prezentacja template a4we continue to support companies in search for new investors and new capital...
TRANSCRIPT
Warsaw Stock Exchange Group
Investor Presentation
May 2020
I. About the GPW Group 3
III. Market highlights and opportunities 13
IV. GPW Group financial results in Q1 2020 38
V. Appendices 48
II. Business activity in Q1 2020 8
Key milestones
3
1991
2010
2014
20172013 2019
Establishment of the WarsawStock Exchange (GPW)
GPW sharesdebut on the GPW
Announcementof new strategyGPW2020
FTSE Russel decisionabout promotionPoland to Developed Markets
Strategyupdate #GPW2022
Implementationof strategy
2012
GPW acquiresPolish Power Exchange (TGE)
2009
Launch of Catalyst (GPW bond market)
1998
Launch of derivativesmarket
2018
Selling of AquisExchange
2003
The firstforeigncompanylisted
2007
GPW aquiresAquis Exchange
Launch of UTP trading system
Launch of NewConnect(GPW alternativemarket)
The updated development strategy of the GPW Group is based on building shareholder value through the development of existing business lines and new segments at sustained profitability levels combined with risk management discipline. The strategy update focuses on four areas of development of the GPW Group: core business development development through diversification and new business areas development of new technological solutions sustained attractive dividend policy
Launch of X-StreamTrading and SAPRI trade systems
2022
Decision to build GPW Trading Platform
2020
AgriculturalCommodity Market
Launch of GPW Tech and GPW VenturesASI
GPW share price
4Source: Bloomberg
30
35
40
45
50
55
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PLN (closing price)
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Volume
5
Source: Bloomberg
0
5
10
15
20
25
EV/EBITDA 2020e
P/E 2020 P/E 2021 EV/EBITDA 2020 EV/EBITDA 2021 Dividend Yield 2020* Market Cap (USD mn)
Average (24 global peers)
24,67 23,29 15,89 14,44 3,20 -
GPW 14,48 13,81 7,16 7,46 6,20 400
Discount (%) -41,3% -40,7% -54,9% -48,3% +3 p.p. -
(%)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7Dividend Yield 2020e (%)*
*Dividend Yield in 2020e from 2019 net profit
Highest dividend yield among Exchange Peers
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GPW P/E
P/E Average (5 Years)
+1 Standard Deviation from Average
-1 Standard Deviation from Average
Źródło: Bloomberg
GPW P/E ratio performance
7
Social Responsibility during COVID-19
In March, GPW’s Management Board decided to grant a
donation of PLN 1 million for the acquisition of SARS-
CoV-2 testing equipment by the Sanitary Stations in
Siedlce and Radom.
In early May, the labs opened coronavirus
diagnostic operations. Tests rely on state-of-the-art
equipment purchased with GPW’s support.
On the initiative of GPW Employees, fresh fruit boxes
have been regularly delivered since March to 36
emergency stations in Warsaw on the front of the
fight with the pandemic.
As the operator of capital market infrastructure in
Poland, GPW is exposed to moderate operational and
financial risk posed by the pandemic. GPW’s
Management Board has taken a number of measures
mitigating the risk.
95% of GPW employees work remotely and GPW
has maintained full operational capacity.
PLN 80 million
Amount of grants from companies with a stake held by
the State Treasury to help fight the coronavirus
pandemic
Developing ESG competences in the GPW Group…
Supporting issuers and investors to ensure
strong communication and understanding of the
role and importance of ESG.
Developing the product offer of GPW
(benchmarks, financial instruments, information
services, including WIG-ESG futures, WIG-ESG
options, WIG-ESG ETF).
8
Leading ESG adoption and engagement
…and working with external partners
Partnership with the European Bank for
Restructuring and Development (EBRD) which
supports partner countries in transition to climate-
resilient low-carbon economy.
Global Compact is a UN agency supporting compliance
with human rights, labour rules and environmental
standards. GPW has joined Global Compact to gain
expertise and build local ESG standards on the basis of
Global Compact guidelines.
ESG partnership in CEE to support relations and
consolidate GPW’s position as the leader.
The GPW has been a member of the Sustainable Stock
Exchange Initiative since 2013. Participates in
quarterly conferences aimed at sharing knowledge
between members. The initiative also supports stock
exchanges in ESG activities.
II. Business activity in Q1 2020 8
III. Market highlights and opportunities 13
IV. GPW Group financial results in Q1 2020 38
V. Appendices 48
I. About the GPW Group 3
64,5%59,0% 57,8%
10
Strong financial results of GPW Group in Q1’20
Q4’19Q1’19 Q1’20
84.2 80.3
97.0
+20.9%
+15.3%
Q4’19Q1’19 Q1’20
24.5
11.2
29.3
+161.3%
+19.7%
Sales revenue
12.9
41.4
Q1’19 Q1’20
46.0
Q4’19
10.0
54.347.4
56.1
+18.3%
+3.2%
Operating expenses
Net profitEBITDA
Q1’20Q1’19 Q4’19
38.641.2
50.0
+21.6%
+29.8%
C/IPLN mn
PLN mn
PLN mn
PLN mn
10
Sales revenue
Sales revenue increased in Q1’20 by
15.3% YoY driven by higher revenue
both from the financial market and
on the commodity market.
Operating expenses
Operating expenses increased in
Q1’20 by 3.2% YoY driven by an
increase of external service charges,
and salaries and other employee
related costs. Provisions set up
against PFSA fees in Q1’20 stood at
PLN 10.0 mn vs. PLN 12.9 mn in
Q1’19 vs. PLN 9.0 mn in Q1’18.
EBITDA
EBITDA increased in Q1’20 by 29.8%
YoY to PLN 50.0 mn.
Net profit
Net profit increased in Q1’20 by
19.7% YoY to PLN 29.3 mn.
PFSA fee
Operating expensesexcludingPFSA fee
Increase in the value of EOB trading in equities to PLN
61 bn in Q1’20 +36.8% QoQ and +19.2% YoY
Velocity ratio at 48.8% in Q1’20 vs. 32.8% in Q1’19
Growing interest of retail investors: 56.600 new broker
accounts in 2020 (January-April).
WIG index down 28.0% in Q1’20
Indices were falling in Q1’20 due to the coronavirus
epidemic, but significant recovery since 12 March.
The biggest gains were reported by NCIndex (+7.7%
in Q1’20 and 38.1% in January-April 2020) and WIG
Games (+8.8% in Q1’20 and +42.6% in January-
April )
We continue to support companies in search for new
investors and new capital through virtual conferences and
roadshows. We have arranged roadshows in Japan and
Singapore with our broker partners.
Share of HVP participants in trading in equities in Q1’20
at 9.7% vs. 10.4% in Q1’19.
11
Growing trading investor activity
Value of EOB trading on the Main Market
Activity of HVP clients vs. market turnover on the Main Market
54
48
5449
51
4649
45
61
8,6%9,3%
8,8%
10,3% 10,4% 10,2%
11,5%
10,0% 9,7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
-8
2
12
22
32
42
52
62
I II III IV I II III IV I
2018 2019 2020
EOB turnover (lhs) HVP share in turnover (rhs)
PLN bn
53,748,0 53,5 49 51,2
46,3
49,0 45
61
31,1% 30,7%34,3% 32,9% 32,8%
30,2%33,2%
31,0%
48,8%
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20
EOB Trading
Turnover velocity (source: FESE)PLN bn
Volume of derivatives trading increased to 3.1
mn in Q1’20: +84.4% QoQ and +80.8% YoY.
Volume of trading in WIG20 futures increased
to 1.86 mn in Q1’20: +96.3% QoQ and +86.0%
YoY.
Volume of trading in single-stock futures
increased to 0.62 mn in Q1’20: + 43% QoQ and
+108.7% YoY.
WIG20 volatility in Q1’20 at 32.9%,
WIG volatility 29.1%.
Share of HVP proprietary trading participants in
futures trading at 13.9% in Q1’20 vs. 10.4% in
Q1’19.
12
Growing volumes in derivatives trading driven by high volatility of the underlying
mn.
1 HVP and HVF participants and a new market maker
Volume of trading in derivatives
1,82,1
1,8
2,2
1,7 1,6
2,01,7
3,1
Q4’18 Q3’19Q2’19Q1’18 Q4’19Q1’19Q2’18 Q3’18 Q1’20
+84,4%
+80,8%
Quarterly volatility of WIG and WIG20
29,1%
32,9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
WIG volatility WIG20 volatility
13
Trading on the commodity market in Q1’20
Volume of spot and forward trading in electricity and gas
Volume of trading in property rights
52.9
Q1’20Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19
44.3
65.0 66.7 66.6
Electricity (TWh)
39.6
28.5
Q3’19Q1’19 Q2’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
37.340.7 39.9
Natural gas (TWh)
Q3’19
5.0
5.9
6.7
8.1
12.9
Q1’19
21,1
Q2’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
11,0
5.6 6.3
Cogeneration (TWh)*
OZE (TWh)
Q2’19Q1’19
63.1
Q1’20
175.6
Q3’19 Q4’19
172.4
81.0 80.5
Energy efficiency (ktoe)
* Trading in cogeneration property rights ended at the end of June 2019.
Electricity market – Total volume of trading in
electricity in Q1’20 at 66.6 TWh (+50.3% YoY). Volume
of spot transactions at 8.5 TWh (-0.4% YoY). Volume of
forward transactions at 58.1 TWh (+62.4% YoY).
Gas market – Total volume of trading on the gas
markets in Q1’20 at 39.9 TWh (+40.0% YoY). Volume of
spot transactions in gas at 7.4 TWh (+7.7% YoY).
Volume of forward transactions at 32.5 TWh (+50.3%
YoY).
Property rights market:
No more trading in property rights from
cogeneration as of June 2019.
Volume of trading in RES property rights in Q1’20 at
6.7 TWh (+13.0% YoY).
Volume of trading in property rights in energy
efficiency in Q1’20 at 80.5 ktoe (+27.6% YoY).
II. Business activity in Q4 2019 8
IV. GPW Group financial results in Q4 2019 38
III. Market highlights and opportunities 13
V. Appendices 48
I. About the GPW Group 3
Our market highlights and opportunities
15
Solid financial performance and attractive dividend
Diversified revenue structure
The largest CEE economy and growth leader in EU
Large and still growing client base
Potential for further growth in free float and liquidity in financial segment
Employee Capital Plans (ECP)
Dynamic commodity segment
Strategy update #GPW2022 (strategic initiatives)
Promotion to Developed Market status (FTSE Russell and STOXX)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
16
… and high operating leverage
Sound financial performance
Solid top-line growth …
… underpinned by increasing diversification … and consistent profitability
CAGR
2010 2015 20182014
225.6
2009 20132011 2012
273.8
2016 2017
283.8
199.5
268.8
317.6 327.9 310.9352.0 346.8
2019
336.1
+5.4%
Total revenue, PLN mn
94.0
47.1%
20122009
48.1%55.5%
161.1
2011
51.8% 50.7%51.1%
2013
54.4%
2014
54.9%
20152010 2016
202.0
61.1%
2017
58.2%
2018 2019
108.4
149.3 142.0 144.9
183.7212.2
193.2
57.5%
180.2
EBITDA, PLN mn EBITDA margin, %
19.6%
13.6%
2010
13.9%
2011
119.3
2009 2014
18.1%
25.6%
2012
18.9%
2013
17.3%
20162015
16.1%
20.7%
2017
21.7%
20192018
100.7 94.8
131.1134.1
105.9 112.8 107.5121.5
158.7183.7
16.1%
Net profit, PLN mn ROE, %
1
70,4%
11,1%
16,5%
1,9%
26,0%
3,2%3,0%
2,8%5,8%
14,3%
44,6%
0,3%
Information services
Listing
Trading - other
Trading - fixed income
Trading - derivatives
Trading - shares
Financial Market:
including Market Data from FM (14.3%)
4,9%3,6%
10,2%
3,7%
8,3%
13,8%
0,2%
Commodity Market:Market Data
Other
Listing
Trading: Financial Market 98.1% 55.1%
0% 44.6%
2008 2019
Other 0,3%
17
Ambitious financial targets
GPW Group financial targets for 2022
1
• PLN 470 mn in 2022Revenue
• PLN 250 mn in 2022EBITDA
• ROE: 19% in 2022 (it may temporarily fall below 19% due to strategyimplementation expenditures)
ROE
• C/I under 50% after 2022 (it may temporarily range from 63% to 55% due tostrategy implementation expenditures)Cost/Income
• dividend payout rate not lower than 60% of consolidated net profit
• dividend not lower than PLN 2.4 per share from 2019 profit
• annual increase in the dividend from the 2020-2022 profits by at least PLN 0.1 per share
Dividend
DIVIDEND POLICY:
dividend payout rate not lower than 60% of consolidated net profit of GPW Group for the financial year attributable to GPW
shareholders, adjusted for the share of profit of associates
dividend at least PLN 2.4 per share from 2019 profit
annual increase in the dividend from the 2020-2022 profits by at least PLN 0.1 per share
Attractive dividend policy
18
89.9%
2010
1.40
3.20
1.20
31.0%
142.3%
70.7%
2.36
2011
45.2%3.18
0.80
2012
44.5%
2013
2.40
2014
80.1%
2.20
2015
2.15
2016
63.3%
2017
77.1%
2018
2.40
93.2%
2019
Dividend yield3
1 By financial year for which dividend was paid2 Based on the consolidated profit attributable to the shareholders of the parent entity and adjusted for the share of profit of associates3 Based on the share price as at the dividend record date* Dividend Yield based on the Management Board recommendation date (17.04.2020)
1
4.4%3.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.9% 6.7%6.1% 5.8% 7.4% 6,6%*
Dividend payout ratio (%)Dividend per share (PLN)1 2 Management Board recommendation
approved by Supervisory Board
3
Settlement
Custody
Clearing
COR1
RGO2
Share in total revenue 4, LTM 5
Equities & other
Derivatives Bonds Commodities
Trading
Listing
Equities
Bonds
ETFs
Warrants
Structuredproducts
Financial market Commodity market
Real-timedata
Non-displaydata
Delayeddata
Historicaldata
Indices
Post-tradingincluding COR1 and
RGO2
Electricity spotand forward contracts
Natural gas spotand forward contracts
Property rights in certificates of origin
CO2 emission allowances
Corporatebonds
Municipalbonds
Bank bonds
T-bills
T-bonds
Futures:
- index
- single stock
- fx
- interest rate
Options
- index
Equities
Structuredproducts
Warrants
ETFs
Investmentcertificates
Membership
Access and useof GPW trading system
Membership and participation on the commoditymarkets
Market data
Diversified revenue structure
1 Certificate of Origin Register 2 Register of Guarantees of Origin 3 Associate company (33.33%); KDPW Group offers post-trading services on the financial market 4 Does not include other revenues, which constitute 0.3% of GPW Group revenues 5 Last twelve months ending on 31 March 20206 Does not include the KDPW revenues (associate company; equity method is applied)
19
FM: 2.3%CM: 3.7%
GPW Group
2
65,7% 6,1% 27,5% 18,7% 21,4% 13,9%
3,6% 3,0%
And 7th largest economy in the EU (including UK)Largest economy in CEE
Largest economy in the CEE region…
20Source: Eurostat
3
48
61
94
156
220
223
398
527
Slovenia
Bulgaria
Slovakia
Hungary
Czech Rep.
Romania
Austria
Poland
Nominal GDP in 2019 (EUR bn)
527
812
1245
1787
2418
2523
3435
Poland
Netherlands
Spain
Italy
France
UK
Germany
Nominal GDP in 2019 (EUR bn)
38,4
10,6
19,6
9,8
5,4
8,9
7,1
Population (mn)
21
Poland’s credit ratings
… a leader of economic growth in EU
Polish economy forecast to bounceback strongly1
Historical GDP and Bloomberg projection 2020-20222
1 GUS (Central Statistical Office of Poland)2 Bloomberg3 GUS
3
Source: Moody’s, Fitch, S&P
Poland’s GDP to drop by 2.6% in 2020 and to grow
by 3.2% in 2021 according to NBP’s Macroeconomic
Survey
According to NBP’s central inflation projection, average
annual CPI will be +3.7% in 2020 (average annual
inflation was 2.3% in 2019)
A2outlook stable
A-outlook stable
A-outlook stable
+4.1%
GDP growth in 20193
1,82,4
2,02,6
2,01,5
3,33,33,8
3,1
4,9 5,1
4,13,3
2,7
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022-1,4
-3,9
0,3
1,41,8
European Union (YoY%)
Poland (YoY%)
Most of Poles’ savings are located in bank deposits: in view of record-low interest rates, a growth potential for direct
and indirect investments on the GPW exists
Stocks represent only 4.0% of Poles’ savings; however, individual investors are very active on the GPW (turnover
share at 12% in 2019; individual investor portfolio turnover ratio at 40% in 2019)
GPW initiatives: education, joint initiatives with market participants, promotion of direct and indirect investment on
the Exchange, including pension savings
New flows to be injected into the Polish capital market by Employee Capital Plans (PPK) –> more in slides 30-32
Poles’ savings (%)1 Household assets 1 (PLN bn)
11%59%
Deposits and cash Other
2
4
Potential for retail investment growth
22
15%
63%
4%
5%
10%Insurance
Cash
Shares Loans
Deposit
1%
Debt securities
2%
Investment Funds
1 193
2009
334
2019
780
207
310
218
737
2006
342
265
519
2007
426
2016
919
187
2008 2017
477
1 042
211 233
2010
585528
625
2011
225
2012
670
249
614
2013
262
2014
262
2015 2018
899688936
607
752 792850
999
293
1 346
316
1 030
1 483
354
1 130
1 270
1 Net of pension entitlements (pension funds and Social Insurance Institution sub-accounts), non-listed shares, other equity interest2 Short and long-term debt securities, short and long-term loans3 Listed shares, insurance, investment funds, short and long-term debt securities, short and long-term loansSource: National Bank of Poland (NBP); data as of the end of 2019, latest data available
4
3
Investment funds in Poland2Open Pension Funds1
Largest institutional investor pool in the CEE region
Open Pension Fund (OFE) net assets value amounts to PLN 116.172 bn as of Q1 2020
Investment funds enjoy strong confidence of retail investors who increasingly seek more sophisticated savings and investment products
As a long-term investor, pension funds freeze a large part of the free float on GPW
Part of the free float in pension fund portfolios could be released through securities lending -> necessary regulatory change
OPF’s share in GPW turnover
OPF’s share in GPW free float Non-public funds, assets PLN bn
Capital Market funds, assets PLN bn
Strong domestic institutional investor base
23
42.138.8
12.0
36.1
11.613.4
43.1
11.3
41.8
9.8 8.8
43.1
6.7
2012
8.3
43.0
6.3
43.0
7.5
41.5
20152011 2013 2014
42.4
Q1’202016 2017 2018 2019
1PFSA, NBP, GPW
4
27 3862 68
89 93 9388
127
146
2011
108
141
279
2012
147
2013
259
2014
105
2015
147
111
2016
239
171
108
2017
167146
2018 2019
175
1Q’20
268
114
189209
252 257
2According to the classification of funds created by IZFiA (The Chamber of Fund and Asset Management), the non-public funds sector includesthose whose assets are not investedin capital markets. Non-public funds include: securitization, real estate and non-public assets.
Focused efforts, in co-operation with issuers, to spark interest in GPW-listed companies among foreign investors
Close co-operation with investment banks
Value of GPW listed shares held by foreigninvestors accounted for 39.8%1 of the market capitalization of domestic shares listed on the GPW
24
Share of investors in trade on the futures market (%)
Strong and growing foreign investor base
Share of investors in trade in shares on the Main Market (%)
Portfolio turnover ratio of selected investors on the GPW2
1 Data as of the end of 20192 GPW estimates; portfolio turnover ratio: value of the electronic order book (buy
and sell trades)/2/average portfolio value; data as of the end of 2019
Source: PFSA, NBP, GPW
4
Domestic investors Foreign Investors
Year Pension Funds Investment FundsIndividual Investors
2008 28% 71% 62% 42%
2009 26% 92% 134% 50%
2010 21% 73% 89% 53%
2011 19% 80% 100% 57%
2012 13% 69% 89% 44%
2013 14% 75% 83% 48%
2014 9% 60% 62% 41%
2015 9% 59% 59% 43%
2016 7% 60% 59% 44%
2017 7% 53% 70% 50%
2018 5% 61% 50% 57%
2019 5% 45% 40% 56%
47 49 51 53 53 59 63
15 13 12 13 1612
12
38 38 37 34 31 29 25
201920162013 201820172014 2015
institutional individual foreign
17 18 15 18 19 17 18
50 46 47 46 51 48 47
33 37 38 36 30 35 35
20172014 20182013 2015 2016 2019
institutional foreignindividual
Information services allow GPW to increase its revenue by tapping the potential of the key role of the infrastructure on the capital market.
Broad reach thanks to growing numbers of clients
New services: commodity market and non-display data
25
4
285,0
327,3
288,1
261,9240,3
221,1 224,6
247,6 247,9260,0
312,1
52 57 58 58 58 5453
52
78 83 85
2943
5365
94 96
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'20
Number of subscribers, thou.
Number of distributors
Non-display clients
Offer of state-of-the art innovative services supporting analyses of market data and investing as an important pillar of GPW Group’s growth.
Developing GPW Data:
The GPW Data project relies onmachine learning and AI.
The project introduces electronicreporting standards in InlineeXtensible Business ReportingLanguage (iXBRL).
GPW Data is scheduled for roll-out inH2 2021.
European markets equitisation and trading velocity*Turnover velocity and volatility
Material upside potential of free float
Equity market: potential for further freefloat and liquidity growth
26Source: GPW
5
20152013
39%
2009
47% 52%48%
2014
197.3
48% 49%49%
2016
246.3
49%
2017 2018
50%
2019
165.3
279.3 282.8270.3
329.9
299.9276.0
Q1’20
Free float value, PLN bn Free float, %
* Source: Turnover, Mkt Cap - Thomson Reuters, GDP - Eurostat (except of TR, UA, IL, RU - IMF).
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
sty
-18
lut-
18
mar-
18
kw
i-18
maj-
18
cze-1
8
lip-1
8
sie
-18
wrz
-18
paź-1
8
lis-1
8
gru
-18
sty
-19
lut-
19
mar-
19
kw
i-19
maj-
19
cze-1
9
lip-1
9
sie
-19
wrz
-19
paź-1
9
lis-1
9
gru
-19
sty
-20
lut-
20
mar-
20
Velocity ratio WIG20 volatility
Main Market399 domestic companies48 foreign issuers
NewConnect371 domestic companies6 foreign issuers
Catalyst146 issuers (incl. State) 510 listed non-TreasuryIssues
Market cap:PLN 404 bnPLN 378 bn
Market cap:PLN 9,9 bn
Value of non-Treasury issues: PLN 95,6 bn
Flow of new companies to the marketIssuer activity on GPW markets1
Acquisition of issuers
On the radar: family companies, PE funds, CEE companies, state-owned companies and theirsubsidiaries
Intensive activities aimed at promoting the stock market as a place to raise capital for development
Individual meetings with companies previously inactive on the GPW markets
GPW Growth
27
Diversified issuers portfolio
Launch of a comprehensive educational program GPW
Growth oriented to support the development of small
and medium enterprises
Supporting non-public companies in building their value
through expansion using external sources of financing,
in particular with a strong accent of development
through the capital market
84 107185
351429 445 431 418 406 408 387 375 377
374 379
400
426
438 450 471 487 487 482 465 449 447
201520102008 2009 20142011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1’20
CAGR 5.0%
NewConnectMain MarketEquity market
Debt market
Equity market for SME
1 As of the end of March 2020; Source: GPW
5
NewConnect is dedicated to SMEs across many sectors,
including technology companies
NewConnect opened in 2007 and its current capitalisation is
PLN 9.9 billion1.
Since the launch, over 600 companies1 have been listed on
NewConnect.
Since the launch, 69 companies have transferred from
NewConnect to GPW’s main market, i.e., 15 percent of
companies listed on the GPW Main Market started on
NewConnect1.
NewConnect is dominated by individual investors who
generated 86% of turnover in 2019.
Since the launch, IPOs and SPOs on NewConnect, have
totalled approx. PLN 5.0 billion1.
In July 2019, NewConnect was authorised by PFSA as an SME
Growth Market, joining an exclusive group of trading venues
including the London Stock Exchange AIM and AIM Italia.
28
Strong position of NewConnect among European alternative trading venues
#3 in Europe by number of IPOs in 20192
IPOs on NewConnect 2014-2019
1 Source: GPW data as at Q1 20202 Source: IPO Watch, PwC for 2019.
5
19
1615
10
3
1
Borsa Italiana - AIM
Nasdaq Nordiq (First North)
Euronext (Alternext)
NewConnect LSE (AIM) Deutsche Borse -Scale
BME Alternative
0
Number of IPOs in 2019
22
19
16
19
15 15
20192014 20162015 2017 2018
Number of IPOs
Segmentation of the corporate debt market architecture
Active role of the Exchange in attracting new issuers
Single banking licence: an opportunity to grow bank activity as debt market participants
Number of non-Treasury issues on Catalyst Total debt securities by residence of issuer as % of GDP1
Opportunities for further debt market development
29
3597
208
325
408
487 496 525566
527 512 510
20172011 20122009 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 Q1’20
27.6%
1 Source: BIS (non-Treasury bonds as at the end of Q2 2019, latest available data), IMF (GDP in 2019, World Economic Outlook Database)
5
Employee Capital Plans (ECP)
30
6
max
min
ZUS (socialsecurity) OFE (OPF -
Open PensionFunds)
EmployeeCapital Plans(PPK)
EmployeePensionPlans(PPE)
IKE IKZE
2nd pillar (obligatory since 2013 r., now optional)
3rd pilllar (voluntary)1st pillar (obligatory)
public funds private funds
Employee Capital Plans (ECP)/Pracownicze Plany Kapitałowe (PPK) are a new system of private long-term pension savings, mandatory for employers but optional for employees, based on contributions of employees, employers and the public budget.
PPK scheme are very similar to UK Workplace Pension System PPK’s impact on GPW:
Increase of market turnover and increase of the velocity rate Attracting new issuers: growing number of IPOs A stronger market in equities, corporate bonds, treasury bonds, real estate investment funds Improved trust in and promotion of the capital market
31
Equities/debt share in total assets
Employee Capital Plans (ECP) / PPK
ECP intruduction schedule
Source: Ministry of Finance of Poland
6
StageSize od company (number of
employese)
number of potential
participants (mn)Start
I >250 3.3 01.07.2019
II 50-249 2 01.01.2020*
III 20-49 1.1 01.07.2020
IV others 5.1 01.01.2021
Total 11.5
Basic contributionVoluntary
contributionMax contribution
Employeecontribution
2% of gross wageup to 2,0% gross
wage4% gross wage
Employercontribution
1,5% of grosswage
up to 2,5% grosswage
4% gross wage
Maximum total contribution 8% gross wage
Contriubution paid by publicbudget:
welcome payment – PLN 250
annual payment – PLN 240
* Stage II is delayed; will be implemented simultaneously with Stage IIISource: Ministry of Finance of Poland
ECP assumes three (I, II, III) sources of contribution
Time left to the defineddate (reaching 60 years
old)Equities Debt
>20 years 60-80% 20-40%
11-20 years 40-70% 30-60%
6-10 years 25-50% 50-75%
1-5 years 10-30% 70-90%
After reaching the defined date (60 years)
<15% >85%
Source: Ministry of Finance of Poland
40%
20%
10%
20%
WIG20
mWIG40
other local equities
foreign equities
min
max
Source: Ministry of Finance of Poland
Equity portfolio structure
max
min
I
II
III
According to PFR forecasts, PPK assets should reach approx.
PLN 3 billion by the year’s end.
The PPK launch is currently in its second round including
companies with at least 50 employees. The deadlines have
been postponed to 27 October 2020 (PPK management
contract) and 10 November 2020 (PPK operation contract).
Speaking at a debate hosted by the Chamber of Fund and
Asset Managers on 11 May, PFR CEO Paweł Borys said that
PPK deadlines may have to be pushed back depending on the
evolution of the epidemic.
Source: PFSA, Analizy Online 32
PPK assets have crossed the mark of PLN 1 billion
PPK: net asset value of target-date funds1
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
Mar.-20St.-20Gr.-19 Kw.-20Luty-20
PPK assets [PLN M]
6
Lunch of Agricultural Market– pilot wheat trading from March to August 2020.
Maker-Taker: On 1 January 2019, TGE opened a Maker-Taker pilot liquidity support programme to minimise operating expenses of market participants by narrowing the spread between bids and asks. TGE reviewed the programme performance and decided to continue the programme to June 2020.
CO2 emission allowances: On 18 July 2019, TGE reopened the Financial Instruments Market which lists CO2 emission allowances; under MiFID2, allowances are a financial instrument.
White certificates: The Act amending the Excise Tax Act and certain other Acts of 29 June 2019 extended the support scheme for energy efficiencycertificates to the end of June 2021.
Organised Trading Facility (OTF) - transformation of TGE’s forward commodity market into an organised trading facility (OTF) under MiFID II
Energy market – obligation to sell a proportion of Energy on the exchange – increased from 30% to 100%.
Commodity market growth drivers
Natural gas trading (spot+forward)TGE electricity trade volumes (spot+forward)
TWh
Commodity market
33
10,1 9,1
87,9
130,8139,4
176,6186,8186,7
126,7111,7
226,1228,9
66,6
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'20
0,0 1,1 2,4
111,6 106,9114,5
138,7 143,3 146,1
39,9
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'20
7
TWh
34
Agricultural Market: a new business pillar
The Agricultural Market includes 20 authorised
warehouses and 3 authorised brokers (Noble
DM, DM BOŚ, PGE DM)
The first auction held on 14 May sold all offered
250 tonnes of wheat in 10 transactions at the
average price of 830.40 PLN/tonne.
The fee waiver expires at the end of August.
Agricultural Market pilot till the end of August
The priority during the pilot is to attract more market
participants, authorised warehouses and brokers.
The range of agricultural products will later be extended
to include maize, sugar, skimmed milk powder,
pork semi-carcasses, concentrated apple juice.
New products on the horizon
transaction fee (TGE), both in single-price trading
and at auctions 2.40 PLN/tonne
clearing fee (IRGiT): single-price trading 1
PLN/tonne, auctions 2.00 PLN/tonne
fees may be temporarily reduced
Fees after the pilot
7
More information: www.tge.pl/en-home
Strategy update #GPW2022 (strategicinitiatives)
Stock MarketDebt Market
Commodity MarketInformation offer for
investors and issuers
New business linesDerivatives MarketStock market Debt marketCommodity
marketInformation
productsDerivatives
market
GPW Growth
SecuritiesLendingSystem
- GPW - TGE - BondSpot PRA
Derivatives Development
Organised Trading Facility (OTF)
Waste and Secondary Raw Materials Trading Platform
GPW DataGPW Private Market
GPW TCA TOOL
BondSpot Development
Polish Rating Agency
35
AgriculturalCommodityMarket
GPW Ventures
GPW Group
8
GPW Tech
Trading Platform
Aids classification of Poland amongst the 25 Developed Markets…
Poland’s Promotion to Developed Markets: Success of Poland’s Economy and Capital Market
Well-developed and stable market infrastructure
Broad selection of listed stocks and high liquidity
Wide and unlimited access to professional market intermediaries
Independent supervision over the market and high standards of corporate
governance
Efficient and secure trading and post-trading services
Little limitations on investing by foreign investors
Extensive, legally regulated added value services including short selling
and omnibus securities accounts
Highly appreciated Polish capital market…
Ceremony at London Stock Exchange FTSE Developed Markets ranking in numbers1
developed markets
emerging, frontier, other markets
0.12%Poland’s share in FTSE Developed All Cap Index as of September ’19
1.33%Poland’s previous share in FTSE Emerging All Cap Index
September 2018Poland’s reclassification by FTSE Russel
0,71%Poland’s share in MSCI EmergingMarkets
1 Source: FTSE Russell 36
9
II. Business activity in Q1 2020 8
IV. GPW Group financial results in Q1 2020 38
III. Market highlights and opportunities 13
V. Appendices 48
I. About the GPW Group 3
38
Strong financial results driven by above-average market volatility
EBITDA and EBITDA marginSales revenue Net profit and net profit margin
PLN mn
PLN mn
PLN mn
GPW Group’s sales revenue increased by 15.3% YoY to PLN 97.0 mn driven by higher revenues from
the financial market (+18.7% YoY) and the commodity market (+10.4% YoY)
GPW Group’s EBITDA at PLN 50.0 mn (+29.8% YoY)
GPW Group’s net profit at PLN 29.3 mn (+19.7% YoY). The increase of the net profit was driven by
a high growth of revenue while operating expenses kept stable.
Q1’20Q4’19Q1’19 Q3’19Q2’19
89.184.2 82.5 80.3
97.0
+15.3%
Q1’19
57.6
Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
55.9
38.6 41.2
50.0
+29.8%
51.6%64.6%
45.8% 51.3%67.8%
Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
42.6
24.5
41.1
11.2
29.3
+19.7%
30.2%
14.0%
49.8%
29.1%
47.7%
39
Increase in trading revenue from the financial market
Trading revenue – financial market
Investor activity on GPW markets
Trading revenue from the financial market at PLN 41.5 mn
in Q1’20 (+29.7% YoY)
Average EOB turnover in shares per session on the Main
Market in Q1’20 at PLN 986.4 mn vs. PLN 834.6 mn in
Q1’19. The annual average in 2019 was PLN 787.4 mn.
Average fee on the stock market at 2.26 bps in Q1’20
driven by higher investor activity including new retail
investors.
Average fee historically by quarter: 2.22 bps in Q1’19,
2.19 bps in Q2’19, 2.16 bps in Q3’19, 2.20 bps in Q4’19.
The annual average fee in 2019 was 2.19 bps.
vs. 2.21 bps in 2018 vs. 2.18 in 2017.
PLN mn
1 Other cash market instruments, other fees paid by market participants
Q1'19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
Shares – value of trading (EOB, PLN bn)
51.2 46.3 49.0 44.9 61.1
+19,2% YoY
+36,1% QoQ
Futures and options – volume of trading (mn contracts)
1.7 1.6 2.0 1.7 3.1
+80,8% YoY
+83,4% QoQ
Treasury bonds – TBSP, cash transactions (PLN bn)
36.4 17.8 21.1 10.6 18.6
-48,9% YoY
+76,3% QoQ
Treasury bonds – TBSP, conditional transactions (PLN bn)
57.9 70.5 35.3 32.9 43.6
-24,7% YoY+32,6% QoQ
Q1’20: 42,8%
1
2.6
20.9
2.42.4
Equities
Q4’19
2.7
Q2’19
22.0
2.9
2.5 2.2
Q3’19
20.4
2.72.6
2.61.5
32.0
4.5
2.8
Q1’20
Derivatives
2.6 2.5
24.1
Other
29.9
27.1
Q1’19
41.5
32.0
28.4
Fixed income
+29.7%
40
Stable listing revenue
Listing revenue
Issuer activity
PLN mn
Q1’20: 5,5%
Three IPOs on NewConnect in Q1’20 (Plantwear,
Drageus Games, SpyroSoft).
SPO value in Q1’20 892 PLN mn vs. 192 PLN mn in
Q1’19.
Listing revenue in Q1’20 stable YoY. 447 listed
companies at the end of Q1’20 vs. 461 at the end of
Q1’19 (on the Main Market).
Free float on the Main Market at the end of Q1’20 at
49.0% vs. 52% at the end of Q1’19.
Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
Number of new listings on the Main Market
2 2 2 1 0
Capitalisation of domestic companies (PLN bn)
597.7 594.4 551.1 550.2 404.2
-32,4% YoY
-26,5% QoQ
Value of IPOs (PLN mn)
22 40 5 9 3
Q2’19
0.70.7
4.6
4.3
Q1’19
0.8
4.3
0.8
4.2
Q3’19
4.3
0.0
Q4’19
4.5
Q1’20
Listing
Introduction
5.15.3
5.05.4
+1.9%
41
Stable revenue from information services – financial market and commodity market
Revenue from information services – financial market
Data vendors, subscribers and non-display clients
PLN mn
Q1’20: 12,5%
Q4’19
0.2
11.8
Q3’19
0.2 0.2
Q1’19
0.2
12.2 12.0
Q2’19
11.5 12.2
0.3
Q1’20
12.4 12.111.7
12.4 12.1
-2.0%
Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4’19 Q1’20
Number of subscribers (thou.)
253.8 249.6 238.5 260.3 312.1
+23,0% YoY
+19,9%
QoQ
Number of vendors
80 82 83 83 85
+6,3% YoY
+2,4% QoQ
Non-display
84 86 88 94 96
+14,3% YoY
+2,1% QoQ
New clients of GPW data in different marketsegments attracted in Q1’20:
2 GPW Group data vendors
2 non-display clients
2 users of processed data
Dynamic increase in the number of individualsubscribers (basic data feed – 1 ask and 1 bid)
Market Data (financial market)
Market Data (commodity market)
42
Revenue from the electricity, gas, and property rights markets
Trading revenue – commodity market
Investor activity on the commodity market
PLN mn
Q1’20: 19,5%
Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
Electricity – volume of trading (TWh)
44.3 52.9 65.0 66.7 66.6
+50,3% YoY
-0,1% QoQ
Natural gas – volume of trading (TWh)
28.5 37.3 39.6 40.7 39.9
+40,0 % YoY
-1,8% % QoQ
Property rights – volume of trading (TWh)
11.0 21.1 5.6 6.3 6.7
-39,0% YoY+6,9% QoQ
Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19
Q3’19
7.6
3.5
Q1’19 Q2’19 Q4’19
Electricity
Natural gas
3.3
Property rights
Other fees
3.4 3.4
3.2
15.9
Q1’20
22.1
18.8 18.3 18.9
3.0
7.3
2.4
3.2
3.0
12.5
3.1
3.3
4.7
6.7
4.9
3.5
7.3
4.8
+18.9%
Revenue from trading in electricity in Q1’20 increased to PLN
4.8 mn (+50.0% YoY) due to a sharp increase of forward
trading combined with flattish spot trading.
Revenue from trading in gas in Q1’20 increased to PLN 3.4
mn (+40.6% YoY) due to continuation of high volumes
already reported in H2 2019.
Revenue from trading in property rights stable at PLN 7.3 mn
(-0.9% YoY), a very strong figure given that trading in
cogeneration certificates ended as of the end of June 2019
Other fees paid by market participants increased to PLN 3.5
mn (+16.1% YoY).
43
Revenue from clearing
Revenue from clearing
Revenue from operation of the Register1 Activity of participants of the Register of Certificates of Origin
PLN mn
PLN mn
Q1’20: 13,5%
Q1’20: 6,0%
1 Revenue from the Register of Certicicates of Origin, including revenue
from the Register of Guarantees of Origin.
12.4
Q3’19Q1’19 Q4’19Q2’19 Q1’20
13.112.2
10.9 10.8
+20.3%
Q2’19 Q4’19Q1’19
6.2
Q3’19 Q1’20
7.69.0
5.15.9
-22.9%
Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
Volume of issued property rights (TWh)
18.0 8.3 4.8 4.0 6.0
-66,6% YoY
+50,0% QoQ
Volume of cancelled certificates of origin (TWh)
7.2 19.9 13.1 5.4 4.4
-38,9% YoY
-18,5% QoQ
Guarantees of Origin – volume of trade (TWh)
6.0 4.1 4.1 3.9 5.0
-16,5% YoY
+28,2% QoQ
Revenue from clearing increased in Q1’20 to PLN
13.1 mn (+20.3% YoY).
Revenue from the operation of the Register of
Certificates of Origin decreased in Q1’20 to PLN 5.9
mn zł (-22.9% YoY) mainly due to the end of
cancellation of cogeneration certificates.
The volume of transactions in RES electricity in the
Register of Guarantees of Origin in Q1/20 at
5,027,866 MWh, a decrease of 16.5% YoY.
Cost/income ratio (C/I)2 in Q1’20 at 57.8
vs. 64.5 in Q1’19.
Depreciation charges in Q1’20 at PLN 9.8 mn (+6.2% YoY).
Salaries and other employee costs increased to PLN 22.3 mn
(+14.7% YoY) driven by additional headcount in the
implementation of the strategy.
External service charges increased to PLN 11.4 mn (+12.5%
YoY) driven mainly by higher cost of IT services and external
advisory. External service charges decreased by 25.5% QoQ
driven by a decrease in the cost of promotions, advisory, IT
and training.
44
Operating expenses impacted by higher external service charges, headcount, and salaries
Operating expenses: +3.2% YoY
Change in operating expenses
1 Other includes rent, fees and charges (net of the KNF fees), and other operating expenses2 C/I based on reported data
PLN mn
PLN mn
12.9
9.2
Q1’19
47.4
22.319.4
8.99.4
10.1
2.7
19.3
PFSA (KNF) fee
19.9
11.5
3.1
Q2’19
-6.2
19.2
11.5
2.7
10.0
Q3’19
56.1
D&A
11.4
9.4
15.3
2.7
9.8
2.6
Q1’20
Total employee costs
External services
Q4’19
Other
54.3
43.3 36.1
1
2.9
Q1’19 Total employee costs
54.3 0.6
Rents Taxes (inc. PFSA fee)
Deperciation & Amortization
2.9
Other
0.0
1.3
Q1’20External services
0.156.1
Group’s share of profit of associates in Q1’20 at PLN
1.980 mn (+100.2% YoY).
KDPW:
The Group’s share of profit of KDPW (GPW holds
33.33% of shares) in Q1’20 at PLN 1.848 mn
vs. PLN 1.068 mn in Q1’19.
The Group’s share of profit of Polska Agencja
Ratingowa (PAR)* in Q1’20 at PLN 0.0 mn vs. loss of
(PLN 0.171 mn) in Q1’19
GPW’s share of profit of Centrum Giełdowe in Q1’20 at
PLN 0.132 mn vs. PLN 0.092 mn in Q1’19
45
Share of profit of entities measured by the equity method
Share of profit
Change (YoY) of share of profit
PLN mn
0.780
Q1’19
0.171
Q1’20
0.0400.989
1.980
PLN mn
CG
(24,79%)KDPW
(33,33%)
Polish
Rating
Agency
(33,33%)
Q2’19Q1’19 Q3’19 Q4’19 Q1’20
0.989
3.638
4.692
1.943 1.980
+100.2%
KDPW
PAR
CG
46
GPW Group’s consolidated balance sheet
The increase in total assets
as of March 31, 2020
compared to December 31,
2019 is mainly the result of
an increase in the balance
of cash of PLN 55.4 million
*(mainly the result of
higher Q1 2020 vs. Q4
2020 revenues, including
annual fees paid in advance
for the whole year in
January).
PLN mn 31.03.2019 30.06.2019 30.09.2019 31.12.2019 31.03.2020
Non-current assets, including among others 598,2 586,2 585,6 590,1 587,8
Property, plant and equipment 104,5 100,6 97,3 102,0 98,2
Intangible assets 250,1 246,8 247,3 246,6 246,0
Share of profit of associates 207,9 204,8 208,4 210,3 211,7
Current assets, including among others 733,2 771,9 645,4 666,7 740,2
Trade and other receivables 66,5 73,2 56,2 45,2 68,1
Financial assets measured at amortised cost 361,7 217,7 333,7 329,0 243,3
Cash and cash equivalents 302,6 478,1 253,4 281,3 422,4
Total assets 1 331,4 1 358,1 1 231,1 1 256,8 1 328,1
PLN mn 31.03.2019 30.06.2019 30.09.2019 31.12.2019 31.03.2020
Equity 911,9 821,2 859,1 873,5 901,6
Non-current liabilities 281,0 281,2 282,6 283,5 276,9
Liability under the bond issue 244,1 244,2 244,3 244,4 244,4
Current liabilities, including among others 138,5 255,7 89,3 99,8 149,6
Trade payables 19,9 31,9 13,8 11,6 21,4
Employee benefits payable 13,0 13,6 16,5 17,2 15,8
Contract liabilities 32,7 22,2 12,0 4,4 35,6
Other current liabilities 54,6 171,9 34,0 41,7 43,6
Total equity and liabilities 1 331,4 1 358,1 1 231,1 1 256,8 1 328,0
* Total cash should be analyzed as a sum of "Cash and cash equivalents" and "Financial assets measured at amortized cost". The "Cash and cash equivalents" item includes cash on bank accounts and deposits with maturity up to 3 months, the item "Financial assets valued according to amortized cost” includes, among others cash on deposits with maturity over 3 months
II. Business activity in Q1 2020 8
IV. GPW Group financial results in Q1 2020 38
III. Market highlights and opportunities 13
V. Appendices 48
I. About the GPW Group 3
GPW Group’s consolidated profit and loss account
48
Sales revenue increased YoY driven by an
increase of revenue from the financial market
(by PLN 9.2 mn) and the commodity market
(by PLN 3.5 mn).
Operating expenses increased YoY by
PLN 1.8 mn mainly driven by an increase of
salaries and other employee costs (by PLN 2.9
mn mainly due to additional headcount) and
an increase in external service charges (by
PLN 1.3 mn).
The net profit of Q1’20 charged with a one-off:
provisions set up at PLN 7.0 mn against
potential VAT payable in Izba Rozliczeniowa
Giełd Towarowych (IRGiT). GPW holds
indirectly 100% of IRGiT. The provisions were
charged to financial expenses (including
interest on tax payables).
PLN mn Q1'19 Q4'19 Q1'20
Revenue 84,2 80,3 97,0
Financial market 49,5 43,6 58,7
Trading 32,0 27,1 41,5
Listing 5,3 4,3 5,4
Information services 12,2 12,2 11,8
Commodity market 34,6 36,0 38,1
Trading 15,9 18,3 18,9
Register of Certificates of Origin 7,6 5,1 5,9
Clearing 10,9 12,4 13,1
Information services 0,2 0,2 0,3
Other operating income 0,1 0,7 0,2
Operating expenses 54,3 47,4 56,1
Other income 1,3 1,5 1,2
Impairment gains/(losses) on receivables -1,1 -1,8 -1,1
Other expenses 0,7 0,8 0,9
Operating profit 29,4 31,7 40,3
Financial income 2,1 1,8 4,3
Financial expenses 2,1 17,8 9,1
Balance on financial income and expencies -16,0 -4,8
Impairment loss on investments in other entities 0,0 0,0 0,0
Share of profit/(loss) of entities measured by
equity method1,9 2,0
Profit before income tax 30,3 17,6 37,4
Income tax 5,9 6,4 8,2
Net profit 24,5 11,2 29,3
EBITDA 38,6 41,2 50,0
GPW Group’s consolidated cash flows
49
Positive cash flows from operating
activities in Q1’20, down by PLN 35.3
mn YoY mainly due to negative
changes in balance sheet items
(adjustments down by PLN 38.8 mn)
combined with a higher net profit (up
by PLN 4.5 mn).
Positive cash flows from investing
activities in Q1’20, up by PLN 61.5 mn
YoY mainly driven by an improved
balance of purchase and sale of
financial assets measured at amortised
cost (corporate bonds, bank deposits).
Negative cash flows from financing
activities in Q1’20, up by PLN 0.6 mn
YoY mainly due to revenue from
grants.
The Group’s capex in Q1’20 at PLN
11.2 mn (PLN 4.1 mn in Q1’19).
PLN mn 3 months period ended 31 March of 2020 2019
Total net cash flows from operating activities 67,1 102,4
Net prof it of the period 29,3 24,5
Adjustments: 48,3 87,1
Income tax 8,2 5,9
Depreciation and amortisation 9,8 9,2
Share of (profit)/loss of entities measured by equity method -2,0 -1,0
(Gains ) on assets measured by equity method -1,2 -1,2
Interest on bonds 1,8 1,8
Other adjustments -1,8 0,4
Change of assets and liabilities : 33,5 71,9
Trade receivables and other receivables -22,8 2,9
Other liabilities (excl. contracted inves tments and dividend payable) 8,8 30,6
Provis ions for liabilities and other charges 6,9 0,0
Income tax (paid)/refunded -10,5 -9,1
Total cash flows from investing activities: 76,0 14,5
In: 257,0 214,8
Sale of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets 0,1 1,5
Sale of financial assets measured at amortised cost 254,9 0,0
Interest on financial as sets measured at amortised cost 1,8 1,6
Out: -181,0 -200,4
Purchase of property, plant and equipment -4,1 -1,2
Purchase of intangible as sets and advances for intangible as sets -7,0 -2,8
Purchase of financ ial as sets measured at amortised cos t -169,6 -196,3
Total cash flows from financing activities: -2,4 -3,0
In: 0,8 -
Grants received 0,8 -
Out: -3,2 -3,0
Interes t paid on bonds -1,7 -1,7
Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents 140,7 113,9
Cash and cash equivalents - opening balance 281,3 188,7
Cash and cash equivalents - closing balance 422,4 302,6
27,3%
3,6%
3,0%2,6%
5,7%
13,6%
44,0%
0,3%
Information services
Listing
Trading - other
Trading - fixed income
Trading - derivatives
Trading - shares
Commodity Market: 44,0%
Financial Market (excl. Information services): 42,1%
Other revenue (0,3%)
2010 2012 20182011 20152013 20162014
311
2017
226
2019
269 274 284318 328
352 347 336
CAGR: +6,7%
GPW Group’s annual revenue (PLN mn)
GPW Group’s revenue structure: incremental for 12 months ended 31 March 2020
50
5,1%
3,8%
9,8%
3,7%
7,5%
13,9%
0,2%Information services (commoditymarket)Clearing
Register of Certificates of Origin
Trading - other
Trading - property rights
Trading - gas
Trading - energy
including TGE Group: 153,5 PLN mn
Information services:13,6%*
*Since revenue from information services on the commodity market is presented in a dedicated line, the data
above only include revenue on the financial market.
GPW Group: 349,0 PLN mn
Revenue drivers:
Value of trading in equities
Structure of orders (small,
large, mid-sized)
51
Financial market: Trading in equities
Value of trading in equities and number of transactions
Volatility – WIG and WIG20
1 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20
32,9%1
203167
38.2
160
20162008
51.951.4 48.4
201720112009
207 205
2010
72.1
55.3251 46.4
188
2012
112.2
2014
220 204
2013
55.565.9
2015
61
70.1
190
80.2
236
71.573.1
2018
191
2019
51
Q1’19 Q1’20
Average number of transactions per session (thous.)
Value of trading in equities, EOB (PLN mn)
20,1%
28,5%28,0%
15,4%19,3%
13,9%14,3%12,6%13,6%
15,4%11,6%
14,9%12,6%
28,4%
22,7%
34,4%35,0%
19,2%22,0%
16,5%16,8%14,2%
16,3%18,7%
14,8%18,6%
14,9%
32,2%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1'20
WIG WIG20
52
Financial market: Trading in derivatives
Volume of trading in derivatives
Volume of trading in futures vs. volatility
1 Velocity ratio (value of trading in WIG20 futures to value of trading in WIG20 stocks)2 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20
9.5
104.2
131.0
80.4
201720162009
12.614.7
8.2
177.8168.1
2008 2014
13.8
2010
132.8
15.5
3.1
2011 Q1’20
137.2
2018
12.611.3
143.6
2012
184.8
2013
138.1
7.6
2015
140.1
165.0 171.2
2019
8.2
156.5
Q1’19
8.0 7.0
1.7
Number of Open Interest (thous.)
480%439%404%
121%181%
139% 116% 132% 116% 121% 123%127% 106% 111%PLN bn
1DLR
125 124 152192
149 174 160 162 147
174160 163
42 51
602
502
668
347
207 201 212 196170
210 204174
46 63
20162011 20122008 20152009 2010 2013 2014 2017 2018 2019 Q1’19 Q1’20
Revenue drivers:
Volume of trading in futures
Number of open interest
Volatility
4,6%2
Trading - WIG20 stocks
Trading - WIG20 futures
53
Financial market: Other instruments and fees paid by participants
Value of trading on Treasury BondSpot Poland, PLN bn
Number of exchange members
1 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20, trading in debt instruments2 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20, other trading fees paid by market participants
2,9%1
188
731612
498 439339
158
338260 197
58
135
307450
347327
260
255
196
147
86
36 19
84
44
20122008 2009 2010 2015
845
201420132011 2016
101
2017 2018
407
2019 Q1’19
599
Q1’20
767
324
1.037 1.062
413
535
282
94 62
Repo transactions
Cash transactions
18 17 19
29 27 26 26 28 25 25 25 28 28
3129
30
32 3331 30 29
28 28 27 22 22
20122008 201420112009
5053
2010
61
2013 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1’20
4946
49
6057 56 57
53 5250
Local
Remote
2,0%2
Revenue drivers:
Value of trading in Treasury
bonds
Number of exchange members
54
Financial market: Listing
Capitalisation of domestic companies
IPO/SPO value and number of companies
1 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20
5,5%1
28.9%
267
20.0%
550
20092008
30.7%
421
2013
36.8%
671543
2010
27.9%
446
2011
32.0%
523
2012 2018
36.5%
2019
593
34.8%
30.0%
591
20152014
517
Q1’20
30.0%
557
2016
34.8%
2017
579
25.0%
18.4%
404
Revenue drivers:
Capitalisation at year end
Value of newly issued shares
and bonds
Number of issuers
Market Capitalisation/GDP (%)
Market Capitalisation of domestic companies (PLN bn)
486585
777867 895 902 905 893 890 852 824
20182010
22.71
2012 20172014
1.36
2015
1.15
2016 2019
6.84
Q1’20
20.08
0.90
15.69
2009
7.734.14 3.66
3.124.355.24
3.622.07
0.35
43.13
3.95
90.79
0.08 0.00
8.105.36
20132011
9.23
IPO, PLN bn
SPO, PLN bn
Number of listed companies (Main Market + NC)
55
Financial and commodity market: Information services
Number of data vendors
Number of subscribers (thou.)
12,5%1
19 18 19 20 21 24 27 24 25 25
42 46 47
31 32 33 37 37 34 3130 28 27
3637 38
20132011
54
2008 2009
50
2010 2012 201820152014
53
2016 2017
52
2019
85
Q1’20
5057 58 58 58
52
7883
Domestic
Foreign
187
307327
288
262240
221 225248 248
260
312
201220112009 2014 201820132010 2015 2016 2017 2019 Q1’20
Revenue drivers:
Number of data vendors
Number of subscribers
1 Total share of information services on the financial market and the commodity market in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1’20
56
Commodity market: Trading in electricity and gas
Volume of trading in electicity (TWh)1
Volume of trading in gas (TWh)
1 Data for 2006-2013 include trading on the GPW Energy Market poee2 Total share of trading in electricity and trade in gas in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1’20
8,4%2
gaz
228.9
22.3
2008 201620122009 2011
74.5
2010
21.7
109.1
33.9
2014
21.3
27.7
118.1154.3
2013
195.0
2017
86.4
23.7
9.1
163.0
25.1
161.6
2015
27.6
99.0
10.1
25.2 198.3
130.8
87.9
2018 2019
8.5
13.4
35.8
Q1’19
8.5
186.7
58.1
Q1’20
139.4
176.6186.7
126.6111.7
226.1
44.3
66.6
114.7105.1 123.5119.6
0.42.41.1
2016
28.5
13.9
0.0
143.3
2012
6.9
2013
39.9
6.5
2019
2.0
Q1’20
111.6 106.8
138.7
2015
92.9 89.9
2017
146.1
Q1’19
32.5
2018
114.5
7.4
2014
24.6
24.0 23.7 22.6
21.6
Spot
Forward
Spot
Forward
Revenue drivers:
Volume of trading in electricity
Volume of trading in gas
Share of spot and forward trading
57
Commodity market: Trading in property rights
Spot trading in property rights (TWh)
Number of participants of the Register of Certificates of Origin
1 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'202 Trading in cogeneration property rights ended at the end of June 2019.
35.2
2008
13.2
6.7
32.1
59.362.2
26.6
2010
58.9
35.6 35.7
39.3
20162011
48.8 19.9
18.0
42.4
2014
21.8
50.236.0
30.8
17.526.2
24.0
20132012 2017
15.1
25.9
28.532.3
2015
6.7
2018
29.8
2009
28.3
Q1’19
23.1
0.0
Q1’20
29.9
44.8
50.8
58.1
2019
11.0
6.8
9.6
5.9
3.9
5.0
43.9
Green Certificates
Cogeneration certificates
14451656
18622117
2539
2970
34493706
3980 3911
20142011 20182012 20172013 2015 2016 2019 Q1’20
7,5%1
Revenue drivers:
Volume of trading in property
rights
Share of certificate categories
in trading
Number of register participants
2
58
Commodity market: Register of Certificates of Origin
Volume of issued certificates of origin (TWh)
Volume of cancelled certificates of origin (TWh)
1 Share in GPW Group’s revenue in Q1'20
6,0%1
6,0
5,525,9
2009
10,710,8
24,2
2008
11,9
21,5
47,250,7
41,1
21,0
25,8
19,9
2010
26,6
2011
15,3
48,5
14,1
2012
17,6 20,6
2013
21,6
2014 2015
23,4
27,3
18,9
28,3
2016
24,5
24,0
36,6
12,5
2017
27,6
6,0
2018 2019 Q1’19
0,0
Q1’20
27,6
31,9
37,2
29,5
18,0
42,2
47,5
35,1
Green Certificates
Cogeneration certificates
7,24,4
9,6
8,8
9,1
13,8
45,6
2018
15,4
10,3
18,826,9
2009 2010
25,2
16,6
47,0
2011
20,6
12,4
30,8
2012
19,0
20,027,4
36,2
2013
0,6
2014
13,2
2015
22,3
16,8
43,2
26,1
2016 2017
28,0
17,8
2008 Q1’192019 Q1’20
20,1
27,8
27,025,0
42,9
52,1
25,8
Cogeneration certificates
Green Certificates
Revenue drivers:
Volume of issued property rights
Volume of cancelled property
rights
Glossary (1)
59
Cogeneration
Colocation
COR
ECM
EOB
ETF
ETP
FESE
Free float
Green certificates
HVF
technological process where electricity and heat are generated simultaneously in a combined heat and power plant; thanks to lower consumption of fuel, cogeneration provides material economic benefits and environmental advantages over separate generation of heat in a traditional heat plant and of electricity in a condensation power plant
a service where the exchange provides physical space and allows clients to install hardware and software in direct proximity to the exchange’s trading system
Certificates of Origin Register, register maintained by the Polish Power Exchange responsible for registration and record-keeeping of certificates of origin
Equity Capital Market, value of equity raised on the financial market
Electronic Order Book, trade excluding block trades
Exchange Traded Funds, track the performance of an exchange index. Similar to other investment funds, ETFs are regulated under EU Directives and national regulations. ETF can daily create and cancel ETF units. ETF units are exchange traded on the same terms as shares.
Exchange Traded –Products, structured products – financial instruments whose price in linked to the value of a market indicator (the underlying instrument)
Federation of European Stock Exchanges
free float shares are shares other than held by shareholders which hold more than 5% each, Treasury shares for cancellation, and registered shares; free float includes all shares held by investment funds, pension funds and asset managers and shares participating in depository receipt issue programmes
Certificate of origin is a document cerifing that the Energy was produced from the renewable Energy resources
High Volume Funds, a promotion programme addressed to investment funds actively trading in shares on GPW
Glossary (2)
60
HVP
IPO
ISV
MCO
MRC
MTF
NEMO
OTC
REIT
RES
High Volume Provider, a promotion programme addressed to legal entities whose core business is to invest on financial markets only on own account
Initial Public Offering, in this presentation, PwC IPOwatch Europe reports and FESE data, IPO means all offerings where a company first raises equity on the capital market, either in a public offering or a private placement
Independent Software Vendors, providers of client software for exchange members used to trade on the trading platform
Market Coupling operator
Multi-regional Coupling, European project of operational integration of spot electricity markets
Multilateral Trading Facility, addressed mainly to institutional investors, offers trade in stocks combined with very short lead times for the execution of orders as well as low trading fees. MTFs are usually operated by investment firms (banks, brokers) or securities exchanges. MTFs offer trade in the same stocks as those listed on other markets and do not provide listings.
Nominated Electricity Market Operator is a market operator designated by the competent authority of the European Union Member State to participate in single day-ahead or single intraday coupling
Over the Counter, a non-regulated market outside the exchange, where trade in non-standard financial instruments is made directly between counterparties without the mediation of a securities exchange
Real Estate Investments Trusts are special companies and funds investing in real estate; they manage a real estate portfolio to earn a fixed income from rent, and pay out most of the earnings to shareholders as dividend
renewable energy sources
Glossary (3)
61
RGO
SPO
Post-trade services
UTP
White certificates
Velocity
Register of Guarantees of Origin, register of instruments supporting renewable energy sources, which aim to provide disclosure for the end customer as to the amount of electricity generated in a renewable source and supplied to the power distribution or transmission network
Second Public Offering
depository, clearing and settlement services
Universal Trading Platform, the trading system of the Warsaw Stock Exchange supplied by NYSE Technologies
Certificates of origin of energy efficiency
a measure of liquidity of trade in stocks equal to turnover in a period to average capitalisation at the beginning and at the end of the period
61
62
Contact:
GPW Investor Relations
Phone 22 537 72 50
www.gpw.pl/relacje_inwestorskie
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Giełda Papierów Wartościowych
w Warszawie S.A. (“Warsaw Stock Exchange”, “GPW” or “Company”) for its
shareholders, analysts, and other contractors. This presentation has been prepared
solely for information and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to
buy or sell any securities or instruments. This presentation is not an investment
recommendation or an offer to provide any services.
All efforts have been made to present the data in this presentation; however, some
data are derived from external sources and have not been independently verified.
No warranty or representation can be given that information in this presentation is
exhaustive or true.
GPW has no liability for any decisions made on the basis of any information or
opinion in this presentation. GPW informs that in order to obtain information about
the Company reference should be made to periodic and current reports published in
compliance with applicable provisions of Polish legislation.
IR events
28-29 May 2020
EME Financials, WOOD & Company, Warsaw
18 June 2020
Emerging & Frontier Markets - 2020 GEM's Conference:
domestic consumption stories, BM PKO BP, Rosenblat and
GPW, New York.
30 July 2020
Communication with investors restricted prior to publication of
H1 2020 financial results.
13 August 2020
Publication of the consolidated interim report of GPW Group for
H1 2020.
20-24 September 2020
25th Annual Financials CEO Conference, Bofa, London
1-2 October 2020
European Financials Conference, mBank, Warsaw