Professor Michael H. Depledge DSc.Professor Michael H. Depledge DSc.

Chair of Environment and Human HealthChair of Environment and Human Health

Universities: Universities: Sustainable FuturesSustainable Futures

How is the World changing ?

Shenzhen, China

20081988

How will life on Earth change by 2050 ?How will life on Earth change by 2050 ?

More, then less people

Increase in populations

Global warming

Overall reduction in

land-based food production

Increased reliance on

electric cars

( 1000 more nuclear power stations )

Ageing global population

Climate refugees

More than 70% of the

World population will

live in cities

Re-ordering of world

ranking of States

More novel pollutants

Nanotechnology will

represent more than

25% of manufacture

Psychiatric disorders will be

the major global health issue

Leasing versus ownership

Quality of Life vs Wealth Creation

Increased ground level

ozoneSpread of infections diseases

Fresh Water ???

Energy ???

How should we respond ?

Coming soon to a place near you !

Flash floods

Coastal flooding

Storm surges

Heat waves

Infectious diseases

Invasive species

Toxic algal blooms

Hurricanes

Ocean acidification

Ozone

Crop failure

Your lifestyle ?Your lifestyle ?

Making the link….

What if the climate is not changing ?What if the climate is not changing ?

Would our environment be sustainable ?Would our environment be sustainable ?

• Renewable energy

• Environmental pollution

• Demographic change (ageing)

• Water resources

• Food security (agriculture, aquaculture)

• Biodiversity loss

NHS England CO2 baseline to 2020 with Climate Change targets

10% target from 2007

26% target from 1990 baseline

64% target from 1990 baseline

80% target from 1990 baseline

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Year

Mt C

O2

NHS England

NHS England forecast

2007 baseline

Carbon Reduction Strategy Target

10% target from 2007

1990 baseline

Climate Change Act Target

26% target from 1990 baseline

64% target from 1990 baseline

80% target from 1990 baseline

Practical Measures

• How do we know what is sustainable • Are there any models to follow ?• Who else in engaged in similar activities ?• How can we achieve behavioural change ?• How will we know when we have achieved

sustainablility

Practical Measures

• How do we know what is sustainable • Are there any models to follow ?• Who else is engaged in similar activities ?• How can we achieve behavioural change ?• How will we know when we have achieved

sustainablility

Reliable information sources

e.g. NHS Sustainable Development Unit

Novel Communication methods,

Viral marketing, Movements, etc.

Monitoring, criteria for success, constant change, the unknown, resilience ?

Who is best at sustainability ?

Carbon Footprint for NHS England(Data from NHS Sustainable Development Unit and Campaign for Greener Health Care)

Courtesy of Dr Frances Mortimer

• ‘Sustainability Diagnosis’– The team will diagnose the ‘sustainability status’ of your

organisation, speak to key staff and review plans, policies and procedures to provide you with a comprehensive gap analysis, including templates for missing policies, and a report on the options for prioritising tasks, with associated budgetary implications.

• ‘The Sustainability Helpline’– The team will be available to answer questions about any

of the areas covered in the scope and provide an agreed number of hours of telephone/email/in-person support.

Green Mental Health

• ‘Virtual Sustainability Manager’– A dedicated person in our team can act as your

Sustainability or Environmental Manager if there is an existing skills gap in your organisation or a need for additional knowledge and experience to your existing capacity. Our whole team can provide input as required.

• ‘Eco Surgery’– The team can help to engage your clinical staff in

sustainable healthcare – developing communications, training and ward-level programmes to achieve tangible social, environmental and economic improvements

Green Mental Health

THE STEP CHANGETHE STEP CHANGE

VirtuousVirtuous

TriangleTriangle

Health and Wellbeing

Nature Sustainable

Development

VisciousViscious

CircleCircleEconomic

Drivers

Environmental

Degradation

Stress and

Illness

Consumerism

Higher Taxation

Search for Happiness