overview: epri ocean energy...
TRANSCRIPT
1© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Overview: EPRI Ocean Energy Program
Roger Bedard /EPRI
Duke Global Change CenterSeptember 14, 2006
2© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Outline
Two Years of EPRI Feasibility Studies Completed- Wave Energy Conversion (WEC) and - Tidal In Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC)
Over the Next Two Years We See an Increasing Number of Wave and Tidal Pilot Demonstration Projects – New EPRI Feasibility Studies
Environmental and Regulatory Situation
A Sustainable Electricity Generation Energy Supply Portfolio and How We Transition To It
SF Tidal
Resource
Motivation
Technology
EPRI Com’l Plant Design
Cost of Electricity
SF Wave
Resource
Motivation
Technology
EPRI Com’l Plant Design
Cost of Electricity
3© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI Ocean Energy Feasibility Assessments
• Motivation– A diversity and balance of energy sources is the foundation of a reliable
electrical system– North America has significant ocean energy resources– Technologies able to exploit these resources are becoming available
• Objective– Evaluate for adding to the North American energy supply portfolio
• Approach– Perform techno economic feasibility studies, and if a compelling case
for investment in ocean energy can be made; then• Stimulate feasibility demonstrations in North America; and • Accelerate sustainable commercialization of the technology, and• Facilitate public/private collaborative partnership between coastal states,
involving state agencies, utilities, device develops, interested third-parties, and the DOE
4© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Impacts – July 2006
Our Ocean Energy Feasibility Studies are having an effect. In the past couple of months, we have seen:
1. Private investors have filed 26 applications for preliminary permits with FERC for tidal projects based on our studies
2. NSPI has announced a multi M$ pilot tidal plant project based on our study
3. A private investor filed with FERC for the 1st US commercial wave plant; a 50 MW plant at Reedsport OR, the site we selected and performed a feasibility study for in 2004.
4. Lincoln County Oregon has applied for a FERC preliminary permit for multiple wave plants along their coast
5. Expect a few more commercial wave power plant site applications to FERC soon
May 16, 2006 Halifax Chronicle
5© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wave and Tidal Energy Resources
6© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global Solar Energy Distribution
Highest annual average solar energy flux on the
Earth’s surface is about 300 watts/m2
7© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Global Wind Energy Distribution
8© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wave Energy Conversion Basics
Waves are a concentrated form of solar energy
Technology to convert wave energy to electrical energy is real and practical
9© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Earth-Moon-Sun Tidal Forces
The solar tidal bulge is only 46% as high as the lunar tidal bulge. While the lunar bulge migrates around the Earth once every 27 days; the solar bulge migrates around the Earth once every 365 days. As the lunar bulge moves into and out of phase with solar bulge, this gives rise to spring and neap tides.
10© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Definition of Wave Power in kW/m of Wave Crest Length
11© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Tidal Power Flux (kW/m2) and Wave Power Flux (Kw/m)
Tacoma
Narrows
1.7 kW/m2
Golden
Gate
3.2 kW/m2
Minas
Passage
4.5 kW/m2
Western
Passage
3.0 kW/m2
12© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
ME NH MA RI NY NJ
110 TWh/yr
WA OR CA440
TWh/yr
Southern AK1,250 TWh/yr
Northern HI300 TWh/yr
ME NH MA RI NY NJ
110 TWh/yr
WA OR CA440
TWh/yr
Southern AK1,250 TWh/yr
Northern HI300 TWh/yr
Many Sites > 100 MW Bay
of Fundy extractable
Many more smaller (1 –100 MW) in
Bay of Fundy and
Maine
Wave and Tidal Resource
1 Site at Knik Arm Cook Inlet
17 MW avgextractable
Total Wave Energy Resource Easy to Calculate – Total Tidal Resource Difficult to Calculate
Total US flux into all regions with avg. wave power density >10 kW/m is ~2,100 TWh/yr
1 Site in TacomaNarrows
16 MW avgextractable
1 Site in Golden Gate 35 MW
avg extractable
Total US Tidal Energy Resource is Low –– Canada Tidal Resource is much Higher than US
13© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wave Climate Summary
Hawaii California Oregon Washington Maine Mass.
15.2 kW/m 20 kW/m 21.2 kW/m 26.5 kW/m 4.9 kW/m 13.8 kW/m
05
10152025303540
Jan
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n Jul
AugSep Oct NovDec
Wav
e Po
wer
Den
sity
kW
/m
West Coast (Oregon) East Coast (Mass)
Hawaii
14© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Tidal Climate Summary
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0 10 20 30 40
Time (hours)
Pow
er (k
W/m
^2)
05
101520
2530354045
0 5 10 15 20
Time (days)
Pow
er (k
W/m
^2)
00.5
11.5
22.5
33.5
44.5
5
0 10 20 30 40
Time (hours)
Pow
er (k
W/m̂
2)
Golden Gate, California
Western Passage, Maine
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0 5 10 15 20
Time (days)
Pow
er (kW/m̂
2)
California Maine
Power Density (kw/m2)d 3.2 2.9
Available Power (MW) 237 104
Extractable Power (MW) 35.5 15.6
15© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Electricity Supply – Big Picture
• US Total Electricity Consumption = 4,000 TWh/yr (source EIA 2004)
• US primary energy required = 12,000 TWh/yr (assumes 33% energy conversion efficiency)
• Total Annual US Wave Energy Resource =2,100 TWh/yr (calculated by EPRI) or 1/6 of current energy req’d
• 25% at 50% Efficiency = 262 TW/h
• Harnessing 25% of offshore wave energy resource at 50% efficiency would be comparable to all US conventional hydro generation in 2003 - It’s Significant
Fuel Type %
Coal 50%
Nuclear 20%
Natural Gas 18%
Hydroelectric 7%
Fuel Oil 2%
Biomass 2%
Geothermal 1%
Wind <1/2%
Solar PV <1/20%
16© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Motivation
Wave Key Attributes• High power density• Forecastable to many
hours or even days• Minimize aesthetic
issues – far out and low freeboard
• Large resource
Tidal Key Attributes• High power density• Predictable• Minimize aesthetic issues –
submersed• Small resource in lower 48
but potentially large in AK and Canada
Wave and Tidal Benefits
• Create Jobs – improve local economy
• No emissions – relatively environmentally benign
• Reduces dependence of foreign supplies – hedge against future fuel prices
17© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wave and Tidal Energy Conversion
18© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
4 Primary Types of Wave Energy Conversion
Reservoir
Wavesovertopping
the ramp
Attenuator
Point Absorber
Overtopping
Terminator- Oscillating Water Column
19© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Examples of Wave Energy Devices (WECs)
PointAbsorber(OceanPowerTechnologiesPowerBuoyTM)
Attenuator (OPD Pelamis) Overtopping (Wave Dragon)
Terminator (EnergetechOscillating Water Column)
20© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Four Primary Types of In Stream Tidal Flow Energy Conversion Devices (TISECs)
Venturi
Vertical Axis Turbine
OscillatoryTurbine
Secondary Water System
Horizontal Axis Turbines
21© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Examples of Tidal Stream Technology
Horizontal Axis - Marine Current Turbines SeaGen
Oscillatory - EngineeringBusiness Stingray
Vertical Axis - Gorlov
Venturi
22© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Technology
Offshore WEC Devices• Handful of engineering units
tested for a few years• 1st commercial sale
occurred last year (sort of) –OPD Pelamis in Portugal –contains an early 3 unit qualification
TISEC Devices• Many barge and towed tests of devices but
only one seabed fixed test (MCT SeaFlow )• Technology leverages learning experiences
of wind turbines• 1 MW class non surface piercing systems
required for many sites, but, testing of the 1st
(Lunar 1 MW) is still a year away or so –MCT 2nd Gen submersible > 2 years
• Verdant East River Project - 1st Array and Environmental Testing
OPD Pelamis MCT SeaFlow Verdant Power
23© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Ocean Power Delivery Pelamis – Currently the most technologically mature WEC device
24© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wave and Tidal Power Plant Design, Performance Cost and Economics
25© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Tidal Site Survey Elements
• Tidal channel with annual avg speed of tidal current peaks (ebb and flood) V 1.54 m/s (3 knots); equiv 1.9 kW/m2
• Large Cross Section Area “A” (P = 0.5 A V3)• Suitable onshore grid interconnection point/substation
– Close proximity to site to reduce transmission cost– Existing grid capable of handling an additional 1 MW or so nominal
demonstration project) and commercial plant sized for site)
• Environmental concerns/Showstoppers (e.g., dredged channel, beach ice, etc)
• Local public and political support• Nearby harbor to support deployment and servicing
– Fabrication infrastructure: large open spaces for staging materials, incoming rail line, cranes, dry dock or graving dock, slipways
– Home-ported tugs or workboats– Ongoing shipbuilding and repair activities– Local economic development incentives
26© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Site Survey Elements (continued)
• Navigation channels– Sufficient channel width or depth for
safe clearance between vessels and project– Away from small boat mooring areas
• Excluded areas– Marine protected areas– Active channel maintenance dredging
• Tidal channel bathymetry/geotechnical conditions for setting of anchors/foundations
• Unique opportunities to minimize pilot plant costs and/or attract supplemental funding
– Existing easement which can be used to route power cable and shore crossing (telecomm cable corridor, effluent outfall, bridge)
– Plans for a roadway/railway bridge to cross a tidal channel yielding the opportunity to integrate and “buy down” cost of civil works
– Local public advocacy for project and highly-visible public education or workforce training opportunity
– International collaborative project potential (channel on political boundary)
15 m foroceangoing
5 m forcoastal
27© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI San Francisco Wave and Tidal Plant Designs
Ocean Beach WEC Plant• Sized for 300,000 MWh/yr Output
– 106 MW rating/ 33 MW avg– 25,000 homes– 152 Energetech Devices or
213 Pelamis Devices
Golden Gate TISEC Plant• Sized to extract 15% of the
available kinetic energy – no noticeable ecological effect – 106 MW rating – 35 MW average annual – 27,000 homes
but site length and existing devices limit it to 7% - 16.5 MW and 12,800 homes – 80 - 18 m diameter turbines
11 km
1.8 km
400 m
MCT 2nd Gen Lunar 1 MW
28© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Cost of Electricity – San Francisco Example
1.00
10.00
100.00
100 1000 10000 100000
Installed Capacity (MW)
CO
E (c
ents
/kW
h)
Wave Low Bound Wave Upper Bound Wind
Actual Wind COE History
Projected Wave Upper and Lower COE
1st Tidal Plant Golden Gate16.5 MW avg
5 – 9.5 cents/kWh
1st Wave Plant Ocean Beach
33 MW avg
8 – 16 cents/kWh
2005$
Utility Ownership
Assumes same Incentives as Wind Technology
Wind (class 3 - 6) = 4.5 – 6.5 cents/kWh
Solar Trough = 18 cents/kWh
Coal PC USC = 4.2 cents/ kWh - 1, 760 CO2 lbs/MWh
NGCC ($7/MMBTU) = 6.4 cents/kWh – 860 CO2 lbs/mWh
Wave and tidal COE ranges represent an early stage in product life cycle
and preliminary costing
29© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Coal, Wave & Wind in 2010 Time Period
4
5
6
7
8
0 10 20 30 40 50Cost of CO2, $/metric ton
Levelized Cost of Electricity, $/kWh 2005$, W/O Incentives
Wind After 50 GW@42%CF
13
1st 100 MW Wave Plant in Pacific Northwest@33% CF
CoalWind after 50 GW@29%CF
30© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Coal, Wave & Wind in 2020 Time Period
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0 10 20 30 40 50Cost of CO2, $/metric ton
Levelized Cost of Electricity, $/kWh, 2005$, w/o Incentives
Wind after 100 GW@42%CF
11
Coal
Wave after 50 GW inPac NW @33% CF
Wind after 100 GW@29%CF
31© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Coal, Tidal and Wind in 2010 Time Period
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0 10 20 30 40 50Cost of CO2, $/metric ton
Levelized Cost of Electricity, $/kWh, 2005$, w/o Incentives
Wind after 50 GW@29% CFTidal@3 kW/m2 - Golden Gate CA
11
[email protected] kW/m2 – Tacoma Narrows WA
Coal
Tidal@ 4.5 kW/m2 – Minas Passage NS
Wind after 50 GW@42% CF
32© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Wave and Tidal Projects
Environmental and Regulatory Issues
33© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Wave Energy Projects
HI, OahuKaneohe
WAMakah Bay
RIPoint Judith
ORReedsport
ORLincoln Ct
OPT County
Filed with FERC
8/23/06
Filed with FERC
07/14/06
250kWPowerBuoy
50 MW
50 m4 km
Developer Ocean Power Tech AquaEnergy Energetech
Development Stage
Deployed June 04 – 8 Mo of
Tests –Redeploying late
2006
Permitting since 2002
DOI submitted to FERC Feb 2005 – Ruling
Oct 2005
Device Power BuoyTM Aqua BuOYTMOscillating
Water Column (OWC)
Size
Single buoy40 kW
Buildout to 1 MW
4 buoys1 MW
Single OWC500kW
Water Depth/ Distance from Shore
30 m1 km
50 m6 km
2 m2 km
From EPRI Feasibility Study Northern CA Not yet a project
34© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Tidal Energy Projects
MAAmesbury
NYNY, East
River
BCRace
Rocks
NSMinas
Passage
WATacomaNarrows
Developer Masstech/Verdant
NYSERDAVerdant
ENCANA/CleanCurrent
NovaScotiaPower
NSPIplanning Phase 2
TBD
TBD
TBD
TacomaPower
Development Stage
2 Month Test
Complete
In Con-struction
Beingdeployed
Tacoma Power
Filed for permit with
FERC
Device Verticalaxis
Horizontalaxis open
rotor
H - axis ductedrotor
TBD
Size1m X 2.5
m1 unit
5 m diameter6 units
? Dia 1 unit TBD
Power (kW) at Max Speed (m/s)
0.8 kW @ 1.5m/s
34 kW @ 2.1 m/s ? TBD
From EPRI Feasibility Study
WAAdmiralty
Straits
CAGolden
Gate
SNOPUD Oceana
Filed with FERC06/06
Rec’dFERCprel
permit10/05
TBD TBD
TBD TBD
TBD TBD
35© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Frequently Asked Questions
Will these devices affect the environment?The Environmental Issueso Withdrawal of wave and tidal flow energy on the ecology o Interactions with marine life (fish and mammals)o Atmospheric and oceanic emissionso Visual appearanceso Conflicts with other uses of sea space (fishing, boating, shipping,
clamming, crabbing, etc)o Installation and decommissioning
Wave Energy Environmental Impact Statements (EIS)o Belt Collins EIS for Navy Hawaii WEC Project - FONSIo Devine Tarbell EIS for AquaEnergy Makah bay WA Projecto Many European EISs
37© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Frequently Asked Questions
• Will the regulatory authorities grant a permit for this offshore wave power and tidal power plants
• Will these devices survive storms and the hostile marine environment?
39© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Regulatory and Environmental Summary
Wave Energy• Federal Jurisdiction
– Plant > 3 miles = MMS/FERC– Plant < 3 miles = FERC– Plant > 3 miles in marine
sanctuary = FERC/NOAA
• State Jurisdiction – CA Dept of State Lands
• Env Issues– Reduced wave height– Interactions with marine life– Conflicts of sea space
Tidal Energy• Federal Jurisdiction
– Com’l Plant < 3 miles = FERC
• State Jurisdiction –– CA Dept of State Lands
• Env Issues– Fish endangerment– Ecological effects
40© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Proposed New Feasibility Studies:
River In StreamHybrid Offshore Wind - Wave
41© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hydrokinetic River Energy Conversion
Present State– Present day run of river hydro plants are low-head, no-storage plants– They involve diverting a portion of the river thru hydroelectric turbines
Desired State – No dams– No diversionary flows– No aesthetic concerns– Environmentally benign
River Tidal StreamFlow Unidirectional BiWater Fresh SaltVariability Yearly Diurnal
Cycle CycleThreshold* ? 2.5 kw/m2
* Min required average yearly power density for economic feasibility
42© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hybrid Offshore Wind-Wave Energy Conversion
Present State– Present day European offshore wind plants are in shallow water close to shore– Deeper water further offshore wind plants are less visually intrusive– Cost of near shore wind systems is greater than onshore and cost of far offshore
wind system is greater than near shore wind– Offshore wave is an emerging technology with 1st commercial sale (25 MW
plant) in 2005 in Portugal announced by Ocean Power Delivery of the UK– Hybridization of the two technologies produces lowest cost of electricity (COE)
then either system alone, however, advancements needed in floating platforms and operation and maintenance technologies.
Desired State – Avoid “Cape Wind” Aethestic
Issues– Leverage the synergies for reduced
CoE and reduced resource variability
HOW-WEC
43© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
More Advanced Hybrid Wind – Wave Design Concepts
44© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
More Advanced Hybrid Wind – Wave Design Concepts
45© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
A small investment today might stimulate a worldwide industry which may employ thousands of people and generate billions of dollars of economic output while using an abundant and clean natural resource. It is worth taking a serious look at whether this technology should be added to our portfolio of energy supply options.
EPRI Perspective
• Wave and In Stream Tidal Energy and Other Ocean Energy Sources are potentially important energy sources and should be evaluated for adding to our energy supply portfolios– Indigenous– keep the wealth at home and increase energy
security• A balanced and diversified portfolio of energy supply options is
the foundation of a reliable and robust electrical system• Clean, no greenhouse gases and no aesthetic issues• Economics appear to be close to other options
46© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Economics and Local Job Creation – San Francisco Wave Plant - 106 MW Rating
• Engineering and Construction – EPRI analysis shows about 300 jobs during construction period– Direct– Indirect– Induced
• Operation and Maintenance - EPRI analysis shows that – A crew of 6 people are required to operate the needed
vessels– a crew of 18 people are required to operate and
maintain a 180 unit Pelamis Wave Plant (about 100 MW rating)
47© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Government says “We are here to help you”
The primary barriers to wave and tidal energy technology are not technical but political:
– No U.S. Government RD&D Funding Support
– No U.S. Government production subsidies
– U.S. Government regulatory uncertainty.
48© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
How Could the Government Help?
1. Provide leadership and funding of an ocean energy RD&D program 2. Provide funding for national ocean energy test center 3. Develop design and testing standards for ocean energy devices4. Join the International Energy Agency Ocean Energy Systems
Implementing Agreement to collaborate RD&D activities, and appropriate ocean energy policies with other governments and organizations
5. Study provision of production tax credits, renewable energy credits, and other incentives to spur private investment in ocean energy technologies and projects, and implementing appropriate incentives to accelerate ocean wave energy deployment
6. Lead activities to streamline the process for licensing, leasing, and permitting renewable energy facilities in U.S. waters
7. Ensure that the public receives a fair return from the use of ocean energy resources
8. Ensure that development rights are allocated through a transparent process that takes into account state, local, and public concerns.
49© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Example of Government help
In 2004 the Portuguese Government offered a dedicated marine energy tariff
The UK has a long history of support for the Marine Energy Industry
• Established the “European Marine Energy Centre” in Orkney, Scotland. • Launched the “Carbon Trust, Marine Energy Challenge”• Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) has awarded over £25 M to support
the ongoing development of marine energy devices• Launched a £50M support fund which earmarks £8M direct funding for EMEC
and the Wave Hub initiative with the remaining £42M available to support demonstration projects
• Wave Hub, will offer a “plug in” facility with all the necessary permits etc to allow “next generation” multi device demonstrationprojects to negate the cost of grid connection.
50© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Summary
EPRI Ocean Energy Program is for the Public BenefitAll Technical Work Totally Transparent and Available:
www.epri.com/oceanenergy/
(1) EPRI TP-001-NA, TISEC Resource/Device Performance Estimation Methodology
(2) EPRI TP-002-NA, TISEC Economic Assessment Methodology
(3) EPRI TP-003-MA, Massachusetts Site Survey
(4) EPRI TP-003-ME, Maine Site Survey
(5) EPRI TP-003-NB, New Brunswick Site Survey
(6) EPRI TP-003-MA, Nova Scotia Site Survey
(7) EPRI TP-004-NA, TISEC Device Survey and Characterization
(8) EPRI TP-005-NA, System Design Methodology
(9) EPRI TP-006-AK, Alaska System Level Design Study
(10) EPRI TP-006-WA, Washington System Level Design Study
(11) EPRI TP-006-CA, California System Level Design Study
(12) EPRI TP-006-MA, Massachusetts System Level Design Study
(13) EPRI TP-006-ME, Maine System Level Design Study
(14) EPRI TP-006-NB, New Brunswick System Level Design Study
(15) EPRI TP-006-NS, Nova Scotia System Level Design Study
(16) EPRI TP-007-NA, North America Environmental and Regulatory Issues
(17) EPRI TP-008-NA, Final Summary Report
(1) EPRI WP-001-US, WEC Device Performance Estimation Methodology
(2) EPRI WP-002-US, WEC Economic Assessment Methodology
(3) EPRI WP-003-HI, Hawaii Site Survey
(4) EPRI WP-003-ME, Maine Site Survey
(5) EPRI WP-003-OR, Oregon Site Survey
(6) EPRI WP-003-WA, Washington Site Survey
(7) EPRI WP-004-NA, TISEC Device Survey and Characterization
(8) EPRI WP-005-US, System Design Methodology
(9) EPRI WP-006-HI, Hawaii System Level Design Study
(10) EPRI WP-006-ME, Maine System Level Design Study
(11) EPRI WP-006-MA, Massachusetts System Level Design Study
(12) EPRI WP-006-SFA, SF California System Level Design Study - Pelamis
(13) EPRI WP-006-SFB, SF California System Level Design Study - Energetech
(14) EPRI WP-007-US, Environmental Issues Study
(15) EPRI WP-008-USA, Regulatory Issues Study
(16) EPRI WP-009-US, Final Summary Report
Wave Energy Tidal Energy
51© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
A Sustainable Electricity Generation Energy Supply Portfolio and How We Transition to It
52© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Decision Making in a Highly Uncertain World
• Investment decisions are being made today about the next generation of electricity supply are complicated by at least four major uncertainties:– Future cost of CO2– Future price of natural gas– Storage of spent nuclear fuel– The capture and storage of CO2
• Prudent investment decisions will assume that carbon constraints are coming
• R&D can make a big difference
53© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Comparative Cost of 2010 Generating Options
54© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Comparative Generation Cost in 2020
55© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Conclusions
• By opening up the possibility of CO2 capture and sequestration, the entire portfolio becomes relatively insensitive to the future costs of carbon constraints
• The U.S. has an opportunity to put a low carbon portfolio in place by 2020
• Without advances in technology, the cost of electricity rise steeply for carbon based technologies
• Electricity generation costs for all options can be improved substantially over the next 10 years, putting the entire portfolio in the “affordable” range –below 7 cents/kWh – regardless of CO2 costs
56© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Importance of Technology Policy
• Advanced technology is a prerequisite for meeting our energy andenvironmental needs of the future because, economic efficiency – that is, achieving our environmental goals at least cost – is critically important
• Technology advances are central to controlling the cost of climate change
• Even a policy that with stringent near term limits or one that leads to an economically efficient price on carbon emissions is unlikely, by itself, to produce the needed technology breakthroughs – may only discourage development of better existing technologies
• R&D must be increased substantially now to– ensure widespread deployment of advanced emission reduction
technologies– stabilize atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases
57© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Backup Charts
EPRI Feasibility Study Approach
EPRI Projects
Project Participants
Review of Power and Energy Relationships
Photos of Wave and Tidal Energy Conversion Devices
58© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI Feasibility Study Approach
Site Survey003 Reports
Available Power001 Report
Extracted Power001 Report
Maximum Annual Output on001 Report
Actual Annual Output001 Report
Final Design and Economic
Assessment Reports 006 Report
Cost and Economics
Methodology002 Report
Device Survey 004 Report
Power Resource
Extraction Efficiency
Power Chain Efficiency
Availability
O&M Costs
Capital Costs
SystemDesign
Methodology005 Report
MethodologyReports
Survey Report Design and Economics Reports
Env and Reg Issues 007 Report
59© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI PROJECTEPRI
M. PrevisicDevine Tarbell
Global Energy PartnersDOE/NREL
Va TechUniv of WA
Participants
Federal (4)Federal (4)U.S. DOE and NREL
BPA and ACOA
Utilities (21)Utilities (21)Bangor HydroCentralCentral Maine Power
National Grid & NSTARNB Power
Saint John ElectricNS Power
Chugach & Anchorage Tacoma Power
Puget Sound EnergySeattle City and Light
Snohomish PUDCentral Lincoln PUD
Douglas Electric Co-opPortland General
PacificorpHECO and KIUC
PG&E
State/City Agencies State/City Agencies (10)(10)
Maine Tech InitiativeMass Tech Collaborative
New Brunswick DOENova Scotia Ministry
Alaska Energy AuthorityWashington CTED
Oregon DOECEC, San Francisco &
Oakland CA
Technology Companies Technology Companies (>30)(>30)
Wave & Tidal Power Developers
Institutes (3)es (3)Bedford Oceanography
Univ of Maine, Orono
Univ of Washington
60© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Projects
Phase 1Project Definition
Study
2004 2005
WEC
Completed
In-progress
Future2006 2007
Tidal In-Stream Energy Conversion (TISEC)
2008
Phase 1Project Definition
Study
Phase 2Design,
Permitting, & Financing
Phase 1Project Definition
Study
River In-Stream Energy Conversion (RISEC)
Phase 2Design, Permitting, & Financing
NS, Tacoma, SNOPUD, ME and SF
CA Phase 1.5Pre- Implementation
Planning
Wave Energy Conversion (WEC)
CA Phase 2Design, Permitting, &
Financing
Reedsport, Oregon Phase 2Detailed Design and Permitting
OR Phase 1.5 Pre-Implementation
Planning
61© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Review of Ocean Energy and Power Relationships
ENERGY IS THE ABILITY TO DO WORKWork (W) = Force (F) x Distance (d)
(lbs – ft) or (newton – meter)
Potential Energy - energy stored in an object= Mgh = (lbs – ft) or (newton – meter)
Kinetic Energy - energy associated with moving object = ½ MV2 (lbs – ft) or (newton – meter)
POWER IS THE RATE OF WORKPower (P) = Energy / Time)
(lbs-ft)/sec or (newton-meter)/sec
M MFd
Mh
VA
d
g
(P/A)flow = 0.5 density V3(P/L)wave = 0.42 Hs2 Tp
TpHsL
62© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
More Examples of WECs
Point Absorber TeamWorkArchimedes Wave Swing Point Absorber
AquaEnergyAquaBuOY
Point Absorber OSU PM Direct Drive
After Deployment
Before Deployment
63© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Wave Energy Projects Kaneohe HI – OPT PowerBuoy
64© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Wave Energy Projects Makah Bay, WA – AquaEnergy AquaBuOY
65© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
North America Wave Energy Projects GreenWave Pt Judith RI – Energetech
66© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Appendix D - Two General Types of TISEC Devices
• Horizontal Axis• Vertical Axis
• Many variations includingducts, blade design, etc
67© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
US-Based Verdant Power and GCK
East River, New York, NY GCK Gorlov Turbine barge-mounted testing on Merrimack River, MA
Verdant Horizontal Axial Turbine GorlovVertical-Axis
Turbine
68© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Golden Gate, San Francisco, CA
Golden Gate Bridge
View from BakerBeach
Avg Power Available = 237 MW
AvgPower Extractable = 35.5 MW
Tech Constrained Power = 16.5 MW
No of Homes Powered = 12,80
Example Plants:
69© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Other US Tidal Flow Devices
• Underwater Electric Kite * Gorlov Turbine (UEK) Test Unit
70© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Two UK Tidal Flow Demonstrations
Marine Current Turbines Engineering Business Stingray
71© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Swedish Vertical Axis Device - Seapower
72© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
UK In-Stream Device - SMD Hydrovision