preliminary results
DESCRIPTION
Preliminary Results. Year ended 31 December 2010. All numbers in this presentation exclude exceptional items and specific IAS 39 mark to market movements, unless stated otherwise. Introduction. Dirk Beeuwsaert, Chairman. Introduction. Global leader in independent power generation - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
1
Preliminary ResultsYear ended 31 December 2010
All numbers in this presentation exclude exceptional items and specific IAS 39 mark to market movements, unless stated otherwise
2
IntroductionDirk Beeuwsaert, Chairman
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 33
Introduction
Global leader in independent power generation
Well balanced portfolio
Strong committed growth profile
Ideally positioned to capture further growth in fast developing markets
Robust capital structure
Outstanding team
Integration on track
4
2010 IPR ResultsMark Williamson, Chief Financial Officer
All numbers in this presentation exclude exceptional items and specific IAS 39 mark to market movements, unless stated otherwise
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 5
2010 IPR financial highlights
Good financial performance
Profit from operations of £995m (20091: £1,030m)
EPS of 29.1 pence (20091: 26.3 pence)− earnings up 11%− favourable tax rate of 16%
Strong free cash flow of £708m (20091: £724m)
Net exceptional charge of £275m pre-tax(2009: £354m gain)
Full year dividend of 10.91p per share proposed (2009: 12.53p)
Underlying EPSup 11%
FX benefited EPS by 1.0p
2009
2010
Czech
26.3p 32.4p
29.1p
6.1p
1 2009 results stated excluding the Czech business that was sold during the year
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 6
NorthAmerica
(£8m)
Czech(£118m)
£1,148m
£1,030m
Corporate£4m
£995m
Europe (£61m)
MiddleEast£24m
Australia(£3m)
Asia£9m
Year-on-year PFO change
2009 20102009ex Czech
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 7
Strong free cash flow
Dividends JV&
Associates £8m
Czech (£67m)
PFO (£35m)
£708m
£724m
Workingcapital & other(£28m) Maintena
nceCapex (£32m)
Tax paid (net) £9m
Net interest
paid£62m
£791m
2009 20102009ex Czech
8
International Power - Post CombinationMark Williamson, Chief Financial Officer
Unaudited All numbers in this presentation exclude exceptional items and specific IAS 39 mark to market movements, unless stated otherwise
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 9
Pro forma Income Statement1
2010 Adjusted COI (£m)2,3
North America392
Asia260
Latin America967
META315
Europe491
Australia233
36%9%
10%
12%
18% 15%
2009£mYear ended 31 December
EBITDA
Depreciation, amortisation and other
Current Operating Income
Interest
Tax
Income from Associates
Profit for the year
Non controlling interests
Net income group share
EPS
Effective tax rate
3,081
(861)
2,220
(683)
(415)
168
1,290
(271)
1,019
20.1p
27%
%Change
13%
10%
7%
3,485
(1,137)
2,348
(746)
(381)
195
1,416
(326)
1,090
21.5p
23%
2010£m
1 The Preliminary Statement describes the assumptions used to derive the pro forma data, 2009 is adjusted to remove the Czech business2 Current Operating Income (COI), “Adjusted COI” is COI adjusted for results of Associates,3 Percentages stated before Corporate costs
2010£m
2009£m
2,348
195
2,543
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
2,220
168
2,388
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 10
Pro forma 2010 Current Operating Income
2010£m
2009£m
Year ended 31 December
1
8
49
75
62
-
-
195
Latin America
North America
UK – Europe
META
Asia
Australia
Corporate costs
CurrentOperating
IncomeAssociates
PAT
AdjustedCurrent
OperatingIncome
966
384
442
240
198
233
(115)
2,348
967
392
491
315
260
233
(115)
2,543
1
8
39
54
66
-
-
168
CurrentOperating
IncomeAssociates
PAT
AdjustedCurrent
OperatingIncome
746
525
519
190
128
236
(124)
2,220
747
533
558
244
194
236
(124)
2,388
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 11
Latin America
703MW commissioned in 2009 and 2010
Good price environment for hydro in 2010
Technical issues at a Panama plant in 2010
Consolidation of assets in Northern Chile
Currency appreciation
2009
2010
PeruBrazil Chile
Other
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
966
1
967
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
746
1
747
Change%
29
-
29
Pro forma
Contract type2
Long term100%
Adjusted COI
36%
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, where long term contracted > 3 years
82%
78%
14% 8%
11%8%3%
-4%
747
967
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 12
North America
Continued weak market conditions for merchant generation
Increased ownership of Astoria 1 from January 2010
Improved retail volumes and margins
Low US gas prices reduce LNG profitability− basis differential secures positive
margins− opportunity to divert uncommitted
LNG
2009
2010
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
384
8
392
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
525
8
533
Change%
(27)
-
(26)
Pro formaAdjusted COI3
15%
Longterm20%
Short term/uncontracted69%
PS 9%Wind 2%
GasGeneration Retail
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, “PS” Pumped Storage, where long term contracted > 3 years3 Excludes regional operating costs and trading
Contract type2
66% 21% 13%
54% 6%40% 533
392
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 13
UK - Europe
Lower spreads due to high reserve margins in the UK
Lower system volatility – reduced contribution from First Hydro
Rugeley improved availability in 2010
- extended outage in 2009
Improved retail margins
2009
2010
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
442
49
491
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
519
39
558
Change%
(15)
26
(12)
Pro formaAdjusted COI3
18%
Long term19% Short term/
uncontracted 50%
PS 17%
Wind 14%
Generation3 Retail
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, “PS” Pumped Storage, where long term contracted > 3 years3 net of regional operating costs
Contract type2
89% 11% 13%
92% 8% 558
491
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 14
Middle East, Turkey and Africa
First time contributions from Fujairah F2, Al Dur, Ras Laffan C and Marafiq
5.5GW3 expected to enter service in 2011
Riyadh IPP and Barka 3/Sohar 2 signed in 2010
2009
2010
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
240
75
315
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
190
54
244
Change%
26
39
29
Pro formaAdjusted COI
12%
Long term100%
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, where long term contracted > 3 years3 Gross capacity ( 1.4GW Net)
Contract type2
244
315
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 15
Asia
Glow, Thailand− higher availability− additional 115MW commissioned
in November
Singapore strong demand recovery
Gas distribution business proportionately consolidated from July 2010
2009
2010
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
198
62
260
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
128
66
194
Change%
55
(6)
34
Pro formaAdjusted COI
10%
Long term79%
Short term/uncontracted21%
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, where long term contracted > 3 years
Contract type2
194
260
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 16
Australia
Hazelwood 2010 – outages on 2 units
Strengthening Australian Dollar
SEAGas disposal
2009
2010
Regional Adjusted COI contribution1
2010£m
2009£mYear ended 31 December
233
-
233
COI
Associates
Adjusted COI
236
-
236
Change%
(1)
-
(1)
Pro formaAdjusted COI
9%
Long term24%
Short term/ Uncontracted74%
Wind 2%
1 Percentage of Adjusted COI stated before Corporate costs2 % of net capacity, where long term contracted > 3 years
Contract type2
236
233
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 17
Capital structure & liquidity
Strong credit metrics− debt capitalisation 38%− net debt to EBITDA 3.2x
Investment Grade credit rating confirmed by Moody’s (Baa3), Standard and Poor’s (BBB-)
GDF SUEZ financing facility operational - £3.1bn− £944m to refinance existing project finance and subordinated facilities− £1,211m to refinance existing project finance facilities at maturity
2010 net debt standalone
Al Hiddconsolidation
£0.6bn
2010 net debt combined
GDF SUEZ EI £5.4bn
CashInjection (£1.9bn)
SpecialDividend
£1.4bn
£5.6bn
£11.0bn
IPRCombinedYear ended 31 December
0.9 0.2 4.2
10.1 15.4
(4.4)11.0
Gross DebtConvertible Bonds Senior NotesDebt in listed subsidiaries Other DebtGross DebtCashTotal Net Debt
Pro forma net debt £bn
Net debt excludes derivatives, cash collateral and the impact of measurement at amortised cost
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 18
Pro forma free cash flow
2010Year ended 31 December 2010 (£m)
3,458
114
3,572
(586)
(415)
71
(411)
2,231
Operating cash flows from Subsidiaries and JVs
Dividends – Associates
Cash generated from operations1
Net interest paid
Tax paid
Change in working capital requirements
Maintenance capex
Free cash flow
2009 Movement
3,048
108
3,156
(583)
(363)
(22)
(414)
1,774
410
6
416
(3)
(52)
93
3
457
High quality earnings with strong cash conversion
Strong cash flow to fund growth and service dividend
1 Before income tax and working capital requirements
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 19
Key financial assumptions - 2011
Effective interest rate on gross debt− after capitalisation of interest− after synergies of £35m anticipated in 2011
Non controlling interests charge in 2010 amounts to £326m (2009: £271m)
Fair value exercise to be concluded for the half year
Presentation currency Euro from Q1 2011
2010Pro forma
£1.9bn
£412m
5.8%
23%
Growth capex1 - committed cash flow
Maintenance capex1
Effective interest rate on Gross Debt
Effective tax rate
£2.0bn
£450m
5.5%
27%
2011Forecast
1 Includes proportionate consolidation of JVs, excludes associates. Also excludes expenditure incurred by assets accounted for as finance leases or service concession arrangements
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 20
Conclusion
Highly visible earnings and cash flow− 50% of capacity long term contracted− adjusted COI of £2,543m (2009: £2,388m)− strong free cash flow of £2,231m (2009: £1,774m)
Strong balance sheet− Investment Grade rating achieved− competitive cost of capital
Well positioned for continuing growth
21
Regional Review and Integration UpdatePhilip Cox
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 22
Enlarged International Power Well balanced portfolio Significant capacity under
construction Access to high growth markets
Financial strength
Strong operational expertise Highly experienced management team
AustraliaMelbourne
Total power capacity
3.0GW
0.0GW
in operation
under construction
UK-Europe London
Total power capacity
9.0GW
0.3GW
in operation
under construction
North AmericaHouston
Total power capacity
13.0GW
0.3GW
in operation
under construction
Middle East,Turkey & AfricaDubai
Total power capacity
6.7GW
1.9GW
in operation
under construction
Latin AmericaFlorianópolis
Total power capacity
6.1GW
2.8GW
in operation
under construction
AsiaBangkok
Total power capacity
3.7GW
1.5GW
in operation
under construction
All GW numbers are on a net (by ownership) basis as at 31 December 2010
World leading IPP
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 23
Countries included in the graph above include: UK-Europe (UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain), North America (United States, Canada and Mexico), Latin America (Brazil, Chile and Peru), Middle East Turkey and Africa (GCC states, Morocco and Turkey), Asia (Indonesia, Thailand, Pakistan and Singapore).
New-build heavily focused in contracted markets
Electricity Demand Growth (%)8
-6
0
-2
6
2
4
Asia Australia LatinAmerica
MiddleEast,Turkey & Africa
UK-Europe
-4
20092010-15
NorthAmerica
Well positioned to benefit from strong growth in developing economies
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 24
Projects in high growth markets - online in the next 3 years(1)
Jirau1,127MW
1 MW stated on a net capacity basis as at 31 December 2010
Projects under construction(cumulative net GW)
2011
2.2
2012 2013
4.0
6.7
HUBCO - Laraib11MW
Ilo 2247MW
Sohar 2342MW
Barka 3342MW
Riyadh346MW
Uch 2281MW
Laja37MW
TNP2110MW
Paiton III253MW
Jirau601MW
Gheco One (Glow)297MW
Senoko258 MW
Chilca Uno164MW
2011 2012 2013
Ras Laffan C179MW
Elecgas210MW
Estreito224MW
Shuweihat 2302MW
Astoria 2173MW
Phase 5 (Glow)236 MW
Al Dur373MW
T-Power140MW
Dos Mares90 MW
E-CL Andina (CTA)79MW
PAR49MW
E-CL Hornitos (CTH)47MW
HUBCO Narowal36MW
Synergen24MW
Monte Redondo10MW
Bahia las MinasConventional4MW
IPR Europe Wind2MW
Estreito75MW
Asia
Australia
Latin America
META
North America
UK - Europe
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 25
Significant development pipeline
Significant current pipeline of bidding activity− 18GW gross, 8GW net projects in development across core regions− principally Latin America, META and Asia− focused on contracted markets− broad fuel mix leveraging technical expertise
Competitive advantage through wide geographic footprint and lower cost of finance
Latin America− hydro, thermal, wind –
opportunities across core markets
Middle East, Turkey & Africa− CCGTs in Gulf States− renewables and coal in
Morocco− peaking plants in South Africa
Asia− high efficiency coal and
geothermal in Indonesia− thermal projects in Vietnam
North America− renewables, particularly
Canada− generation and gas
distribution in Mexico
Examples of development projects – all long-term contracted
26
Regional Review
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 27
Latin America
Committed Growth(based on net MW ownership)
Strong demand growth across the region 3 listed companies: Tractebel Energia, E-CL and
Enersur Output largely contracted through mid to long-term
offtake arrangements− contracts include inflation or fuel price
escalators Tractebel Energia - the largest private power
generator in Brazil− Estreito construction programme on track
− first unit to commence operation in H1 2011
− expected output sold under 30 year contract
− Jirau under construction− first unit to commence operation in 2012,
ramping up in 2013 and 2014− 30 year PPA from 2013 for 70% of
originally expected output/assured energy Chilean E.CL new coal capacity to commence in H2
2011 Currently 10 sites under construction in Brazil, Chile,
Peru and Panama on hydro, thermal and LNG Pipeline of further opportunities across Brazil, Chile,
Peru and Panama under development
Brazil, Chile, Peru1
Projected demandgrowth 2010-2015 p.a.2
Per capita consumption
6%
2,100kWh*
Demand data
1 Aggregate figures for 3 countries / weighted averages2 Sources: Brazil: EPE, Peru: COES-SINAC, Chile: CNE/CDEC, Per capita based on EIA Energy Statistics
GW
5
6
9
10
2011
2013
2012
02010 2011 2012 2013
8
7
GROWTH
*UK per capita consumption = 5,600kWh
Existing
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 28
North America
United States
2011 average contracted position1
Texas 60% New England 70% NYC 90%North Eastern LNG business 90%
Merchant market data
Texas and New England – well positioned to capture value from market recovery
Growing retail business to commercial and industrial customers in the US
– serving 60,000 customer accounts across 10 US states and Washington, DC
– supplied 30.7TWh of electricity in 2010 LNG business
– located in premium North Eastern market in the US
− winter sales from Everett Terminal made at attractive premiums
− diversion deals to Far East and Europe supplement sales in the North Eastern US
Astoria Phase II - expected to commence operations in H2 2011
Renewables in Canada– Pointe-Aux-Roches expected to commence
operation in H2 2011– pipeline of further opportunities backed by long-
term PPAs and feed-in tariffs Power and gas opportunities in Mexico
Sources: ERCOT Capacity Demand Report and Company estimates
%
15
25
2011 2012 2013 20160 2014
20
10
5
2015
Target reserve
Reserve Margin (Texas ERCOT)
1 Represents total contracted generation as a % of forecast generation for the year
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 29
UK-Europe
United Kingdom
Merchant market data2011 average contracted position1
Rugeley 75% Saltend 90% Deeside, Teesside and Shotton 15%
United Kingdom IPR assets represent 7% of total UK installed
generation capacity Growing commercial and industrial retail business
provides route to market− electricity and gas
− 11.5TWh electricity sales in 2010 Strong, diversified generation portfolio
− well positioned to benefit from market recovery
Electricity Market Reform− IPR actively engaged
Continental Europe Consistent performance from contracted assets Elecgas CCGT (Portugal) now operational T-Power (Belgium) to commence operations in
2011− IPR equity interest (33%) to be sold
Reserve Margin
%
15
25
2011 2012 2013 20150
2014
20
10
5
1 Represents total contracted generation as a % of forecast generation for the year
Target reserve
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 30
Middle East, Turkey & Africa
GCC, Turkey and Morocco
Projected demandgrowth 2010-2015 p.a.
Per capita consumption
7%
3,300kWh*
*UK per capita consumption = 5,600kWh
Demand data
1 Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
Stronger GCC1 position following combination
Delivery of 4 major growth projects in 2011− Fujairah F2 (UAE) contributing to
profitability− Al Dur, Ras Laffan C and Shuweihat S2
Further growth across the META region− Morocco - preferred bidder for 2
projects (Safi and Tarfaya)− South Africa - preferred bidder for
1,000MW oil-fired peakers− Turkey - additional growth potential
through 16GW privatisation process− 5GW of greenfield opportunities visible
in 2011 within META region
Committed Growth(based on net MW ownership)GW
5
6
9
10
02010 2011 2012 2013
8
7
Existing
2011
2013
GROWTH
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 31
Australia
Australia
2011 average contracted position1
Hazelwood 70% Loy Yang B 85% Pelican Point 85%
Merchant market data
Spot and forward prices affected by: − mild weather− low electricity price volatility
Simply Energy (retail) benefitting from improved margins
Australian Government has announced a ‘framework for discussion’ for a CO2 price
− indicates potential to start from July 2012− subject to political agreement and
industry consultation Reserve Margin Chart(VIC and SA)
%
15
25
2011 2012 2013 20150
2014
20
10
5
1 Represents total contracted generation as a % of forecast generation for the year
Target reserve
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 32
Asia
Indonesia, Pakistan, Singapore, Thailand
Projected demandgrowth 2010-2015 p.a.
Per capita consumption
4%-5%
750kWh*
Demand data
All long-term contracted markets, except Singapore
Senoko output highly contracted for 2011 Projects under construction across Thailand,
Indonesia, Singapore and Pakistan− Glow CCGT project to commence operations
in 2011− Glow coal project (Gheco-1) under
construction to commence operations 2012
− Paiton III on track to commence operation in 2012
− Senoko CCGT to commence operations in 2012
− Uch II to commence operation in 2013 Pipeline of further opportunities
− in Indonesia, Philippines and Vietnam
Committed Growth(based on net MW ownership)GW
4
6
02010 2011 2012 2013
3
5
Existing
2011
2013
2012
GROWTH
*UK per capita consumption = 5,600kWh
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 33
Integration and Synergies
Integration progressing well− management team in place
Operational synergies− progress on operational
synergies− O&M, insurance, procurement− planned closure of regional
offices Financial synergies
− US$395m of IPM debt repaid− US$780m corporate revolver
cancelled − US$807m Coleto and US$319m
US peakers project debt repayment
One off cost of implementation £130m
Projected synergies (£m)
2012
129
77
52
2013
140
82
58
2014
148
87
61
2015
154
93
61
2016
165
104
61
76
2011
43
33Operating
Financing
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 34
2011 outlook
Portfolio 50% long-term contracted Good visibility of growth in 2011, in particular driven by Latin America Key regional factors
− Latin America – capacity growth in 2011, inflation escalation, one-off unplanned outage in 2010, strengthening currency
− North America – merchant market conditions largely unchanged, 2011 will benefit from LNG diversion to Asia
− UK-Europe – 2010 benefitted from higher price contracts placed in prior years, reduction in forward spreads
− META – all capacity under long-term contracts− Australia – forward prices softer, Hazelwood 70% contracted − Asia – all long-term contracts, capacity growth in 2011
Good progress on integration and synergies
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 35
Delivering value for shareholders
Significant capacity under construction Extensive development pipeline Exposure to growth markets
Growth
Balanced generation portfolio – geography, fuel and contract Backed by strong free cashflow
High qualityearnings
Integration underway and on track Projected synergies of £165 million per annumSynergies
Robust capital structure and low cost of debt Investment grade credit rating
Access tocapital
Targeting an EPS payout ratio of 40 per centDividends
36
Appendix
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 37
Merchant historic performance
Gas hedges in place at Hays and Midlothian to protect from further reduction in gas prices
Dark spread excludes the cost of SO2 credits and non-cash write back of fair value provisions
ISO-NE spark spreads include income from the Forward Capacity Market and exclude the cost of CO2
Spark spread ($/MWh)
Load factor
2010Midlothian
$9
25%
North America
Spark spread ($/MWh)
Load factor
2010Hays
$10
35%
Dark spread ($/MWh)
Load factor
2010Coleto Creek
$32
80%
Spark spread ($/MWh)
Load factor
2010New England
$23
40%
2009
$13
30%
2009
$27
95%
2009
$14
50%
2009
$24
35%
INTERNATIONAL POWER Preliminary Results 2010 38
Merchant historic performance
Stated spreads exclude the cost of CO2 and are adjusted to reflect the fuel optimisation achieved by trading our coal and gas assets as a portfolio
Spark / dark spread (£/MWh)
Load factor
2010
Deeside
£12
65%
UKSaltend
£22
85%
Rugeley
£26
60%
Australia
Average price (A$/MWh)
Load factor
2010Victoria, Hazelwood
$42
80%
2009
£16
65%
2010 2009 2010 2009
£25
85%
£42
45%
2009
$45
80%