rates markets
DESCRIPTION
Rates Markets. Graham Bird, MD - Global Head of Rates Markets. 11 December 2003. Rates Markets - Trading Activities. Rates Distribution & Origination. Short-Term Product. Government Bonds. Govt & Agency Origination. Derivatives. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Rates MarketsGraham Bird, MD - Global Head of Rates Markets
11 December 2003
0 2
Rates Distribution & OriginationShort-Term Product Government Bonds Govt & Agency Origination Derivatives
Rates Markets - Trading Activities
Rates Markets’ vision is to grow client-driven revenues combined with a relative value approach to trading
C om m erc ialBank ing Books
R epo Trad ing
B anking B ooks
Short T e rmProducts
G ove rnm entBonds
D eriva tives
R e la tive Va lue /D irectiona l Trad ing
M arket M aking
In te rest R a teExo tics
S tructu re P roducts
C om m od ities
O the r A ssetC lasses
Structured Products
Rates M arkets
Rates Research
0 3
Banking Book Revenues (2000 = 100)
Commercial Banking Books Main themes
– revenues in Commercial Banking Books determined primarily by shape of yield curve and short-term interest rates
– rate direction is largely counter-cyclical to economic developments
– revenues are negatively correlated with other Value Centres (e.g. defaults) and BUs (e/g. Corp.Finance.)
– revenues from Commercial Banking Books show low volatility
Rates markets strategic direction
– increasing dedicated short-term distribution capability targeted at specific investor groups
– reduce dependency on yield-curve levels and shape by increasing proportion of client-driven revenues
020406080
100120140160
2000 2001 2002 2003E
0 4
Client-driven Revenues (2000 = 100)
Market Making
Main themes
– increased client-driven revenues
– decreasing margins per trade increase importance
of market-share (Economies of Scale) and margin
retention
Rates markets strategic direction
– competitive offering and effective product delivery
leading to increased market share and associated
leverage
– optimisation of pricing and price-dissemination
technology to further increase market share on
electronic trading platforms
– centralisation of back office infrastructure to reduce
cost per ticket - completed for derivatives
– relative-value approach to trading
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003
0 5
Client revenues from newly introduced product classes (2000 = 100)
Structured Products Main themes
– size of the market continuing to increase with a plethora of new product variations
– decreasing time-to-market leading to increasing rate of commoditisation - margins driven to levels on flow products more quickly
Rates markets strategic direction
– providing more products to selected client base and increasing the proportion of tailor-made client solutions
– expanding product range and increasing deal volume per product type
– innovation by boosting new product introductions, such as:
– weather derivatives (2001 introduction)
– inflation products (2002 introduction)
– commodity derivatives (2003 introduction)
0 6
.
3rd best derivatives bank overall and top ranked the bank in 8 separate categories
June 2003End User Survey
2nd overall in FX
Forwards
Best Bank AwardJune 2003
Interest Rate Derivatives
Global Top Tier
3rd largest market share with higher share-of-wallet
Enhanced Market Positions
ABN AMRO is the key gainer in this year's Risk magazine poll of
derivatives users, the most closely followed industry survey of its
kind
– the survey shows that ABN AMRO has a strong corporate client base in Europe, and
it is making inroads into the US market and the asset manager user base
Greenwich noted in its latest report that ABN AMRO’s penetration
is improving with and deepening European relationships
Best Bank Award from FX Week showed encouraging result -
improved one placing from previous year
– no 2 best bank in FX Forwards (total votes), no 1 best bank with corporates and
investors
0 7
* Primary dealer for Federal and State Governments in Australia, no primary dealers in Denmark and Germany1 Also trade, not as primary dealer
Ranked No. 1 for European Economic Research in most recent Extel Survey
Major Liquidity Provider: No. 2 in Bund auctions, top 3 in EU auctions overall
No.3 ranked market maker in execution of European Govt Bonds on TradeWeb
Lead managed €38bn EU Sovereign syndicated deals in 2003 year to date. (Finland, Belgium, Austria, Holland, Portugal, Denmark)
Strong presence in European and US Agency markets
Specialist global distribution team of 57 sales staff
Active participant in multi-contributor and proprietary E-commerce platforms; over 2000 client institutions and 10 000 users globally
Primary dealerships United States United Kingdom France Italy Spain Holland Belgium Austria
Ireland Sweden Finland Czech Republic Poland Portugal
Germany* Denmark*
South Africa Argentina Colombia India Thailand Australia* Greece1
Norway1
E-commerce platforms
Of 22 dealers on TradeWeb in European Govts, ABN AMRO is:
• No. 4 in Enquires
• No. 3 in trades done
• No.2 in hit ratio
• No.4 in time taken to respond to enquires.
Enhanced Market Positions
0 8
Accelerated Profitable Growth
Enhance mature, volume-driven business
– Expand the distribution capability and invest in technology for Money Markets and Repo
Trading
– Expand the technology platform for Government Bond Trading
– Expand the geographical scope of Derivatives distribution and upgrade the front-to-back
infrastructure for vanilla derivatives
Building out material new growth spikes
– Expand the trading and distribution capability for Commodity Derivatives
– Expand the trading and distribution capability for Hybrid derivatives (cross Credit and Rates)
– Grow revenues from exotic interest rate derivatives and `new’ structured products (such as
dynamic guarantees)
0 9
Summary
Client-driven revenues increasing
Revenues from newly introduced products increasing
Product positions in key markets increasing
Margins decreasing, particularly on flow products
Transaction volumes increasing
Technology critical for efficient product delivery
Innovation and product replication increasingly important