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Seats to Watch (pre redistribution)2PP 2004 % swing needed Seats lost C L I seats in House

Dobell (NSW) 55.9 5.9 -23La Trobe (Vic) 55.83 5.83 -22Wentworth (NSW) 55.48 5.48 -21Boothby (SA) 55.37 5.37 -20Corangamite (Vic) 55.32 5.32 -19Lindsay (NSW) 55.26 5.26 -18 ==> [69 78 3] Labor GovtMcMillan (Vic) 54.99 4.99 -17 ==> [70 77 3] Labor Govt

Deakin (Vic) 54.97 4.97 -16 ==> [71 76 3] Labor GovtHinkler (Qld) 54.81 4.81 -15 ==> [72 75 3] Hung ParliamentBennelong (NSW) 54.33 4.33 -14 ==> [73 74 3] Hung ParliamentPage (NSW) 54.23 4.23 -13 ==> [74 73 3] Hung Parliament

Moreton (Qld) 54.17 4.17 -12 ==> [75 72 3] Hung ParliamentSolomon (NT) 52.81 2.81 -11 ==> [76 71 3] Coalition GovtBass (Tas) 52.63 2.63 -10 ==> [77 70 3] Coalition GovtEden-Monaro (NSW) 52.14 2.14 -9 ==> [78 69 3] Coalition GovtStirling (WA) 52.04 2.04 -8 ==> [79 68 3] Coalition GovtHasluck (WA) 51.82 1.82 -7 ==> [80 67 3] Coalition GovtBraddon (Tas) 51.13 1.13 -6 ==> [81 66 3] Coalition GovtMakin (SA) 50.93 0.93 -5 ==> [82 65 3] Coalition GovtWakefield (SA) 50.67 0.67 -4 ==> [83 64 3] Coalition GovtGreenway (NSW) 50.58 0.58 -3 ==> [84 63 3] Coalition GovtBonner (Qld) 50.51 0.51 -2 ==> [85 62 3] Coalition GovtKingston (SA) 50.07 0.07 -1 ==> [86 61 3] (If seat lost)

Source: Bryan Palmer

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