real changes, improving performance · emerging h&w trends –consumer awareness • high...
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Kellogg Company September 5, 2018
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Real Changes, Improving Performance
BostonSeptember 5, 2018
Kellogg Company
Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference
BARCLAYS CONFERENCE I SEPTEMBER 5, 2018
Forward-Looking Statements
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This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, “forward-looking statements” with projections concerning, among other things, the Company’s global growth and efficiency program (Project K), the integration of acquired businesses, the Company’s strategy, zero-based budgeting, and the Company’s sales, earnings, margin, operating profit, costs and expenditures, interest expense, tax rate, capital expenditure, dividends, cash flow, debt reduction, share repurchases, costs, charges, rates of return, brand building, ROIC, working capital, growth, new products, innovation, cost reduction projects, workforce reductions, savings, and competitive pressures. Forward-looking statements include predictions of future results or activities and may contain the words “expects,” “believes,” “should,” “will,” “anticipates,” “projects,” “estimates,” “implies,” “can,” or words or phrases of similar meaning.
The Company’s actual results or activities may differ materially from these predictions. The Company’s future results could also be affected by a variety of factors, including the ability to implement Project K (including the exit from its Direct Story Delivery system) as planned, whether the expected amount of costs associated with Project K will differ from forecasts, whether the Company will be able to realize the anticipated benefits from Project K in the amounts and times expected, the ability to realize the benefits from our implementation of a more formal Revenue Growth Management discipline, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies from the acquisitions in the amounts and at the times expected, the impact of competitive conditions; the effectiveness of pricing, advertising, and promotional programs; the success of innovation, renovation and new product introductions; the recoverability of the carrying value of goodwill and other intangibles; the success of productivity improvements and business transitions; commodity and energy prices; transportation costs; labor costs; disruptions or inefficiencies in supply chain; the availability of and interest rates on short-term and long-term financing; actual market performance of benefit plan trust investments; the levels of spending on systems initiatives, properties, business opportunities, integration of acquired businesses, and other general and administrative costs; changes in consumer behavior and preferences; the effect of U.S. and foreign economic conditions on items such as interest rates, statutory tax rates, currency conversion and availability; legal and regulatory factors including changes in food safety, advertising and labeling laws and regulations; the ultimate impact of product recalls; business disruption or other losses from war, terrorist acts or political unrest; and other items.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly.
This presentation includes non‐GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the earnings press release, which is available on the Investor Relations page on the Company’s website, www.Kelloggcompany.com, for a reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Management believes that the use of such non-GAAP measures assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of the company and its segments.
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What a Difference a Year Makes
Transitioned to new management
Launched Deploy For Growth strategy
Completed most of Project K
restructuring, including transition out
of DSD
Acquired RXBAR, increased West
Africa investment, consolidated
Multipro
Ramped up Brand Building investment
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Improving PerformanceNet Sales, Organic Growth *
• Big brands back in growth
• Accelerated emerging-markets growth
• Frozen Foods momentum
• Improved velocities in U.S. Snacks
• Stabilized cereal in U.K., Australia, Canada
* Organic growth excludes the impact of acquisitions, dispositions, shipping-days differences, and foreign-currency translation.
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Deploying for Growth Means Making Changes
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Agenda
• Change in Portfolio & Footprint
• Change in How We Innovate
• Change in How We Build Brands
• Change in Our Growth Trajectory
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Shaping a Growth Portfolio
CAGNY 2018 I DEPLOY FOR GROWTH 7
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Shaping a Growth Portfolio
Long-Term Trajectory
% of Total Net Sales; Organic-Basis Net Sales Growth
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Developed Markets Snacks – Strong Brands
Better Growth for Biggest Brands:
Investment Support for First Time in Years:
Our Own Challenger Brands:
BARCLAYS CONFERENCE I SEPTEMBER 5, 2018
Big Brands Back in Growth:
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Developed Markets Cereal – Strong Brands
Big Brands Stabilizing:
Our Own Challenger Brands:
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Developed Markets Frozen – Strong Brands
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Emerging Markets – Building Scale & GrowthKellogg Emerging Markets, Volume in Kilos
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Emerging Markets – Strong Brands
Big Global Brands:
Trusted Kellogg Masterbrand:
Expandable Local Brands:
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Emerging Markets – Now a Major DriverEmerging Markets as % of Net Sales
Source: Management’s interpretation of data from company reports, and analysts’ published estimates; peers are large-cap, U.S.-based packaged food companies
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Agenda
• Change in Portfolio & Footprint
• Change in How We Innovate
• Change in How We Build Brands
• Change in Our Growth Trajectory
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Changing How We Innovate
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A Health & Wellness Heritage
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Our Innovation Opportunity
• Mega-trends
• Fit for our Portfolio
• New approach
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Emerging H&W Trends – Consumer Awareness
• High interest in fiber and plant protein
• Plant-based diet getting recognized for health, environmental, and ethical reasons
• High intuitive link between gut and other bodily functions, especially emotion
• Consumers already demand what we can offer!
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Emerging H&W Mega-Trand – Plant-Based Protein
• Specific protein needs now understood
• New techniques to modify plant protein profiles
• Novel fermentation and cellular agricultural processes produce unique protein and micro-nutrient profiles
• Our portfolio and heritage is plant-based foods!
Source: The Balanced Body Nutrition
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Emerging H&W Mega-Trend – Microbiome
• Number of scientific-publication references increasing exponentially
• Increasing accessibility of gene sequencing will continue to increase awareness
• Human studies are underway
• We specialize in grains and fiber! Source: PubMed.gov, Trilink Biotechnologies
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New Approach – From Trend to Paradigm
Science:Microbiome
Plant-based sustenance
Food:Culinary-inspired
grainoliers
Model:Rapid prototyping,iterative learners
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Getting Ideas From New Sources
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Renovating Existing Foods
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Getting Food & Communication Right
Inner Strength: Digestive Health:
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Daring to be Different
Hyper-Convenience
Digestive Wellness
Next-Generation Natural
..
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Agenda
• Change in Portfolio & Footprint
• Change in How We Innovate
• Change in How We Build Brands
• Change in Our Growth Trajectory
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Building World Class Brands
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Data & Analytics at the Center of What We Do
BetterData
Advanced Analytics
First party database 26 million consumers Receipt / loyalty card
purchase data
Program that identifies individual consumers by device
Enables move from “One message for all” to “Right message for each”
Real time integrated consumer response
Weekly media / content
oprtimization
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Shifting Media Mix, Influencing Consumer/Shopper
MEDIA % MIX
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Extending Brand Building into eCommerce
Commercial channel
Test & Learn
Brand building
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Already Seeing Improved Results
Source: Kellogg Nielsen Market Mix Model
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
COST PER AD IMPRESSION
RETURN ON AD SPEND (BY DATA SET)
% QUALITY IMPRESSIONS
Source: Starcom
Source: Nielsen Catalina Services
Source: Moat
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Creating Personalized Experiences
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Creating Trial and Buzz
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Contemporizing and Customizing our Content
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Agenda
• Change in Portfolio & Footprint
• Change in How We Innovate
• Change in How We Build Brands
• Change in Our Growth Trajectory
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Moving Toward Sustainable Growth
Reduce Cost
Structure
Invest in Brands &
Capabilities
DeliverSustainable
Growth
• Complete Project K• Sustain ZBB
• Brand Building & Innovation
• Pack Formats• Commercial Execution• Portfolio
• Balanced Top-Line Growth and Margin Expansion
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In Summary
• Improving results
• Strengthened portfolio
• Enhanced capabilities