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The presentation defines the role of oil companies, their working and game strategy

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OIL COMPANIESFACILITATE OR EXPLOIT

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The aim of my presentation will be to apprise the house about the role of oil companies in facilitating the economic growth of a country, role of OCAC and how National oil companies and domestic politics exploit each other.

AIM

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History of oil companiesOPEC and its objectivesHow do NOCs and Politics effect each other

Case Studies for positive and negative impacts

Role of oil companies in economic developmentRole of OCACConclusionQuestions

Sequence

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NOC and IOC : HISTORY

Jostling for positions

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NOC and IOC : HISTORY

The world's energy security lies in their hands.

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NOC and IOC : HISTORY

14 of the Top-20 are NOCs or newly privatized

NOC

NOC

NOC

NOC

IOC

IOC

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NOC and IOC : HISTORY

State monopolies

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NOC and IOC : HISTORY

Ranking Petroleum Intelligence Weekly

1213

1619

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Seven Sisters

The five American oil giants

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Seven Sisters

100% operating monopoly

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Seven Sisters

End to the reign of the original `Seven Sisters'

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Super-majors

Deflation of oil prices

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Super-majors

Big Five

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OPEC

Change in the game

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OPEC

Sit and negotiate

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OPEC

NOCs rapidly rising

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OPEC

History of OPEC

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OPEC

Intergovernmental Organization

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OPEC

OPEC later joined by nine other Members

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OPEC Objectiveco-ordinate and unify petroleum policies secure fair and stable prices regular supply of petroleum fair return on capital

OPEC

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IOCs LOSING GROUND TO NOCs

Partners of choice

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IOCs LOSING GROUND TO NOCs

Access to the energy markets of the world

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IOCs LOSING GROUND TO NOCs

IOCs' share of world oil reserves

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IOCs LOSING GROUND TO NOCs

NOCs share of the world oil reserves

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NOCs and Politics

A new generation of NOCs

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NOCs and Politics

The NOCs need to secure energy supply

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NOCs and Politics

NOCs to meet important national goals

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NOCs and Politics

NOCs susceptible to politicsBoth domestic and international

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NOCs and Politics

NOCs as the tools of a country's policy

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ROLE OF NOCS IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

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Objectives

Shareholder value maximization model

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Objectives

Owned by National governments

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Objectives

NOCs respond to Governments

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Objectives

Strategy of developed nations NOC

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Objectives

Strategy of less developed country’s NOC

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Wealth Distribution

Redistributing the oil wealth of the nation to the society in general

Fuel subsidies Employment policiesSocial welfare programs

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Wealth Distribution

Downside ExpensiveArtificially low price

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Jobs Programs

Jobs programs for the domestic economy

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Jobs Programs

Saudi AramcoLowest ratio of employees to oil produced

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Jobs Programs

Russian based-companies Highest jobs producers

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Economic Uplift

Tools in process of economic development

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Economic Uplift

Conduit for technology transfers

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Economic Uplift

Local content rules

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Economic Uplift

Pakistan : An examplePrice of diesel gone up by a massive 13%Petrol by 10%

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Foreign Policy

A tool to achieve foreign policy goals

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Foreign Policy

Political relationships

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Foreign Policy

Oil is a strategic commodity

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Foreign Policy

NOC being tied to geopolitical aims

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Foreign Policy

Politically motivated

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Energy Security

Security on the demand side

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Energy Security

Oil exporter and importer relationship

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Energy Security

Diversify customer base

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Energy Security

Diversity of producers

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Energy Security

Exclusive rights to desired supplies of oil

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Vertical Integration

Roots in upstream operations

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Vertical Integration

Value added from producing and selling

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Vertical Integration

Gain access to un available markets

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Vertical Integration

Mitigation of risk through vertical integration

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Vertical Integration

Volatile oil prices

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Vertical Integration

Ability to become more profitable

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

The Downstream Oil Sector

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Keep the wheels of the economy moving

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

With an annual sales of Rs. 1 trillion

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Direct employment of over 100,000 people

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Indirect employment of 24,000 persons

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Capital investment of over 30 billion

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Annual generation of taxes around Rs. 200 Billion

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

A world class IT infrastructure

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Skill sets ranging from TechnicalITFinanceSalesMarketing & HR

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Role of PSO in Economic Development

Significant contributor to the national well-being

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NOCs and Politics

A role in and are affected by the politicsDomestic and international

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NOCs and Politics

Foreign and strategic policies of governments

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NOCs and Politics

National level politics

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NOCs and Politics

Use of NOCs to increase the power

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NOCs and PoliticsIran Case Study

Public and private actors considerable support

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NOCs and Politics

Iran subsidized gas rateThe political cost of removing subsidiesContradiction between political and economic reformsThe Iran’s caseDecline in efficiency of hydrocarbon sectorA neo-patrimonial authoritarianFinal arbiter in a fight

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Three fundamental goals

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Maintain a certain amount of spare capacity

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Fill the gap in supplies

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Win geopolitical clout

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Actual rate of decline in the Kingdom

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Vehicle for economic growth

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

The Saudi gas initiative

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Heavily politicized process

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Sustain a long term market for oil

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Oil competitive with other sources of energy

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Saudia Aramco : A successful NOC

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Saudi Aramco Case Study

Western model of management

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

OCAC , Pakistan

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

Change over the last 30 years

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

Gradually deregulated

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

Permission to import fuel

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

Pivotal role in rationalizing the imports

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Oil Company Advisory Committee

Focal body for the Government

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Objective of OCAC

Downstream oil industry at various forums

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Objective of OCAC

Establish demand and supply balances

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Objective of OCAC

Infrastructure Upgrades and De-bottlenecking

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Objective of OCAC

Collect, prepare and circulate various trade statistics

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Objective of OCAC

Comment on and convey collective views

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Objective of OCAC

Develop plans/suggestions to help Government

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Members of OCAC

Comprise of the country’s five Refineries

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Members of OCAC

Ten oil companies

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Areas of Focus

Effective supply logistics management

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Areas of Focus

Plan to overcome any port constraints

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Areas of Focus

Identifying the right energy source for Pakistan

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Areas of Focus

Petroleum product improvement plans

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Areas of Focus

Ensure the continued viability

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CONCLUSION

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QUESTIONS

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Spot market price effect

Before 1970After the oil crisis in 1973Benchmark of oil priceTwo prices concept

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Fixed price mechanism

Fixed price is the pegging price made between buyer and sellerRefinery to pay in 30 days after the B/LRefinery requires the buyer to pay in 5-15 daysThis kind of price method is rarely applied

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Product Oil pricing method

Pricing methodsPricing unitsPricing basis

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Pricing period

Bill of landing dateMutual agreementMultiple modes