofWagesandPrices.”EconomicInquiry,36.1,January1998,120‐137.Sumner,Scott,andStephenSilver.“RealWages,Employment,andthePhillipsCurve.”Journalof

PoliticalEconomy,June1989,706‐20.Taylor,John.“AggregateDynamicsandStaggeredContracts.”JournalofPoliticalEconomy,88.1,February1980,1‐23.

“StaggeredPriceandWageSettinginMacroeconomics.”inJ.B.TaylorandM.Woodfordeds.,HandbookofMacroeconomics,1999,chapter15,1341‐1397,Elsevier,NewYork.

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Table1:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesofφintheHLPmodel. (Interwarcalibratedvalue)

Price Stickiness (Np) 

   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  9.29  15.33  19.99  23.81  27.06  29.90  32.43 2  ‐1.32  0.02  1.28  2.33  3.21  3.97  4.63  5.23 

3  ‐1.75  ‐0.57  0.00  0.56  1.02  1.42  1.77  2.09 

4  ‐1.97  ‐0.84  ‐0.33  ‐0.01  0.31  0.58  0.81  1.02 

5  ‐2.13  ‐1.00  ‐0.51  ‐0.22  0.00  0.20  0.37  0.52 6  ‐2.25  ‐1.10  ‐0.62  ‐0.34  ‐0.15  0.00  0.14  0.26 7  ‐2.35  ‐1.18  ‐0.70  ‐0.42  ‐0.24  ‐0.10  0.00  0.11 8  ‐2.44  ‐1.24  ‐0.75  ‐0.48  ‐0.30  ‐0.17  ‐0.07  0.01  (Postwarcalibratedvalue)

Price Stickiness (Np)    1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w)  

1  12.01  19.12  24.30  28.44  31.94  34.99  37.73 2  ‐1.32  0.46  1.94  3.13  4.11  4.94  5.67  6.32 

3  ‐1.75  ‐0.30  0.37  0.98  1.48  1.92  2.30  2.65 4  ‐1.97  ‐0.60  ‐0.06  0.30  0.63  0.91  1.15  1.37 5  ‐2.13  ‐0.76  ‐0.27  0.02  0.25  0.45  0.63  0.79 

6  ‐2.25  ‐0.87  ‐0.39  ‐0.12  0.06  0.21  0.35  0.47 

7  ‐2.35  ‐0.95  ‐0.47  ‐0.21  ‐0.05  0.08  0.18  0.28 8  ‐2.44  ‐1.01  ‐0.53  ‐0.28  ‐0.12  0.00  0.09  0.16 

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Table2:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesofσintheHLPmodel.σ=1.5(Wagemarkup=3.0)

Price Stickiness (Np)

   1  2  3 4 5 6 7 8 Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  12.01  19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99  37.73 2  ‐1.09  0.96  2.95 4.52 5.78 6.84 7.77  8.59 3  ‐1.51  0.03  0.85 1.69 2.38 2.97 3.49  3.95 4  ‐1.74  ‐0.33  0.27 0.72 1.18 1.57 1.91  2.22 5  ‐1.89  ‐0.54  0.00 0.34 0.62 0.90 1.15  1.37 6  ‐2.01  ‐0.67  ‐0.17 0.13 0.34 0.53 0.73  0.90 7  ‐2.11  ‐0.76  ‐0.28 0.00 0.19 0.34 0.47  0.61 8  ‐2.20  ‐0.83  ‐0.36 ‐0.10 0.08 0.21 0.32  0.42 

σ=3.0(Wagemarkup=1.5)Price Stickiness (Np)

   1  2  3 4 5 6 7 8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  12.01  19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99  37.73 2  ‐1.32  0.46  1.94 3.13 4.11 4.94 5.67  6.32 3  ‐1.75  ‐0.30  0.37 0.98 1.48 1.92 2.30  2.65 4  ‐1.97  ‐0.60  ‐0.06 0.30 0.63 0.91 1.15  1.37 5  ‐2.13  ‐0.76  ‐0.27 0.02 0.25 0.45 0.63  0.79 6  ‐2.25  ‐0.87  ‐0.39 ‐0.12 0.06 0.21 0.35  0.47 7  ‐2.35  ‐0.95  ‐0.47 ‐0.21 ‐0.05 0.08 0.18  0.28 8  ‐2.44  ‐1.01  ‐0.53 ‐0.28 ‐0.12 0.00 0.09  0.16 

σ=11.0(Wagemarkup=1.1)Price Stickiness (Np)

   1  2  3 4 5 6 7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  12.01  19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99  37.73 2  ‐1.91  ‐0.42  0.42 1.05 1.56 2.00 2.39  2.74 3  ‐2.31  ‐0.90  ‐0.38 ‐0.02 0.25 0.47 0.66  0.82 4  ‐2.53  ‐1.09  ‐0.59 ‐0.32 ‐0.12 0.04 0.16  0.26 5  ‐2.56  ‐1.19  ‐0.69 ‐0.43 ‐0.27 ‐0.14 ‐0.04  0.04 6  ‐2.55  ‐1.25  ‐0.75 ‐0.49 ‐0.34 ‐0.23 ‐0.14  ‐0.07 7  ‐2.54  ‐1.29  ‐0.79 ‐0.53 ‐0.37 ‐0.27 ‐0.19  ‐0.13 8  ‐2.53  ‐1.32  ‐0.81 ‐0.55 ‐0.39 ‐0.29 ‐0.22  ‐0.17 

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Table3:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesof intheHLPmodel.=1.00

Price Stickiness (Np)    1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  7.67  11.71  14.50  16.67  18.50  20.10  21.54 2  ‐1.27  0.41  1.68  2.62  3.36  3.97  4.49  4.95 

3  ‐1.68  ‐0.29  0.33  0.87  1.30  1.65  1.96  2.23 4  ‐1.90  ‐0.57  ‐0.06  0.27  0.57  0.81  1.02  1.21 5  ‐2.05  ‐0.73  ‐0.25  0.03  0.23  0.42  0.57  0.71 

6  ‐2.17  ‐0.83  ‐0.37  ‐0.11  0.06  0.20  0.33  0.43 7  ‐2.26  ‐0.91  ‐0.44  ‐0.20  ‐0.04  0.08  0.18  0.27 8  ‐2.35  ‐0.97  ‐0.50  ‐0.26  ‐0.10  0.00  0.09  0.16 

=1.50

Price Stickiness (Np)    1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  9.97  15.59  19.59  22.77  25.44  27.77  29.87 2  ‐1.30  0.44  1.84  2.93  3.81  4.55  5.19  5.76 

3  ‐1.72  ‐0.30  0.36  0.94  1.41  1.82  2.17  2.48 4  ‐1.95  ‐0.59  ‐0.06  0.29  0.61  0.87  1.10  1.31 5  ‐2.10  ‐0.75  ‐0.26  0.03  0.24  0.44  0.61  0.76 

6  ‐2.22  ‐0.85  ‐0.38  ‐0.12  0.06  0.21  0.34  0.46 7  ‐2.31  ‐0.93  ‐0.46  ‐0.21  ‐0.04  0.08  0.18  0.28 8  ‐2.40  ‐0.99  ‐0.52  ‐0.27  ‐0.11  0.00  0.09  0.16 

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Table3(cont.)=3.00

Price Stickiness (Np)    1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  15.56  25.42  32.85  38.86  43.95  48.40  52.36 2  ‐1.34  0.48  2.06  3.37  4.48  5.45  6.31  7.07 

3  ‐1.77  ‐0.31  0.38  1.03  1.56  2.04  2.46  2.85 4  ‐2.00  ‐0.61  ‐0.06  0.30  0.65  0.95  1.21  1.45 5  ‐2.16  ‐0.78  ‐0.27  0.02  0.25  0.47  0.65  0.82 

6  ‐2.28  ‐0.89  ‐0.40  ‐0.13  0.06  0.21  0.36  0.49 

7  ‐2.39  ‐0.96  ‐0.48  ‐0.22  ‐0.05  0.08  0.19  0.29 8  ‐2.44  ‐1.02  ‐0.54  ‐0.28  ‐0.12  0.00  0.09  0.16 

=10.0

Price Stickiness (Np)    1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 

Wage Stickiness (N

w) 

1  32.52  55.70 75.08 91.79 106.41  119.39  131.03 2  ‐1.38  0.51  2.27  3.81  5.20  6.46  7.62  8.69 

3  ‐1.82  ‐0.32  0.41  1.11  1.71  2.26  2.76  3.23 4  ‐2.06  ‐0.63  ‐0.07  0.32  0.70  1.02  1.32  1.59 5  ‐2.22  ‐0.80  ‐0.28  0.02  0.26  0.50  0.70  0.88 

6  ‐2.35  ‐0.91  ‐0.41  ‐0.13  0.06  0.22  0.38  0.51 

7  ‐2.44  ‐0.99  ‐0.50  ‐0.23  ‐0.05  0.08  0.19  0.30 8  ‐2.45  ‐1.05  ‐0.56  ‐0.29  ‐0.13  ‐0.01  0.09  0.17 

Page 28: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

27

Table4:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwintheSWmodel.

Price Stickiness (ξp)    0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.0 

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.20  0.32  0.43  0.54  0.65  0.77  0.91  1.09  1.43  2.43 0.1  ‐0.01  0.15  0.26  0.35  0.44  0.53  0.63  0.75  0.91  1.22  2.13 0.2  ‐0.01  0.12  0.20  0.28  0.35  0.43  0.51  0.61  0.75  1.03  1.85 0.3  ‐0.01  0.09  0.15  0.21  0.27  0.34  0.41  0.49  0.60  0.85  1.59 0.4  ‐0.02  0.06  0.11  0.16  0.20  0.25  0.31  0.38  0.47  0.68  1.35 0.5  ‐0.02  0.03  0.07  0.11  0.14  0.18  0.22  0.27  0.35  0.53  1.11 0.6  ‐0.03  0.01  0.04  0.06  0.09  0.11  0.15  0.18  0.24  0.39  0.88 

0.7  ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.01  0.03  0.04  0.06  0.08  0.11  0.15  0.26  0.66 

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.03  0.04  0.07  0.15  0.44 

0.9  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.06  0.22 1.0  ‐0.08  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.01    

Page 29: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

28

Table5:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesof ,given =1.6,intheSWmodel. =1.5(Wagemarkup=3.0)

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7  0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.20  0.33  0.44 0.54 0.65 0.77 0.91  1.09  1.42 1.96

0.1  ‐0.01  0.14  0.24  0.33 0.41 0.50 0.60 0.71  0.86  1.15 1.63

0.2  ‐0.01  0.10  0.18  0.25 0.31 0.38 0.46 0.55  0.68  0.94 1.36

0.3  ‐0.02  0.07  0.13  0.18 0.23 0.29 0.35 0.42  0.53  0.75 1.13

0.4  ‐0.02  0.04  0.09  0.13 0.17 0.21 0.26 0.31  0.40  0.59 0.93

0.5  ‐0.02  0.02  0.05  0.08 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.22  0.29  0.45 0.74

0.6  ‐0.03  0.00  0.02  0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14  0.19  0.33 0.57

0.7  ‐0.04  ‐0.02  0.00  0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08  0.11  0.22 0.41

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03  0.05  0.12 0.26

0.9  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01  0.01  0.05 0.12

1.0  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02   =3.0(Wagemarkup=1.5)Price Stickiness (ξp)

   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.20  0.33  0.44 0.55 0.66 0.78 0.92  1.09  1.39 2.18

0.1  ‐0.01  0.09  0.16  0.23 0.29 0.36 0.43 0.52  0.64  0.87 1.52

0.2  ‐0.02  0.05  0.10  0.14 0.18 0.23 0.28 0.34  0.43  0.62 1.19

0.3  ‐0.02  0.02  0.05  0.08 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.23  0.30  0.46 0.95

0.4  ‐0.03  0.00  0.03  0.05 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.15  0.21  0.34 0.77

0.5  ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.00  0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10  0.14  0.25 0.61

0.6  ‐0.04  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05  0.08  0.17 0.47

0.7  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03  ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02  0.04  0.11 0.35

0.8  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00  0.01  0.06 0.22

0.9  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02 0.10

1.0  ‐0.09  ‐0.08  ‐0.08  ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.00  

Page 30: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

29

Table5(cont.) =11.0(Wagemarkup=1.1)

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7  0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.20  0.33  0.44 0.55 0.67 0.79 0.93  1.09  1.37 1.74

0.1  ‐0.02  0.02  0.06  0.09 0.12 0.16 0.20 0.25  0.32  0.48 0.75

0.2  ‐0.03  0.00  0.02  0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.13  0.18  0.30 0.52

0.3  ‐0.04  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07  0.11  0.21 0.39

0.4  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04  0.07  0.14 0.29

0.5  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01  0.04  0.10 0.22

0.6  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00  0.02  0.07 0.16

0.7  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01  0.00  0.04 0.11

0.8  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02 0.06

0.9  ‐0.08  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03  ‐0.02  0.00 0.02

1.0  ‐0.09  ‐0.08  ‐0.08  ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03  ‐0.02  0.00  

Page 31: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

30

Table6:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesof ,given =1.5,intheSWmodel. =1.5(Pricemarkup=3.0)

Price Stickiness (ξp)    0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.0 

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.62  0.78  0.90  1.00  1.10  1.24  1.46  1.84  2.39  2.62 0.1  0.00  0.51  0.64  0.74  0.83  0.93  1.05  1.25  1.59  2.09  2.30 0.2  0.00  0.41  0.52  0.61  0.68  0.77  0.88  1.05  1.36  1.81  2.00 0.3  0.00  0.32  0.41  0.48  0.55  0.62  0.72  0.88  1.15  1.55  1.72 0.4  0.00  0.24  0.32  0.37  0.42  0.49  0.57  0.71  0.95  1.30  1.45 0.5  0.00  0.17  0.23  0.27  0.31  0.36  0.44  0.55  0.76  1.07  1.20 0.6  0.00  0.11  0.15  0.18  0.22  0.26  0.31  0.41  0.58  0.84  0.95 0.7  0.00  0.06  0.09  0.11  0.13  0.16  0.21  0.28  0.42  0.62  0.70 0.8  ‐0.01  0.02  0.04  0.05  0.06  0.08  0.11  0.17  0.26  0.41  0.47 

0.9  ‐0.01  0.00  0.00  0.01  0.01  0.02  0.04  0.07  0.12  0.20  0.23 1.0  ‐0.01  ‐0.01  ‐0.01  0.00  0.00  0.01  0.01  0.03  0.05  0.09     =3.0(Pricemarkup=1.5)

Price Stickiness (ξp)    0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.0 

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.35  0.51  0.63  0.74  0.84  0.95  1.08  1.29  1.81  2.63 0.1  0.00  0.28  0.41  0.51  0.61  0.70  0.79  0.91  1.09  1.57  2.31 0.2  ‐0.01  0.22  0.33  0.41  0.49  0.57  0.65  0.75  0.91  1.34  2.01 0.3  ‐0.01  0.17  0.26  0.32  0.39  0.45  0.52  0.60  0.75  1.13  1.73 0.4  ‐0.01  0.13  0.19  0.24  0.29  0.34  0.40  0.47  0.60  0.94  1.47 0.5  ‐0.01  0.09  0.13  0.17  0.21  0.25  0.29  0.35  0.46  0.75  1.21 0.6  ‐0.01  0.05  0.08  0.11  0.14  0.17  0.20  0.25  0.33  0.58  0.97 0.7  ‐0.02  0.02  0.04  0.06  0.08  0.10  0.12  0.15  0.22  0.41  0.72 

0.8  ‐0.02  0.00  0.01  0.02  0.03  0.04  0.05  0.07  0.12  0.26  0.48 

0.9  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.02  0.04  0.12  0.24 1.0  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.03    

Page 32: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

31

Table6(cont.) =11.0(Pricemarkup=1.1)

Price Stickiness (ξp)    0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.0 

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.18  0.30  0.41  0.51  0.62  0.74  0.88  1.06  1.39  1.93 0.1  ‐0.01  0.14  0.24  0.33  0.42  0.51  0.61  0.73  0.89  1.18  1.67 0.2  ‐0.01  0.11  0.19  0.26  0.33  0.41  0.49  0.60  0.73  0.99  1.44 0.3  ‐0.02  0.08  0.14  0.20  0.26  0.32  0.39  0.47  0.59  0.82  1.22 0.4  ‐0.02  0.05  0.10  0.15  0.19  0.24  0.29  0.36  0.46  0.66  1.01 0.5  ‐0.02  0.03  0.06  0.10  0.13  0.17  0.21  0.26  0.34  0.51  0.82 0.6  ‐0.03  0.01  0.03  0.06  0.08  0.11  0.14  0.18  0.23  0.37  0.63 

0.7  ‐0.04  ‐0.01  0.01  0.02  0.04  0.05  0.07  0.10  0.14  0.25  0.46 

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.02  0.04  0.07  0.14  0.29 

0.9  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  ‐0.01  0.01  0.05  0.14 1.0  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02    

Page 33: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

32

Table7:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesofσlintheSWmodel.σl=1.00

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.19  0.32  0.42 0.53 0.63 0.75 0.87  1.04  1.39 2.41

0.1  ‐0.01  0.15  0.25  0.34 0.42 0.51 0.61 0.72  0.86  1.17 2.08

0.2  ‐0.01  0.11  0.20  0.27 0.34 0.41 0.49 0.58  0.70  0.97 1.78

0.3  ‐0.02  0.08  0.15  0.20 0.26 0.32 0.38 0.45  0.55  0.79 1.51

0.4  ‐0.02  0.06  0.10  0.15 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.34  0.43  0.63 1.25

0.5  ‐0.02  0.03  0.07  0.10 0.13 0.16 0.20 0.25  0.31  0.48 1.01

0.6  ‐0.03  0.01  0.03  0.06 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.16  0.21  0.35 0.78

0.7  ‐0.04  ‐0.01  0.01  0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09  0.12  0.23 0.57

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03  0.06  0.13 0.37

0.9  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01  0.01  0.05 0.18

1.0  ‐0.08  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.01  σl=1.50

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.19  0.32  0.43 0.54 0.65 0.77 0.90  1.07  1.42 2.42

0.1  ‐0.01  0.15  0.26  0.35 0.44 0.53 0.63 0.75  0.90  1.21 2.12

0.2  ‐0.01  0.12  0.20  0.28 0.35 0.42 0.51 0.61  0.74  1.01 1.84

0.3  ‐0.02  0.09  0.15  0.21 0.27 0.33 0.40 0.48  0.59  0.84 1.57

0.4  ‐0.02  0.06  0.11  0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.37  0.46  0.67 1.33

0.5  ‐0.02  0.03  0.07  0.11 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.27  0.34  0.52 1.09

0.6  ‐0.03  0.01  0.04  0.06 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.18  0.24  0.38 0.86

0.7  ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.01  0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10  0.14  0.26 0.64

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04  0.07  0.15 0.42

0.9  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00  0.01  0.06 0.21

1.0  ‐0.08  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.01  

Page 34: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

33

Table7(cont.)σl=3.00

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.20  0.34  0.46 0.57 0.69 0.82 0.98  1.17  1.52 2.47

0.1  ‐0.01  0.16  0.27  0.37 0.47 0.57 0.69 0.82  1.00  1.32 2.22

0.2  ‐0.01  0.13  0.22  0.30 0.38 0.47 0.57 0.68  0.84  1.13 1.98

0.3  ‐0.01  0.10  0.17  0.23 0.30 0.37 0.45 0.55  0.69  0.96 1.74

0.4  ‐0.02  0.07  0.12  0.18 0.23 0.29 0.35 0.43  0.55  0.79 1.51

0.5  ‐0.02  0.04  0.08  0.12 0.16 0.21 0.26 0.33  0.42  0.63 1.28

0.6  ‐0.02  0.02  0.05  0.08 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.23  0.30  0.47 1.05

0.7  ‐0.03  0.00  0.02  0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.14  0.19  0.33 0.81

0.8  ‐0.04  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06  0.10  0.19 0.56

0.9  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00  0.02  0.08 0.29

1.0  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02  σl=10.0

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7  0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.24  0.40  0.54 0.69 0.84 1.01 1.22  1.48  1.87 2.70

0.1  ‐0.01  0.20  0.34  0.46 0.59 0.73 0.88 1.07  1.32  1.70 2.55

0.2  ‐0.01  0.16  0.28  0.39 0.50 0.62 0.76 0.93  1.16  1.52 2.38

0.3  ‐0.01  0.13  0.23  0.32 0.41 0.51 0.63 0.79  0.99  1.34 2.21

0.4  ‐0.01  0.10  0.17  0.25 0.32 0.41 0.51 0.65  0.83  1.15 2.02

0.5  ‐0.01  0.07  0.13  0.19 0.25 0.32 0.40 0.51  0.67  0.96 1.82

0.6  ‐0.02  0.04  0.08  0.13 0.17 0.23 0.29 0.38  0.50  0.76 1.58

0.7  ‐0.02  0.02  0.04  0.07 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.25  0.34  0.55 1.30

0.8  ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.01  0.03 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.13  0.19  0.34 0.97

0.9  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.03  0.06  0.15 0.53

1.0  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02  0.00  0.03  

Page 35: Real wages and monetary policy: A DSGE approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period. Intermediate goods producers and labor suppliers solve two types of problems. First,

34

Table8:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesofεw,givenεp=0,intheSWmodel.εw=0,εp=0(Dixit‐Stiglitzcase)

Price Stickiness (ξp)   0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8  0.9 1.0

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.04  0.10  0.16 0.23 0.31 0.41 0.54 0.72  1.00 1.62

0.1  ‐0.01  0.04  0.09  0.14 0.21 0.28 0.38 0.50 0.66  0.93 1.51

0.2  ‐0.01  0.03  0.07  0.13 0.18 0.25 0.34 0.45 0.60  0.84 1.40

0.3  ‐0.01  0.02  0.06  0.11 0.16 0.22 0.29 0.39 0.53  0.75 1.27

0.4  ‐0.01  0.02  0.05  0.09 0.13 0.18 0.25 0.33 0.45  0.65 1.13

0.5  ‐0.02  0.01  0.04  0.07 0.10 0.14 0.20 0.27 0.37  0.54 0.97

0.6  ‐0.02  0.00  0.02  0.04 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.20 0.28  0.42 0.80

0.7  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.02 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.19  0.29 0.61

0.8  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.10  0.16 0.40

0.9  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02  0.05 0.19

1.0  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03  ‐0.01  εw=33,εp=0

Price Stickiness (ξp)    0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.0 

Wage Stickiness (ξ w) 

0.0  0.04  0.10  0.16  0.23  0.31  0.41  0.54  0.72  1.00  1.61 0.1  ‐0.01  0.02  0.05  0.09  0.14  0.20  0.26  0.35  0.48  0.69  1.19 0.2  ‐0.02  0.01  0.03  0.06  0.09  0.13  0.18  0.24  0.34  0.50  0.91 

0.3  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.01  0.03  0.06  0.08  0.12  0.17  0.24  0.36  0.71 

0.4  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.03  0.05  0.07  0.11  0.16  0.25  0.54 

0.5  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.02  0.04  0.07  0.10  0.17  0.41 

0.6  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.01  0.03  0.06  0.11  0.30 

0.7  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.00  0.02  0.05  0.20 

0.8  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03  ‐0.02  ‐0.01  0.02  0.12 

0.9  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.06  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.05  ‐0.04  ‐0.03  ‐0.03  ‐0.01  0.05 1.0  ‐0.10  ‐0.09  ‐0.09  ‐0.09  ‐0.08  ‐0.08  ‐0.07  ‐0.06  ‐0.04  ‐0.02