real wages and monetary policy: a dsge approachhouseholds) are allowed to set prices each period....
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Munich Personal RePEc Archive
Real wages and monetary policy: A
DSGE approach
Perry, Bryan and Phillips, Kerk L. and Spencer, David E.
Brigham Young University
29 February 2012
Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/36995/
MPRA Paper No. 36995, posted 28 Feb 2012 19:21 UTC
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RealWagesandMonetaryPolicy:[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] February2012JELCodes:E32,E52,E10Keywords:realwages,monetarypolicy,DSGEmodels
AbstractEconomistshavelonginvestigatedthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesinordertodrawinferencesregardingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.Recentstudieshaveadoptedtechniquesintendedtoidentifymonetaryshocksandexaminedtheresponseofrealwagesandoutputoremploymenttosuchshocks.Afindingthatrealwagesareprocyclicalinresponsetoapositivemonetarypolicyshock,forexample,istakenasevidencethatpricesarestickierthanwages.Inthispaper,weshowthatfactorsotherthanwageandpricestickinessaffecttheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.Accordingly,examiningtheresponseofrealwagesisnotenoughtosortouttherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.WeusetwoprominentDSGEmodelstohelpusaddressthisissue.Thesemodelsincorporatebothstickywagesandpricesbutindifferentways.Thefirstmodel(Huang,Liu,andPhaneuf,AmericanEconomicReview,2004)isrelativelysimpleandisnotintendedforpolicyanalysis.Itsrelativesimplicityallowsustoapproachtheissuesbothanalyticallyandthroughsimulations.Thesecondmodel(SmetsandWouters,AmericanEconomicReview,2007)isarelativelycomplexmodeloftheU.S.economywithmanyfrictionsandintendedtobeusefulforpolicyanalysis.Becauseofitscomplexity,wemustrelyprincipallyonsimulationexercises.Usingthesemodelsweofferrobustevidencethattherealwageresponsetomonetarypolicyisaffectedinimportantwaysbypropertiesoftheeconomyotherthanstickinessofwagesandprices,suchastheimportanceofintermediategoodsintheproductionprocessandthesizeofkeyelasticities.Consequently,wecannotappropriatelyinfertherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesfromexaminingonlytheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.
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RealWagesandMonetaryPolicy:ADSGEApproach SincethepublicationofKeynes’sGeneralTheory,economistshavebeeninterestedinthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwages.Aprincipalmotivationforthisinteresthasbeentoprovideevidencethatallowsustodiscriminateamongalternativeexplanationsofcyclicalfluctuations,especiallythosethatrelyoneitherstickypricesorstickywages.TheearlyKeynesiansticky‐wageexplanationofthebusinesscyclefluctuationspredictedcountercyclicalrealwages.Inthatmodel,nominalwagesarefixedandemploymentisdeterminedbyastable,negatively‐slopedlabordemandcurve.Consequently,anaggregatedemand(nominal)shockwillcauserealwagesandemployment(output)tomoveinoppositedirections.JohnDunlop’s(1938)earlyevidenceofprocyclicalrealwageswaswidelyseenasanimportantchallengetothisview.Formanyyearsthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwageswasexaminedinnumerousstudiesby,inonewayoranother,exploringthecorrelationbetweenrealwagesandeitheroutputoremployment.Conclusionsvariedwidelydependingonthevariableschosen,thesampleperiod,orotherfactors.Inasurveypaper,StanleyFischer(1988)concludedthat“theweightoftheevidencebynowisthattherealwageisslightlyprocyclical.”Thiswastakenbymanytosupporttheconclusionthatpriceshavebeenstickierthanwages.1Itwaseventuallypointedoutthatthecorrelationbetweenrealwagesandoutput(employment)cannotbeinterpretedassimplyreflectingtheshort‐runrealeffectsofnominalshocksiftheeconomyis,infact,affectedbyothershocksaswellsinceempiricalcorrelationsreflecttheeffectsofallshocks.Theissuehasthereforebecome,howdorealwagesrespondtonominal(aggregatedemand)shockssettingallothershockstozero?Thisquestioncannotbeansweredbylookingatsimplecorrelationsbetweentherealwagerateandoutputoremployment. 1Forexample,suchconclusionsweredrawnbyBennettMcCallum(1986),N.GregoryMankiw(1987),andLaurenceBall,Mankiw,andDavidRomer(1988).
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Accordingly,morerecentstudies2haveattemptedtoempiricallyidentifymonetaryshocksandtheninvestigatetheresponseofrealwagesandoutputoremploymenttosuchshocks.Afindingthatrealwagesareprocyclicalinresponsetoapositive(expansionary)monetarypolicyshock,forexample,istakenasevidencethatpricesarestickierthanwages.Forsuchinferencestobejustified,thecyclicalresponseofrealwagesmustprincipallyreflecttherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,nototherfactors.Thepurposeofthispaperistoarguethattherearemanycharacteristicsoftheeconomybeyondwageandpricestickinessthataffectthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Consequently,evenevidenceregardingthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesinresponsetoamonetaryshockwillnotallowustodrawunambiguousconclusions.Ourspecificobjectiveistoinvestigatethebroadarrayoffactorsthataffectthecyclicalityofrealwagesincludingnotonlytherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesbutotherfactorsaswell.Indeed,weseethattherelativestickinessofwagesandpricesrepresentsonlyapartofthepicture.Toaddressthisissue,wetakeanapproachthatisdifferentfromearlierstudies.Ratherthantakingtheestimatesfromempiricalmodelstoinfersomethingaboutrelativestickiness,weconsiderdynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium(DSGE)modelsinwhichweparameterizetherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesandthenobservetheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock.Usingthisapproachwecanmorecarefullyexploreotherfactorsbeyondwageandpricestickinessthataffectthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetaryshocks.WeusetwoprominentDSGEmodelstohelpusaddressthisquestion.Thesemodelsincorporatebothstickywagesandpricesbutindifferentways.Thefirstmodelisrelativelysimpleandisnotintendedforpolicyanalysis.KevinHuang,ZhengLiu,andLouisPhaneuf(2004),HLP,developamodeltoinvestigatetheimpactofthechangingimportanceoftheintermediategoodssectoronthecyclicalityofrealwages.Accordingly,theirmodelischaracterizedbyaproduction 2See,forexample,SumnerandSilver(1989),GamberandJoutz(1993),Spencer(1998),andFleischman(1999).
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functionthatrequiresintermediategoodsasinputsaswellascapitalandlabor.Householdsprovidedifferentiatedlaborskillstofirmswhichproducedifferentiatedgoods.WageandpricestickinessismodeledusingthestaggeredpriceandstaggeredwagecontractsmodelofJohnTaylor(1980,1999)andFischer(1977).Giventhenarrowfocusoftheirpaper,HLPincludeamonetarypolicyshockastheonlyshockinthemodel.Calibratingthemodel,theyshowthat,giventherelativestickinessofpricesandwages,therealwageswitchesfrombeingcountercyclicaltoprocyclicalastheshareofintermediategoodsintheproductionprocessincreases.Thesecondmodel,duetoFrankSmetsandRafaelWouters(2007),SW,isarelativelycomplexmodeloftheU.S.economywithmanyfrictionsandisintendedforpolicyanalysis.Itincludessevenshocks,oneofwhichisamonetarypolicy(interestrate)shock.Italsoincorporatesdifferentiatedlaborandgoods,habitpersistenceinconsumption,investmentadjustmentcosts,andstickypricesandwageswithpartialbackwardindexationtopastinflation.PriceandwagestickinessismodeledusingtheCalvo(1983)setup.TheSWmodel’sprimaryparametersareestimatedusingaBayesianlikelihoodapproach.ThenexttwosectionsofthepaperusetheHLPandSWmodels,respectively,toinvestigatehowkeyfactorsinthosemodelsaffectthecyclicalityoftheresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Ineachcase,weexaminehowtheresponseisaffectedaswevarythesekeyfactorsoveranarrayofvaluesforwageandpricestickiness.Thethirdsectionattemptsapreliminarysynthesisofwhatwehavelearnedfromtheseexercisesandthefinalsectionprovidesaconclusion.I. TheHuang,Liu,andPhaneufModelThecentralissueoftheHuang,Liu,andPhaneuf(2004),HLP,paperistoinvestigatehowtheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockisaffectedbychangesintheinput‐outputstructureoftheeconomyinthefaceofwageandpricestickiness.Theirfocusonrealwagesandmonetarypolicymakestheirmodelparticularlywellsuitedtoourpurposes.Theyconstructa
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dynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium,DSGE,modelthatisrelativelysimpleand,thus,allowsustoapproachtheissuesanalyticallyaswellasthroughsimulations.Theirmodelhasdifferentiatedintermediategoodsanddifferentiatedlabor.Eachintermediategoodsproducersuppliesauniquegoodandenjoyssomedegreeofmonopolypower.Thesameistrueofhouseholdswhichsupplyuniqueformsoflabor.Finalgoodsproducerscombineintermediategoodsintoafinalgoodwhichcanbeusedforconsumption,investment,orasaninputintheproductionofintermediategoods.Similarly,thevariousuniqueformsoflaborareaggregatedintoalaborcompositewhichisalsousedintheproductionofintermediategoods.Anyparticularintermediategoodisproducedusingthreeinputs:capital,laborandanaggregationofallintermediategoods.Theimportanceoffinalgoodsissummarizedbythekeyparameterφ,whichistheCobb‐Douglasshareofintermediategoods(asopposedtocapitalandlabor)inthegoodsproductionfunction.SuppliersofintermediategoodsandlaborsetpricesusingastaggeredTaylor‐stylepricesettingarrangement.Thatis,contractsaresetforNperiodsandone‐Nthofthefirms(orhouseholds)areallowedtosetpriceseachperiod.Intermediategoodsproducersandlaborsupplierssolvetwotypesofproblems.First,giventheirfixedpriceorwagesetpreviously,theychoosetheoptimalamounttosupplyeachperiod.Second,everyNperiodstheychoosewhatthefixedpriceorwagewillbeforthenextNperiods.Householdsareallowedtoinsuretheirconsumptioneachperiodviaasetofcompletefinancialmarkets.Hence,everyhouseholdconsumesthesameamount,butitwillsupplydifferingamountsoflaborbasedontheirpreviouslychosenfixedwage.Thereisamonetaryauthoritythatcreatesnewmoneyeachperiodandtransfersitlump‐sumtothehouseholds.ThegrowthrateofthemoneysupplyisassumedtofollowanAR(1)process.HLPfocusontheparameter ,theimportanceofintermediategoodsintheproductionfunction(withavalueofzeroreflectingazeroshareofintermediategoodsin
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production).Theylookatthisinthecontextofthreespecificmodels:thefirstwithstaggeredprice‐settingandflexiblewages,thesecondwithstaggeredwage‐settingandflexibleprices,andthethirdwithbothstaggeredprice‐andwage‐setting.Theyshowthat,givenacalibratedparameterizationofthemodel,whenpricesarestickyandwagesflexible,realwagesrespondprocyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshockregardlessofthevalueofφ.Inthereversesituationwithstickywagesandflexibleprices,theirmodelimpliesthatrealwagesrespondcountercyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshockregardlessofthevalueofφ.3Inthemodelwithbothpriceandwagestickiness,however,theresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockdependscriticallyonφ.Whenφissmallsointermediategoodsarenotsoimportantintheproductionprocess,realwagestendtobecountercyclicalinresponsetomonetarypolicyshocksand,whenφislarge,realwagesareprocyclical.Since,byassumption,wagesandpricesareequallystickyinthethirdmodel,weseethatthecyclicalbehaviorofrealwagesdoesnothaveunambiguousimplicationsfortherelativestickinessofwagesandprices.Thus,HLPshowthatotherfactors,inparticulartheimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction,willalsoaffectthecyclicalityofrealwages.Thisisanimportantfinding.WeusetheHLPmodeltoconsiderhowthecyclicalityoftheresponseofrealwagestoamonetaryshockisaffectedbyotherpropertiesofthemodel.Forexample,howisthecyclicalityoftherealwageaffectedbychangingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesforvariousvaluesofφ?Severalotherparametersplaypotentiallyimportantrolesinthemodel: ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborskills, ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedgoods, ,theelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital,,theinverseoftheelasticityofintertemporalsubstitutionoflaborhours,and ,thecapitaladjustmentcostparameter.Accordingly,wealsoexaminehowthecyclicalresponseofrealwageschangesastheseparametersarevaried. 3Theseresultsarereminiscentoftheunderlyingmotivationbehindtheempiricaldebateregardingtherelativestickinessofpricesandwagesdiscussedintheopeningsectionofthispaper.
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A. VaryingPriceandWageStickinessAsindicatedabove,theHLPmodelincorporatespriceand/orwagestickinessusingthestaggeredprice‐andwage‐settingmodelsofTaylor(1980,1999)andFischer(1977).Inthissetup,eachfirm(worker)facesaprice(wage)contractoflengthNp(Nw).Duringeachperiod,fraction1/Np(1/Nw)ofthefirms(workers)chooseanewprice(wage)optimallythatwilllastforNp(Nw)periods.Sincetheyfocusontheroleofchangesinφ,intheirreportedresults,HLPchoosetosetNp=Nw=4.Whathappenstothecyclicalbehaviorofrealwageswhen,forvariousvaluesofφ,weconsideranarrayofothervaluesforNpandNw?Selectedimpulseresponsefunction(IRF)resultsarereportedinTable1.RetainingtheHLPpostwarcalibratedparametervaluesforσ,θ,andα,4wevarytheintegervaluesofNpandNwbetween1and8foreachofHLP’sinterwarandpostwarcalibratedvaluesofφ,0.4and0.7.TheresultsreportedinTable1arethefirstperiod(onequarter)responsesoftherealwageratetoaonepercentpositiveshocktothemoneygrowthratewitheachmatrixcorrespondingtoadifferentvalueofφ.5Forexample,when andNp=Nw=4,aonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthratecausesa0.30percentincreaseintherealwagerateafteronequarter.6[InsertTable1abouthere.] Theboldlineineachmatrixindicatesthedividinglinebetweencountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwages.Therearethreethingstonotice.First,ifpricesaresticky(Np>1)butwages 4TheHLPparametervaluesareσ=3,θ=11,andα=0.4.5ToobtaintheresultsreportedinTable1,wesimulatethemodelforeachofthe630specifiedparametricconfigurations.Ineachcase,wecomputetheimpulseresponsefunction(IRF)fortherealwagewithrespecttoaonepercentmoneygrowthshockandreportthefirst(onequarterhorizon)value.SinceitwouldbeimpracticaltoreportthefullIRFforeachcase,wetakethemagnitudeandespeciallythesignofthisfirstIRFcoefficienttobeanindicatorofthecyclicalresponseoftherealwagetoamonetarypolicyshock.Sinceapositiveshocktomoneygrowthwillresultinanincreaseinemployment,anegativeeffectontherealwageindicatesacountercyclicalresponseofrealwages.6ThismatchestheresultobtainedbyHLPandreportedintheirFigure3.B.:seetheirIRFforφ=0.7atthefirstquarterhorizon.
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areflexible(Nw=1),realwagesarestronglyprocyclicalandchangingthevalueofφmakeslittledifference.Similarly,ifwagesaresticky(Nw>1)butpricesareflexible(Np=1),realwagesarestronglycountercyclicalandchangingthevalueofφmakesnodifferencewhatsoever.This,ofcourse,simplyconfirmsandextendstheoriginalHLPresults.7Second,foranygivenvaluesofφandNp,realwagesaremorecountercyclicalforlargervaluesofNw.Theseresultsareintuitivegiventhat,otherthingsequal,stickiernominalwagesimplymoreprocyclicalrealwages.Third,asφincreases,therangeofvaluesofNpandNwforwhichrealwagesarecountercyclicaldecreases.ThisgeneralizestheprincipalresultreportedbyHLPforNp=Nw=4:8ForanycombinationofNpandNw,realwagesbecomemoreprocyclicalastheimportanceofintermediategoodsinproductionincreases.HLPexplainthatthishappensbecauseanincreaseinφincreasesthesluggishnessofmovementsinmarginalcost.This,inturn,increasesthesluggishnessofnominalpricesandallowstheprocyclicalityofnominalwagestodominatetherealwage.B. VaryingOtherParametersWealsoinvestigatewhathappenstothecyclicalityofrealwagesaswevarytheelasticityparameters,σ,θ,α,andξaswellasthecapitaladjustmentcostparameterψ.Table2reportstheresultsforvariationsofσ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborskills.Theseparategridsassumethevaluesofσtobe1.5,3.0,11.0.Sincethewagemarkupis ,thesevaluesimplywagemarkupcoefficientsof3.0,1.5,and1.1respectively.Byreviewingthegridsinsequence,wecanseewhathappensasσincreases.First,ifwagesaresticky(Nw>1),as increases,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalforanygivenpairofpriceandwagestickinessparameters.Second,ifwagesareflexible(Nw=1),changesin havenoinfluenceonthecyclicalityoftherealwagewhatsoever.
7SeetherealwageIRFsreportedintheirFigures1and2.8 Ofcourse,ourresultsconfirmtheirsforthespecificcaseexaminedbyHLP.ForNp=Nw=4,when,therealwageisslightlycountercyclical.ForNp=Nw=4,when ,therealwagebecomesprocyclical.SeethecorrespondingIRFsattheone‐quarterhorizonintheirFigure3.B.
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Thefirstphenomenonoccursbecauseindividuals,whenabletore‐contracttheirwage,faceatradeoffbetweenahighernominalwageandanincreaseinhoursemployed.Thistradeoffishighlightedbyvaryingtheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlabor.Iftheelasticityishigh(markupislow),thelaboraggregatorwillpreferanindividualwithawagelowerthanthefixedwagesofothers.Alternatively,iftheelasticityislow(markupishigh),labordemandwillbeslowtodecreaseeveniftheindividualincreasesherwage.Therefore,nominalwagesarelessprocyclical(andevencountercyclical)when ishighandmoreprocyclicalwhen islow.Sincepricesaregenerallyprocyclical,asσrises,therealwagebecomesincreasinglycountercyclical.Thesecondphenomenon,thatchangingtheelasticityhasnoeffectwhenwagesareflexible,isexplainedbynotingthatifeverywageisre‐contractedeachperiod,thereisnoabilitytoundercutotherlaborers.Thus,theincentivetoincreasethenominalwageisunchallenged.Thisincentiveisnotaffectedbytheelasticityofsubstitutionwithoutthecounteringincentive,sochanging hasnoinfluenceonthecyclicalityoftherealwage.[InsertTable2abouthere.] TheHLPmodelimpliesthatvaryingθ,theelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedgoods,makesnodifferenceintheresponseofrealwagestoamonetaryshock.Ingeneral,becauseofstaggeredwagesetting,therealwageisaweightedaverageofmarkupsoverpast,present,andexpectedfuturevaluesofthemarginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure,MRS.SincetheMRSisnotafunctionofθ,varyingthevalueofθwillhavenoeffectonthecyclicalityoftherealwage.WehaveconfirmedthisbycomputingthefirstIRFcoefficientsforvariousvaluesofθandobtainresultsidenticaltothosereportedinTable1.9 9 Weincludetherelevanttablesforθ=1.5,3.0,and11.0inanAppendixavailablefromtheauthors.
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Wehaveconductedsimilarexerciseswiththefollowingvaluesofα,theelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital:0.2,0.4,and0.6.WehaveheldσandθconstantattheirHLPcalibratedvalues.Asαincreases,theabsolutevalueofthefirstIRFcoefficientrises,butthelocusofacyclicalityovertherangeofpriceandwagecontractlength(theboldline)doesnotchange.Tosavespace,wedonotreporttheresultshere.10Theintuitionhereiseasiertofollowifweagainthinkofthelimitingcasewhereallpricesandwagesareflexible.InthiscasetheshareoflaborinGDPis .HencethepercentchangeintherealwageisthepercentchangeinGDPminusthepercentchangeinthelaborinput.TheaggregateproductionfunctionfortheHLPmodelwithperfectflexibilityisamodifiedCobb‐Douglas.Combiningthesegivesthefollowingbreakdownofthepercentagechangeintherealwage. whereacarat( )indicatespercentchange.Thatis,thepercentchangeintherealwageisαtimesthepercentchangeinthecapital‐laborratio.Thelattercouldbeeitherpositiveornegative,butislargelyunaffectedbyα.Henceasαrisestheresponsivenessoftherealwagewillbecomelargerinabsolutevalue,butwillnotchangesign. Theparameter measurestheelasticityofintertemporallaborsubstitution.Weexaminefourvaluesbetween1.0and10.0.TheresultsreportedinTable3indicatethatchanging makesverylittledifferencewhenwagesareverystickyrelativetoprices(thelowerleftcornerareaofeachgrid),butthattherealwagebecomesmuchmoreprocyclicalwhenwagesareclosetoflexibleandpricesareverysticky(correspondingtotheupperrightcornerareaofeachgrid)as increases.Asapersonbecomesmorewillingtosubstitutelabortomorrowforleisuretoday,theybecomemorelikelytoincreasetheirwageiftheincentivetoundercutotherlaborislow(wagecontractsareshort),especiallyifinflationislowintheshortrun(pricecontractsarelong). 10 All results not reported here are in an Appendix available from the authors.
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[InsertTable3abouthere.]AsnotedbyHLP(seetheirfootnote13),thebehaviorofrealwagesisnotsensitivetothecapitaladjustmentcostparameter,ψ.Thisisnotafeatureoftheunderlyingmodelbut,rather,isaconsequenceoflog‐linearization.Afterlinearization,thequadraticadjustmentcostsbecomelinear.Tosummarize,wehavediscoveredthat,intheHLPmodel,realwagesbecomemoreprocyclicalinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock1)themoreimportantintermediategoodsareintheproductionprocess(thelargerφ),2)thestickierpricesarerelativetowages(thelargerNpisrelativetoNw),and3)thesmallertheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweenlaborskills(thesmallerσ).Ontheotherhand,variationineithertheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweengoods(θ)orintheelasticityofvalueaddedwithrespecttocapital(α)haslittleornoeffecton(atleastthedirectionof)thecyclicalresponseofrealwages.II. TheSmetsandWouters(SW)ModelTheSmetsandWouters(2007),SW,modelisapopularmodelforanalyzingmonetarypolicyintheU.S.However,beingconsiderablymorecomplexthantheHLPmodel,itismuchmoredifficulttoanalyticallyevaluatethefactorsthatinfluencethecyclicalbehaviorofrealwages.Werelyprincipallyonsimulationexperimentstodrawourconclusions.TheSWDSGEmodelemploysseveralrealandnominalrigiditiesinadifferentiatedgoodsmarketandadifferentiatedlabormarket.Householdsmaximizeutilitybychoosinginfinite‐horizonconsumptionandlaborpathsassuminghabitformationinconsumption.Householdsalsoaccumulatecapitalsubjecttocapitaladjustmentcostsandrentavariableamountofthatcapitaltofirms.Firmsproduceuniquegoodsbychoosingcapitalandlaborinputs.RatherthanassumingstaggeredpricesandwagesasHLP,SWmodelstickinessforpricesandwagesusingaCalvo(1983)mechanismwhereonlyarandomlyselectedfractionoffirmsandhouseholdsarepermittedtorenegotiatecontractseachperiod.Theparametersgoverningthese
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fractionsaredenoted and where istheproportionoffirmsallowedtore‐optimizepriceseachperiodandwhere isthecorrespondingvalueforhouseholdsandtheirwagecontracts.TheSWmodelassumesthatthosefirmsandhouseholdsnotselectedtoupdatetheircontractshavetheirpricesandwagespartiallyindexedtopastinflation.Werepricesandwagesfullyflexible(i.e. ),theywouldbeequaltoaconstantmarkupoverthemarginalproductoflaborandmarginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure,respectively.AnalogoustotheHLPparameters and ,theSWparameters and capturethesemarkupcoefficientswith and beingthepriceandwagemarkups,respectively.ThemodelisclosedbyassumingthemonetaryauthoritysetstheinterestrateaccordingtoageneralizedTaylorrule.Sevencomponentsofthemodelareinfluencedbystochasticprocesses:totalfactorproductivity,investment‐specifictechnology,theriskpremium,exogenous(government)spending,thepricemark‐up,thewagemark‐up,andmonetarypolicy.SWuseaBayesianlikelihoodapproachtoestimatetheirmodelfortheU.S.over1966:1–2004:4.BecausetheCalvoprice‐andwage‐stickinessparametersaresoimportantforthecyclicalbehavioroftherealwage,wehaveinvestigatedthesensitivityoftheseestimatestoalternativepriors.Thoughwefindthattheposteriormeansforξpvarybetween0.47and0.76andtheposteriormeansforξwvarybetween0.66and0.88,wealwaysfindstrongsupportforsignificantpriceandwagestickiness.Onceagain,ourprincipalinterestisindiscoveringhowchangingkeyparametersofthemodelaffectsthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshockswhere,incontrasttotheHLPmodel,monetarypolicyfollowsageneralizedTaylorrulesomonetarypolicyshocksareinterestrateshocksratherthanmoneysupplyshocks.Givenitscomplexity,theSWmodelhas
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manyparametersandotherpropertiesthatcouldpotentiallybeexamined.Inordertomaintainamanageableproject,wemustbeselective.A. VaryingPriceandWageStickinessAsintheHLPmodel,webeginbyinvestigatingtheimpactofchangesintherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.WhereastheHLPmodelassumedstaggeredpricesandwageswithafixeddeterministiccontractlength,priceandwagestickinessintheSWmodeliscapturedbyassumingseparatestochasticCalvomechanismsforpricesandwages.WevarytheCalvopriceandwageparameters,ξpandξw,and,asabove,examinetheconsequencesfortheeffectofaonestandarddeviationmonetarypolicyshockontherealwageafteronequarterasgivenbythevalueofthecorrespondingIRFatahorizonofonequarter.Weallowξpandξwtoeachvarybetween0.0and1.0inincrementsof0.1.11Inthisexercise,foreachpairofselectedvalues,weretainallotherparametersattheiroriginalestimatedvalues.TheresultsarereportedinTable4.Eachcellentryreportsthefirstquarterresponseoftherealwagetoaone‐standarddeviationexpansionaryshocktomonetarypolicy;i.e.,aone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrate.[InsertTable4abouthere.] Onceagain,theboldlineinthegridindicatesthedividinglinebetweencountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwages.TheresultsarebroadlysimilartothosereportedfortheHLPmodel.Weconfirmthatifpricesaresticky(ξp>0.0)butwagesareflexible(ξw=0.0),realwagesarestronglyprocyclical.Similarly,ifwagesaresticky(ξw>0.0)butpricesareflexible(ξp=0.0),realwagesare
11Since,undertheusualCalvoassumptions,firmsresettheirprices(householdsresettheirwages)withprobability1‐ξp(1‐ξw),whenξp=0.0(ξw=0.0)allprices(wages)areflexible.Thoughthemodelcannotbesolvednumericallyinthecasethatbothpricesandwagesareperfectlyflexible(ξp=ξw=0.0),theorysuggeststherealwagewouldbeacyclicalinresponsetoamonetaryshock.Themodelissimilarlynumericallyintractablewhenbothpricesandwagesareperfectlyfixed(ξp=ξw=1.0).
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stronglycountercyclical.Furthermore,weseethatthestickierarewages(thelargerisξw),themorelikelyrealwagesaretobecountercyclicalevenwithsomedegreeofpricestickiness.InordertodrawcomparisonsbetweentheresultsofTable4andtherelatedresultsfromtheHLPmodelreportedinTable1,itisfirstnecessarytohaveamappingbetweenthestickinessparametersofthestaggeredcontractandCalvomodels.Wenotethat isofteninterpretedastheaverageduration(length)ofpricecontracts.12DixonandKara(2005)show,however,thatthisratioiscorrectlyinterpretedastheaverageageofpricecontracts.ThisconfusionhasledsometoanincorrectmappingbetweenξpandNp.AsshownbyDixonandKara,thecorrectmappingis ,or,equivalently, .So,forNp=4,thecontractlengthassumedbyHLPintheirmodel,thecorrespondingvaluefortheCalvoparameter,ξp,is0.6.Asimilarmappingholdsforwagestickinessparameters.Toconsiderasinglecomparison,letNp=Nw=4and,thus,ξp=ξw=0.6.WenotethatfortheHLPmodel,whenφ=0.7,13it’scalibratedvalueforthepostwarU.S.economy,realwagesareprocyclical.TheSWmodelalsoproducesprocyclicalrealwages.AbroadercomparisonsuggeststhatrealwagestendtorespondmoreprocyclicallyintheSWmodelthantheHLPmodelforcomparabledegreesofpriceandwagestickiness.14
B. VaryingtheSteadyStateMarkupParameters
12Forexample,Christiano,Eichenbaum,andEvans(2005)andSmetsandWouters(2007)refertothisratioasgivingtheaveragedurationofpricecontracts.Christiano,Eichenbaum,andEvansfurthersuggestamappingconsistentwith .13AsHLPemphasizeintheirmodel,thecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocksdependscriticallyonthevalueofthisparameterwhichsummarizestherelativeimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction.Thisparameter,however,doesnothaveacounterpartintheSWmodel.Thus,tocomparetheresultsofthetwomodels,wemustchooseavalueofφfortheHLPmodelthat“fitsthedata”sincetheSWmodelisestimatedusingU.S.data.HLPsuggestthatavalueof0.7isappropriateforthepost‐warU.S.economy.14Forexample,whenNp=2(ξp=0.33)andNw=3(ξp=0.5),theHLPmodelproducescountercyclicalrealwagesinresponsetoamonetaryshockwhiletheSWmodelproducesprocyclicalrealwages.
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Wealsoinvestigatetheeffectsofvaryingthesteadystatemarkupparametersinboththelaborandgoodsmarkets, and respectively.TheseexactlycorrespondtothemarkupsrelatedtoσandθintheHLPmodel, and respectively.SWcalibrate tobe1.5andestimate tobe1.6.Asinourexperimentfor and inHLP,welet and eachtakeonvaluesof1.5,3.0,and11.0correspondingtosteadystatemarkupsof3.0,1.5,and1.1,respectively.TheresultsarereportedinTables5and6.FromTable5,weseethatforanygivenvalueof ,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalas increases,whichisanalogoustotheresultsfortheHLPmodel(recallTable2).Ontheotherhand,forafixedvalueof ,asweseeinTable6,realwagesbecomeslightlymorecountercyclicalasthepricemarkupincreases.RecallthatinHLP,varyingtheθ,thecorrespondingparameter,hadnoinfluenceontherealwagecyclicality.AstheSWmodelhasalesstransparentmonetarytransmissionmechanism,wehypothesizethat,unlikeintheHLPmodel,thepricemarkupdoesindirectlyinfluencetheMRS(marginalrateofsubstitutionbetweenconsumptionandleisure)insuchawayastoincentivizeearlyearningsoverundercuttingotherlaborers’wages.[InsertTables5‐6abouthere.]
C. VaryingtheElasticityofIntertemporalLaborSubstitutionNowweinvestigatetheeffectofchangingthelaborsupplyelasticityintheSWmodel.Weexaminethecyclicalresponseofrealwagesforfouralternativevaluesofthelaborsupplyelasticity,σl:1.0,1.5,3.0,and10.0.TheSWestimatedvalueis1.53.OurresultsarereportedinTable7.Notethattheotherparametervaluesarenotreestimated,buttakenatthevaluesestimatedbySW.[InsertTable7abouthere.]
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Wenotethat,whenpricesarecompletelyflexibleandwagesfullysticky(ξp=0.0andξw=1.0),changesinlaborsupplyelasticitymakeessentiallynodifference.Thismustreflectthefactthatwhenpricesarefullyflexibleandwagesarefixedbycontract,theeffectivelaborsupplycurvebecomesperfectlyelastic(horizontal)andtheelasticityoftheutility‐maximizinglaborsupplycurveisirrelevant.15Ontheotherhand,whenpricesarefullystickyandwagesflexible(ξp=1.0andξw=0.0),changesinlaborsupplyelasticitymakeamuchlargerdifferenceinthecyclicalresponseofrealwages.Overall,however,eventhoughtherangeofvaluesforthelaborsupplyelasticityisquitewide,changesdon’tmakeasubstantialdifferenceinthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetaryshocks.Inparticular,thereferencelinedividingtherangeofcountercyclicalandprocyclicalrealwagesdoesnotchangemarkedlyasweincreasethelaborsupplyelasticityfrom1.0to10.0.ThisresultissimilartotheHLPresultsfor wherewealsoobservedverylittlechangeinthemagnitudeordirectionofcyclicality.Whilewedoobservesomemovementintheprocyclicaldirectionas increaseswhenwagesareflexibleandpricessticky,themagnitudeofchangeisfarsmallerthanintheHLPresults.D. VaryingtheKimballAggregatorParameterTraditionalDSGEmodelshavetypicallyusedtheDixit‐Stiglitz(CES)aggregatorinthelaborandintermediategoodsmarkets.SWusethemoregeneralKimballaggregator;seeKimball(1995).TheKimballaggregatorismoreflexibleinthatitallowstheelasticityofdemandtoincreaseasrelativepriceincreasesdependingonthevalueoftheKimballparameter,ε.TheDixit‐Stiglitzmodelisaspecialcasewithε=0.TheKimballaggregatorisappliedinboththegoodsandlabormarketswithparametersdenotedεpandεwrespectively.SWcalibratedthevaluesofbothεpandεw
15 Note that this explanation would indicate that there would be no change in the cyclicality of the real wage as the
elasticity varies. As our results are asymptotic approximations of the perfectly sticky and fully flexible cases, we
only observe approximate invariance to the elasticity.
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tobe10.0;thesearethevaluesassumedforallprevioustablesreportingresultsfortheSWmodel.Hereweconsidertwoadditionalvalues:εp=εw=0.0whichcollapsestotheDixit‐Stiglitzspecialcaseandεp=εw=33.0whichisthevaluesuggestedbyKimballinhisoriginalpaper.Ahighervalueofεpmeansthatthedemandfordifferentiatedgoodsbecomesmoreelasticastherelativepriceincreases.Similarly,ahighervalueofεwmeansthatthedemandfordifferentiatedlaborbecomesmoreelasticastherelativewageincreases.Whilewehaveinvestigatedtheconsequencesofvaryingthevalueofεpforeachofthethreechoicesofvaluesofεw,tosavespace,wereportonlyasubsetoftheseresultsinTable8.16There,weseeevidencethat,givenεp,increasingεwimpliesgreaterrealwagecountercyclicalityand,givenεw,increasingεpimplieslessrealwagecountercyclicality.Fromthefullresults,wefindthat,asweincreaseεpandεwtogether,thereisonlyanegligibleeffectonthecountercyclicalresponseofrealwages. [InsertTable8abouthere.]TounderstandthephenomenonobservedinTable8,considerthemarketforlabor.Asthecurvatureoflabordemand(εw)increases,thelabordemandcurvebowsawayfromtheorigin.Forpointsonthecurvewithhigherwagesthanattheinflectionpoint(whereourmarketlikelywillbeinequilibriumgiventhemonopolypowerofthehouseholds),thisimpliesalesssteepcurve.Thus,whenthelaborsupplycurveshiftsupinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock,thecorrespondingchangeinnominalwagewillbesmallerforhigherlevelsofcurvature.Thusourrealwageswillbemorecountercyclical.
16 The full results are contained in an Appendix available from the authors on request.
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Theresultforchangesinεpisexplainedbysimilarreferencetotheintermediategoodsmarket.Changesinpricewillbelessdrasticforhighercurvature,leadingtoamoreprocyclicalrealwageinresponsetoamonetarypolicyshock.III. SummaryOurinvestigationhasconfirmedthat,asexpected,relativewageandpricestickinessplaysaveryimportantroleinthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicyshocks.Furthermore,weobtainqualitativelysimilarresultsfortwomodels.ForboththeHLPandSWDSGEmodels,aswagesbecomestickierrelativetoprices,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalinresponsetochangesinmonetarypolicy.However,itisimportanttonotethataprocyclicalrealwageresponsedoesnotnecessarilymeanthatpricesarestickierthanwagesasmeasuredbythestickinessparametersofthesemodels.Indeed,inbothmodels,otherthingsequal,whenwagesandpricesareequallysticky,realwagestendtobeprocyclical.Thus,merelyfromtheobservationthatrealwagesseemtorespondprocyclicallytomonetaryshocks,itismisguidedtoconclude,assomehavedone,17thatpricesarestickierthanwages.Thisreflectsthefactthatthereareotherimportantfactorsthatarerelevanttothebehaviorofrealwages.Themajorpurposeofourinvestigationhasbeentoexaminetheseotherfactors.Wehavediscoveredthatsomeofthemhavesignificanteffects.Bothmodelshaverevealedthattheelasticityofsubstitutionbetweendifferentiatedlaborandtheimpliedwagemarkupcoefficientsareimportant.Whenwagesaresticky,realwagesbecomemorecountercyclicalinresponsetoamonetaryshockasthiselasticityincreasesregardlessofthestickinessofprices.Themodelsofferslightlydifferent(butnotopposite)implicationswhenwagesareflexible:IntheHLPmodel,increasesinthiselasticityhavenoeffectwhileintheSWmodelweseeslightlymorecountercyclicalwagesinthiscase.WeascribethisdifferencetothehighercomplexityoftheSWmodelwhichallowsmorecomplicatedeffects. 17 See the discussion in the introduction to this paper and the references cited there.
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Themodelsareinbroadagreementregardingtheeffectsofchangesintheelasticityofintertemporallaborsubstitution.Bothmodelssuggestthatwhenwagesarestickyrelativetoprices,increasesinthiselasticityhavearathersmalleffect.Ontheotherhand,whenpricesarestickyrelativetowages,increasesinthiselasticitycausetherealwagetorespondmoreprocyclicallytoamonetarypolicyshock.Eachmodelalsohasparametersthatseemtoplayanimportantroleforwhichthereisnocounterpartintheother.Forexample,akeyparameterintheHLPmodel,φ,reflectstherelativeimportanceofintermediategoodsinproduction.WeconfirmandextendtheHLPfindingthatincreasesinφcauserealwagestobemoreprocyclicalforallpairsofwageandpricestickinessparametervalues.AsindicatedbyHLP,thisisconsistentwiththeconventionalwisdomregardingthechangingcyclicalityofrealwagesduringthepostwarperiodinwhichintermediategoodshavebecomeincreasinglyimportant.TheSWmodelalsoincludesamoreflexibleaggregatorfunction,theKimballaggregator.ThisaggregatorgeneralizestheusualDixit‐Stiglitzaggregatorbyincludinganadditionalparameterwhichallowstheelasticityofdemandtoincreaseasrelativepriceincreases.WefindthatiftheKimballparameterincreasessymmetricallyinboththeintermediategoodsandlabormarkets,ithaslittleeffectonthecyclicalresponseofrealwages.However,ifthevalueoftheKimballparameterislargeringoodsmarketsthanlabormarkets,thiswillproducemoreprocyclicalrealwages.IV. ConclusionManybusinesscycletheoriespositthatmonetaryshockshaverealeffectsasaconsequenceoftheexistenceofstickypricesand/orstickywages.Sincealternativetheorieshavedistinctimplicationsforthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshock,manypreviousstudieshaveexaminedthebehaviorofrealwagesinordertodrawinferencesabouttherelativestickinessofpricesandwages.Earlystudiesessentiallylooked,inonewayoranother,atthe
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correlationbetweentherealwageandeitheroutputoremployment.Suchcorrelationswilltelluslittleornothingabouttheresponsetomonetaryshocksifthedataaregeneratedinaworldinwhichtherearenonmonetaryshocksaswell.MorerecentstudieshaveimprovedonthisstateofaffairsbyusingstructuralVAR(SVAR)modelstoisolatetheeffectsofmonetarypolicyshocksonrealwages.However,thevalidityofthisapproachdependsontheassumptionthattheresponseofrealwagestoamonetarypolicyshockreflectsonlytherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,notothercharacteristicsoftheeconomy.Thepurposeofthispaperhasbeentoexaminethisimplicitassumption.UsingtwodifferentDSGEmodels,wehaveexaminedtheroleofotherfactorsinexplainingthecyclicalresponseofrealwagestomonetarypolicychangesandhavefoundthatseveraloftheseappeartoplayimportantroles.Asaconsequence,todrawinferencesabouttherelativestickinessofwagesandprices,itisnotenoughtolookathowrealwagesrespondtomonetarypolicy.Itseemsthatitisnecessarytofinddirectmeasuresofthestickinessofwagesandprices.SWhavedonethisintheirmodelsincetheyestimatetheCalvostickinessparametersusinghistoricaldata.Thoughweonlylookathowcharacteristicsofamodeleconomyaffecttheinfluenceofmonetarypolicyonrealwages,theresponseofothervariablestomonetaryshockswillalsobeaffectedinimportantwaysbycharacteristicsofthemodel.Justhowisatopicforfutureresearch.Allofthisremindsusthatwhilethetransmissionmechanismformonetarypolicymaynotseemcomplicatedintheseandrelatedmodels,itinfactdependsonmanyparametersincomplexways.
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References
Ball,Laurence,N.GregoryMankiw,andDavidRomer.“TheNewKeynesianEconomicsandtheOutput‐InflationTradeoff.”BrookingsPapersonEconomicActivity,1,1988,1‐65.Calvo,GuillermoA.“StaggeredPricesinaUtility‐MaximizingFramework.”JournalofMonetary
Economics,12.3,September1983,383‐98.Christiano,Lawrence,MartinEichenbaumandCharlesEvans.“NominalRigiditiesandtheDynamicEffectsofaShocktoMonetaryPolicy”,JournalofPoliticalEconomy113.1,February2005,1‐45.Dixon,Huw,andEnginKara.“HowtoCompareTaylorandCalvoContracts:ACommentonMichaelKiley.”JournalofMoney,Credit,andBanking,38.4,June2006,1119‐26.Dunlop,JohnT.“TheMovementofRealandMoneyWageRates.”EconomicJournal,September1938,413‐34.Fischer,Stanley.“Long‐TermContracts,RationalExpectations,andtheOptimalMoneySupplyRule.”JournalofPoliticalEconomy,February1977,191‐205.
"RecentDevelopmentsinMacroeconomics,"EconomicJournal,98.391June1988,294‐339.Fleischman,CharlesA.“TheCausesofBusinessCyclesandtheCyclicalityofRealWages.”Journal
ofEconomicLiterature,October1999‐53.BoardofGovernorsoftheFederalReserveSystem(U.S.).Gamber,EdwardN.,andFrederickL.Joutz.“TheDynamicEffectsofAggregateDemandand SupplyDisturbances:Comment.”AmericanEconomicReview,83.5,December1993,1387‐93.Huang,KevinX.D.,ZhengLiu,andLouisPhaneuf.“WhyDoesCyclicalBehaviorofRealWagesChangeOverTime?”AmericanEconomicReview,94.4,September2004,836‐56.Kimball,Miles.“TheQuantitativeAnalyticsoftheBasicNeomonetaristModel,"JournalofMoney,
CreditandBanking,November1995,27.4,1241‐77.Mankiw,N.Gregory.“Comment.”NBERMacroeconomicsAnnual,2,1987,105‐10.
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McCallum,BennetT.“On‘Real’and‘Sticky‐Price’TheoriesoftheBusinessCycle.”JournalofMoney,Credit,andBanking,November1986,397‐414.
Smets,Frank,andRafaelWouters.“ShocksandFrictionsinUSBusinessCycles:ABayesianDSGEApproach.”AmericanEconomicreview,97.3,June2007,586‐606.Spencer,DavidE.“TheRelativeStickinessofWagesandPrices.”EconomicInquiry,36.1,January1998,120‐137.Sumner,Scott,andStephenSilver.“RealWages,Employment,andthePhillipsCurve.”Journalof
PoliticalEconomy,June1989,706‐20.Taylor,John.“AggregateDynamicsandStaggeredContracts.”JournalofPoliticalEconomy,88.1,February1980,1‐23.
“StaggeredPriceandWageSettinginMacroeconomics.”inJ.B.TaylorandM.Woodfordeds.,HandbookofMacroeconomics,1999,chapter15,1341‐1397,Elsevier,NewYork.
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Table1:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesofφintheHLPmodel. (Interwarcalibratedvalue)
Price Stickiness (Np)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 9.29 15.33 19.99 23.81 27.06 29.90 32.43 2 ‐1.32 0.02 1.28 2.33 3.21 3.97 4.63 5.23
3 ‐1.75 ‐0.57 0.00 0.56 1.02 1.42 1.77 2.09
4 ‐1.97 ‐0.84 ‐0.33 ‐0.01 0.31 0.58 0.81 1.02
5 ‐2.13 ‐1.00 ‐0.51 ‐0.22 0.00 0.20 0.37 0.52 6 ‐2.25 ‐1.10 ‐0.62 ‐0.34 ‐0.15 0.00 0.14 0.26 7 ‐2.35 ‐1.18 ‐0.70 ‐0.42 ‐0.24 ‐0.10 0.00 0.11 8 ‐2.44 ‐1.24 ‐0.75 ‐0.48 ‐0.30 ‐0.17 ‐0.07 0.01 (Postwarcalibratedvalue)
Price Stickiness (Np) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 12.01 19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99 37.73 2 ‐1.32 0.46 1.94 3.13 4.11 4.94 5.67 6.32
3 ‐1.75 ‐0.30 0.37 0.98 1.48 1.92 2.30 2.65 4 ‐1.97 ‐0.60 ‐0.06 0.30 0.63 0.91 1.15 1.37 5 ‐2.13 ‐0.76 ‐0.27 0.02 0.25 0.45 0.63 0.79
6 ‐2.25 ‐0.87 ‐0.39 ‐0.12 0.06 0.21 0.35 0.47
7 ‐2.35 ‐0.95 ‐0.47 ‐0.21 ‐0.05 0.08 0.18 0.28 8 ‐2.44 ‐1.01 ‐0.53 ‐0.28 ‐0.12 0.00 0.09 0.16
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Table2:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesofσintheHLPmodel.σ=1.5(Wagemarkup=3.0)
Price Stickiness (Np)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 12.01 19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99 37.73 2 ‐1.09 0.96 2.95 4.52 5.78 6.84 7.77 8.59 3 ‐1.51 0.03 0.85 1.69 2.38 2.97 3.49 3.95 4 ‐1.74 ‐0.33 0.27 0.72 1.18 1.57 1.91 2.22 5 ‐1.89 ‐0.54 0.00 0.34 0.62 0.90 1.15 1.37 6 ‐2.01 ‐0.67 ‐0.17 0.13 0.34 0.53 0.73 0.90 7 ‐2.11 ‐0.76 ‐0.28 0.00 0.19 0.34 0.47 0.61 8 ‐2.20 ‐0.83 ‐0.36 ‐0.10 0.08 0.21 0.32 0.42
σ=3.0(Wagemarkup=1.5)Price Stickiness (Np)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 12.01 19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99 37.73 2 ‐1.32 0.46 1.94 3.13 4.11 4.94 5.67 6.32 3 ‐1.75 ‐0.30 0.37 0.98 1.48 1.92 2.30 2.65 4 ‐1.97 ‐0.60 ‐0.06 0.30 0.63 0.91 1.15 1.37 5 ‐2.13 ‐0.76 ‐0.27 0.02 0.25 0.45 0.63 0.79 6 ‐2.25 ‐0.87 ‐0.39 ‐0.12 0.06 0.21 0.35 0.47 7 ‐2.35 ‐0.95 ‐0.47 ‐0.21 ‐0.05 0.08 0.18 0.28 8 ‐2.44 ‐1.01 ‐0.53 ‐0.28 ‐0.12 0.00 0.09 0.16
σ=11.0(Wagemarkup=1.1)Price Stickiness (Np)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 12.01 19.12 24.30 28.44 31.94 34.99 37.73 2 ‐1.91 ‐0.42 0.42 1.05 1.56 2.00 2.39 2.74 3 ‐2.31 ‐0.90 ‐0.38 ‐0.02 0.25 0.47 0.66 0.82 4 ‐2.53 ‐1.09 ‐0.59 ‐0.32 ‐0.12 0.04 0.16 0.26 5 ‐2.56 ‐1.19 ‐0.69 ‐0.43 ‐0.27 ‐0.14 ‐0.04 0.04 6 ‐2.55 ‐1.25 ‐0.75 ‐0.49 ‐0.34 ‐0.23 ‐0.14 ‐0.07 7 ‐2.54 ‐1.29 ‐0.79 ‐0.53 ‐0.37 ‐0.27 ‐0.19 ‐0.13 8 ‐2.53 ‐1.32 ‐0.81 ‐0.55 ‐0.39 ‐0.29 ‐0.22 ‐0.17
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Table3:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaonepercentincreaseinthemoneygrowthrateacrosspairsofvaluesofNpandNwandforselectedvaluesof intheHLPmodel.=1.00
Price Stickiness (Np) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 7.67 11.71 14.50 16.67 18.50 20.10 21.54 2 ‐1.27 0.41 1.68 2.62 3.36 3.97 4.49 4.95
3 ‐1.68 ‐0.29 0.33 0.87 1.30 1.65 1.96 2.23 4 ‐1.90 ‐0.57 ‐0.06 0.27 0.57 0.81 1.02 1.21 5 ‐2.05 ‐0.73 ‐0.25 0.03 0.23 0.42 0.57 0.71
6 ‐2.17 ‐0.83 ‐0.37 ‐0.11 0.06 0.20 0.33 0.43 7 ‐2.26 ‐0.91 ‐0.44 ‐0.20 ‐0.04 0.08 0.18 0.27 8 ‐2.35 ‐0.97 ‐0.50 ‐0.26 ‐0.10 0.00 0.09 0.16
=1.50
Price Stickiness (Np) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 9.97 15.59 19.59 22.77 25.44 27.77 29.87 2 ‐1.30 0.44 1.84 2.93 3.81 4.55 5.19 5.76
3 ‐1.72 ‐0.30 0.36 0.94 1.41 1.82 2.17 2.48 4 ‐1.95 ‐0.59 ‐0.06 0.29 0.61 0.87 1.10 1.31 5 ‐2.10 ‐0.75 ‐0.26 0.03 0.24 0.44 0.61 0.76
6 ‐2.22 ‐0.85 ‐0.38 ‐0.12 0.06 0.21 0.34 0.46 7 ‐2.31 ‐0.93 ‐0.46 ‐0.21 ‐0.04 0.08 0.18 0.28 8 ‐2.40 ‐0.99 ‐0.52 ‐0.27 ‐0.11 0.00 0.09 0.16
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Table3(cont.)=3.00
Price Stickiness (Np) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 15.56 25.42 32.85 38.86 43.95 48.40 52.36 2 ‐1.34 0.48 2.06 3.37 4.48 5.45 6.31 7.07
3 ‐1.77 ‐0.31 0.38 1.03 1.56 2.04 2.46 2.85 4 ‐2.00 ‐0.61 ‐0.06 0.30 0.65 0.95 1.21 1.45 5 ‐2.16 ‐0.78 ‐0.27 0.02 0.25 0.47 0.65 0.82
6 ‐2.28 ‐0.89 ‐0.40 ‐0.13 0.06 0.21 0.36 0.49
7 ‐2.39 ‐0.96 ‐0.48 ‐0.22 ‐0.05 0.08 0.19 0.29 8 ‐2.44 ‐1.02 ‐0.54 ‐0.28 ‐0.12 0.00 0.09 0.16
=10.0
Price Stickiness (Np) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wage Stickiness (N
w)
1 32.52 55.70 75.08 91.79 106.41 119.39 131.03 2 ‐1.38 0.51 2.27 3.81 5.20 6.46 7.62 8.69
3 ‐1.82 ‐0.32 0.41 1.11 1.71 2.26 2.76 3.23 4 ‐2.06 ‐0.63 ‐0.07 0.32 0.70 1.02 1.32 1.59 5 ‐2.22 ‐0.80 ‐0.28 0.02 0.26 0.50 0.70 0.88
6 ‐2.35 ‐0.91 ‐0.41 ‐0.13 0.06 0.22 0.38 0.51
7 ‐2.44 ‐0.99 ‐0.50 ‐0.23 ‐0.05 0.08 0.19 0.30 8 ‐2.45 ‐1.05 ‐0.56 ‐0.29 ‐0.13 ‐0.01 0.09 0.17
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Table4:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwintheSWmodel.
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.20 0.32 0.43 0.54 0.65 0.77 0.91 1.09 1.43 2.43 0.1 ‐0.01 0.15 0.26 0.35 0.44 0.53 0.63 0.75 0.91 1.22 2.13 0.2 ‐0.01 0.12 0.20 0.28 0.35 0.43 0.51 0.61 0.75 1.03 1.85 0.3 ‐0.01 0.09 0.15 0.21 0.27 0.34 0.41 0.49 0.60 0.85 1.59 0.4 ‐0.02 0.06 0.11 0.16 0.20 0.25 0.31 0.38 0.47 0.68 1.35 0.5 ‐0.02 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.27 0.35 0.53 1.11 0.6 ‐0.03 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.24 0.39 0.88
0.7 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.26 0.66
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.15 0.44
0.9 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.22 1.0 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01
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Table5:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesof ,given =1.6,intheSWmodel. =1.5(Wagemarkup=3.0)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.20 0.33 0.44 0.54 0.65 0.77 0.91 1.09 1.42 1.96
0.1 ‐0.01 0.14 0.24 0.33 0.41 0.50 0.60 0.71 0.86 1.15 1.63
0.2 ‐0.01 0.10 0.18 0.25 0.31 0.38 0.46 0.55 0.68 0.94 1.36
0.3 ‐0.02 0.07 0.13 0.18 0.23 0.29 0.35 0.42 0.53 0.75 1.13
0.4 ‐0.02 0.04 0.09 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.40 0.59 0.93
0.5 ‐0.02 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.29 0.45 0.74
0.6 ‐0.03 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.33 0.57
0.7 ‐0.04 ‐0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.22 0.41
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.12 0.26
0.9 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01 0.05 0.12
1.0 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02 =3.0(Wagemarkup=1.5)Price Stickiness (ξp)
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.20 0.33 0.44 0.55 0.66 0.78 0.92 1.09 1.39 2.18
0.1 ‐0.01 0.09 0.16 0.23 0.29 0.36 0.43 0.52 0.64 0.87 1.52
0.2 ‐0.02 0.05 0.10 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.28 0.34 0.43 0.62 1.19
0.3 ‐0.02 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.23 0.30 0.46 0.95
0.4 ‐0.03 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.21 0.34 0.77
0.5 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.25 0.61
0.6 ‐0.04 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.17 0.47
0.7 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.11 0.35
0.8 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.22
0.9 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02 0.10
1.0 ‐0.09 ‐0.08 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.00
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Table5(cont.) =11.0(Wagemarkup=1.1)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.20 0.33 0.44 0.55 0.67 0.79 0.93 1.09 1.37 1.74
0.1 ‐0.02 0.02 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.16 0.20 0.25 0.32 0.48 0.75
0.2 ‐0.03 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.13 0.18 0.30 0.52
0.3 ‐0.04 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.11 0.21 0.39
0.4 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.14 0.29
0.5 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.22
0.6 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.16
0.7 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.04 0.11
0.8 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02 0.06
0.9 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 0.00 0.02
1.0 ‐0.09 ‐0.08 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 0.00
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Table6:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesof ,given =1.5,intheSWmodel. =1.5(Pricemarkup=3.0)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.62 0.78 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.24 1.46 1.84 2.39 2.62 0.1 0.00 0.51 0.64 0.74 0.83 0.93 1.05 1.25 1.59 2.09 2.30 0.2 0.00 0.41 0.52 0.61 0.68 0.77 0.88 1.05 1.36 1.81 2.00 0.3 0.00 0.32 0.41 0.48 0.55 0.62 0.72 0.88 1.15 1.55 1.72 0.4 0.00 0.24 0.32 0.37 0.42 0.49 0.57 0.71 0.95 1.30 1.45 0.5 0.00 0.17 0.23 0.27 0.31 0.36 0.44 0.55 0.76 1.07 1.20 0.6 0.00 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.22 0.26 0.31 0.41 0.58 0.84 0.95 0.7 0.00 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.16 0.21 0.28 0.42 0.62 0.70 0.8 ‐0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.17 0.26 0.41 0.47
0.9 ‐0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.12 0.20 0.23 1.0 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.09 =3.0(Pricemarkup=1.5)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.35 0.51 0.63 0.74 0.84 0.95 1.08 1.29 1.81 2.63 0.1 0.00 0.28 0.41 0.51 0.61 0.70 0.79 0.91 1.09 1.57 2.31 0.2 ‐0.01 0.22 0.33 0.41 0.49 0.57 0.65 0.75 0.91 1.34 2.01 0.3 ‐0.01 0.17 0.26 0.32 0.39 0.45 0.52 0.60 0.75 1.13 1.73 0.4 ‐0.01 0.13 0.19 0.24 0.29 0.34 0.40 0.47 0.60 0.94 1.47 0.5 ‐0.01 0.09 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.25 0.29 0.35 0.46 0.75 1.21 0.6 ‐0.01 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.25 0.33 0.58 0.97 0.7 ‐0.02 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.15 0.22 0.41 0.72
0.8 ‐0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.26 0.48
0.9 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.12 0.24 1.0 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03
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Table6(cont.) =11.0(Pricemarkup=1.1)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.18 0.30 0.41 0.51 0.62 0.74 0.88 1.06 1.39 1.93 0.1 ‐0.01 0.14 0.24 0.33 0.42 0.51 0.61 0.73 0.89 1.18 1.67 0.2 ‐0.01 0.11 0.19 0.26 0.33 0.41 0.49 0.60 0.73 0.99 1.44 0.3 ‐0.02 0.08 0.14 0.20 0.26 0.32 0.39 0.47 0.59 0.82 1.22 0.4 ‐0.02 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.19 0.24 0.29 0.36 0.46 0.66 1.01 0.5 ‐0.02 0.03 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.17 0.21 0.26 0.34 0.51 0.82 0.6 ‐0.03 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.37 0.63
0.7 ‐0.04 ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.25 0.46
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.14 0.29
0.9 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.01 0.05 0.14 1.0 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02
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Table7:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesofσlintheSWmodel.σl=1.00
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.19 0.32 0.42 0.53 0.63 0.75 0.87 1.04 1.39 2.41
0.1 ‐0.01 0.15 0.25 0.34 0.42 0.51 0.61 0.72 0.86 1.17 2.08
0.2 ‐0.01 0.11 0.20 0.27 0.34 0.41 0.49 0.58 0.70 0.97 1.78
0.3 ‐0.02 0.08 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.32 0.38 0.45 0.55 0.79 1.51
0.4 ‐0.02 0.06 0.10 0.15 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.34 0.43 0.63 1.25
0.5 ‐0.02 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.13 0.16 0.20 0.25 0.31 0.48 1.01
0.6 ‐0.03 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.13 0.16 0.21 0.35 0.78
0.7 ‐0.04 ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.23 0.57
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.37
0.9 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.01 0.05 0.18
1.0 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01 σl=1.50
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.19 0.32 0.43 0.54 0.65 0.77 0.90 1.07 1.42 2.42
0.1 ‐0.01 0.15 0.26 0.35 0.44 0.53 0.63 0.75 0.90 1.21 2.12
0.2 ‐0.01 0.12 0.20 0.28 0.35 0.42 0.51 0.61 0.74 1.01 1.84
0.3 ‐0.02 0.09 0.15 0.21 0.27 0.33 0.40 0.48 0.59 0.84 1.57
0.4 ‐0.02 0.06 0.11 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.37 0.46 0.67 1.33
0.5 ‐0.02 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.22 0.27 0.34 0.52 1.09
0.6 ‐0.03 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.24 0.38 0.86
0.7 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.26 0.64
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.15 0.42
0.9 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.21
1.0 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01
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Table7(cont.)σl=3.00
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.20 0.34 0.46 0.57 0.69 0.82 0.98 1.17 1.52 2.47
0.1 ‐0.01 0.16 0.27 0.37 0.47 0.57 0.69 0.82 1.00 1.32 2.22
0.2 ‐0.01 0.13 0.22 0.30 0.38 0.47 0.57 0.68 0.84 1.13 1.98
0.3 ‐0.01 0.10 0.17 0.23 0.30 0.37 0.45 0.55 0.69 0.96 1.74
0.4 ‐0.02 0.07 0.12 0.18 0.23 0.29 0.35 0.43 0.55 0.79 1.51
0.5 ‐0.02 0.04 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.21 0.26 0.33 0.42 0.63 1.28
0.6 ‐0.02 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.30 0.47 1.05
0.7 ‐0.03 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.33 0.81
0.8 ‐0.04 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.19 0.56
0.9 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.29
1.0 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02 σl=10.0
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.24 0.40 0.54 0.69 0.84 1.01 1.22 1.48 1.87 2.70
0.1 ‐0.01 0.20 0.34 0.46 0.59 0.73 0.88 1.07 1.32 1.70 2.55
0.2 ‐0.01 0.16 0.28 0.39 0.50 0.62 0.76 0.93 1.16 1.52 2.38
0.3 ‐0.01 0.13 0.23 0.32 0.41 0.51 0.63 0.79 0.99 1.34 2.21
0.4 ‐0.01 0.10 0.17 0.25 0.32 0.41 0.51 0.65 0.83 1.15 2.02
0.5 ‐0.01 0.07 0.13 0.19 0.25 0.32 0.40 0.51 0.67 0.96 1.82
0.6 ‐0.02 0.04 0.08 0.13 0.17 0.23 0.29 0.38 0.50 0.76 1.58
0.7 ‐0.02 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.19 0.25 0.34 0.55 1.30
0.8 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.09 0.13 0.19 0.34 0.97
0.9 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.53
1.0 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 0.00 0.03
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Table8:VariationintherealwageIRFattheone‐quarterhorizoninresponsetoaone‐standard‐deviationdeclineintheinterestrateacrosspairsofvaluesofξpandξwandforselectedvaluesofεw,givenεp=0,intheSWmodel.εw=0,εp=0(Dixit‐Stiglitzcase)
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.04 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.31 0.41 0.54 0.72 1.00 1.62
0.1 ‐0.01 0.04 0.09 0.14 0.21 0.28 0.38 0.50 0.66 0.93 1.51
0.2 ‐0.01 0.03 0.07 0.13 0.18 0.25 0.34 0.45 0.60 0.84 1.40
0.3 ‐0.01 0.02 0.06 0.11 0.16 0.22 0.29 0.39 0.53 0.75 1.27
0.4 ‐0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.13 0.18 0.25 0.33 0.45 0.65 1.13
0.5 ‐0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.20 0.27 0.37 0.54 0.97
0.6 ‐0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.20 0.28 0.42 0.80
0.7 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.19 0.29 0.61
0.8 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 ‐0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.16 0.40
0.9 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.19
1.0 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 εw=33,εp=0
Price Stickiness (ξp) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Wage Stickiness (ξ w)
0.0 0.04 0.10 0.16 0.23 0.31 0.41 0.54 0.72 1.00 1.61 0.1 ‐0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.20 0.26 0.35 0.48 0.69 1.19 0.2 ‐0.02 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.18 0.24 0.34 0.50 0.91
0.3 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.17 0.24 0.36 0.71
0.4 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.11 0.16 0.25 0.54
0.5 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.17 0.41
0.6 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.11 0.30
0.7 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.20
0.8 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.02 ‐0.01 0.02 0.12
0.9 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.06 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.05 ‐0.04 ‐0.03 ‐0.03 ‐0.01 0.05 1.0 ‐0.10 ‐0.09 ‐0.09 ‐0.09 ‐0.08 ‐0.08 ‐0.07 ‐0.06 ‐0.04 ‐0.02