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Climate Change
• One of society’s most fundamental challenges
• Requires a mindset change
• Biggest challenge facing the motor industry today
• Motor industry cannot solve climate change alone
Climate Change
The ideal-- Treat all carbon dioxide molecules equally-- Incentives and disincentives-- Cross-region and cross-sector carbon trading
The immediate reality -- Pro-rata reductions for different industries
Unbroken Reduction TrendUnbroken Reduction Trend Intermediate target achieved ahead of timeIntermediate target achieved ahead of time
13% CO13% CO22 emission reduction by 2004 emission reduction by 2004
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
CO2
g/k
m
Petrol+Diesel (ACEA)
Petrol (ACEA)
Diesel (ACEA)
Petrol
Diesel
Petrol+Diesel
2003 Indicative Target Range: 165 170 g/km 2008 Target: 140 g/km
Automotive CO2 Emissions Development to date
110
180
190
150
160
170
130
120
140
(g CO2/km)
1998 2007Engine Transmission Ancillaries Tyres Emissions Aero Weight
137
*Approx
1.9
Tonnes
per yr
-63 g/km
*Approx 0.9
tonnes/yr
34%+17 g/km
Technology
Market
Regulatory
DI DieselCommon RailFriction imps
Gear ratiosFriction imps
P/steeringImprovedalternators Low
rollingresistance
St III/IV NOx emiss.
Frontalareamirrors
Customerfeaturesand safety
185
*Approx
2.6
Tonnes
per yr
-48 g/km
*Approx 0.7
Tonnes/yr
26%
* * Based on an average mileage of 14,000km/yearBased on an average mileage of 14,000km/year
Technological Challenge
• Customer will decide
• Solutions must be affordable
• Geared towards volume implementation
• Rapidly adopted
Technological Challenge
• No single solution
• Need a broad portfolio of solutions
• Expensive but unavoidable
Powertrain Building BlocksDiesel EnginesDiesel Engines Alternative Fuel EnginesAlternative Fuel Engines Gas EnginesGas Engines
AdvancedAdvanced Gas Gas EnginesEngines
Advanced Diesel Advanced Diesel EnginesEngines
HEVHEV
Fuel CellsFuel Cells
H2 - ICEH2 - ICETransmissionTransmission TechnologiesTechnologies
Getrag-FordGetrag-Ford PowershiftPowershift
Jaguar XJ Aluminium Bodyshell
Other technologies Other technologies