penn state economic comparison of multi-lateral drilling over horizontal drilling for marchellus -...
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Economic Comparison of Multi-Lateral Drilling over Horizontal
Drilling for Marcellus Shale Field
DevelopmentBy,Taha,Chew,Aditya,Ugur,Sarath,Amey,Hadi
EME 580: Integrative Design of Energy & MineralEngineering Systems
Date : 26thApril 2011
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IndexProblem Statement
Concept Map
Geology
Reservoir Simulation
Stimulation/Hydraulic Fracturing
Well Design
Water Management
Economics
Conclusion4/26/2011 22
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Problem StatementEconomic Comparison of Multi-Lateral Drilling
over Horizontal Drilling for Marcellus ShaleField Development
Compare Performance of Multilateral WellCompletion over Horizontal Well Completion
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WellDesign
ReservoirSimulatio
n
EconomicAnalysis
WaterManagemen
t
Geology
Stimulation
Selectio
n ofLocation
ReservoirProperties
WaterSupply
Waste WaterTreatment
Horizontal Well
MultilateralWell
CMGSimulations
Multi Stage
Fracking
Choice ofProppant
WellIntegrity
Cementing/Casing Design
Drill
Bit
Economical
Comparison ofMulti lateralwells over
Horizontal Wells
PadFluid
# ofStages
Concept Map
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Geology
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Shale Gas Plays
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StratigraphyFormation Depth to the Top( in Feet)
Depth to the Bottom (in Feet)
Thickness (in Feet)
CATSKILL 0 2945 2945
TRIMMERS ROCK 2945 5314 2369
TULLY 5314 5366 52
MAHANTANGO 5366 7046 1680
MARCELLUS 7046 7748 702
BUTTERMILK FALLS LIMESTONE 7748 8055 307
ESOPUS 8055 8510 455
RIDGELEY 8510 8527 17
SHRIVER CHERT 8527 8580 53PORT EWEN SHALE 8580 8710 130
MINISINK LIMESTONE 8710 8725 15
NEW SCOTLAND 8725 8948 223
COEYMANS 8948 9085 137
RONDOUT 9085 9142 57
DECKER 9142 9224 82
BOSSARDVILLE LIMESTONE 9224 9322 98
POXONO ISLAND 9322 10254 932BLOOMSBURG 10254 11148 894
SHAWANGUNK 11148 12560 1412
MARTINSBURG 12560 13178 618
UTICA SHALE 13178 13286 108
POINT PLEASANT 13286 13523 237
TRENTON LIMESTONE 13523 13724 201
BLACK RIVER LIMESTONE 13724 13763 39
BEEKMANTOWN 13763
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Marcellus Shale
FormationProperties:
Permeability : 1*10-5mD
Porosity: 9%
TOC( Total Organic Carbon) : 0.64 1.8
Ro( Vitrinile Reflectance) : ~4.5 ( Dry Gas)
Fracture Spacing : 0.9 ft
Reservoir Temperature : 1500F
Initial Reservoir Pressure : 4500 Psia4/26/2011 1111
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Lithology of Formation
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Reservoir Simulation
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Physical Attributes of
CMG Model
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Horizontal Wells
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Gas Rate Case 2 (without Hydraulic Fracture)
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Multilateral wells
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Gas Rate Case 3 (Without HydraulicFracture)
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Comparative Study (Without HydraulicFracture)
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C i f diff
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Comparison of differentProppants
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Comparison of different Proppant and FluidCombinations
S.
No. Fluid and Proppant used
Pumping Rate +
No. of Stages
ProppedHalf Length
(ft)
Propped
Height (ft)
Fracture
Width (in) FcD
Formation
Permeability (mD)
1Micropolymer (min. gel loading) +
Brady (20/40)30 bpm for 10
stages 211 421 0.61 400 1 * 10^-5
2Purgel (max. gel loading) + Brady
(20/40)30 bpm for 10
stages 210 420 0.58 400 1 * 10^-5
3Purgel (max. gel loading) + Brady
(20/40)100 bpm for 10
stages 215 430 0.82 400 1 * 10^-5
4Purgel (max. gel loading) + Brady
(20/40)200 bpm for 10
stages 213 425 0.93 400 1 * 10^-5
5Micropolymer (min. gel loading) +
Carbolite (20/40)300 bpm for 4
stages 292 664 1.26 400 1 * 10^-5
6Micropolymer (min. gel loading) +
Carbolite (20/40)250 bpm for 4
stages 293 672 1.22 400 1 * 10^-5
7Micropolymer (min. gel loading) +
Carbolite (20/40)200 bpm for 4
stages 295 692 1.3 400 1 * 10^-5
8
Slick Water + WaterFrac +Carbolite(20/40) +CarboProp(30/60)
150 bpm for 4stages 203 626 1.09 400 1 * 10^-5
9
Slick Water + WaterFrac +Carbolite(20/40) +CarboProp(30/60)
65 bpm for 10stages 194 391 0.92 400 1 * 10^-5
10
Slick Water + WaterrFrac +
CarboLite(20/40) +CarbolProp(30/60)
65 bpm for 10stages 182 466 0.94 400 1 * 10^-5
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Model ParametersCharacteristics Value
PAD fluid Slick Water
Fracturing Fluid Slick Water
Proppant CarboLite + CarboPropMatrix Permeability
(mD) 1 * 10-5
Fracture Type Infinite Acting
Porosity 9%Initial Reservoir
Pressure 4500 psiaReservoir
Temperature 1500F
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Lithology of Reservoir
Layer # Top of
zone
(ft)
Stress
(psi)
Stress
Gradien
t(psi/ft)
Young's
modulus
(psi)
Poisson'
s ratio
Total Ct
(ft/min)
Pore Fluid
Perm.
(mD)
1 0.0 1826 0.620 5.0e+06 0.20 6.726e-03 1.00e+002 2945.0 3097 0.750 6.0e+06 0.25 2.127e-03 1.00e-013 5314.0 3631 0.680 1.0e+06 0.30 3.008e-03 2.00e-014 5366.0 4220 0.680 1.0e+06 0.30 6.726e-03 1.00e+005 7046.0 5548 0.750 6.0e+06 0.25 2.127e-05 1.00e-05
6 7748.0 5269 0.680 1.0e+06 0.30 2.127e-03 1.00e-01
Layer # Top of zone
(ft)
Lithology Fracture
Toughness(psiin)
Composite
Layering Effect
1 0.0 Catskill 1000 1.00
2 2945.0 Trimmer Rock 2000 1.00
3 5314.0 Tully 500 1.00
4 5366.0 Mahantango 500 1.00
5 7046.0 Marcellus 2000 1.00
6 7748.0 Buttermilk F 500 1.00
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Treatment Schedule
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Fracture Profile
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Results for StimulationParameter Value
Height of Fracture (ft) 476
Propped Height (ft) 466
Top Depth of Propped Fracture (ft) 6931Bottom Depth of Propped Fracture (ft) 7397
Fracture Half Length (ft) 186
Propped Fracture Half Length (ft) 182
Average Fracture Width (ft) 0.94
Initial Fracturing Pressure (psia) 6390
Volume of Fluid for single job (gallon) 180,000
Total Volume of fluid required (gallon) 1,440,000
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Advantages of the
Stimulation jobLower Cost for Stimulation
Less time required to complete Stimulationjob
Increasing sweep efficiency by increasing thearea in direct contact with the wellbore
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Structural Representation ofHorizontal Well
Case 1
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Production Values Case
1
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Horizontal Well Case 2
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Production Values Case
2
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Structural Representation of MultilateralWell
Case 3
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CMG Model Grid
Representation
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Production Values Case
3
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Comparision of
Production Rates
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Well Design Drilling Procedure Drill Bits
Selection Mud Design Casing Design Multilateral
Junction Open Hole lateral
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Basic Multi-lateral
Drilling
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Drill Bit SelectionPDC Bits with OptimizedTorque ManagementTechnology, CuttingStructure Aggressiveness
and Unique Roller ConeSteel Tooth
Higher ROP, WOB and
better Torquemanagement.
Although the capital costis 1.5 higher than
Tungsten Carbide Bit, it
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Mud DesignSimilar log close to well site that contains
similar strata
incorporated safety factor of 1.2
0 2 4 6 8 10 120
2
4
6
8
10
12
Pressure vs Depth
Pressure (psi)
Depth
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
EMW vs Depth
Equvalent Mud Weight
Depth
Mud selection: water based mud or potassium-chloride based mud 11.5- 12
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Casing Design
Three design factors:
Options: J-55, C-75, N-80, C-90 and P-110All casing grades are check first to so that is
can withstand the axial tension, burstpressure and collapse pressure at respective
depth and cost effective.
Factor Safety Factor (APIStandard)
Collapse 1.4Burst 1.2
Tension 1.8
Casing
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CasingDesignConductor (30ft):J55, 13-3/8
Surface (1200ft):
P110, 9-5/8 [21.85lb/ft]
Intermediate(5200ft) : P110, 7-
5/8 [15.52lb/ft]Production
(7250/7600 ft): P110 ft, [14lb/ft]
- 30ft
-1200ft
- 5200ft
-
7250ft
-
7600ft
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ContdRate of build angle:
50/50ft
2 pseudo-zone
targets:1. L1 7572.5 ft
2. L2 7221.5 ft
. KOP(Kick off Point):1. L1 6750 ft
2. L2 6350 ft
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
8500
9000
9500
10000
Well Profile
Lateral Length (ft)
Depth
(ft)
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Multilateral JunctionShale formation:
unexpected plugging of the lowerlateral
Implement Tieback junction
sleeve (TBJS)
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CementingClass H cement
v from surface to 8000 ft
vcan be used with typical
accelerator and retarder
Additive:
GAS CHECK -Halliburton
v Specially for gas drillingoperation
v Avoid gas flow into the
annulus after cement has
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Open Hole, Multi-stageFracturing (OHMS)
Instead of cemented linerplug and perf, OHMS isapplied
No cement is required Increased the drainage
area of the well Increase production by
30% [Barnett Shale]
New to Marcellus Shale Availability: Packer Plus
Inc.
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Water Management
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Water and Wastewatermanagement
Location of the reservoir : Hawley borough (border betweenPike county and Wayne county)
Nearest City : Milford, Pike County, PA (distance approx 34miles)
Major watersheds
Delaware River which flows beside Milford Township
Milford springs serves the Borough of Milford andadjoining areas (average water demand 185,000 to
195,000 gallons per day)
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Milford Township Pike County
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The Delaware River Basin Commission (DRBC) is the primary agency
overseeing water-related activities in the Delaware River Basin.
The responsibilities of the commission include water qualityprotection, water supply allocation, regulatory review/permitting,water conservation initiatives, watershed planning
The DRBC requires approval for surface water withdrawals exceeding
100,000 gallons per day (gpd), based on a 30-day average.
They also require approval for a withdrawal from groundwater wellsin the DRB exceeding 100,000 gpd, based on a 30-day average,outside of the Southeastern Pennsylvania Groundwater ProtectionArea.
Regulations pertaining to water withdrawal
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Water trucks and trailers from the DRB to provide water tobe used for different purposes.
Water would then be pumped into lined storageimpoundments(pits) and stored until it is transported bytemporary ground piping to the well pad locations for afracture treatment.(Example of such a pit is given below)
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Water reuseConsidering the fact that the figures presented before, forsubsequent fracture jobs huge amount of fresh water supplieswould be required.
This compels us to use the option of recycling the water andtreat it so that it can be blended with less fresh water forfracing new wells instead of using the same amount of freshwater.
But there are some issues related to water treatment andreuse:
The main mechanism is water/salt separation process calledas demineralization
Demineralization can be achieved with thermal systems orwith membranes.
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Drilling fluids disposalDrilling fluids are an important part of the drillingprocess as they circulate the rock cuttings to thesurface to clear the borehole, cool and lubricate thedrill bit as well as maintain downhole pressure.
The drilling fluids are also stored in steel storage tanksto prevent infiltration to the surrounding land orgroundwater sources.
This also helps in containing to some extent the spread
of Naturally Occurring Radioactive Materials (NORMs)such as Ra-226 and Ra-228 which are usually found inlow concentrations in most of the drilling fluid wastes asthey are brought to the surface.
These have to be disposed off in licensed disposal pitsaround PA which are equipped with radiation monitors
T h i l
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Technical
Capabilities of ROIn general, RO can treat water TDS concentrationsup to 50,000 mg/L. Latest RO technologies cantreat up to 60,000 mg/L TDS, at a rate ofapproximately 6,300 BPD.
RO treatment can be effective in removing sand,silt, clay, algae, protozoa (5 to 15 microns),bacteria (0.4 to 30 microns), viruses (0.004 to 6microns), humic acids, organic/inorganic chemicals,and metal/nonmetal ions.
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Before
Treatment
After
Treatment
Efficiency
TDSconcentratio
n (mg/L)
13,833 128 99.1 %
Chloride(mg/L)
8393 27 99.7 %
TSS (mg/L) 64,5 0 100 %
Barium(mg/L)
34,9 0 100 %
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Technical Limitations
RO membranes are subject to fouling ifproper pre treatments are not in place andcan have low water recovery efficiencies.
( Approximately 40% and 65%)
When high TDS concentration ( >50,000
mg/L) the result is a higher brine stream,which will increase the disposal costs.However, high recovery rates ( 75%-90%)can be obtained when TDS concentration isbelow 25,000 m /L.
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Commercial RO Systems for Shale GasReservoirs
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Water RequirementAmount of water required for fracking = 1,500,000gallons
Total amount of water (drilling + fracking) = 2,000,000gallons
From the literature, 30% to 50% of flowback returns to the
surface (over a period of time)
Amount of fracwater generated = 750,000 gallons(approximate average)
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Cost
RO water treatment systems require less energy comparedto other systems such as, thermal treatment process andother membrane technologies.
In RO treatment, the capital cost ranges from approximately$3 to $7/gpd depending on the size, location, constructioncost etc. The operation cost is about $2.50 per 1,000gallons.
According to the approximate cost range the capital cost ofRO system would be $3,750,000 and the operation costwould be $37,500.
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Economics
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Income
Tangible CostIntangible Cost
Discount Cash FlowAnalysis
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Recap :
4 categories of economicviewpoints
Development economics / Heads up
Carried interest/ Overriding Royalty
Farm-out
Farm-in
E ti t d T ibl C t
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Estimated Tangible CostCasing
24 conductor casing
0.5 thickness
$64 per foot (6/1/10) [30ft] - $1920
20 intermediate casing
0.5 thickness$48 per foot (6/1/10) [1200 ft] - $57600
Estimated Intangible
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Estimated IntangibleCosts
Site Preparation ~ $100k
Drilling Contractor Services ~$120k
Materials & Supplies ~ $50kLogging, Stimulation,
Perforations ~ 400k
Power, Water disposal ~
$3700k
Installation, Completion,Labor ~ $40k
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Total Income
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Linear Regression Model
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Future Price Prediction
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Future Price Prediction
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Discount Cash FlowAnalysis
Feasible if NPV >0
v u v u
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v u v uRate
NPV vs Discount Rate
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NPV vs Discount Rate
~42 %per
annum
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ConclusionMinimum Rate of Return = 42% per annum
Breakeven Time for avg ROR (10%) =8/11/2015
Multilateral well with hydraulic fracturing ismost profitable
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ReferencesRo and TOC values taken from
http://www.dcnr.state.pa.us/topogeo/oilandgas/display/Pike.pdf
http://www.dcnr.state.pa.us/topogeo/pub/pag
eolmag/pdfs/v38n1.pdf
http://www.marcellus.psu.edu/resources/PDFs/DCNR.pdf
Isopach data taken fromhttp://geology.com/articles/marcellus/marcellus-shale-map.gif
Bill Greier and Jim Bray,Halliburton
Identification of Production Potential in4/26/2011 7272
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References
Benny Peodjono, John Zabaldano, IrinaShevchenko and Christpopher Jamerson."Case Studies in the Applicaion of Pad Designin Marcellus Shale." SPE 139045 (2010): 9.
Dave allison, Don Folds, David Harless, MatHowell and Greg Vargus. "Optimizing OpenHole Completion Technique for orizontal Foam-Drilled Wells." SPE 125642 (2009): 17.
Dosinmu, E.J Idiodemise and A. "A Model forCompletion Selection for Multilateral andMultibranched Well." 2007.
Jack Johnson Jr., SPE, Sonat Exploration, et al." 4/26/2011 7373
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References
Pike County: Where
People, Land andWater Meet :A
Citizens Guide toClean Water : Pike
County Conservation4/26/2011 7474
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Appendix
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Well Casing designLength
(ft)
Segment
Type
Casing ID
(in)
Casing OD
(in)
Weight
(lb/ft)
Grade
2945 Cemented
Casing
11.514 12.000 30.510 J-55
2369 Cemented
Casing
9.582 10.000 21.850 J-55
52 Cemented
Casing
7.628 8.000 15.520 P-110
1856 Cemented
Casing
5.620 6.000 12.000 P-110
1542 Cemented
Casing
5.290 5.750 14.000 P-110