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    MarketViews

    MarketViewsfrom dianomi Comprehensive Investment Guides and Reports

    Sponsored by:

    By Merry Sheils

    A guide to

    Investing in Asia

    Wha yu need

    nw: Why Asia?

    Emerging economies, o which

    China and India are among the most

    signicant, are slated to reach a

    staggering 42% o global GDP by 2020.

    P4

    Underanding rend,

    differene & ri far

    Governmental and culture dierences

    can make it difcult to achieve a clear

    understanding o economic position,

    and intention.

    P8

    Topfeatures >>

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    Market Views|

    SPONSOR ADVERTISEMENT

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    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA | Market Views

    Sponsored byAberdeen Asset Management Inc. is a wholly-owned U.S. subsidiary o Aberdeen Asset Management

    PLC, one o the worlds largest asset managers, investing more than US$270 billion or both institutions

    and private individuals around the world as o December 31, 2011.

    Aberdeen knows global markets rom the local level upwards, drawing on more than 1,800 sta,

    across 30 oces in 23 countries. Asset management is our primary business and we believe this

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    Aberdeen has been active in Asia since 1985 with an on-the-ground presence in the region or over two

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    www.aberdeen-asset.us/ce

    WelcomeMarketviews provides ree, unbiased

    inormation or consumers who want to

    make better-inormed nancial decisions.

    Written by prominent nancial journalists,

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    DisclaimerThe analyses and opinions expressed in this material are intended to be general in nature and or inormational purposes only, and do not constitute legal,

    tax, investment, nancial, or other advice. Nothing in this material should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation, representation o suitability or

    endorsement o any security, investment product or market sector, or a prediction o uture perormance. Please determine whether any investment security,

    product, service or strategy, including those mentioned in this guide is right or you based solely on your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and nancial

    situation. The analyses and opinions in this guide were prepared based upon inormation available at the time it was written. Additional inormation and changes

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    MarketViews is published by dianomi ltd, One America Square, Crosswall, London EC3N 2SG.

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    ContibutosMErry ShEIlSis an award-winning

    journalist with 30 years o experience in

    the nancial services industry, specializing

    in portolio management and business

    development or private clients. She

    ounded First New York Equity in 1978,

    joined PriceWaterhouseCoopers in 1996,

    and has since held executive positions at

    Mellon Bank, Wilmington Trust Company

    and Bank o New York. Merry has a regular

    nancial column on WomanAroundTown.

    com. She has consulted with asset

    management companies on a variety o

    projects, most recently, J.P. MorganChase.

    Closed-end unds have a one-time initial public oering and then are subsequently traded on the

    secondary market through one o the stock exchanges. The investment return and principal value will

    fuctuate so that an investors shares may be worth more or less than the original cost. Shares o closed-end

    unds may trade above (a premium) or below (a discount) the net asset value (NAV) o the unds portolio.

    There is no assurance that a und will achieve its investment objective. Past perormance does not

    guarantee uture results.

    International investing entails special risk considerations, including currency fuctuations, lower liquidity,

    economic and political risks, and dierences in accounting methods; these risks are generally heightened

    or emerging market investments.

    Aberdeen Asset Management Inc. is an Investment Adviser registered with the US Securities and Exchange

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    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.marketviews.com/http://www.marketviews.com/http://www.marketviews.com/mailto:[email protected]
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    Market Views|

    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA

    Why INVEST IN ASIA?The story of explosive growth in emerging markets, led by

    Asia, is well known, and for several years, Asia has played a

    leadership role. Lower trade barriers have created global demand

    for Asian products and services. Globalization, industrialization,

    urbanization and automation have made their manufacture and

    delivery more feasible.

    Asias four billion population now accounts for

    57% of the worlds inhabitants and represents 28%

    of global GDP. Emerging economies, of which

    China and India are among the most signicant,

    are slated to reach a staggering 42% of global GDP

    by 2020.

    China, arguably the Asian leader, has annual GDP

    of $5.9 trillion, and grew 11% at its peak in 2010.

    Although it has slowed to around 8.6%, suggesting

    it faces some difcult headwinds, it still is nearly

    three times the growth rate of the US. This growth

    puts it on track, according to some estimates, to

    become the worlds largest economy by 2027.

    Further, all of Asia will represent more than half of

    the global economy by 2050.1

    Asia also leads in global capital formation, with

    $20 trillion of capitalization. Its regional stockexchanges rival those in the US, Toronto and

    Germany and have experienced heady compound

    annual growth rates (CAGR): The Shanghai Stock

    Exchange leads, with 57%; The Bombay Stock

    Exchange and the National Stock Exchange of

    India are next, with 25% and 24%, respectively,

    followed by The Hong Kong Exchange, with 21%.

    The Asia-Pacic region in total boasts the highest

    percentage of savers - 61% versus an average of

    46% elsewhere across the globe.

    A high savings gure is positive for exporters of

    large-ticket items and accounts for the growth in

    capitalization.

    Asias four billion population now accoun

    for 57% of the worlds inhabitants an

    represents 28% of global GD

    1 BBC News Business, August 2, 2011 - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14368324.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14368324http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14368324
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    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA | Market Views

    Thegrowthstory.What are the underlying components of the growth

    story in Asia, and, given recent global developments, is it

    sustainable? If so, where do the opportunities lie?

    As we analyze the key economies in the region, we begin with China, Asias

    most signicant economy. We believe there are our key drivers that are the

    linchpins o its phenomenal economic position on the world stage.

    1Urbanization.There has been an

    enormous shit rom an

    agrarian economy in China to a

    more industrialized one. Former

    arm inhabitants have since

    migrated to the cities where jobs

    in actories are plentiul and the

    quality o lie is improved.

    At least 300 million have doneso over the past 25 years, and

    another 300 million will make the

    move over the next 25 years. This

    movement creates an ongoing a

    need or upscale housing, better

    ood and additional household

    products required to support

    living in an urban environment.

    In China, the heaviest population

    is concentrated primarily in

    coastal cities. As the migration

    rom arms to cities has occurred,

    less crowded inland cities are

    expanding, creating critical need

    or investments in inrastructure.

    Roads, sewers, railroads, airports

    and transportation are required

    to support this ongoing growth.

    2GrowinG Middle

    Class.A growing middle class

    means there is more disposable

    income to spend on consumer

    goods, many o them high priced.

    Certainly an improved diet has

    positive implications as these

    people gravitate toward eating

    more protein, or example. Chinas

    $1.3 billion population includes1% who are considered rich. These

    13 million people are demanding

    luxury goods. Notably, the top three

    Mercedes-Benz dealerships in the

    world are in Beijing, Shanghai and

    Hong Kong.

    3aUtoMation.Not unlike the productivity

    economics witnessed in the

    US since the wide-spread use o

    the Internet, Asian economies are

    increasing prots through use o

    automation. Research indicates

    that or every 2% in increased GDP

    growth, automation spending has

    a multiplier eect o 3. Thereore,

    automation could experience a

    12% CAGR by the end o 2017.

    Companies that produce those

    technology goods and services are

    poised to enjoy dramatic proits.

    4ManUfaCtUrinG

    and environMental

    iMproveMents.Chinas current environment

    is a challenge. Smog is thick

    in the cities, and air and water

    pollution are among the highest

    o any country. The Chinese auto

    industry is taking strong steps to

    enorce tough emission standards,

    even more stringent than thosein the state o Caliornia, arguably

    the strictest in the US. Companies

    engaged in manuacturing

    products and services designed

    to clean up the environment can

    capitalize on this demand. This i

    especially true since there are ew

    i any, state-owned companies

    providing these services, a good

    thing, given Chinas propensity o

    protectionism.

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    Market Views|

    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA

    Different Economies

    Comprise AsiaIndiaAlthough China is the dominant story in Asia,

    India also deserves a strong mention for a

    couple of reasons. India has the second-highest

    population in the world 1.21 billion, as of

    the 2011 census, and it is expected to surpass

    Chinas by 2025. Its population is relatively

    young 50% of its inhabitants are 25 or

    younger. It has the second-highest populationgrowth rate in the world, with one obvious

    explanation being that India is not tied to the

    one child policy that exists in China.

    The Indian economy is the 9th largest in the

    world, with $1.73 trillion in GDP, and is

    expected to grow by 8.2% in 2012. According

    to the Export-Import Bank of India, its external

    debt of $305 billion was just 17.3% of total

    GDP in 2011. (It is no secret that, by contrast,

    US debt now is equal to our $14.6 trillion

    GDP, or 100%). Although total external Indian

    debt has risen recently to $336 billion, it still

    represents a modest proportion of GDP2.

    India also has the second highest labor force

    of any global economy 190 million people

    are working in India. Those workers now have

    higher incomes to spend on more expensively

    priced goods. Even though salaries do not begin

    to equal those of the more developed world,

    Indians are highly motivated to upgrade their

    lifestyle.

    A recent measure of global consumer condence

    showed India had the highest reading of the 56

    countries surveyed, registering a gure of 1213.

    (By contrast, the most-recent reading for the US

    market is 61.1).

    The service sector represents nearly 58% of

    total Indian GDP, as many global corporations

    have outsourced customer-service functions

    to Indias much less expensive labor force.

    Although the trend has attened recently, it still

    remains strong.

    Technology is another opportunity for

    investment in India. In fact, India has the

    second-largest mobile phone usage of any

    country, 894 million. It ranks among the top

    three countries in internet penetration, 121

    million. Even with high usage of both phonesand Internet, however, its vast population

    suggests a strong market for purveyors of

    technology.

    The Association of Southeast Asian Nations

    (ASEAN) is an important region in global

    commerce. It is a geopolitical and economic

    organization of ten countries in Southeast

    Asia. Originally formed in 1967, it comprises

    Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore

    and Thailand. We examine some of these

    countries next.

    IndonesiaThis country, while not as heavily populated

    as either China or India, has witnessed

    signicant growth in recent years. Indonesia

    has 237.6 million people, 58% of whom

    reside on the island of Java. It is the fourth

    most populous country in the world, after

    China, India and the US.

    Indonesias $1 trillion economy is the 16th

    largest in the world, and the largest economy

    in Southeast Asia, and is growing in excess of

    6% annually.

    Nearly half of Indonesias total GDP

    comprises the industrial sector - 47% , and

    38% is focused on services. The balance

    comes from agriculture. Because it has only

    11% of arable land, Indonesia must import a

    great deal of its food, creating opportunities

    for other countries to export those products.

    Because Indonesia has vastly neglected

    investments in its infrastructure, dropping

    in 2011 from 8% to only 2%, there is

    signicant demand for building, energy and

    transportation projects. For example, some

    of its airports currently are operating at more

    than twice the capacity for which they were

    built originally4. The implications for foreign

    investment in such a densely populated

    country are obvious.

    Japans Sumitomo Corp. is considering

    investing up to $10 billion in energy projects

    over the next four years. This is in addition to

    its having already invested $5 billion in the

    country over the past few years.

    Indonesias economy

    is growning in excess

    of 6% annually

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    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA | Market Views

    MalaysiaThis country has a population of 28.1

    million, 58% of whom are under the age of

    30, suggesting a rm foundation for future

    growth.5

    Malaysias GDP of $414.4 billion grew at

    a 7% rate from 2010-2011. International

    trade is important to its economy, and it isthe largest Islamic banking and nancial

    center. Its economy is based on services

    and manufacturing, and it is noted for

    its export of semiconductor components,

    electrical products and information and

    communication technology. It also exports

    some commodities, including rubber,

    petroleum and palm oil. In turn, it imports

    machinery, electronics, petroleum products,

    vehicles, iron and steel products, chemicals

    and food.

    Real estate investments have surged in

    Malaysia, particularly in the rental market,

    as tourism and a relatively low cost of living

    offer attractive incentives.

    SingaporeWith a surface size just one-third that of the

    of Rhode Island, Singapore has 5.2 million

    in population. However, it is home to 100

    commercial banks and enjoys leadership in

    global trading, nance and services.

    According to the Department of Statistics,

    Singapore, the most-recent gure for GDP(2010) shows $222.7 billion6. That same year,

    Singapores economy grew by a s taggering

    17.9%, while much of the rest of the globe

    struggled to stay aoat. Its growth rate has

    dropped to a much more modest 3%, as it

    weathers the effects of the Euro Zones debt

    crisis.

    Singapore has a young labor force, suggesting

    that there is ample room for additional

    expenditures on household goods, technology,

    communications and similar products.

    The demographic makeup of Singapore is

    surprising it has twice as many Internet

    users as television sets. There is little, if any,

    corruption or drug use. Most of us can recall

    the caning incident in 1994, when an American,

    Michael Fay, pled guilty to vandalism and was

    punished accordingly.

    Once part of Malaysia, from which it separated

    in 1965, Singapore now maintains smoother

    ties with it concerning tax issues, water supply

    and transportation arrangements. Singapores

    major manufacturing is in electronics - 40%,

    but it contributes only 5% of its labor force to

    that industry. It gradually is transitioning to a

    service and research-based economy. Rising

    demand for communications, technology and

    transportation services, coupled with increased

    consumer spending and tourism, are primary

    economic drivers. Because Singapore has strict

    intellectual property protection, manufacturers

    are moving there from China7.

    The PhilippinesThis area of Asia has a population of 93.3

    million and is the third-largest English-

    speaking country in the world. With a

    literacy rate of 95%, it ranks among the

    highest in the world in terms of an educated,

    skilled labor force. Interestingly, wages

    are around one-fth of that of the US. It

    is easy to understand why that foreigncompanies that now outsource programming

    and business processes enjoy 30% - 40% in

    annual cost savings.

    The Philippines has a $200 billion GDP,

    and it grew 7.6% in 2010, the latest year for

    which that statistic is available. The private

    sector contributes 70% to total GDP, and

    electronics is its primary export. In turn, it

    imports electronic parts (to assemble into

    nished electronics goods for export), food

    and commodities.

    2 Export-Import Bank of India - LINK

    3 Reuters, October 30, 2011 Consumers Confidence Highest in India-Nielsen- LINK

    4 Financial Times, December 16, 2011 Indonesia Regains Investment Grade Status- LINK

    5 Investment U, October 19, 2010, Investing in Malaysia: Five Reasons To Add This Strong Emerging Market To Your Global Portfolio, by Carl Delfield.- LINK

    6 Department of Statistics, Singapore - LINK

    7 Investment U, October 6, 2010, Investing in Singapore: Why Your Portfolio Needs This Hot Emerging Market by Carl Delfield.- LINK

    Reerences

    http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdphttp://in.reuters.com/article/2011/10/30/idINIndia-60200420111030http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/e7d2bf3a-2732-11e1-b9ec-00144feabdc0,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2Fe7d2bf3a-2732-11e1-b9ec-00144feabdc0.html&_i_referer=http%3A%2F%2Fsearch.ft.com%2Fsearch%3FqueryText%3DIndonesia%2Binfrastructure%26ftsearchType%3Dtype_news#axzz1lvagqAAihttp://www.investmentu.com/2010/October/emerging-market-investing-in-malaysia.htmlhttp://www.singstat.gov.sg/stats/themes/economy/hist/gdp2.htmlhttp://www.investmentu.com/2010/October/investing-in-singapore.htmlhttp://www.investmentu.com/2010/October/investing-in-singapore.htmlhttp://www.singstat.gov.sg/stats/themes/economy/hist/gdp2.htmlhttp://www.investmentu.com/2010/October/emerging-market-investing-in-malaysia.htmlhttp://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/e7d2bf3a-2732-11e1-b9ec-00144feabdc0,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2Fe7d2bf3a-2732-11e1-b9ec-00144feabdc0.html&_i_referer=http%3A%2F%2Fsearch.ft.com%2Fsearch%3FqueryText%3DIndonesia%2Binfrastructure%26ftsearchType%3Dtype_news#axzz1lvagqAAihttp://in.reuters.com/article/2011/10/30/idINIndia-60200420111030http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp
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    Market Views|

    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA

    Industries and sectors:Meeting the demand from

    other countriesWhenever there is a young, skilled, and relatively low-cost labor force, opportunities abound

    to capitalize on it. Foreign companies can benet consider the proliferation of call centers

    outsourced to Asia by US companies.

    An educated labor force adds to the allure in Asia. Asians currently lead in hard sciences,

    math and engineering. In fact, more Asians are enrolled in these disciplines than are American

    students. The demand in other countries for these skills cannot be underestimated. Indeed,

    the late Steve Jobs of Apple, Inc. commented that the company was forced to employ workers

    overseas because of the shortage of workers with these skills in the US 8.

    With a total Asian middle class of 500 million to 600 million spending between $2.0 trillion

    and $2.5 trillion, Asian inhabitants will continue to seek to improve their lives, raise their

    standard of living and enjoy the consumption levels similar to those of the West. Food,

    household goods and commodities are obvious opportunities for foreign companies to prot.

    In addition, banks and nancial institutions represent attractive opportunities in Asia. As global

    interest rates are expected to rise, the Asian nancial sector is poised to benet.

    8 The New York Times, January 21, 2012, How the US Lost Out on iPhone Work -

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/business/apple-america-and-a-squeezed-middle-class.html?

    CapitalizationOppotunities to invest in Asia exist

    acoss te equit capita stuctue.

    Large capitalization growth and income

    generally seeks capital appreciation and

    current income by ocusing on Asian

    companies that pay dividends on common

    stock, preerred stock and convertiblesecurities. These companies are considered

    relatively stable, and since they provide some

    downside protection in terms o the income

    component, are deemed to be less risky than

    other equities. However, dividends are not

    guaranteed, and some may be sensitive to

    changes in interest rates.

    Large capitalization, long-term growth

    companies generally ocus on capital

    appreciation, rather than on the combination

    o growth and income noted above.

    Although these Asian companies are

    considered large, they may not always

    compare in size with large US companies.

    Thus, they may be somewhat less liquid and

    have higher volatility.

    Small capitalization companies in Asiagenerally are below $3 billion in market value.

    Because o their smaller size and, thereore,

    lower levels o liquidity, these securities

    may not trade as readily, and prices can be

    more volatile than the large capitalization

    companies noted above. Although this

    short-term volatility can smooth out over

    time, because o their size, these companies

    may have limited fnancial resources and/

    or products, and inormation may not be as

    readily accessible as or larger companies.

    RIsk FActoRs

    As in any investment strategy, there are

    risks associated with Asia investments.

    01 UNEASY TRADE RELATIONSHIPS

    For example, China has a long-running dispute with

    Taiwan, and at times has had strained relations with

    its trading partners (including the US).

    02 COMPROMISE IN INNOVATION

    Chinas communist leadership is another issue to

    consider. A government that exercises so much

    control raises questions relating to innovation, orexample. In a country where The Party reigns

    supreme, decisions oten are made to keep the

    leaders in power, rather than or the good o the

    countrys economy. These kinds o political risks can

    put downward pressure on share prices.

    03 DIFFERING REPORTING STANDARDS

    Obtaining the accurate inormation necessary or

    investment decision-making can be a challenge in

    Asia. Some Asian countries (with the exception o

    Singapore) may have creative ways o presenting

    the numbers that are inconsistent with how the

    US mandates its reporting. Particularly in China,

    governed by communist leadership, there are poor

    accounting and corporate governance standards.

    Inormation is controlled tightly by the government,

    making it dicult to obtain the level o dependable

    data we are used to seeing in the US.

    04 DIFFERING ECONOMIC FOCUS

    Also, there tends to be a ocus on expanding market

    share rather than on protability, as US investors are

    used to doing. Growing market share at the expense

    o the bottom line means that both short- and long-

    term debt may be out o balance when compared to

    the typical US company valuations that constitute a

    reasonable option or investment.

    05 INFLATION & CURRENCY

    Infation, the bane o any investment, is a concern

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/business/apple-america-and-a-squeezed-middle-class.html?http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/business/apple-america-and-a-squeezed-middle-class.html?
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    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA | Market Views

    9 Ghost cities are a result of the governments

    overbuilding to keep growing the economy, similar to

    Keynesian stimulus packages in the US.

    Some Asian countries may have

    creative ways of presenting the

    numbers that are inconsistent with

    how the US mandates its reporting.

    Investment

    vehicles

    Closed-end funds are one avenue for reaching

    the Asia market. The fund raises capital and

    then invests that capital according to the funds

    objectives. Only a xed number of shares are

    issued, and the shares trade on a stock exchange.

    Because the number of shares are constant, manyinvestors believe that closed-end funds free-up

    portfolio managers to focus on their investment

    objectives and avoid the distractions of daily

    in-ows and redemption requests. For this reason,

    closed-end funds are often deemed at an advantage

    for investing in thinly traded emerging markets

    such as Asia.

    Separately managed accounts are another

    route, whereby the investment manager selects

    individual securities exclusively in the Asian

    market. Depending upon the strategy involved,

    the securities are held for varying lengths of time

    before sale. The types of securities purchased

    (stocks, bonds, etc.) depend upon the objective of

    the account holder and may be tailored specically

    to meet goals of income, capital appreciation, etc.

    Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are a popular

    and rapidly growing investment mode, and Asia

    has seen tremendous increase in these avenues.

    ETFs can be sliced and diced in various ways

    i.e., agriculture, metals, technology, etc., to name

    just a few. Because fees are lower than those for

    managed accounts, investor demand has been

    rampant. Although the investor gives up alpha

    (performance above the index), it is also true that

    the majority of managers do not outperform their

    benchmark.

    Another obvious way to access the Asia market is

    to buy the securities of US companies who

    do substantial business there. Doing so means

    an investor may avoid some of the political risk

    mentioned above, since company control is

    outside Asia.

    in some Asian countries. China in particular is

    experiencing higher-than-expected levels o

    infation (over 4%) as it tries to balance monetary

    policy with growth expectations. The Central

    Bank responds to such pressures by tightening

    monetary policy, and stock prices can suer.

    Nor can currency risks be ignored. I an Asiancurrency weakens against the dollar, oreign

    investments can be aected adversely.

    06 HIGH LEVELS OF DEBT

    China also has another risk. Because its rapid

    growth has been driven, in part, by investment in

    projects that turned out not to be viable i.e., ghost

    cities9, high levels o debt have ensued. Servicing

    the debt means that households represent a lower

    contribution to GDP. For GDP growth that is driven

    by consumption, that balance must change, and thegovernment will need to transer wealth back rom

    the state to households. Either policy makers must

    make direct transers to households or shit the debt

    burden to the state. Both solutions have a downside,

    either political ramications or a high debt burden.

    07 DEPENDENCY ON OTHER ECONOMIES

    Finally, because Asian economies depend upon

    exports, when their trading partners experience

    diculties, those diculties tend to reverberate

    up the ood chain. China and other parts o Asia

    already are eeling the pushback rom the Euro

    Zones scal crisis. The Euro Zone is Chinas largest

    trading partner.

    There are many means to access the Asian market. Several fnancial

    institutions oer portolios with primary exposure to Asia. As noted previously,

    these can have acapitalization, industryorgeographicocus.Alternative assets, primarily hedge

    funds, private equityand real estate

    are additional vehicles for investing in Asia.

    Hedge funds generally invest in securities listed

    on a stock exchange, and often use leverage

    to enhance returns. Private equity involvesinvesting either in venture capital, buy-outs

    or special situations, holding for several years

    while costs are streamlined and the company is

    restructured to maximize prot, and then sold.

    Real estate funds take positions in industrial

    or residential properties, often in the form of

    real estate investment trusts (REITS) and hold

    the investments until market conditions are

    appropriate for a sale at a higher price.

    Finally, commodities are another method for

    accessing the Asia market. Because of the rapid

    growth these countries have experienced, couple

    with the changing demographics, for example,

    the move from an agrarian to an industrialized

    economy, the demand for commodities in Asia

    has rocketed upward. Commodities are based on

    supply and demand. There can be no question

    about increased demand. Oil is an obvious

    example more automobile owners consume

    more oil. Coal is another, as the demand for

    heating and manufacturing increases. Copper,

    used in construction, electrical grids, appliances

    phones and vehicles has experienced signicant

    demand increase. Precious metals, such as gold,

    platinum and palladium all have experienced

    increased demand, as a growing middle class bu

    jewelry, for example.

    What is not so obvious is that these commoditi

    are driven by supply characteristics, as well.

    When a commodity is scarce, the price goes up

    Focusing on commodities where there are supp

    constraints creates prot opportunities. For

    example, Russia and Africa control most of the

    mining supply for gold and precious metals.

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    Market Views|

    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA

    CONClUSION

    China has seen a marked decline

    in manufacturing. As in the US,

    the purchasing managers index in

    China remains a primary business

    barometer. Its recent reading of 50.5,

    reecting a modest increase from the

    49.5 registered in December 2011,

    is interpreted as a signal of cooling

    economic growth. Coupled with a

    continuing drop-off in payrolls, the

    government may face the decision

    to enact more aggressive easing

    measures in its attempt to prop up

    growth.

    Chinas stock market needs both

    exports and domestic consumption

    to ourish. With the Euro Zones

    issues being a strong headwind

    for exports, tightening monetary

    policy impacts consumption. Bank

    loans are restricted and reserve

    AlThOUGh ThE ASIAN ECONOMy rEMAINS STrONG, IT DEfINITEly hAS COOlED IN rECENT MONThS

    requirements are higher. It is

    hard for domestic consumption to

    have meaningful growth in this

    environment.

    Further proof lies in property prices

    they have been falling in recent

    months, with land prices down 60%

    year-over-year as of September 2011.

    Once the most important sector, it

    accounted for 13% of the economy,

    and close to 20% if construction-

    related industries are included.

    Governments public works projects,

    nanced with loans from state-owned

    banks, helped drive investment as

    a share of GDP to 48.5% in 2010

    (not surprisingly, that was the peak

    of GDP growth, as well). Chinas

    ghost cities have empty apartments,

    public works projects are winding

    down, and unemployment is rising10.

    There are eerie similarities to the US.

    Yet, China, in particular, does have

    additional fuel for its economic

    engine, since the Euro Zone is its

    largest export market. The troubles

    in the Zone are well known, and

    as recently as February 6, 2012,

    Chinese Premier Wein Jubao

    commented in the February 6, 2012

    edition of The Wall Street Journal,

    Now that Europe is facing a debt

    crisis, we must consider our relations

    with Europe strategically and

    preserve our na tional interests.

    While the double-digit growth rates

    experienced in recent years are

    likely not to be replicated in the near

    future, there is no question that Asia

    is a vast market for US investments.

    Staying aware of the political

    and economic issues is vital for

    successful investors. Finding expe

    trustworthy investment managers i

    always important, and will continu

    to be so, especially in Asia.

    9 The Wall St reet Jour nal,

    December 3-4, 2011, Editorial.

    Chinas gho

    cities have emp

    apartments, publworks projects ar

    winding down, an

    unemployment

    rising

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    A GUIDE TO INVESTING IN ASIA |Market Views

    TheMarket ViewReasons to consider Asia now

    Asia is getting plenty o

    attention but it is the speed

    o its transormation that

    truly astonishes us.

    By Aberdeen Asia Equities Team

    PAGE 11

    With over two decades of on-the-ground experience

    investing in Asia, we have a long historical

    perspective to formulate our views on investing in

    this dynamic region. Consider:

    Continued economic growth Emerging

    Asia10 is driving world growth. According to the

    International Monetary Fund, Asia is projected to

    grow most rapidly at 7.5% on average in 2012-2013,

    compared to the global growth rate of 3.3%11. We

    believe that Asia-Pacic markets offer strong growth

    prospects, reecting high savings and investment

    rates and a tradition of scal prudence.

    Positive long term outlook In our opinion,

    Emerging Asian markets are supported by strongfundamentals compared to developed markets.

    Debt levels in Asian economies are lower than

    the developed world, where unprecedented scal

    deterioration took place in recent years. Also, we

    expect a growing middle-class to increasingly drive

    the Asian economies in the future, as we see a

    secular trend away from export dependence towards

    domestic demand.

    Healthy and less indebted economies - Asian

    economies are in far better shape than their heavily

    indebted G7 counterparts. Fundamentals are strong

    and the economies are more stable as reected in

    balance of payments (which are generally in surplus)

    and substantial foreign exchange reserves. We

    believe that the scal stance of Asian countries has

    markedly improved leading to a decrease in the

    sovereign default rates.

    Tradition o fscal and monetary prudence

    Asias tradition of prudent scal and monetary

    policies meant, ahead of the global downturn,

    fundamentals were stronger in many Asian

    economies than in many developed countries. This

    record of scal discipline gave Asian governments

    the ability to cope with the global downturn while

    only reducing scal balances slightly, leaving them

    in good shape for future growth.

    Strong balance sheets Not only are balance

    sheets strong at the country level, they are also

    strong at the corporate and household level. Asian

    consumers have low levels of debt and a high level

    of savings.

    Favorable demographics Asian nations are

    characterized by a young, growing population wit

    rising incomes. A strong rise in the working age

    population is predicted through 2050in sharp

    contrast to Europe, where working age population

    expected to record a secular decline. The emergen

    of an Asian middle class will help drive the trend

    domestic consumption and intra-regional trade.

    Growing sophistication and liquidity o Asian

    markets Domestic nancial markets are stillyoung but growing fast. In 2010 Asia accounted

    for almost two-thirds of the IPO market in dollar

    terms12. This sophistication and liquidity provides

    investors with the opportunity to diversify away

    from the escalating sovereign credit risk in the

    developed markets.

    Attractive valuations We believe that equity

    valuations in the region are reasonable, given

    company quality and balance sheet strength.

    Additionally, spreads are reasonably attractive giv

    the low default risk of emerging market sovereign

    Positive prospects Investing in Asia can be

    challenging; however, we believe there are excelle

    opportunities available for rms with the research

    capabilities to accurately assess investment

    opportunities. As an active fund manager, we trus

    our own rather than third party research. Company

    visits provide deeper insights and our investment

    process is driven by in-person meetings, which

    continue throughout the lifetime of our investmen

    With 80 investment professionals on the ground in

    Aberdeens Asian ofces, we believe we can offerinvestors unique access to the strong and growing

    potential of the Asia-Pacic region. To learn mor

    about Aberdeens Asian-focused closed-end funds

    please visit www.aberdeen-asset.us/cef. Please se

    important disclaimer information on page 3.

    10 Emerging Asia comprises: China, Hong Kong SAR, Ind

    Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwa

    Thailand and Vietnam.

    11 International Monetary Fund, January 24, 2012.

    12 Ernst & Young, December 2010.

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    Market Views|

    SPONSOR ADVERTISEMENT

    Closed-end funds have a one-time initial public offering and then are subsequently traded on the secondary market through one of the stock exchanges. The investment returnand principal value will fluctuate so that an investors shares may be worth more or less than the original cost. Shares of closed-end funds may trade above (a premium) orbelow (a discount) the net asset value (NAV) of the funds portfolio. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Foreign securities are more volatile, harder to priceand less liquid than U.S. securities. These risks may be enhanced in emerging market countries. Concentrating investments in a single country, region or industry may subjecta fund to greater price volatility and risk of loss than more diverse funds. Investors should consider a funds investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefullybefore investing. A copy of the prospectus for Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. and Aberdeen Global Income Fund, Inc. that contains this and other informationabout the fund may be obtained by calling 866-839-5205. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. Investing in funds involves risk, including possible

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    Before ever investing in Asiawe prefer to interview face-to-face.

    In Asian markets, you have to do your own due diligenceand discovery. Not just take someone elses word for it.

    Thats why its important to have people locally, on the

    ground, researching markets and companies first hand.

    We believe Asia represents one of the worlds strongestand growing economic regions and the prospects for income

    and appreciation have never looked better.

    At Aberdeen, we only do our own research and our fund

    managers are based in the regions where we invest.

    But it takes more than an understanding of the big pictureto appreciate the diverse range of investment opportunities

    in Asia, as weve discovered over many cups of tea.

    Aberdeen Closed-End Funds.

    www.aberdeen-asset.us/cef

    Aberdeens Asia-Pacific and global closed-end funds listedin the U.S. are:

    Aberdeen Asia-Pacific Income Fund, Inc. (FAX) Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. (IAF)

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    Aberdeen Indonesia Fund, Inc. (IF) The Asia Tigers Fund, Inc. (GRR)

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    For more information, contact our Investor Relations Team at800-522-5465 or e-mail [email protected].