power players: presidential election and beyond
DESCRIPTION
Power Players: Presidential Election and Beyond. VENEZUELA 2012. The “Horserace” Conflicting Views. Consultores 21 Chavez 46.2% Capriles 48.2 (September) 6 th Poder Datos Chavez 47.17% Capriles 43.25% (September). DATANALISIS Chavez 43,8% Capriles 29.1% (September) - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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POW
ER PLA
YERS:
PRESID
ENTIAL E
LECTI
ON
AND BEYO
ND
VENEZ
UELA 2
012
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DATANALISIS
Chavez 43,8%
Capriles 29.1%
(September)
CONSULTORES 30.11
Chavez 56.5%
Capriles 34.4 %
(September)
16 Septem ber
Consultores 21
Chavez 46.2%
Capriles 48.2
(September)
6th Poder Datos
Chavez 47.17%
Capriles 43.25%
(September)
THE “HORSERACE” CONFLICTING VIEWS
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Acaraigua, Portuguesa
(24 September)
Health – uncertainCampaigning
more reliance on media than in past
significant number of public appearancesAppeal
charismatic manichaen
HUGO CHÁVEZ FRÍAS
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Unified opposition last chance to
prevent transition to communalism Remnants of Punto Fijo fight for survivalRejection of class warfareYouth-vigor
HENRIQUE CAPRILES RADONSKI
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Diosdado Cabello R. (First Vice President)
Elías Jaua (capital region)
Nicolás Maduro (Center-West Region)
Francisco Arias Cárdenas (West Region)
Tareck El Aissami (Andean Region) ]
Yelitze Santaella (East Region)
Adán Chávez (South Llanos Region)
Ramón Rodríguez Chacín (North Llanos Region)
Rafael Gil Barrios (South East Region)
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA UNIDA DE VENEZUELA
(BEYOND CHAVEZ)
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Operational Strategic Commands
ARMED FORCES
Henry de Jesús Rangel Silva (born in 1961) Venezuelan general and current minister of Defence (since January 2012).[1]
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National Guard - Juan Francisco Romero
Figueroa
---------------------------------------
Operational Command Gen. Wilmer Barrientos
(Plan Republica)
Bolivarian Militias Rule over Ranchos (Slums) • manage drugs
• potential for violence if Chavez loses the election
OTHER COMPONENTS OF THE MILITARY ESTABLISHMENT
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Political Parties of Punto Fijo (Low Profile)
•Accion Democratica•COPEI•MAS
Fifth Republic Opposition
Primero Justicia
Un Nuevo Tiempo
Proyecto Venezuela
Patria Para Todos
Alianza Bravo Pueblo
Podemos
MESA DE UNIDAD DEMOCRATICA
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Interest Groups
FEDECAMARAS
UNIONS
CATHOLIC CHURCH •Cardinal Jorge Urosa & President Chavez
Government Institutions
Ministerio para Comunas y Proteccion Social
(Isis Ochoa Cañizales)
PLAYERS: LESSER BUT IMPORTANT
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100,000 barrels of oil to Cuba Cuban doctors to Venezuelan ranchosCuban political officers in Venezuelan militaryCuban planners in Venezuelan national bureaucracy
VENECUBA??
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ChinaDevelopment Bank has lent Venezuela$42.5 billion Brazil
Political Consultants
Odebrecht infrastructure construcion
INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS
Iran
Chinese Minister of Foreign Affairs Yang Jiechi (right) meets Venezuelan Minister of Foreign Affairs Nicols Maduro Moros