oct 2012

Strictly confidentialAmbit Holdings Pvt Ltd

Oct 2012


Global GDP growth over the past 3 decades

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

GD

P gro

wth

(YoY, in

%)

World Advanced economies Emerging and developing economies

Lehman Crisis

The Great

Moderation

Dot Com

Bubble Burst

South East

Asian CrisisGulf War

Reagan

Recession


GDP growth in India over the past 4 decades

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

196

9

197

2

197

5

197

8

198

1

198

4

198

7

199

0

199

3

199

6

199

9

200

2

200

5

200

8

201

1

GD

P gr

owth

(YoY

, in

%)

Second

consecutive

drought

domestically and

world oil crisis

Record farm

sector and

industrial sector

growth owing to

economic reforms

Record contraction in farm

sector owing to a drought

Jump in farm and

industrial sector growth

following a drought in the

previous year.

After effects of

the BoP Crisis

Growth

improvement owing

to the reforms

administered in '91

South East

Asian Crisis

Dot Com

Bubble

Burst

Growth uplift owing to political

stability coupled with

supportive global

macroeconomic environment

Lehman Crisis


Rising share of ‘Services’ in India’s GDP

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

195

1

195

4

195

7

196

0

196

3

196

6

196

9

197

2

197

5

197

8

198

1

198

4

198

7

199

0

199

3

199

6

199

9

200

2

200

5

200

8

Shar

e in

tota

l GD

P (in

%)

Farm Industry Services

29%

15%

57%


The increasing tilt towards ‘Aspirational Consumption’

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010Sh

aree

in tot

al c

onsu

mpt

ion

(in %

)

Aspirational Consumption Essential Consumption


Rising ‘Urbanization’


Critical shifts in Workplaces

Government Private

Employees

Employer

Hierarchical

Employee

Matrixed

9 to 5 24x7

Manual Digital/Robotic


• Nuclear disaster in Japan

• Arab uprising

• European crisis and mass movements

• Quran burning incited deadly riots in Afghanistan (2012)

• Wave of bombings in Iraq (2011)

• Earthquake in Turkey (2011)

• Syria Massive bloody protest (2011)

• Greece Debt Crisis (2010)

• Nigeria (Muslim - Christian) deadly riot (2010)

It’s a VUCA World


Leader has to demonstrate

• Foresight

• Decision taking – ‘live in the grey’

• Constant Renewal – shed the old & adapt to the new

• ‘Manage’ & Work in crisis

• Balance Short term v/s Long term

• Ability to communicate across variety of stakeholders


How ?

• Knowing

• Doing

• Being


Proactive approach

Catch up Jumper

Process Improver

Problem Solver

Strategic Leaper

Quantum Effort

Incremental Effort

Reactive approach


Eagle

1. Dauntless: look at the Sun in the Eye

2. Vision- see the target miles away

3. Tenacious - flies against the Storm

4. Nurturing - one by one, personally

5. High Flier - flying in high places yet swiftly on earth

6. Grip- vice like grip

7. Vitality-full of life, right through its life - mid life crisis


Story of an Eagle

Story of an EAGLE -.mp4

oct 2012

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