predictions - championship 080213

7/29/2019 Predictions - Championship 080213

1/12

Blackburn Ipswich

22% 36%

Ipswich have relied heavily on close range goals,

but their hosts concede one of the divisions

lowest proportions of these

Experimental361.com

11.2 5.3Blackburn have one of the most wasteful home

attacking records in the division, but theyre up

against one of its least resilient defences

Shots per goal conceded vs. scored

9.7 9.6

Ipswich have had difficulty converting their

chances this season, which doesnt bode well

against one of the Championships more resilient

defences

The stats dont point to a goal-fest here Ipswich will do well to find the net at all, and their

poor away defensive record gives Blackburn the greater chance of snatching a win.

Prediction: 1-0

Goals conceded vs. scored inside the 6 yard box

Shots per goal scored (home) vs. conceded (away)


2/12

Blackpool Millwall

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14.7 13.8

Blackpool tend to batter the away goalmouth at

Bloomfield Road and their visitors today are one

of the more likely to allow this trend to continue

Shots taken (home) vs. faced (away) per match

Goals scored vs. conceded inside the 6 yard box

Millwall look capable of grinding out a point here, particularly given the off-field disruptions

afflicting their shot-happy hosts.

40% 22%Blackpool are the divisions close range

specialists but theyre up against a side who

police their goalmouth better than most

Goals scored vs. conceded in last 15 mins

Prediction: 1-1

35% 7%

No Championship side relies more on the final

minutes of games to score than Blackpool, but

this is when Millwall have proven admirably

resilient


3/12

Bolton Burnley

Experimental361.com

0.45 0.43

Boltons ability from set pieces has generated a

goal virtually every other game, which is a similar

rate to that which Burnley have been shipping

them at

Goals scored vs. conceded per match from set pieces

Goals conceded vs. scored from open play down the left

Boltons dead ball expertise should be enough for them to edge this one, although both sides

should have ample chances to take the points here.

15% 31%Burnley make good use of the wings but theyre

unlikely to have much joy on the left where Bolton

have been comparatively tight

Shots take per match

Prediction: 2-1

12.7 12.2

This match pits two of the divisions most

energetic attacks against each other, which

should (and now Ive jinxed it, wont) provide an

entertaining spectacle


4/12

Brighton Hull

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Shots faced per match (home vs. away)

6.9 10.3

While Brighton are adept at closing down their

opponents at home, Hull tend to do likewise on

the roaditll be interesting to see who prevails

here

Hull have the divisions best away record and look capable of adding to their hosts unwanted

tally of home draws.

Prediction: 1-1

41% 38%

Both these teams are dangerous attacking from

the right, but where they differ is that Hull are

vulnerable on their left side while their hosts are

reasonably solid

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the right

Goals scored vs. conceded from outside the area

22% 6%Brighton are a threat from distance but theyre

hosting a side who rarely let long range

thunderbolts through their rearguard


5/12

Bristol C Nottm Forest

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21% 7%The Robins like to shoot from range but they

seem unlikely to catch Forest out this way

Goals scored vs. conceded from outside the area

Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening 15 minutes

17% 17%

The hosts have a good chance of drawing first

blood their tendency to score early is mirrored

by the shaky starts their visitors have endured this

season

The divisions most newsworthy clash sees Sean ODriscollfacing a team hes probably

increasingly glad to have left, helmed by a re-hired Billy Davies. A tense clash surely awaits.

Prediction: 1-1

Points won after conceding first (home vs. away)

13% 30%

The first goal may well determine the outcome

here where City concede the opener at home

their record at getting back into the game is poor,

while Forest have been relatively successful inrecovering from a goal down on the road


6/12

Charlton Birmingham

Experimental361.com

38% 38%

Charlton are lethal at close range and theyre

hosting the side who concede the divisions

highest proportion of goals in the 6 yard box

Goals scored vs. conceded in the 6 yard box

Shots faced per goal conceded

9.0 6.8

The hosts have one of the most resilient defences

in the Championship while their visitors have one

of the leakiest, which could make all the

difference in a close contest

Shots faced vs. taken per game

12.6 9.2

Charlton are used to soaking up a lot of shots, but

theyre hosting one of the meekest attacks in the

division this could give them more licence to

push forward than theyre used to

On paper Charlton look capable of containing Birminghams threat and causing their visitors a

decisive number of problems.

Prediction: 2-0


7/12

Huddersfield Cardiff

Experimental361.com

0.2 0.55

While Cardiffs haul from set pieces is fearsome,

theyre up against one of the best-drilled

defences in the division when it comes to dead

balls

Goals conceded vs. scored from set pieces per match

Goals scored in the opening 15 minutes

21% 18%Both these sides score a lot of early goals and

concede few in return, so the opening minutes of

this contest could be very interesting indeed

Shots taken (home) vs. faced (away) per match

8.3 13.5

No Championship team creates fewer chances at

home than Huddersfield, but Cardiff tend to sit

back more away from home who will push

forward?

An early goal could well settle this one, but Huddersfield look capable of frustrating the

runaway leaders.

Prediction: 0-0


8/12

Middlesbrough Barnsley

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Goals conceded vs. scored in 15 mins before half time

26% 21%

Boro have a frustrating knack of shipping goals

just before half time, which Barnsley seem

equipped to take advantage of

Middlesbrough are in poor form, so resurgent Barnsley will fancy their chances here and

should be capable of taking at least a point.

Prediction: 1-1

63% 38%

Boro create most of their goals in the middle of

the pitch, but Barnsley have been more

vulnerable on the flanks they may need to

adapt their approach

Goals from open play created in the centre

Goals scored vs. conceded per game from set pieces

0.34 0.47A potential way through for the hosts is set pieces,

which their visitors have struggled to defend this

season


9/12

Peterborough Leicester

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Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening half hour

44% 50%

When Leicester do concede it tends to be early

on, so a strong start is imperative for the home

side to capitalise on this

Peterborough are likely to put in a spirited performance and may even grab an early goal, but

Leicester are on a roll at the moment and look too strong for them over 90 minutes.

Prediction: 1-2

13.3 12.3

This game looks set to be largely one way traffic

in favour of the away side, with precedent placing

Posh on the back foot

Shots faced (home) vs. taken (away) per match

Goals conceded vs. scored per game from open play down the left

0.38 0.55Leicester have used the left flank to devastating

effect this season and they wont find many right

sides more porous than this one


10/12

Sheff Wed Derby

Experimental361.com

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the right

36% 44%

The left side of Derbys defence has been

vulnerable this season and Wednesday are a side

blessed with penetration down the right

Derby may be much higher in the table but their away record is poor, their hosts are in better

form and the numbers strongly suggest the Owls have the advantage.

Prediction: 2-0

31% 27%

Any naturalist will tell you that Owls are deadlier

in the air than Rams, and football seems to be

following suit at the moment

Goals scored vs. conceded from headers

Goals conceded vs. scored inside the 6 yard box

18% 32%

Derby have netted a large proportion of their

goals from close range so far, but their hosts have

managed to keep poachers at bay with relative

success


11/12

Watford Crystal P

68% 65%

Watford have scored the 2nd highest proportion of

goals through the centre, which is precisely

where Palace have looked weakest defensively

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play through the middle

Shots taken per goal scored

Experimental361.com

There look certain to be goals in this one, with Watfords home advantage and strength

through the middle probably enough to give them the edge.

6.2 6.1These are the two most clinical attacks in the

Championship we could well see a master class

in finishing at both ends

Prediction: 2-1

Goals conceded vs. scored per game from penalties

0.23 0.33

Palace have been the Football Leagues most

regular beneficiaries of penalty kicks although

theyve not been awarded one for a while theyre

facing a side who concede more than their fair

share


12/12

Wolves Leeds

Experimental361.com

Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening 15 minutes

20% 7%

Home fans might be hoping for an early goal

given how many Wolves have netted early on, but

their visitors are usually alert from the first whistle

Leeds have been disappointing on their travels, so Dean Saunders might just shade the win

hes been craving to pull his side away from the relegation zone.

Prediction: 2-1

11.7 7.1

Wolves have found themselves under the cosh in

front of their own fans this season, but their

visitors take the Championships fewest shots

away from home which way will the scales tip?

Shots faced (home) vs. taken (away) per match

Goals scored vs. conceded per game from set pieces

0.4 0.41Leeds have been vulnerable from set piece

situations, which their hosts appear well-equipped

to exploit

predictions - championship 080213

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