pre market action - sharekhan · stocks in news and likely price impact (cover’s imp news,...
TRANSCRIPT
PRE – MARKET ACTION
Sharekhan Pre - Market Action
Commodity & Currency Updates
Commodity & Currency Outlook
Morning Updates Market Summary (Both Domestic & Global), ADR Updates & Fund Flow
Sharekhan Top 5 Stocks in News and likely price impact
(cover’s Imp News, Results & other Imp Market Event)
Top 5 Delivery Ideas
Top 5 Delivery Ideas from Sharekhan Basket
Technical View Nifty and Bank Nifty view for the day.
Derivative Update Derivatives Update alongwith list of Stocks for trading with Positive and
Negative bias for the day.
6th February 2020 – Thursday
Commodity & Currency Outlook
06th February 2020 - Thursday
Important Events – Commodity & Currency
Today’s Major Events
Commodity Currency
Yesterday’s Major Events
Commodity Currency
ADP Non Farm Employment Change Actual {+291} V/S Forecast {+157}
Negative for Bullions Positive for Dollar
ISM Non Manufacturing PMI Actual {+55.5} V/S Forecast {+55.00}
Negative for Bullions Positive for Dollar
Crude Oil Inventories Actual {3.4} V/S Forecast {2.9}
Mixed data Mixed data
Today’s Major Events
Commodity Currency
Unemployment Claims Expected{215} V/S Previous {216}
Mixed data Positive for Dollar
Natural Gas Storage Expected{-123} V/S Previous {-201}
Negative for Natural Gas price No Impact
Market Recap – Commodity & Currency
COMMODITY/ CURRENCY
Symbol Expiry
Closing as on
5th FEB 2020
Closing as on
4th FEB 2020 % Change
GOLD 03 APRIL 2020 40200 39975 0.56%
SILVER 05 MARCH 2020 45735 45534 0.44%
CRUDE OIL 19 FEB 2020 3680 3584 2.68%
COPPER 28 FEB 2020 434.5 428.60 1.38%
USDINR 26 FEB 2020 71.37 71.42 -0.08
Intraday Commodity/Currency Pick
COMMODITY
Symbol Expiry Action Previous Close Resistance Support
GOLD 03-APR-2020 BUY 40200 40420 39980
SILVER 05-03-2020 BUY 45735 45975 45505
CURRENCY
Symbol Expiry Action Previous Close Resistance Support
EURINR 26-FEB-2020 SELL 78.74 78.97 78.53
Fundamental news • Indian rupee appreciated on positive equity market and FII
inflows in the local shares. However, strong dollar, recovery in crude oil prices and concerns over corona virus restricted sharp gains.
• We expect rupee to depreciate on surge in crude oil prices, strength in the greenback and fiscal slippage concerns. Traders may remain cautious ahead of the RBI monetary policy. However, positive Asian markets may prevent sharp downside in the rupee.
• Data- India RBI Repo rate exp 5.15% vs 5.15%
• US- Unemployment Claims exp 215k vs 216k
Global Indices and News
• US stocks rallied for a third straight day on Wednesday on encouraging US economic data and waning fears of the financial fallout from a virus out of China but losses in Tesla shares pulled the Nasdaq off its record high
• Asian stocks edged up on Thursday, a day after US S&P 500 hit a record peak following encouraging economic data, while investors keep a wary eye on the impact of the coronavirus outbreak.
Index Closing Change % Chg
S&P 500 3334.7 37.1 1.13
NASDAQ 9508.7 40.7 0.43
DJIA 29290.9 483.2 1.68
FTSE 7482.5 42.7 0.57
NIKKEI 23773.4 453.8 1.95
HSI 27175.2 388.3 1.45
SHANGHAI 2826.8 8.7 0.31
Market Summary
• Sensex ended with gains of 353.28 points or 0.87 percent at 41142.66, and the Nifty jumped 113.10 points at 12092.80
• RBI Monetary policy today, Expect Rate Unchange
• Dmart launch QIP of 4098 Crs at Rs. 2049 • SGX Nifty is trading @ 12094, down by 6 points.
ADRs & FII Data
Scrip Name ADR price %Change
INFY 11.04 -0.54
WIT 3.74 1.08
HDB 58.98 0.05
IBN 15.05 1.48
RDY 44.5 -2.92
TTM 12.64 7.76
FII/DII ACTIVITIES
As on Previous Day FII (cr) DII (cr)
Net Investment
+ 249 + 263
Sharekhan Top 5
Stocks in news and likely price impact (cover’s Imp News, Results & Other Important Market Event)
Ajanta Pharma
Ajanta Pharma reported good Q3 results, profit jumped 61 percent to Rs 108 crore, revenue rose 34 percent to Rs 651 crore YoY.
Industry – Pharmaceuticals CMP – 1194.4 52 Week High – 1217.1 52 Week Low – 840 Impact - Positive
Gujarat Gas
Gujarat Gas reported inline Q3 results profit rose 0.7 percent to Rs 263.2 crore, revenue dipped 0.2 percent to Rs 2,564.2 crore QoQ. Morbi demand continues to drive volumes, Domestic PNG/CNG volumes better than est
Industry – Oil & Gas CMP – 296.25 52 Week High – 307.9 52 Week Low – 116 Impact - Positive
Engineers India
Engineers India reported good Q3 results, profit climbed 19.5 percent to Rs 111.8 crore, revenue surged 53.7 percent to Rs 899.2 crore YoY.
Industry – Consulting Services CMP – 94.5 52 Week High – 128.6 52 Week Low – 90.45 Impact - Positive
Godrej Properties
NGT cancels eco-clearance for Godrej high rise project near Bengaluru lake. The project was touching the lake on the southern side. It was in violation of environmental norms, municipal corporation norms and buffer zone regulations Industry – Reality CMP – 1151.4 52 Week High – 1188 52 Week Low – 687 Impact - Negative
HPCL
HPCL reporetd weak Q3 results profit down 29 percent to Rs 747.2 crore, revenue up 16.2 percent to Rs 70,749.4 crore QoQ. Lower refining and marketing margins hurt Q3 numbers HPCL had reported inventory gains so adjusted GRMs even lower at $1.45/bbl Industry – Oil & Gas CMP – 236.9 52 Week High – 333.45 52 Week Low – 211.35 Impact - Negative
Following Companies will announce its Q3FY2020 Earnings Today:
Company Estimated PAT (Rs. Crs)
Indraprastha Gas Ltd 262
GSK Consumer Healthcare 225
Bata India 132
Trent 45
Aurobindo 734.5
Lupin 233
Sun Pharma 1041.6
Heromotoco 677.8
Eicher Motors 512.7
Other Companies: Aditya Birla Fashion, Dalmia Bharat, Advance Enzyme, United Breweries, NMDC, LT Foods, ICRA etc
Top 5 Delivery Ideas
Sharekhan's Top 5 Delivery Ideas
Company Close Price** Upside (%)
Apollo Tyres * 168 19%
Gujarat Gas * 296 15%
Indus Ind 1273 37%
Petronet 269 28%
Polyplex 555 28%
* Actionable Ideas/View Points for the day
** Closing price of previous day
Time frame of more than 12 months
Stock Board ( Cash Market Tool)
Stock Board (Cash Market Tool ) is available in TRADE TIGER Salient Features :
Fundamental View – On coverage stocks Technical View - All 200 companies Market View (Other Brokers view on 200 companies)
Index View – Nifty, Bank Nifty & Sensex Market Buzzers – Top 10 buzzing stocks of the day on real time basis News – Available news on Top 200 stocks Impact – Possible Impact of news on stocks Customer Holding – Available quantity in particular Stocks (DP holding +Receivable +Pool A/C+ Investment Position of today) Net Position – Net position taken today by your customer in Particular stocks Process to activate Cash tool on your TT • Install new version 2.6.0.0 • Login with your id • Go to tools • Select stock board
Technical Update
Nifty and Bank Nifty view
Technical View Nifty (Positional)
Short Term View: Negative
Short Term Target: 11170
Short Term Reversal: 12273
Medium Term View: Positive
Medium Term Target: 12430
Medium Term Reversal: 11000 All levels are spot levels
Technical View Nifty (Intraday)
Nifty Close (spot): 12089
Intraday View: Negative
Intraday Strategy: Sell below support
Day Trader’s snapshot:
Note: Levels in the table are Futures levels
Index S2 S1 Close (Fut) R1 R2 Action
Nifty 11950
12027 12090 12150 12243 Sell below S1
Technical View Bank Nifty (Positional)
Short Term View: Negative
Short Term Target: 28000
Short Term Reversal: 31380
Medium Term View: Positive
Medium Term Target: 32613
Medium Term Reversal: 27568 All levels are spot levels
Technical View Bank Nifty (Intraday)
t– 9974
Bank Nifty Close (spot): 31002
Intraday View: Negative
Intraday Strategy: Sell below support
Day Trader’s snapshot:
Note: Levels in the table are Futures levels
Index S2 S1 Close (Fut) R1 R2 Action
Bank Nifty 30631 30948
31060 31200 31438 Sell below S1
DERIVATIVE MORNING VIEW For 06th FEB 2020
Description Current Previous change
Nifty (Current Mon.) 12086.3 11,964.25 1.02%
Nifty Premium/Disc. -2.85 -15.4 12.55 OI 14730075 14647650 0.56%
PCR(OI) 1.39 1.24 12.10%
INDIA VIX (%) 13.98 14.38 -2.76%
Future’s Activity
Nifty added 0.08 lakh shares in Open Interest
Nifty VWAP
5 Days VWAP Lower Range Higher Range
11876 11876 12200
Most active index Call option
Strike Curr. IV Prev. IV Curr. OI % change OI % change IV
12000 C 15.55% 14.72% 1398300 -1.89% 5.65%
12200 C 16.13% 15.68% 1337325 -10.94% 2.83%
12300 C 16.37% 16.04% 1098300 -8.85% 2.02%
Most active Index Put option
Strike Curr. IV Prev. IV Curr. OI % change OI % change IV
11900 P 16.64% 16.65% 1856100 26.61% -0.07% 12000 P 18.37% 18.31% 2852025 17.00% 0.33% 11800 P 16.43% 16.21% 1848150 24.30% 1.34%
Option’s Activity
HIGHSET PUT BASE * 12000
** - Highest Put Open Interest is considered as the Strong Support Highest Call Open Interest is considered as Strong Resistance for the given series.
HIGHEST CALL BASE* 12500
Securities in Ban For Trade Date 06-02-20
1 YESBANK
FII :
INDEX FUTURES -320.30 cr. INDEX OPTIONS +856.30 cr. STOCK FUTURES +481.80 cr. STOCK OPTIONS +120.10 cr.
Banned Securities and FII Activity
Stocks based on Derivative data
STOCK WITH POSITIVE BIAS
SYMBOL CMP TGT SL
TORNTPHARM 1996 2038 1968
TATAMOTORS 184 188 181
CHOLAFIN 344 351 339
STOCKS WITH NEGATIVE BIAS
SYMBOL CMP TGT SL
MUTHOOTFIN 761 745 772
ZEEL 228 223 231
DR REDDY 3147 3081 3191
Thank You
The views expressed herein are solely of the analyst, Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable. Each recipient of this information should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment avenue referred to in this web cast and determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Further each recipient of this information may take their own decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent advisors, as they believe necessary. This information is given in good faith and Sharekhan Ltd makes no representations or warranties, express or implied as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall have no liability to you or your representative(s) resulting from use of this information. The investment ideas discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors Analysts and other employees of Sharekhan and Sharekhan may have holdings in the companies mentioned in the webcast. Sharekhan neither makes any representation as to the quality, liquidity or market perception on the securities/market, not does it provide any guarantee whatsoever. The risk arising out of the /participation in any financial instrument will rest fully with you without any form of recourse to Sharekhan. The views are for assistance only and are not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision.
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