proprietary and confidential. do not distribute. 2005 level 3 communications, inc all rights...
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Proprietary and Confidential. Do not distribute. 2005 Level 3 Communications, Inc All Rights Reserved. Page 1
VoIP Market Growth: VoIP Market Growth: Poised for TakeoffPoised for Takeoff
Myrle McNealMyrle McNeal
SVP Local Voice ServicesSVP Local Voice Services
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Where we’re going…
• While we have advanced VoIP a long way in the past several years…
• …we are just starting to move the mark…
• …but the prospects for significant growth is higher than ever!
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Where are we today?
• Gartner Survey:
• 50% of businesses surveyed are still only investigating whether to adopt IP telephony.
• But almost 75% of those who have adopted VoIP are extremely satisfied with their choice.
• iSuppli Report:
• In 2005, VoIP equipment revenue is expected to be $12.9 bln, up 60% from 2004. Worldwide VoIP equipment revenue to reach $24.5 bln in 2010.
• Residential segment will grow 650% from $1.4 bln in 2004 to $10.6 bln in 2010
• IDC:
• US Business VoIP Market - $3B in ’04 going to $20B in 2009
• JupiterResearch:
• Forecasts 20.4 mln US households will subscribe to a VoIP by 2010
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How can we grow in 2006?
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VoIP Research Overview
Q2 & Q3Q2 & Q3
20042004
Q4 2004 &Q4 2004 &
Q1 2005Q1 2005
Q2 & Q3Q2 & Q3
20052005
Q4 2005 &Q4 2005 &
Q1 2006Q1 2006
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Phase 1 Key Learnings
• Unaided awareness of VoIP is low.• 60% of respondents have never heard of VoIP.
• After hearing a description of VoIP, the number who would consider switching was surprisingly high.• 71% indicated that they are open to considering switching to VoIP.
• While price has been an important factor in gaining the early adopters, price discounts alone will not win the mass market.• Discounts of more than 25% off current phone bills may raise concerns about
quality and reliability.
• Features alone will not drive adoption.
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Phase 2 Key Learnings
• Unaided awareness of VoIP has increased, but familiarity barely budged.• The message is getting through but consumers are confused.
• Among the mass market, interest in switching is essentially flat.• 70% are satisfied with their current service.
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Phase 2 Key Learnings
• When asked to rate specific reasons as to why respondents haven’t signed up for VoIP, the top 5 most important reasons were:
• Satisfaction with current phone service.• Haven’t received a special offer to Sign-Up. • Not sure how much it (VoIP) costs.• Not familiar with any companies offering VoIP.• Concerned with quality/reliability of VoIP.
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Phase 2 Key Learnings
• Price discounts alone will not win the mass market.• Discounts of more than 25% off current phone bills may raise concerns
about quality and reliability.
• Compelling offers must address key consumer needs:• Reliability: Guarantee / Pay to Switch Back / Cancel at Any Time• Counter Short Term Risk: Up Front Free Period or Item /Get Paid to Use • Long Term Value: Tenure Rewards / Loyalty Benefits
No current offers address key consumer needs.
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VoIP Basics…How to Succeed
For consumers, don’t forget the basics of your VoIP service offering…
• Product
• Price
• Distribution
• Promotion
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Offers to Consider
Top 5 – and ONLY – promotional offers that moved the ball forward…
• Sign up for VoIP and get one or more other communications services FREE for one year.
• Sign up for VoIP and receive a consumer product of high-net perceived value FREE each month for one year.
• Sign up for VoIP and get the first six months FREE.
• Sign up for VoIP and get your choice of a FREE gift with a pre-paid or multi-year plan.
• Sign up for VoIP and get FREE Phone for Life after paying 12 monthly installments of $83.50.
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How to Succed With Business VoIP
• The SMB Market is aware of and interested in VoIP products…but is underserved
– They don’t know where to turn for answers
• Products are not differentiated
– Feature sets of competing offers are very similar
• Its tough to buy!
– Traditional SMB sales channels are not doing the job. Sales forces and channel partners are not well prepared
• No one is taking a portfolio approach
– Sales teams are in silos, unable to sell solutions to SMBs
• TCO can drive sales but no one is talking about it
– For the customer, economics drive the purchase decision…but providers insist on selling features.
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How we will win in 2006
Moving the mark for VoIP…
• Finding the right marketing mix
• FCC has made safety a “table stakes” issue
• Increasing public profile for VoIP: awareness continues to rise!
• Simultaneous consumer and enterprise adoption
• Potential breakout catalysts like wireless/wireline integration are just around the corner