petrobras and the challenge of biofuels
TRANSCRIPT
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Petrobras and the Challenge of Biofuels
Juliana Vaz BevilaquaPetrobras Biocombustvel
October 2010
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Agenda
HistoricalandrecentdevelopmentofbiofuelsinBrazil
LookingAhead domesticmarketgrowth&exportopportunities
Petrobrasandbiofuels
Corporatestrategy
PetrobrasBiofuel
BiofuelsR&D
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
Ethanoldedicatedvehiclesparticipationoftotalvehiclessales
>90%
1979 19801973
1stOilChock
1974
BrazilcreatesPROLCOOL
1977
4,5%Blendingofethanoltogasoline
15%Blendingofethanoltogasoline
2ndOilChock1983
1985
Ethanolblendingintogasolinereaches22%
1989
Crudeoilpricesfallandpriceofgasolineequatestothatof
ethanol
1992
Rio92:Signingoftheclimatechange
milestone
90s
Ethanolblendingvariesbetween20% 25%of
gasoline
2003
FlexFuelvehicleslaunching2005
BiodieselNationalProgramlaunching
Jan 2008
2%Blendingofbiodieseltodiesel
Mar 2008
CNPEauthorizes3%blendingofbiodieselto
diesel
May 2008
Ethanolconsumptionisbiggerthan
gasoline
2001
Endofderegulationprocess
Non-Renewable Energy
World 86%Brazil - 55%
Renewable Energy
World 14%Brazil 45%
July11,oilpricesrosetoanewrecordof
$147.27
Aug 2008 Jul 2009
4%Blendingofbiodieseltodiesel
Jan 2010
CNPEanticipates5%blendingmandatefrom2013to2010
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
PROALCOOL PRINCIPLES AND CHARACTERISTICS
On November 14, 1975 the Alcohol National Program was created with
five stated goals:
Foreign currency savings
Reducing regional income disparities
Growth of domestic income
Expansion of capital goods production
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
Proalcool Program and flex-fuel vehicles were both responsible for the strong growth observed in the last 30 years
Cane, Sugar and Ethanol Production
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(*)
Harvest
mill
ion
tons
(Can
e)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
billi
on li
ters
(Eth
anol
)m
illio
n to
ns (S
ugar
)
Cane (million tons) Sugar (million tons) Ethanol (billion liters)
ProalcoolProalcool
FlexFlex--fuel vehicles fuel vehicles launchinglaunching
Source: MAPA
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
ETHANOL INDUSTRY HAS IMPROVED AND BECOME MORE SUSTAINABLE SINCE IT WAS FIRST ESTABLISHED
Increased productivity (as ATRs and ethanol yields)
Power generation with sugarcane bagasse (1/3 of the plant)
Use of the stillage as a fertilizer
Production of 9.2 units of energy per unit of fossil fuel energy
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
ETHANOL PLANTS IN BRAZIL
Ethanol PlantsOperational: 434 plants 1
Total: 27 billion liters/year
Sugarcane Industry70,000 Sugarcane growers1.28 million People formally employed1,042 Municipalities directly benefitedSugarcane sector: US$ 28 billion (2%
GDP)Foreign revenue: US$ 9.8 billion (2009)Participation in Brazilian energy matrix:
18% (> Hidroelectricity)Avoided CO2 emissions: > 600 million
tons since 1975
Source: UNICA (1-Position on 07/12/2010; 2-Data of 2008 fromRais (Relao Anual de Informaes Sociais do Ministrio do Trabalho e Emprego); 3- Neves, Marcos Fava et. al, (2009) -Mapeamento da cadeia sucroenergtica)
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
Ethanol represents no threat to the Amazon Forest
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
PILLARS OF BRAZILIAN BIODIESEL PROGRAM
SocialSocialEnvironmentalEnvironmental MarketMarket
BiodieselBiodiesel
Technological Base: Agricultural, Industrial and Fuel Use
ENERGYENERGY
Challenge: Implement a sustainable energy project, considering price, quality and ensuring the supply of biodiesel, income generation and social inclusion
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
MOTIVATIONALPRINCIPLESFORBRAZILIANBIODIESELPROGRAM
Fixingfamiliesinthecountryside
Expansionofsustainableagriculture
Utilizationofsoilunsuitableforfoodcrops
Offeringanenvironmentallyfriendlyfuel
Introductionofanewsustainablerenewablefuel
DiversifyingtheEnergyMatrix
Reductioninimportsofdieselandoil
Employmentcreationandincome
CastorOilPlant
Sunflower Soy AfricanOilPalm
Cotton
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
BIODIESEL PLANTS IN BRAZIL
Biodiesel plants authorized by ANP
Operational: 63
Commercialization: 42
Total: 4,5 billion liters/year
B5: 2,4 billion liters/year
Plants in the Social Pact (k m/y)
Plants not in the Social Pact (k m/y)
ThroughthePNPB,theGovernmentorganizedtheproductionchain,definedcreditlines,structuredthetechnologicalbaseandeditedtheregulatoryframeworkofthenewfuels
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Historical and Recent Development of Biofuels in Brazil
Raw materials used in biodiesel production
BRAZILIAN VEGETABLE OIL PRODUCTION
Soy: large-scale farming, helped make Brazilian Biodiesel Program possible
Castor beans production: helping family farming
Palm oil in the north region: the new frontier
Jatropha, Macauba and Others: small scale or still in development
Source: MAPA
Soy Production
SoyAnimal FatCottonseed
Source: EPE
Oil Crops Production
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
mill
ion
tons
Soy Palm Sunflower Cotton Peanuts Kernel Castor Total
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Looking AheadLooking Aheaddomestic market growth & export opportunitiesdomestic market growth & export opportunities
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
BIODIESELAccompanying the demand for diesel, the demand for biodiesel is expected to reach 3.5 billion liters in 2017
Biodiesel production
Biodiesel Demand Projection (EPE)
mill
ion
liter
s
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
BIODIESEL
Brazilian biodiesel market is oversupplied, with 63 authorized plants representing 4,5 million m per year
The production chain of biofuels began a campaign in favor of a gradual increase in the use of biodiesel to 10%, instead of the current 5%.
Projections show records in oil crops production, specially soy
However, there are new investments in other crops, specially palm oil
Soybean Oil Total Biodiesel Soybean Oil Biodiesel
Year
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
ETHANOL
Mature technology, with significant gains in the past decades
Know-how and experience acquired in over 40 years, mainly in agriculture, which is the main stage of production
Brazil presents exceptional agroclimatic conditions for production and availability of land for expansion
Brazilian sugarcane is what is best for biomass and biofuel production in the world
Positive externalities generated in the production and use of ethanol
Ethanol and bioelectricity with a strong environmental appeal
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
ETHANOLProduction, consumption and export projections of ethanol reflect great dynamism, especially the growth of domestic demand.
billi
on li
ters
Ethanol Domestic Demand Forecast Production
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
ETHANOL
Production, consumption and export projections of ethanol reflect great dynamism, especially the growth of domestic demand. Ethanol production projected for 2019/2020 is 62.91 billion liters, more than double the production of 2008/2009, of 27.76 billion liters.
The domestic consumption for 2020 is projected at 47.79 billion liters and the exports at 15.12 billion liters. The Energy Research Company EPE (2008), projects for 2017 that 73.6% of the vehicles sold in Brazil will be of the type flex fuel.
Ethanol(billionliters)Ethanol(billionliters) ProductionProduction
Source: AGE/MAPA
ExportsExportsDomesticDemandDomesticDemand
Growth Rate2009/2010 up to 2019/2020
Production 9.38
Domestic Demand 9.00
Exports 10.70
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
Logistics for EthanolCompounding the Program of Economic Growth Acceleration (PAC), the project of integrated logistics for ethanol, which is being built by PMCC (Petrobras, Mitsui and Camargo Correa), integrates the Waterway and Petrobras Alcohol and Oil Products Pipeline System. The operator of the system should be Transpetro.
The goal is to increase the flow capacity for 12, 9 billion liters per year, focusing mainly on the export of ethanol produced in the west and northwest of Sao Paulo, Minas Triangle, south of Goias and MatoGrosso do Sul, with investments estimated of US$ 1,5 to 2,0 billion.
The system will allow the participation of new companies, either as a porter, as a partner, or both.
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
Challenges forEthanol GlobalUse
ProveSustainabilitythroughLifeCicle
Supplyingdiversification
Logisticsdevelopment
Technicalspecifications
Taxbarriers
Carboncostsoffossilfuel
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
POWER GENERATION
Besides producing a renewable fuel for transportation, the sugarcane industry has showed its great potential to generate bio-electricity.
Source: ANP
There is a enormous potential to be developed
=1 Itaipu
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Looking Ahead domestic market growth & export opportunities
SUGARCANE INDUSTRY: NEW PRODUCTS AND NEW USES
ProductsProducts NewNew UsesUses
New
OthersOthers......
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Petrobras and Biofuels
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CorporateStrategyProfitability IntegratedGrowth
Social and Environmental Responsability
Expand operations in target markets for oil, oil products, petrochemicals, gas and energy, biofuels and distribution, being a world benchmark as an integrated energy company
To grow production and
oil and gas reserves
sustainably, being recognized for excellence in E&P operations
To expand integrated
operations in refining,
commercialization, logistics and
distribution with a focus on the Atlantic
Basin
Expand operations in petrochemicals
in Brazil and South America on
an integrated basis with the PETROBRAS Groups other businesses
Develop and lead the Brazilian natural gas market and operate
on an integrated basis in the gas and
electric energy markets with a focus
on South America
Operate on a global basis in biofuels
commercialization and logistics, leading the
domestic production of biodiesel and
expanding participation in the ethanol segment
Operational, management, technological and human resources excellence
Gas & EnergyE&P Downstream (RTC) Petrochemicals BiofuelsDistribution
Commitmenttosustainabledevelopment
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PetrobrasOrganization
Board
E&P
Services & TechnologyExecutive
BoardFinance
Gas & Energy
International
PetrobrasBiofuels S/A
Since July 2008
Downstream
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Petrobras Biocombustvel S.A. - STRATEGIC PLAN 2020
To produce biofuels in a safe and profitable way, structuring agricultural supply chains, with social and environmental
sustainability, domestically and overseas, contributing to reduce GHG emissions and promoting the development of the regions
where we operate.
Mission
To be amongst the top five biofuels producers in the world.Vision 2020
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PETROBRAS - BUSINESS PLAN 2010-2014
Corporate Strategy for biofuelsOperate in Brazil and abroad in the biofuels segment working in an
integrated manner with Petrobras system, with sustainability.
Total investments in biofuels between 2010-2014US$ 3.5 billions
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PETROBRAS - BUSINESS PLAN 2010-2014
The segment of biofuels will receive U$ 3.5 billion, operating in production, logistics and marketing of biofuels and participating in the value chain in Brazil and abroad, working in an integrated manner.
The strategy in the ethanol segment was redirected to the acquisition of shares in order to become a major player in the market, ensuring the field of technology for sustainable production of biofuels.
2.600
886
2010 2014
+193%
Mil
m/a
no
Produo de Etanol Capacidade de Produo de Biodiesel no Brasil
+47%747
507
2010 2014
Mil
m/a
no
1.055
449
2010 2014
Exportao de Etanol
+135%
Mil
m/a
no
Ethanol Production Export of ethanol Production capacity of biodiesel in Brazil
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BIODIESEL and ETHANOL PLANTS
10Ethanol units inoperation:
Guarani:7inSPand 1inMoambique
Total(MG)
NovaFronteira(GO)
4 Biodiesel Units in operationQuixad (CE)
Candeias(BA)
MontesClaros(MG)
Marialva (PR)
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BIODIESEL PLANTS
Semiarid region of Brazil Candeias (BA), Quixad (CE) and Montes Claros (MG)
2008/09: 150.000 tonnes/year (50.000 tonnes/year each plant) Dec,2009: 300.000 tonnes/year (100.000 tonnes/year each plant) Sept/10: duplication of Candeias: + 100.000 tonnes/year
South region of Brazil Marialva
May,2010: 60.000 tonnes/year (PBIO owns 50% of the plant of120.000 tonnes/year capacity)
New Projects Belm project (Portugal)
2014: 300.000 tonnes/year of palm oil biodiesel Par project
Jul,2013: 120.000 tonnes/year of palm biodiesel
Guamar RN (30% - castor oil)2011: 55.000 tonnes/year
(9,6% of semiarid production)
ProjectBelmProjectPar
Overall processing capacity (2010) ~ 475.000 tonnes/year
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GO
SP
SP
TOTALBAMBU
GUARANISOJOS
GUARANITANABI
GUARANIANDRADE
GUARANIVERTENTE
GUARANICRUZALTA
GUARANIMAND
GUARANISEVERNIA
SOMARTINHOBOAVISTA
GUARANISENA
(Mozambique AFRICA)
GO
MG
ETHANOL PLANTS
SANTALUZIAGreenfield project
Overall Crushing Capacity (2010) ~ 20 million tonnes of sugarcaneOverall Ethanol Production (2010) ~ 890.000 m3
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PARTNERSHIP: USINA TOTAL
December 22, 2009: Petrobras Biofuels announced its entry into the ethanol segment, by acquiring 40.4% of Usina Total S.A.
Plant capacity: production of 103.000 m3 of ethanol and 9.8 MW of electric power of 9.8 MW.
Petrobras Investment: R$ 150 MM that will be used to expand the unit to 203.000 m3 of ethanol and 38.5 MW of electricity. The other portion will be invested in machinery and equipment to achieve the goal of 100% of mechanized harvesting of sugarcane in 2012.
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PARTNERSHIP: TEREOS
A strategic investmentPetrobras Biocombustvel announced in April, 2010 it was forming a strategic partnership with Tereos Internacionalto jointly invest in Guarani and become a leading player in the Brazilian sugarcane industry.
A strategic investment that provides Petrobras Biocombustvel with a significant stake in a market leader;
The capital increase strengthens Guaranis balance-sheet and provides the company with new resources and expertise for its growth.
Total investment of R$2.2 Bn in GuaraniInvestment by Petrobras Biocombustvel of R$1.6 Bn over next 5 years (R$682 MM already invested) with an option to reach a stake of up to 49% in Guarani;
Option for Tereos Internacional to invest up to R$600 MM of new equity in Guarani in the 12 months following Petrobras Biocombustvels initial investment in Guarani.
JV post-merger structure
26.3% to 49.0% 73.7% to 51.0%
http://www.petrobrasbiocombustivel.com.br/default.htmlhttp://www.acucarguarani.com.br/br/ -
PARTNERSHIP: SO MARTINHO
June, 21 2010: Petrobras announced a strategic partnership with Grupo So Martinho S.A. for the growth of ethanol production in the Midwest region of Brazil, State of Gois.
A new company will be created, called Nova FronteiraBioenergia S.A., which controls the Usina Boa Vista, currently in production, and the greenfield project called SMBJ Agroindustrial S.A., both located in Gois.
Petrobras investment: R$ 420.8 MM to Petrobras Biocombustvel acquire 49% stake in the new company.
The investment will be used to expand production of the new society, especially Usina Boa Vista. With the investments already made and implemented, it will have its milling capacity expanded from the current 2.5 million tonnes of sugarcane to 7 million tonnes in the 2014/15 season.
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Sustainability
Sustainability evaluation through Life Cicle
Impactsinbiodiversityandecosystems
Useofnaturalresources
EnergyBalance
Pollutantsemission
Laborconditions/workersafetyandhealth
Impactinfoodproduction
Socialeconomicimpacts
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Biofuel R&D
Biofuel R&D Investments 2010 2014
US$ 430 millionProjects developed by CENPES in partnership withUniversities, Research Institutes, Companies
MainMain ProjectsProjectsEthanolEthanol from bagasse Proprietary process
- KL Energy Partnership BiodieselProprietary Process - demonstration plants (different routes and raw materials)
Optimization of biodiesel industrial unitsAnalytical developments
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Biofuel R&D
MainMain ProjectsProjects (cont.)(cont.)Raw materialsAgricultural development (castor, jatropha, sunflower, palm, macauba)Oil extraction MicroalgasNew Biofuels
H100
Thermochemical route - Biomass to Liquid (BTL)Bio Jet Fuel Joint Development Agreement with BioEconNew partnerships to development of new routes SustainabilityMonitoring and application of sustainability criterias
Agenda0