ratcliff models cahiers proof

Upload: gertruda

Post on 03-Jun-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    1/20

    Cahiers Franois Vite, 11-12, 2007, p. 63-82.

    MODELS,METAPHORS,AND THE TRANSIT OF VENUS

    IN VICTORIAN BRITAIN

    Jessica RATCLIFF

    RsumAu XIXe sicle, lobservatoire royal de Greenwich a connu une transformation

    remarquable qui a conduit certains historiens parler de la rvolution industrielle

    des sciences de lobservatoire. George Biddell Airy (astronome royal de 1835

    1881) est lun des acteurs principaux de cette transformation. Au sommet de sa

    carrire, il sembarque dans lune de ses entreprises les plus ambitieuses,

    lexprience consistant mesurer la parallaxe solaire laide du passage de Vnus

    de 1874. Cet article tudie la connexion entre la conception du programme de 1874

    et les nouvelles mthodes dobservation quAiry a stimules Greenwich pendant

    toute sa carrire. Au centre de son programme de formation des observateurs se

    trouve un modle simulant le passage de Vnus. Il sagit, de la part dAiry, dune

    extension audacieuse des mthodes standard dobservation hors du domaine de

    lastronomie de position pour lequel elles avaient t dveloppes. Aprs le passage,

    il apparat clairement que cette prparation a t mal conue. Une interprtation

    confuse de la mtaphore de la goutte noire et une confiance mal place dans la

    reprsentation offerte par le modle a men des prvisions incorrectes propos

    daspects cruciaux du passage de Vnus. Le programme du modle met donc en

    lumire les ambitions et les limites des innovations que lindustrie avait inspires

    Airy dans le domaine des sciences de lobservatoire

    Abstract

    During the nineteenth century, the Royal Observatory Greenwich underwent a re-

    markable transformation, which has been described by historians as like an indus-

    trial revolution in observatory science. George Biddell Airy (Astronomer Royal

    from 1835 to 1881) was a leading figure in this period. The effort to measure the

    distance to the sun (solar parallax) using observations of the 1874 transit of Venus

    was one of the most ambitious enterprises of his career. In many ways the transit

    programme became a proving ground for the new methods of industrial astronomy

    that had been developing over the previous half-century. In order for the plan to

    succeed, multiple geographically-separated observations of a particular moment in

    the transits passage would have to be made. The problem was that no one alive had

    ever witnessed a transit or knew what this moment would look like. The response

    was to build simulation transits of Venusmechanical modelsto be used for ex-

    perimentation and training. The design of these models was driven in part by calcu-

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    2/20

    64 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    lations and in part by the astronomical reports from previous transits of Venus in the

    eighteenth century. Some of these reports evoked metaphorical descriptions of a

    black drop effect at the crucial moment to be observed. When it was found that

    some models also produced a black drop effect, the phenomenon came to be thought

    of by Airy and his assistants as real and reliable. This belief would turn out to befalse.

    1. Introduction : A Problem at the Factory

    The transformation of the Royal Observatory Greenwich during the

    tenure of George Biddell Airy (Astronomer Royal, 1835-1881), has at-

    tracted the attention of historians such as Robert W. Smith, who described

    the observatorys development in the following way:

    Under Airy, the Observatorys complement and types of instru-

    ments, as well as methods of management, were transformed from

    those characteristic of a pre-industrial society to those of a societythat had undergone the second phase of the Industrial Revolution.

    The result was that, although the Observatory was certainly notable

    for its scientific results, it was perhaps even more important for the

    new ways of pursuing astronomy fashioned there.107

    One outstanding period in Airys management career was his leader-

    ship of the British program to measure the distance to the sun using obser-

    vations of the transit of Venus in 1874. Using his leverage as Britains pre-

    miere government scientist, Airy managed to obtain unprecedented

    amounts of public funding for a project of pure research. From an initial

    parliamentary grant of 15,500, the actual costs, according to Admiralty

    accusations, swelled somewhere beyond 40,000108. In many ways the

    1874 transit of Venus enterprise was one of the most ambitions endeavors

    of Airys career, and one in which the new ways of pursuing astronomy

    were put to the test. This paper discusses the practice of one particularly

    107Robert Smith (1991) A National Observatory Transformed: Greenwich

    in the Nineteenth Century,Journal of the History of Astronomy 22, 5-20, at p. 5.108 In terms of purchasing power, 15,000 in 1870 equalled roughly

    960,000 in 1998. Robert Twigger, Inflation: the Value of the Pound 1750-

    1998. London. House of Commons. February 1999. A better gauge of the finan-

    cial significance of the program may be gained from comparing it to the govern-

    ments annual budgeted allocation for scientific research, which (when it began in1876) was 4,000 per year.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    3/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 65

    new aspect of observation employed in the transit program: the attempt to

    increase the precision and accuracy of the results by training observers on

    mechanical models of the transit of Venus. These simulations were a major

    part of transit operations worldwide, and each of the large government pro-grams developed their own models for research, experiment or training.

    Especially in Britain, as I will explain, model training was as central to the

    success of the transit plan as were the telescopes, telegraph lines, and

    photoheliographs. The plan was closely related to other recent changes in

    the practice of astronomical observation, especially the rise of labour divi-

    sion and associated developments in standardization.

    In a manufacturing setting, the concept of labour division refers to

    the disassembly of artisan or craft work into relatively unskilled segments

    of repetitive labour. In relation to astronomy, historians and scientists from

    Simon Newcomb in 1903 to William Ashworth in 1998 have identified a

    similar process within the observatory as the marker of the Victorian re-

    forms in astronomy. Newcomb, director of the U.S. transit of Venus enter-prise in 1874, recalled:

    We may look back on Airy as the most commanding figure in

    the astronomy of our time. He owes this position not only to

    his early works in mathematical astronomy, but also to his

    ability as an organizer. ... he introduced the same sort of im-

    provement that our times have witnessed in great manufactur-

    ing establishments, where labour is so organized that unskilled

    men bring about results that formerly demanded a high grade

    of technical ability. He introduced production on a large scale

    into astronomy.109

    Along similar lines, Allan Chapman has much more recently argued that

    Airy was able, like the manufacturers and engineers he so admired, to

    make uniformity of product in positional astronomy a matter of course, by

    replacing skill with 'regularity of procedure.110

    109Smith (1991) Observatory Transformed, arty. cit. p. 13.110 Allan Chapman (1992) George Biddell Airy, F.R.S. (1801-1892): A

    centenary commemoration,Notes and Records of the Royal Society of London 46,p. 103-110.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    4/20

    66 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    Different historians have traced the division of labour at different

    points in the process of observatory work.111Most relevant to the subject of

    this paper are the changes that were introduced to the practice of observa-

    tion, especially those aimed at minimizing residual errors due to humanparticipation in the process of measurement. As Simon Schaffer has argued,

    in seeking to standardize observers, the act of observation was destroyed

    and then painstakingly rebuilt through a range of surrogates for some no-

    tional direct experience.112Most notably, common observations, such as

    those of the passage of a star across a wire, were now corrected for individ-

    ual differences in the timing of the observation. These individual differ-

    ences were referred to as an observers personality or personal equa-

    tion. The discrepancies generally appeared as very small and very regular

    difference in the timingsome observers were slow and some were fast

    of recorded stellar observations. Such differences were removed from the

    final result by applying observers personal equations to the data.

    The effort to regulate observation faced new challenges in the 1874transit of Venus. Whereas standardization of the observation of a stars

    passage across a wire could be achieved with the personal equation, stan-

    dardization of the transit of Venus observations required not only a correc-

    tion for the observers reaction time but also regulation of the observers

    perceptual judgement. This was simply because the observations required

    for the transit of Venus were much more complex than the average astro-

    nomical observation.

    The transit method of measuring the suns distance depended upon

    numerous geographically-separated observations of the moment, called

    contact, when the edge of the silhouette of Venus touched the limb of the

    sun as the planets shadow entered or began to exit the face of the sun. Inorder for the method to succeed, it was essential that observers from differ-

    ent stations across the globe made identical judgements about the moment

    111 In Observatory Transformed, Smith focuses on the accountant-house

    style of computation. William J. Ashworth describes Greenwich feeding the net-

    work of information that sustained the British Empire. See Ashworth (1998) John

    Herschel, George Airy, and the Roaming Eye of the State,History of Science 36,

    152-178. Holly Rothermel has described instrumental aspects of Airys factory-

    like regime at Greenwich. See Rothermel (1993) Images of the Sun: Warren De

    La Rue, George Biddell Airy and Celestial Photography, British Journal for the

    History of Science, 26, p. 137-169, at p. 26.

    112Simon Schaffer (1988) Astronomers mark time: Discipline and the per-sonal equation, Science in Context, 2, p. 115-145, at p. 118-9.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    5/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 67

    of contact. Each observer had to know exactly what to look for, and all

    observers had to do so in the same way. This was already a difficult task,

    but an even greater problem was that, since the last transit of Venus had

    occurred over a century ago, no one then alive had ever witnessed the phe-nomenon. The only guidance available was found in the observation reports

    from the previous transits of Venus in 1761 and 1769. These reports con-

    tained detailed descriptions of the phenomenon of contact, and often re-

    sorted to metaphorical descriptions to explain what had been seen. These

    descriptions, especially the so-called black drop effect, a distortion of the

    planet at contact, were to have an enormous effect on the transit pro-

    grammes in 1874.

    How can observers be prepared to judge the appearance of contact,

    when the nature of that appearance is unknown? One widely adopted solu-

    tion was to develop mechanical simulations of the passage of the planet

    across the sun. These models were constructed according to what was

    known about the transit (the relative sizes of the Venus and the sun, forexample), but they were also appraised and modified according to the re-

    ports from 1761 and 1769.

    This new interest in modeling is unprecedented in the history of as-

    tronomy. The models did not depend upon new technology; especially in

    the case of the British models (which were not electric), similar instruments

    could have been produced in the eighteenth century as well. In fact, during

    the eighteenth-century transit preparations, a training model had been pro-

    posed, but apparently it was never constructed. Instead, the most famous

    artificial transit of that timea blend of scene painting and orrery-like

    celestial modelswas created by Benjamin Martin for use in his lectures

    and public shows.113

    Rather, the popularity of the model approach may fit a wider mi-

    metic impulse, as Alexi Assmus and Peter Galison have called it, that

    some historians have argued is evident throughout Victorian science.114

    113John Bevis, one of the members of the Royal Society's Transit Commit-

    tee, suggested using a mechanical simulator, in which a small artificial Venus

    could be observed moving across an artificial Sun, in preparing and training ob-

    servers for the transit. Council Minutes of the Royal Society, November 30, 1767.

    Cited in Harry Woolf (1959) The Transits of Venus: A Study of Eighteenth-

    Century Science(Princeton: Princeton Univ. Press).114Peter Galison and Alexi Assmus (1989) quoted in: S. Schaffer, Where

    Experiments End: Tabletop Trials in Victorian Astronomy, in Jed Z. Bushwald(ed.), Scientific Practice: Theories and Stories of Doing Physics (1995), 257-299.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    6/20

    68 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    Cyclones, tidal vortices, and clouds were also modeled mechanically in the

    late nineteenth century. Within astronomy, Norman Lockyers laboratory

    research designed to recreate aspects of the sun in the laboratory may be

    seen as a similar pursuit of useful artificial representations of nature.115

    2. Edward Stone and the Black Drop Effect

    Although the black drop effect is a central element of histories of the

    eighteenth- and nineteenth-century transits of Venus, the status of the phe-

    nomenon remains somewhat mysterious. A distortion of the silhouette of

    Venus near the moments of internal contact was first seen by astronomers

    in 1761 and reported by many more in 1769. In 1874 less than half of the

    observers would see it, and even fewer would report it in 1882. When the

    transit returned in 2004, much of the interest in seeing contacts was due to

    the open question of whether or not a black drop effect would be seen

    (none was). It is still unclear why the black drop effect has been at times so

    prevalent and at times so elusive. Possible causes include the smearing of

    light by the earths atmosphere (which may vary depending on the altitude

    of the sun), telescopic refraction, the expectations of the observer, or vari-

    ous combinations of the three. But whatever the true nature of the black

    drop effect, expectations and preconceptions about it would play a major

    role in the worldwide preparations for the 1874 transit.

    In order to understand the role that the black drop effect would play

    in the transits of 1874 and 1882, it is necessary to go back to Edmond Hal-

    leys original plan to measure the distance to the sun using a transit of Ve-

    nus. The idea came to him, he later recalled, while observing a transit of

    Mercury at St. Helena in 1677. At the moment when the planet fully en-tered the sun, he reported seeing a lucid line appear clearly and suddenly

    at the outer edge of the planet, an event that he reckoned could be measur-

    able to a small part of a second.116Seeing this line of light, Halley real-

    ized that other observers at far away places on the earth also watching this

    transit would see the line of light appear at a different absolute time, and

    that this difference could be used to accurately calculate solar parallax. He

    thus designed a plan for the much more favourable conditions of a transit of

    115Ibid.116D. Sellers (2001) The Transit of Venus: The Quest to Find the True Dis-

    tance of the Sun (Leeds: Maga Velda Press), p. 206. Sellers provides an Englishtranslation of Halleys original plan.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    7/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 69

    Venus.117The aim, for each observer, was to record the time at which the

    disk of Venus first fully entered the sun (recognizable by the appearance of

    the line of light) and the time at which the planets disk first touched the

    opposite edge of the sun (recognizable by the disappearance of the line) atthe end of the transit. But, as astronomers discovered when the next transits

    arrived in 1761 and 1769, the crucial lucid line was much more elusive than

    Halley had suggested. Instead, what most of the observers reported during

    the contact of the edges of the sun and Venus was a distortion of Venuss

    silhouette just as its edge was breaking away from (or coming into contact

    with) the edge of the sun. As one observer put it, [t]he planet, instead of

    appearing truly circular, resembled more the form of a bergamot pear, or, as

    Governor Pigott then expressed it, looked like a ninepin.118 This phe-

    nomenon, which came to be known as the black drop or ligament, se-

    verely complicated the task of forming standard reports of a single, precise

    time at which Venus fully entered and exited the face of the sun. Times of

    contact recorded by astronomers side-by-side differed by as much asthirty seconds. In the end, the expeditions did not produce a result any-

    where near the degree of accuracy that had been expected, and the unex-

    pected complexity of the moment of contact was the primary reason

    why.119

    The black drop phenomenon came down to nineteenth-century as-

    tronomers through these eighteenth-century reports. One common view

    attributed the black drop effect to the imperfect optics of the reflecting tele-

    scopes used during those transits. However as the transit of 1874 ap-

    proached, ideas about the black drop began to change.

    The eighteenth-century reports were periodically re-evaluated in at-

    tempts to extract a better result for solar parallax from the data. Astrono-mers such as J.F. Encke and Edward James Stone (1831-1897) produced

    their own values of solar parallax from the eighteenth-century observations.

    Stone had been chief assistant at the Royal Observatory Greenwich since

    1860. In June of 1868, he published a new analysis of the 1769 reports.

    According to Stone, a re-evaluation was called for by the growing dis-

    agreement between the most accepted 1769 transit value of 8".54 (by Encke

    117During a transit of Venus, the planet is much closer to the earth than Mer-

    cury is during its transit.118R.A. Proctor (1874) Transits of Venus, from the First Observed A.D.1639

    to the Transit of A.D.2012, p. 60.

    119 For a full history of the eighteenth-century transits, see H. Woolf, TheTransits of Venus, op. cit.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    8/20

    70 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    in 1824), and the recent results of lunar theory, speed of light measures, and

    Mars in opposition, all of which pointed to a parallax of at least 8".9. De-

    spite this growing disparity, Stones confidence in the soundness of the

    transit method remained strong and he sought to discover a source of errorthat would explain why Enckes value was out of line with the more recent

    measures.120

    In his review of Enckes (and others) work, Stone found what he

    called errors of interpretation. Each observation of contact typically con-

    sisted of numerous times, such as Father Sajnovicss recording of contac-

    tus dubius certus at 15h.26m.18s and contactus certus at

    15h.26m.26s.121 The difficulty with the transit observations had always

    been: which of these times shall be taken as contact? The contactus

    dubius certus might have been too early, and the contactus certus might

    have been too late. Should some time in between be taken, should one of

    the two times be selected, or should the observation be rejected altogether?

    Stones theory was that the black drop effect actually appeared at truecontact, and that what looked like geometric contact (when the edges of

    the sun and Venus appear to intersect) was actually after the edge of the

    planets silhouette had passed the edge of the sun. It is less important that

    Stone was arguing that the black drop occurred at true contact (and later

    Stones theory would be reversed) ; more importantly, the black drop was

    now considered a legitimate observable phase of any transit of Venus.

    With this new perspective, Stone selected observations in which it

    was clear that the observer had recorded either geometric contact or true

    contact, as in the formation or break of the drop. He found that the differ-

    ence between observations of geometric contact versus the formation or

    break of the drop was about sixteen seconds, and he thus calibrated theobservations accordingly, so that all observations, in effect, referred to the

    formation or break of the drop. In essence, the black drop became the new

    lucid line by which the timings of the contact observations were aligned.

    On this basis, he succeeded, by simply interpreting strictly the language

    employed by the observers, in producing a new parallax value of 8.91"

    from the eighteenth-century data. 122The result itself did not have a wide

    impact on the contemporary value of solar parallax, but because Stones

    approach produced a more agreeable value of parallax, his analysis of the

    120E.J. Stone (1868) A Rediscussion of the Observations of the Transit of

    Venus,MNRAS, 28, p. 255, at p. 255.

    121Ibid., p. 256.122Ibid.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    9/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 71

    black drops features seemed to be valid, and the black drop as a real phe-

    nomenon seemed to be validated as well. The gold medal of the Royal As-

    tronomical Society was awarded to him in 1869 for this work.

    2.1. The Transit of Mercury in 1868

    These theoretical investigations of the contact phenomena were sup-

    plemented by experiment and observation. For the latter, the transit of Mer-

    cury in 1868 brought a chance to make actual observations of contacts of a

    very similar kind (though the silhouette of Mercury is much smaller than

    that of Venus). By 1868, growing interest in the transit of Venus brought,

    as one observer reported, every possessor of a telescope in England out

    to observe the transit of Mercury on the morning of November 5th.123At

    Greenwich, six observers were stationed to observe the planets exit

    (egress). In a trial run, the observers were to time the moment of contact as

    if observing the transit of Venus. The results were not encouraging; time

    recordings of internal contact by observers side-by-side differed by as

    much as eleven seconds. Each observer saw various kinds of distortions,

    though some of them were very mild.

    Of the twenty-one observations of the Mercury transit published in

    the MNRAS, nine reported a distortion, three reported no distortion, and

    nine could not say due to boiling of the suns limb or other atmospheric

    conditions. Taken all together, the 1868 observation reports formed a mass

    of contradiction.

    In his analysis of the observations made at Greenwich, Stone inter-

    preted the reports in the same way he had interpreted the 1769 reports. Re-

    garding the eleven-second disparity in contact times across observers,Stone offered practical hints for improving the results in 1874. Most im-

    portantly, similar instruments with the same aperture and magnification

    should be used, and attention should be directed to observations of real

    internal contact [formation or break of the drop] as the chief points.

    Airy, following Stone, believed that the inconsistencies in the obser-

    vations could be reduced. The American transit of Venus commission on

    the other hand took the results of the 1868 transit of Mercury as a major

    reason to seek alternative methods. A large majority [of astronomers] will

    agree, wrote Simon Newcomb in 1872, that [the method of contact] can-

    not be safely depended upon until some method is found to guard against

    123The reports are reprinted in the December 1868 issue of theMNRAS.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    10/20

    72 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    the errors to which experience shows it to be subject.124Thus the Ameri-

    can Commission began to focus on photography as an alternative. Airy, in

    contrast, and although he also began a photographic wing of the pro-

    gramme, remained confident in the traditional contact method.

    3. The Model Solution

    In March of 1873, Warren De La Rue, the chief photographer of the

    British programme, wrote to Airy about making some experiments to imi-

    tate the appearance of Venus on the suns disc, that is, to make photographs

    of the Sun with an Artificial Venus interposed.125Airy replied that De La

    Rue was not alone in starting to think about modeling the transit; the Rus-

    sians and the Germans had already created a working model, and Green-

    wich was having one constructed. The idea of creating an artificial transit

    came from all quarters. By the end of 1873 all countries involved would

    have constructed their own artificial transits.

    To some contemporary journalists, the idea of astronomical modeling

    was inspired by military strategy. In the London Graphicsarticle devoted

    to the Sham Transit of Venus, the author explained how the Astronomer

    Royal, acting on the principle which induces naval and military command-

    ers to organise sham fights as a preparation for real battle, constructed an

    artificial model of Venus.126This may indeed have been how the head of

    instruction for the transit programme, George Lyon Tupman (1838-1922),

    would have characterised the model training. Tupman, then a Captain in the

    Royal Marine Artillery, had had a long career in the Navy. He became in-

    volved in all aspects of the programmes management. After Airy, Tupman

    was the most central figure in the British programme.The design of the British model originated at the Imperial Observa-

    tory of Russia at Pulkowa.127 The British, Russian, and German models

    were designed to be viewed through a telescope from a distance of 400 to

    500 feet. In contrast, the French and American models were designed to be

    viewed from a distance of nearly a kilometer. The long distance was in

    124 S. Newcomb and G.W. Hill (1872) Papers Relating to the Transit of Ve-

    nus in 1874(Transit of Venus Commission) p. 14.

    125W. De La Rue to G.B. Airy (1873-03-17), CUL RGO/6-271 no. 219.126Anonyme (1874) Artificial Transit of Venus at the Royal Observatory,

    The Graphic(London), 17 December.127A. Auwers to G.B. Airy (1872-08-31), CUL RGO/6-271 no. 894.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    11/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 73

    order to allow for more pronounced atmospheric effects, which were be-

    lieved by some to be an important factor in producing the black drop ef-

    fect.128

    A first version of the model at Greenwich was erected in October of1873. The event was publicised by a stack of penny-postcards sent out with

    an invitation to view the model exhibiting the phnomena in their true

    angular magnitude and velocity.129Viewing was open to anyone on any

    weekday before 2 oclock, and a partial list of interested visitors includes

    not only professional and private astronomers but also statesmen, admirals,

    civil servants, and other scientists. The working of the model is clear from

    figure 1. Venus is represented by a blackened metal disk that is attached to

    a slider bar below. This bar is attached to a clockwork mechanism, which

    pulls it along past the triangular opening in the frame. The metal Venus

    advances very slowly across the opening, less than 1/1000 of an inch per

    second. The opening represents the sun, with the two legs of the triangle

    representing the portions of the suns edge across which the planet passes.Natural light was reflected through this opening from a rotatable mirror

    positioned behind the apparatus, as seen in figure 2.

    3.1. Artificial Black Drop Experiments

    Just before the artificial moment of contact, a black drop effect was

    seen. As Airy described it, there is disturbance of the shape, somewhat

    similar to Captain Cooke's [sic.], but very much less.130This was an im-

    portant turning point in the programme. The central but previously inacces-

    sible black drop effect had now become reproducible and thus measurable.

    The model experiments were geared more to understanding the char-acteristics of the black drop than to unravelling its cause. The first experi-

    ments were conducted by George Forbes (1849-1936), a recent graduate of

    St. Catherines, Cambridge, and the newly appointed professor of natural

    128 The American model is described in S. Newcomb (1910) Popular As-

    tronomy (2nd edn.). The French models are described in C. Wolf and C. Andr

    (1876) Recherches sur les apparences singulires qui ont souvent accompagns

    l'observation des contacts de Mercure et de Vnus avec le bord du soleil,Recueil

    de mmoires, rapports et documents relatifs a l'observation du passage de Vnus

    sur le soleil, Tome 1, partie 2.129Unsigned, (October 1873), CUL RGO/6-277 no. 632.

    130Cook observed the transit (and a black drop effect) from Tahiti in 1769.G.B. Airy to G.L. Tupman (1873-11-19), CUL RGO/6-270 no. 126.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    12/20

    74 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    philosophy at Andersons College, Glasgow. The main purpose of Forbess

    model experiments was to measure the time difference between true geo-

    metric contactwhen the edge of the model Venus touched the edge of

    the model sunand when contact appears to an observer to have hap-pened.131Stone had estimated from the 1769 reports that the interval was

    about nine seconds. In the model, it was found to be closer to three sec-

    onds. Stone had also argued that the black drop occurred at real contact,

    and that geometric contact came after real contact. This idea was contra-

    dicted by the model.

    Further experimentation showed that this interval of time between

    black drop and true contact varied with the intensity of light.132The model

    used reflected sky light to represent the sun, and

    by using alternately full sunlight and ordinary cloud light, the

    black ligament may be seen to appear and disappearwith full

    sunlight the ligament is still visible eight or ten seconds aftertrue contact, but with dull light it disappears at the third sec-

    ond after contact; it is therefore expected that any atmospheric

    cause which diminishes the Suns brightness will affect the

    formation of the ligament.133

    In general the cause of the black drop was explained with reference

    to irradiation. In Forbess subsequent article series in Nature, he de-

    scribed irradiation as that curious phaenomenon in virtue of which a star,

    or any bright object, appears larger than it really is. If, for example a thin

    platinum wire be intensely heated, it seems to a person distant about fifty

    feet to be as thick as a pencil.134Very bright light was needed to produce

    irradiation, and indeed the brighter the light, the stronger the black dropphenomenon appeared to be. But under dimmer circumstances, Forbes

    maintained, there is a similar effect due to mental aberration a perfectly

    definite phenomena that is capable of accurate investigation caused

    131The results were written up in an unpublished pamphlet: G. Forbes, The

    Appearances Presented by the Model Transit of Venus, Mounted at the Royal

    Observatory, With a Cloudy Sky. (25-10-1873), CUL RGO/6-277 no. 665.132 Anonyme (1874) Preparations for Observing the Transit of Venus,

    MNRAS, 34, p. 186, at p. 188.133Ibid.

    134G. Forbes (1874) The Coming Transit of Venus: IV,Nature,May 14,p. 27-30, at p. 28.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    13/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 75

    by a spreading of the excitement of the nerves of the retina, which gives

    rise to the sensation of vision over a sensible space.

    It is hard to pinpoint the meaning of the concept of irradiation at the

    time. In Bradley Schaefers recent attempt to explain the effect, he alignsthe nineteenth-century concept of irradiation with the modern concept of

    normal terrestrial atmospheric smearingthe diffusion of light through

    Earths atmosphereand notes that this explanation was first proposed in

    1770 by Lalande.135Other explanations were common however. Forbess

    reference to physiology is one. Another held it was due to diffraction

    through the atmosphere of Venus. A third proposed it was due to refraction

    in telescope optics.

    The cause of the black drop phenomenon remained vague. However

    the model experiments seemed to confirm that the phenomenon was regular

    and that it could be quantified.

    3.3. Training the Observers

    The most important function of the model was to train the observers.

    There were two aspects to the training. One involved giving the observers,

    some of whom had no background in astronomy, a basic familiarity with

    astronomical instruments and the routine of observation. Tumpan devel-

    oped a detailed set of instructions for the volunteers to followyou may

    laugh at them he told Airy but some of the men will know little or noth-

    ing about optical instruments when they begin.136

    The other aspect of training involved the specific task of discerning

    the moment of contact, and this involved the artificial black drop. A central

    part of the telescopic plan was to train observers to view and record themoments of contact as uniformly as possible. This involved, most impor-

    tantly, training observers to identify particular phases of the artificial black

    drop. The goal was to minimise any individual differences in interpreting

    the appearances at contact.

    Practice sessions for the learners, as Francis Galton called them,

    began just after the model was completed, in November of 1873, at which

    time Airy dictated instructions for how the contact training was to proceed:

    135 B.E. Schaefer (2000) The Transit of Venus and the Notorious Black

    Drop,Bulletin of the American Astronomical Society, 197, p. 1383.136G.L. Tupman to G.B. Airy (1872-09-15), CUL RGO/6-270 no. 31-33.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    14/20

    76 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    Let all the observers by turns observe the Working Model with

    all these instruments; and, when they are familiar with appear-

    ances, let them practice the [no]ting of times. The signals will

    usually be related to the formation of the drop and the forma-tion of the clear circle.137

    Observers measured the model black drop again and again, with different

    telescopes and eyepieces giving different appearances to the drop, marking

    the times of contact on special worksheets. They were not being trained to

    measure geometric contact but rather the moments in which the model

    black drop formed and then broke. As observers gained more experience in

    observing the formation and break of the drop, the disparity between differ-

    ent observers timings decreased. This proved to Tupman and Airy that the

    model was a success. The benefits of observers becoming familiar were

    significant and measurable:

    From the observations with the Model Transit of Venus made

    at Greenwich, the following facts appear. One. It requires con-

    siderable experience for an observer to appreciate all the defi-

    nite changes of appearance which occur. Two. When two ob-

    servers describe a particular phase which they see, and deter-

    mine to observe this phase together, the times recorded by

    each are generally accordant within a fraction of a second. 138

    It should be emphasised here that, because of the way in which the parallax

    was to be computed from the observations made, obtaining correspondence

    among observers on the timing of an event during contact was the essential

    thingit did not matter what event was singled out and timed by all theobservers, just that everyone singled out the sameevent. Thus the impor-

    tance of the fact that observers could determine to observe this phase to-

    gether with the aid of the model.

    Once its power as a tool for producing consistency in observer

    judgement was demonstrated, all model activity was stepped up. On

    Forbess suggestion, four more models were made in London to be sent out

    with the expeditions.139In India and Australia, versions of the same design

    137 F. Galton to G.B. Airy (15-11-1873), CUL RGO/6-277 no. 680; G.B.

    Airy to S.o.t. Admiralty (1873-03-21), CUL RGO/6-267 no. 95-104.

    138G. Forbes (1874) The Coming Transit of Venus: IV, art. cit.139G.B. Airy to G. Forbes (1-11-1873), CUL RGO/6-277 no. 678.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    15/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 77

    were locally produced. Before heading off to Mauritius, David Gill, the

    head of Lindsays expedition, visited Greenwich in order to observe

    [Airys] beautiful Model Transit of Venus, so that we may agree in ob-

    serving precisely the same phenomena.140

    4. December 8, 1874: veiled in a mist of words

    The day arrived for the model to be set aside, and everyone took their

    places for the real event. What the observers said and wrote during and

    immediately after the transit has been preserved and published in two pub-

    lications of the British results141

    . These texts constituted the data gathered

    from the telescopic observations, the descriptive language being crucially

    important to how the interwoven numeric data were interpreted. The impact

    of the model training is clear from these observer reports, in which frequent

    comparisons of the present conditions to memories of the model are made.

    For example, Tupman, chief of the Hawaiian station, reported that:

    Up to [about five minutes before internal contact] the circumstances

    of the Ingress of Venus exactly resembled those seen in the model. I

    drew out the micrometer at 20h 45m 43s, laid it on the shelf, and in-

    serted the negative eye-piece power 150, down to the pencil mark on

    it for focus. This I had repeatedly practised on the model, and always

    effected in 10 or 12 seconds. I was no longer than usual on this occa-

    sion. On looking in I saw the cusps separated such a distance that I

    thought it still wanted 30 seconds of contact, but the image not being

    perfectly sharp I threw it out of focus with the rack motion, and

    brought it carefully in again. As I did so I perceived that the cuspswere united by a narrow band or thread of light of sensible width,

    but faint, and instantly called contact though fearing I had missed

    it while focussing. I could not understand how it could have oc-

    curred so much sooner than I had expected. ... I was surprised that

    the band of light did not change much in appearance for some time;

    140D. Gill to G.B. Airy (1874-06-06), CUL RGO/6-271 no. 385.141Airy (1881)Account of the Observations; Airy (1877)Report on the tele-

    scopic observations of the transit of Venus, 1874, made in the Expedition of theBritish government, and on the conclusion derived from those observations.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    16/20

    78 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    it seemed a long time in comparison with the model experience.

    There was no black drop nor ligament.142

    Astonished and rattled, Tupman believed he somehow missed thecrucial instant moment which never happened, as he described it later in

    the report. Contact happened faster than it had in the model, but at the same

    time the appearances of the phenomena changed more slowly (impercepti-

    bly) than in the model. He saw no black drop effect. The other observer at

    Honolulu, Lieutenant Noble, reported There was no black dropno liga-

    ment, but a rough dark shade which gradually faded off to a thin tint corre-

    sponding to the phenomena I had observed in the model. This, instead of

    being nearly instantaneous, as the model generally showed, extended over

    some 20 seconds.

    Tupman and Nobles reports are typical of the rest of the observa-

    tionsmany comparisons to the model are made, and the general impres-

    sion is of very slow, very gradual change, which did not correspond to theblack drop effect they had come to expect from the model practice. The

    clarity of contact was not, however, received as good news. The hope had

    been to get observers to agree on specific phases of the drop formation, and

    yet they had not even agreed on whether a drop effect existed at all. As

    Tupman told Airy in late July of 1875 It is time the term Black Drop was

    abandoned.143

    As the general consensus grew that none of the skilled observers,

    who, in 1874, observed the internal contacts with good instruments, saw the

    so-called black-drop phenomenon, Edward Stone defended his previous

    work with a simple but fundamental point: black drop had always been

    merely a metaphor for some kind of slowly changing events at contact, and

    as such it was irrelevant whether or not observers literally reported a black

    drop:

    Nothing whatever depends upon the phrase black drop or

    black drop phenomenon. This is merely the way in which

    one observer, in 1769, thought proper to describe the lingering

    nature of the contact, which is the cause of the only systematic

    error to be feared. Whether the observer prefers to speak of

    the disturbance of the apparent limb of the Sun near the point

    of contact, as an ombre, a black-drop, a ligament a

    142Airy (1881)Account of the Observations, op. cit., p. 269.143G.L. Tupman to G.B. Airy (1875-07-31), CUL RGO/6-272 no. 660.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    17/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 79

    thread or merely to assert generally that the contact was

    gradually established is a point of very little importance. The

    important point...is the sensible time over which the contact

    extends144

    During the preparations for the expeditions, the black drop had

    been transformed from an eighteenth-century observer's description into an

    apparently real and definite phenomenon; it had become, as Henry Russell

    of the Sydney Observatory put it, a dependable phenomenon.145Accord-

    ing to Stone, observers who saw no black drop had been misled by their

    preconceived ideas of the nature of the phenomenon, not because they

    had actually observed something very different from those who did see a

    black drop.

    But of course the model training had intentionally built up precon-

    ceived ideas about the contacts; that had been, in fact, a primary purpose of

    the training. The British observers hadnt only expected the black drop,they had been relyingon it.

    What mattered, Stone stressed, was that all observers saw the phe-

    nomenon of contact occur over a certain period of time, and what must be

    focused on is the analysis of that period of time, however it is described.

    The essential facts, Stone concluded, are in this case, as in too many

    other cases of the kind, becoming veiled in a mist of words.146

    To Tupman, who was in charge of reducing the observations, that

    mist seemed impenetrable. The problem, Tupman told Airy in June of 1877

    as he faced the task of producing a report for Parliament, was that any

    translation of the language employed would give a result ranging within

    the limits of 8".65 8".85. This range was even wider than the currently

    accepted values for parallax.147In search of some kind of rigor to apply to

    the interpretative work, Tupman defined a system based on sets of phases

    of contact that he tried to identify in each description, and aligned the

    reports according to these phases. Tupman could thus ignore to an extent

    144E.J. Stone (1876) On Some Phenomena of the Internal Contacts Com-

    mon to the Transits of Venus, Observed in 1769 and 1874, and Some Remarks

    Thereon,MNRAS, 37, p. 45.145H.C. Russell (1892) Observations of the Transit of Venus, 9 December,

    1874 : Made at Stations in New South Wales, at p. xii.

    146E.J. Stone (1876) On Some Phenomena, art. cit., p. 45.147G. Tupman to G. B. Airy (1877-06-09), CUL RGO/6-270 no. 404.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    18/20

    80 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    the language of the observers and focus instead, as Stone had suggested, on

    the intervals of time between the successive timings given in each report.

    Still, it was an uncomfortably subjective process. It was generally

    known at the time that a reasonable value for the solar parallax lay some-where between 8".70 and 8".9, with most methods converging around 8".8.

    A target good result was therefore evident, and could be pursued through

    different interpretations. How should Tupman conduct his analysis in such

    a way that got acceptable results but did not do so in a way that would be

    considered unacceptable or manipulative? The case of a problem with the

    Rodriguez data was especially tricky. After struggling unsuccessfully to

    bring the observations into alignment with the phases, Airy finally in-

    structed Tupman:

    Try whether you canforce the Rodriguez Egresses into agree-

    ment, (it can hardly be doubted that they can with fairness be

    made to agree). I will take care to explain things at the end thatthere can be no imputation of coaxing.148

    Throughout the painful process of reduction, Airy maintained high hopes

    for Tupmans phases method. Tupman on the other hand was very pessi-

    mistic about how the results would be received.149

    The first official report, published in 1877 gave a parallax value of

    8.760 0.122.150 The probable error, still spanning the entire range of

    currently accepted parallax values, was far larger that had been hoped. A

    few months later, Stone reviewed the data and returned with even more

    discouraging results. Disagreeing with Tupman on many points of transla-

    tion, Stone presented a parallax of 8.884 +/- 0.123.151In the end the re-

    sults of the 1874 transit did not provide the conclusive result for the valueof the suns distance that had been expected.

    148 G.B. Airy to G. Tupman (1877-06-11), CUL RGO/6-277 no. 405-6.

    Airys emphasis.149See especially G.L. Tupman to G.B. Airy (1877-06-6), CUL RGO/6-272

    no. 415-6.150 Airy (1877)Report on the Telescopic Observations, op. cit.151Airy (1877)Report on the Telescopic Observations, op. cit.; also reported

    and discussed in Airy (1877) On the Mean Solar Parallax from the Transit of

    1874, MNRAS, 38, p. 11.; Stone (1878) On the telescopic observations of the

    transit of Venus 1874, made in the expedition of the British Government, and onthe conclusions to be deduced from these observations,MNRAS38, p. 279-295.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    19/20

    MODELS,METAPHORS 81

    In the second and final report of 1881, a value for solar parallax was

    not given at all, ostensibly because the data from America, Britain, France,

    Germany, and Russia was to be reduced together to produce the definitive

    measure, but that never came about. What the 1881 report did discuss werethe histories of the expeditions and some of the problems encountered dur-

    ing calculations. The misapprehension of the black drop effect was not

    directly addressed, but the failure of the model to represent contacts realis-

    tically was frankly described:As regards the instant of internal contact, the

    appearances of the model bore no resemblance to the phenomena of the

    actual transit of Venus.152

    5. Conclusion

    The eighteenth-century descriptions of the black drop effect and the

    regular black drop-like phenomena produced by the model together led

    astronomers to make erroneous predictions about the all-important moment

    of contact. As the popular astronomy writer Richard Proctor would put it,

    the black drop effect had attained a quasi-mythical status during the

    preparations for the transit in 1874.153And this, in turn, contributed to one

    of the most extraordinary experimental failures in the history of Victorian

    Greenwich. Most importantly, the descriptive language in the observation

    reportsupon which the interpretation of the numerical data so often de-

    pendedremained a major source of uncertainty. As this history thus illus-

    trates, language was one (sometimes crucial) aspect of observational as-

    tronomy that was not successfully reformed during the so-called industrial

    revolution in observational astronomy during the nineteenth century.

    During preparations for the transit of 1874, it was accepted withoutdebate that reliable and useful inferences could be drawn from model repre-

    sentations of the transit. In retrospect, that confidence seems remarkable.

    How could so much faith have been placed in a simple mechanical repre-

    sentation of such a complex natural event? It was not necessarily so. For

    example, Norman Lockyers artificial reproduction of solar phenomena in

    the early 1870s generated intense debate within the astronomical commu-

    nity over the utility and scope of inferences drawn from such artificial con-

    structions of celestial objects.154 Part of the difference in the case of the

    152Airy (1881)Account of the Observations, op. cit., p. 56.

    153This appeared in the third edition of Proctors Transits of Venus (1881).154S. Schaffer, Where Experiments End, art. cit.

  • 8/12/2019 Ratcliff Models Cahiers Proof

    20/20

    82 JESSICA RATCLIFF

    transit may be explained by the time pressure under which the transit prepa-

    rations proceeded; the model was a practical solution to a pressing problem.

    But that decision may also have been supported by an overconfidence in

    the new ways of pursuing astronomythe industrial reform of the laborsystem together with the standardization of many aspects of observation

    that had otherwise been so successful at Greenwich. Further research into

    the early use of modeling in science may help us to better understand the

    development of what has since become a ubiquitous methodology in the

    experimental and predictive sciences.

    Cornell university,

    [email protected]