overview of transport sector contribution to ghg emissions€¦ · overview of the transport sector...

Overview of Transport Sector &

Contribution to GHG Emissions

Assoc. Prof. Dr. Hediye TÜYDEŞ YAMAN, Senior Transport ExpertDoç. Dr. Hediye Tüydeş Yaman, Ulaştırma Uzmanı

Technical Assistance for Developed Analytical Basis for

Formulating Strategies and Actions towards

Low Carbon Development

27 Kasım 2018, Holiday Inn Hotel, Ankara

Modal shares of transport systems in Turkey

1. OVERVIEW OF THE TRANSPORT SECTOR IN TURKEY

2011 (%) 2015 (%) 2023 Target (%)

Domestic Freight (ton-km)

Road 80.6 89.8 60.0

Rail 4.8 3.9 15.0

Air 0.4 0.0 1.0

Maritime 2.7 6.3 10.0

Pipelines 11.5 -- 14.0

Domestic Passenger (passenger-km)

Road 89.6 89.2 72.0

Rail 2.2 1.1 10.0

Air 7.8 9.1 14.0

Maritime 0.4 0.6 4.0

Sources: MoTMC (2011); TSR (2017).

Road transport statistics


Source: TurkStat, 2018

Road Transport Statistics


Source: (TurkStat, 2018)

Rail Transport Statistics



Air Transport Statistics



Maritime Transport Statistics


Source: http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/rmt2016_en.pdf

GHG Emissions by Transport Mode

2. GHG EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT SECTOR

Road Transport Emissions


Amount of GHG emissions from road motor

vehicles by fuel type (*103), 1990-2015

The share of GHG emissions from road motor

vehicles by fuel type, 1990-2015

Air Transport Emissions


GHG emission vs fuel consumption for domestic aviation,

1990-2015

Maritime Transport Emissions


Shipping CO2 Emissions by Year

Source: Third IMO GHG Study 2014

Future Expectations and Targets

Sources: EEA, Energy Policies, 2016; Republic of Turkey, 2015.

Total GHG Emissions, 2010-2030


Road Transport Sector

• Reaching a total of 37000 km divided roads including 8000 kmmotorway length.

• Connecting Black Sea region with South East and Mediterranean regions with high quality roads.

Railway Transport Sector

• Reaching a total of 25000 km rail length.

• Renovation of 4400 km railway track

• Completion of liberalization process.

3. FUTURE EXPECTATIONS AND TARGETS RELATED TO GHG

EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT SECTOR

Airway Sector

• Increasing the passenger capacity of airports to 450 million passengers/year.

Maritime Sector

• Harmonizing the Transport Coastal Structures Master Plan and Integrated Coastal Zone Planning

Urban Transport

• Ensuring the integration of urban transportation

plans with development plans.

• Promoting ITS applications in cities.

• Creating a national mobility database.

• Spreading the pedestrianized areas and bicycle

transportation.

• Promoting the use of vehicle technologies with clean

fuel and energy efficiency.

• Integrating intermodal transportation and fee

payment systems.

• Integrating the infrastructure of urban transportation

and intercity transportation (terminals, garages, etc.).

Airway Sector

• Increasing the passenger capacity of airports to 450 million passengers/year.

Maritime Sector

• Harmonizing the Transport Coastal Structures Master Plan and Integrated Coastal Zone Planning.

• Improving the infrastructure and encouraging the use of the seas.

3. FUTURE EXPECTATIONS AND TARGETS RELATED TO GHG EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT SECTOR

4. FUTURE POTENTIALS

• Transport Priority Areas for a Low Carbon Development in TurkeyTable 6. Transport Priority Areas for a Low Carbon Development in Turkey

Transport system Passenger (Pax) Freight (F)

Urban Intercity Int’l Urban Intercity Int’l

Highway (H) (?) (?)

Rail (R) (?)

Air(A) (?) (?)

Sea/Maritime(M) (?) (?) (?)

4. FUTURE POTENTIALS

• Considering share in emissions and data availability, potential action areasTable 6. Transport Priority Areas for a Low Carbon Development in Turkey

Transport system Passenger (Pax) Freight (F)

Urban Intercity Int’l Urban Intercity Int’l

Highway (H) (?) (?)

Rail (R) (?)

Air(A) (?) (?)

Sea/Maritime(M) (?) (?) (?)

5. COMPONENT 3- POTENTIAL ACTIONS IN TRANSPORT

Suggested actions for Transport Sector

Selection Criteria

Including in

National Climate

Change Action

Plan (NCCAP)

Cost

Effectiveness

(EUR/tCO2)

Mitigation

Potential

(MtCO2)

Combine transport at intercity transportation ? ?

Increasing share of the electric vehicles especially at public

transport ? ?

At intra city transportation, modal shift from private; to public

transport for trip>2km and to biking or walking for trip <2 km ? ?

ITS for intermodalism demand management

Vehicle fuel efficiency (increasing rates of the Hybrid and LPG and

electrical vehicles) -246* 13.3*

Increasing the use of alternative fuels (bioethanol, biogasoline,

biodiesel) ? ?

Shifting freight transport from road to rail, maritime, domestic

navigation ? ?

* Abatement cost and potential values are taken from, “The Demand for GHG emissions Reductions: An investors’ MACC for Turkey, prepared for EBRD” report.

5. COMPONENT 3- POTENTIAL ACTIONS IN THE MODEL

* Abatement cost and potential values are taken from, “The Demand for GHG emissions Reductions: An investors’ MACC for Turkey, prepared for EBRD” report.

Suggested actions for Transport Sector

Selection Criteria

Including in

National Climate

Change Action

Plan (NCCAP)

Cost Effectiveness

(EUR/tCO2)

Mitigation Potential

(MtCO2)

Combined transport at intercity transportation ? ?

Vehicle fuel efficiency (increasing rates of the Hybrid and LPG and

electrical vehicles) -246* 13.3*

Increasing the use of alternative fuels (bioethanol, biogasoline,

biodiesel) ? ?

Shifting freight transport from road to rail, maritime, domestic

navigation ? ?

????


Modeling and Data Needs

• Intercity Passenger Statistics by Mode (or surveys for profiling)

– Passenger-km; Train-km; Vehicle-km …

– O-D matrices

– Modal Split

– ….


Modeling and Data Needs

• Intercity Freight Statistics by Mode (or surveys for profiling)

– Truck-km; Ton-km; Train-km;….

– O-D matrices

– Modal Split

– …

Thanks….

Any Questions/Comment ??

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