potential impacts of market and non-market forces on live

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Potential impacts of market and non-market forces on live ruminant post- production value losses – Evidence from Senegal Abdrahmane Wane (CIRAD - PPZS - ILRI - PIL), Nadhem Mtimet (ILRI-PIL), Nelly Njiru (ILRI-PIL), Steve Staal (ILRI-PIL), 3 rd International Conference on Global Food Security 2017 3-6 December 2017, Cape Town, South Africa Conceptual framework of PPL in the ruminant value chain (source: Wane & Mballo, 2016) Way forward to improve methodology § Given the large number of unknown variables, moving towards a simulation and computable exercise on optimization programme § Testing all indicators at value chain levels in semi-intensive and intensive production systems. Global financial losses during pre-marketing and sales phases Contact author: Dr Abdrahmane Wane: [email protected] / [email protected] ● Box 30709 Nairobi Kenya +254 20 422 3000 This work was undertaken as part of the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM) led by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). This poster has not gone through IFPRI’s standard peer-review procedure. The opinions expressed here belong to the authors, and do not necessarily reflect those of PIM, IFPRI, or CGIAR. References Wane A. Mtimet N., Njiru N., Staal S., Okike I., Fadiga M., Katjiuongua H. 2017a,b Required parameters are missing or incorrect. Non-market inputs - animals - natural resources - family labor Market inputs - animals - wage Labor - animal feed Productions - livestock - derivatives (milk, butter) Diversification Global Productions Stored Production Sold Production Self-consumed Production Transportation Final consumption Main shocks Bushfires (score: 5.00) Animal diseases (score: 4.6) Climate (score: 3.84) Markets (score: 2.62) Conflicts (score: 1.81) Locust invasions (score: 1.31) LOSSES (volumes, quality, economic value) Pastoral produc-on system site of Tatki Average number of pastoral se2lements: 105 Pastoral produc-on system site of Rewane Average number of pastoral se2lements: 121 Agropastoral produc-on system site of Thiel Average number of agropastoral se2lements: 163 Live animal value chain Investigated areas Average proportion of mortality during the pre- marketing phase (loss in quantity) 4,7 8,5 5,5 10,9 3,1 2,8 1,1 2,8 4,9 8,7 1,4 1,7 1,7 3,5 5,0 12,7 1,4 2,4 2,5 4,8 5,1 11,0 1,9 2,3 MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT Tatki Rewane Thiel Total Average proportion of theft during the pre- marketing phase (loss in quantity) 0,6 2,2 5,8 1,4 1,4 1,5 0,5 0,8 1,1 2,2 1,5 1,6 0,4 0,8 2,4 3,2 1,9 4,1 0,5 1,3 3,1 2,4 1,6 2,6 MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT Tatki Rewane Thiel Total 20% 21% 75% 20% 23% 1% 31% 14% 151% 22% 18% 26% 15% 8% 176% 37% 19% 7% 26% 18% 147% 31% 25% 11% MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT Tatki Rewane Thiel Overall average

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Potential impacts of market and non-market forces on live ruminant post-production value losses – Evidence from Senegal

Abdrahmane Wane (CIRAD-PPZS-ILRI-PIL), Nadhem Mtimet (ILRI-PIL), Nelly Njiru (ILRI-PIL), Steve Staal (ILRI-PIL),

3rd International Conference on Global Food Security 20173-6 December 2017, Cape Town, South Africa

Conceptual framework of PPL in the ruminant valuechain (source: Wane & Mballo, 2016)

Way forward to improve methodology§ Given the large number of unknown variables, moving

towards a simulation and computable exercise onoptimization programme

§ Testing all indicators at value chain levels in semi-intensive and intensive production systems.

Global financial losses during pre-marketing andsales phases

Contact author: Dr Abdrahmane Wane:[email protected] / [email protected] ● Box 30709 Nairobi Kenya ●+254 20 422 3000

This work was undertaken as part of the CGIAR Research Program on Policies,Institutions, and Markets (PIM) led by the International Food Policy Research Institute(IFPRI). This poster has not gone through IFPRI’s standard peer-review procedure. Theopinions expressed here belong to the authors, and do not necessarily reflect those ofPIM, IFPRI, or CGIAR.

References• Wane A. Mtimet N., Njiru N., Staal S., Okike I., Fadiga M., Katjiuongua

H. 2017a,b

Required parameters are missing or incorrect.

Non-market inputs - animals - natural resources - family labor

Market inputs - animals - wage Labor - animal feed

Productions - livestock - derivatives

(milk, butter)

Diversification

Global Productions

Stored Production

Sold Production

Self-consumed Production

Transportation

Final consumption

Main shocks

Bush

fires

(sco

re: 5

.00)

Anim

al d

isea

ses(

scor

e: 4

.6)

Clim

ate

(sco

re: 3

.84)

Mar

kets

(sco

re: 2

.62)

Conf

licts

(sco

re: 1

.81)

Locu

stin

vasi

ons (

scor

e: 1

.31)

LOSSES (volumes, quality, economic value)

Pastoral((produc-on(system(site(of(Tatki(Average'number'of'pastoral'se2lements:''105'

Pastoral(produc-on(system(site(of(Rewane(Average'number'of'pastoral'se2lements:'121'

Agropastoral((produc-on(system(site(of(Thiel(Average'number'of'agropastoral'se2lements:''163'''''''''''''Live'animal'value'chain'

Investigated areas

Average proportion of mortality during the pre-marketing phase (loss in quantity)

4,7

8,5

5,5

10,9

3,1

2,8

1,1

2,8

4,9

8,7

1,4 1,7

1,7

3,5

5,0

12,7

1,4 2,

42,5

4,8 5,1

11,0

1,9 2,3

MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE

MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP

MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT

Tatki Rewane Thiel Total

Average proportion of theft during the pre-marketing phase (loss in quantity)

0,6

2,2

5,8

1,4

1,4 1,5

0,5 0,

8 1,1

2,2

1,5 1,6

0,4 0,

8

2,4

3,2

1,9

4,1

0,5

1,3

3,1

2,4

1,6

2,6

MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE

MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP

MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT

Tatki Rewane Thiel Total20

%

21%

75%

20%

23%

1%

31%

14%

151%

22%

18% 26

%

15%

8%

176%

37%

19%

7%

26%

18%

147%

31%

25%

11%

MALE CATTLE FEMALE CATTLE MALE SHEEP FEMALE SHEEP MALE GOAT FEMALE GOAT

Tatki Rewane Thiel Overall average