overview of population and enrollment forecasts robert edgecombe gcr inc....
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Citywide Population• New Orleans added nearly 30,000 residents between 2010 and 2012• Top 1% of counties nationwide in terms of growth rate, comparable to
Loudon (VA), Williamson (TX), and Fort Bend (TX)
Projected Population
• Population growth has trended toward high end of GCR projections• Updates reflect most recent trends
Projected Population
• Significant decrease in public school enrollment (15%) prior to Katrina • Increase in public school enrollment (14%) has outpaced overall population
growth (9%) since 2010
Public School Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
• Enrollment has trended toward high end of GCR projections• Updates reflect most recent trends
Projected Enrollment
Methodological Notes
• Population – For most neighborhoods, we use indications of
residential occupancy to assess change– Independent research on major facilities (public
housing complexes, prison, major apartment buildings, etc.)
• Enrollment– Indexed to population– Scenarios are composite results of assumptions
about population and “market share”
GCR NOLA Schools Website
• Includes the following information for neighborhoods, catchment areas, and areas around active school campuses– Population Estimates and Forecasts– Student Enrollment– Student Population– Building/Master Plan Information
gis.gcr1.com/nolaschools