october 8, 2007 tptf meeting texas nodal program update jerry sullivan program director, market...
DESCRIPTION
3 3 Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 Key Program Successes – Market Trials Nodal EDS Project Teams and Market Participants Delivery TeamStatus EDS 1 97% (63,916 of 65,902) of point-to-point connections tested to date Currently less than 4% average error rate (Goal:TRANSCRIPT
October 8, 2007TPTF Meeting
Texas Nodal Program Update
Jerry SullivanProgram Director, Market Redesign
2Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 2
CostScheduleScope / Quality
Legend
Summary
Overall program status remains amber
Green
Effort being made to keep costs to $263 Million. Latest forecast as of Oct
5 is between $273 and $280 with continuing effort being made on
efficiencies and finding savings without jeopardizing quality issues.
Amber Amber
Currently fully aligned with
protocols
Red
Amber
Green Estimate at Complete = <$263m
Estimate at Complete = < $263m + 10%
Estimate at Complete = >$263m + 10%
Go-live = 12/1/08
Go-live = <30 days+
Go-live = >30 days+
Program is aligned with current protocols
Program is aligned to previous protocol version
Program is not aligned to protocols
All Early Delivery Systems (EDS) on track. EDS4 has significant risk.
Meetings being held to ensure confidence in schedule for Go-Live
Date.
Scope/Quality
Nodal
Cost
ScheduleScope/Quality
Schedule
Cost
Nodal Delivery
Amber
Current product quality is not sufficient for Nodal launch
Most Nodal products currently achieve quality standards
All Nodal products currently achieve quality standards
Loss of IDA and Integration Test
PMs poses leadership
concerns over future quality.
Actively looking at experienced leadership to
assume roles.
3Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 3
Key Program Successes – Market TrialsNodal EDS Project Teams and Market Participants
Delivery Team StatusEDS 1 97% (63,916 of 65,902) of point-to-point connections tested to date
Currently less than 4% average error rate(Goal: <3% error rate per Market Participant)
On goal
EDS 2 Nodal Telemetry Criteria (October 1, 2007 Telemetry Criteria and State Estimator Standards Workshop) amended; ROS recommended for TAC approval
On goal
EDS 3 100% (QSE w/resource) SCED Testing successfully completed for Connectivity and SCED input
Satisfies two Market Readiness Metrics
MP2: QSE’s ability to connect to the EDS Market Interfaces
MP3: QSE’s ability to create, update, cancel and query SCED inputs
TPTF approval of CRR Handbook Successful CRR kick-off EDS environment
(EDS3 R7.0 - pre-work activities)
On goal
Three of Four Trial Major Market Trials are Proceeding Successfully Against Plan
4Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 4
Key Program Successes – Nodal Project Teams
Delivery Team StatusEMS EMS team consistently releasing code on time
Returned to Program $1.6M from Baseline 1 & 2 authorization Forecasting $2.2M reduction of Areva Baseline 0 costs All requirements approved by TPTF
On goal
CRR Incorporated Baselines 1 & 2 changes into Pre-FAT version, earlier than expected
Complete traceabilityDefects Test Scripts Test Cases Use Cases Requirements Protocols
Successfully completed Pre-FAT; entered FAT with all Pre-FAT defects resolved
On goal
MMS Successful SCED calculation functionality exposure to Market ParticipantTeam delivered function early to support EDS testing
No critical errors discovered
On goal
NMMS November 2007 Transmission Service Providers market trials sign up begun on schedule
Successfully completed installation of NMMS on Citrix solution
On goal
Integration Successful end-end run through of integration for Settlement & BillingSuccessful integration with Registration Extended the number of web services deployed for Market Participant use
On goal
Projects Continue to Deliver Quality Product and Meet Major Program Milestones
5Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 5
Staffing concerns focused on employees
Attrition ERCOT, Inc. Texas Nodal Program
Annualized percentage
# employees Annualized percentage
# employees
Annualized 11% 76 32% 40
YTD Actuals 11% 63 32% 33
pre Retention Plan 10% 48 29% 24
post Retention Plan 13% 15 43% 9
NODAL attrition rates significantly higher than ERCOT in general
Role Plan & statusIntegration Testing PM 3 internal candidates identified
External search not initiated per hiring manager’s request
Integration & Design Authority PM Plan and status to be decided by hiring manager
6Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 6
ACE Calculation and Pre Conditions
Recent schedule changes
Software Drop
Baseline Forecast Key Features Rationale for delay Impact on EDS
NMMS 2a FAT Start: 10/1/2007
FAT End : 11/1/2007
FAT Start: 10/22/2007FAT End : 11/1/2007
NMMS release with all features necessary to begin Network Model Verification (EDS 2 Release 4)
Delayed FAT start due to increase time for Pre FAT and Pre-FAT defect management
None – EDS 2 Release 4 will start as planned on 11/1/2007
EMS 3 FAT Start: 10/16/2007FAT End: 11/05/2007
FAT Start: 11/30/2007FAT End: 12/7/2007
• ACE Calculation• Regulation Reduction• Reg-Up and Reg-Down allocation to QSEs • Limit Calculations• Inputs from SCADA• Centralized Dispatch
• LFC development far more complex than originally anticipated
• Development should have started at least 6-8 weeks earlier than planned
• Vendor delivery was re-planned to ensure no impact to EDS timelines
None – EDS 3 Rel 7 - LFC will start as planned in Jan 08. Delivery of LFC requirements by vendor have been phased into 2 deliveries
EMS 3 FAT Start: 2/23/2008FAT End: 3/1/2008
• Rest of Generation Subsystem• Available ancillary service capacity by resource • Responsive Reserve deployment• Responsive reserve allocation to QSEs• Ancillary Service Reserves
None – All Generation Subsystem requirements will be tested internally by Mar 01, 2008, in time for Release 6.2 - LFC EDS
EDW (reports & extracts) still under replanning
EDS 2 and 3
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
LFC Testing – Individual QSE
Network Model Verification
01/15
EDS 2 Rel 4
EDS 3 Rel 6
Mar Apr
7Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 7
Recent schedule changes
Software Drop
Baseline Forecast Key Features Rationale for delay Impact on EDS
MMS 2 FAT Start: 9/25/2007
FAT End : 10/31/2007
FAT Start: 12/3/2007
FAT End : 1/11/2008
Features Included: Baseline 0+ functionality– MP and Operation Interface– DAM, HRUC, DRUC, POD, SFT, DEF, SCED+ – WPIDA007, 009, 015– Partial WPIDA003, 041, 021– NPRR049, 012, 033, 016, 064, 069– Partial NPRR005, 070, 035, 065, 006– Partial CR010, 057
Currently conducting planning sessions with
various groups to ensure least impact to
EDS schedule
MMS 3 FAT Start: 1/24/2008FAT End: 2/14/2008
Features Included: Baseline 0+ CIM Importer– MP and Operation Interface update– SASM– Partial NPRR047 – CIM Importer (limited testing due to input files)
Results of re-planning with MMS vendor,
incorporating Baselines 1 and 2
MMS 4 FAT Start: 4/7/2008
FAT End: 5/28/2008
Features Included: Baseline 0/1/2 functionality– MI DC Tie, MI RMR Offers, MI VDI, WRUC,
CCT, NSLR– WPIDA013, 003, 041, 007, 021– NPRR008, 071, 005, 070, 009, 002, 035, 047,
065, 006, 014, 061, 062, 024, 057– CR067, 057, 010
OS1 FAT Start:11/19/2007FAT End:12/15/2007
FAT Start: 1/21/2008FAT End: 2/1/2008
Nodal Outage Scheduler
EDS 4
EIP deliveries for EDS 4 are being re-planned to suit vendor deliveriesEDW (reports & extracts) still under replanning
8Texas Nodal Program UpdateOctober 8, 2007 8
Budget Update
Var. (o)/u Var. (o)/uCost Budget Actual Budget Budget Forecast Budget
Internal Resource
$ 16.4 $ 18.3 $ (1.9) $ 36.7 $ 42.2 $ (5.5) External Resource
40.6 38.3 2.3 71.5 86.3 (14.8) Vendor 35.6 29.0 6.6 56.4 65.1 (8.7) Hardware / Software
39.4 48.9 (9.5) 58.8 54.9 3.9 Taxes and Other
5.2 4.5 0.7 7.6 8.7 (1.1) Subtotal
$ 137.2 $ 139.0 $ (1.8) $ 231.0 $ 257.2 $ (26.2) Facilities Allocation
2.9 1.8 1.1 6.4 4.1 2.3 Contingen
- - - 15.0 - 15.0 Total Nodal
$ 140.1 $ 140.8 $ (0.7) $ 252.4 $ 261.3 $ (8.9) Finance Charge
- 3.6 (3.6) 10.6 10.6 - Total $ 140.1 $ 144.4 $ (4.3) $ 263.0 $ 271.9 $ (8.9)
LTD as of August 2007 - to be updated for September prior to BoD meeting
ERCOT - Nodal ProgramCost Element Summary - September 2007
($ Millions)
Life to Date (LTD) Estimate at Complete (EAC)