probablility- chi square

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    Goodness of Fit Chi Square

    By Rhondene Wint

    CAPE BIOLOGY

    Hypothesis Testing

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    Chi-Square TestA fundamental problem is genetics is determining

    whether the experimentally determined data fits

    the results expected from theory (i.e. Mendels

    laws as expressed in the Punnett square).

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    ProblemA geneticist is researching if a certain gene in a group

    of offspring follows the Mendelian pattern ofinheritance, when two heterozygote parents were

    crossed for the presence the dominant phenotype (A)

    and the recessive phenotype (a).

    A a Totals

    A

    10 42 52

    a 33 15 48

    Totals 43 57 100

    Table 4. Results of a monohybrid cross between two heterozygotes for the 'a' gene.

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    Hypothesis Testing

    Hypothesis testing is a systematic way to test claimsor ideas about a group or population based on a

    sample

    Null hypothesis HO: A claim that there is nodifference between an observation and an

    expected/theoretical claim

    Alternative Hypothesis Ha:A claim that the

    observation and expected claims are different

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    How To: Hypothesis Testing

    Step 1: State the hypotheses.

    Step 2: Set the criteria for a decision.

    Step 3: Compute the test statistic.

    Step 4: Make a decision

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    Step 1:

    State the Null Hypothesis: The gene Aa is inherited according to the Mendelian

    heterozygote ratio 3 dominant:1 recessive

    State the alternative hypothesis:

    The gene Aa is not inherited according the

    Mendelian heterozygote ratio of 3 dominant:1

    recessive

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    Confidence Limit

    To set the criteria for a decision, we state thelevel of significance for a test.

    The level we set, called the alphalevel or p

    value. The p value is the probability of rejecting the null,

    when it is actually true

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    Goodness of Fit Chi Square

    How "close" are the observed values tothose which would be expected under

    the fitted- ideal model?

    This test allows us to compare acollection of categorical data with some

    theoretical expected distribution. This

    test is often used in genetics to comparethe results of a cross with the theoretical

    distribution based on genetic theory.

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    Observed

    Expect

    ed

    (O

    E)

    (OE)2 (OE)2/ E

    A-

    type

    85 75 10 100 1.33

    a-typ

    e

    15 25 10 100 4.0

    Tota 100 100 5.33

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    Teach by organising data into tables

    Interpreting Chi squareconfidence limit degrees

    of freedom

    D.f(# of row1) x (# columns-1)

    when the computed x2statistic exceeds the

    critical value in the table for a 0.05 probability

    level, then we can reject the null hypothesis of

    equal distributions Since our x2statistic (3.418) did not exceed the

    critical value for 0.05 probability level (3.841)

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    Chi-Square Table

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    3.A genetics engineer was attempting

    to cross a tiger and a cheetah. She

    predicted a phenotypic outcome of thetraits she was observing to be in the

    following ratio 4 stripes only: 3 spots

    only: 9 both stripes and spots. Whenthe cross was performed and she

    counted the individuals she found 50

    with stripes only, 41 with spots onlyand 85 with both. According to the

    Chi-square test, did she get the

    predicted outcome?