Download - Oct 2012
Strictly confidentialAmbit Holdings Pvt Ltd
Oct 2012
Strictly confidentialAmbit Holdings Pvt Ltd
Global GDP growth over the past 3 decades
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
GD
P gro
wth
(YoY, in
%)
World Advanced economies Emerging and developing economies
Lehman Crisis
The Great
Moderation
Dot Com
Bubble Burst
South East
Asian CrisisGulf War
Reagan
Recession
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GDP growth in India over the past 4 decades
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
196
9
197
2
197
5
197
8
198
1
198
4
198
7
199
0
199
3
199
6
199
9
200
2
200
5
200
8
201
1
GD
P gr
owth
(YoY
, in
%)
Second
consecutive
drought
domestically and
world oil crisis
Record farm
sector and
industrial sector
growth owing to
economic reforms
Record contraction in farm
sector owing to a drought
Jump in farm and
industrial sector growth
following a drought in the
previous year.
After effects of
the BoP Crisis
Growth
improvement owing
to the reforms
administered in '91
South East
Asian Crisis
Dot Com
Bubble
Burst
Growth uplift owing to political
stability coupled with
supportive global
macroeconomic environment
Lehman Crisis
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Rising share of ‘Services’ in India’s GDP
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
195
1
195
4
195
7
196
0
196
3
196
6
196
9
197
2
197
5
197
8
198
1
198
4
198
7
199
0
199
3
199
6
199
9
200
2
200
5
200
8
Shar
e in
tota
l GD
P (in
%)
Farm Industry Services
29%
15%
57%
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The increasing tilt towards ‘Aspirational Consumption’
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010Sh
aree
in tot
al c
onsu
mpt
ion
(in %
)
Aspirational Consumption Essential Consumption
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Rising ‘Urbanization’
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Critical shifts in Workplaces
Government Private
Employees
Employer
Hierarchical
Employee
Matrixed
9 to 5 24x7
Manual Digital/Robotic
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• Nuclear disaster in Japan
• Arab uprising
• European crisis and mass movements
• Quran burning incited deadly riots in Afghanistan (2012)
• Wave of bombings in Iraq (2011)
• Earthquake in Turkey (2011)
• Syria Massive bloody protest (2011)
• Greece Debt Crisis (2010)
• Nigeria (Muslim - Christian) deadly riot (2010)
It’s a VUCA World
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Leader has to demonstrate
• Foresight
• Decision taking – ‘live in the grey’
• Constant Renewal – shed the old & adapt to the new
• ‘Manage’ & Work in crisis
• Balance Short term v/s Long term
• Ability to communicate across variety of stakeholders
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How ?
• Knowing
• Doing
• Being
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Proactive approach
Catch up Jumper
Process Improver
Problem Solver
Strategic Leaper
Quantum Effort
Incremental Effort
Reactive approach
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Eagle
1. Dauntless: look at the Sun in the Eye
2. Vision- see the target miles away
3. Tenacious - flies against the Storm
4. Nurturing - one by one, personally
5. High Flier - flying in high places yet swiftly on earth
6. Grip- vice like grip
7. Vitality-full of life, right through its life - mid life crisis
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Story of an Eagle
Story of an EAGLE -.mp4