peter cochrane cochrane a s s o c i a t e s new life and…... intelligence

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Peter Cochrane HRANE s s o c i a t e s www.ca-global.org New Life and… ... Intelligence

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Page 1: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Peter Cochrane

COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s

www.ca-global.org

New Life and… ... Intelligence

Page 2: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

We now live in a world of the infinitely complex…

… how do you solve problems & make decisions?

Page 3: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Total Data Worldwide (in Terabytes

)

21m

15m

57m

33m

Technology InnovationsTotal Data Worldwide (in Terabytes

)

21m

15m

57m

33m

Total Data Worldwide (in Terabytes

)

21m

15m

57m

33m

Technology Innovations

There is a lot of data out there… …can you store it all, and find it when needed?

Page 4: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 5: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 6: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

the fountof all

knowledge

becomingspecialised

highly specialised

all knowledgethrough

technology

1800 1900 TODAY 2000 +

No one knows anything anymore...

Page 7: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Our progress to date!

We are such linear thinkers…We don’t cope well with multiple dimensionsWe confuse data and informationWe store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion Networked machines (AI + AL) might just save us!

Page 8: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Human evolution

Page 9: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

We have come to the end(ish) of the road… …and we aint going to get any smarter!

Page 10: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 11: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

The solution:A symbiotic relationship with our machines?A new intelligence and/or life form?

Page 12: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
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Just watch this little girl’s face…QuickTime™ and a

YUV420 codec decompressorare needed to see this picture.

Page 17: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Audience participation time

Page 18: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 19: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

No people involved this time!

Page 20: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 21: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Artifacts & Tools EngineeringTechnologyScienceSystemsElectronicsITMaterialsBioTechNanoTech

???????

AL + AISpace Travel

FluidsBulk

Materials

Crystals

Bottom Up - Top Down

Life

BiologicalForms

Molecules

Atoms

Particles

Big Bang

Page 22: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Visible lightToday’s transistor

s

Human hair

Bacteria

Viruses

0.1 nm

1.0 nm

10 nm

0.10 m

1 m

10 m

100 m0.1 mm

Diameter of a DNA helix

Silicon latticeconstant

Diameter of a carbon atom

X-rays

1 angstrom

Shockley, Bardeen,and Brattain - 1947

The first IC-1959

ICs-1980

End of the road?~2015

Intel 2006

Is there an end in sight??

Page 23: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Atomic manipulation has been a reality for some time…

Page 24: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

The scientific method is the most powerfultool of understanding we have developed so far…

..but it never does, and will never do this!

Page 25: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

It doesn’t have to be this way…

QuickTime™ and aVideo decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

…a symbiosis is possible… I think!

Page 26: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
Page 27: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

2006 Internet ~ 1 Human Brain

2012 Internet ~ 1,000 Human Brains

2018 Internet ~ 1,000,000 Human Brains

2024 Internet ~ 1,000,000,000 Human Brains

2034 Internet ~ 1,000,000,000,000, Human Brains

But exponential growth takes over…

So is it game over around 2030??

Page 28: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Our view of technology…My Grandfather: Man will never flyMy Father: Man will never walk on the moonMy Generation: Computers will never:

- win at chess- be creative- smarter than us- become intelligent- become self aware- live, etc

My View: These are all worthless & irrelevant statements mainly born of fear and ignorance

Page 29: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

These words worry me…

- Life- Intelligence- Complexity- Scalability- Value

We have no description, definition, quantification, measure, or understanding of these everyday word - ergo it is impossible to have a meaningful intercourse on or about any of them!

BUT that does not stop us investigating or researching any one or all of them to our overall advantage and advance.

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Life today!

Processing Carbon = Silicon

Memory Carbon = Silicon

Comms Carbon < Silicon

Sensors Carbon >> Silicon

Page 34: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Data

Information

Knowledge

Wisdom

Things need connectivity before they can become “smart”

Page 35: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Data

Information

Knowledge

Wisdom

SensesSensors

Processing

Intelligence

Experience

Processing

Intelligence?

Experience??

Communicationwith others

Gradually our machinesare sensing more than us!

Page 36: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

Life has been at it for 2Bn years…whilst we have less than 100 years on the electronic clock…but

technology evolution is much faster!

Page 37: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

What can we do with AI & AL now?

Page 38: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence
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What can we do with AI & AL now?

QuickTime™ and aSorenson Video decompressorare needed to see this picture.

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A future challenge and nightmare?

But not without: - cognition- context- awareness

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My personal nightmare!

QuickTime™ and aYUV420 codec decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 42: Peter Cochrane COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s  New Life and…... Intelligence

A world of opportunity & risk….

Thank you,

cochrane.org.ukca-global.org

COCHRANE a s s o c i a t e s